>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 16th of June 2015

>>> Up
*LADBROKES RAISED TO OVERWEIGHT VS EQUALWEIGHT: MORGAN STANLEY
*NATIONAL GRID RAISED TO OVERWEIGHT AT MORGAN STANLEY
*REN RAISED TO EQUALWEIGHT VS UNDERWEIGHT AT MORGAN STANLEY

>>> Down
*CREST NICHOLSON CUT TO NEUTRAL VS BUY AT GOLDMAN
*DRAGON OIL CUT TO NEUTRAL VS BUY AT GOLDMAN
*FOXTONS CUT TO SELL VS NEUTRAL AT GOLDMAN
*KERING CUT TO UNDERPERFORM VS NEUTRAL AT CREDIT SUISSE
*LEROY SEAFOOD GROUP CUT TO SELL FROM HOLD AT NORDEA
*ONTEX GROUP CUT TO NEUTRAL VS BUY AT GOLDMAN

>>> PT Change


>>> Initiation
*ADIDAS RATED NEW OUTPERFORM AT RBC, PT EU85
*BAT REINSTATED OUTPERFORM AT CREDIT SUISSE, PT 3,800P
*CELLNEX TELECOM RATED NEW NEUTRAL AT CITI, PT EU17
*CELLNEX TELECOM RATED NEW OVERWEIGHT AT MORGAN STANLEY, PT EU18
*CELLNEX TELECOM RATED NEW NEUTRAL AT GOLDMAN, PT EU16
*DRILLISCH RATED NEW OVERWEIGHT AT BARCLAYS, PT EU60
*EDP RENOVAVEIS RATED NEW HOLD AT HSBC, PT EU7.30
*ENEL GREEN POWER RATED NEW BUY AT HSBC, PT EU2.10
*EVOTEC RATED NEW BUY AT BANKHAUS LAMPE, PT EU5
*IMPERIAL TOBACCO REINSTATED OUTPERFORM AT CREDIT SUISSE
*LOOMIS RATED NEW BUY AT GOLDMAN
*PROSEGUR RATED NEW BUY AT GOLDMAN
*TALGO RATED NEW OVERWEIGHT AT JPMORGAN, PT EU9.75
*TALGO RATED NEW BUY AT NOMURA; PT EU10.4
*TELIT COMMUNICATIONS RATED NEW BUY AT BERENBERG, PT 410P
*WINDELN.DE AG RATED NEW BUY AT GOLDMAN, PT EU19

>>> Call

>>> GSK rumoured to be in line for GBP 92bn approach from Johnson & Johnson or R

GSK rumoured to be in line for GBP 92bn approach from Johnson & Johnson or Roche
GlaxoSmithKline (GSK), the UK-based listed pharmaceuticals group, is rumoured to be a takeover target for rivals Johnson & Johnson or Roche, The Daily Mail reported. The market report noted speculation of a GBP 19 (USD 29.66)-per-share offer from New Jersey-based Johnson or Switzerland-headquartered Roche, which would give the British business a valuation in excess of GBP 92bn.

GSK is considered to be vulnerable at its current share price - GBP 13.51 at the end of trading yesterday, 15 June, a market source quoted in the item said.

Daily Mail

>>> Asian Update

Asian Mid-session Update: BOJ's Kuroda backtracks from comments on FX; RBA policy minutes match the statement's data dependent outlook


***Economic Data***
- (AU) AUSTRALIA MAY NEW MOTOR VEHICLE SALES M/M: -1.3% V -1.5% (second decline M/M) PRIOR; Y/Y: 0.8% V 2.8% PRIOR
- (AU) Australia ANZ Roy Morgan Weekly Consumer Confidence Index: 114.5 v 112.1 prior

***Index Snapshot (as of 02:30 GMT)***
- Nikkei225 -0.6%, S&P/ASX +0.3%, Kospi -1.3%, Shanghai Composite -2.1%, Hang Seng -0.4%, Sep S&P500 -0.1% at 2,072

***Commodities/Fixed Income***
- Aug gold -0.1% at $1,185/oz, Jul crude oil +0.8% at $59.98/brl, Jul copper flat at $2.65/lb
- GLD: SPDR Gold Trust ETF daily holdings decline 3.1 tonnes to 701.9 tonnes; lowest since Sept 2008
- JGB: (JP) Japan MoF sells ¥2.30T in 0.1% coupon 5-year JGB bonds; Avg yield: 0.122% v 0.100% prior; Bid-to-cover: 2.87x v 2.80x prior

***Market Focal Points/FX***
- Asia equity markets are generally lower with the exception of Australia, as headwinds from Greek uncertainty and selloff on Wall St going into Wednesday's FOMC weighed on sentiment. China markets were hit particularly hard, falling as much as 2.5% in the morning session before paring some of those losses by midday break. Ongoing clampdown on margin trading activity along with another active week of IPO issuance are widely attributed to renewed pressure on the mainland and the swoon in Shanghai Composite to 1-week lows.

- Among the most notable developments from China, NEA announced May power consumption of 456.7B kwh, up just 1.6% y/y but higher than 1.3% in April and 2nd straight month of increase. Recall this indicator is one of Premier Li's top 3 preferred measures of economic activity. China's CASS also forecasted 2015 energy output to grow but consumption to dip this year. Separately, China Nuclear Power was limit up again by 10% after Premier Li said the govt will promote nuclear power on a larger scale, and that nuclear technology developed by China has a place abroad.

- Reserve Bank of Australia released the minutes of its June 2nd meeting where it surprised the investors with a more neutral policy stance against expectations of renewed easing bias. RBA minutes straddled both sides of the fence, stating the "Board's assessment was that the stance of monetary policy should be accommodative" and also adding "members judged that it was appropriate to leave the cash rate unchanged and to assess information on economic and financial conditions as it became available." AUD/USD initially sold off some 20pips below 0.7750 but then whipsawed to 0.7780 in the aftermath, with traders favoring a more hawkish interpretation.

- USD/JPY saw pronounced volatility on clarification from BOJ Gov Kuroda regarding exchange rates. Recall on June 10th, Kuroda said that real effective exchange rate showed yen was weak and might not weaken further. Today, Kuroda said those comments were unrelated from the nominal exchange rate, and that as long as FX moved in a stable manner the level of Japanese currency was not of concern. USD/JPY spiked up over 40pips on the remarks toward 123.80, though it has given back some of the gains. BOJ is headed for a policy decision later this week, and a Nikkei report suggested there may be a rift developing within the policy board regarding the sustainability of open ended policy easing.

- In Europe, Germany's Bild cited comments from Greek Fin Min Varoufakis who said Athens does not intend to present a new list of reform proposals at the upcoming Eurogroup meeting on Thursday. This is in line with the hardline stance taken by Syriza politicians expressed over the weekend, and the subsequent downside in EUR/USD on those comments was marginal. For the session, EUR/USD traded in a 20pip range above $1.1260.

***Equities***
US equities / ADRs:
- GPS: Announces Strategic Initiatives; To close about 175 stores in N America; Affirms FY15 EPS $2.75-2.80 v $2.78e; +1.3% afterhours
- AAVL: Announces Top-Line Phase 2a Results for AVA-101; -41.1% afterhours
- EXR: To acquire SmartStop Self Storage, Inc. for $1.4B in cash

Notable movers by sector:
- Consumer discretionary: Kao Corp 4452.JP -0.8% (H1 result speculation)
- Financials: CITIC Securities 6030.HK -0.7% (to issue new shares); Ping An Insurance 601318.CN +0.3% (exec comment); HTSC 601688.CN +2.1% (raises margin finance ceiling); China Pacific Insurance Group 2601.HK -2.6% (YTD premium income); Westpac Banking Corp WBC.AU +1.4% (intention to sell stake in BTIM); Insurance Australia IAG.AU +5.1%(Berkshire Hathaway to invest)
- Industrials: Tianjin Jinbin Development Co 000897.CN +0.9%, Langfang Development Co Ltd 600149.CN +3.7% (Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei regional development); Yamaha Motor 7272.JP -2.1% (to jointly build fuel cell powered ships); Fujitsu General Ltd 6755.JP -1.4% (profit target); Korean Air Lines 003490.KR +0.7% (cuts flights due to MERS)
- Materials: Anhui Conch Cement 914.HK -1.7% (to acquire cement assets); CITIC Dameng 1091.HK -6.7% (share placement)
- Energy: China Coal Energy 1898.HK -0.6% (May result); China Shenhua Energy 1088.HK -1.8% (May result)

>>> US After Hours Summary: GPS +1.0%, LAKE +0.5%, CPST -14.4%, PFIE -


After Hours Summary: GPS +1.0%, LAKE +0.5%, CPST -14.4%, PFIE -12.3% following earnings/guidance

After Hours Gainers:

Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to earnings: GPS
+1.0%, LAKE +0.5%

Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to news: AERI +39.6% (reported that the FDA has agreed that Aerie may change the primary endpoint range of its second Phase 3 registration trial of Rhopressa), COTY +7.5% (seeing reports that co has acquired beauty product lines from Proctor & Gamble), AYA +6.0% (PointState Capital disclosed 8.76% passive stake in 13G filing), AEHR +3.2% (announced order for ABTS burn-in and test system from mobile chipset manufacturer in China), PBY +1.8% (Glenhill Advisors disclosed 6.2% passive stake in 13G filing), ZINC +1.6% (announced closing of sale of land in Monaca, PA to Shell Chemical Appalachia; financial terms not disclosed), SLF +0.4% (to acquire Bentall Kennedy Group fir $560 mln; to be immediately accretive to earnings and return to equity), NSAM +0.3% (MSD Partners discloses 5.1% passive stake in 13G filing)

After Hours Losers:

Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to earnings: CPST -14.4%, PFIE -12.3%

Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to news: AAVL -41.3% (announced top-line Phase 2a results for AVA-101 for the treatment of wet age-related macular edema; Study met the primary safety endpoint; efficacy data raised concerns of how effective the drug will be versus standard of care); TAHO -9.7% (announced a secondary offering by Goldcorp (GG) of 58,051,692 common shares of Tahoe at a price of C$17.20 per Common Share), CAPL -6.0% (announced an offering of 4.6 mln shares of common units), KEYW -4.0% (announced that Founder and former Chairman and CEO Leonard Moodispaw has passed away), 

>>> US Close S&P 500 Slips Below 100-Day Moving Aver

Closing Market Summary: S&P 500 Slips Below 100-Day Moving Average

The stock market began the new trading week on a cautious note with the S&P 500 sliding below its 100-day moving average (2,089). The benchmark index lost 0.5% and registered its second consecutive decline.

Equities notched their session lows during the opening hour after Sunday's talks between Greek officials and the country's creditors broke down without any progress. This left the situation essentially unchanged since last week with the two sides remaining at odds over cuts to state pensions/wages and the appropriate VAT levels.

The lack of progress between the two sides fueled the opening retreat, but the S&P 500 was able to cut its loss in half by midday. Equities held near their afternoon levels after Germany's Suddeutsche Zeitung reported that Eurozone officials have agreed on a plan B in the event Greece is unable to come to terms with its creditors. According to the report, a special summit will be held on Friday night if this week passes without a deal. Furthermore, it is expected that capital controls will be imposed, but enforcement of those measures would be in the hands of the Greek parliament.

For the second day in a row, the lack of progress led to a widening in European yield spreads with demand for German bunds driving their yield down a basis point to 0.82% while Italy's 10-yr yield jumped 11 basis points to 2.33%. Similarly, Spain's 10-yr yield increased ten basis points to 2.38% as European investors showed safe-haven demand.

That safe-have demand kept Treasuries in the green throughout the day. The 10-yr note settled below its high, but still ended in the green with its yield down four basis points at 2.36%.

Nine of ten sectors registered losses with the top-weighted technology space (-0.6%) struggling throughout the day. The sector was pressured by some of its largest components like Microsoft (MSFT 45.48, -0.49), Oracle (ORCL 43.74, -0.60), and Facebook (FB 80.71, -0.82) while high-beta chipmakers fared relatively well even though the PHLX Semiconductor Index shed 0.2%. Micron (MU 24.24, -0.89) and SanDisk (SNDK 64.18, -1.92) kept the index near the broader market after both names were downgraded at Morgan Stanley. Micron lost 3.5% while SanDisk surrendered 2.9%.

Elsewhere, industrials (-0.8%) and materials (-0.7%) underperformed while the remaining cyclical sectors ended near the broader market. Notably, the consumer discretionary space (-0.5%) settled in-line with the S&P 500, which masked relative strength among homebuilders. The iShares Dow Jones US Home Construction ETF (ITB 26.94, +0.04) added 0.2% after Standard Pacific (SPF 8.82, +0.46) and Ryland Group (RYL 45.02, +2.23) agreed to a merger of equals.

Meanwhile, the countercyclical side looked a little better with the health care sector (+0.03%) eking out a slim gain. Similarly, the utilities sector (-0.2%) finished ahead of the broader market while telecom services (-0.6%) and consumer staples (-0.7%) underperformed.

Today's trading volume was below average with roughly 715 million shares changing hands at the NYSE floor.

Economic data included Empire Manufacturing, Industrial Production/Capacity Utilization, and NAHB Housing Market Index:
  • The Empire Manufacturing Survey for June registered a reading of -2.0, which was below the prior month's reading of 3.1 and below the Briefing.com consensus estimate, which was pegged at 6.0 
  • Industrial production decreased 0.2% in May after declining a downwardly revised 0.5% (from -0.3%) in April while the Briefing.com consensus expected an increase of 0.3%
    • Manufacturing production declined 0.2% in May after increasing 0.1% in April, which was the first decline since a 0.2% drop in February 
    • Capacity utilization hit 78.1% while the Briefing.com consensus expected a reading of 78.3% 
  • The NAHB Housing Market Index for June rose to 59 from 54 while the Briefing.com consensus expected an increase to 56 
Tomorrow, May Housing Starts (Briefing.com consensus 1.10 million) and Building Permits (consensus 1.10 million) will both be released at 8:30 ET.
  • Nasdaq Composite +6.2% YTD 
  • Russell 2000 +4.8% YTD 
  • S&P 500 +1.2% YTD 
  • Dow Jones Industrial Average -0.2% ytd 

FT : AB InBev’s hard-nosed kings of beer


AB InBev’s hard-nosed kings of beer

The deal-thirsty brewer opens up in the first of a two-part series on its culture and ambitions

Working for the world’s largest brewer is not to everybody’s taste — and that is fine with Carlos Brito, Anheuser-Busch InBev’s chief executive.

After Anheuser-Busch, owner of Budweiser, agreed to be taken over by InBev in 2008, Mr Brito and his InBev colleagues arrived at the US group’s St Louis headquarters within 24 hours to start shaking up its comfortable way of working and to assess which senior people would fit in. “In any company, there’s 20 per cent that lead, 70 per cent that follow and 10 per cent that do nothing,” Mr Brito recalls. “So the 10 per cent, of course, you need to get rid of … They’re always unhappy anyway and complaining.”

The 55-year-old Brazilian — who likes to be called just “Brito”, never “Mr Brito”, let alone “Carlos” — leads AB InBev by example. “My life is the company and my family,” he says in an interview. He professes to have no hobbies and the sole pastime to which he admits is a daily 30-minute treadmill workout.

The CEO’s dedication to the company is typical of AB InBev managers, who, when they have time to dream, are encouraged to “dream big” — just like the three Brazilian investors who helped create the company that in just over 25 years has grown into a world leader, through bold acquisitions and relentless cost control.

Just how big AB InBev is dreaming is a question to which many would love to know the answer. Recent speculation has suggested that the company, which already has a market capitalisation of €172bn, could be marching towards one more enormous deal. The M&A chatter suggests the group could be involved in a takeover of the world number two brewer SABMiller (market capitalisation £54bn), the sector-leading distiller Diageo (£47bn) — or even Coca-Cola ($174bn) or PepsiCo ($138bn).

To gauge AB InBev’s ambition and management approach, the Financial Times interviewed current and former executives, staff, analysts and consultants in the US, Brazil and Europe.

They depicted a tightly run, ferociously determined multinational that believes it can still move like an agile insurgent despite being the biggest incumbent in many markets. Critics allege, however, that its steely culture is hard on a workforce increasingly managed by young graduates, whose devotion and enthusiasm are matched only by their lack of operational experience.

Do not press snooze

For a flavour of what it is like working for AB InBev, register online to join its elite global management training programme. A short game tests whether you have what it takes, as you play the role of an up-and-coming trainee preparing a presentation. One clue: when your alarm goes off at 6am and the game offers you the option of a few minutes’ lie-in, do not press “snooze”.

In 2014, nearly 100,000 applied for 147 graduate jobs. The admission hurdles get progressively higher with up to seven interviews and exercises, including a final stage in which candidates might be asked to judge which of their interviewers they would select. Each trainee starts with the same ambition. In the words of Ties Soeters, a graduate of the scheme who has worked for AB InBev for eight years: “Everyone has a belief they could be Brito.”

Mr Brito himself had to hustle to become “Brito”. As a young executive at Shell in Brazil, he successfully asked Jorge Paulo Lemann, a financier and former Brazilian tennis champion, for funds to pursue an MBA at Stanford.

Not long afterwards, in 1989, Mr Lemann and his partners — Marcel Telles and Carlos Alberto Sicupira — led the purchase of Brahma, a local brewer. Mr Brito ended up working for them, playing a pivotal role in Brahma’s audacious deal-led expansion.

First it morphed into a regional powerhouse, Ambev. Then, in 2004, it joined forces with Belgium’s Interbrew, maker of Stella Artois and Beck’s, to create InBev, a merger topped by the $52bn Anheuser-Busch deal four years later.
The Brazilian billionaires have put their native country on the investor map. Richard Dobbs of McKinsey Global Institute cites “Brazilians running one of the best US companies better than the Americans” as an example of emerging markets’ growing power.

AB InBev sees itself as a meritocracy. Luiz Fernando Edmond was on its first management trainee programme in Brazil in 1990 and is now head of sales. “I came here with nothing,” he says. “If you work hard, you focus on your results and you work with people, bring people together, promote people better than you, you have a chance to become a CEO of the company.”

A second clear principle is that every employee should behave like an owner-entrepreneur, committed to building the company and not, in Mr Brito’s words, to “building their résumés”.

This translates into a fierce attention to costs. AB InBev executives stay in the same mid-market hotels as team members and travel in the same class of airline seat — economy for short-haul, business class for some longer-haul flights. “We don’t torture our people,” jokes Mr Brito.

Zero-based budgeting — in which planned expenditure is reset to zero each year — is one element of control. Meanwhile, benchmarking and other efficiency and quality programmes are inspired by Japanese lean manufacturing, which revolutionised Brahma after it was introduced in the 1990s by Vic­ente Falconi, a Brazilian management consultant who still advises the group.

Mr Falconi laughs as he recalls meeting German brewmasters who behaved as though brewing was a magical thing: “Beer isn’t magic; beer is process.”

Other elements of the culture are informality and transparency. For his FT interview, Mr Brito is preppily dressed in pressed jeans and blue shirt with an embroidered red Budweiser logo. Staff are encouraged to quiz their leaders, who sit at central desks in open-plan offices. Younger staff liken it to the way start-up employees have access to their company’s founder-entrepreneur.

Do not confuse transparency with equality, however. Considerable rewards, in cash and equity, are available to those who hit tough targets at company, unit and individual level. Miss them and bonuses vanish. “In our company we say that fairness is to treat different people differently,” explains Mr Brito. He earned €2.2m last year in salary and bonus, but also received an exceptional options grant in 2008, set to be worth more than €250m at current share prices, for integrating Anheuser-Busch and cutting deal-related debt.

Performance is constantly monitored, and reviewed formally once a year, using 360-degree feedback. Underperforming staff are given six to nine months to improve. Mr Brito denies AB InBev operates a forced ranking system. Yet, he says, at some point you must say to laggards: “Look, you’re a very smart guy, there are other companies out there but for us it’s not working. You live only once, don’t waste your time here, go somewhere else while you are young.”

‘Too rich to care, too old to work’

In 2008, after the InBev team had done its triage of the Anheuser-Busch management, Mr Brito says he “changed the whole first tier … Some were too rich to care, some were too old to work, some wouldn’t fit the culture anyway”. One senior former Anheuser-Busch executive recalls, with something like awe, how the company took tough decisions without emotion, based only on the best interests of the business.

Others are more critical. One Belgian union official, speaking on condition of anonymity, complains about “cost-chasing” — including petty approval requirements for reordering printer ink. He alludes to the rapid churn of managers, saying, “bosses are only in place for three years maximum and then they have to go somewhere else. We have a culture that’s not long term — nothing is stable”.

On Glassdoor, a site that allows staff and former staff to rate employers anonymously, its rating is lower than that of three main rivals — SABMiller, Molson Coors and Heineken — in every area except career opportunities and business outlook. Comments, impossible to verify, refer repeatedly to the pressure. “The workload is completely unrealistic but they keep trimming headcount,” said one person described as a “former full-time employee” in March. “Everyone is so stressed out that there is lots of fighting and tension.”

The group’s global HQ in Leuven, 30km east of Brussels, is decorated with poster-size reminders that AB InBev staff “pour themselves into their work”. Even young and ambitious staff admit that maintaining a social life is hard. Adrien Mahieu, who joined five years ago having worked at his family business, says outsiders sometimes say AB InBev trainees have been “brainwashed”: “My brother can’t understand how deeply involved in the company I am, because I sometimes assume more ownership for ABI than for my own shares [in the family company].”

Freddy Delvaux is emeritus professor of brewing at KU Leuven university, and now runs a small craft brewery with his sons, called De Kroon. He too uses the term “brainwashed” to describe AB InBev staff he has encountered as a teacher. At first it seems positive, he says, “but I’m not so sure: they are also instilling a company view and they create an enormous internal competition”. To get promotion at AB InBev, he jokes, first “you have to kill three others”.

The company encourages a sense of discomfort. Mr Brito says: “We believe that people only grow when [they’re] from time to time sat outside of [their] comfort zone.” When smugness sets in, the group “shakes the tree” to reproduce the rush of having to learn something new quickly. Mr Soeters, who has never worked in one role for more than two years, says: “I never get to that stage of being bored and looking elsewhere.”

Jim Collins, the business author and an ardent admirer of AB InBev’s obsessive culture, wrote in the foreword to Dream Big, Cristiane Correa’s book about Mr Lemann, Mr Telles and Mr Sicupira, that “when fanatics come together with other fanatics, the multiplicative effect is unstoppable”.

Mr Brito offers a parallel with swimmer Michael Phelps’s tireless efforts to become the most decorated Olympic athlete ever. What the analogy leaves out is that Mr Phelps will eventually retire for good. Mr Brito, in his latest letter to shareholders, says AB InBev intends to create investor value “for the next 100 years”.

Part two tomorrow: AB InBev’s growth challenge and how the brewer could tackle it


BRITO IN HIS OWN WORDS
On AB InBev culture: “This is [a] very deep, ingrained culture and … if you like it, you love it. It’s about common sense. I always say great athletes and students do the same thing. They have a great dream … they surround themselves with the best people they can find and they own what they’re doing, they’re not being forced. That’s why they’re successful.”

On ranking and rewards: “People that are brighter, more committed, deliver more, produce more, create more value, build better teams, are better leaders, inspire people to achieve higher things — those guys need to be treated in a very different way than the other guys that are good, but not amazing.”

On preventing complacency: “Every year we look at the top talents and we say, OK, are they stretched, are they getting too comfortable? … [If they are] it’s time for us to start taking people more often out of their comfort zones … Let’s shake the tree and get people to feel underdogs again and [feel] that crunch, that ‘Oh my God, I have to learn this, I’m excited, this is new!’”

On benchmarking: “Our whole life here as managers is looking for those companies that do it better than we do — in different industries of course because then we can visit them, we can talk to them, get to know where they are in that specific metric compared to where we are — and that’s the gap … I would say we’ll never get there because there’s always more to do.”

On perks and company cars: “People are never happy … Whichever car you assign them to drive they’ll always say, ‘Oh yeah but my colleague drives a different car’. Forget it. Let’s focus on the business and pay a great bonus if the results are good. You buy your car, do whatever you want.”

On the benefits and risks of size: “If you’re a large company you have access to things, you have resources, you can attract great people because you have career opportunities to offer, you can enter new markets because you have amazing brands … Then again, you have to fight every day that you don’t become too bureaucratic or slow, or too many controls … [It’s] just like your grass at home. It’s only a nice garden if you work every week on it. If you just look to the other side for two months, weeds will start to creep in.”

(Recode.net) Here’s What Happens to Your $10 After You Pay for a Month of Apple

You don’t have to pay anything to try Apple’s new streaming music service, since the company will offer a free three-month trial when it launches at the end of June.

But if you stick around after that, you’ll need to pay $10 a month for the on-demand, all-you-can-eat subscription service. And Apple will end up passing along more than $7 of that to music labels, music publishers and other music owners.

The fact that Apple will pay music rights owners around 70 percent of its revenue shouldn’t be a surprise to industry music observers, since that’s a fairly standard ratio. But the issue came up last week when a copy of an Apple Music contract surfaced online, along with the suggestion that Apple was only going to pay out 58 percent of its revenue.

Here are the real numbers, according to Robert Kondrk, the Apple executive who negotiates music deals along with media boss Eddy Cue: In the U.S., Apple will pay music owners 71.5 percent of Apple Music’s subscription revenue. Outside the U.S., the number will fluctuate, but will average around 73 percent, he told Re/code in an interview. Executives at labels Apple is working with confirmed the figures.

Those totals include payments to the people who own the sound recordings Apple Music will play, as well as the people who own the publishing rights to songs’ underlying compositions. That doesn’t mean the money will necessarily go to the musicians who recorded or wrote the songs, since their payouts are governed by often-byzantine contracts with music labels and publishers.

Apple won’t pay music owners anything for the songs that are streamed during Apple Music’s three-month trial period, a bone of contention with music labels during negotiations for the new service. But Kondrk says Apple’s payouts are a few percentage points higher than the industry standard, in part to account for the lengthy trial period; most paid subscription services offer a free one-month trial.

The big exception to the industry standard is Spotify, which offers a $10-a-month paid service, along with free versions that offer unlimited, ad-supported, on-demand music on desktop PCs, and more restricted free music on phones. Apple has campaigned against Spotify’s freemium model, and top label executives have pushed Spotify to pull back on free as well.

Spotify spokesman Jonathan Prince points out that Apple offers its own free music via its iTunes Radio service, and will offer more via the Beats 1 radio service that it’ll launch alongside its paid service; Apple will pay music owners a much lower fee for music streamed on those options, which don’t allow them to call up songs on-demand. Says Prince: “We pay royalties on every single listen, including trial offers and our mobile free custom radio service, and that adds up to approximately 70 percent of our total revenues, as it always has.”

Apple’s pitch to the music industry, essentially, is that its seven-tenths of a dollar will be worth much more than Spotify’s seven-tenths of a dollar in the long run, because its free service isn’t meant to compete with its paid service, and because it will sign up many more subscribers than Spotify, which says it has 20 million paying users.

>>> US Gapping down

Gapping down
Select large pharma showing early weakness
: SNY -2.3%, NVS -2.3%, NVO -1.8%, LLY -1.8%, GSK -1.5%, SHPG -0.9%

M&A news: DSKY -7.3% (CEO/Chrmn offered to take the co private for $14.00 in cash/ADS), UTX -2% (to spin off helicopter business; will pursue a separation of Sikorsky from the rest of UTC; revises guidance)

Select EU financial related names showing weakness: DB -3.3%, ING -3.3%, RBS -2.9%, HSBC -1.9%, BCS -1.8%

Select metals/mining stocks trading lower: SCCO -5.6%, MT -2.4%, FCX -2.3%, BHP -1.5%, GFI -1.3%, GDX -0.5%

Select oil/gas related names showing early weakness: STO -2.2%, RIG -1.5%, BP -1.3%, SDRL -1.1%, MRO -0.8%

Other news: NBG -15.6% (negotiations betw Greece and creditors broke off over wkend), UBS -1.5% (files for offering of debt securities and warrants, size not disclosed), NFLX -1.2% (Alibaba (BABA) may soon introduce its own streaming service, according to Reuters), .

Analyst comments: SCSS -3.1% (downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Wedbush), MU -2.9% (downgraded to Underweight from Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley), SNDK -1.6% (downgraded to Equal-Weight from Overweight at Morgan Stanley
)