In reaction to disappointing earnings/guidance:
- ENPH -25.1% (announces restructuring/cost reduction initiatives resulting in about $20 mln in annualized savings; reaffirms Q3 & announces Q4 guidance)
Other news:
- CATB -14% (prices 2.5 mln common stock offering at $4.00/share)
- APRI -10.3% (announces $4.6 mln registered direct offering: 13.1 mln shares at $0.35/share)
- IPCI -9% (responds to recent trading activity, says not aware of any corporate developments that would cause the recent movement in the Company's share price)
- CAFD -5% (prices 7 mln Class A shares at $14.65 per share)
- LNTH -3.2% (anounces that new data from a sub-analysis of its first Phase 3 study of flurpiridaz F 18 for myocardial perfusion imaging in patients undergoing exercise stress testing will be presented at the 21st Annual Scientific Session of the ASNC)
- TM -2.4% (still checking)
- FB -2.2% (Ad buyers upset with FB for overestimating video average viewing time, according to WSJ)
- YHOO -1.7% (continued weakness after confirmed that a copy of certain user account information was stolen from the company's network in late 2014)
- HMHC -1.4% (President and CEO Linda K. Zecher resigns; co guides billings at or near the low end ofits revised guidance of $1,525 million to $1,595 million for 2016 )
- TWTR -3.9% (downgraded to Underperform at RBC Capita)
- CPTA -3.6% (downgraded to Mkt Perform from Mkt Outperform at JMP Securities)
- WIX -2.5% (downgraded to Sector Perform at RBC Capital Mkts)
- BDX -1.5% (downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Citigroup)
In reaction to strong earnings/guidance: AIR +4.8%, FINL +4.2%
M&A news:
- MIFI +24.6% (to sell mobile broadband business for $50 mln in cash to T.C.L. Industries Holdings, to restructure into public holding company
- IMPV +15.7% (shares spiking on reports of interest from potential acquirires)
- VNDA +2.6% (Reuters reported suggesting co is mulling a sale)
Other news:
- SAEX +10.5% (extending yesterday's move higher in premarket trade)
- NVAX +5.6% (President and Directors (2) disclosed purchases last night totaling 131K shares worth approx $222K)
- TWER +5.1% (prices 2.65 mln common stock offering by its Chairman, John Allison, at $22.00/share)
- GLUU +1.8% (extends agreement with Kim Kardashian West)
- SRPT +0.5% (prices 5.02 mln shares of its common stock at $59.75 per share)
- MDGN +4.5% (initiated with a Buy at Jefferies)
- ACHN +2.7% (initiated with an Outperform)
- ATVI +2.3% (initiated with a Overweight at Morgan Stanley),
- PRU +1.7% (upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Goldman; Added to Conviction Buy List)
Subject: Fwd:(Makor) SPECIAL SITUATION: MEDIASET (MS: IM) in light of the Vivendi deal di
SPECIAL SITUATION: MEDIASET (MS: IM) in light of the Vivendi deal dispute - risk/reward skewed to the upside
In this note we present four potential scenarios for Mediaset and their valuation implication given the uncertain situation with Vivendi regarding the sale of Mediaset Premium (“Premium”).
On April 2016 Vivendi offered to acquire 100% of Premium but in July pulled back from its original offer and asked to renegotiate. Vivendi proposed a revised offer of which Mediaset rejected and filed for damages in Italian courts. At the same time there have been rumors in the French press that the two parties are trying to reach a new deal/settlement.
In the report attached we draw four potential scenarios for Mediaset, in order to assess valuation implications of a range of potential alternatives and what could be the upside/downside of each. We believe the market is now pricing a low probability of a future deal and has significantly marked down the valuation of Mediaset Premium. We note that any other outcome and especially an announcement of a revised deal (or even just renewed talks between the parties) could unlock upside in Mediaset shares. We see the downside risk mainly if Premium losses are higher than market expectations and at the same time Vivendi completely abandons the idea of the acquisition.
Below we present a summary of the 4 scenarios and the implied weighted average PT:
Given the attractive risk/reward ratio we would start to build a position of Long MS: IM /Short Mediaset Espana TL5: SM (pro rata of the capital structure) + hedge the rest with short Vivendi.
Full report and analysis attached!