WWD : Henkel: A Strategic Review

Henkel: A Strategic Review
What Germany's second largest beauty manufacturer is getting right — and wrong.
Henkel AG, the German maker of Schwarzkopf, Dial and Diadermine products, has been reassessing its business model, but a fix remains elusive — especially for its beauty retail activity.
The Düsseldorf-based company holds a top rank worldwide in the professional hair care category, but has been underperforming against its cohorts such as L’Oréal, Unilever and Proctor & Gamble in the large and dynamic beauty space.
Henkel placed 16th in WWD Beauty Inc’s Top 100 Global Beauty Manufacturer ranking for 2021, which estimated the group’s beauty sales hit 3.49 billion euros that year, down 1.9 percent versus 2020 and 5.2 percent against 2019.
Over the last five years, Henkel’s organic top-line beauty growth was minus 0.7 percent. The previous five years it was plus 2.5 percent, and the five years prior to that plus 4.8 percent, according to Eva Quiroga, managing director of European Consumer Staples at Bank of America.

So why this persistent downward trajectory? And what might be done to reverse the slide?

Henkel is a rare breed — the only top 20 beauty company with beauty as a minor activity. In 2021, the category rang up just 18 percent of Henkel’s total sales of 20.07 billion euros, versus adhesive technologies with 48 percent and laundry and home care combined with 33 percent.
Looking back some 10 to 15 years ago, Quiroga shined a light on Henkel’s heyday in beauty. That was when Tina Müller — now chief executive officer of Douglas — was running the firm’s hair care business, and Hans Van Bylen was the executive vice president for the Beauty Care division.
“They basically did innovation, but in a focused way,” said Quiroga, who explained Van Bylen had a table in his office, and whatever Henkel was launching had to fit on that table — otherwise, it was too much.
“Which meant there was definitely much greater focus on bigger ideas,” she said. “He also took the view that if a product doesn’t work quickly, it’s not going to work. And they were also super smart with their marketing. It was a shift from being boring to being quite funky. That made a massive difference.”
Müller launched the Syoss hair care brand just after the financial crisis, in 2008 and 2009.
“Syoss resonated unbelievably well with the German consumer, because it was perceived as a professional brand in a big bottle and at an affordable price. It was just perfectly executed,” Quiroga said. “It was the most successful hair care launch in years. Since then, however, momentum has been slowing.”
That is partly due to other players ramping up competition when they saw Henkel as a threat, especially in hair care. Also, Müller left the group.
Henkel has been acquisitive in professional hair care, especially in the U.S., and became strong in the category that way. In 2014, it bought Sexy Hair, Alterna and Kenra, followed by Nattura Laboratorios and the North American Hair Professional business from Shiseido three years later.
In North America last year, Henkel ranked second after L’Oréal in the category, and worldwide it placed third, following L’Oréal and Wella, according to Kline & Co.’s Salon Hair Care global series.


This February, Henkel announced it would buy Shiseido’s professional hair business in the Asia Pacific region, a deal that CEO Carsten Knobel at the time called “a step-change” for the company’s professional activity. That’s because it would significantly increase the group’s market position in Japan and China, the world’s top-two and -three professional hair markets, and key centers of trends and innovations. Additionally, it could elevate Henkel to the number-two worldwide rank in the segment.
Last year, about 70 percent of Henkel’s beauty sales were from hair care, and of that, one-third was professional and the remainder retail, including care, color and styling. Approximately one-quarter came from body care, such as deodorants, shower gels and soaps, and then some 5 percent from oral care.
By geographic region, most of Henkel’s business is rung up in developed markets, such as Europe and North America.
Henkel ranks 11th in the U.S. market in overall beauty, which include the fragrance, hair care, makeup, skin care and toiletries categories, Kline data shows.
“They play in only two,” said Carrie Mellage, head of beauty and personal care at Kline, referring to hair care and toiletries. “There’s a lot of things they’re not doing, like participating in some key sectors of beauty that most of the other leaders are doing. They’re not as diversified.”
She pointed out the top five beauty players trade in every or almost each product class. Yet even in those two, Henkel is not leading in either. Kline rankings show Henkel is fifth in the U.S. hair care and U.S. toiletries markets, where Dial is a force in personal cleansing.
“But they really struggled last year with the brand,” Mellage said. “They had a slowdown in 2021 relative to the rest of the category. Some of the brands that were performing better were like Dove or Olay — more skin care oriented. Bath & Body Works is another key player that did really well in that space and more fragrant body care. Dial is really none of those things.”
In comparison, Henkel’s professional hair care business fared well, outperforming the U.S. market. But the same didn’t hold true for its beauty activity. According to Kline’s Cosmetics and Toiletries USA 2021 program, the country’s total beauty market grew 9.5 percent, whereas Henkel’s beauty sales there, consolidating consumer purchases only, declined 5.4 percent.


“While the professional business has been doing quite well over the last few years, the retail business has been struggling, consistently underperforming its peers for years now,” Quiroga said.
In late January, Henkel announced plans to merge its Laundry and Home Care and Beauty Care divisions to form a new Consumer Brands business, and expects to divest or discontinue non-core brands and activities, while making acquisitions in the consumer-goods space.
The company said the new organization, designed to create more scale, capture synergies and grant further agility, should be operational by early 2023 at the latest. The group anticipates from it leaner structures, faster decision-making and attractive opportunities.
However, some industry experts believe that combining two underperforming businesses might not be the best fix. Nor would selling Henkel’s skin care holdings, such as Diadermine, which is strong in countries such as Germany and France.
“Skin care is obviously structurally the most attractive part of the beauty industry in the long term,” Quiroga said.
Mellage agreed, noting: “They’ve been very successful growing by way of acquisition, and I do see that could be a path forward for them in the other areas.”
Skin care is the biggest product class, and Henkel does not trade in it.
“Lots of opportunity there,” she said.

>>> Goldman Warns Oil Is 'Down But Not Out': The Good, Bad, & Ugly In The Energy

Goldman Warns Oil Is 'Down But Not Out': The Good, Bad, & Ugly In The Energy Complex

Oil prices have tumbled 25% since early June, driven by low trading liquidity and a mounting wall of worries: recession, China's zero-COVID policy and real estate sector collapse, the US SPR release, and Russian production recovering well above expectations.
However, Goldman's Damien Courvalin believes that the case for higher oil prices remains strong, even assuming all these negative shocks play out, with the market remaining in a larger deficit than we expected in recent months.
The bullish thesis does though require addressing the huge divergence between Brent prices, which averaged $110/bbl in June-July, and the $160/bbl Brent-equivalent global retail fuel price.
Conceptually, two prices matter for modeling the oil market:
(1) the retail price of fuels paid by consumers as it drives demand elasticity and
(2) the crude price received by producers as it drives supply elasticity.
Up until 2021, retail prices followed a stable relationship to Brent prices but this is no longer the case due to significant distortions to each of the steps required to transform crude oil coming out of the ground into fuels consumed by producers.
Goldman sees three main takeaways from this:
  • The good: retail prices - while not tradable - came in close to our forecasts despite all the current macro uncertainties.
  • The bad: the disconnect between retail and Brent financial prices was much wider than expected, keeping Brent futures well below our forecast.
  • The ugly: our retail price forecast - which proved broadly accurate - did not result in enough demand destruction to end the current, unsustainable deficit.
The much wider than expected gap between Brent physical prices (i.e. Dated Brent, not ICE Brent futures) and global retail fuel prices in Brent-equivalent terms (c.$45/bbl on average in June-July vs. our c.$25/bbl assumption) can be linked to the Russian energy and EU gas crises.
Goldman states that growing lack of financial participation in the commodity futures market helps explain this record wide premium as well as the recent new collapse in Brent prices as well as the current extreme level of crude backwardation.
Market liquidity plumbing new depths...
Courvalin and his team continue to expect that the oil market will remain in unsustainable deficits at current prices.
Balancing the oil market therefore still requires oil demand destruction on top of the ongoing economic slowdown, where we are more cautious than consensus.
This requires a sharp rebound in retail fuel prices - the binding constraint to balancing the oil market - back to $150/bbl Brent equivalent prices, equivalent to US retail gasoline and diesel prices reaching $4.35 and $5.45/gal by 4Q22.
As Goldman concludes, the unprecedented discount of Brent prices, even wider than we expected, can be explained by the worsening Russian energy crisis, as it boosts the costs of transforming crude out of the ground (Brent) into retail pump prices around the world through surging EU gas prices, freight rates, USD and global refining utilization.
While they assume that the exceptional wedge between retail fuel and Brent futures prices will remain wider than previously expected, Goldman still expects that Brent prices will need to rally well above market forwards, with their 3Q-4Q22 forecasts now $110-125/bbl vs. $140-130/bbl previously (with their $125/bbl 2023 forecast unchanged).
Concerns about their bullish view are warranted though - as recession risks are rising - but as Courvalin notes, reported oil demand has held up surprisingly well
Data for our monthly reported demand sample (covering c.81% of global demand for May and 55% for June) shows demand tracking above our expectations following downward revisions in April.
The demand recovery has been led by jet fuel (+1mb/d YoY for the sub-sample), with the expected weakness in gasoline demand (-0.5 mb/d, given higher price elasticity) offset by strength in industrial products potentially being pulled into the power stack.
The prevalence of retail government interventions such as price freezes/controls (such as those in China and India, versus tax holidays in the OECD) continues to shield oil demand more than expected.

(ZH) Signs Of Ukraine Export Stability As 4 More Grain Ships Leave Ports

Signs Of Ukraine Export Stability As 4 More Grain Ships Leave Ports

This weekend saw four more ships carrying grain and sunflower oil depart Ukraine ports through the UN-brokered safe maritime corridor in the Black Sea, overseen by a joint coordination center in Istanbul staffed by Ukrainian, Russian, Turkish and UN officials.
This as the Razoni cargo ship which was the first to depart Odesa carrying 27,000 tonnes of corn last week, is making its way to the Lebanese port of Tripoli, though not on time. The latest series of ships departed the ports of Odesa and Chornomorsk on Sunday, and their sailing has given rise to greater hopes of export stability, BBC reports, as millions in Ukraine-grain dependent countries are facing famine conditions.
Via Reuters
Two of the vessels are reportedly bound for Italy, while the other pair are going to China, after they are expected to dock in Turkey for international inspections under the terms of the UN safety corridor deal. In total they've been estimated to be laden with 160,000 tons of corn and other foodstuffs.
The BBC writes, "Ukrainian authorities say there are good signs that the grain exports are safe, and have urged companies to return to the country's ports." And further: "The hope is that the exports will help ease the global food crisis while bringing in much needed foreign currency."
And according to further details in NBC, referring to the Joint Coordination Center in Istanbul, "The JCC said late on Saturday it had authorized the departure of a total of five new vessels through the Black Sea corridor: four vessels outbound from Chornomorsk and Odesa carrying 161,084 metric tons of produce, and one inbound."
Last week, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky visited Odessa port to oversee the departure of the first grain ship under the UN deal, though he suggested Russia could be trying to sabotage the agreed upon export mechanisms.
"It is important for us that Ukraine remains the guarantor of global food security," he had said at the time, given a recent Russian missile strike on Odessa.
The question of the safety of shipping crews also remains a concern, given the ships must navigate waters which have for months seen explosive mines placed off Ukraine's coast. The Razoni's safe passage through the Black Sea days ago was a big milestone showing the UN safety mechanisms can work.

(ZH) "Revolution Has Begun": 75,000 Brits To Stop Paying Power Bills Amid Inflat

"Revolution Has Begun": 75,000 Brits To Stop Paying Power Bills Amid Inflation Storm

The resistance is growing as more than 75,000 irritated people in the UK have pledged not to pay their electricity bill this fall when prices jump again.
"75,000 people have pledged to strike on October 1st! If the government & energy companies refuse to act then ordinary people will! Together we can enforce a fair price and affordable energy for all," tweeted "Don't Pay UK," an anonymous group spearheading the effort to have more than one million Brits boycott paying their power bill by Oct. 1.
The strike comes as an inflation storm of high energy prices has obliterated household incomes. Brits are the most miserable in three decades as inflation is expected to hit 13%. And while Bank of England (BoE) Governor Andrew Bailey hiked interest rates the most in 27 years to tame inflation, risks are mounting of a recession.
On Oct. 1, the average household will pay almost £300 a month for power, the BoE warned. Couple surging power costs with negative real wage growth, and it becomes apparent households are being squeezed. This excludes soaring prices for shelter, food, and petrol at the pump -- this trend is unsustainable and could result in social instabilities.
British news outlet Glasgow Live said the strike is similar to the "action in the late 1980s and '90s to fight against the poll tax brought in by PM Margaret Thatcher. In protest, 17 million people refused to pay."
UK financial journalist and broadcaster Martin Lewis said this about the strike:
"I think I can categorise it more accurately now, the big movement that I am seeing is an increase of growth in people calling for a non-payment of energy bills, mass non-payment. Effectively a consumer strike on energy bills and getting rid of the legitimacy of paying that.
"We are getting close to a Poll Tax moment on energy bills coming into October and we need the Government to get a handle on that, because once it starts becoming socially acceptable not to pay energy bills people will stop paying energy bills and you're not going to cut everyone off."
Meanwhile, Ofgem (UK energy regulator) Chief Executive Jonathan Brearley told BBC Radio 4's Today on Saturday that people shouldn't join the strike for two reasons.
"First of all, it will drive up costs for everyone across the board. And secondly, if you are facing difficulty in paying your bill, the best thing you can do is get in touch with your energy company."
He added: 'I would not encourage anyone to withhold their paying their bill because that just damages things further and it will impact them personally.'
Last week, the UK government slammed the movement, calling it "highly irresponsible."
"This is highly irresponsible messaging, which ultimately will only push up prices for everyone else and affect personal credit ratings," a government spokesperson was quoted by The Independent.
Don't Pay UK believes 6.3 million UK households will be pushed into power bill poverty this winter, with millions more feeling the stress of out-of-control inflation.
People on Twitter responded to the moment by saying, "the Revolution has begun" and "a bit of civil unrest on its way onto our streets & rightly so."
Perhaps the movement's involvement will be an excellent proxy for the growing discontent festering among Brits that could result in civil unrest this winter as millions will struggle with keeping the lights on, the furnace hot, and putting food on the table.

9to5 : Apple Watch Series 8 Pro is basically an Apple Watch Series X


Here’s a terribly possible idea that definitely won’t happen: Apple Watch Series 8 and Apple Watch Series X. Ah yes, Apple’s beloved Roman number 10, back for another round of being called “ecks” as in the letter X. There’s an argument to be made for using Apple Watch Series X for the higher-end Series 8 this year.



The case for Apple Watch Series X
Apple Watch Series 8 Pro is the logical name for the rumored top-tier version this year. Apple is reportedly ditching the Jony Ive-inspired Edition strategy of selling a better-than-stainless-steel watch with the same guts inside for a higher price. Instead, Apple is expected to repurpose the titanium Apple Watch as the best-in-class-on-paper version this year.
Better screen, new design, same chip. Sound familiar? That’s a lot like the strategy Apple used when it released the iPhone 8 and iPhone X in 2017. Apple skipped the iPhone 9 and went straight to iPhone X (pronounced 10) because it was leaps and bounds more modern than the iPhone 8 (which looked a lot like the iPhone 6). Apple sold the more updated product for a $300 premium.
iPhone 8 versus iPhone X display
Strategically, the Apple Watch Series 8 and Series 8 Pro (or whatever Apple calls the thing) sound very similar. The normal Apple Watch is gets a modest year-over-year update. The more technically impressive version delivers designs that will take more time to be sold for the usual prices and profit margins.
It really does feel like the Apple Watch is having its iPhone X moment.
A reason for Apple Watch Series 8 Pro
Apple Watch Series 8 Pro is clunkier and more gadgety. It’s not as elegant as Apple Watch Series 8 Edition, but it’s also not any longer. And while Apple did do well with its iPhone 8 and iPhone X strategy, it backfired a year later with the iPhone XR and iPhone XS naming scheme; that’s when Apple shifted to iPhone 11 and iPhone 11 Pro. This better communicates that the lower-priced model is the mainstream flagship while the more expensive version just has more stuff.
Best Edition is ceramic Edition
Apple Watch Series 8 and Series X are perfectly fine for this year, but pattern would suggest Apple Watch Series 11 and Series 11 Pro next year. It probably makes the most sense to skip right to the cohesive and clear marketing names from the start. Then again, it’s Apple, so left field names that few see coming are typical.
Regardless, I’m still thinking of this rumored Apple Watch with larger screens and an updated look as the Apple Watch Series X equivalent. What do you think Apple should name its new watches if the tiered strategy is correct? Share your thoughts in the comments!

WSJ : UPS Nears Deal to Buy Italian Healthcare-Logistics Provider Bomi Group

UPS Nears Deal to Buy Italian Healthcare-Logistics Provider Bomi Group
Acquisition would broaden Atlanta-based transportation giant’s operations in Europe and Latin America

nited Parcel Service Inc. UPS 1.15% is nearing a deal to acquire Italy’s Bomi Group, according to people familiar with the matter, as the transportation giant looks to bolster its medical-product-distribution business.

The deal, worth several hundred million dollars, could be finalized as soon as Monday assuming the talks don’t break down at the last minute, the people said.

Founded in 1985, closely held Bomi distributes a range of medical products such as imaging equipment, biological samples and pharmaceuticals to hospitals, clinics, laboratories as well as to patients’ homes. It operates in Europe and Latin America, according to the company’s website.

A deal for Bomi would expand Atlanta-based UPS’s operations in those regions and underscore the growing importance of the transport of medical supplies and equipment in the wake of the Covid-19 pandemic.

In June, an investment group led by global buyout firm EQT EQT -2.89% AB agreed to acquire Sweden-based medical-freight provider Envirotainer AB for close to $3 billion.

Bomi would represent a relatively small acquisition for UPS, which has a market value of close to $172 billion.

UPS is acquiring the business from French buyout firm ArchiMed, which together with Bomi’s founding Ruini family purchased the company in 2019 in a €100 million ($102 million) deal. Since then, the logistics company has acquired more than six rivals, cementing its position as Italy’s largest transport and warehouse operator for the healthcare industry and expanding its operations in Brazil, the U.K. and Spain.

ArchiMed manages over €5 billion in assets that are concentrated across the healthcare sector. It focuses its investments on areas such as biopharmaceutical products and services, life-science tools and medical devices and technologies.

FT : Investors sell stakes in buyout funds at a record pace

Investors sell stakes in buyout funds at a record pace
Pension funds among those that sold $33bn worth of stakes in private funds in first six months of the year

Investors are selling stakes in private equity and venture capital funds this year at the fastest pace on record, as the downturn in equities spreads to the private markets that boomed during the era of low interest rates.

Pension and sovereign wealth funds were among those that sold $33bn worth of stakes in private funds in the first six months of the year, up from $19bn in the same period in 2021, according to Jefferies, typically selling them below their face value.

The sell-off follows a decade of surging allocations to private markets, which have grown in influence since the financial crisis and cover everything from buyout firms to venture capital and real estate funds.

It casts doubts on the ability of these groups to sustain the fundraising that has transformed them into a major force in global dealmaking.

Pension funds say the move to ditch stakes has been partly triggered by the steep decline in stock markets, leaving their overall portfolios too exposed to buyout funds and other private investments whose value has not been marked down in the same way.

“We’ve never had to do this before, and we hoped we would never have to do it,” said the head of private equity at a pension fund that sold some of its holdings in buyout funds at a discount. “We’re also going to reduce the amounts we commit to new private equity funds this year and next.”


At the same time, pension funds that had committed money to buyout firms have had to actually stump up the cash far more quickly than expected over the past two years because of the frenzy of dealmaking.

That has sparked fears of a funding squeeze, according to a senior executive at an endowment that invests in private equity, as some pension funds worry they may not have enough cash on hand to meet future capital calls from the buyout funds they have committed to.

Investors “are desperately worried that they’ll get themselves into a complete cash crunch and have to start selling things, so they’re trying to get on top of that” by selling the stakes now, he said.

“Distributions [money handed back to investors from successful deals] were at an incredible pace for the last five years” and investors assumed this would continue, enabling them to meet new calls on their funds, he said. “Instead they’ve almost completely turned off.”

Recommended
LexPrivate equity
Hedge funds vs private equity: private assets avoid the public rout Premium content

In contrast to publicly traded securities that can be easily bought and sold, investments in private funds are typically locked up for about a decade and their value is determined using a process of sophisticated guesswork.

However, the holders of these illiquid stakes can quietly sell them in a secondary market, either to other pension funds and sovereign wealth funds or to specialist groups known as “secondaries” businesses. These niche investment groups are sitting on about $227bn, raised partly for such transactions, according to Jefferies.

While some investors routinely sell their older stakes in private funds, almost half of this year’s transactions involved a first-time seller, Jefferies estimates. The volume of such sales is always higher in the second half, putting this year on track for a record if the pattern is repeated.

On average, stakes in buyout, venture capital and real estate funds were disposed of for just 86 per cent of their face value in the first half, the biggest discount since the period of market turmoil at the start of the coronavirus pandemic, according to Jefferies.

Stakes in venture capital funds were sold at 71 per cent of their most recent valuation, underlining how rising interest rates and fears of a recession have curbed investors’ willingness to back often unprofitable start-ups.


Private equity groups typically estimate that an investor makes more money if they hold the stake until the end of a fund’s life. But the seller does not necessarily lose money overall because the fund may already have repaid enough from successful deals to earn a positive return.

FT : XTX Markets sues Mazars for discrimination over Russian founder

XTX Markets sues Mazars for discrimination over Russian founder
One of the world’s biggest market makers alleges accounting firm is in breach of UK law

Financial trading firm XTX Markets is suing accounting firm Mazars for racial discrimination over its refusal to work for the company because its owner is a Russian citizen.

The London-based trading group is majority owned by billionaire Alexander Gerko, a dual Russian and British citizen, who has lived and worked in the UK since 2006 and is not the subject of any international sanctions, according to a copy of the legal claim seen by the Financial Times

XTX is seeking a declaration that the accounting firm breached the UK Equalities Act by discriminating on grounds of race when it declined to work for the company because its owner has Russian citizenship. It has not asked the court to award damages against Mazars or to force the firm to carry out work for it.

A legal victory for XTX, which has grown into one has one of the world’s leading market-makers, could force accountants, lawyers and public relations firms to review their approach after they rushed to jettison clients with connections to Russia following the country’s invasion of Ukraine.

Many Russians, including those who were not the subject of sanctions, struggled to find advisers in the UK and other jurisdictions as professional services groups faced pressure from employees and the public to refuse to work for Russian clients or companies with any perceived links to the country.

XTX, which competes against the likes of Citadel Securities and Virtu Financial, uses algorithms to trade nearly $300bn a day in assets such as equities, fixed income and futures.

It was founded by Gerko, a Russia-born mathematician who has a stake of at least 75 per cent and serves as joint chief executive. Gerko, who has been publicly critical of the invasion of Ukraine, was listed as the UK’s 89th- richest person by the Sunday Times this year, with estimated wealth of £1.1bn.

XTX said it had committed £40.6mn to charities providing humanitarian relief to Ukraine. In March Gerko wrote on Twitter about Russia’s foreign minister Sergei Lavrov: “Nuremberg is waiting for you.” He had also called for the UK to expand its sanctions list.

Gerko has been a British citizen since 2016, is a permanent resident of the UK and has “no links with, or wealth tied to, Russia”, according to the claim filed in the Central London County Court last month. Neither Gerko nor XTX are included in any sanctions regime, nor are they connected to anybody targeted by economic sanctions, the claim adds.

The case revolves around Mazars’ refusal to provide payroll services to XTX Markets Technologies, part of the XTX Markets group, which reported net profits of more than £660mn in 2021 and employs about 180 people globally, mostly in London.

XTX, which also has offices in New York, Singapore, Paris and Mumbai, alleges that Mazars stood by its decision even after being told that Gerko was not the subject of sanctions and that he had “lived in the UK for over 15 years; his source of wealth comes from the UK; and he has no assets in Russia”. 

According to the claim, Mazars partner Erick Gillier wrote in an email to XTX’s general counsel Sunil Samani in May: “I’m perfectly aware of the UK, EU and US sanctions programs, but Mazars as a group, took the decision not to accept any new clients with Russian ownership. This is a global decision and as partners we all need to follow these guidelines.”

XTX alleges that this position was contrary to Mazars’ public policy that it would not serve any companies or individuals who were the subject of sanctions. It claims that Samani told Gillier that Mazars’ stance was discriminatory and asked to speak with the person responsible for its policy but never received a response.

Mazars declined to comment. It has until later this month to respond to the claim.

>>> Weekend Papers Summary

Weekend Papers Summary

NEW YORK TIMES
-Jury in Alex Jones Trial Awards $45M to Sandy Hook parents. The conspiracy theorist was ordered to pay the punitive damages for spreading the lie that the parents helped stage the 2012 school shooting. The decision came a day after the jury awarded the parents more than $4 M in compensatory damages.
-Indiana Governor signs near-total abortion ban. The law passed despite dividing Republicans. Some of them said the measure was too restrictive; others objected to limited exceptions for rape and incest.
-Democrats’ long-sought plan for lowering drug costs is at hand. Empowering Medicare to negotiate prices with drug makers has been a Democratic goal for 30 years, one the pharmaceutical industry has fought ferociously.
-Progressives embrace climate and tax deal, despite disappointments. Liberal Democrats who once sought a far more ambitious plan seem ready to support one that could be their party’s last chance to enact some of its agenda.
-With Senator Kyrsten Sinema’s demands on the climate and tax bill, the “carried interest loophole” survived again.
-Good News on jobs may mean bad news later as hiring spree defies Fed. Employers hired rapidly and paid more in July, suggesting the Federal Reserve may have to remain aggressive in its effort to cool the economy.
-The US added 528,000 jobs in July, despite widespread expectations of a slowdown as the Fed raised interest rates.
-China stages show of force near Taiwan for a third day. The military drills, which appear to be simulating an attack on the main island, have edged closer than ever before to territory Taiwan considers its own.
-Blasts are reported at a nuclear plant seized by Russia. Fighting has picked up in recent weeks near the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power complex, which Russia is using as a fortress. Catch up on news about the war.
-The US and Russia are ready to negotiate Brittney Griner’s release. The countries’ top envoys made separate announcements after a meeting where they sat close together — without talking.
-Israel has hit Gaza, prompting rocket barrage and ending relative calm. In by far the biggest escalation of violence in Gaza since the end of a war in May 2021, Israeli airstrikes killed a militant leader and at least nine others, according to Palestinian officials.

THE FINANCIAL TIMES
-The Federal Reserve will face more urgency in its fight to cool down the US economy with steep interest rate increases after the latest batch of labor market data showed an unexpected acceleration in jobs gains and strong wage growth.
-US government bonds tumbled and stocks slipped after employment data showed red-hot labor conditions, leading traders to boost their expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate increases.
-As they face the latest upheaval, the Meta CEO and his top executives are no longer sitting cheek by jowl in their San Francisco Bay office. The pandemic forced a new way of working, and this week came news that two top Meta figures — Adam Mosseri of Instagram and global policy chief Nick Clegg — are moving to London for all or part of the time. This follows similar moves by other top executives this year: one is already in the UK, while others have departed for Israel, Spain and New York.
-China has suspended regular communication channels with the US military, as well as climate talks between the world’s two largest economies, in retaliation for US House Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s visit to Taiwan this week. The Chinese foreign ministry declaration came after the country’s military sent planes and warships to probe Taiwan’s defenses for a second day.
-Recep Tayyip Erdogan and Vladimir Putin have pledged to deepen economic ties between their countries as Moscow seeks to soften the blow of western sanctions imposed over its invasion of Ukraine. After a four-hour meeting at Putin’s residence in Sochi on Friday, the Russian and Turkish presidents released a joint statement pledging to raise their bilateral trade volumes and deepen their economic and energy ties.
-The Pelosi visit to Taipei, the first in 25 years by a Speaker of the House, was designed to demonstrate support for the country in the face of what many in the US believe to be a growing threat of a Chinese invasion. But some in Washington now fear that the visit could have the opposite effect — giving Beijing the chance to demonstrate its capacity for military coercion and leaving Taiwan even more exposed to the expanding rivalry between the two superpowers.
-The battle between Asia and Europe to lock in gas supplies is stepping up a gear, heightening the risks of a further surge in prices that would add fresh fuel to the cost of living crisis. Japan and South Korea, the world’s second- and third-biggest importers of liquefied natural gas, are looking to secure supplies for the winter months and beyond, out of fear of being priced out later in the year as Europe’s demand increases, according to traders.
-In the past few years, conversations about the future of crypto usually alight on a semi-mythical event at an undetermined date known as the “Merge”, and involves Ethereum, one of the industry’s premier blockchain networks. It matters because it confronts one of the sharpest criticisms of crypto: that the industry guzzles vast amounts of energy when the planet desperately needs to reduce its consumption.

NY POST
-Republican border-state governors are sending busloads of illegal entrants — released in their states by the Department of Homeland Security — to DC and New York City, prompting recriminations and pleas for federal cash from the Democratic mayors of those erstwhile immigrant-friendly cities. Those mayors, seemingly unwittingly, are making the governors’ point — that the administration has created a disaster at the US-Mexico line, requiring an immediate policy shift to protect lives and state and local finances.
-Jim Cramer was the target of ire on social media on Friday after crypto trader Coinbase’s stock shot up just a week after the CNBC finance guru warned of an SEC probe into the company. On July 26, Cramer tweeted: “The Coinbase roll over on a possible SEC investigation is very bad news given that we don’t even know what it’s about. But they were always hoping to avoid SEC scrutiny.”
Twitter users then posted screenshots showing Coinbase’s stock price soar by more than 16% on Thursday to above $106/share.

>>> Barron’s Weekend Summary

Barron’s Weekend Summary: General Electric, once arguably the greatest of American companies, will cease to exist, at least as the industrial titan it once was.

Cover Story:
General Electric, once arguably the greatest of American companies, will cease to exist, at least as the industrial titan it once was. After more than 20 years of decline, the company is entering the final stages of a process that has seen the General Electric of old slowly dismantled—the corporate powerhouse founded by Thomas Edison doesn’t even make lightbulbs anymore—until just three parts remain. Soon, those units—GE’s aviation, energy, and healthcare businesses—will be separated into individual companies, starting with GE Healthcare, which could be spun off in early 2023. It’s a sad end for a giant humbled by missteps.

Interview:
-This week, Barron’s interviews Eli Salzmann loves nothing better than finding a company that’s a “dog of a stock with no momentum” but on the verge of better days. At its core, that is what value investing is all about. Over the course of his 36-year career, Salzmann has proved he has a knack for buying undervalued stocks shunned by the market and delivering stellar returns along the way.
Salzmann is a managing director at Neuberger Berman and senior portfolio manager of the $10B Neuberger Berman Large Cap Value fund alongside fellow portfolio manager David Levine.

Tech Trader:
As a couple of Apple news sites picked up last week, the company recently posted a job listing for a “Senior Product Manager, Demand Side Platform.” Ad tech is complex, so here’s a translation: A “demand side platform” lets ad buyers buy inventory on multiple ad exchanges from a single interface, using automated bidding, which is also known as programmatic. The platform takes a little slice of each dollar deployed. There are a bunch of these DSPs. Meta Platforms has Meta Ads Manager; Alphabet has Google Ad Manager; Amazon.com offers Amazon DSP.

The Trader:
-Inflation is sticky, but economic growth is sticky, too. And that puts the Federal Reserve—and investors—in a bind. Look no further than Friday’s payrolls report release. The U.S. added 528,000 jobs in July, more than doubling estimates for 250,000, while the unemployment rate dipped to 3.5% from 3.6%. If you’re worried about a recession, there’s no sign of one here.
-When Walmart sneezes, the retail sector catches a cold. That was particularly true of the dollar stores after Walmart lowered its full-year guidance in late July, but investors should think twice before turning their noses up at the stocks. Retailers have been under particular pressure this year, as inflation-strapped consumers are being forced to make harder choices. That reality was on display during first-quarter earnings season in May, when both Walmart and Target disappointed; and again in June, when Target lowered its guidance for the second time in a month.

Features:
-Democrats proposed lifting the corporate tax rate to help fund their climate and healthcare package, and if the tax remains part of the deal companies—specifically larger ones—could take a hit. The original proposal included a plan to raise revenue through a 15% minimum corporate tax rate. That could be modified, though higher taxes on companies is likely to remain a priority. If the tax goes through, larger companies would bear the burden. The tax would apply to those that have averaged $1B of adjusted pretax profit in the past three years. Strategists at UBS screened for companies that both fit that bill and have recently been paying less than 15% in cash taxes, and found 102. Of those, here are few that are particularly vulnerable. Utility American Water Works Company, Ameren, Advanced Micro Devices, Nvidia, Broadcom, Apollo Global Management are some of them.
-Blackstone Group is the world’s largest manager of alternative assets such as private equity and real estate. It is also a leader in one of the industry’s biggest initiatives—attracting retail investors. By many measures, the company’s flagship retail product, Blackstone Real Estate Income Trust, is a success. Known as Breit, it has mushroomed in value to $116B since its inception in 2017 and become one of the largest buyers of real estate in the country.

European Trader:
“Airbus is on a very strong growth trajectory regardless of a recession and postpandemic normalization,” says Colin Scarola, an analyst at financial research company CFRA. He sees the stock rising to EUR140 ($143) over the next year, up 35% from its recent level of €104. Plus, the stock yields a 1.4% dividend currently. U.S.-based investors could consider buying the American depositary receipts. The company on July 27 reported better-than-expected first-half profits. Despite the improving profitability, the stock has followed the broader market down. The shares have lost about 8% this year, roughly in line with the performance of the Paris CAC 40 index, which tracks leading French-listed companies.

Emerging Markets:
China’s real estate travails have gripped global attention. Housing in other emerging markets now looks wobbly as consumers, loaded with debt from a postpandemic price boom, face interest-rate hikes and fatter monthly payments. South Korea is a prime candidate. Apartment sales there dropped by half in the first six months of 2022, after prices climbed 20% in two years. The central bank has tightened from 0.5% to 2.25%, and warned of more to come.
-House Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s visit to Taiwan this week has ratcheted up US-China tensions to a new level. The question facing investors now is what shape the escalation takes—and the impact on the global economy. The concern is that the status of Taiwan, the self-ruled island that China claims as its own, draws the US and China into a military conflict that forces the rest of the world to choose sides. Such a conflict would also disrupt the steady balance that has allowed Taiwan to emerge as the epicenter of advanced semiconductor production that helps keep the digital economy humming and is crucial for tomorrow’s superpowers.

Commodities:
-There was no specific commodities column this week. The focus was on the Jobs Report: Jobless claims data released early Thursday showed that the number of Americans filing for first-time unemployment benefits increased again in the last week of July. The data was in line with economists’ expectations. Overseas, the Bank of England decided to raise its key interest rate by half a percentage point from 1.25% to 1.75% in an attempt to fight inflation. It was Britain’s biggest hike in 27 years, and the BoE also warned of a long, looming recession. “Don’t expect Fed officials to shift their hawkish tone in coming weeks, regardless of incoming economic data,” wrote Nicholas Colas, co-founder of DataTrek Research on Thursday.

Streetwise:
-The US is somehow gaining wireless accounts faster than people, says Jack Hough. During the second quarter, there were 2.22M “postpaid net adds,” a smidgen shy of the record set a year ago. Postpaid accounts come with regular monthly bills and make up three-quarters of the market. Net adds are new subscriptions minus canceled ones. The growth works out to 3.9% year over year. More than two-thirds of it was captured directly by telecoms, and the rest came from so-called mobile virtual network operators, including cable companies that pay telecoms for the right to sell piggyback service on their networks.