Asia Mid-Session Market Update: China Industrial Profit growth accelerates; Oil prices fall as Saudi min talks down need for output cut; US holiday spending up low double-digits
***Friday US markets on close: Dow +0.4%, S&P500 +0.4%, Nasdaq +0.3%***
- At the close: VIX 12.3 (-0.1pts); Treasuries: 2-yr 1.12% (flat), 10-yr 2.37% (+2bps), 30-yr 3.02% (flat)
- Best Sector in S&P500: Conglomerates
- Worst Sector in S&P500: Basic Materials
***Weekend US Corporate Headlines***
- BA: WTO expected to find Boeing has received illegal state subsidies for its 777X - financial press
- UTX: Said to hold talks with incoming administration of Pres-elect Trump about preserving US jobs and potential tax overhaul discussed by Republican leadership - press
***Politics***
- (US) Clinton campaign says it will join efforts by the Green Party to push for recounts in some battleground states that had close margins of victory for Trump
- (FR) Alain Juppe concedes defeat in French presidential center-right primary; Fillon wins with estimated 68.2% of the vote
- (IT) Italy PM Renzi: Referendum measure to reduce the number of Senate members by 2/3rd (from over 300 to 100) is not to curb democracy but rather reduce bureaucracy - CBS 60 Minutes interview
- (KR) Hundreds of thousands of people marched in Seoul, demanding that Pres Park steps down as the leader of South Korea - press
***Asia Session Notable Observations, Speakers and Press***
- JPY leads in an active FX session as USD falls across the board amid growing uncertainty going into Wednesday OPEC meeting and Sunday referendum in Italy and elections in Austria; US presidential transition wrinkled by potential Clinton challenge of polls in battleground states.
- According to Adobe, Black Friday and Thanksgiving Day shopping totaled $5.27B, +17.7% y/y; Separately, comScore saw 25-days of US holiday spending up 12% at $24.5B.
- Fillon victorious in France center-right primaries; Juppe concedes.
- Crude oil falls as much as 2% on reports Saudi energy min no longer sees the need for production cuts ahead of Wednesday meeting in Vienna; Ministers to hold preliminary talks in Russia on Monday.
- China Industrial Profit growth rises; NBS notes structure of growth not ideal as profit of raw material production increased while tech and equipment profit growth slowed.
- BOE Gov Carney floated a buffer period for companies as part of Brexit process negotiations; Rejected by Brexit leaders.
Energy:
- OPEC attempting last-ditch effort to secure agreement for production cut even as Saudi Arabia is now suggesting reduction of output is not needed; Ministers are flying to Russia for talks ahead of the meeting in Vienna this Wednesday.
China:
- (CN) PBoC Deputy Gov Yi Gang: yuan still a strong currency, should stabilize - financial press
- (CN) Moody's: Outlook for China's residential property market in 2017 is stable
- (CN) China should raise fiscal deficit to 3.5% from 3.0% and rely more on fiscal policy in 2017 - Chinese press op/ed
- (CN) JZ Securities chief economist: PBOC has effectively engineered a 25bp rate increase through the use of money market operations - press
- (CN) Societe Generale SAs chief China economist: China's "gyration of bubbles" has been heating up the commodities market - press
Japan:
- (JP) Japan PM Abe's Council on Economic and Fiscal Policy approves budget guidelines, targeting spending of ¥97T for FY17/18, up form ¥96.7T in FY16/17 - Nikkei
- (JP) Japan PM Abe: Free trade is at a crossroads, want to keep pushing TPP
Australia:
- (AU) JPMorgan: Australia quarterly CAPEX data due out this week will not be as dire as in recent surveys - press
- (AU) Australia Treasurer Morrison: No plans to take advice from former PM Abbott and his budget measures, including a A$7 Medicare co-payment and deregulation of all university fees - AFR
***Asian Equity Markets/Futures (23:30ET)***
- Nikkei225 -0.4%, S&P/ASX -0.6%, Kospi +0.4%, Shanghai Composite +0.5%, Hang Seng +0.7%
- Equity Futures: S&P500 -0.2%, Dax -0.2%, FTSE100 -0.1%
***FX ranges/Commodities/Fixed Income (23:30ET):***
- EUR 1.0595-1.0685; JPY 111.40-113.00; AUD 0.7430-0.7480; NZD 0.7030-0.7090
- Dec gold +1.2% at $1,192/oz, Jan crude oil -0.5% at $45.85/brl, Mar copper +0.4% at $2.69/lb
- GLD: SPDR Gold Trust ETF daily holdings fall 6.6 tonnes to 885.0 tonnes; 11th straight decline; lowest since June 8th
- SLV: iShares Silver Trust ETF daily holdings fall to 10,766 tonnes from 10,796 tonnes prior; 6th straight decline; lowest since July 12th
- USD/CNY: (CN) PBOC SETS YUAN MID POINT AT 6.9042 V 6.9168 PRIOR
- (JP) BOJ offers to buy ¥410B in 5-10yr JGBs, ¥190B in 10-25yr, ¥110B in JGBs with maturity over 25-yr, and ¥25B in inflation-indexed JGBs
- (KR) South Korea sells 3-yr Govt bonds at 1.773%
- (KR) BOK sells KRW300B in 3-month bills at 1.5%
***Key economic data:***
- (CN) CHINA OCT INDUSTRIAL PROFITS Y/Y: 9.8% V 7.7% PRIOR; YTD: 8.6% V 8.4% PRIOR
- (TH) Thailand Oct Customs Trade Balance: $0.25B v $1.9Be
***Asia movers***
- Western Areas WSA.AU: Enters into a 3-yr offtake contract with Tsingshan Group; +5.1%
- Metcash MTS.AU: Reports H1 Underlying Net A$82.8M v A$84Me, EBIT A$128M v A$135Me; Rev A$6.63B v A$6.7Be; +4.3%
- IOOF Holdings IFL.AU: Perpetual may have revised interest in potential takeover of IOOF Holdings - Australian; +4.1%
- Regis Resources RRL.AU: Goldman Sachs Raised RRL.AU to Neutral from Sell; +2.9%
- Tabcorp TAH.AU: Ladbrokes Coral said to be interested in making an offer for Tabcorp; offer expected to be a mix of cash and shares - UK press; +1.9%
- Canon 7751.JP: CLSA Raised CAJ to Outperform from Underperform; +1.6%
- ANZ.AU: In advanced talks with HNA Group to its divest UDC financing business , valued around A$550M - AFR; -1.3%
- Amcor AMC.AU: Credit Suisse Cuts AMC.AU to Neutral from Outperform; -4.1%
- Alco Holdings 328.HK: Reports H1 Net profit HK$46.2M v HK$71.1M y/y, Op profit HK$49.8M v HK$69.4M y/y, Rev HK$931M v HK$1.38B y/y; -13.9%