>>> What to look at today - 7th of February 2022

A rally in Chinese shares Monday helped to limit a drop in Asian stocks, while global sovereign bonds remained under pressure amid intensifying bets on monetary-policy tightening to fight inflation. A Chinese equity benchmark climbed about 2% after reopening from a holiday, playing catch-up to last week’s gains in global equities. But a Hong Kong technology gauge retreated, sapped by Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. on speculation SoftBank Group Corp. may sell some of its shares in the firm.  S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 and European futures rose. The dollar ticked up, the euro slipped and commodity-linked currencies were higher. Oil’s rally paused at $92 a barrel. Markets now expect more than five quarter-point Federal Reserve interest-rate hikes in 2022 to quell inflation following a strong U.S. jobs report. Elsewhere, European Central Bank Governing Council Member Klaas Knot said he expects a rate increase as early as in the fourth quarter. The ECB last week made a hawkish pivot, with President Christine Lagarde no longer excluding a rate hike this year. That has pressured European sovereign debt. Meanwhile, Bitcoin climbed above $42,000 to the highest in over two weeks. China locked down a city of 3.6 million people.

Nikkei -0,70% Hang Seng -0,25% CSI +1,54% Shanghai +2,à3% Shenzen +1,04%

Eur$ 1,1429 CNY 6,3583 CNH 6,3618 JPY 115,27 GBP 1,3540 CHF 0,9244 RUB 75,725 TRY 13,5473 WTI$ 91,62 -0,8% Gold 1,811,40 BTC 42,640 +2% ETH 3075 +1,8%

S&P +0,16% Nasdaq +0,30% EuroStoxx +0,81% FTSE +0,45% Dax +0,79% SMI +0,50%

Macro :
- Quant Fund Up 11% in January Bets Value Will Win for Two Years
- U.K. in Talks With Macquarie For GBP10b Investment, Sky Reports
- Goldman Team Says U.S. Small Caps Are Set to Lag Larger Peers

Keep an eye on :
- ARL GY : Aareal Bank Sees EU33b Portfolio Volume by 2024
- ARL GY : Advent, Centerbridge Offer for Aareal Fails to Meet Threshold
- NDA GY : Aurubis Maintains FY Pretax Operating Profit Forecast
- BCP PL : BCP Says It Complies ‘Comfortably’ With Capital Requirements
- BOY LN : Bodycote CFO Dominique Yates Plans to Retire
- BLND LN : British Land Signs 85,000 SQ FT of New Aldi Space Across Retail
- CARLB DC : Carlsberg Says Local Production Cuts Geopolitical Risk: Borsen
- CEC GY : Ceconomy 1Q Adj. Ebit EU274M, Est. EU289M
- CERV IM: Castor Bidco to Hold 99.6% of Cerved’s Share Capital
- O5G GY : S Immo Holder CPI Property Increases Its Shareholding to 16.06%
- EDP PL : EDP Says China Three Gorges Holds 20.2% of Portuguese Utility
- ENX FP : Euronext Jan. Total Cash Market Transaction Value M/M +25%
- EO FP : Faurecia Targets Sales Above EU33B in 2025 After Hella Deal
- KCR FH : EU Set to Clear Konecranes-Cargotec Deal With Conditions: Rtrs
- PTON US : Nike Evaluates Bid to Buy Peloton, Financial Times Says
- PTON US : Peloton Draws Interest From Suitors Including Amazon: DJ --> +22% in After Hours
- RKT LN : Reckitt Benckiser Is Said to Weigh Sale of Infant Nutrition Unit
- SPI AV : S Immo Holder CPI Property Increases Its Shareholding to 16.06%
- WAF GY : GlobalWafers Sees Chip M&A Getting Harder After Failed Bid
- 9984 JP : Alibaba SEC Filing May Signal SoftBank Plans to Sell, Citi Says
- UBSF SW : UBS’s Lovell Says Use Stock Volatility to Move Up in Quality
- ULVR LN : Two Big Unilever Investors Push for Split or New Chair: FT
- VOW GY : VW Battle Brews as Lingering Chip Shortage Hits Workers’ Wallets
- WIZZ LN : Danish Fund to Sell Wizz Air Shares in Spat Over Unionization

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 7th of February 202

>>> Up
* ADP Raised to Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley; PT 123 euros
* Andritz PT Raised to 63 euros from 59 euros at Deutsche Bank
* Assa Abloy Raised to Buy at DNB Markets; PT 300 kronor
* Aviva PT Raised to 540 pence from 480 pence at Berenberg
* Biogaia Raised to Buy at SEB Equities; PT 577 kronor
* Carlsberg Raised to Buy at DNB Markets; PT 1,275 kroner
* Carl Zeiss Meditec Raised to Add at AlphaValue/Baader
* Clariant Raised to Buy at Jefferies; PT 23 Swiss francs
* Dr. Martens Raised to Add at Peel Hunt; PT 475 pence
* Epiroc Raised to Market Perform at Bernstein; PT 190 kronor
* Europris Raised to Buy at Nordea; PT 72 kroner
* Munters Raised to Buy at Carnegie; PT 75 kronor
* SIG Combibloc Raised to Buy at Stifel; PT 24.50 Swiss francs
* Sligro Raised to Outperform at Oddo BHF; PT 26.50 euros
* Washtec Raised to Buy at HSBC; PT 59 euros

>>> Down
* Cofinimmo Cut to Neutral at Oddo BHF; PT 137 euros
* Korian Cut to Hold at Equita; PT 25 euros
* Prosegur Cash Cut to Neutral at Goldman; PT 75 euro cents
* Prosegur Cut to Neutral at Goldman; PT 2.70 euros
* Zurich Airport Cut to Underweight at Morgan Stanley

>>> Initiation
* BMW Reinstated Equal-Weight at Barclays; PT 95 euros
* Daimler Truck Reinstated Overweight at Barclays; PT 43 euros
* Porsche SE Reinstated Overweight at Barclays; PT 112 euros
* Renault Reinstated Underweight at Barclays; PT 33 euros
* Shell ADRs Rated New Buy at MKM; PT $80
* TPG Rated New Neutral at Goldman; PT $34.50

>>> Call
* Aviva Top U.K. Life Insurance Pick at Berenberg, Phoenix Raised
* Carlsberg Shares Likely to Recover, Ukraine Worry Overdone: Citi
* Clariant Raised to Buy at Jefferies on Earnings Outperformance
* Fraport Offers ‘Rare’ Upside in Airports Sector: Morgan Stanley
* Goldman Team Says U.S. Small Caps Are Set to Lag Larger Peers
* Reckitt Unit Sale Would Be Positive, But ‘Tough Sell’: Jefferies
* Swatch PT Upped at RBC But Potential Upside ‘Fairly Limited’

>>> TradeGate Pre-Market Indications

  • DAX:
    • Deutsche Bank (DBK TH) +1.9%
    • Infineon (IFX TH) +1.9%
    • Siemens (SIE TH) +1.4%
    • Siemens Energy (ENR TH) +1.3%
    • Continental (CON TH) +1.3%
    MDAX:
    • CompuGroup (COP TH) +2%
    • Fraport (FRA TH) +1.9%
      • Fraport Offers ‘Rare’ Upside in Airports Sector: Morgan Stanley
    • Evotec SE (EVT TH) +1.8%
    • Varta (VAR1 TH) +1.8%
    SDAX:
    • SUSE (SUSE TH) +3.4%
    • MorphoSys (MOR TH) +2.7%
    • SMA Solar (S92 TH) +2.1%
    • flatexDEGIRO (FTK TH) +1.9%
    • Siltronic (WAF TH) +1.9%
      • GlobalWafers Drops on Deal Failure, Capacity Plan; Drags Peers
    • SGL (SGL TH) -0.3%
    • Nagarro SE (NA9 TH) -0.3%
    • Synlab (SYAB TH) -0.8%
    • Nordex (NDX1 TH) -0.9%
    • Aareal Bank (ARL TH) -6.3%
      • Advent, Centerbridge Offer for Aareal Fails to Meet Threshold
      • Aareal Bank Sees EU33b Portfolio Volume by 2024

>>> Stoxx 600 Pre-Market Indications

  • Handelsbanken (SVHH TH) +4.4%
  • Evraz (EVZ TH) +3.4%
    • Watch Miners as Iron Ore Jumps on Tight Supply Prospects
  • Reckitt (3RB TH) +2.1%
    • Reckitt Is Said to Weigh Sale of Infant Nutrition Business
  • Air Liquide (AIL TH) +2%
  • Essity (ESWB TH) +2%
  • Siemens Gamesa (GTQ1 TH) +2%
  • Infineon (IFX TH) +1.9%
    • European Tech Sector May See Short-Term Bounce: Citi Strategists
  • Evotec SE (EVT TH) +1.8%
  • Coloplast (CBHD TH) +1.8%
  • CD Projekt (7CD TH) -0.7%
  • Equinor (DNQ TH) -0.8%
  • Telefonica (TNE5 TH) -1.6%
    • Telefonica Hybrids Factor More Pain Than Seniors: Credit Outlook
  • Teleperformance (RCF TH) -1.6%
  • Sabadell (BDSB TH) -2%
    • Shares gained 23% last week

>>> Meta considering shutting down Insta & Facebook in Europe if data not…

Mark Zuckerberg and team consider shutting down Facebook and Instagram in Europe if Meta can not process Europeans’ data on US servers


If Meta is not given the option to transfer, store and process data from its European users on US-based servers, Facebook and Instagram may be shut down across Europe, the social media giants’ owner reportedly warned in its annual report.
The key issue for Meta is transatlantic data transfers, regulated via the so-called Privacy Shield and other model agreements that Meta uses or used to store data from European users on American servers. The current agreements to enable data transfers are currently under heavy scrutiny in the EU.
In its annual report to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, Meta warns that if a new framework is not adopted and the company is no longer allowed to use the current model agreements “or alternatives,” the company will “probably” no longer be able to offer many of its “most significant products and services,” including Facebook and Instagram, in the EU, according to various media reports, including in iTWire, The Guardian newspaper and Side Line Magazine.

Sharing data between countries and regions is crucial for the provision of its services and targeted advertising, Meta stressed.
Therefore, it previously used the transatlantic data transfer framework called Privacy Shield as the legal basis to carry out those data transfers.
However, this treaty was annulled by the European Court of Justice in July 2020, because of data protection violations. Since then, the EU and the US did stress they are working on a new or updated version of the treaty.
READ MORE
Mysterious Covid variant BA.2 spreads like lightning into over 40 countries but Omicron acts as ‘super booster’ to new coronavirus mutation

In addition to the Privacy Shield, Meta also uses so-called model agreements, or Standard Contractual Clauses, as the primary legal basis for processing data from European users on American servers.
These model agreements are equally under scrutiny in Brussels and other parts of the EU.

Facebook response
When contacted by City A.M. today, John Nolan, Meta’s London-based tech media and advertising communications leader, did not deny or play down the reports.
Instead, he shared a statement from Nick Clegg, Meta’s VP of Global Affairs and Communications.
Clegg warned that “a lack of safe, secure and legal international data transfers would damage the economy and hamper the growth of data-driven businesses in the EU, just as we seek a recovery from Covid-19.”
“The impact would be felt by businesses large and small, across multiple sectors,” he continued.
“Businesses need clear, global rules, underpinned by the strong rule of law, to protect transatlantic data flows over the long term.”
Nick Clegg, VP of Global Affairs and Communications.
“In the worst case scenario, this could mean that a small tech start up in Germany would no longer be able to use a US-based cloud provider. A Spanish product development company could no longer be able to run an operation across multiple time zones.”

>>> Weekend Papers Summary

Weekend Papers Summary


NEW YORK TIMES
-More than 2,600 Americans are dying from Covid-19 each day, with the virus claiming a total of more than 900,000 lives across the United States. But simultaneously, new case reports and hospitalizations are waning, leaving many wondering what long-term coexistence with the virus might look like. New York City’s Hospitals Withstood the Omicron Surge. Vaccines and a milder variant helped, but health care workers also learned from hard-won experience in 2020 how to limit severe illness and death.
-Protesters against vaccine mandates and other Covid measures have paralyzed Ottawa for a week and are expected in Toronto and Quebec City. President Erdogan of Turkey tested positive two days after meeting Ukraine’s president.
-The Islamic State is a shadow of its former self. But it’s likely to keep adapting and enduring, even after the U.S. raid that killed its top commander.
-Martial Simon, mentally ill and homeless, spent years in and out of hospitals before being accused of shoving Michelle Go in front of a subway train in New3 York City last month.
-The environmentally unfriendly secret of winter sports is that many competitions take place on artificial snow. China’s water-scarce capital had to go to enormous lengths to make enough of it.
-Roger Ailes understood the appeal Mr. Trump had for Fox viewers. He didn’t foresee how together they would redefine the limits of political discourse.
-A declining birthrate and pandemic deaths helped drive US population growth to historic lows. But immigration appears to be back on the rise.
-Many countries competing in the Africa Cup of Nations are enduring security, economic and political crises, but the tournament offers visions of unity, solidarity and joy.
-Lawmakers press Amazon on sales of chemical used in suicides even as grieving families tried to warn Amazon and other e-commerce sites of the danger, there were more purchases and more deaths.

THE FINANCIAL TIMES
-Investors have rushed into the derivatives market to protect corporate bond portfolios from a possible sell-off, as they grapple with the growing risk that the recent slump in stock prices will spread to companies’ debt.
-Fundraising figures released this week underline the continuing political potency of the Trump brand. According to the filings, Trump’s political operation and affiliated political action committees, or super-PACs which raise money for political causes, now have more than $143M of cash in hand after hauling in $64M in the second half of last year.
-US military and intelligence officials believe that Russia is planning to hold a big nuclear weapons exercise this month as a warning to Nato not to intervene if President Vladimir Putin decides to invade Ukraine.
-Nike and Amazon are separately evaluating bids for Peloton, which has come under fire from an activist investor who has urged the board of the maker of connected fitness bikes and treadmills to sack its chief executive and explore a sale.
-The painful start to the year for global equities has knocked the performance of many star stockpickers, with Facebook parent Meta’s disappointing results this week deepening the pain in some technology stocks. Among those nursing outsized losses is William Danoff. His $131bn Fidelity Contrafund — one of the investment industry’s largest traditional, actively managed equity funds — was down over 11 per cent for 2022 as of Thursday’s close, after shares in Facebook owner Meta, its biggest bet, fell by a quarter in a single day.
-British Prime Minister Boris Johnson was braced for further departures of senior aides from his Downing Street team on Friday as some government ministers were said to be considering their position.
-Earlier this week, Heather Boushey and other members of US president Joe Biden’s economic team warned that the Omicron variant might have temporarily depressed employment, and therefore the January jobs report should be taken with a pinch of salt.
But when the data landed on Friday morning, with payrolls surging above expectations in addition to large revisions to previous months, it served both as a sign of the resilience of the recovery and a vindication of Biden’s economic record.
-Gerhard Schröder, the former German chancellor, has been nominated to join the board of Russian energy giant Gazprom, fuelling scrutiny of his close links to the Kremlin-controlled company as tension mounts between Moscow and the Wst over whether Russia is preparing to invade Ukraine.

THE NEW YORK POST
-The soft-on-crime approach espoused by Manhattan District Attorney Alvin Bragg and other progressive prosecutors in troubled Democratic cities has been nurtured and advanced by a policy center at John Jay College of Criminal Justice, no less. The public college in Hell’s Kitchen, where many future cops are educated, is home to the Institute for Innovation in Prosecution, which since 2016 — with the help of controversial figures such as Chicago prosecutor Kim Foxx, Los Angeles DA George Gascón and San Francisco’s Chesa Boudin — has been instrumental in reshaping how prosecutors across the country view crime and punishment.
- One month before the application deadline, the Department of Education unveiled its long-awaited new admission system, lowering the bar for entry into many competitive high schools — and tossing kids with a range of academic achievement into a random hopper. “It’s now essentially a lottery system masquerading as a selective process,” said Effie Zakry, a vice-president of the Citywide Council on High Schools, a DOE parental advisory body.
- A day after Facebook owner Meta suffered the deepest loss of stock market value in history for a US company, Amazon logged the greatest ever one-day increase in value. FB Shares surged 13.5% on Friday following its blowout quarterly report.