The MSCI All Country World Index rose 0.2% to an all-time high, tracking Wall Street’s surge to fresh peaks, as money markets nearly priced in a full 25 basis point Fed reduction next month. A gauge of Asian shares gained 1.1% as the Nikkei-225 hit a record while Taiwan was heading to a peak. Shanghai stocks jumped to their highest level since December 2021. The Cboe Volatility Index, referred to as Wall Street’s fear gauge, declined to the lowest level since December. Volatility in the Treasuries market also dropped, with the ICE BofA MOVE Index, a measure of expected fluctuations in yields, hitting its lowest level since January 2022. In Japan, the sale of a five-year government bond auction saw a demand ratio that was the lowest since 2020. The yen weakened 0.1%. Treasuries and a gauge of the dollar were steady. While underlying US inflation accelerated to its fastest pace since the start of the year, a modest rise in goods prices eased concerns that trade-related costs could spill over into broader price pressures. With the CPI report now behind them, investors will turn their attention to Friday’s US retail sales data for signs that consumers are as upbeat as corporate earnings commentary suggested. The Fed has kept rates unchanged this year in hopes of gaining clarity on whether tariffs will lead to sustained inflation. At the same time, the labor market — the other half of their dual policy mandate — is showing signs of losing momentum. Tuesday’s inflation data suggested July’s core PCE inflation, due Aug. 29, may print “even hotter,” Bloomberg Intelligence economists including Anna Wong and Chris G. Collins wrote in a note. That measure includes easier financial conditions in its calculations. A gauge of the dollar steadied during Asian hours after dropping 0.4% in the prior session. The currency is “treading water” ahead of key events later this week, including US retail sales data and developments on the Russia-Ukraine front, said David Forrester, a senior currency strategist at Credit Agricole CIB in Singapore. Separately, in a social media post, President Donald Trump resumed his criticism of Jerome Powell over the central bank’s decision to hold rates steady. Trump also said he is weighing a lawsuit against the Fed chief over the renovation of the central bank’s headquarters - a project whose cost overruns have drawn scrutiny. US After Hours WBTN +38.8%, INTA +25.5%, ECG +18.8% higher on earnings; CAVA -21.2%, LAZR -19.3%, CRWV -10.5% lower on earnings; CRCL -5.5% on stock offering
Nikkei +1.39% Hang Seng +1.94% CSI +0.82% Shanghai +0.46% Shenzen +1.13%
Eur$ 1.1684 CNH 7.1827 CNY 7.1798 JPY 147.94 GBP 1.3505 CHF 0.8065 RUB 79.4999 TRY 40.7546 WTI$ 63.21 +0.08% Gold 3,352 +0.10% BTC 119,327 -0.72% ETH 4,672 +1%
S&P +0.0% Nasdaq +0.07% EuroStoxx +0.37% FTSE +0.23% Dax +0.46% SMI +0.16%
Macro :
- Golden Dome to Have Four-Layer Defense System, Reuters Reports
- AIRLINES INDEX RISES 9.2% TO CLOSE AT HIGHEST IN OVER A MONTH
- Firm Tied to Trump Jr. Touts Sales Product for Pharma
- White House Considers Wider Scope for 15% China Chip Sales Cut
- Billions Wiped Out as Software Sinks on AI Disruption Fear
- Uzbek Gold Miner Said to Eye $20 Billion Value in Dual Listing
- Fertilizer Stocks Fall on World Crop Supply Report
- Morgan Stanley Sees Bad Swiss News Priced in, Stays Short Franc
Keep an eye on :
Keep an eye on :
- ALKB DC : ALK-Abello Rises After Boosting Full-Year Revenue Forecast
- AAL US : American Air Backs Justice Department Move to End Delta Venture
- ASMDEE SS : Asmodee Holder Lars Wingefors, Stephane Carville Offers Shares
- AGR LN : PHP Got Valid Acceptances of About 62.93% of Assura to Offer
- AVTX NA : Avantium Reaches Deal With Lenders, Delays HY Results
- BAMI IM : BPM Made Preliminary Examination of Banca Progetto Sale: MF
- BNR GY : Brenntag 2Q Essentials Operating Gross Profit Misses Estimates
- CTM SS : Catena Media 2Q Adj. Ebitda Cont Ops EU1.39M Vs. EU0.68M Y/y
- CAVA US : Cava Sinks After Cutting Year Restaurant Comp Sales Forecast
- CBRS US : Fidelity Said In Talks to Lead Cerebras $1 Billion Funding Round
- DTG GY : FTC Says Companies End Pact Aimed at Zero-Emission Trucks
- DEMANT DC : Demant 1H Ebit Misses Estimates, Demant Results Miss, Guidance is Trimmed Again: Street Wrap
- EA US : EA Gains on Report that Battlefield 6 Sold 605k Copies on Steam
- EOAN GY : E.On 1H Adjusted Ebit EU3.82B Vs. EU3.35B Y/y
- EOAN GY : Germany Risks Falling Behind on Energy Transition, EON Warns
- 3333 HK : Evergrande Liquidators Hire UBS, Citic to Sell $1.1 Billion Unit
- EVO SS : Evolution Games Ran in Banned Markets, Execs Say in Secret Tapes
- EVO SS : Evolution Games Ran in Banned Markets, Execs Say in Secret Tapes
- EVT GY : Evotec 1H Revenue EU371.2M Vs. EU390.8M Y/y
- FRA GY : Fraport July Frankfurt Airport Passengers 6.1M Vs. 5.8M M/M
- FCX US : Freeport Indonesia’s PT Smelting Start-up Delayed by Repairs
- HBI US : Gildan Said Near Deal for Underwear Maker Hanesbrands
- GYC GY : Grand City Properties 1H Net Rental Income EU213M Vs. EU212M Y/y
- HGV US : Apollo Said to Offer HGV Shares at Up to $43.65 Each
- JEN GY : Jenoptik Sees FY Ebitda Margin at Lower End of Guidance Range
- MBTN SW : Meyer Burger Gets Further Extension to Publish Annual Report
- MSFT US : Microsoft is trying to poach Meta AI talent and offering multimillion-dollar pay packages, internal documents show
- NBG6 GY : Activist 7Square Pushes Nuernberger to Entertain Rival Offers
- NVDA US : White House Considers Wider Scope for 15% China Chip Sales Cut
- NOD NO : Nordic Semiconductor 2Q Revenue Beats Estimates
- NOVOB DC : Biogen Sees Potential in Combining Alzheimer’s and Obesity Drugs
- OKLO US : Oklo Rises After US Selection for Expedited Nuclear Approval
- PAT GY : Patrizia Assets Under Management EU55.9B Vs. EU56B Y/y
- PONY US : Pony AI Nears Full-Year Robotaxi Target Despite Scaling Hurdles
- R3NK GY : RENK Group 2Q Adjusted Ebit Meets Estimates
- RHM GY : Czech Defense Ministry Approves Plan to Buy 44 Leopard Tanks
- SPNS US : Advent to Buy Insurance Software Firm Sapiens for $2.5 Billion
- SIX2 GY : Sixt Maintains FY Pretax Profit Margin Forecast
- STAN LN : Standard Chartered aims to convert depositors into investors with digital platform
- STMN SW : Straumann 1H Revenue Meets Estimates
- SAX GY : Stroeer 2Q Adjusted Ebitda Misses Estimates
- TSLA US : Tesla Reshuffles Engineers After Abruptly Ending Dojo AI Project
- TUI1 GY : TUI Gains as Hotels & Cruises Division Drives Ebit View Upgrade
- TUI1 GY : TUI 3Q Underlying Ebit Beats Estimates
- UBES US : Uber Freight Founder Joins Autonomous Big Rig Startup Waabi
- UCG IM : Italy Defends Right to Restrict UniCredit’s BPM Bid in EU Reply
- ULCC US : Frontier Airlines Up 16%, Most in Four Months; Volume Five Times
- VWS DC : *VESTAS STILL SEES FY REV. EU18B TO EU20B, EST. EU19.13B, Vestas 2Q Ebit Before Significant Items Misses Estimates
- WIE AV : Wienerberger 2Q Ebitda EU253M Vs. EU285.1M Y/y
>>> Up
* CF Industries Raised to Overweight at Barclays
* Genuit Group Raised to Outperform at RBC; PT 505 pence
* Hannover Re Raised to Neutral at Oddo BHF; PT 255 euros
* On Holding PT Raised to $70 from $63 at Williams Trading
* Palo Alto Networks Raised to Buy at Deutsche Bank; PT $220
* Palo Alto Networks Raised to Buy at Deutsche Bank; PT $220
* Quilter Raised to Buy at Berenberg; PT 195 pence
* Raisio Raised to Accumulate at Inderes; PT 2.60 euros
* Richemont Raised to Outperform at Avior Capital Markets
* Tencent Music ADRs PT Raised to $29 from $23 at Citi
* Tencent Music ADRs Raised to Outperform at Daiwa; PT $27
>>> Down
>>> Down
* C3.ai Cut to Market Perform at Oppenheimer
* Cliq Digital Cut to Hold at Quirin Privatbank AG; PT 3.40 euros
* Cloudberry Clean Energy Cut to Sell at SEB Equities
* GEA Group Cut to Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley; PT 62 euros
* Legal & General Cut to Neutral at JPMorgan; PT 275 pence
* Orsted Cut to Hold at ABG; PT 200 kroner
* Siili Solutions Cut to Reduce at Inderes; PT 5.90 euros
>>> Initiation
>>> Initiation
* ABB Reinstated Buy at William O'Neil
* Airbus Reinstated Buy at William O'Neil
* Amadeus Rated New Overweight at Cantor; PT 84 euros
* Cie Financiere Rated New Add at Baader Helvea
* NatWest Rated New Buy at William O'Neil
* NatWest Rated New Buy at William O'Neil
* Safilo Rated New Buy at Berenberg; PT 1.62 euros
>>> Call
>>> Call
* GEA Group Cut at Morgan Stanley, Self-Help Story Now Understood
* Legal & General Downgraded at JPMorgan on Valuation, Competition
* Morgan Stanley Sees Bad Swiss News Priced in, Stays Short Franc
-
RENK Group (R3NK TH) +4.5%
- RENK Group 2Q Adjusted Ebit Meets Estimates
- Rheinmetall (RHM TH) +2.4%
- Hensoldt (HAG TH) +2.2%
- Prosus (1TY TH) +1.6%
- SAP (SAP TH) +1.5%
-
TUI (TUI1 TH) +1.2%
- TUI 3Q Underlying Ebit Beats Estimates
- Redcare Pharmacy NV (RDC TH) +1.2%
- Delivery Hero (DHER TH) +1.1%
- Bayer (BAYN TH) +0.9%
- Mowi (PND TH) -0.8%
-
Evolution (E3G1 TH) -1.7%
- Evolution Games Ran in Banned Markets, Execs Say in Secret Tapes
-
GEA Group (G1A TH) -1.9%
- GEA Group Cut at Morgan Stanley, Self-Help Story Now Understood
DAX:
- Rheinmetall (RHM TH) +2.4%
- SAP (SAP TH) +1.7%
- Zalando (ZAL TH) +1.4%
MDAX:
-
RENK Group (R3NK TH) +3.4%
- RENK Group 2Q Adjusted Ebit Meets Estimates
- IONOS Group SE (IOS TH) +1.9%
- Delivery Hero (DHER TH) +1.6%
-
TUI (TUI1 TH) +1.3%
- TUI Gains as Hotels & Cruises Division Drives Ebit View Upgrade
- Hensoldt (HAG TH) +1.2%
-
Evotec (EVT TH) +0.3%
- Evotec 1H Revenue EU371.2M Vs. EU390.8M Y/y
-
GEA Group (G1A TH) -1.1%
- GEA Group Cut at Morgan Stanley, Self-Help Story Now Understood
-
Stroeer (SAX TH) -2.1%
- Stroeer 2Q Adjusted Ebitda Misses Estimates
SDAX:
- SGL (SGL TH) +1%
- Heidelberger Druck (HDD TH) -0.9%
- Thyssenkrupp Nucera AG & Co KGaa (NCH2 TH) -2.2%
-
Deutsche PBB (PBB TH) -2.5%
- Deutsche PBB 1H Pretax Loss EU249M Vs. Profit EU47M Y/y
- Jenoptik (JEN TH) -4.3%
-
Sixt (SIX2 TH) -4.6%
- Sixt Maintains FY Pretax Profit Margin Forecast
Cava Cuts Outlook on Weak Second Quarter as Consumers Face ‘Fog and Uncertainty’
The fast casual chain reported same-restaurant sales growth of 2.1%, well below analysts’ expectations
- Cava’s second-quarter same-restaurant sales grew 2.1%, below the 6.1% expected, due to flat customer traffic and weaker consumer sentiment.
- Cava lowered its full-year same-restaurant growth forecast to 4% to 6% from its previous 6% to 8% due to economic uncertainty.
- Cava is investing $10 million in Hyphen, joining Chipotle in funding automated food-production, while closely monitoring rising beef prices.
Cava reported second-quarter same-restaurant sales well below analysts’ expectations and lowered its full-year guidance for the metric, citing weaker consumer sentiment.
The Mediterranean fast casual restaurant reported same-restaurant sales growth of 2.1%, well below analysts’ expectations of 6.1%, according to FactSet. The company said the growth came primarily from price increases and product mix with customer traffic flat.
Shares plunged 22%, to $65.90, in after-hours trading.
Cava Chief Executive Brett Schulman said challenging comparisons to last year’s robust business contributed to the weaker same-restaurant sales, including when the chain launched grilled steak as a menu option nationwide. Deflated consumer sentiment also was a contributor, he said.
“The consumer isn’t as ebullient as they were last year,” Schulman said in an interview Tuesday. “They’re dealing with a lot of headwinds, a lot of fog and uncertainty.”
Cava lowered its full-year same-restaurant growth guidance to 4% to 6% from its previous forecast of 6% to 8%. Wall Street expects 7.3%.
Earlier this month, Sweetgreen posted a 7.6% decline in second-quarter same-store sales, citing diminished consumer spending particularly in its largest urban markets. In July, Chipotle reported a 4% decline in second-quarter same-store sales and said it was seeing declining consumer confidence.
Schulman said sales gained more momentum as the second quarter concluded, and Cava’s consumers continue to buy premium ingredients instead of trading down. The company doesn’t plan to raise menu prices for the rest of the year, he said.
Schulman said the company is watching the beef market amid a surge in prices, but said most of its beef is priced into contracts for now.
The company is also making what could become a $10 million investment in automated-kitchen company Hyphen to help advance automated food-production tools. Cava’s investment is part of a Series B funding round that also includes burrito chain Chipotle, according to Hyphen. Schulman said the company is exploring Hyphen’s automated bowl-building technology for the chain’s digital, to-go orders.
A Chipotle spokeswoman said the company made a $15 million investment in Hyphen in July 2024 through its Cultivate Next Fund.
On Tuesday, Cava reported second-quarter net income of $18.4 million, or 16 cents a share, down from $19.7 million, or 17 cents a share, the year prior.
Adjusted earnings were also 16 cents a share, beating the 13 cents expected by analysts.
Revenue was $280.6 million, up from $233.5 million the previous year. Wall Street expected $285.5 million. Top-line gains were fueled by 75 net new restaurant openings during or after the second quarter of last year.
Switzerland Asks Whether Its Famed Neutrality Is Fit for the Modern World
Trump’s tariffs are forcing the home of Davos to consider appealing to the U.S. or forming closer ties with the EU
- Switzerland is reevaluating its neutrality due to Trump’s tariffs and a changing global landscape.
- The U.S. imposed a 39% tariff on Swiss goods due to a $48 billion trade deficit, stunning the Swiss economy.
- Swiss firms consider relocating production and closer EU ties amid the tariff dispute with the United States.
President Trump’s tariff policies have reordered global supply chains, redrawn investment maps and tested old alliances. In Switzerland, they have also spurred an uneasy audit of its role in the world.
Switzerland thrived as an honest broker and diplomatic powerhouse for centuries. The War of the Spanish Succession between France and the Holy Roman Empire finally ended in 1714 with a treaty signed in the small town of Baden. In 1872, an arbitration court in Geneva ordered the U.K. to pay the U.S. compensation for providing war ships to the Confederacy during the Civil War. It later played a role in setting navigation rights in the Black Sea and resolving conflicts from Indochina to Algeria.
But many in the Alpine country—which the U.S. recently slapped with one of the highest tariff rates in the world—are now questioning whether its centuries-old model of neutrality and exceptionalism is still fit for purpose in a transactional, power-driven world. In this new world, Switzerland, the home of Davos and multilateral organizations such as the World Trade Organization and the International Committee for the Red Cross, is a symbol of a globalism now out of fashion in many capitals.
The danger, Swiss officials, executives and observers say, is that this go-it-alone model might now be a liability for a nation of just nine million people.
Instead, Switzerland’s long history of democracy and peace could leave it with little more than the metaphorical cuckoo clock, to paraphrase Orson Welles’ Harry Lime character in “The Third Man,” and no more sway in the trade war than developing states such as Laos, Myanmar and Syria. As a result, calls are growing to forge a closer relationship with the European Union, which managed to secure a more favorable levy with the Trump administration. Some Swiss companies, meanwhile, are drawing up plans to relocate production to some of its bigger neighbors.
“Switzerland can no longer navigate between the blocs as before,” said Jon Pult, lawmaker and vice president of the Social Democratic Party of Switzerland. “That’s over, we no longer live in that world.”
Adrian Steiner, chief executive of coffee-machines maker Thermoplan that supplies Starbucks and McDonald’s, said Switzerland’s success came because “our system worked quite well in the old-rules world.”
“But we have a new type of politics now where this is all gone,” he said. “We are too small to play in the big boys’ game. In there it doesn’t matter so much if you are neutral or not.”
The imposition of a 39% levy last week—despite months of negotiations—stunned Switzerland, which counts the U.S. as its biggest individual export market for its wares including watches, chocolate, pharmaceuticals and machine tools. Thursday’s front page of the Blick daily newspaper was all black featuring 39% in a large white font with the inscription “A Black day for our country.”
The main reason for the high tariff rate is that Switzerland has one of the largest trade deficits in goods with the U.S., at $48 billion this year through June. The deficit has skyrocketed lately because of a rise in pharmaceutical and gold imports looking to get to the U.S. ahead of anticipated tariffs.
Politicians and analysts have floated various ideas to appease Trump—from buying more U.S. beef, liquefied natural gas and F-35 jet fighters, to relocating the headquarters of FIFA, soccer’s global governing body, from Zurich to Miami. But after a failed last-minute mission in Washington, D.C., last week to halt the tariffs, Switzerland’s President Karin Keller-Sutter said quick solutions weren’t forthcoming.
“We can’t say how long this situation will last,” Keller-Sutter said, adding that her negotiators will continue talks with the U.S. “Ultimately, however, it’s in the hands of the American president.”
That is a problem for Swiss companies who say they can’t compete when neighboring Germany and France pay 15%. Industry association Swissmem called it a “horror scenario” and said the levies could cost Switzerland tens of thousands of jobs.
Interprofession du Gruyère, a trade body representing 1,600 dairy farms making the eponymous cheese, said it expects the U.S. business—which eats up to a third of Switzerland’s Gruyère exports—to partly collapse. Medical-device maker Ypsomed said it would relocate some of its U.S-bound production to its German site and accelerate plans to establish a U.S. production facility.
Steiner said Thermoplan, too, was assessing relocating production because “we either face a loss of business or we move the business.”
The tariffs crisis isn’t the first to chip away at Swiss identity.
After 2008, the U.S. enacted laws requiring Swiss banks to transfer information about American clients to the Internal Revenue Service, a hammer blow to its banking secrecy dating back to the 1700s when Geneva made it a civil offense to divulge the banking details of an aristocrat. A slew of banking scandals, including the collapse of Credit Suisse in 2023, has rocked the country in recent years.
Switzerland’s 200-year-old policy of neutrality has been also difficult to defend during Russia’s war on Ukraine. Pressured by its larger neighbors and the Biden administration, Switzerland joined EU sanctions against Moscow.
“It’s a myth that neutrality protects you from all security threats because neutrality is only worth something if the others accept you to be neutral,” said Stefanie Walter, professor of international relations and political economy at the University of Zurich.
Trump’s levies come as the Swiss are already debating whether to forge closer EU ties. Switzerland isn’t an EU member—and few think it ever will be—but it is deeply integrated through a web of bilateral agreements. A package of deals, which expand Switzerland’s access to the EU’s single market, will be subject to a referendum possibly next year.
The campaign is already inflamed. Marcel Dettling, president of the right-wing Swiss People’s Party which opposes closer EU ties, recently posted a video declaring the choice to be between “freedom and serfdom.” In it, he sets the pages of the EU agreement on fire and uses a medieval halberd to roast a sausage over the flames.
Analysts, however, say the tariff drama could boost the pro-EU campaign. “Suddenly that deal looks much more, much better than it looked just two weeks ago” Walter said.
Hans-Peter Portmann, lawmaker of the Free Democratic Party of Switzerland, said that while Switzerland can’t become an EU member and sacrifice its direct democracy model, it has to realign its geopolitical priorities.
“A small country like Switzerland is at risk of being squashed,” he said. “The tariff dispute with the U.S. opened the eyes of many in Switzerland.”