>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 4th of July 2019 (v2)

>>> Up
* Burberry Upgraded to Outperform at MainFirst; PT 21.50 Pounds
* Eramet Upgraded to Buy at Oddo BHF; PT 100 Euros
* H&M Upgraded to Reduce at AlphaValue
* Immofinanz Upgraded to Buy at Baader Helvea; PT 25 Euros
* Kloeckner Upgraded to Hold at Kepler Cheuvreux; PT 5 Euros
* Svenska Handelsbanken Upgraded to Buy at AlphaValue

>>> Down
* Borregaard Cut to Hold at SEB Equities; Price Target 95 Kroner
* Commerzbank Downgraded to Neutral at JPMorgan; PT 7.50 Euros
* Danske Bank Downgraded to Sell at AlphaValue
* Gjensidige Downgraded to Market Perform at KBW; PT 170 Kroner
* Keywords Studios Downgraded to Sell at Peel Hunt
* Lufthansa Downgraded to Sector Perform at RBC; PT 14.50 Euros
* Spirax Downgraded to Sell at Goldman; PT 75 Pounds
* TomTom Cut to Hold at Kepler Cheuvreux; Price Target 10.25 Euros

>>> Initiation
* Grand City Properties Reinstated at BofAML With Buy; PT 22 Euros
* LEG Immobilien Reinstated at BofAML With Buy; PT 120 Euros
* Vonovia Reinstated at BofAML With Buy; PT 52 Euros

>>> Call
* Aedas Estimates Cut at Citi After ‘Softer Margin Guidance’
* Akka Valuation Very Attractive, CFO Convincing, Says Berenberg
* Lufthansa Cut to Sector Perform at RBC as Outlook Weakens
* Nordex Order Intake a Surprise; Estimates, PT Raised at Citi

>>> What to look at today - 4th of July 2019

Asian stocks were mixed in trading thinned by Thursday’s U.S. holiday, following gains on Wall Street that took American shares to a record high.
The dollar was little changed, amid further comments on Chinese and European currency manipulation by President Donald Trump. Shares in Japan and Australia rose, and fluctuated in Hong Kong, South Korea and China. Earlier, the S&P 500 climbed for a fifth day with U.S. stock investors piling into high dividend-yielding sectors like utilities and REITs after 10-year Treasury yields dipped to the lowest since November 2016. Trading volumes were well below average in Asia, as investors await Friday’s key U.S. employment report.

Nikkei +0.25% HAng Seng -0.10% CSI -0.58% shanghai -0.36%

Eur$ 1.1284 CNH 6.8746 CNY 6.8685 JPY 107.80 GBP 1.2585 CHF 0.9862 RUB 63.2960 TRY 5.6143 WTI$ 56.97 -0.65%

S&P -0.03% EuroStoxx +0.08% Dax +0.14% SMI +0.11%

Macro :
- China Considers Buying Some U.S. Farm Products to Show Goodwill
- Watch European Oil Stocks as Crude Slips After U.S. Stockpiles

Keep an eye on :
- ABF LN : AB Foods Keeps Expectations Unchanged
- AIR FP : Airbus Names Emerson President of Airbus Defense and Space Inc.
- BGN IM : Banca Generali Is Not Up for Sale, Radiocor Says Citing Sources
- CABK SM : *CAIXABANK SELLS NPL PORTFOLIO TO U.S. FUNDS: EL CONFIDENCIAL
- DANSKE DC : Danske Crisis Exposes Full Extent of Damage From Negative Rates
- EDPR PL : EDP Renovaveis Secures 20-Year Contract at Greek Energy Auction
- FCA IM : Fiat Chrysler Names Davide Grasso Maserati COO
- FLTR LN : +20% intraday , speculation about Buyout
- JD/ LN : JD Sports Fashion to Review Corporate Governance, Pay
- KORI FP : Korian: Investissements PSP Holds 6.6% After Stake Sale (1)
- MKEA FP : Mauna Kea Announces Receipt of EUR 11.5M New Financing
- GLE LN : MJ Gleeson Sees Earnings in Line With Expectations
- OSR GY : Osram Confirms $3.8 Billion Buyout Offer from Bain, Carlyle
- RKET GY : Short Sellers Favor Rocket Internet’s Best Listings: ECM Watch
- SVA PL : SAG Shareholder Coutinho Submits Request to Delist Company
- ALVAL FP : Valbiotis Says Valedia Effective in People With Prediabetes
- VEI NO : Veidekke ASA: Sold homes for NOK 1.4 billion in Q2
- VOE AV : Voestalpine CEO Change Completed; Eder Joins Supervisory Board
- VOW3 GY : VW Management Board Completes Talks With Ford on Alliance: HB
- WAC GY : Wacker Neuson Holder to Offer Up to 3.77m Shrs
- WDP BB : WDP to Develop Global Distribution Centre for Barry Callebaut
- YIT FH : YIT to Sell Paving, Mineral Aggregates to Peab for EU280M
- ZAL GY : Zalando to Invest EU200 Million in Dutch Distribution Center: FD

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 4th of July 2019

>>> Up
* Eramet Upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Oddo, PT €100
* H&M Upgraded to Reduce at AlphaValue
* Immofinanz Upgraded to Buy at Baader Helvea; PT 25 Euros
* Kloeckner Upgraded to Hold at Kepler Cheuvreux; PT 5 Euros

>>> Down
* Borregaard Cut to Hold at SEB Equities; Price Target 95 Kroner
* Commerzbank Downgraded to Neutral at JPMorgan; PT 7.50 Euros
* Gjensidige Downgraded to Market Perform at KBW; PT 170 Kroner
* Keywords Studios Downgraded to Sell at Peel Hunt
* Lufthansa Downgraded to Sector Perform at RBC; PT 14.50 Euros
* Spirax Downgraded to Sell at Goldman; PT 75 Pounds
* TomTom Cut to Hold at Kepler Cheuvreux; Price Target 10.25 Euros

>>> Initiation


>>> Call
* Lufthansa Cut to Sector Perform at RBC as Outlook Weakens
* Nordex Order Intake a Surprise; Estimates, PT Raised at Citi

FT : Americans broaden their July 4 appetites beyond beer and burgers Sales of m

Americans broaden their July 4 appetites beyond beer and burgers
Sales of meatless products and drink alternatives on the rise for US Independence Day

Beer, barbecue and burgers are as much a part of Fourth of July celebrations as fireworks and the Stars and Stripes. Today, however, meatless sausages, gluten-free pita chips and canned wine are also on the menu — the latest sign that shifting consumer behaviour is upending the global food and drinks business.

Reasons for the changing Independence Day tastes are varied, and go beyond dietary considerations. The rise of social media has made image-conscious young people more reluctant to get loaded on lager, while concerns about agriculture’s impact on the environment are helping fuel demand for alternatives to meat.

David Lee, chief financial officer of Bill Gates-backed Impossible Foods, known for its plant-based burger that “bleeds”, said: “The all-American hamburger is still iconic, but finally there is an entirely plant-based Impossible Burger that can satisfy that craving.”

While industry sales figures for this week have yet to be compiled, data from consultancy Nielsen for the same period in 2018 highlight the shifts, and executives are expecting more of the same this year.

While beer sales dipped 1.6 per cent from 2017 levels, canned wine sales leapt 57 per cent and so-called hard seltzers — sparkling water infused with alcohol — jumped 150 per cent. In food, sales of fresh beef ticked up 2.1 per cent, while plant-based meat alternatives rose 11 per cent.


Not everyone is convinced that the familiar favourites are on their way out. “Hot dogs are Americana — in my opinion, that never has changed and never will change,” said Wayne Rosenbaum, who runs Manhattan hot dog joint Papaya King.

Papaya King is staying open later than usual to mark the occasion, until 1am. Its hot dog sales on Independence Day in previous years have been about a tenth higher than usual.

“We haven’t noticed anything but upticks” on the day, added Hugh Mangum, co-founder of the New York-based barbecue chain Mighty Quinn’s. “BBQ is truly our national cuisine.”

Traditional Fourth of July fare still outsells the alternatives by a considerable margin. Americans bought $874m worth of beef, hot dogs and sausages during the week of Independence Day last year, according to Nielsen, compared to $325m for plant-based alternatives. Beer sales totalled almost $800m in the period, dwarfing the less than $3m for canned wine and about $16m for hard seltzers.

Still, the rising popularity of alternative products throughout the year is disrupting traditional food and drink companies, which have released a series of disappointing financial results. The latest came last week from ConAgra. The company behind Slim Jim beef snacks missed profit forecasts, sending its shares down 12 per cent on the day.

Wider shifts in consumer sentiment away from big brands have given smaller upstarts an edge, argued Jan Livingston Mokhtari, co-founder of start-up Gray Whale Gin. She pointed to Budweiser, long marketed as quintessentially American.

“Young people’s definition of what it means to be all-American is changing. They’re savvy enough to know that Budweiser is a huge corporate machine,” she said. Now consumers wanted to celebrate local goods, produced by “authentic founders”.

Those who are sticking to the booze on the day have a wider choice than ever. In vodka, for instance, Diageo is marketing a “Red, White and Berry” version of Smirnoff — cherry, citrus, and blue raspberry — while Pernod Ricard is pushing a limited edition bottle, Absolut America.

Devon Broglie, a senior drinks buyer at Whole Foods, the upscale retailer, said so-called flavoured malt beverages, including the brands Truly and White Claw, had been selling particularly well this year. “More than lower alcohol, it is also about clear, refreshing, flavour,” he said.

Makers of traditional food and drink say they are not sitting still in dealing with the challenges. Sean Connolly, ConAgra’s chief executive, told analysts last week that it was poised to capitalise on plant and soy-based meat alternatives after it acquired Pinnacle Foods, behind meatless brand, Gardein, last year.

Anheuser-Busch, brewer of Budweiser, has set its sights on new products such as ready-to-drink canned cocktails and recently set a target to increase non-beer revenues in the US to $1bn. “People are expanding their beverage repertoire,” said Chelsea Phillips, a vice-president for the company’s “Beyond Beer” brands.

The trend may not appeal to traditionalists, yet for some the increasing choice of Independence Day fare captures the spirit of the occasion.

“Fourth of July is a moment to celebrate freedom and togetherness,” said Ms Clevenger-Lee. “Freedom to choose what is best for you.”

More Americans are also avoiding booze altogether. Sparkling water sales jumped 19 per cent during the Fourth of July week last year. Yumi Clevenger-Lee, chief marketing officer at Perrier-maker Nestlé Waters, said teetotallers were enduring less social stigma than in days gone by. “I don’t think there are eyebrows being raised any more,” she said.