FT : New Peloton chief dismisses suggestions company will be sold

New Peloton chief dismisses suggestions company will be sold
Barry McCarthy wants to focus on digital content as activist urges group to find a buyer

Peloton’s new chief executive has dismissed the idea that the home fitness group could be put up for sale, pledging instead to pursue growth by doubling down on content, expanding to new countries and increasing its product portfolio.

The New York company’s stock rallied last week after reports that Nike, Amazon and other groups were evaluating potential bids after its market value had collapsed more than 80 per cent.

But Barry McCarthy, the former finance chief of Netflix and Spotify who was appointed Peloton’s chief executive last week, told the Financial Times that he was moving from California to New York to seize a long-term growth opportunity, not to oversee a sale.

“If I thought it was likely that the business was going to be acquired in the foreseeable future, I can’t imagine it would be a rational act to move across the country,” he said. “There are lots of other things I could be doing with my time that are quite lucrative than hanging out with a business that’s about to be sold.”

McCarthy acknowledged that any decision to sell would be in the hands of insiders who command a majority of the votes through supervoting stock, including co-founder John Foley, who last week yielded the CEO role to become executive chair.

“It’s not my vote,” McCarthy said. “It is, however, the vote of the shareholders, and I’m confident a large percentage of the votes will be cast in favour of my leadership of the business, which is why I agreed to step into the business in the first place.”

One activist investor, Blackwells Capital, has urged Peloton to find a buyer and is agitating for it to scrap the dual-class voting structure.

McCarthy said his growth strategy would focus on content, explaining that “where the magic lives” at Peloton is on its digital screens, not its connected bikes or treadmills. Expanding the digital community and enhancing content could make Peloton “a very fast-growing business with very high margins”, he said.

His “playbook” will include developing “product line extensions” so customers could own multiple machines, McCarthy said. He added, however, that “an entirely different pricing structure” could replace the $39 monthly subscription fee which has been static since the company sold its first bikes via Kickstarter.

The FT has separately obtained details of two hardware launches under development at Peloton.

One, codenamed Project Caesar, is a connected rower that gives feedback on the user’s form. According to photographs and spec details seen by the FT, the rower features the same tablet as Peloton’s Bike+ product, operates with magnetic resistance and will feature classes taught by instructors in studios and on the water.

In recent months some employees have been testing the rower in their homes. Two people familiar with the matter said it could be announced before or at “Homecoming”, an annual event for Peloton fans to be held on May 13.

Project Cobra would deliver Peloton’s first dedicated strength product. It is designed to rival Tonal, a cable-pulley weight system manufactured by a Peloton competitor. Unlike Tonal, Cobra does not attach to a wall and pairs with a television rather than a touch screen. The product does not appear to be as imminent as the rower.

McCarthy declined to comment on specific launches but emphasised that Peloton was “a connected fitness company, not a bike company “ .

Foley would continue to play instrumental roles on products, strategy and vision, McCarthy said, while his own job would be to create an environment where everyone performs at their best, “like a professional football coach”. He bristled at the suggestion it might not be clear who is leading the company.

“To be unambiguously clear, I’m the chief executive officer. The decisions land on my desk. And if there’s a disagreement between us about the path forward, I get the last vote,” McCarthy said. “Now, would I come without John? No. Does he have superpowers? Yes . . . [And I’m going] to suck every ounce of superpower out of him for as long as he will allow me to do it.”

FT : Digital currencies carry threats as well as promises

Digital currencies carry threats as well as promises
The proliferation of new financial technologies calls for better cross-border regulation and supervision

The emergence of digital currencies, both private and official, is shaking up domestic and international finance. This will yield many benefits but some things will remain much the same. There are risks, too, with developing economies potentially finding themselves on the wrong side of a widening global financial divide.

Consider international payments, which are inherently complicated. They involve multiple currencies, payment systems operating on diverse protocols and institutions governed by varying regulations. So, cross-border payments tend to be slow, expensive and difficult to track in real time.

New technologies spawned by the cryptocurrency revolution are making cheaper and practically instantaneous payment and settlement of transactions feasible. This will alleviate payment-related frictions in international trade. Economic migrants sending remittances back home will also benefit.

Changes are afoot in foreign exchange markets, too. For instance, transactions between pairs of emerging market currencies are becoming easier. China and India will no longer need to exchange their respective currencies for dollars to conduct trade. Rather, exchanging renminbi for rupees directly will become cheaper. Consequently, the reliance on “vehicle currencies”, particularly the dollar, will decline.

The prospect of a digital renminbi being available worldwide has heightened concerns (or excitement) about the dollar finally receiving its comeuppance. The digital renminbi by itself will not, however, shift the balance of power among major currencies. After all, international payments are already digital. Rather, it is China’s Cross-Border Interbank Payment System, which can communicate directly with other countries’ payment systems, that will enhance the renminbi’s role as an international payment currency. The CIPS even has messaging capabilities that could sideline Swift, which currently monopolises messaging for all transactions between banks in different countries.

These changes have geopolitical implications. The dollar-dominated global financial system and American influence over Swift have long given US financial sanctions real bite. This has rankled rivals such as Russia and even allies exposed to secondary sanctions. The efficacy of such sanctions will erode.

Still, digitisation by itself will hardly elevate the renminbi’s status as a reserve currency, an international store of value. China has made progress on removing restrictions on cross-border capital flows, in addition to broadening foreign investors’ access to its bond markets. But the government has resisted the institutional changes — including the establishment of an independent central bank and the rule of law — that are essential to garnering the trust of foreign investors.

The dollar’s role as the dominant reserve currency is likely to persist, even if its status as a payment currency erodes. A likelier prospect, though, is a reshuffling of the relative importance of other currencies, while the dollar retains its primacy. Indeed, private stablecoins backed by US dollars might well gain more acceptance worldwide than those backed by other currencies, thereby bolstering the dollar’s prominence.

Developing countries will benefit from new financial technologies that improve their access to global financial markets. However, the proliferation of channels for cross-border capital flows will exacerbate their vulnerability to the vagaries of major central banks’ policies and the whims of international investors.

Moreover, small countries and those with central banks or currencies that lack credibility could be overrun by non-native digital currencies. The easy availability of digital versions of the major currencies, or even stablecoins issued by multinational corporations or global banks, would pose an existential threat to many national currencies. As Turkey’s recent experience highlights, even a volatile cryptocurrency might be preferred to the local currency at times of economic turmoil.

The proliferation of digital currencies and new technologies calls for greater cross-border co-ordination of regulation and supervision. International institutions such as the IMF will have a crucial role in helping limit collateral damage inflicted on vulnerable economies.

These technologies are binding the world’s economies and financial markets closer together. But left to itself, this brave new world could exacerbate global economic divides rather than bridge them.

>>> US Gapping down


Gapping down

News:

  • ENOB -6.3% (files for $100 mln common stock offering)
  • HUT -2.8% (enters at-the-market equity offering of up to $65 mln of common stock)
  • VLDR -2.5% (files for $300 mln mixed securities shelf offering; also files for 9,898,508 share common stock offering by selling shareholder)
  • AJRD -2.3% (Lockheed Martin (LMT) terminates agreement to acquire Aerojet Rocketdyne)
  • STLA -1.9% (recalling an estimated 19,808 plug-in hybrid minivans)
  • BIGC -1.9% (files for Series 1 common stock offering, no amount given)
  • QS -1.6% (files for 15,221,334 Class A share common stock offering by selling shareholders)
  • DAL -1.3% (files for 10,425,433 share common stock offering by selling shareholder)

Analyst comments:

  • CRNC -2.1% (downgraded to In-line from Outperform at Evercore ISI)
  • AGNC -1.3% (downgraded to Neutral from Buy at BofA Securities)
  • JPM -0.5% (downgraded to Hold from Buy at Jefferies)

>>> US; Gapping up



Gapping up
In reaction to earnings/guidance
:

  • KELYA +8%, ROIV +8%, STNG +0.7%

Other news:

  • BDSI +51.6% (Collegium (COLL) to acquire BioDelivery Sciences in an all-cash deal at a price of $5.60/share)
  • IAG +3.5% (IAMGOLD and RCF reach agreement on changes to IAMGOLD Board of Directors)
  • CLNN +3.3% (Clene along with its wholly owned subsidiary Clene Nanomedicine provides clinical program update)
  • VMC +1.2% (increases quarterly dividend by 7.5% to $0.40/share)
  • FLDM +1% (files preliminary proxy statement in connection with proposed strategic capital infusion from Casdin Capital and Viking Global Investors)
  • MNTV +0.8% (Institutional Shareholder Services recommends shareholders vote "FOR" MNTV's previously announced transaction with Zendesk (ZEN))
  • ZWS +0.7% (Zurn Water Solutions and Elkay Manufacturing Company reached a definitive agreement to combine the businesses in an all-stock transaction) . 

Analyst comments:

  • BE +4% (upgraded to Buy from Neutral at BofA Securities)
  • GT +3.2% (upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at JP Morgan)
  • MU +1.7% (upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Wedbush)

>>> US Early premarket gappers


Early premarket gappers

  • Gapping up:
    • BDSI +50.5%, KELYA +4.3%, CEIX +3.5%, ZWS +3%, STNG +2.6%, VXX +1.6%, VMC +1.2%, ACMR +1.1%, MU +1.1%, FLDM +1%, MNTV +0.8%, LMT +0.6%
  • Gapping down:
    • ENOB -6.3%, HUT -5.2%, STLA -2.9%, KC -2.9%, VLDR -2.7%, DAL -1.6%, RIG -1.6%, QS -1.4%, SLB -1%, QQQ -0.9%, MRO -0.9%, BP -0.8%, BIGC -0.7%, SPY -0.7%, XOM -0.7%, IWM -0.6%, DIA -0.6%

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 14th of February 2022 V2(+)

>>> Up
* Bakkafrost Raised to Hold at Fearnley; PT 720 kroner
* Balder Raised to Hold at SEB Equities; PT 610 kronor
* Custodian Reit Raised to Hold at Investec
* Entra Raised to Buy at SEB Equities; PT 230 kroner
* Grieg Seafood Raised to Buy at Fearnley; PT 121 kroner
* HelloFresh Raised to Conviction Buy at Bryan Garnier
* Italgas Raised to Neutral at Citi
* JSW Raised to Buy at Citi
* Legrand Raised to Add at AlphaValue/Baader
* Mekonomen Raised to Buy at Nordea; PT 180 kronor (+)
* Renault Raised to Buy at Stifel; PT 53 euros
* Securitas Raised to Buy at Kepler Cheuvreux; PT 145 kronor (+)
* Snam Raised to Neutral at Citi
* Steico Raised to Buy at Berenberg on Valuation, Strong Demand
* Superdry Raised to Hold at Investec; PT 220 pence

>>> Down
* Barclays Cut to Market Perform at KBW; PT 215 pence
* Delivery Hero Cut to Hold at HSBC; PT 46 euros
* EDF Cut to Reduce at AlphaValue/Baader
* Kemira Cut to Reduce at Inderes; PT 13 euros
* Norway Royal Salmon Cut to Hold at Fearnley; PT 250 kroner
* Sabaf Cut to Hold at Equita; PT 28 euros
* Volati Cut to Hold at Nordea (+)

>>> Initiation
* AMG Rated New Buy at Jefferies; PT 42 euros
* Prudential Rated New Buy at Goldman; PT 1,761 pence
* Rheinmetall Reinstated Outperform at Oddo BHF; PT 109 euros

>>> Call
* Aveva’s ‘Complexity’ to Hamper Re-Rating, Morgan Stanley Cuts
* Schibsted Upgraded at Citi on Attractive Entry Point After Reset
* Terna, Snam, Italgas Raised on Unjustified Recent Weakness: Citi

>>> Stoxx 600 Pre-Market Indications

  • BAE (BSP TH) +2.1%
  • Equinor (DNQ TH) +0.8%
    • Watch European Oil Stocks as WTI Jumps on Ukraine Concerns
  • Ryanair (RY4C TH) -5.1%
  • IAG (INR TH) -5.2%
  • K+S (SDF TH) -5.2%
  • Vodafone (VODI TH) -5.9%
    • Vodafone Spain Hires UBS, MS for Talks With Masmovil: El Confi
  • AUTO1 (AG1 TH) -5.9%
  • TUI (TUI1 TH) -6%
  • Lufthansa (LHA TH) -6.1%
  • Evotec SE (EVT TH) -6.1%
  • Commerzbank (CBK TH) -6.4%
  • Banco Santander (BSD2 TH) -6.6%

>>> TradeGate Pre-Market Indications

DAX:
  • Symrise (SY1 TH) -1.2%
  • Beiersdorf (BEI TH) -1.4%
  • Siemens Energy (ENR TH) -1.7%
  • Vonovia (VNA TH) -1.7%
  • Linde (LIN TH) -1.7%
  • VW (VOW3 TH) -4.1%
  • Infineon (IFX TH) -4.1%
  • Deutsche Bank (DBK TH) -4.2%
  • Mercedes (MBG TH) -4.3%
  • Porsche SE (PAH3 TH) -4.4%
MDAX:
  • Cancom (COK TH) -0.9%
  • Aroundtown (AT1 TH) -0.9%
  • TAG Immobilien (TEG TH) -1.1%
  • Rheinmetall (RHM TH) -1.4%
  • Wacker Chemie (WCH TH) -1.4%
  • Lufthansa (LHA TH) -5.7%
  • Evotec SE (EVT TH) -5.8%
  • AUTO1 (AG1 TH) -6%
  • Commerzbank (CBK TH) -6.2%
  • Aixtron (AIXA TH) -8%
SDAX:
  • BayWa (BYW6 TH) -1%
  • VERBIO Vereinigte (VBK TH) -5%
  • LPKF (LPK TH) -5.2%
  • Synlab (SYAB TH) -6%
  • PVA TePla (TPE TH) -7.2%
  • GFT (GFT TH) -7.7%