FT : Dish/Sprint/T-Mobile: fourth in July

Dish/Sprint/T-Mobile: fourth in July
The Feds are insisting on a market with 4 players

T-Mobile and Sprint will begrudgingly spawn a peer. What they want to avoid is creating a rival. The third and fourth-largest mobile operators are trying to clinch a merger that so far has been held up by the US Department of Justice. The DoJ has consistently held that it does not want the US wireless phone industry to become a trio.

The deal risked being blocked but a settlement is in the works. T-Mobile will sell its Boost Mobile unit to a new market participant who will use it along with the T-Mobile/Sprint wireless network to ensure there are four US wireless providers.

Amazon had been floated as a possible Boost acquirer. However, news reports peg Dish Networks, the satellite TV provider put together by Charlie Ergen as the likely buyer in a deal that might be days away. Dish has been an odd package of a declining legacy entertainment business combined with a huge portfolio of wireless spectrum. That spectrum may finally be put to use with Dish’s shares up 57 per cent on the year. Investors seem to like its chances of diversifying away from the cord-cutting phenomenon.

At the end of 2018, Dish had roughly 10m subscribers for its satellite TV service. Four years earlier that figure was 14m as Americans have steadily warmed to digital consumption. Dish had started its own streaming service, Sling TV, but it has just 2m subscribers, and more importantly, its pricing is so cheap that profits are scant. Despite this year’s rally, Dish shares are off by roughly half from four years ago.

Dish has spent $21bn accumulating various spectrum bands. Guessing if and how Mr Ergen was going to deploy these has been a longstanding parlour game on Wall Street. The merging companies need the sign-off from the DoJ but are also keen that Dish does not quickly build a competitor that could challenge them. The awkwardness is that the goal is exactly what the DoJ desires. While cable and broadband companies now offer limited mobile phone services, Dish may be the first full-fledged start-up in years.

>>> US Gapping down

Gapping down
In reaction to disappointing earnings/guidance
:

  • GBX -7.3%, CRNT -3.3%, CYBE -2.7%

Other news:

  • OCX -17.1% (attributed to block trade pricing)
  • ADP -3.6% (attributed to block trade)
  • SOLY -3% (files for 1,147,500 share common stock offering by the selling stockholders)
  • HNGR -2.8% (attributed to block trade)

Analyst comments:

  • BL -5.7% (downgraded to Sell from Buy at Goldman)
  • ROKU -3.1% (downgraded to Sector Perform from Outperform at RBC Capital Mkts)
  • WDC -2.9% (downgraded to Sell from Hold at The Benchmark Company)
  • COTY -2.5% (downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Citigroup)
  • KAR -2.5% (downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Guggenheim)
  • TREE -2.4% (downgraded to Sector Perform from Outperform at RBC Capital Mkts)
  • TTD -2% (downgraded to Sector Perform from Outperform at RBC Capital Mkts)
  • PCAR -1.9% (downgraded to Sell from Hold at Loop Capital)
  • CMA -1.6% (downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Goldman)
  • JWN -1.6% (downgraded to Neutral from Buy at UBS)
  • FTSI -1.6% (downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Citigroup)
  • PLAY -1.5% (downgraded to Hold from Buy at Jefferies)
  • FBHS -1% (downgraded to Sell from Hold at Loop Capital)
  • R -1% (downgraded to Hold from Buy at Loop Capital)
  • SYK -0.8% (downgraded to In-line from Outperform at Evercore ISI)

>>> US Gapping up

Gapping up
In reaction to strong earnings/guidance
:

  • AMRN +8.7%, SMPL +4.9%

Other news:

  • CYAD +10.8% (announces strategic updates to the autologous r/r AML and MDS program; to hold call tomorrow at 8 a.m. EDT)
  • SRC +3.2% (to join S&P MidCap 400)
  • IOVA +3.1% (provided an update on the regulatory path for LN-145 in advanced cervical cancer)
  • TEVA +0.8% (reports results showing improvement in disability and quality of life from the Phase IIIb FOCUS study of Fremanezumab)

Analyst comments:

  • DOVA +4.8% (upgraded to Outperform from In-line at Evercore ISI)
  • CARS +3% (upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Citigroup)
  • RVLV +2.9% (initiated with an Overweight at Morgan Stanley, among others)
  • VERU +2.8% (initiated with Overweight at Cantor Fitzgerald)
  • HMSY +1.6% (upgraded to Buy at Chardan Capital Markets)
  • MPW +1.4% (upgraded to Buy from Hold at SunTrust)
  • CNP +1.2% (added to Conviction Buy List at Goldman)
  • LSTR +0.6% (upgraded to Mkt Perform from Underperform at Raymond James)

>>> US Early premarket gappers

Early premarket gappers

Gapping up:

  • AMRN +11.1%, CYAD +10.3%, SMPL +4.1%, VERU +2.8%, SRC +1.8%, HMSY +1.6%, NEE +1.5%, CVNA +1%, TEVA +0.5%

Gapping down:

  • OCX -16.7%, GBX -9%, ADP -3.2%, SOLY -3%, HNGR -2.8%, CYBE -2.7%, CRNT -1.6%

FT : Backdoor to Betfair: How to win £2,000 with no compliance c

Backdoor to Betfair: How to win £2,000 with no compliance checks
Overseas gamblers can use loosely regulated partner sites to access UK platform

Horse trainer Michael Madgwick was celebrating last week when Miss Recycled became the surprise winner in the 4.15 one-mile handicap at Brighton, returning wallet-enhancing odds of 100-1.

It was the filly’s first outing since October, according to the Racing Post. She came in with a strong late run under jockey Tom Marquand for a “short-head victory”.

Yet the performance would have been all the more profitable for Mr Madgwick if he had followed the lead of the Financial Times.

As part of an ongoing investigation into the grey world of online gambling, FT reporters had also placed money on Miss Recycled — at even longer odds of 250-1. A small wager paid out close to £2,000.

The bet was placed on the Betfair Exchange, a peer-to-peer gambling platform operated by the UK’s Flutter Entertainment, a FTSE 100 sports betting group that boasts 6m customers around the world and a £4.8bn market capitalisation.

Although Betfair imposes strict compliance procedures on its UK customers, the FT’s experiment highlights a loophole that allows anonymous gamblers — sitting in countries where betting may be illegal — to avoid checks on their identities and the provenance of their money.

The FT’s exact winnings were “1,982 PTE”. Until January 1999, “PTE” was the foreign exchange symbol for the Portuguese escudo. Nowadays it is the accepted code for euros in the opaque world of agents, brokers and clone websites that quietly route money from a variety of countries where betting may or may not be legal to Betfair’s closely regulated gambling platform in the UK.

It is a world where so-called “Know Your Customer” checks (KYC) and other anti-money laundering controls are applied rather less stringently than in countries such as the US or Britain — if indeed they are applied at all.

Betting industry executives and experienced professional gamblers have claimed to the FT that large amounts of dirty money and illegal gambling could be flowing through to the Betfair site, given weak regulatory enforcement elsewhere. Flutter disputed this and stated that revenue derived from a small network of what it calls B2B Partners is “immaterial” to the group, making up less than 1 per cent of its £2bn in annual sales. All of its partners are expected to impose full checks on end customers, it said.

The long-odds punt on Miss Recycled was an attempt to test this.


Using a simple Gmail address, FT reporters set up an account at AsianConnect88, a gambling agency registered in Curaçao, the Dutch Caribbean island that has operated a light-touch gambling registration service for more than 20 years. Funds were lodged with AsianConnect via Neteller, an e-money transfer service.

AsianConnect then provided anonymous-looking login details for a website called 9wickets, one of Betfair’s business-to-business partners which, under a master agreement with the UK company, clones the gaming prices displayed on the main Betfair betting exchange. The long-shot bet on Miss Recycled was placed by user “wick1069” through 9wickets and instantaneously “matched” by a gambling counterparty on the main Betfair platform.

Gambling companies such as Flutter are expected to perform strict checks on identity and source of funds. A spokesperson for the Gambling Commission, which acts as regulator in the UK, said: “Ultimately, a [regulated] licensee must assure themselves that they are acting in a lawful manner and failure to do so would bring into question their suitability to hold a Commission licence.”


Testing the KYC principle, the FT invited Flutter to identify the winner of the 250-1 long shot at Brighton; the company declined on privacy grounds. The FT then invited Flutter to send a congratulatory email directly to the lucky punter; no such email had arrived by the time of publication.

With the same identity used for the AsianConnect account, the FT also set up an account with Betfair in the UK, going through stringent identity checks that extended to the uploading of a birth certificate.

Flutter was asked whether the effective creation of two accounts by one individual for use on Betfair amounted to a fundamental breach of its anti-money laundering controls, but the company declined to answer, citing commercial sensitivities.

Gamblers and rival betting companies claim that without tight controls on identity, peer-to-peer gambling exchanges like Betfair offer an easy mechanism to clean tainted money and, in the process, transfer it from anywhere in the world to a jurisdiction like the UK.

Flutter said: “All our B2B partners are licensed operators and they are held to a high standard of verification. We conduct enhanced due diligence on the B2B partner, relevant related parties and their respective operating licences before entering into any relationship. Our partners are also subject to ongoing review throughout the course of the relationship.”

Partners are required to provide full individual account information to Betfair upon request, with the company adding: “As licensed operators, all our B2B partners adhere to the ‘know your customer’ requirements specified by their [local] licensing authority.”

Access to 9wickets — like another Betfair B2B partner, Orbit Exchange — is blocked to regular internet users in the UK, but the sites are failing to block covert gambling in countries where online betting is largely banned, such as the US and India. Betfair’s application programming interface (API) is hard-wired into these sites’ source code, allowing them to replicate Betfair’s gambling odds and liquidity pool.


Orbit Exchange, which - like 9Wicket - functions as a B2B partner for Betfair © FT montage
Describing themselves as being “Powered by Betfair”, the companies operating these clone websites have taken measures to keep their ownership and management completely opaque, typically using the offshore services of Curaçao.

The Curaçao Gaming Control Board did not respond to requests for comment.

Other “Powered by Betfair” sites identified by the FT include AB Exchange and Betchips. None of the Betfair clone sites responded to requests by the FT for comment.

Ordinary customers are not able to sign up directly to these partners. Instead, a secondary network of affiliate broker websites, with their own network of individual agents or brokers, provide gamblers with login details.

Alongside AsianConnect, at least a dozen major affiliates are funnelling customers to the clone Betfair sites, with each affiliate having their own network of individual agents and brokers.

Some of these affiliates openly claim that customers’ identities will not be passed on to the clone sites or to Betfair itself. Others require no identity checks at all, but nonetheless promise direct access to Betfair’s odds and liquidity. Simple online conversations with these sites’ “chatbot” functions by FT reporters confirmed the slack regulatory controls.


The clone sites, along with their affiliates and agents, accept bank transfers or cryptocurrency payments through e-payment services such as Skrill and Neteller, or through informal hawala cash transfer networks. Active online gamblers told the FT that a favoured hub for turning cash discreetly into online gambling funds is the Deira district in Dubai, where scores of foreign exchange transfer agents are based.

Betfair applies a 2 per cent commission on all winning bets that come through the partners’ sites. The clones are required to route at least 50 per cent of their business through to the Betfair exchange, taking the remaining gambling risk on to their own books. Customers of the clones typically pay a total winning commission of 3.5 per cent, compared with the standard 5 per cent levied by Betfair in the UK.

Although Flutter claims that its B2B partnerships are immaterial to the business at a group level, there are serious amounts of money being bet on the platforms.

By way of illustration, the Champions League final between two English football teams, Liverpool and Tottenham Hotspur, on June 1 attracted “matched” bets of £13m; in cricket, meanwhile, the World Cup clash between India and South Africa four days later saw £90m matched.

Betfair announced in January this year that it would no longer accept bets from Indian accounts, but the 9wickets site and numerous affiliates are still accessible from Indian internet domains. Similarly, while gamblers in South Africa were banned from Betfair seven years ago, partly in response to suspicions that the platform was being used to circumvent the country’s currency controls, gambling sources told the FT that at least 500 “whales” — high-stakes gamblers — were accessing Betfair through a B2B partner.

Any ambitions among FT reporters to join the ranks of these high rollers are on hold, however. After the FT sought comment from Betfair for this article, the 9wickets account for user “wick1069” was first suspended and the Miss Recycled winnings frozen, pending an investigation. The money has since vanished.

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 2nd of July 2019 (Version 2)

>>> Up
* Anima Upgraded to Outperform at Mediobanca SpA; PT 4.50 Euros
* BillerudKorsnas Raised to Buy at Pareto Securities
* Hornbach Holding Upgraded to Buy at Oddo BHF; PT 62 Euros
* Intesa Upgraded to Buy at Banca Akros
* Stagecoach Upgraded to Buy at Liberum

>>> Down
* Adidas Downgraded to Hold at HSBC; PT 300 Euros
* Auto Trader Downgraded to Hold at Peel Hunt
* Italiaonline Downgraded to Neutral at Banca Akros (ESN)
* Orkla Cut to Hold at Pareto Securities; Price Target 80 Kroner

>>> Initiation
* Basilea Rated New Buy at NIBC; PT 53 Francs
* Knorr-Bremse Rated New Sell at Hauck & Aufhaeuser; PT 70 Euros
* Molecular Partners Rated New Buy at NIBC; PT 26 Francs

>>> Call

>>> Stoxx 600 - Pre-Market Indications

  • Tomra (TMR TH) +0.8%
  • Puma (PUM TH) +0.8%
  • Deutsche Bank (DBK TH) +0.7%
    • Deutsche Bank Discusses Lower Capital Buffer With Regulators
  • Infineon (IFX TH) +0.6%
  • Galapagos (GXE TH) +0.5%
    • Gilead Plans to Submit NDA for Filgotinib to FDA This Year
  • Deutsche Wohnen (DWNI TH) +0.5%
  • ASML (ASME TH) +0.5%
  • Reckitt (3RB TH) +0.5%
  • Rio Tinto (RIO1 TH) +0.5%
    • Iron Ore’s Rally Takes Out $120 a Ton as Bulls Hold Their Nerve
  • TUI (TUI1 TH) +0.5%
  • Freenet (FNTN TH) -0.5%
  • United Internet (UTDI TH) -0.6%
  • Rheinmetall (RHM TH) -0.6%
  • Aroundtown (AT1 TH) -0.7%
  • Siemens Healthineers (SHL TH) -0.9%
  • Airbus (AIR TH) -1.3%
    • U.S. Proposes More Tariffs on EU Goods in Airbus-Boeing Dispute
  • Adidas (ADS TH) -1.6%
    • Adidas Downgraded to Hold at HSBC; PT 300 Euros