FT : ECB and Spain set for potential clash over bank windfall tax

ECB and Spain set for potential clash over bank windfall tax
Central bank to review whether levy on lenders contravenes EU banking regulations

Spain has put itself on a potential collision course with the European Central Bank by proposing a tax on banks that executives say clashes with European rules and threatens to weaken the sector.

The ECB is preparing to issue an opinion on the tax within weeks, according to its vice-president Luis de Guindos, a critical moment for Spanish prime minister Pedro Sánchez, who is championing the levy along with his Socialist-led coalition government.

Private lenders said the fact the government wants to stop them passing the cost of the tax on to clients is incompatible with EU regulation and potentially destabilising.

Sánchez wants to use the temporary measure to raise a total of €3bn from lenders that would be spent on cushioning the impact of the surge in energy prices triggered by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

In July, Spain became the first western European country to propose a windfall tax on banks. Hungary has already introduced one. The UK’s new chancellor, Jeremy Hunt, is also preparing to include a bank levy in a set of tax rises designed to undo the disastrous impact of a shortlived tax-cutting budget unveiled by his predecessor.

If approved by parliament, the Spanish levy would come into force at the start of 2023 and last for two years.

The Spanish government — whose tax will hit roughly 10 lenders, including the country’s two largest banks, Santander and BBVA — has argued that rising interest rates are yielding “extraordinary” profits for the sector.

The ECB has raised its deposit rate by 125 basis points so far this year, and is set to increase it by another 75 basis points to 1.5 per cent on Thursday next week. Higher central bank rates boost banks’ profit margins by enabling them to collect more interest on loans.

But lenders dispute the government’s assertion and warn that the proposed levy is unworkable and even dangerous.

Gonzalo Gortázar, chief executive of CaixaBank, one of Spain’s biggest lenders, rejected the premise of the tax, telling the Financial Times “banks are not likely to have extraordinary profits” but were instead still recovering from “a long period of very low returns”.

He added that the tax was “counterproductive because in an economic slowdown we need a strong banking sector”.

Highlighting the clash over rules, he said the Spanish plan “is against EU regulations”. European Banking Authority guidelines, which are enforced by the ECB, require banks to reflect in loan pricing “all relevant costs . . . including tax considerations”.

Gortázar said: “The proposal requires us to do the opposite.”

The legislative text for the 4.8 per cent tax, charged on banks’ income from interest and commissions, states that the cost of the levy “cannot be passed on to customers and non-compliance with the prohibition constitutes a serious infringement”.

The EBA said: “Banks need to make an adequate return on capital to be viable over the long run. In that context a healthy competitive environment and an adequate reflection of costs on pricing of products is needed, and strong banks in the long run are a safeguard for financial stability.”

The ECB is preparing to issue the opinion after receiving a request from Spain’s parliament, which is required to seek the view of the central bank.

The ECB has been critical of other governments’ plans to impose extra taxes on banks, especially when the proceeds are used for general budgetary purposes and not held in reserve to cover the cost of potential bank crises.

Pablo Hernández de Cos, the governor of the Bank of Spain and a member of the ECB’s policymaking governing council, said this week that deliberations over the opinion were focused on how the tax would affect the transmission of monetary policy and “the solvency of the banking sector”.

A spokesperson for the Spanish government said it “has designed the temporary levy so as to avoid any material impact on solvency ratios, which is the objective of the EBA guidelines. There can be no doubt about this when comparing the low rate [of 4.8 per cent] with the extraordinary profits already announced by the main banks.”

The ECB’s opinion is non-binding and its recommendations have been ignored by the Spanish government before. This year Madrid pressed ahead with imposing a €1,000 ceiling on cash payments that can be made involving businesses, a measure to curb black market activity, despite the ECB saying in March it was “disproportionate”.

Lithuania also ignored the ECB by introducing an extra tax on lenders despite the central bank’s warning in 2019 that it would have “a material adverse effect” on the country’s financial system.

Sánchez this week defended the bank tax, which he is pushing alongside new taxes on energy companies and the wealthiest Spaniards, saying: “We need to have more tax justice to have more social justice.”

Opposition leader Alberto Núñez Feijóo of the People’s party has attacked the proposal and accused the prime minister of pursuing “fiscal populism”.

Lorenzo Bernaldo de Quirós, president of Freemarket, a Madrid-based consultancy, forecast the government would go ahead with the tax even if the ECB criticised it. “They don’t care. It’s political,” he said. “They want to show voters they are taxing the powerful and favouring vulnerable groups.”

FT : US Navy chief warns China could invade Taiwan before 2024

US Navy chief warns China could invade Taiwan before 2024
Biden administration expects Beijing will put reunification plans on ‘much faster timeline’

The head of the US Navy has warned that the American military must be prepared for the possibility of a Chinese invasion of Taiwan before 2024, as Washington grows increasingly alarmed about the threat to the island.

Admiral Mike Gilday, the chief of naval operations, said the US had to consider that China could take action against Taiwan much sooner than even the more pessimistic warnings.

The debate in the US about when China might invade Taiwan has intensified since Admiral Philip Davidson, then-head of Indo-Pacific Command, told Congress last year that the Chinese military could take action against Taiwan before 2027. Davidson’s warning was partly downplayed at the time, but officials have intensified their warnings over the past year.

“When we talk about the 2027 window, in my mind that has to be a 2022 window or potentially a 2023 window,” Gilday told the Atlantic Council on Wednesday. “I don’t mean at all to be alarmist . . . it’s just that we can’t wish that away.”

Gilday’s comments came two days after US secretary of state Antony Blinken said China was “determined to pursue reunification on a much faster timeline” after deciding that the status quo was “no longer acceptable”. China claims sovereignty over Taiwan and has warned Washington not to encourage pro-independence forces in the country.

At the opening of the Chinese Communist party’s 20th congress on Sunday, President Xi Jinping admonished the US for supporting Taiwan as he accused “external forces” of exacerbating tensions across the Taiwan Strait and suggested outside actors would shoulder the blame if China felt compelled to attack the country.

Underscoring the mounting concern about Chinese military activity near Taiwan, which has increased in the wake of US House Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s visit to Taipei in August, Joe Biden has on four occasions as president warned China that the US would intervene to defend Taiwan from an unprovoked attack.

Bonnie Glaser, a China expert at the German Marshall Fund, said the 2027 timeline was “baked into US thinking”, particularly in the Pentagon and the intelligence community. But she said it seemed to be based on an assessment of when China would have the capability to invade Taiwan rather than on intelligence.

“We can’t rule out anything, but stating that there is a 2022 or 2023 window is sheer speculation. I think it’s irresponsible,” said Glaser, who was sceptical of the view that China had set a goal to invade by 2027.

However, as US officials sound alarms, Congress will soon vote on legislation that would fund weapons allocation for Taipei. The defence spending bill authorises $10bn over 5 years in what would be the first case of the US funding weapons sales to Taiwan. Taipei has previously paid for American weapons that have been approved for sale by Washington.

FT : Fosun divestments near $5bn as debt pressure mounts

Fosun divestments near $5bn as debt pressure mounts
Chair Guo Guangchang negotiating $2bn loan from Chinese banks

Chinese billionaire Guo Guangchang’s Fosun conglomerate plans to make its biggest divestment this year as the owner of French resort group Club Med and English football club Wolverhampton Wanderers tries to tackle a Rmb260bn ($36bn) debt pile.

After the sale of its majority shareholding in Shanghai-listed Nanjing Nangang Iron & Steel United, Fosun’s asset sales will hit $4.8bn this year, according to Dealogic data reviewed by the Financial Times. The Hong Kong-listed group divested $100mn of assets in 2021.

Guo’s group has become a poster child of the problems facing overleveraged companies as China’s economy cools from a contraction in the property sector and disruptive pandemic policies.

“Fosun has sold whatever it can this year so as to ‘break arms to survive’,” said a Shanghai-based bank manager who used to work with Fosun. “But many falling assets are hard to sell, like real estate and biopharmaceutical assets.”

In a statement to the Hong Kong stock exchange on Wednesday, Guo’s group said private steelmaker Shagang Group would pay half of the Rmb16bn deal as a security deposit once Fosun International completed a share pledge in Nangang.

Nangang warned that the deal still required the approval of shareholders and clearance from Chinese antitrust regulators. If the deal falls apart, Fosun has agreed to pay a certain amount of the default fee, Nangang said.

Moody’s estimates Fosun’s total consolidated debt stands at Rmb260bn. The rating group has highlighted fears of contagion spreading through Fosun’s vast business interests which extend across China, Europe and the US. 

Shares in Fosun International, the conglomerate’s main listed entity, fell as much as 1.5 per cent in Hong Kong on Thursday. The group’s shares are down 43 per cent so far this year and trading near decade lows.

Nangang’s listed unit fell as much as 5.8 per cent in Shanghai on Thursday. The benchmark CSI 300 was down about 1 per cent.

Fosun said last month that its financial position remains “sound and healthy”. The group faces $8bn of bonds by the end of 2023, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

But in a concerning development to investors, Fosun announced plans in September to cut down its holding in Shanghai Fosun Pharmaceutical, a core listed healthcare unit.

Guo is in talks to secure a $2.1bn syndicated loan led by state-owned Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, the county’s biggest bank by assets, and China Minsheng Bank, one of China’s largest privately owned lenders.

The rescue package, which was first reported by Chinese business publication Caixin, might include share pledges of core pharmaceutical assets, according to one person familiar with the negotiations.

Fosun reached a deal in March to sell shares in its fashion division, Lanvin Group, via a special-purpose acquisition company.

Gong Ping, Fosun International’s chief financial officer, said at a meeting in September that the group is also considering new strategic investors for Fosun Tourism to shore up the parent group’s finances.

Moody’s warned last month that raising funds via accelerated asset divestitures and pledges risked hitting the value of Fosun’s remaining assets.

“A lower market value of the portfolio will reduce Fosun’s funding headroom, constraining the company’s ability to raise liquidity via sales or pledge of assets,” they said in a note.

WSJ : Tesla’s Valuation Doesn’t Add Up Today, Never Mind $4.4 Trillion Tomorrow

Tesla’s Valuation Doesn’t Add Up Today, Never Mind $4.4 Trillion Tomorrow
Third-quarter results were only bad relative to the sky-high expectations Tesla sets, but valuation remains the elephant in the room

Tesla TSLA 0.84%▲ had a good third quarter, but this is a stock for which nothing other than spectacular is good enough. Case in point: Chief Executive Elon Musk’s new stretch valuation target is “Apple and Saudi Aramco combined”—about $4.4 trillion.

After the bell Wednesday, the electric-vehicle pioneer reported $3.7 billion of operating profit on $21.5 billion of revenue. While both were new records, both also came in shy of consensus estimates that had already been cut following a disappointing quarterly sales report earlier in the month. Shares fell in after-hours trading.

Tesla set itself up for the fall. It struggled in the second quarter due to Covid-related shutdowns in Shanghai but insisted that it might still be able to hit a target of increasing sales by 50% this year. That raised expectations for the second half. After a merely solid third quarter, all the pressure is now on the fourth quarter, which Mr. Musk said on a call with analysts could be “epic.”

Much of the investor debate around Tesla today is focused on whether demand for its expensive EVs is sagging as a recession looms. The company blamed logistics problems for weak third-quarter deliveries, with more vehicles in transit than usual, but some worry that Tesla’s customer waiting lists are shrinking amid weaker consumer confidence.

While this question influences current sentiment, longer-term investors might find other concerns. The company has proven that it can make desirable cars. That can’t explain why it should be worth 14 times as much as General Motors or Ford, let alone $4.4 trillion. Yet Mr. Musk on Wednesday said he, for the first time, saw “a potential path” to this kind of valuation for Tesla.

Benchmarking Tesla as a cyclical vehicle manufacturer, the aspirational upper limit for its valuation today might be the $184 billion fetched by Toyota, which led the industry through its last great transformation with principles such as lean production and continuous improvement, and still makes the most cars. Assuming Tesla will achieve a higher share of the car market than the current leader seems crazy as new competitors rush into the industry from all sides.

Making EVs also isn’t likely to be any more profitable than making Toyotas in the long run. Mr. Musk makes much of Tesla’s “industry-leading” operating margins—17.2% in the third quarter—but there is almost certainly a trade-off with its aspirations to build scale. Such numbers are achievable while it remains a relatively niche luxury player, particularly at a time of vehicle scarcity, but Tesla wants to go mainstream.

The only explanation for Tesla’s valuation, therefore, is that it isn’t about car manufacturing, but this only raises further awkward questions. The company’s stationary-storage business had a very strong third quarter, but it remains tiny. Everything still appears to hinge on its artificial-intelligence projects, even though the company’s second AI day last month didn’t suggest Tesla has markedly differentiated technology. Mr. Musk reiterated his usual confidence on Wednesday that Teslas would soon be driverless—claims investors have heard many times before.

None of this may matter in the short term as investors worry about demand and Mr. Musk’s expensive purchase of Twitter: Following the third-quarter report he will be free to sell Tesla stock again. Anyone contemplating the company as a buy-and-hold investment, though, still has no good answer to the most fundamental question: How does its valuation stack up?

WSJ : Russian Nationals Arrested Over Alleged Scheme to Evade U.S. Sanctions

Russian Nationals Arrested Over Alleged Scheme to Evade U.S. Sanctions
The alleged scheme, which has led to arrests in Germany and Italy, involved illicit transactions in oil and military equipment

Two Russian nationals were arrested for allegedly using their Germany-based company as a front to move black market oil and sensitive equipment with military uses in defiance of U.S. sanctions.

Yury Orekhov and Artem Uss, both associated with the Hamburg-based industrial equipment and commodity trading business Nord-Deutsche Industrieanlagenbau GmbH, have been apprehended, federal prosecutors said Wednesday.

Mr. Orekhov was arrested in Germany and Mr. Uss in Italy at the request of the U.S. and will undergo extradition proceedings.

Three other Russian nationals and two Venezuelans were also charged in what prosecutors described as a global scheme to evade U.S. sanctions and export controls. Those defendants haven’t been apprehended.

Attorneys for the seven defendants couldn’t be reached for comment. A representative for the company, which also goes by NDA, didn’t respond to a request for comment.

The defendants were allegedly involved in “orchestrating a complex scheme to unlawfully obtain U.S. military technology and Venezuelan sanctioned oil through a myriad of transactions,” said U.S. Attorney for the Eastern District of New York Breon Peace.

The investigation also involved Task Force KleptoCapture, an interagency law enforcement task force created this year to enforce the sweeping sanctions and export restrictions that the U.S. imposed on Russia in response to its invasion of Ukraine.

Mr. Orekhov has served as the chief executive and part owner for NDA. The other owner was Mr. Uss, the son of a Russian governor, according to prosecutors. The U.S. Treasury Department on Wednesday unveiled sanctions against Mr. Orekhov, NDA and Opus Energy Trading LLC, another Orekhov-linked company. Dubai-based Opus Energy Trading didn’t immediately respond to a request for comment.

The scheme involved the use of NDA as a front to smuggle millions of barrels of oil from Venezuela’s state-owned Petróleos de Venezuela SA, also known as PdVSA, to Russian and Chinese purchasers, prosecutors said. A representative for PdVSA, which is under U.S. sanctions, couldn’t be reached for comment.

The alleged oil buyers included a Russian aluminum company controlled by a sanctioned oligarch and a Chinese energy conglomerate, neither of which were named by prosecutors.

Mr. Orkehov and another alleged co-conspirator were also involved using NDA as a front company to purchase sensitive technology with military applications from U.S. manufacturers, prosecutors said.

The items, which included advanced semiconductors and microprocessors, were shipped to Russian end users, including sanctioned companies, prosecutors said. Some of the same electronic components obtained through the scheme were found in Russian weapons platforms seized in Ukraine, prosecutors said.

NDA was often paid in U.S. dollars that were routed through U.S. institutions and correspondent accounts, prosecutors said. The alleged conspirators used fictitious companies and falsified know-your-customer documentation to facilitate the transactions, prosecutors said.

The 12-count indictment includes charges of bank fraud conspiracy, wire fraud, money laundering conspiracy, smuggling and other crimes.

WSJ : Philip Morris to Raise Offer for Swedish Match and Buy U.S. Rights for IQO

Philip Morris to Raise Offer for Swedish Match and Buy U.S. Rights for IQOS
Tobacco giant will pay $2.7 billion to regain U.S. rights for IQOS heated tobacco products from Altria

Philip Morris International Inc. PM 0.19%▲ plans to raise its offer for Swedish Match SWMA -0.18%▼ AB and has agreed to pay $2.7 billion to regain the U.S. rights for its IQOS heated tobacco products from Altria MO -0.22%▼ Group Inc., according to people familiar with the matter.

Philip Morris’s original offer for Swedish Match in May was 161.2 billion Swedish Krona, which was then equivalent to $16 billion. The new offer is expected to be announced as soon as Thursday, the people said.

The move is made easier by the strength of the U.S. dollar against the Swedish currency since the deal was struck. Other factors that went into the revised offer were inflation, volatility in equity markets and changes in interest rates, one of the people said. Philip Morris has been under pressure from Elliott Management Corp. and other investors to sweeten the bid.

Philip Morris has separately struck a deal with Altria to buy back the U.S. commercialization rights for IQOS, Philip Morris’s heated tobacco device, the companies said.

The deal, which takes effect April 30, 2024, frees up Philip Morris to market IQOS in the U.S. through the Swedish Match sales force if the Swedish Match deal closes. Philip Morris is also prepared to sell IQOS in the U.S. on its own, Philip Morris Chief Executive Jacek Olczak said. The deal includes an upfront $1 billion payment with the rest paid by July 2023, Altria said.

Altria introduced IQOS in the U.S. in 2019 and sold it in a handful of states until last year, when it had to stop importing IQOS as the result of a patent dispute. Philip Morris has said it plans to begin manufacturing IQOS in the U.S. next year so that it may resume selling the products in the U.S.

The payments from Philip Morris will give Altria greater flexibility to allocate resources toward its plan to expand into smoke-free products, Altria Chief Executive Billy Gifford said.

Both IQOS, which is sold outside the U.S., and the proposal to buy Swedish Match are part of Philip Morris’s strategy to generate more than 50% of annual net revenue from smoke-free products by 2025, up from about 30% currently.

IQOS is a device that heats tobacco but doesn’t burn it or produce smoke when users inhale. It is an alternative to e-cigarettes, which create an aerosol from a nicotine liquid.

Philip Morris and Altria have been in a dispute over IQOS, which they introduced into the U.S. through a partnership. Philip Morris argued that Altria hadn’t met the agreed-upon sales targets for IQOS that would allow Altria to extend its exclusive U.S. rights. Altria said that it had. The two Marlboro makers will now pursue competing products in the U.S.

Altria, which sells Marlboro cigarettes in the U.S., said it expects to complete the design for its own new heated tobacco device by the end of 2022; it would then need to seek FDA authorization. Altria is also the largest shareholder in Juul Labs Inc., an e-cigarette maker that is in a dispute with U.S. officials over whether it can remain on the U.S. market.

The friendly deal between Philip Morris and Swedish Match has been conditional on the tobacco company gaining more than 90% of Swedish Match’s shares. That would allow Philip Morris to squeeze out any residual shareholders by paying them the same price as other investors, and then fully fold the business into its own.

But Philip Morris has been under pressure by a group of investors led by Elliott, which holds a 7.25% stake in Swedish Match, to raise the bid after they opposed it as too low. Without their support, Philip Morris would need to lower the minimum threshold to complete the offer.

That is risky, however, because Swedish Match’s remaining minority shareholders could frustrate Philip Morris’s ability to fully integrate the business. Any move to transfer assets or carry out related-party transactions would require Philip Morris to hold a shareholder vote, which Philip Morris couldn’t join, according to Sweden’s takeover rules.

>>> US After Hours Summary: IBM +3% higher on earnings; AA -7.7%, WDFC -5.7%, TS

After Hours Summary: IBM +3% higher on earnings; AA -7.7%, WDFC -5.7%, TSLA -3.7% lower on earnings; ALL -9.3% on Q3 catastrophe losses

After Hours Gainers:

Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to earnings/guidance: SMCI +17.6% (increases guidance for EPS and revs for SepQ), LBRT +3.9%, UMPQ +3.4%, IBM +3%, HOV +1.4%, LRCX +0.9%, CVBF +0.8%, STLD +0.5%, ROCC +0.5%, EFX +0.3%

Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to news: CE +2.6% (increases dividend), T +0.2% (in discussions to create JV that would invest blns on fiber-optic network expansion, according to BNN Bloomberg)

After Hours Losers:

Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to earnings/guidance: ALL -9.3% (estimates Q3 catastrophe losses; provides preliminary Q3 results), AA -7.7%, WDFC -5.7%, KNX -5.2%, TSLA -3.7%, KMI -2.8%, RLI -2.6%, PPG -1.6% (also names new CEO), LVS -0.8%, HPE -0.3% (reiterates FY22 earnings and sales outlook; guides FY23 earnings in-line with consensus), SLG -0.2%, CNS -0.1%, REXR -0.1%, WU -0.1% (guides Q3 EPS and revs above consensus)

Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to news: CENX -1.1% (in sympathy with AA earnings), GT -0.5% (approves plan to close its Melksham, U.K. tire facility), RIVN -0.5% (fixes significant majority of its 12,000+ recalled vehicles, according to TechCrunch), NOG -0.4% (to acquire interest in Core Midland Basin development project for $330 mln), SAP -0.4% (in sympathy with IBM earnings), WMG -0.3% (PINS partnering with WMG to bring their music onto its platform), PINS -0.2% (PINS partnering with WMG to bring their music onto its platform), RE -0.1% (estimates Q3 catastrophe losses)

>>> US Close Dow -0,33% S&P -0,67% Nasdaq -0,85% Russell -0,87%

Closing Stock Market Summary

Today's trade was somewhat choppy. The major averages spent some time in positive territory this morning, but were in the red most of the session, ultimately closing off session lows.  Price action for equities was driven by price action in the Treasury market as yields lifted to fresh highs for the year.

The 10-yr note yield rose 13 basis points to 4.13%, its highest level since 2008, and the 2-yr note yield rose 12 basis points to 4.56%. These moves followed an admission late yesterday by Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari (2023 FOMC voter) that he could argue for the fed funds rate to go above 4.75% if he doesn't see any improvement in underlying or core inflation.

Earnings since yesterday's close were generally been better than expected, but were not able to offset the concerns about rising interest rates. Netflix (NLFX 272.38, +31.52, +13.1%), Travelers (TRV 174.17, +7.40, +4.4%), United Airlines (UAL 39.10, +1.85, +5.0%), and ASML (ASML 424.02, +25.03, +6.3%) were among the more notable standouts closing with sizable price gains after reporting quarterly results.

Rising oil prices also kept pressure on investors' sentiment. WTI crude oil futures rose 2.6% to $84.38/bbl following an announcement that President Biden is authorizing the release of an additional 15 million barrels from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve for December delivery. 

The move in oil prices boosted energy stocks, leaving the S&P 500 energy sector (+2.9%) alone in positive territory by the close. Sector component Baker Hughes (BKR 25.65, +1.47, +6.1%) was the best performer with a big earnings-driven gain. Exxon Mobil (XOM 103.79, +2.99, +3.0%) was another standout for the group after it was upgraded to Buy from Hold at Jefferies

The remaining ten sectors all logged losses on the day. The information technology sector (-0.3%) exhibited a slimmer loss than the S&P 500 (-0.7%) thanks to some relative strength in the semiconductor space. The PHLX Semiconductor Index closed up 0.8%.  

Market participants received the Fed Beige Book today, which showed that employment and economic activity remained strong, but varied, across Districts. The report also showed that outlooks grew more pessimistic amid growing concerns about weakening demand.

Ericsson (ERIC), AT&T (T), American Airlines (AAL), Dow (DOW), Nucor (NUE), and Freeport-McMoRan (FCX) are set to report earnings ahead of Thursday's open.

Looking ahead to Thursday, market participants will receive the following economic data:

  • 8:30 ET: Weekly Initial Claims (consensus 233,000; prior 228,000), Continuing Claims (prior 1.368 mln), and October Philadelphia Fed survey ( consensus -5.0; prior -9.9)
  • 10:00 ET: September Leading Indicators ( consensus -0.3%; prior -0.3%) and September Existing Home Sales ( consensus 4.70 mln; prior 4.80 mln)
  • 10:30 ET: Weekly natural gas inventories (prior +125 bcf)

Reviewing today's economic data:

  • Weekly MBA Mortgage Application Index declined 4.5% after a 2.0% decline
  • Total housing starts declined 8.1% month-over-month in September to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.439 million units ( consensus 1.465 million). Building permits rose 1.4% month-over-month to 1.564 million (Briefing.com consensus 1.550 million).
    • The key takeaway from the report is that there was ongoing weakness in starts and permits for single-family units, which were down 4.7% and 3.1% month-over-month, respectively. The downturn corroborates the adverse impact sharply higher mortgage rates have had on buyer demand and builder sentiment.
  • Weekly EIA Crude Oil Inventories showed a draw of 1.73 million barrels versus a build of 9.88 million last week

Dow Jones Industrial Average: -16.3% YTD
S&P Midcap 400: -19.1% YTD
S&P 500: -22.5% YTD
Russell 2000: -23.1% YTD
Nasdaq Composite: -31.7% YTD