>>> U.S. Steel beats by $0.29, reports revs in-line; guides FY17 EPS well above

--> +3% in After Hours

U.S. Steel beats by $0.29, reports revs in-line; guides FY17 EPS well above consensus
  • Reports Q4 (Dec) earnings of $0.27 per share, excluding non-recurring items, $0.29 better than the Capital IQ Consensus of ($0.02); revenues rose 3.0% year/year to $2.65 bln vs the $2.67 bln Capital IQ Consensus.
  • Co issues upside guidance for FY17, sees EPS of $3.08 vs. $1.67 Capital IQ Consensus and EBITDA of ~$1.3 billion; Results for our Flat-Rolled, European, and Tubular segments to be higher than 2016; To be cash positive for the year, primarily due to improved cash from operations; and Other Businesses to be comparable to 2016 and ~$50 million of postretirement benefit expense.
  • We believe market conditions will change, and as changes occur during the balance of 2017, our net earnings and EBITDA should change consistent with the pace and magnitude of changes in market conditions.... We are starting 2017 with much better market conditions than we faced at the beginning of 2016. Our Carnegie Way transformation efforts over the last three years have improved our cost structure, streamlined our operating footprint and increased our customer focus. These substantive changes and improvements have increased our earnings power. While we will benefit from improved market conditions, they continue to be volatile and we must remain focused on improving the things that we can control.

(TechCrunch) Daimler to operate self-driving cars on Uber’s network

Daimler to operate self-driving cars on Uber’s network

Daimler and Uber have announced a partnership that will see the automaker introduce its own self-driving cars for use on Uber’s ride sharing service. The team-up is the second alliance Uber has struck with a car maker in pursuit of its goal of delivering self-driving service to users, the first of which was struck with Volvo and resulted in the XC90 self-driving test car that serves as Uber’s latest prototype.

This is different from Uber’s arrangement with Volvo, however, in that Daimler will own and operate its vehicles itself, while taking advantage of Uber’s technology and ride-sharing network services. Uber tells TechCrunch this is the first time it’s announcing its role as an “open self-driving vehicle platform,” wherein car makers can bring their own vehicles to the network to operate them. It’s a little like what Tesla intends to offer for drivers of its own cars, but targeted at automaker fleets and open to all car makers.

In a blog post announcing the news, Uber CEO and founder Travis Kalanick noted that his company realized early that the potential of self-driving cars in terms of safety is huge, but that it wouldn’t be able to do everything itself, which has resulted in its decision to seek out automaker partners like Daimler.

Kalanick points out a debate between himself and Daimler Chairman Dr. Dieter Zetsche that occurred during a Future of Transportation talk hosted by publisher Axel Springer in Berlin last year (embedded below) in his announcement, noting that while the two disagreed in some respects, he was “personally impressed” with the German carmaker.


This is a big announcement, and a significant change in strategy for Uber from its work with Volvo, which involved co-development of autonomous driving tech and vehicles operated by Uber itself. Effectively Uber is going to be offering a way for OEMs to provide ride sharing services without having to build or acquire their own network or service offering to do so, as companies including Ford, GM and others are currently attempting to do.

Even if many automakers continue to pursue the creation of their own ride-sharing services with autonomous vehicles, it’s likely Uber will remain an attractive third-party option for them to explore. It’s a smart move that emphasizes Uber’s expertise and advantages in demand prediction and routing, while downplaying the areas where it would be hard pressed to excel, including in automotive manufacturing.

Like many automakers, Daimler has stated that it aims to launch a self-driving car by 2020, so that’s the earliest we’re likely to see this partnership actually result in vehicles on the road, barring any earlier prototype testing.

>>> QBE Insurance could pursue divestitures rather than full company sale

QBE Insurance could pursue divestitures rather than full company sale - report

QBE Insurance [ASX: QBE] could divest underperforming units, The Australian’s Dataroom reported.
According to the report, which did not cite sources, QBE’s chief executive, John Neal, is likely focused on reviving the business, rather than pursuing talks with potential buyers. The paper noted that plans to enhance QBE’s profitability and simplify operations could provide opportunities for the company’s defence adviser Goldman Sachs to sell assets.
The item noted that Allianz [FRA: ALV, ETR: ALV] was recently rumoured to be considering an offer for QBE, but QBE has rejected speculation of Allianz interest. The paper said a Chinese buyer could be a more likely suitor for QBE, but Chinese suitors would likely struggle to secure regulatory clearance.

>>> Closing Commodities: Crude breaks out of its 3-session downtrend

Closing Commodities: Crude breaks out of its 3-session downtrend on headlines OPEC has cut over 1 mln barrels/day of oil out of the 1.2 mln barrels/day agreed to late last year; API on tap after the bell

  • Crude oil broke out of its 3-session downtrend ahead of tonight's API on headlines that OPEC has surpassed 1 mln barrels/day in output reductions
    • Mar crude oil futures rose $0.14 (+0.3%) to $52.76/barrel
    • Color on price action in oil:
      • Mar 2017 crude oil futures snapped out of a 3-session downtrend. Crude sharply reversed off of session lows after dropping as much as -0.7% initially, following headlines that OPEC has cut more than 1 mln barrels/day of the promised 1.2 mln barrels/day in planned oil production cuts (the OPEC portion).
      • Crude oil supply from the 11 OPEC members with targeted production reductions avged 30.01 mln barrels/day in Jan, compared to 31.17 mln in Dec.
    • Other factors to consider:
      • U.S. oil production has risen by ~6.3% since July last year to almost 9 mln bpd, according to EIA data.
      • Concerns these increases in US production will offset the coordinated OPEC/non-OPEC output reductions initially put pressure on crude futures in morning pit trading.
      • Also initially adding pressure on oil prices was this morning's statements from Goldman regarding an estimation that y/y U.S. oil production will rise by 290k barrels/day in 2017, if a backlog on rigs that are still to become operational is accounted for.
      • Note: The spread between Brent and WTI crude has been increasing, as market participants appear willing to pay a premium for Brent, as oil supply in the Middle East shrinks due to OPEC reductions, while US WTI crude oil is becoming increasingly plentiful.
    • Data reminders:
      • API data will be released today at 4:30 pm ET.
      • EIA data will be released tomorrow at 10:30 am ET.
      • Baker Hughes rig count data will be released Friday at 1 pm ET.
  • Natural gas closed pit trading lower for the third day in a row ahead of Thursday's inventory data on updated warmer weather forecasts across much of the US
    • Mar natural gas closed $0.11 lower (-3.4%) at $3.12/MMBtu
    • EIA natural gas inventory data will be released Thursday at 10:30 am ET
  • In precious metals, gold extended yesterday's gain, silver rallied on continued weakness in the dollar index
    • April gold ended today's session up $15.40 (+1.3%) to $1,211.40/oz
    • Gold futures have switched their front month to April from Feb, as indicated by the active amount of volume in the contracts
    • Mar silver closed today's session $0.39 higher (+2.3%) at $17.54/oz
  • The dollar index was -0.8% around the 99.62 level, boosted precious metals
    • Commodities, as measured by the Bloomberg Commodity Index, were +0.7% around the 87.59 level

>>> Actelion / JNJ - We Spoke to JNJ

Spoke to JNJ - getting alot of questions here this is what we learned, can only send to US clients if you prefer - -“Aware of the letter at the time. We signed the deal on the 26th and the letter came out on the 24th, we were well aware. And we did a lot of due diligence on ATLN.”
-There is a MAC clause, a very specific MAC clause due to Swiss law, she said. It’s a financial condition for EBIT change for the whole of company (not a drug).
-Demerger agreement will be filed with 8-K this week, prospectus with tender will be filed by 2/16.
-No plans to PR anything, they (JNJ) does NOT deem this worthy of a PR, and no need to issue a PR.
-Reiterated they were very well aware before signing agreement and how much due diligence they did.
-IR handholding as much as they can today, IR busy returning phone calls explaining what they can.

FT : Buy-to-let landlords shrug off UK tax rise in £1bn Treasury boost

Buy-to-let landlords shrug off UK tax rise in £1bn Treasury boost
Stamp duty surcharge raises nearly £1bn in six months as move fails to dampen sector

A tax surcharge on purchases of buy-to-let and second homes generated nearly £1bn for the Treasury in the last six months of 2016, suggesting landlords largely shrugged off efforts to dampen activity in the sector.

A three percentage point surcharge introduced in April 2016 raised £962m on residential property purchases in the six months to December, according to figures released on Tuesday by HM Revenue & Customs. The tax take comprised £519m in the last three months of the year and £443m in the quarter before that.

“Everyone is surprised that the 3 per cent [surcharge] has raised as much as it has,” said Lucian Cook, director of residential research at estate agent Savills. “The rise suggests landlords were starting to price it in and were getting used to the new environment.”

Those buying with cash were likely to be responsible for much of this activity: the number of loans issued for buy-to-let purchases in November 2016 was one-third down on the previous November, according to data from the Council of Mortgage Lenders.

Cash buyers, though hit by the stamp duty surcharge, have been unaffected by several other government and regulatory measures aimed at dousing an exuberant private rental market. These include the ending of higher-rate tax relief on mortgage interest payments — to be phased in from April 2017 — and new affordability constraints on buy-to-let lenders.

Henry Pryor, a buying agent, said the proportion of his clients buying second homes or buy-to-let properties with no borrowing was one-fifth higher in 2016 than the previous year. “The advantages of being leveraged aren’t as good as they once were,” he said.

Overall, stamp duty land tax on residential homes climbed to £8.28bn in 2016, 17 per cent higher than in 2015. For the final quarter, receipts were up 20 per cent on the previous year to £2.4bn.

The data showed investors’ attitudes towards the asset class remained favourable even as the authorities introduced new constraints on growth, Mr Cook said. “You’ve still got people who buy into the story of capital growth on residential property and the security of income in that context.”

The figures may give pause to those in the property industry who have been calling on the government to revisit the changes it has made to stamp duty since 2014. “The rise in total stamp duty revenue means those who argue that Philip Hammond should tinker with the regime, particularly at the top end, don’t yet have the data to support their argument,” said Mr Pryor.

Elsewhere in the figures, the tax take from residential properties owned by offshore companies jumped by 53 per cent to £178m last year, as the Treasury tightened its squeeze on home ownership structures used by wealthy foreigners.

HMRC said the rise in revenues in the year to April 2016 was driven by the increased rate and scope of the annual tax on “enveloped” dwellings (Ated), which was introduced in 2013 to deter people from owning expensive properties through companies.

As in previous years, about four-fifths of the tax was levied on properties in Westminster and Kensington & Chelsea.

The latest figures suggest the crackdown on offshore property structures — traditionally used to protect privacy and avoid inheritance tax — is starting to have an effect. HMRC said: “Declarations across all bands are likely to have fallen because many of the tax incentives for keeping a property in a corporate envelope have been removed.”

Although the number of buildings affected by the tax increased by 1,980 — or 53 per cent — over the year, this was solely because of the lowering of the threshold to £1m in April 2015, which brought an extra 2,260 properties into the tax.