>>> Goodyear Tire beats by $0.14, misses on revs; Co reaffirmed its 2016 financi

Goodyear Tire beats by $0.14, misses on revs; Co reaffirmed its 2016 financial targets
  • Reports Q2 (Jun) earnings of $1.16 per share, excluding non-recurring items, $0.14 better than the Capital IQ Consensus of $1.02; revenues fell 7.0% year/year to $3.88 bln vs the $3.92 bln Capital IQ Consensus.
    • The year/year decline in sales was largely attributable to the deconsolidation of the co's subsidiary in Venezuela, the sale of the North American motorcycle tire business and unfavorable currency translation
    • The co reported Q2 segment operating income of $531 mln in 2016, down from $550 mln a year ago. Segment operating income in 2016 was negatively impacted by a $24 mln out-of-period adjustment primarily attributable to 2012 and related to the elimination of intracompany profit in the Americas region
      • This amount is included as a significant item in adjusted net income. The decrease in segment operating income also reflects a $36 mln reduction resulting from the deconsolidation of Venezuela partially offset by cost reduction actions. Core segment operating income, which excludes Venezuela, was $514 mln in the year-ago quarter
  • Co reaffirmed its 2016 financial targets, which include: Core Segment Operating Income growth of between 10-15% (excludes Venezuela); Positive Free Cash Flow from Operations and An Adjusted Debt to EBITDAP ratio of 2.0x to 2.1x at year-end. Shareholder Return Program

>>> Hilton Hotels misses by $0.01, reports revs in-line; guides Q3 EPS below con

--> no pre market for now
Hilton Hotels misses by $0.01, reports revs in-line; guides Q3 EPS below consensus; guides FY16 EPS below consensus
  • Reports Q2 (Jun) earnings of $0.25 per share, $0.01 worse than the Capital IQ Consensus of $0.26; revenues rose 2.0% year/year to $3.05 bln vs the $3.05 bln Capital IQ Consensus.
    • System-wide comparable RevPAR increased 2.9% for the second quarter on a currency neutral basis from the same period in 2015
    • Management and franchise fees for the second quarter increased 9% from the same period in 2015 to $471 million
    • Net unit growth was 10,400 rooms in the second quarter contributing to a 7% growth in managed and franchised rooms from 2015
  • Co issues downside guidance for Q3, sees EPS of $0.21-0.23, excluding non-recurring items, vs. $0.27 Capital IQ Consensus Estimate.
    • Q3 - System-wide RevPAR is expected to increase between 2.0% and 4.0% on a comparable and currency neutral basis compared to the third quarter of 2015
  • Co issues downside guidance for FY16, sees EPS of $0.87-0.91, excluding non-recurring items, vs. $0.96 Capital IQ Consensus Estimate.
    • FY16 - System-wide RevPAR is expected to increase between 2.0% and 4.0% on a comparable and currency neutral basis, with ownership segment RevPAR expected to increase between 1.0% and 3.0% on a comparable and currency neutral basis, as compared to 2015.
    • Capital expenditures, excluding timeshare inventory, are expected to be between $400-450 million.

>>> AccorHotels in exclusive negotiations for 80% acquisition of John Paul for U

AccorHotels in exclusive negotiations for 80% acquisition of John Paul for USD 150m EV
AccorHotels announced it has begun exclusive negotiations for the acquisition of John Paul, the leading player in premium customer and employee loyalty services. The company’s Enterprise Value should be close to USD 150m i.e. a 2017e EV/EBITDA multiple of c. 11X.

AccorHotels should acquire about 80% of John Paul, the remaining stake being kept by David Amsellem, the founder of the company, who will remain as CEO. After Wipolo, Oasis Collections, SquareBreak and onefinestay, the acquisition of John Paul, world leader in the customer loyalty and concierge markets marks a major new step in transforming AccorHotels into a travel companion providing innovative services to travelers at every step of their journey.

Founded in Paris in 2007, John Paul merged with LesConcierges in 2015, creating the world leader in loyalty services with a combined workforce of 1,000 highly skilled and trained people, across all five continents. The team works as a partner to the world’s leading brands and a bespoke concierge available around the clock, 7 days a week, anywhere in the world, to meet their customers’ request from the simplest to the most complex. The first technology enabled concierge, equipped with a proprietary Customer Relationship Management (CRM) and data platform based on a behavioral profiling and a 360°personalization, as well as a network of over 50,000 partners in more than 50 countries, the company offers the most exhaustive and global loyalty solutions to prestigious brands in the financial, automotive, travel, consumer, healthcare, pharma, luxury industries and more. With a superior technology supporting its premium service culture, and sound profitability, John Paul has become the acknowledged expert to assist its clients from designing their offer to implementing their customized loyalty programs, which comprises a full service offer with content and cross-channel marketing.

Sebastien Bazin, Chairman & CEO of AccorHotels explained: « The acquisition of John Paul enables us to accelerate our global strategy to position the customer experience at the very heart of our initiatives. Their expertise in customization combined with a wide range of services and cutting-edge technology, gives us the opportunity to boost the value of the relationships with our guests and partners and multiply the number of touch points. It means a further solidification of our customer relation through an attractive offer and a higher usage, an increased personalization of our services thanks to a deeper customer profiling with non-hotel driven information, and the strengthening of our CRM with affinity data. Through this partnership with the world leader in the growing concierge market, AccorHotels positions itself as the best provider of multi-nature services to guests, supporting the whole customer journey, from non-hotel offers to 24/07 assistance through an integrated and innovative solution, like a “Travel Companion” ».

David Amsellem, CEO of Paul John declared: “From inception, I founded John Paul deeply rooted with a passion for service and hospitality. My vision is that we can enhance the lives of millions of guests by delivering the highest personalized service. Over the past few years, John Paul has made a huge growth across industries. Now that we are the worldwide leader in premium loyalty solutions, we feel that we are at a tipping point in our venture and we need the empowerment of a strong leader to support the current traction. Entering the travel industry supported by AccorHotels means much more to the 1,000 people of the John Paul Group: we feel that combining our strengths will create a game changer in the industry”.

>>> Street Pre-Market Indications

Numis:
* 3i GROUP: MKT ; solid updat, Action +ve revaluation highlighted last month
* ANTOFAGASTA: -2% ; Guidance unchanged but now sees FY copper production at lower end of f/casts
* BREWIN DOLPHIN: +0.5% ; Total FUM increased 2.1% to £33.5bn during Q3 (NSe: £34.4bn) while discretionary FUM increased 3.5% to £26.8bn
* BROOKS MACDONALD: +0.5% ; FUM increased 3.7% to £8.3bn during Q416 which was 1% ahead of our estimate of £8.2bn. This reflected net inflows of £233m
* CAPITA: +1% ; Headlines slightly ahead, guidance maintained, cautious comments re Brexit
* DIGNITY: -3% ; Interims PBT misses f/c
* EBIQUITY: UNCH ; overall performance is broadly in line with market expectations.
* FLYB: -2% ; Q1 Stmt in-line, solid results but outlook uncertain due to current industry challenges
* GENUS: MKT ; Signs licence with Washington SU for tech to combat Bovine respiratory disease. Small positive
* ITV: +2% ; PBT £425m (est £410m), advertising not as bad as post brexit estimates, stock performed poorly of late.
* JUPITER: +2% ; H1 RESULTS - 7% AHEAD. EPS at 14.4p was 7% ahead of our estimate 13.5p and 4% ahead of cons, The ordinary DPS was unexpectedly raised 12.5% to 4.5p
* LAIRD/IMAGINATION: +1-2% ; +ive read from AAPL – encouraging iPhone prospects
* LANCASHIRE: +1% ; Q2 PBT of $30m is slightly ahead of consensus of $27m (NSe $26m), combined ratio for Q2 was 81%, making a combined ratio for the first half of 76%
* MARSTON'S: +1% ; continued to make progress in line with expectations. Remains on track to meet growth targets for 22 pub restaurants and bars in the current financial year in addition to six lodges.
* MCCOLLS: UNCH ; Interims (restricted)
* MITCHELLS & BUTLER: +1% ; Poor weather in June has had an expected adverse impact howver underlying trading has improved in recent months.
* MORGAN ADVANCED: +1% ; Small beat at PBT level due to FX. Oulook unchanged. Trading stabilized in H1
* NORCROS: UNCH ; AGM TU, UK retail sector continues to be challenging, sustained progress in South Africa, successful integration of Croydex and Abode, confident inline expectations for the current year
* NOSTRUM O&G: +1% ; Solid statement with production unch and GTU3 on track. Production hedge generated $25m in cash for H1.
* ONTHEBEACH: +2% ; On track to achieve profitability for the financial year in line with the Board's expectations, despite seeing the "lates" market as weaker.
* RATHBONE BROTHERS: MKT ; FUM £30.6bn in line with estimates
* RENISHAW: +3% ; Small beat top line, 10% beat PBT basis vs Num e. Outlook upbeat albeit Brexit uncertainty cited as expected
* RENTOKIL: +1% ; Collaboration with Google/PA consulting to deploy digital pest control products
* RIGHTMOVE: +3% ; very good set of numbers, PBT/EPS beats and strong ARPA growth.
* SAGE: MKT ; Update aft close last night – Q3 inline, confident of meeting FY guidance
* SHAWBROOK: -1% ; PBT slightly light
* ST JAMES PLACE: MKT ; FUM £65.6bn slightly ahead , Adj pre tax in line
* TARSUS: +1% ; Solid results. Revenues in H1 came in ahead of our estimates at £27m (NSe £24.1m).
* TAYLOR WIMPEY: +2% ; Interims, profits slightly below f/c, some cancelations post Brexit, but trading at normal levels, too ealry to see full effect of Brexit, 9.2p sp divi
* TULLOW OIL: +2% ; Solid statement with net debt $4.7bn as expected. Good progress made on turret project. Production from TEN to start in early Aug.


ML:
TI - Blow out nos with EBITDA +6.9% v -0.8% cons & raising EBITDA guide.+5-7%
PEUGEOT - 1H auto margin big beat v high exp. €1.3bn auto profit v €1.05bn+4%
ST JAMES - Net inflows of £3.1bn YTD, 15% beat. FUM 1% & divi 4% ahead..+3-5%
RIGHTMOVE - Beat with revs/EPS 4/6% ahead driven by good growth in ARPA.+3-4%
T WIMPEY - PBT £266.6m. Post Brexit, current trading remains inline.....+3-4%
SHAWBROOK - Underlying profit £38m v £36m cons. Pipeline solid into Q3....+3%
STM - Positive. Revs inline, EBIT beat at €28m. Guidance better for revs..+3%
AIRFRANCE - Good enough. EBIT beat, although FY cons unlikely to change...+3%
INFINEON - Sentiment +ve. Anlog Devices (ADI) has bid Linear Tech (LLTC)+2-3%
ITV - Flat H1 adv'g was broadly in but EBITA is c 10% ahead of cons.....+2-3%
CAPGEMINI - H1 EBIT 3.7% ahead, FCF a beat & FY margin guide upgraded...+2-3%
ATOS - Rev inline (org growth touch beat), EBIT 3% beat. Guidance raised+2-3%
AIRBUS - Earnings beat as exp but genuine relief on cash and charges....+2-3%
RSW - Strong, is enough. FY16 Revs came in at £436.6m vs BBG cons £427m.+2-3%
LVMH - EBIT 1% beat. Stronger than exp rev offset by 50bps margin dilution+2%
DIA - Reassuring with +2% beat at Sales & +1% at EBITDA v BAML numbers....+2%
JUPITER - 4% underlying EPS beat v cons driven by revs & perf fees beat...+2%
KLEPIERRE - Solid, nos at top end. LFL growth beat inflation by 250bps..+1-2%
MITCH & BUTS - 3Q IMS modest improvement although LfLs still look -tive.+1-2%
DEUTSCHE BANK - Underlying weak with PBT 22% miss. Address key problems.+1-2%
MINERS - Copper -0.6%, Iron ore -2% with BHP OZ +3.6% & RIO OZ +2.2%......+1%
KPN - Mixed. Revs 1.3% lower, EBITDA 1% beat, OFCF light. Guidance reit...+1%
PERNOD - Postive read across from LVHM beat, particularly strong cognac...+1%
LANCASHIRE - Slight beat. 2Q PBT of $30.1m is touch ahead of $27.5m cons..+1%
3I - NAV 522 after the divi v BAML 517 from FX and asset appreciation.....+1%
MARSTONS - Inline with LFL sales +2.5% compares with +3.0% in 1H..........+1%
SNAM - Inline with Net Income +1.3% and EBITDA 0.3% ahead of bbg cons.....+1%
CAPITA - Beat with org growth +5% v cons +4.6% & margin 13.2% v 12.9% exp.+1%
SANTANDER - Bottom line beat masking weak NII trend. CET1 10.36% v 10.4%+0.5%
SCOR - Broadly inline with NI €105m v €104m cons & combined ratio 97.5%.+0.5%
BASF - Mixed. EPS/EBIT inline but cashflow down y/y & pension deficit up..-1%
SMURFIT KAPPA - Inline. Revs 3% light but EBITDA inline 312m v 310m cons..-1%
MGAM - Margins beat at 11.6% v BAML at 11%. Outlook maintained for FY.....-2%
TULLOW - Negative. No supportive commentary on insurance in the results...-2%
SAGE - Risk of travel & arrive on inline nos, with street 6% org growth...-2%
STATOIL - Weak. EBIT 33% miss & NI miss materially >100% with -$28m loss..-3%


RBC:
*ACCOR: 0% plan to purchase 80% of concierge company JOHN PAUL $150M.
*ADECCO/RAND: -1% read through from ROBERT HALF (-10% after hours) weakness.
*ADIDAS/KERRING: +1% PUMA Q2 sales ahead, EBIT beat, EMEA strong.
*AENA: +1% H1 figures ahead, sales in line.
*AIRBUS: +3% 22% EPS beat, A400M charge lower than expected.
*AIR FRANCE: +2% Q2 EBIT 26% ahead, pension liability worse, confirms outlook.
*ANTOFAGASTA: +1% Q2 key production misses, FY guidance low end of range.
*ARM: 0% Q2 miss 1% on revenues, focus on M&A still.
*BASF: -2% Q2 EBIT & sales light on OIL, confirms 2016 outlook.
*BAYER: +1% Q2 core EPS slight beat, PHARMA ahead, raises guidance.
*BREWIN: +2% total funds +2.1%, total core funds +3.1%.
*BUCHER: -1% H1 order intake & sales in line, outlook cautious.
*CAPITA: +1% H1 no’s 2.7% ahead of expectations, organic growth in line.
*DBK: +3% Q2 revenues & profit light, CET1 better.
*ITV: +2% H1 revenue in line, EBITDA in line, on track.
*JUPITER: +1% H1 pre-tax ahead, AUM in line.
*KPN: +1% Q1 revenues ahead, EBITDA beat, reiterates outlook.
*LVMH: +2% H1 EBIT 2% beat, fashion & leather ahead, ADR +3.5%.
*METRO BANK: +3% total assets £8,351M, 83% growth YOY, maintains guidance.
*MGAM: +1% performance in line, remains cautious on market outlook.
*NOSTRUM: 0% reaffirms guidance, (40K BOEPD), H1 revenues $160M.
*OSRAM: -5% Q3 revenues in line, net income miss.
*PEUGEOT: +1% H1 revs light, op income ahead, confirms APRIL targets.
*SANTANDER: +2% Q2 net ahead, ZACHADNI ahead, CET1 10.36%, NII miss.
*SCOR: 0% H1 in line, combined ratio ahead.
*SHAWBROOK: +1% H1 op income $99.3M v 77.1M YOY, cautious yet confident.
*SNAM: +1% revenues in line, net income ahead, share buyback.
*STATOIL: -4% Q2 earnings miss across all 3 divisions, very weak cash flow.
*ST. JAMES: +1% AUM 65.6B, at top end of consensus.
*STM: +3% Q2 revenues in line, EPS beat, margins improving.
*TAYLOR WIMPEY: +2% H1 2016 in line, reassuring post-BREXIT.
*TELECOM ITALIA: +2% Q2 EBITDA guidance ahead, provision reversal positive.
*TULLOW OIL: +1% H1 revenues in line, profits well ahead, net debt in line.
*UNICREDIT: -1% considering $5.5B stock sale.


CS:
Arcadis -1% Revs 1.67b vs bberg cons 1.674b
Acacia M/P Barrick Said to Approch Miners to Sell Stake in Acacia
Accor M/P Said to be in exclusive talks to acquire John Paul
Aena +1% Revs inline, EBITDA slightly ahead
Airbus Group +3-4% Profit beats est, takes EU1.41b Plane charge
Air France +2-3% Revs inline, op profit ahead, reiterates 2016 cash flow tgt
Antofagasta -1% Production numbers slightly light across the board
Atos +2-3% Decent 2Q16 results and modest guidance upgrades
BASF -1% Q2 1% below cons, FY guidance reiterated
Bayer R 2Q EBITDA ex items EU3.05B est EU2.96B
Bucher UNCH H1 sales 1.5% light, orders 1% ahead, EBIT inline
Capita -1% Numbers inline but Brexit uncertainty
Capgemini +1-2% H1 sales inline, raises margin outlook
Covestro -1-2% CS downgrade to NEUTRAL (Valuation)
Deut Bank -1-2% Pretax loss worse, Equities trading and debt light
Deut Boerse M/P Achieved the minimum 60.0% shareholder approval for LSE
Dialog Semi +1-2% Read across - Apple +6.8% a/h on slightly better revenues
Dignity M/P H1 results slightly ahead of boards expectations
EI Towers +3% Revs inline, EBITDA 1.2% ahead, Buyback of up to 5%
EFG Int +2% H1 ahead and cost reduction better
Imagine Tech +1-2% Read across - Apple +6.8% a/h on slightly better revenues
Ingenico -2% H1 revs €1.13bn vs cons €1.15bn, keep FY guidance
ITV +1-2% H1 revenues match estimates, dividend better
Jupiter +1-2% H1 results better, AUM inline
Kering +1-2% Positive read across from LVMH numbers
Klepierre +1% Realising Corio synergies offsets a weak Netherlands
KPN +1% 2Q Adj. Ebitda Beats Est, Keeps Outlook Unchanged
LVMH +2-3% LFL +4% in Q2 vs est +3, fashion and leather better
M&B +1-2% Q3 improved although H2 margins will be tougher
Marstons +1% LFL's slightly better
Miners -0.5% Copper -0.45%, Brent +0.20%, Iron Ore -1.50%, China -2.17%
Morgan Ad -1% Revenues light, cautious on market outlook
Nos +3-4% Signs content sharing agreement with Altice
Oils UNCH API - better product data but worse Cushing number
Peugeot +4-5% Revs 3.2% light, op profit 25% beat, short interest 9%
Plastic Om +2-3% Numbers inline and deal on track
Renishaw UNCH Revs 436.6m vs cons 427m, uncertainty over brexit
Rightmove +3% Revenues 3% ahead, op profit 5% ahead, confident outlook
Sage M/P Numbers inline, guidance inline
Sanoma M/P Q2 sales €449.8m vs cons €445m, keeps FY outlook
Santander +1% 2Q NET EU1.28B est EU1.22B
Scor +2% Q2 net €105m vs cons €94m
Smurfit +1% EBITDA 312m vs cons 306m, Europe strong
Snam UNCH Net at 526mn vs consensus 521m
STM +2-3% Revenues inline, gross margin improving
St. James M/P FUM gross inflow GBP5.3b vs GBP4.4b y/y
Statoil -2% 30% miss at the Adj EBIT level, production guidance unch
Taylor Wimp +2-3% H1 miss against CSe but outlook should encourage
Technip M/P Awarded large subsea contract for Greater Enfield
Tele Italia +4-5% EBITDA Beat-Cattaneo cost cutting had a significant start
Tullow Oil +3-4% TEN is on track for first oil in early August
Unicredit M/P €10.5bn potential total capital management actions ahead
Valeo +2% H1 sales inline, Net income 7% beat, confirms FY outlook


JPM:
AENA Overall, results were inline w JPMe. Call the focus on outlook +1%
AIR FRANCE Q2 EBIT ahead on better unit revenue +2%
AIRBUS Inline w company recent talking down. FY guidance maintained. +3%
AMS/DLG AAPL +6.8% after hours posting better Q vs subdued expectations+3%
ATOS H1 org rev growth 1.7% = 30bp ahead vs cons. FY guidance raised +3%
BASF Q216 in line with cons/JPMe. Guidance maintained for FY unch
BAYER Solid pharma results, small FY guidance upgrade. Focus on MON +1%
CAP GEM Op profits beat cons by 4% with a margin of 10.2% (vs cons 9.8%)+2%
DBK Mixed. Rev miss, costs better, capital inline vs cons unch
DIA Mixed figs. LFL better, 3% miss on EBIT, cash flow inline unch
INGENICO Lower org growth of 9% vs cons 10.6%. -3%
ITV Revs/EBITDA are +2%/9% ahead of cons. Q3 NAR guidance inline +2%
JUPITER Q2 flows slows but remain positive in July +1%
LVMH H1 topline and profit ahead. To be taken well in context of lux +3%
NOS NOS & MEO agree a content and cost sharing agreement. +4%
OSRAM 1% miss vs cons on adj. EBITA. Disposal of Lamps biz. -3%
PEUGEOT Autos op income at 1.3bn vs cons 1.1bn. FCF 1.8bn vs JPMe 882m +4%
SAGE Q3 IMS in line with guidance unch
SANTANDER Net income 7% ahead vs cons, PBT 13% ahead. NII a 1.6% miss +1%
SCOR Inline. Higher nat cat losses,but offset with reserve releases unch
STATOIL Net adj loss of $28m,significantly below cons $313m & JPMe 242m -3%
STM Q2 figs broadly inline w cons. Q3 guidance ahead +3%
T WIMPEY H1 figs broadly inline. July trends inline w historical norm +3%
TEL ITALIA EBITDA 6% ahead of cons driven by domestic business +6%
VALEO EBIT 3% ahead of cons. Org rev growth +13% & margins at 8% +2%
VW US settlement inc 2l engine unch


Mainfirst:
*DBK-Net Inc 18m(-22),PT 408b(61),LLP 259m(280)Rev 7.39b(7.86)......+1%
*AIRBUS-Ebit Pre 1.18b(1.05),Rev 16.6b(16.5),One-off 1.41b..........+2%
*OSRAM-Rev 1.44b(1.42),NI 28m(37.7),Divi stable,confirms outlook....-5%
*BASF-Ebit Ex 1.71b(1.76),Ebitda 2.79b(2.7),Sales 14.5b(15.2).......-1.5%
*BSCH-Net 1.28b(1.22),NII 7.57B,B/Loans 4.29%,CET1 10.36%...........+1%
*LVMH-Net 1.71b(1.68),Rev 17.2b(17),ORGR 4%(3),F&L & W/S boh gd.....+3%
*AENA-Net 492.3m(486),Rev 1.73b(1.73),Ebitda 931.7m(925)............+1%
*KION-Confirms prevs figs,Net Pft 64m,Confirms Full Year outlook....+0.5%
*AIR FRANCE-Rev 6.22b(6.22),OP 317m(258),Sees dwnward pressure......+2%
*ATOS-Rev 5.697b(5.69),Organic Grth +1.7%,Raises 2016 outlook.......+1%
*INGENICO-Net 122m(128),Ebitda 244m(251),Rev 1.13b(1.15),o/l ok.....-1%
*VALEO-Rev 8.1b(8.06),Net 451m(421),Op Margin 647m(614).............+2%
*M6-Rev 646m(618),Ebitda 136m,Net 83.5m,AD mkt visibility ltd.......-0.5%
*TEF DEUT-Rev 1.83b(1.86),OIBDA 459m(458),Divi 25c(25)..............+2%
*CAP GEMINI-Rev 6.257b(6.273),Rasise FY margin guidance.............+1%
*BAYER-Ebitda Ex 3.05b(2.96),Rev 11.8b(12.1),Rasises forcasts.......+1%
*DIA-Net 57.5m(59.9),Ebitda 150.4m(150.7),Cash Generation ok........+1%
*KPN-Ebitda 592m(584),Rev 1.68b(1.7),Keeps 2016 outlook.............+0.5%
*PEUGEOT-Rev 27.8b(restated 28),Reits April tgts,Latam 12% dec......+4%
*BUCHER-Orders 1.09b(1.08),Ebit 107.4m(107),Sales 1.25b(1.27).......-1%
*EFG-AUM 80.6B(79.4),Op Inc 341.7m(335.1),CET1 18.5%,BSI ok........+1%
*SHW-Cuts FY16/17 sales outlook,Ebitda 2016 at low end,2020 ok......+0.5%
*SNAM-Rev 1.64b(1.724),NI 526m(522.8),Vote on buyback 1st August....U/C
*VOSSLOH-Sales 282.6m(299),Ebit 17m(16.45),PT 13.4m(13),Net 10.9m...-1%
*PERNOD/REMY-Read across from LVMH Wine and Spirits beat after hrs..+1%
*STM-Rev 1.7b(1.7),Gross Margin 33.9%(34.2),Q3 Rev to rise 5.5%.....+3%
*DIALOG-Read across from Apple overnight............................+2%


Jefferies UK:
Capita +2% small beat across the board, short interest at recent highs
ITV +1% H1 NAR in line, guidance downbeat, weak yest
LSE +1% DB1 gets min 60% acceptance threshold
Metro Bk +5% growth across the board, credit ok
Rightmove +2% beats ests, strong July trading
Taylor Wimpey +3% figs sl light, but seen no deterioration since Brexit


Jefferies EU:
Airbus +4% EBIT 12% better, FCF big beat, guidance unch. Relief
Air France +1% numbers ok, downbeat outlook, but no further warning
Bayer +2% EBITDA better, raises FY guidance
BASF -2% Q2s light. keep FY outlook
Cap Gem +2% margin outperformance leads to guidance upgrade
Dt Bank unch net better, but irrelevant, capital not improving, well shorted
DIA +1% better lfl, net sl light
Klepiere +2% revs good, raises FY net cash flow guidance
KPN +1% number in line, FY guidance reiterated, relief
LVMH +3% better revs driven by Wines&Spirits, Fashion, weak watches
O2 Dtland +1% numbers in line, trim oulook as well as capex
Peugeot +4% strong no's, beat across the board, cash better, guidance inline
Santander +1% numbers ok , NII light as rumoured, divi guidance supportive
Scor +1% numbers in line, GWP sl better
Statoil -3% upstream weak, headline v weak due to tax chg
Tel Italia +4% first good numbers for a while, upbeat comments

(CS) UCG & BMPS - Comment on Press Spec. & Numbers

MONTE DEI PASCHI DI SIENA (UP, TP EUR0.29): Press (Reuters, MF) reported that MPS is preparing a loan book clean-up and launch €5bn capital hike. A €5bn capital hike is more than 5x than the current market cap. Current shareholders would be wiped out. The feasibility of the plan depends on: (i) ECB approval; (ii) the NPL purchase capacity of the potential buyer (eg. Atlante); (iii) the post clean-up and recap profitability prospects. Without the bad loans burden, provisions could fall from 103bp to ~40bp boosting 2017 earnings from €230m to ~€800m, or ~6% RoTE post-capital hike, a profitability level which may raise investors’ interest. Once executed the capital hike, MPS could also be an easier take-out target.

UNICREDIT (N, TP EUR2.28): According to the press (Bloomberg), UCG is considering €5bn capital hike and the sale of the Bank Pekao entire stake (41%). Bloomberg also mentions that, among other actions: (i) the disposal of Fineco (55% stake); (ii) the public list of Pioneer (or a stake sale); and (iii) the sale of a bad loan portfolio in Italy. In our estimates, the execution of the anticipated actions potential actions could take up to 278bp potential CET1 uplift, 101bp RoTNAV negative impact and 59% earnings dilution. The stock is not attractive below 7% RoTE17E post the potential capital management options.

>>> Street Pre-Market Indications

Jeffries
Capita +2% small beat across the board, short interest at recent highs
ITV +1% H1 NAR in line, guidance downbeat, weak yest
LSE +1% DB1 gets min 60% acceptance threshold
Metro Bk +5% growth across the board, credit ok
Rightmove +2% beats ests, strong July trading
Taylor Wimpey +3% figs sl light, but seen no deterioration since Brexit
Airbus +4% EBIT 12% better, FCF big beat, guidance unch. Relief
Air France +1% numbers ok, downbeat outlook, but no further warning
Bayer +2% EBITDA better, raises FY guidance
BASF -2% Q2s light. keep FY outlook
Cap Gem +2% margin outperformance leads to guidance upgrade
Dt Bank unch net better, but irrelevant, capital not improving, well shorted
DIA +1% better lfl, net sl light
Klepiere +2% revs good, raises FY net cash flow guidance
KPN +1% number in line, FY guidance reiterated, relief
LVMH +3% better revs driven by Wines&Spirits, Fashion, weak watches
O2 Dtland +1% numbers in line, trim oulook as well as capex
Peugeot +4% strong no's, beat across the board, cash better, guidance inline
Santander +1% numbers ok , NII light as rumoured, divi guidance supportive
Scor +1% numbers in line, GWP sl better
Statoil -3% upstream weak, headline v weak due to tax chg
Tel Italia +4% first good numbers for a while, upbeat comments

MF
*DBK-Net Inc 18m(-22),PT 408b(61),LLP 259m(280)Rev 7.39b(7.86)......+1% 
*AIRBUS-Ebit Pre 1.18b(1.05),Rev 16.6b(16.5),One-off 1.41b..........+2% 
*OSRAM-Rev 1.44b(1.42),NI 28m(37.7),Divi stable,confirms outlook....-5% 
*BASF-Ebit Ex 1.71b(1.76),Ebitda 2.79b(2.7),Sales 14.5b(15.2).......-1.5% 
*BSCH-Net 1.28b(1.22),NII 7.57B,B/Loans 4.29%,CET1 10.36%...........+1% 
*LVMH-Net 1.71b(1.68),Rev 17.2b(17),ORGR 4%(3),F&L & W/S boh gd.....+3% *AENA-Net 492.3m(486),Rev 1.73b(1.73),Ebitda 931.7m(925)............+1% 
*KION-Confirms prevs figs,Net Pft 64m,Confirms Full Year outlook....+0.5% 
*AIR FRANCE-Rev 6.22b(6.22),OP 317m(258),Sees dwnward pressure......+2% 
*ATOS-Rev 5.697b(5.69),Organic Grth +1.7%,Raises 2016 outlook.......+1% 
*INGENICO-Net 122m(128),Ebitda 244m(251),Rev 1.13b(1.15),o/l ok.....-1% 
*VALEO-Rev 8.1b(8.06),Net 451m(421),Op Margin 647m(614).............+2% 
*M6-Rev 646m(618),Ebitda 136m,Net 83.5m,AD mkt visibility ltd.......-0.5% 
*TEF DEUT-Rev 1.83b(1.86),OIBDA 459m(458),Divi 25c(25)..............+2% 
*CAP GEMINI-Rev 6.257b(6.273),Rasise FY margin guidance.............+1% 
*BAYER-Ebitda Ex 3.05b(2.96),Rev 11.8b(12.1),Rasises forcasts.......+1% 
*DIA-Net 57.5m(59.9),Ebitda 150.4m(150.7),Cash Generation ok........+1% *KPN-Ebitda 592m(584),Rev 1.68b(1.7),Keeps 2016 outlook.............+0.5% 
*PEUGEOT-Rev 27.8b(restated 28),Reits April tgts,Latam 12% dec......+4% 
*BUCHER-Orders 1.09b(1.08),Ebit 107.4m(107),Sales 1.25b(1.27).......-1% 
*EFG-AUM 80.6B(79.4),Op Inc 341.7m(335.1),CET1 18.5%,BSI ok........+1% 
*SHW-Cuts FY16/17 sales outlook,Ebitda 2016 at low end,2020 ok......+0.5% 
*SNAM-Rev 1.64b(1.724),NI 526m(522.8),Vote on buyback 1st August....U/C 
*VOSSLOH-Sales 282.6m(299),Ebit 17m(16.45),PT 13.4m(13),Net 10.9m...-1% 
*PERNOD/REMY-Read across from LVMH Wine and Spirits beat after hrs..+1% 
*STM-Rev 1.7b(1.7),Gross Margin 33.9%(34.2),Q3 Rev to rise 5.5%.....+3% 
*DIALOG-Read across from Apple overnight............................+2%

(CS) LVMH - Numbers

LVMH (OP, TP EUR160.0): LVMH posted group org sales up +4% in 2Q against cons. of +3% (source: Bloomberg). This was driven by a beat for Fashion & Leather Goods org sales up +1%. The overall margin for LV was down 30bps to 27.7%. Considering that DK turned loss making in 1H, this means LV margins should have been flat. We understand that a better gross margin was enough to offset some cost deleverage. The +13% org growth for Wines & Spirits confirms that destocking in China is really over. We continue to favour LVMH in our coverage universe due to its c.60% sales exposure to staples/retail assets, a resilient LV brand and potential share buyback from 2H.

>>> What to look at today - 27th of July 2016

Dow -0.10% S&P +0.03% Nasdaq +0.24% Russell +0.58%
US Market closed on a flat note as investors are waiting for FOMC statemnt & BoJ. Five sectors finished in the green as materials (+0.7%) and industrials (+0.7%) topped the leaderboard. The remaining gainers finished with upticks between 0.2% (financials) and 0.4% (technology). Conversely, defensively-oriented telecom services (-1.5%), utilities (-0.9%), consumer staples (-0.8%), and health care (-0.2%) rounded out the board. For its part, WTI crude ended its pit session lower by 0.5% ($42.91/bbl; -$0.22). Volume were again below average with 803mil shares. US After Hours AAPL +7%, EW +6.4%, X +3% following earnings/guidance, Apple suppliers higher... AKAM -12%, TWTR -10.6%, CHRW -6% following earnings/guidance. Asian equity markets are once again mixed following a flattish session on Wall St. After-market earnings saw some notable upside after hours on Earnings. Japan is at the forefront among the gainers on late-session speculation of a ¥27T fiscal stimulus decision by PM Abe (Fuji News reported PM Abe would announce the details of a ¥27T stimulus package as soon as today, with the cabinet approval for the plans coming next week +US press spec of 50y JGBs issuance as part of stimulus). Conversely, credit concerns (Moody's echoed sentiment from Fitch last week about thge growing size of China shadow banking) in China sent Shanghai Composite lower by over 1.5%.

Nikkei +1.85% Hang Seng -0.18% CSI -2.20% Shanghai -2.40%

Eur$ 1.0995 CNH 6.6747 CNY 6.6705 JPY 105.51 GBP 1.3134 CHF 0.9918 RUB 65.9849 WTI $42.78 (-0.30%)

S&P +0.17% EuroStoxx +0.30% Dax+0.33% SMI +0.25%

Macro :
- Appetite for U.S. Debt Is Weakest Since 2009 in Lead-Up to Fed
- Abe Says Japan Stimulus to Be More Than 28t Yen: Kyodo
- UBS Cuts China CSI 300 Year-End Target to 3,200

Keep an eye on :
- AC FP : AccorHotels in Talks to Buy Concierge Services Co. John Paul
- AIR FP : Airbus 2Q Profit Beats Est; Takes EU1.41b Plane Charges
- AF FP : Air France-KLM 2Q Rev. Matches Est.; Sees Pressure on Unit Rev.
- ARCAD NA : Arcadis 1H Ebita Falls, Sees Tough Conditions Continue in 2H
- ATO FP : Atos 1H Rev. In Line With Estimates; Raises 2016 Outlook
- BAS GY : BASF 2Q Ebit Ex-Items, Sales Miss Ests.; Confirms 2016 Outlook
- BAYN GY : Bayer 2Q Ebitda Ex-Items Beats Estimates; Raises 2016 Outlook
- BMPS IM : Italy Seeks Private Monte Paschi Bailout: FT
- BUCN SW : Bucher 1H Orders -7.2%, Sales -9.4% on FX, M&A Adjusted Basis
- CAP FP : Capgemini 1H Sales In Line; Raises 2016 Operating Margin Outlook
- 1COV GY : Covestro 2Q Adj EBITDA Rises 8.8% to EU542m From Year Ago
- DBK GY : Deutsche Bank Posts 2Q Net Income vs Est. Loss; CET1 Ratio Rises
- DIA SM : Dia 2Q Net Sales, Adj. Ebitda In Line With Ests.
- FCA IM : Fiat Chrysler to Report U.S. Monthly Sales W/Revised Methodology
- ING FP : Ingenico 1H Sales in Line, Ebitda Misses; Confirms 2016 Outlook
- IPS FP : Ipsos 1H Revenue Stable, FY Operating Margin Seen Unchanged
- KGX GY : Kion 2Q Net Rises to EUR63.2m, Confirms 2016 Outlook
- LI FP : Klepierre 1H Net Current Cash Flow Rises, Co. Raises FY Target
- KPN NA : KPN 2Q Adj. Ebitda Beats Ests.; Keeps Outlook Unchanged
- LAT FP : Latecoere Says 1H Rev. Rises, Sees More Restrained FY Growth
- MC FP : LVMH 1H Organic Sales, Profit Recurring Operations In Line
- MC FP : LVMH CFO Says Share Buyback to Be Reviewed in September
- LSE LN : Deutsche Boerse-LSE Merger Acceptance Threshold of 60% Exceeded
- MMT FP : M6-Metropole Television 1H Net Jumps; 2H Visibility Limited
- MELE BB : Melexis Raises 2016 Sales Forecast; Sees Gross Margin at ~45%
- OHL SM : OHL Says in Talks Over Possible Ohl Mexico Share Buy-Back
- ORA FP : France’s Arcep: Orange Must Guarantee Access to Infrastructure
- OSR GY : Osram 3Q Rev. In Line, Net Misses Estimates; Confirms Outlook
- PAL AV : Palfinger 1H Ebit Rises 21% to EU64.9m, Revenue Up 10%
- PQR SM : Parques Reunidos Signs Contract to Manage 2 Parks in Vietnam
- UG FP : PSA 1H Operating Profit EU1.83b; Financial Targets Repeated
- POM FP : Plastic Omnium 1H Net Rises; FY LFL Growth Seen Following Trend
- SGE LN : Sage 3Q Organic Sales Up 6%; Says Confident to Meet FY Guidance
- SAA1V FH : Sanoma 2Q Sales Beats Est.; Keeps Outlook After Raising July 14
- SAN SM : Santander 2Q Net Beats Estimate; CET1 Fully Loaded 10.36%
- SCO FP : Scor Says Continued to Deliver Strong Results in 1H
- STL NO : Statoil Posts Unexpected 2Q Adj. Net Loss; Dividend 22c/Share, Statoil CEO Says Very Important to Maintain Dividend Policy, Statoil Makes Gas/Condensate, Oil Discovery in North Sea
- SSTM FP : STMicro 2Q EPS Beats Ests.; Sees 3Q Rev., Gross Margin Improving
- O2D GY : Telefonica Deutschland Lowers Outlook on Mobile Service Revenue
- UPM1V FH : UPM can afford large acquisition but taking careful stance on M&A - Kauppalehti
- FR FP : Valeo 1H Operating Margin Beats Ests., Co. Confirms FY Targets, Sees ‘Great Growth’ in Europe in 2H Despite Brexit
- VOS GY : Vossloh Revenue Drops on U.S., Delays, Trims 2016 Forecast
- VOW3 GY : Volkswagen $14.7b Diesel-Cheating Settlement Gets Go-Ahead
- VOW3 GY : Volkswagen to Offer Proposal Next Month to Fix 85k Cars: Reuters

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 27th of July 2016

>>> Up
*DASSAULT SYSTEMES RAISED TO BUY VS HOLD AT SOCGEN
*FAURECIA RAISED TO BUY AT SOCGEN
*MTU AERO ENGINES RAISED TO NEUTRAL VS UNDERWEIGHT AT JPMORGAN
*OHL RAISED TO HOLD VS REDUCE AT KEPLER CHEUVREUX
*OUTOKUMPU RAISED TO REDUCE VS SELL AT ALPHAVALUE
*UPM-KYMMENE RAISED TO BUY AT JEFFERIES

>>> Down
*APPLUS CUT TO HOLD VS BUY AT KEPLER CHEUVREUX
*CEGEDIM CUT TO HOLD VS BUY AT SOCGEN
*EMS-CHEMIE CUT TO REDUCE AT KEPLER CHEUVREUX
*GKN CUT TO NEUTRAL VS BUY AT CITI
*INTERTEK CUT TO SECTOR PERFORM VS OUTPERFORM AT RBC
*JARDINE LLOYD THOMPSON CUT TO MARKET PERFORM AT KBW
*PEKAO RAISED TO HOLD AT HSBC
*PETRA DIAMONDS CUT TO HOLD VS BUY AT INVESTEC
*SARTORIUS CUT TO HOLD AT HSBC

>>> PT Change


>>> Initiation
*DALATA HOTEL GROUP RATED NEW BUY AT BERENBERG; PT 410P
*ENI RESUMED OUTPERFORM AT MEDIOBANCA, PT EU18.5
*NESTE RATED NEW OUTPERFORM AT MACQUARIE; PT EU42
*SARAS RATED NEW OUTPERFORM AT MACQUARIE; PT EU2
*THE GYM GROUP RATED NEW BUY AT BERENBERG; PT 300P
*UBM REINSTATED EQUALWEIGHT AT BARCLAYS; PT 650P

>>> Call