>>> TradeGate Pre-Market Indications

DAX:
  • Puma (PUM TH) +1.5%
  • Infineon (IFX TH) +1.4%
    • Watch Chip Stocks as TSMC’s August Sales Climb 59% From Year Ago
  • Bayer (BAYN TH) +1.2%
  • Deutsche Bank (DBK TH) +1.1%
  • Airbus (AIR TH) +0.9%
  • VW (VOW3 TH) +0.6%
  • Deutsche Telekom (DTE TH) +0.4%
    • Apple’s New IPhone Sets Off Slew of Wireless Carrier Promotions
  • HeidelbergCement (HEI TH) +0.4%
  • BASF (BAS TH) +0.4%
MDAX:
  • Freenet (FNTN TH) +1.9%
  • Varta (VAR1 TH) +1.8%
  • Siemens Energy (ENR TH) +1.5%
    • Rising Rates Spur String of Convertible Bond Sales: ECM Watch
  • Commerzbank (CBK TH) +1.3%
  • Lanxess (LXS TH) +0.9%
  • K+S (SDF TH) +0.5%
  • Uniper (UN01 TH) +0.5%
  • ProSieben (PSM TH) -1.2%
    • Morgan Stanley Stays Defensive in Media, Cuts ProSieben, ITV
  • Thyssenkrupp (TKA TH) -1.6%
    • Yday, Thyssenkrupp Shares Jump on Report Hydrogen Unit to File for IPO
SDAX:
  • Schaeffler (SHA TH) +2%
  • DIC Asset (DIC TH) +1.5%
  • Deutz (DEZ TH) +1.5%
  • SMA Solar (S92 TH) +1.4%
  • Shop Apotheke (SAE TH) +0.7%
  • VERBIO Vereinigte (VBK TH) +0.4%
  • PNE AG (PNE3 TH) +0.4%
  • Hensoldt (HAG TH) -0.5%

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 8th of September 2022

>>> Up
* AIB Group Raised to Buy at Berenberg; PT 3.20 euros
* Coloplast Raised to Buy at Berenberg; PT 1,030 kroner
* Epiroc Raised to Buy at HSBC; PT 200 kronor
* Moderna Raised to Buy at Deutsche Bank
* Munters Raised to Buy at Nordea; PT 102 kronor
* Ocado Raised to Equal-Weight at Barclays; PT 775 pence
* Roche Raised to Buy at Jefferies; PT 375 Swiss francs
* SSP Raised to Add at Numis; PT 245 pence

>>> Down
* AJ Bell Cut to Underperform at Jefferies; PT 220 pence
* Asos Cut to Hold at Jefferies; PT 775 pence
* Atos Cut to Sell at Goldman; PT 8 euros
* Auto Trader Cut to Hold at Peel Hunt; PT 650 pence
* Aveva Cut to Hold at HSBC; PT 3,090 pence
* Clas Ohlson Cut to Hold at Nordea
* GSK ADRs Cut to Hold at Jefferies; PT $34
* GSK Cut to Hold at Jefferies; PT 1,475 pence
* ITV Cut to Underweight at Morgan Stanley; PT 55 pence
* PolyPeptide Group Cut to Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley
* ProSieben Cut to Underweight at Morgan Stanley; PT 7 euros
* Siegfried Cut to Sector Perform at RBC; PT 860 Swiss francs
* Thales Cut to Hold at SocGen; PT 137 euros

>>> Initiation
* A2A Rated New Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley; PT 1.35 euros
* AMD Rated New Buy at Stifel; PT $122
* Intel Rated New Hold at Stifel; PT $32
* Krones Rated New Hold at Berenberg; PT 90 euros
* Lattice Semi Rated New Hold at Stifel; PT $60
* Nvidia Rated New Hold at Stifel; PT $165
* Opdenergy Rated New Outperform at Grupo Santander; PT 6.40 euros
* Publicis Resumed Buy at Redburn
* Treatt Rated New Buy at Berenberg; PT 680 pence

>>> Call
* A2A New Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley With Visibility Limited
* Coloplast Offers Rare Buying Opportunity, Berenberg Upgrades
* Morgan Stanley Stays Defensive in Media, Cuts ProSieben, ITV
* Redburn More Constructive on Ad Agencies, Publicis Resumed Buy

>>> What to look at today - 8th of September 2022

An Asian stock gauge rebounded Thursday from the lowest level since 2020 but the move trailed a Wall Street rally as the dollar renewed its climb and crude oil edged higher. Japan paced a 0.8% rise in the regional index that fell short of rallies of about 2% in the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 overnight. Hong Kong and China were subdued and US futures fluctuated as traders evaluated the stock revival. A dollar gauge rose and remains near a record. Greenback strength has rattled currencies like the yen and the pound, which earlier hit the lowest since 1985.
Treasuries held a climb, leaving the 10-year yield at 3.25%. Bonds got a boost from an oil plunge that put the spotlight on the possibility of cooling inflation. Australian 10-year yields slid as much as 12 basis points, with investors awaiting a speech by the nation’s central bank governor. While oil has trimmed some of its retreat, this week’s swoon flags demand risks from a wave of monetary tightening and China’s Covid travails -- the megacity of Chengdu extended a weeklong lockdown in most downtown areas. Central banks are walking a tightrope, raising interest rates sharply to tackle inflation while remaining leery of sparking a damaging economic contraction in the process. The uncertainty is whipsawing markets and has saddled equities and bonds with steep losses this year. Fed officials reiterated their determination to get inflation under control. Vice Chair Lael Brainard said interest rates will need to rise to restrictive levels, while cautioning risks would become more two-sided in the future. Chair Jerome Powell is due to speak on Thursday. US After Hours AEO -14.2% falls on EPS miss, will pause dividend; others down on earnings/guidance: CURV -11%, AVAV -5.2%, DSGX -4%, MKC -3.5%; ASAN +17.7%, GME +11.3% higher on earnings; W -7.5% falls on convertible offering

Nikkei +2,05% Hang Seng -0,41% CSI +0,08% Shanghai +0,01% Shenzen 60,32%

Eur$ 0,9988 CNH 6,9747 CNY 6,9679 JPY 144,19 GBP 1,1509 CHF 0,9780 RUB 61,6560 TRY 18,2328 WTI$ 82,67 +0,7% Gold 1,715 -2% BTC 19,250 ETH 1,631

S&P +0,08% Nasdaq +0,13% EuroStoxx +0,54% FTSE +0,16% Dax +0,48% SMI +0,35%

Macro :
- China Megacity Chengdu Extends Lockdown as Covid Cases Rise
- China Overtakes US With $306 Billion Corporate Credit Boom
- Germany Plans to Extend Bankruptcy Aid Programs: Habeck to RND
- Goldman Lifts Forecasts for Fed Hikes in September and November

Keep an eye on :
- AKER NO : Kongsberg, PGS, Var Energi to Be Included in Norway’s OBX Index
- AAPL US : Apple iPhone 14 Lacks Upgrades, Unlikely to Fuel Sales: React
- ASTO LN : Parmenion Owners Prepare Stake Sale at GBP400m Valuation: Sky
- AVST LN : HomeServe to Replace Avast in FTSE 100 Index
- BAR BB : Barco Sees Ebitda Margin Over Next Three Years Between 14%-18%
- BASLN SW : Basilea Pharmaceutica Basilea: Sale of Preclinical Oncology
- CABK SM : Spain to Increase Caixabank Stake to 17% From 16%: Confidencial
- CA FP : Carrefour, Auchan Probed Over Alleged $1.8 Billion Italy Fraud
- CRI FP : Chargeurs 1H Recurring Operating Profit EU25.4M Vs. EU34M Y/y
- ACA FP : Credit Ag Confirms Intention to Buy ~4.8% of Credit Ag Egypt
- DIS US : Disney CFO Says ESPN Is a Key Part of Company’s Portfolio
- EDPR PL : EDPR Completes Purchase of Two Solar Energy Projects in Vietnam
- EQT SS : EQT Secures $2.5 Billion in Credit Lines for Acquisition
- ENX FP : Euronext Aug. Total Cash Market Transaction Value M/M -3%
- EXO IM : Exor 1H Net Income EU265M Vs. EU838M Y/y
- GSK LN : Oxford Vaccine Raises Hope for Second Malaria Shot Following GSK
- GSAT US : Iridium Communications Sinks as Globalstar Reports Apple Pact
- GRF SM : Grifols Gets 15-Year Contract to Supply Canadian Blood Services
- HAFNI NO : Hafnia Holder Oaktree Capital Management Offers 44.1m Shares
- HELN SW : Helvetia 1H Business Volume CHF6.80B Vs. CHF6.94B Y/y
- HSV LN : HomeServe to Replace Avast in FTSE 100 Index
- IBE SM : Iberdrola Plans to Invest as Much as EUR3b in Australia
- KOG NO : Kongsberg, PGS, Var Energi to Be Included in Norway’s OBX Index
- DRLCO DC : Maersk Drilling Secures 6-Mo Extension for Drillship W/ Shell
- MRO LN : Melrose Plans to Spin Off GKN Division: FT
- NG/ LN : National Grid to Hold Canadian Fixed-Income Update Via RBC, TD
- RMG LN : UK’s CWU Declines to Call Off Strike Sept. 8-9, Royal Mail Says
- SGRE SM : Siemens Gamesa Wins Wind Turbine Patent Injunction Against GE
- SKAB SS : Skanska Signs Contract Amendment in the US Worth SEK4.1B
- SO FP : Somfy 1H Like-for-Like Sales +4.3%
- TOD IM : Tod's 1H Ebitda Beats Estimates
- TWTR US : Judge Slams Musk for Not Handing Over Records in Twitter Fight
- UBER US : Uber Begins Rolling Out Yellow Taxi Rides in New York City
- SAN SM : Santander Taps Ex-Indra Co-CEO for Digital, Names New Cards Head
- SBBB SS : SBB to Divest Property Worth SEK9b in Value
- SNAP US : Snap Shares Jump After Verge Report Highlights 2023 Outlook
- VLA FP : Valneva to Distribute VBI’s Hepatitis B Vaccine In Europe
- VAR NO : Kongsberg, PGS, Var Energi to Be Included in Norway’s OBX Index
- W US : Wayfair Falls After Offering $600m of Convertible Bonds

FT : Sotheby’s takes on galleries with new primary-market channel

Sotheby’s takes on galleries with new primary-market channel
All the buzz from Frieze Seoul; UK fair organiser urges new government to undo Brexit hurdles

Sotheby’s starts the art market season with a new sales channel for artists and their galleries. Called Artist’s Choice, the move into the primary market — territory normally guarded by galleries — will ruffle some feathers but has been welcomed by the likes of Casey Kaplan and Jeffrey Deitch. Their respective artists Kevin Beasley and Kennedy Yanko are among the seven included in Sotheby’s New York auction on September 30.

The launch comes on the back of a similar project debuted this summer by the auctioneer Simon de Pury and meets two distinct needs, says Noah Horowitz, Sotheby’s head of gallery and private dealer services. “With the right work, at the right time, artists and galleries can directly capture the upside at auction, which for the most part has not been the case. It is also a useful way for some to set a [public] price for their work, which is helpful to new buyers,” Horowitz says.

Artist’s Choice has a philanthropic bent, with 15 per cent of a work’s hammer price, jointly paid by the artist/gallery and Sotheby’s, going to a charity of the artist’s choosing — something that Horowitz says has helped encourage artist support for the new channel. The other participants this month are Alexandre Lenoir, Vaughn Spann (both Almine Rech gallery), Atsushi Kaga (mother’s tankstation), Katherina Olschbaur (Nicodim Gallery) and Todd Gray (David Lewis), with presale estimates ranging from $15,000 to $120,000

The highly anticipated first edition of the Frieze art fair in Seoul (September 2-5) seems to have paid off, generating heightened cultural activity in the Korean capital and vigorous sales reported from its 110 international exhibitors. Event appearances from the likes of K-pop phenom RM (Kim Nam-joon of BTS) and stars from Squid Game added to the buzz.

Frieze’s decision to piggyback on the longstanding local Kiaf Seoul fair — which fielded 164 exhibitors on the ground floor of the same Coex conference building — unsurprisingly took some of the commercial activity away from the older fair but overall served both fairs well, attendees say. “There were more overseas visitors than usual at Kiaf and many more overseas galleries,” notes Heejin No, an art adviser and curator based in London and Seoul. Only three of the 37 new exhibitors at Kiaf were from South Korea, with others from places as far-flung as Los Angeles and the Philippines, including Galleria Continua, Cristea Roberts Gallery and Rachel Uffner Gallery — plus Axel Vervoordt, who showed at both fairs.

While many of the western exhibitors are keen to diversify their presence in Asia, it will take time for Seoul to match Hong Kong as a market hub. But the presence of the continent’s serious collecting community — from Taiwan, Hong Kong and the Philippines as well as South Korea itself — already marks the fair as significant within Asia, according to No. The only fly in the ointment, she says, was that “sales would have been even faster if the US dollar wasn’t so strong.”


Christie’s used the Seoul sense of occasion for the first showing of its latest consignment, David Hockney’s “Early Morning, Sainte-Maxime” (1969), on offer in October for £7mn-£10mn. The striking purple-hued painting, based on photographs taken on a trip to the French Riviera with Hockney’s great love, Peter Schlesinger, previously sold at auction in 1988 for $352,000. Its buyer then has not been named, but the work comes by descent from a UK collection, Christie’s confirms.

The auction house could have a bumper season, having announced last month the consignment of 150 works from the late Microsoft co-founder Paul Allen. The potential total haul is touted at more than $1bn, which would make it the biggest single-owner sale ever. All proceeds will go towards philanthropic causes.

WWD : Fabrizio Cardinali Maps Out Strategy for Etro’s New Phase

Fabrizio Cardinali Maps Out Strategy for Etro’s New Phase
The executive revealed the steps he is taking to render Etro more contemporary while staying true to its codes and values.

MILAN — “The planets aligned” when L Catterton and the Etro family agreed to set in motion the next phase of the Italian brand in July last year, believes Fabrizio Cardinali.

In his first interview since his official appointment last December as chief executive officer of Etro following the closing of a sale of a majority stake to L Catterton, Cardinali, who is also an investor, underscored the commitment of the fund and of the Etro family to turn around the company with a long-term view.

The first, most public step taken by Cardinali was to name Marco De Vincenzo creative director of the brand in May. The designer’s first collection for Etro will bow on Sept. 23 during Milan Fashion Week. The executive revealed that, in addition to the brand’s spring 2023 lineup, De Vincenzo will launch a small see now, buy now collection of upcycled archival fabrics to be immediately available exclusively on Mytheresa globally, as well as on Etro’s site.

This is representative of the goal to highlight Etro’s longtime sustainable practices and to approach a younger consumer through more contemporary tools. In addition to praising De Vincenzo’s “use of color, knowledge of fabrics and fashion,” Cardinali said that the designer is “a creative talent with so much good taste, but he is also very concrete, with his feet firmly planted on the ground. He is appreciative of the company’s history, and has realized that, while ahead on so many fronts, many initiatives were often not widely known to the general public.”

This includes highlighting Etro’s Made in Italy production and its sustainable practices. For example, Cardinali cited the BenEtroEssere collection in a denim fabric that combines organic cotton and elastane recycled in sustainable processes reducing energy consumption, water and polluting chemicals, which was first launched in 2002.

Kean Etro, who held the role of menswear designer before the arrival of De Vincenzo, started talking in 2001 about being green and responsible through his collections and shows, 20 years before environmental sustainability became a subject seriously taken into consideration by the international fashion industry. He launched alternative, certified sustainable materials under the BenEtroEssere label.

“Etro’s codes and values of art, culture, inclusion and self-expression are well-defined and these will stay on, but they will be developed in a more contemporary way,” said Cardinali. “L Catterton, Marco, I myself are cognizant of these codes and in tune with the Etro family in modernizing the brand” — hence the planetary alignment.

Founder Gerolamo “Gimmo” Etro was named the company’s chairman upon the arrival of L Catterton. His children Veronica, Kean and Jacopo were previously creative directors of the women’s, men’s and home collections, respectively.

Cardinali said the goal is to more than double Etro’s 2021 sales and reach 500 million euros in five years. “In the first six months of 2022 we’ve seen a double-digit growth in revenues,” said Cardinali, who leverages 25 years of experience in the luxury industry. He joined Etro from Dolce & Gabbana, where he held several roles with the company, and most recently served as chief operating officer and executive member of the board since June 2017.

His nearly 13-year tenure at Dolce & Gabbana was interspersed with five years at Compagnie Financière Richemont, where he held the role of CEO of fashion brands ranging from Dunhill to Lancel.

Asked about a potential public listing, he said it was too early to think of an exit and underscored that L Catterton is looking at a long-term project for Etro. “We are excited and happy about the prospects,” observed Cardinali.

He is aware of the macroeconomic and political challenges, admitting “Russia was not a negligible market” for the brand and that China “was growing triple digits” while being dented by the “on and off” restrictions enforced to curb the COVID-19 pandemic.

Cardinali is focused on expanding business in Asia, where China is “under penetrated,” and in America.

There are seven directly operated stores and three outlets in China, and the plan is to open 20 units with a new partner. “We also tested Tmall and the response was excellent — we sold 200 bags in two hours during Chinese Valentine’s Day,” he remarked, noting that digital investments are a priority in China.

Etro will also launch a new site in February and is working on developing an omnichannel platform in 2023, as it continues to build its relations with e-tailers from Farfetch to Yoox Net-a-porter — deals that help add visibility to the brand.

He said “60 percent of the significant investments we are earmarking” will be channeled into digital communication, content and channels. “The brand is healthy, but the company needed additional dynamism at the level of innovation, product and communication,” said Cardinali.

This dynamism was reflected by Etro’s decision to approach the metaverse, holding a “Liquid Paisley” fashion show during Decentraland’s fashion week last March. “We don’t know what will happen in the future, but we saw the creation of 1,300 avatars in three hours.” He said that the company has already registered a “a growing interest” from younger consumers in the brand, which bodes well for his strategy to rejuvenate the customer base.

Etro will also unveil a new store concept in February to reflect De Vincenzo’s creativity. “We are changing the customer experience and our selling ceremony,” said Cardinali. The existing and new stores will be modeled after this blueprint.

There are 20 directly operated stores in Korea, which is a solid market, and 50 doors in Japan.

In the U.S., there are 13 stores, and the region accounts for almost 20 percent of sales. But Cardinali sees business “accelerating,” relying on strong brand awareness and equity. He is planning new openings, but was mum on details at this point.

He is also negotiating a joint venture agreement in the Middle East, another market he believes is underdeveloped and that has high potential. There is one store in Dubai, one in Qatar and one in Saudi Arabia.

In total and globally, Etro has 140 directly operated stores. In Europe, which is its biggest market, the brand is present in main cities and streets, from Old Bond Street in London to Via Montenapoleone in Milan, so the objective is to refurbish those boutiques.

Asked about the rising costs of energy, shipments and raw materials, Cardinali said that “right from the start, coinciding with the change in governance, we began a collaboration with suppliers in Italy, who embraced the project, and bought the raw materials. This move helped us cover the structural increases for 12 to 18 months.”

Producing close to home, the shipments are outbound and Cardinali has reduced the parceling of shipments. “We ship less and better.”

He underscored that the turnaround rests on “growing the quality of the product in a higher positioning, so that the reasonable increases in prices are part of the relaunch.” For example, he said he has ruled out all plastic zips. “And Marco is in sync with us; he has very high expectations, working with the likes of Fendi.”

The designer is a former winner of the Vogue Italia “Who Is on Next?” talent search, and has been working for years on accessories as a consultant for Fendi with Karl Lagerfeld and Silvia Venturini Fendi. While focusing his time on Etro, he will continue to consult with Fendi.

His eye for bold colors, labor-intensive clothes, optical effects, rich fabrics and sophisticated embellishments caught Cardinali’s eye, and his experience with accessories is expected to contribute to the category at Etro.

“Etro has all the characteristics of a lifestyle brand,” said Cardinali.

Womenswear represents 65 percent of sales but he touted the potential of menswear, which is growing steadily, and the home collection is seeing “a fabulous demand.”

Cardinali is currently discussing the licenses for the production and distribution of eyewear and perfumes, which were previously manufactured in-house.

To grow Etro, Cardinali is also relying on a key asset: “Our human capital — it’s moving to see how this project has been fully embraced.”

WWD : PVH Insiders Double Down and Extend Stock Holdings

PVH Insiders Double Down and Extend Stock Holdings
CEO Stefan Larsson, Zac Coughlin and Martijn Hagman all saw a buying opportunity in the company’s stock.

It’s time to buy shares of PVH Corp. — or at least that’s the vibe in the C-suite, where top executives showed their support for the company and upped their personal stakes.

A trio of filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission on Wednesday showed chief executive officer Stefan Larsson, executive vice president and chief financial officer Zac Coughlin and Tommy Hilfiger Global and PVH Europe CEO Martijn Hagman all doubled down on their holdings.

Larsson spent $1 million to buy 18,540 shares at $53.94 a piece, giving him a total of 136,541 shares. Hagman and Coughlin each spent $100,000 at similar prices. All the purchases were completed Tuesday.

So far, it’s been a good investment. Shares of the company rose 4.9 percent to $56.45 on Wednesday.

The executives are betting that trend continues after a stock slump.

Shares of PVH are down about 53 percent for the past year, compared with an 8.7 percent drop in the Dow Jones Industrial Average.

Larsson, who took the helm in February 2021, laid out his long term PVH+ strategic plan in April, setting a target to boost revenues to $12.5 billion by 2025, up from $9.2 billion last year.

The plan revolves around unlocking the full potential of the company’s two mega brands — Tommy Hilfiger and Calvin Klein.

But the consumer environment is not being kind to fashion this year, with inflation, war and pandemic all complicating, well, everything.

And there is still some settling going on at PVH, with the exit of Trish Donnelly, CEO of PVH Americas and Calvin Klein global. Her responsibilities are being split into two roles, but for now Larsson is directly leading PVH Americas and Calvin Klein Global.

FT : Turnround specialist Melrose to spin off auto business in GKN break-up

Turnround specialist Melrose to spin off auto business in GKN break-up
Demerged company will aim to start trading next year as it splits from aerospace business

Melrose Industries plans to spin off the GKN automotive division as a new UK-listed company as it breaks up one of Britain’s oldest engineering businesses.

The FTSE 100 turnround specialist, which acquired the car parts and aerospace components manufacturer in a bitter £8bn takeover in 2018, is expected to confirm the move on Thursday.

Under the plan, Melrose will separate GKN’s automotive and smaller powder metallurgy businesses from its aerospace arm through a demerger of shares, according to people familiar with the situation.

The automotive company, one of the world’s leading suppliers of vehicle driveshafts, will aim to trade on the London Stock Exchange next year under a yet-undecided name.

Melrose will retain ownership of GKN Aerospace, a leading “tier one” supplier of airframe structures and engine components for aerospace and defence companies including Airbus and Rolls-Royce.

The move will give the automotive unit freedom to raise money in order to pursue acquisitions across the sector, which is expected to consolidate as suppliers come under greater pressure amid the shift towards electric vehicles.

About half of the new orders in GKN’s driveshaft business are for parts for electric models, which are made in the same factories as those that go into engine-driven cars.

The company has said it expects that 45 per cent of its work by 2025 will be for electric vehicles, which carry higher margins than its traditional contracts.

One-third of its automotive business is in Europe, with the majority in the US, where the shift to electric cars is expected to be slower, as well as operations in China.

Melrose, which had a market value of £5.6bn at close of play on Wednesday, is likely to fall out of the FTSE 100 index as a result of the split.

The demerged automotive group will account for approximately two-thirds of Melrose’s current projected revenues for 2022 of more than £7.5bn.

Liam Butterworth, the chief executive of GKN Automotive, is expected to become the head of the demerged business, with a separate chair to be appointed.

The demerger will finalise the break-up of GKN, one of Britain’s oldest engineering names that traces its roots to the late 1700s with the founding of an ironworks in south Wales.

Melrose, a turnround specialist with a loyal following in the City, acquired the company in 2018, sparking concerns from critics that it would dismantle the conglomerate.

The company, led by chief executive Simon Peckham, argues that it spots underperforming manufacturing businesses, restructures them and sells them. It has generated substantial returns for executives and shareholders over the years.

Under the terms of the takeover, Melrose gave a government undertaking not to sell the aerospace business for five years. That pledge expires next year.

Peckham has previously said the group would consider a break-up of GKN when the time was right and held out the prospect of a separate flotation for either the automotive or aerospace business.

The company in March said the turnround of the automotive business would be largely completed this year.

The recovery of the aerospace unit, which has been affected by the coronavirus-induced downturn in the aviation industry, is lagging behind, although Melrose told investors in June that its restructuring efforts were on track and gave a bullish assessment of the business.

It said at the time that it expected an annual revenue growth rate of 7 per cent to 2030 for the aerospace business, with a faster rebound predicted by 2025.

>>> US Close Dow +1,40% S&P +1,83% Nasdaq +2,14% Russell +2,21%

Closing Stock Market Summary

Today's trade had a general positive disposition thanks to a feeling that the market was due for a bounce from a short-term oversold condition. This narrative found support from cooling market rates and falling oil prices, as well as a welcome moderation in the dollar after its recent run. The S&P 500 held its ground at the psychologically important 3,900 level yesterday, which added to the positive sentiment. The Nasdaq broke its seven-session losing streak as the major indices all closed just off session highs.

The Wall Street Journal reported this morning that the Fed is likely to raise the fed funds rate by 75 basis points at its September 20-21 FOMC meeting. Buyers were not deterred by the report, and that resilience acted as another upside catalyst for the market on the basis that the rate hike had already been priced in.

There was also some hawkish comments from Fed officials for participants to digest today, which the market took in stride. Fed Vice Chair Brainard (FOMC voter) indicating that the policy rate will need to rise further while Cleveland Fed President Mester (FOMC voter) reiterated her previous view that rates will need to be taken to a restrictive level and that she does not anticipate a rate cut in 2023. 

The slight moderation in the US Dollar Index, which fell 0.6% to 109.58 today, helped the buying effort. The USD/JPY, up 1.5% at its peak today, was up 0.7% to 143.83. The EUR/USD was up 1.1% to 1.0010.

Buying was broad based as advancers outpaced decliners by a 3-to-1 margin at the NYSE and a greater than 2-to-1 margin at the Nasdaq. 

The broad nature was also reflected by S&P 500 sector performance. Ten of the 11 sector closed with gains that ranged from 1.6% (information technology) to 3.1% (utilities). The lone laggard in the red was energy (-1.2%) amid falling oil prices. 

WTI crude oil futures fell 5.9% to $81.84/bbl. Natural gas futures fell 4.4% to $7.83/mmbtu.

Treasury yields were also down today. The 2-yr note yield fell six basis points to 3.45% while the 10-yr note yield fell eight basis points to 3.27%.

Reviewing today's economic data:

  • The weekly MBA Mortgage Applications Index showed a 0.8% decline compared to last week's 3.7% decline
  • The trade deficit narrowed to $70.6 billion (consensus -$70.2 billion) in July from a downwardly revised deficit of $80.9 billion (from -$79.6 billion) in June. The improvement was the result of July imports being $9.7 billion less than June imports and July exports being $0.5 billion more than June exports.
    • The key takeaway from the report is that it conveyed ongoing supply chain and logistics problems, as imports from the EU and China were down $4.0 billion and $3.0 billion, respectively, from June.

Dow Jones Industrial Average: -13.1% YTD
S&P 400: -14.4% YTD
S&P 500: -16.5% YTD
Russell 2000: -18.4% YTD
Nasdaq Composite: -24.6% YTD



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