FT : Make way for more wolves of Wall Street

The people who once would have been gangsters can now be found in the darker corners of finance

I suspect that many readers of the Financial Times will find something objectionable in Martin Scorsese’s latest film, The Wolf of Wall Street. Running at three hours, it explores the pleasures of snorting cocaine, swallowing sedatives, lying, stealing, cursing, cheating on your wife, hiding money in Switzerland, taking part in orgies and dwarf tossing.
But for anyone interested in business – and the way it is practised in New York – the movie is food for thought. Mr Scorsese is a leading chronicler of the American underworld, and he has documented a disturbing chapter in its evolution. The auteur himself has noticed that the kinds of people who used to do terrible things in his old mob films have found profitable homes in the darker corners of finance.


The Wolf of Wall Street is based on the memoirs of a New Yorker called Jordan Belfort. Before he was sent to a federal prison for 22 months in the last decade, he made millions of dollars in the 1980s and 1990s running a brokerage called Stratton Oakmont on Long Island (where I grew up). It specialised in a racket known as “pump and dump” – using high-pressure sales tactics to con people into buying dodgy stocks in smaller companies as a way to generate commissions.
By his own admission, Belfort is a bad person. After his release, he boasted to CNBC in 2007 that he had “played the game of crime very carefully for many, many years, and covered my tracks with zest and zeal”. As portrayed in the film by Leonardo DiCaprio, he is an archetypical Scorsese “wise guy”, familiar to anyone who has seen the director’s later Mafia movies, such as Goodfellas and Casino. He chases after the easy money, and flaunts it when he gets it. He cracks jokes with the boys – in this case, mostly former small-time pot dealers – and he cannot resist the blondes.
The big difference between Belfort and earlier Scorsese hoodlums is in their choice of weaponry. Belfort has no need to pick up a gun to make money. He never has to wield an ice pick or use his fists to take care of a business problem (although he punches his wife in the stomach when the marital going gets tough). Belfort only has to pick up a phone to become another Robert De Niro, Joe Pesci or Ray Liotta.
It makes for a very different initiation. In the old Mafia movies, a gangster made his bones – that is to say, qualified for membership – by killing someone. In this film, Belfort lets his fingers do the walking. At his first brokerage, the neophyte nogoodnik’s initial orders involve making 500 calls a day.
Yet Belfort soon learns he can get away with murder, as it were, with the right rap. At Stratton Oakmont, he inspires his troops by speaking of their telephones in martial terms. He describes the devices as M16s wielded by killers “who will not take no for an answer” when they are pushing a public offering. He tells them that, to get rich, they have to become “telephone f***ing terrorists”.
Guns in the movie are almost a symbol of low status. They are wielded by people who do not make the really big money. The first time a firearm is fired it is being used for target practice by Belfort’s pursuer, a strait-laced FBI agent who notes later, almost sheepishly: “You get a free handgun when you join the bureau.”
The agent ultimately brings down Belfort, but Mr Scorsese depicts the winner of the battle as a somewhat sad sack. Towards the end of the film, the agent is seen reading about the case in the Long Island newspaper Newsday as he rides the subway alone, surrounded by beaten-down commuters.
Belfort, on the other hand, emerges from prison with a career as a motivational speaker, teaching the poor saps in lesser burgs (the name of which was changed in the film to Auckland, New Zealand) how to sell stuff. The viewer is left with the sense that his story is not over.
Nor, I would argue, have we seen the last of the Belforts in our financial midst. Now that the wise guys can make serious money by picking up phones (or plugging in laptops, for that matter) rather than wielding guns, crime has become easier. What the economists call the barriers to entry have come down.
The gangsters in Mr Scorsese’s older oeuvre did dirty work; they saw the blood of their victims and heard their cries of pain. Belfort and his ilk found cleaner hustles. They were tough guys at a distance, and we will see more of them in the years to come. There are plenty of other people on Long Island who want to party.

(BFW) Dutch Court Orders Probe Into KLM Dividend Policy

--> -ve Air France, LHA +6.65% this morning, big distorcion in the sector

+------------------------------------------------------------------------------+

Dutch Court Orders Probe Into KLM Dividend Policy 2014-01-10 08:31:58.972 GMT

By Martijn van der Starre Jan. 10 (Bloomberg) -- Air France-KLM Dutch unit’s dividend policy in 2004-2008, 2010/’11 to be probed, Amsterdam appeals court’s Enterprise Chamber says in statement on website. * Ruling follows request by KLM minority shareholders * Court to appoint investigator * KLM ordered to pay probe costs of max. EU75,000 * Statement (Dutch): http://tinyurl.com/o4sfv59

Link to Company News:{AF FP <Equity> CN <GO>}

For Related News and Information: First Word scrolling panel: {FIRST<GO>} First Word newswire: {NH BFW<GO>}

To contact the reporter on this story: Martijn van der Starre in Amsterdam at +31-20-589-8507 or vanderstarre@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Maud van Gaal at +31-20-589-8530 or mvangaal@bloomberg.net

>>> Poste Italiane's 30-40% stake to be privatised

Poste Italiane's 30-40% stake to be privatised 

The Italian government intends to privatise a 30-40% stake in the Italian post office Poste Italiane, Italian language daily Milano Finanza reported.

The unsourced report claimed the sale was discussed at a government meeting held yesterday, 9 January.

The item said Poste Italiane had net assets of EUR 5.7bn and profits of EUR 362m, at the end of June 2013.

Source Milano Finanza daily edition

>>> CS Pre-Market Indications

ABI -0.5% Negative read from weakness in Brazil (-2.5% o/night)
Actelion +1% Tracleer Qui Tam case dismissed by US DOJ
APR +2-3% Announce contract win Libya and upgraded away
Atos +0.5% Positive read from Infosys raising sales guidance (+3%)
Berkeley +1-2% Wins approval to build 1800 homes in Tower Hamlets
Cap Gem +0.5% Positive read from Infosys raising sales guidance (+3%)
GFS -1% Negative story in UK press regarding asylum seeker contract
Implenia +1-2% Wins CHF 770m major order from Austrian Federal Railways
Lufthansa +1% CS pushing post encouraging 2014 guidance
Luxuries +1% Positive read from Swatch no's.
Metro +3-5% Spec co may be broken up and CEO replaced
Miners +0.5% China -0.7%, Copper +0.6%
Orange +1% Bid spec in press (AT&T @ €15/sh) Note CS d/graded yday
Rexam unch Montagu Pri Eq in talks to buy unit for $823m (px inline)
Richemont +1-2% Positive read from Swatch no's
Serco -1-2% Negative story in UK press regarding asylum seeker contract
Statoil +1% Scraps Norwegian sea pipeline due to costs (upgrade away)
Swatch +2-3% Sls no inline but strong start to year & outlook +ve
Tullow +1% Bid spec in FT (Statoil mentd). Strong yday due to upgrades
Wartsila +1% Finnish press spec RR/ LN may make another for marine unit

(BofA-ML) Flow Show : The Slow EM Bleed Continues

11 straight weeks of EM equity redemptions = longest outflow streak in 11 years!
- But note that EM outflows while persistent have not been deep, which explains why our EM Flow Trading Rule remains firmly in neutral territory, too soon for a contrarian “buy” signal.
- Bond funds halt 5-week outflow streak with biggest inflows in 35 weeks (Chart 2);
coincides with modest outflows from equity & commodity funds

*Asset Class Flows
- Bonds: Largest weekly inflows since May’13 (Table 1)
- Equities: small $0.4bn outflows
- Commodities: 9 straight weeks of redemptions

*Equity Flows
- EM: 11 straight weeks of outflows ($1.3bn – tied with Aug/Oct’11 as the longest
- outflow streak in 11 years) (Table 3)
- Europe: 28 straight weeks of inflows
- Japan: largest weekly inflows since May’13 ($1.7bn)
- US: $2.2bn outflows

*Fixed Income Flows
- Largest inflows to IG bond funds since May’13 ($3.0bn)
- 3 straight weeks of inflows to HY bond funds ($1.0bn)
- Largest inflows to Govie/Tsy in 18 weeks ($0.9bn)
- 81 straight weeks of inflows to floating-rate debt (Table 2)
- 34 straight weeks of outflows from MBS
- 15 straight weeks of outflows from Munis
- 15 straight weeks of outflows from EM debt; interesting that LDM actually ekes
out tiny inflows

>>> Wartsila may get another offer from Rolls-Royce

Wartsila may get another offer from Rolls-Royce

Wartsila, the Finnish power engine company, could get another offer from Rolls-Royce, according to Helsingin Sanomat. The Finnish language paper cited Pekka Spolander, an analyst from Pohjola Bank, who said that despite the fact that Wartsila had rejected the bid by the British company, Rolls-Royce could make a higher bid.

He added that there may well be a price the seller is keen to accept. He said that Wartsila represents a chance to grow for Rolls-Royce, according to the report. It was reported yesterday that Rolls-Royce had made an offer to buy Wartsila’s ship power unit.

Meanwhile, the Finnish newspaper Kauppalehti cited an analyst named Jari Harjunpaa from Pareto who said that it is likely Rolls-Royce had made an offer for the whole company, not just the marine unit because the company’s other businesses are strongly tied together.
 
Source Helsingin Sanomat, Kauppalehti

>>> Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades

>>> Up
*APR ENERGY RAISED TO NEUTRAL VS SELL AT UBS
*ASTRAZENECA RATED NEW BUY AT UBS
*ATLAS COPCO RAISED TO BUY VS NEUTRAL AT BOFAML
*CAPITA RAISED TO BUY VS NEUTRAL AT UBS
*CLARIANT RAISED TO OVERWEIGHT FROM NEUTRAL AT JPMORGAN
*FIRST QUANTUM RAISED TO OVERWEIGHT VS EQUALWEIGHT AT BARCLAYS
*GLENCORE XSTRATA RAISED TO OVERWEIGHT VS EQUALWEIGHT: BARCLAYS
*HOCHSCHILD MINING UPPED TO EQUALWEIGHT VS UNDERWEIGHT: BARCLAYS
*HOMESERVE RAISED TO BUY VS NEUTRAL AT UBS
*LIONTRUST RAISED TO NEUTRAL FROM UNDERWEIGHT AT JPMORGAN
*L'OREAL RAISED TO NEUTRAL VS UNDERPERFORM AT BOFAML
*MLP RAISED TO OVERWEIGHT FROM UNDERWEIGHT AT JPMORGAN
*RED ELECTRICA RAISED TO EQUALWEIGHT AT MORGAN STANLEY
*ROCHE RATED NEW BUY AT UBS, PT CHF280 (EARLIER)
*STATOIL RAISED TO OVERWEIGHT FROM NEUTRAL AT JPMORGAN

>>> Down
*ALSTOM CUT TO NEUTRAL VS BUY AT BOFAML
*BMW CUT TO NEUTRAL VS BUY AT BOFAML ON VALUATION
*BRENNTAG CUT TO NEUTRAL VS BUY AT UBS
*CABLE & WIRELESS COMMUNICATIONS CUT TO NEUTRAL VS BUY AT UBS
*CARLSBERG CUT TO SELL VS NEUTRAL AT GOLDMAN
*DEUTZ RAISED TO BUY FROM HOLD AT BERENBERG
*DNO CUT TO UNDERPERFORM FROM NEUTRAL AT MACQUARIE
*EASYJET CUT TO HOLD VS BUY AT LIBERUM
*EMLAK KONUT CUT TO NEUTRAL FROM OVERWEIGHT AT JPMORGAN
*FRESNILLO CUT TO EQUALWEIGHT VS OVERWEIGHT AT BARCLAYS
*GULF KEYSTONE CUT TO UNDERPERFORM FROM NEUTRAL AT MACQUARIE
*KINNEVIK CUT TO NEUTRAL FROM BUY AT CITI
*MAN GROUP CUT TO UNDERWEIGHT FROM NEUTRAL AT JPMORGAN
*PIRELLI CUT TO UNDERPERFORM AT BOFAML
*POLYUS GOLD CUT TO UNDERWEIGHT VS EQUALWEIGHT AT BARCLAYS
*PORSCHE CUT TO NEUTRAL AT BOFAML ON VALUATION
*RYANAIR CUT TO HOLD VS BUY AT LIBERUM
*SERCO CUT TO NEUTRAL VS BUY AT UBS
*SES, EUTELSAT CUT TO NEUTRAL FORM OVERWEIGHT AT JPMORGAN
*SIEMENS CUT TO HOLD FROM BUY AT BERENBERG
*SIEMENS CUT TO NETURAL VS BUY AT BOFAML
*SPECTRIS CUT TO UNDERPERFORM VS NEUTRAL AT BOFAML
*SWEDISH MATCH CUT TO NEUTRAL VS BUY AT BOFAML
*VEDANTA CUT TO UNDERWEIGHT VS EQUALWEIGHT AT BARCLAYS

>>> PT Changes


>>> Initiation
*ASTRAZENECA RATED NEW BUY AT UBS, ADDED TO UBS MOST PREFERRED LIST
*BRUNELLO CUCINELLI RATED NEW SELL AT SOCGEN; PT EU18
*CTC MEDIA REINITIATED NEUTRAL AT UBS, PT $14
*GLAXOSMITHKLINE RATED NEW NEUTRAL AT UBS, PT 1,650P (EARLIER)
*GAMESA RATED NEW SELL AT SOCGEN, PT EU7.9
*GLENCORE XSTRATA SOUTH AFRICA RATED NEW OVERWEIGHT AT BARCLAYS
*MORGAN ADVANCED MATERIALS RATED NEW BUY AT BERENBERG
*NOVARTIS RATED NEW BUY AT UBS, PT CHF80, ADDED TO UBS MOST PREFERRED LIST, ADDED TO UBS EUROPEAN KEY CALL LIST
*ROCHE RATED NEW BUY AT UBS, PT CHF280 (EARLIER) ADDED TO UBS MOST PREFERRED LIST
*SANOFI RATED NEW NEUTRAL AT UBS, PT EU75 (EARLIER), ADDED TO UBS LEAST PREFERRED LIST

>>> Calls
>> Stocks
*ARM HOLDINGS REMOVED FROM CONVICTION BUY LIST AT GOLDMAN
*BUREAU VERITAS, INTERTEK ADDED TO UBS LEAST PREFERRED LIST
*DNO CUT TO UNDERPERFORM FROM NEUTRAL AT MACQUARIE
*HOMESERVE, EXPERIAN ADDED TO UBS MOST PREFERRED LIST
*IBERDROLA REMOVED FROM UBS LEAST PREFERRED LIST
*NOVARTIS, ROCHE, ASTRAZENECA ADDED TO UBS MOST PREFERRED LIST
*SANOFI ADDED TO UBS LEAST PREFERRED LIST
*SSE REMOVED FROM UBS MOST PREFERRED LIST
*TERNA ADDED TO UBS MOST PREFERRED LIST
>>

>>> What to look at today

US Market closed mixed with Dow & Nasdaq Lower, S&P Flat. Big Tech names were under pressure AAPL -1.28%, CSCO -0.91% GOOG -0.96%...Volume were on the light side @ 683mil shares...VIX @ 12.89 +0.15%...SKEW @ 130.87 +1.09%...Brazil -2.48% ...Alcoa misses by $0.02, beats on revs -3.8% in After Hours...- ANF: Guides FY13 higher to $1.55-1.65 v $1.46e ($1.40-1.50 prior); +13.9% Afterhours Non Farm Payroll expected today in the US...China's trade surplus for December came in at $25.6B much less than the $32.2B surplus expected. Growth in exports slowed down from the prior month at 4.3% missing expectations with imports surging to 8.3% ahead of the 5.0% expected, pointing to a slowing momentum in the world's second largest economy...Nikkei +0.20% Shanghai -0.70%

Eur$ 1.3615 S*P Fut +0.19% European Fut +0.65%

Keep an eye on
- ACA FP : Credit Agricole Plans to Sell 50% Stake in Crelan, De Tijd Says
- ATLN VX : Actelion Says Tracleer Qui Tam Case Dismissed by U.S. DOJ
- BMW GY : Rolls-Royce Considering Production of a 4x4: Sky News Link
- Clariant to Benefit From U.S. Shale Gas; JPMorgan Raises Rating
- F IM : Fiat CEO: Sees mandatory convertible bond as one way to increase capital base follow Chrysler deal
- IBE SM : Iberdrola to Offer 1 Share for Each 36 Rights in Dividend
- MATAS DC : CVC Capital to Sell Up to 7.92m Shares of Matas
- MEO GY : Metro May Be Broken Up, CEO Replaced in Dispute, Platow Reports {NSN MZ5C1X6KLVRX <go>}
- NXT FP : Euronext Names Attia to New Post of Euronext Paris CEO
- ORA FP : Orange Targets 2-3 Million 4G Clients at End 2014: La Tribune
- PUB FP : Publicis/Omnicom Merger to Bring Savings, EPS Boost: Goldman
- 1913 HK : Prada Declines for Second Day, Hits 6-Mo. Low
- ROG VX : Roche Warns of Tamiflu Shortage for Children, Reuters Reports
- SCYR SM : Sacyr May Continue Panama Work Without Impregilo, Cinco Says
- TLW LN : Tullow could be a target for Statoil {NSN MZ5EV83HBS3K <go>}
- TPK LN : Travis Perkins to Replace Invensys in S&P Europe 350
- TT/ LN : TUI Travel CEO Pay Up 50% to $16.7 Million on Performance Bonus
- UHR VX : Swatch 2013 Gross Rev. CHF8.82b, Est. CHF8.86b; Has Strong Start
- VOLVB SS : Volvo May Come Under Shareholder Pressure to Sell IT Unit: DI