(Les Echos) Grandes manoeuvres chez les équipementiers auto


A l'instar de Johnson Controls ou de Bosch , beaucoup d'acteurs revoient leur périmètre d'activité pour se concentrer sur les métiers les plus rentables.

La liste s'étoffe chaque mois. Depuis le début de l'année, de nombreux équipementiers automobiles se sont lancés dans une vaste redéfinition de leurs métiers stratégiques. La semaine dernière, Johnson Controls a annoncé étudier son retrait de l'automobile, via un « spin off » ou une vente de 50 % de cette activité générant 24 milliards de dollars de chiffre d'affaires.

Dans le même temps, Bosch a indiqué qu'il souhaitait céder ou trouver un partenaire pour sa division de démarreurs. Une activité de 1,4 milliard d'euros de chiffre d'affaires, qui emploie 6.500 salariés. Le 9 juin, Visteon bouclait la vente de sa participation de 70 % dans Halla Visteon Climate Control (systèmes de chauffage-climatisation) au coréen Hankook pour 3,6 milliards de dollars. Même désengagement pour l'autre américain, Delphi, qui annonçait en février la cession de ses systèmes thermiques à l'allemand Mahle Behr pour 727 millions de dollars. Autres mouvements stratégiques : la vente de l'activité « intérieur » de Magna à l'espagnol Antolin pour 525 millions de dollars ou encore le feu vert donné en mars par la commission européenne au rachat de TRW par son concurrent allemand ZF Friedrichshafen (12,2 milliards d'euros).

Multiplication des normes

Le fil rouge de toutes ces opérations ? « Les différents acteurs se concentrent sur les métiers où ils sont le mieux positionnés au niveau mondial. Il faut suivre le rythme des réglementations et des innovations technologiques », juge Gaëtan Toulemonde, analyste chez Deutsche Bank. Réduction d'émissions CO2 toujours plus drastiques, normes de sécurité active en plein essor, développement de la connectivité dans l'habitacle… Il est de plus en plus difficile de se battre sur tous les tableaux. Dans ce grand barnum, nombre d'équipementiers privilégient les activités d'électronique embarquée et de connectivité, alléchés par les perspectives de la voiture intelligente. C'est le cas de Delphi ou Visteon, qui se concentreront désormais sur ces activités, ou de Johnson Controls, qui ne garderait que ce métier dans l'automobile.

Dans le même temps, les activités à plus faible valeur ajoutée subissent un vaste désengagement, notamment l'équipement intérieur (planches de bord, portes…), qui a concentré nombre de mouvements. « C'est un métier compliqué, avec des marges serrées. Il est peu mondial car l'habitacle est très différent d'un pays à l'autre et requiert un haut niveau d'investissement, vu tous les changements en connectivité », indique un industriel.

Du côté du français Faurecia, si la division « intérieur » n'est pas à vendre, le groupe a mis en « revue stratégique » sa division « extérieur » (pare-chocs, bas de caisse…), du fait d'une position mondiale plus faible.

Toutes ces opérations sont d'autant plus aisées que les industriels ont aujourd'hui les poches pleines. Après avoir lourdement restructuré leurs activités pendant la crise américaine, puis européenne, ils disposent du cash nécessaire pour se renforcer. Qui plus est, les taux d'intérêt sont bas, ce qui accroît encore leur marge de manoeuvre.

Beaucoup d'acteurs des pays émergents sont également susceptibles de bouger. Notamment l'indien Motherson Sumi Systems Limited, qui est dans le radar des analystes. Sur les cinq dernières années, cet équipementier indien, inconnu du grand public, a multiplié par six son chiffre d'affaires, à 5,5 milliards de dollars.

Présent dans les composants plastiques, les câblages et l'équipement intérieur, il génère 30 % de son chiffre d'affaires avec le groupe Volkswagen. Début juin, le groupe affolait les investisseurs en indiquant vouloir atteindre 18 milliards de dollars de revenus dès 2019. Un candidat de plus à la consolidation ?

(Les Echos) L'aéronautique affiche son incroyable santé au Bourget

L'aéronautique affiche son incroyable santé au Bourget

Airbus et Boeing devraient engranger plusieurs milliards de contrats à l'occasion du Salon qui s'ouvre ce lundi.
Globalement, le rythme des commandes d'avions a néanmoins tendance à ralentir.

Le propre d'un grand Salon, c'est que tous veulent y être présents, même s'ils ne savent pas pourquoi. Le Salon international de l'aéronautique et de l'espace du Bourget (Seine-Saint-Denis), dont la 51e édition ouvre ses portes ce lundi pour une semaine, répond parfaitement à cette définition. Avec un nombre record d'exposants (2.260), le Paris Air Show reste de loin le premier rendez-vous mondial de l'aéronautique et de l'espace, même s'il est d'usage pour les chefs d'entreprise de s'interroger sur son utilité réelle au regard de son coût. Pour Airbus, qui joue à domicile, le Bourget est toujours l'occasion d'annoncer une avalanche de commandes, plusieurs centaines étant attendues. Airbus devrait notamment annoncer une première commande par Saudia d'une quinzaine d'appareils de la nouvelle version régionale de l'A330, comme l'a annoncé « La Tribune ». Un contrat d'une valeur théorique de plus de 3,5 milliards de dollars, qui en annonce d'autres. La compagnie nationale d'Arabie saoudite, qui veut doubler de taille en cinq ans, aurait l'intention de commander au total une centaine d'appareils.

Boeing devrait aussi engranger un nombre important de commandes, notamment pour son 737 MAX. Parmi les gros acheteurs, Qatar Airways, très présent sur le Salon avec pas moins de cinq appareils à ses couleurs sur le tarmac, pourrait faire quelques annonces. De même que Turkish Airlines. En revanche, Emirates attendra probablement le Salon de Dubaï, en novembre, avant de faire son choix entre le Boeing 787-10 et l'A350-1000 pour une mégacommande de gros-porteurs.

Cependant, après les records de 2013 et 2014, le Salon 2015 ne devrait pas atteindre le niveau de commandes - 400 à 500 - des précédentes éditions, estiment la plupart des observateurs. Et ce, pour la simple et bonne raison que les délais de livraison sont très longs. Un A320 commandé aujourd'hui sera livré dans dix ans. Pour un A350, comptez plus de cinq ans. Or, même si tout porte à croire que la croissance du trafic aérien restera forte au cours des vingt prochaines années, les taux de change et les conditions de financement à 10 ans sont plus incertains. Le durcissement de la réglementation financière sur les fonds propres des banques en Europe et aux Etats-Unis pourrait notamment renchérir le coût du crédit de 3 points d'ici à 2018, estime un spécialiste des financements d'avions.

La plus grosse incertitude reste le prix du pétrole, qui retarde les renouvellements de flottes quand il baisse et les accélère en remontant. Grâce à la baisse de l'an dernier, des appareils réputés trop gourmands, comme l'A340 et le 747, ont gagné deux ou trois ans de sursis.

Les cadences augmentent

Le ralentissement du marché est déjà très net. Depuis le début de l'année, Airbus n'a pas engrangé la moindre commande de gros-porteurs - A350 et A380 - et seulement 25 commandes d'A330 classiques. Boeing n'a pas fait beaucoup mieux, avec seulement 64 commandes de gros-porteurs. L'A320 et le 737 remontent néanmoins le niveau. A fin mai, Airbus et Boeing totalisaient seulement 361 commandes nettes, contre 789 sur le premier semestre 2014 et 1.405 au premier semestre 2013. Le marché est clairement en phase d'atterrissage. Ce qui n'a rien d'alarmant au regard du nombre de commandes antérieures.

En revanche, Boeing et Airbus n'ont jamais livré autant d'avions : 553 à fin mai - soit plus de 5 par jour ouvré - contre 538 sur la même période l'an passé. Et les deux avionneurs ont l'intention de continuer à augmenter les cadences. Au final, c'est dans les usines que se joue désormais le match pour la place de numéro un mondial et non dans les chalets des Salons aéronautiques.

De quoi laisser un peu plus d'espace médiatique aux challengers, comme Bombardier et Comac. Mais aussi à d'autres secteurs, comme le spatial, qui devrait tenir une place inhabituelle cette année au Bourget. Outre le réveil très opportun de la sonde Philae à la veille du Salon, la future Ariane 6 aura aussi une place de choix. L'une des plus grosses annonces commerciales de la semaine, pour le groupe Airbus, pourrait même être spatiale, avec un possible accord avec la start-up américaine OneWeb pour la fabrication d'une constellation d'un millier de satellites. Son patron, Greg Wyler, véritable apôtre du « new space », est en effet présent au Bourget

(BFW) ENOC, Dragon Oil Reach Pact on GBP7.50 Per Share Offer


BFW 06/15 06:08 *ENOC OFFER VALUES DRAGON OIL SHRS NOT ALREADY OWNED AT GBP1.7B
BN 06/15 06:02 *ENOC OFFER VALUES DRAGON OIL PART NOT ALREADY OWNED AT GBP1.7B
BN 06/15 06:02 *ENOC OFFER VALUES OIL AT ABOUT £3.7B
BN 06/15 06:01 *ENOC, DRAGON OIL REACHED PACT ON OFFER FOR SHRS ENOC DOESNT OWN
BN 06/15 06:00 *EMIRATES NAT.OIL CO IRSH RECOMMENDED CASH OFFER FOR DRAGON OIL

ENOC, Dragon Oil Reach Pact on GBP7.50 Per Share Offer
2015-06-15 06:08:46.238 GMT


By Dara Doyle
(Bloomberg) -- Board of ENOC and independent committee of
the board of Dragon Oil reached agreement on recommended cash
offer for Dragon.

* Dragon shareholders to receive GBP7.50 in cash for each
share; valuing company at ~GBP3.7 billion
* Co’s. says offer is “substantial increase to the initial
proposal put forward in March”

Link to Statement:Link

For Related News and Information:
First Word scrolling panel: FIRST<GO>
First Word newswire: NH BFW<GO>

To contact the reporter on this story:
Dara Doyle in DUBLIN at +353-1-523-9521 or
ddoyle1@bloomberg.net
To contact the editors responsible for this story:
Heather Harris at +44-20-3525-4726 or
hharris5@bloomberg.net
Dara Doyle

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 15th of June 2015

>>> Up
*BHP BILLITON RAISED TO HOLD VS REDUCE AT HSBC
*CENTAMIN RAISED TO BUY AT BOFA
*ELIOR RAISED TO OVERWEIGHT VS EQUALWEIGHT AT BARCLAYS, PT RAISED TO €21.40 FROM €13 (Note attached)
*HENKEL RAISED TO BUY VS HOLD AT BANKHAUS LAMPE
*LANXESS RAISED TO BUY VS HOLD AT DEUTSCHE BANK (EARLIER)

>>> Down
*AIR LIQUIDE CUT TO HOLD VS BUY AT DEUTSCHE BANK (EARLIER)
*AURUBIS CUT TO UNDERPERFORM AT BOFA
*EASYJET CUT TO UNDERPERFORM AT RBC CAPITAL
*EASYJET CUT TO UNDERPERFORM AT RBC CAPITAL

>>> PT Change
*ELIOR PT RAISED TO €21.40 FROM €13 AT BARCLAYS (Note attached)

>>> Intiation
*CIE AUTOMOTIVE RATED NEW BUY AT SOCIETE GENERALE, PT EU16.50

>>> Call

>>> What to look at today - 15th of June 2015

Dow-0,78% S&P-0,70% Nasdaq-0,62% Russell-0.31%
US Market Closed lower, Friday session started amid selling pressure in Europe and the U.S. as it became clear that another week will go by without a deal between Greece and its creditors. Friday session started amid selling pressure in Europe and the U.S. as it became clear that another week will go by without a deal between Greece and its creditors. Volume in the US were below average @ 645mil shares. All ten sectors registered losses with energy (-1.2%) and health care (-1.1%) spending the day behind the remaining eight groups. The energy sector retreated alongside crude oil, which fell 1.3% to $59.93/bbl. For its part, the sector lost 0.9% for the week, while only two other groups registered weekly losses with technology and utilities surrendering 0.7% and 0.5%, respectively. financial sector (-0.4%) ended ahead of most other groups, locking in a 1.0% gain for the week with investors angling to take advantage of rising rates. Today, the Empire Manufacturing Index for June (consensus 6.0) will be released at 8:30 ET while May Industrial Production (consensus 0.3%) and Capacity Utilization (consensus 78.3%) will both be reported at 9:15 ET. The day's data will be topped off with the 10:00 ET release of the NAHB Housing Market Index for June (expected 56)....China's Shanghai Comp and Hong Kong's Hang Seng are leading the slide in Asia despite the regulators' best attempts to cushion the slowdown. Ministry of Housing announced it would strengthen distribution of individual housing loans and to support housing consumption in H2. A local press report also noted the govt could announce a restructuring plan for iron and steel sector sometime soon to help ease overcapacity by merging 5 central SOEs into 2-3 companies. USD made notable gains against EUR on Greek concerns, as EUR/USD fell as much as 60pips to briefly test the downside of $1.12...More Greek turmoil and yet another failure between Athens and creditors to reach an agreement has translated into a decisively bearish start to the week. Despite hopeful comments from Greek govt officials on Saturday, talks in Brussels on Sunday reportedly lasted just 45 minutes before unravelling. Greek negotiators said they will not accept demands for cuts to pensions and wages or a rise in value-added tax on electricity, calling creditors' demands "irrational". Report out of European Commission meanwhile estimated that the overhaul plans presented by the Greek government still remain as much as €2B annually short of what has been demanded by its creditors. IMF representatives, who reportedly drive a harder stance in Greek negotiations, heeded the calculations by chief economist Blanchard who said the current economic and political developments make the target of a primary surplus in Greece an unattainable goal. Already skeptical of Greece commitment to reform, Germany's vice chancellor Gabriel summed up the Greek conflict with: "not just time is running out but also, everywhere in Europe, patience".
 
Nikkei-0.33% Hang Seng-1.37% Shanghai -1.06%

Eur$ 1.1194 JPY 123.54 GBP1.5530 CHFEUR0.9577 RUB $55.27 WTI $59.70 (-0.45%)

S&P -0.37% EuroStoxx Dax SMI
Macro :
- Varoufakis Calls for Greek Debt Cut in Interview With Bild
- EU Says Greece Talks End With No Deal, ‘Significant Gaps’: AFP
- Gross Suggests China Short; Cohen Likes GM: Barron’s Roundtable
- S&P warns of UK downgrade amid ‘Brexit’ fears - FT http://on.ft.com/1JMieOi
- Eurozone Raises Specter of Default as Pressure Mounts in Greek Bailout Tal - WSJ http://on.wsj.com/1cSIZC2
- Tsipras seeks debt relief as Greeks take offer to Brussels - Reuters http://reut.rs/1L5HkVC
- London Fund Managers May Leave If Britain Exits EU: Times http://thetim.es/1HFpYjl
- Greece Can't Stay in Eurozone at All Costs, Says BDI President http://bit.ly/1TkZ7xu
- Former Greek Rep to IMF Panaritis Says Country ‘Close to a Deal’
- U.K. Watchdog Won’t Propose Break Up of Big Six Energy Cos: Mail

Keep an eye on :
- AC FP : AccorHotels Appoints Alstom’s Morin as Chief Financial Officer
- AFR LN : Afren: Thomas Named COO, Comyn to Resign as Finance Director
- AIR FP : Boeing Said Near Deal to Sell 100 737 Max to AerCap: Reuters
- AIR FP : Airbus Seeks Multi-Million-Pound British Taxpayer Loan: Times
- AIR FP : Airbus, Safran to Pay Max EU130M for Arianespace Stake: Tribune
- AIR FP : Saudi Arabia to Order 15 A330 Regional Airbus Planes: Tribune
- AIR FP : Airbus Sees Significant No. of Civil Orders at Bourget: Echos
- AVV LN : Aveva Working With Lazard to Evaluate Takeover Options: Times
- AV/ LN : Aviva Starts Sale of GBP2.5 Billion of Property Loans: Times
- AZN LN : AstraZeneca Reports Phase III Results for Gout Drug Lesinurad
- CS FP : AXA CEO Sees Risks in Both Asia and Europe, FuW Reports
- BMW GY : BMW Made 2.2 Million Cars Susceptible to Hacking, Spiegel Says
- BP/ LN : BP Deal for Stake in Taas-Yuriakh Oilfield May Come This Wk: FT
- ACA FP : Credit Agricole Won’t Exit Switzerland, Hocher Tells Le Temps
- DAI GY : Daimler Produced 40,000 Vans That Need New Airbags: NHTSA
- AM FP : Dassault CEO ’Convinced’ 4th Rafale Contract Coming This Yr: FT
- DFT GY : Deutsche Forfait: Up to 6.8m Shrs to Be Issued, Price EU1.30
- DTE GY : German Mobile Spectrum Auction Reaches EU3.7b After 134th Round
- DTE GY : Deutsche Telekom doesn't intedn to sell T-Systems : Handelsblatt
- FGR FP : Eiffage Employee Group Dissolves, Distributes Shrs to Holders
- RF FP : Eurazeo Seeks Initial Value of EU854.5m in Europcar IPO
- ERICB SS : Ericsson CEO does not rule out M&A - Helsingin Sanomat
- FCA IM : Fiat Chrysler Unions Urge Meeting With Co. on M&A Plan
- FM CN / FQM LN : First Quantum Minerals a takeover candidate - Ottawa Citizen
- GKP LN : Ex-U.K. Defense Chief Guthrie to Quit Gulf Keystone Board: Sky
- HEN3 GY : Henkel Doesn’t Need Deals to Meet Growth Goals, CEO Tells Welt
- LHA GY : Lufthansa to Monetize Passenger Data to Boost Valuation: FAS
- MEO GY : Metro Said to Prefer Kaufhof Sale to Hudson’s Bay: Der Spiegel (sun)
- MEO GY : Hudson’s Bay Agrees to Buy Metro’s Galeria Kaufhof for EU2.825b
- NKE US : U.S. Probes Nike Payments Under Brazil Deal - WSJ http://on.wsj.com/1IRxusW
- NOVN VX : Novartis Blood-Cancer Drug Achieves Disease Control in Majority
- 1913 HK : Prada Falls to 3-Year Low After 1Q Earnings Missed Estimates
- REE SM : Red Electrica to Name Lasala CEO; Folgado to Remain Chairman
- SAF FP : Airbus, Safran to Pay Max EU130M for Arianespace Stake: Tribune
- STAN LN : StanChart May Cut Dividend to Bolster Capital, Jefferies Says
- SIK VX : Sika’s Haelg Calls Zug Court Ruling ‘Milestone:’ SonntagsZeitung
- SoundClound IPO : SoundCloud Owner German Startups Group Preparing IPO: FAS
- STL NO : Statoil to Start More Cost Cutting Measures in Autumn: Aftenblad
- HO FP : Thales to Produce Headset Seeking to Improve Pilot Safety: WSJ
- UBER IPO : Uber Hires Former French Government Advisor, AFP Reports
- UBSN VX : UBS to Invest Hundreds of Millions More in Restructuring: SZ
- UBSN VX : UBS Reports Successful Implementation of UBS Switzerland AG
- VOW3 GY : Volkswagen Group January-May Sales Reach 4.2 Million Units
- VOW3 GY : Volkswagen to Bundle VW, Skoda, Seat Into Group: Handelsblatt

>>> AsianUpdate

Asian Mid-session Update: Broken Greece talks send stocks and euro lower


***Economic Data***
- (NZ) NEW ZEALAND MAY PERFORMANCE SERVICES INDEX: 58 V 56.5 PRIOR; highest since July 2014
- (UK) UK JUN RIGHTMOVE HOUSE PRICES M/M: +3.0% (13-month high) V -0.1% PRIOR, Y/Y 4.5% V 2.5% PRIOR

***Index Snapshot (as of 02:30 GMT)***
- Nikkei225 -0.2%, S&P/ASX -0.6%, Kospi -0.4%, Shanghai Composite -1.5%, Hang Seng -1.4%, Sep S&P500 -0.4% at 2,076

***Commodities/Fixed Income***
- Aug gold +0.1% at $1,180/oz, Jul crude oil -0.4% at $59.74/brl, Jul copper -0.4% at $2.67/lb
- GLD: SPDR Gold Trust ETF daily holdings decline 0.2 tonnes to 704.0 tonnes; lowest since Sept 2008
- USD/CNY: IMF team has arrived in Beijing to evaluate whether CNY currency (Yuan) should be included in the SDR basket - China Daily

***Market Focal Points/FX***
- More Greek turmoil and yet another failure between Athens and creditors to reach an agreement has translated into a decisively bearish start to the week. Despite hopeful comments from Greek govt officials on Saturday, talks in Brussels on Sunday reportedly lasted just 45 minutes before unravelling. Greek negotiators said they will not accept demands for cuts to pensions and wages or a rise in value-added tax on electricity, calling creditors' demands "irrational". Report out of European Commission meanwhile estimated that the overhaul plans presented by the Greek government still remain as much as €2B annually short of what has been demanded by its creditors. IMF representatives, who reportedly drive a harder stance in Greek negotiations, heeded the calculations by chief economist Blanchard who said the current economic and political developments make the target of a primary surplus in Greece an unattainable goal. Already skeptical of Greece commitment to reform, Germany's vice chancellor Gabriel summed up the Greek conflict with: "not just time is running out but also, everywhere in Europe, patience".

- China's Shanghai Comp and Hong Kong's Hang Seng are leading the slide in Asia despite the regulators' best attempts to cushion the slowdown. Ministry of Housing announced it would strengthen distribution of individual housing loans and to support housing consumption in H2. A local press report also noted the govt could announce a restructuring plan for iron and steel sector sometime soon to help ease overcapacity by merging 5 central SOEs into 2-3 companies. The financial sector remains in focus, with reports of total margin debt posting a new record high of CNY2.22T late last week, up another 2.3% w/w. Local press reports also noted CSRS has given a stern warning against margin financing and limited brokerages' margin trading volume to be up to 4 times of net capital. CSRC did conclude that the current margin trade risks are manageable, but intends to strengthen risk management and protect investors' interests.

- In FX, USD made notable gains against EUR on Greek concerns, as EUR/USD fell as much as 60pips to briefly test the downside of $1.12. Other USD major pairs are less impacted - with AUD/USD and NZD/USD down nearly 0.2% as low as 0.7710 and 0.6960 respectively. USD/JPY was little changed just below 123.50. S&P futures are down 10pts or 0.5% at 2,075, while the yield on the US 10-year is down 5bps at 2.34%.

***Equities***
US equities / ADRs:
- RYL: Standard Pacific Corp. and The Ryland Group, Inc Announce Merger of Equals; New entity to have $5.2B market cap
- BABA: To launch a subscription video service comparable to Netflix in the next 2 months in China - financial press
- CMCSA: Universal Pictures-distributed "Jurassic World" was the top film at the box office this weekend with $511.8M in sales

Notable movers by sector:
- Consumer discretionary: Belle International Holdings 1880.HK -3.1% (Q1 result); China Huishan Dairy Holdings 6863.HK -3.1 (profit warning)
- Financials: China Construction Bank 939.HK -1.3% (President to resign); China Overseas Grand Oceans Group 81.HK -1.9% (May result); Guotai Junan Securities 1788.HK +6.7% (A-share to be listed this week); China Resources Land 1109.HK +0.2% (May result); China Overseas Land 688.HK -1.2% (May result)
- Industrials: Isuzu Motors 7202.JP +1.2% (to form jv with GM)
- Materials: Wuhan Iron & Steel 600005.CN -0.4% (graft probe); Metcash MTS.AU +3.2% (Reports FY15, sells automotive business); Arrium ARI.AU -1.6% (lowers guidance)
- Telecom: Ten Network TEN.AU -1.9% (proposes to issue new shares to Foxtel)

WSJ : Biotech Gets a Reality Check

Biotech Gets a Reality Check

Biotech stocks are up big for the fifth year in a row, IPOs are hot and short sellers are in retreat. Investors, beware.

When short sellers retreat, long investors reap the rewards. But buyers of booming biotechnology stocks should take it as warning.

If the biotech sector is in a bubble, it has yet to pop. After a brief selloff in April, the Nasdaq Biotechnology Index has regained its mojo; it is up nearly 20% so far this year. If it keeps this up, it is on its way to beating the broader stock market for a fifth consecutive year.

Meanwhile, demand for new issues is as strong as ever: Shares in Axovant Sciences soared 99% on Thursday after the company raised $315 million in its initial public offering, the largest one on record for a biotech company. Axovant bought its drug candidate to treat Alzheimer’s disease from GlaxoSmithKline in December for just $5 million up front. Axovant is now valued at more than $2 billion.

Biotech’s great lure is its potential for breakthroughs. There have been encouraging signs on this front. Scientific innovation in recent years has led to a cure for hepatitis C along with meaningful advances in fighting cancer, diabetes and a host of rare diseases. Meanwhile, the Food and Drug Administration has created new regulatory pathways to bring drugs to market, creating a friendly environment for clinical-stage firms. The FDA approved 41 new drugs for commercial use last year, the highest on record. Another 12 have received the green light so far this year.

But biotech’s great lure is also the root of its great danger for investors. Of the index’s 146 constituents, 94 have trailing 12-month revenue of less than $100 million, according to FactSet. In aggregate, their revenue is $2.2 billion—equal to just 1.5% of their combined market capitalization of $146 billion. Gilead Sciences, the most valuable biotech company in the world, boasts a market cap of $175 billion, against $24.9 billion in sales—a relatively tame revenue multiple, at least for this sector, of seven times.

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On their own, nosebleed valuations don’t mean a crash is imminent—as any investor who tried to bet against technology stocks in the 1990s would tell you. And today’s biotech short sellers have retreated. It now takes 6.7 days of average trading volume to cover a short position within an exchange-traded fund replicating the index, well below the five-year average of nine days.

But too much capital is chasing relatively few high-quality assets. Besides the manic multiples, another sign of this is that asset manager T. Rowe Price closed its Health Sciences Fund to new investors on June 1, in order to “maintain the integrity” of the fund’s investment strategy. The fund makes up the vast majority of T. Rowe Price’s health sciences strategy, which had $14.8 billion of total assets at the end of April and saw inflows of $1.1 billion in the first four months of the year. “If flows were to continue at the current pace,” portfolio manager Taymor Tamaddon said in a news release, “it could eventually strain our ability to invest efficiently and result in a less effective investment strategy.”

In plain English, that was a person whose livelihood rests on persuading people to give him money to invest telling biotech investors to just cool it already.

FT : German industrialists fear cheap money

German industrialists fear cheap money

Leading German industrialists have sounded the alarm over the European Central Bank’s move to drive down interest rates, warning that cheap money is causing volatility and could create “another bubble”.
Wolfgang Buechele, chief executive of Linde, the industrial gas and plant engineering group, told the Financial Times: “You hear from national bankers and the ECB that we have to focus in the future on managing bubbles. So this is of course something that concerns me — because quantitative easing is pumping plentiful funds into the economy without actually achieving what is intended. The growth is not really boosted.”

Bernd Scheifele, chief executive of HeidelbergCement, the world’s third-largest cement producer by sales, said: “In the long run, we are concerned that cheap money will reduce the competitiveness of European industry vis-à-vis Asian and US competitors. Cheap money obviously makes life easier — but that’s not good.
“I’m concerned that this will lead to another crazy scenario,” he added. “I have a certain unease. Is this a sustainable, healthy environment? I’m not sure ... I’m concerned that this leads to another bubble.”
The comments reflect growing disquiet in Germany over the ECB’s bond-buying programme, known as quantitative easing, which was launched in January.
The ECB’s actions have helped cut borrowing costs for companies and weakened the euro against the US dollar, making exports from the eurozone more competitive. Share prices have also jumped.
However, the low-interest rate environment is contributing to huge volatility in bond markets and has caused the cost of funding employer pension schemes to surge, thereby impairing some corporate balance sheets.
Addressing an audience of German business leaders last week, chancellor Angela Merkel defended the central bank saying: “At the very least I’d like to ask for your understanding that central banks, like the European Central Bank, have to think about what to do if the inflation rate is so low and to ensure that we don’t end up in a deflationary cycle.”
In the wake of a collapse in investment in Europe following the 2008 crisis, the ECB hopes lower borrowing costs will help to drive an expansion in corporate investment.
Yet in spite of nascent signs of a recovery in the eurozone and of bank lending, many European companies remain reluctant to take on risk and prefer to deleverage, retain cash or return funds to shareholders.
“The volatility of the economy is increasing as a result of these measures, and from that point of view companies need to be even better prepared,” said Mr Buechele.
“We are obliged to run a stable balance sheet … rather than embarking on opportunistic possibilities that might not be beneficial in the long run.”
Mr Scheifele said: “You also have to look for growth opportunities but one has to be careful and disciplined because obviously the zero money policy leads you in a way that you make investments that you would not make if there was a cost-item related to lending money.
“If you look at the M&A deals of the world that we’ve seen in the last months — especially in the pharma area — we’ve seen some transactions that I would say were fully priced,” he explained.
Last week, HeidelbergCement said it would return more cash to shareholders by increasing its targeted dividend payout ratio. It will also consider share buybacks.

FT : Greek default fears rise as ‘11th-hour’ talks collapse

Greek default fears rise as ‘11th-hour’ talks collapse

TOPSHOTS Protesters take down a huge banner bearing a picture of Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras on a European Union flag from the ministry of finance in Athens as they end the occupation of the building on June 11, 2015. The Greek government on Thursday said it would "intensify" efforts to resolve differences with its EU-IMF creditors to reach a deal that would give the country desperately needed bailout funds. AFP PHOTO / LOUISA GOULIAMAKILOUISA GOULIAMAKI/AFP/Getty Images©AFP
Talks aimed at reaching an 11th-hour deal between Greek ministers and their bailout creditors collapsed on Sunday evening after a new economic reform proposal submitted by Athens was deemed inadequate to continue negotiations.
The breakdown is the clearest sign yet that differences between the two sides may be too wide to breach, increasing the possibility that Athens will not secure the €7.2bn in bailout aid it needs to avoid defaulting on its debts — including a €1.5bn loan repayment due to the International Monetary Fund in just two weeks.

Greek negotiators, including Nikos Pappas, aide-de-camp to Alexis Tsipras, the Greek prime minister, left the headquarters of the European Commission only 45 minutes after entering the building for what were characterised as a “last try” by one of the eurozone officials involved in the talks.
A commission spokesman said there remained a “significant gap” between the two sides, amounting to up to €2bn per year, and there was no longer time to reach a “positive assessment” of Greek efforts before a high-stakes meeting of eurozone finance ministers on Thursday.
“While some progress was made, the talks did not succeed,” said the spokesman. “On this basis, further discussion will now have to take place in the eurogroup.”
That eurogroup meeting is seen by many officials as the last chance for Athens to secure a deal on an agreed list of the economic reforms its creditors are demanding in order to release the €7.2bn aid tranche before Greece’s EU bailout runs out at the end of the month.
Asked as he exited the commission headquarters whether the break-off in talks was a bad sign, Mr Pappas told the Financial Times: “We will see.”
Greek movement [is] not discernible. I think they do not want a solution
- Senior eurozone official
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Without the endorsement of Greece’s trio of bailout monitors — the commission, the International Monetary Fund and the European Central Bank — the prospects of an amicable agreement on Thursday is remote, raising the prospect eurozone negotiators may resort to the “take it or leave it” strategy used on Cyprus at a eurogroup meeting two years ago.
On that occasion, an ECB representative warned that without a deal, the central bank would be forced to cut all emergency funding to Cypriot banks — essentially laying waste the country’s financial system. There have been similar pressures on the ECB in the past week to take the same stance with Athens.

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One senior official involved in the talks said there could still be a compromise on Thursday if Greek negotiators “go back to Athens and say: ‘Oh shit, we have to do something’.” But the official acknowledged such a U-turn was unlikely.
Yannis Dragasakis, speaking in Brussels on Sunday after the talks broke up, said Athens “remains ready” to complete the negotiations and blamed Greece’s creditors for being intransigent in their insistence on pension cuts and increases in the country’s value-added tax that Athens believe will hit essential services.
“In spite of the presence of the Geek mission in Brussels, there was no response on the part of the [bailout monitors] for discussions at the same [political] level or authorisations that would permit a solution to the issues that remain open,” Mr Dragasakis said.
In a sign of how far attitudes had shifted, Sigmar Gabriel, Germay’s vice-chancellor and head of the country’s Social Democratic party — long seen as a more conciliatory political group — penned an article for Monday’s daily Bild newspaper in which he warned patience towards Greece in Germany was running thin .
“The game theorists of the Greek government are in the process of gambling away the future of their country,” Mr Gabriel wrote, in a thinly-veiled dig at Yanis Varoufakis, the Greek finance minister who is also a published expert on game theory. “Europe and Germany will not let themselves be blackmailed. And we will not let the exaggerated electoral pledges of a partly-communist government be paid for by German workers and their families.“

Another senior eurozone official said Sunday’s evening session would be a “last try”.
The Sunday night talks were scheduled after Greek ministers, who had travelled to Brussels on Saturday, were told their final plan had to be submitted by the end of the weekend.
The message was delivered in a meeting between Mr Pappas and Martin Selmayr, chief of staff to Jean-Claude Juncker, the commission president who has played a central role in trying to broker an 11th-hour deal. One EU diplomat described the meeting as “difficult”.
“Greek movement [is] not discernible,” said a senior eurozone official. “I think they do not want a solution.”
Before the talks, Greek government officials said they would continue to seek debt relief and resist cuts in public sector pensions — positions that have been rebuffed by creditors for weeks.
For nearly two weeks, creditors have been asking Athens to come back with a counterproposal that would fit within a broad programme outline that sets a gradually increasing set of budget surpluses.
Under the creditors’ plan, Athens would need to find measures to hit a primary budget surplus — revenues less expenses when interest on sovereign debt is not counted — of 1 per cent of gross domestic product this year, rising to 2 per cent next year and 3 per cent in 2017. By 2018, the primary surplus would need to hit 3.5 per cent.
Athens has objected to pension cuts and energy tax increases to hit those targets, and has countered with a slower path to the 3.5 per cent target in 2018: 0.75 per cent this year, 1.75 per cent next year, and 2.5 per cent in 2017.
A commission spokesman said the differences remained at about 0.5-1 percentage point of GDP per year.

Before sending his negotiating team back to Brussels, Mr Tsipras told his close advisers on Friday he needed a deal that could be accepted by a comfortable majority in parliament with the backing of the Greek people.
“If we get a viable agreement, no matter how tough the compromise, we will put up with it since our only aim is to get out of the crisis and the humiliating [bailout],” Mr Tsipras was quoted as saying. “But if Europe wants a split and the humiliation to continue, we’ll take the decision to say no, a big no, and we’ll fight for the dignity of our people and our national sovereignty.”

--> if Europe wants a split and the humiliation to continue, we’ll take the decision to say no, a big no, and we’ll fight for the dignity of our people and our national sovereignty
- Alexis Tsipras

FT : Investment in US chemicals industry rises

Investment in US chemicals industry rises

Planned investments in the US chemicals industry have continued to rise this year in spite of the fall in oil prices, pointing to a surge in capacity by the end of the decade.
Companies have announced 238 investment projects worth a total of $145bn, up from $136bn at the end of last year and about $90bn a year ago, according to the American Chemistry Council, the industry group.

The drop in crude prices is a potential threat to US producers of bulk chemicals such as ethylene, because they use feedstocks that are typically linked to gas prices, and compete against rivals in Asia and Europe that use feedstocks based on oil.
However, the fall in oil prices appears to have slowed the flow of new investment plans for the US, rather than stopping it altogether.
Some projects are also being delayed, but they account for only about 5 per cent of the total value of planned investments, the ACC believes, with the outlook for a further 7 per cent uncertain.
Capital spending in the US chemicals industry rose 64 per cent from 2010 to $33.4bn in 2014, and is expected to rise another 37 per cent to $45.8bn on the ACC’s forecasts.
Kevin Swift, the council’s chief economist, said the US was capturing a growing share of investment in the chemicals industry worldwide.
US capacity for some bulk chemicals could rise 35-40 per cent by the end of the decade, he added.
US companies including ExxonMobil, Dow Chemical and CP Chem, a joint venture of Chevron and Phillips 66, have launched expansion plans, but about 61 per cent of the announced investment comes from non-US companies, Mr Swift said.
Companies including Sasol of South Africa and Royal Dutch Shell have launched or are considering large investment projects.
US chemicals producers have preserved most of their cost advantage during the drop in oil prices because the US prices for gas and the natural gas liquids such as ethane used as feedstocks have also fallen sharply.
Bob Patel, chief executive of LyondellBasell, one of the largest US-listed chemicals companies, said he expected the oil to gas price ratio to remain favourable to producers in the US, making it the world’s most competitive location for making ethylene, a basic building block used in many products.
“When you think about ethylene production, the US clearly has the advantage in terms of new capacity,” he said.
However, he raised concerns about the cost of investing in new plants on greenfield sites, at a time when competition for staff and construction services was inflated by the surge in activity.