>>> US Gapping up

Gapping up
In reaction to earnings/guidance
:
  • KNX +15.5%, BLX +4.1%, WAL +3%, OZK +2.8%, EEFT +2.7%, ALV +2.4%, ASB +2%, CMA +1.3%, HBAN +1.1%
Other news:
  • BOWL +15.5% (BOWL completes sale-leaseback transaction with VICI)
  • AEON +7.2% (topline results from Phase 2 trial of ABP-450)
  • MCB +2.5% (reaches settlement with the Federal Reserve)
  • PACW +2.5% (PacWest Bancorp and Banc of California (BANC) receive final regulatory approval for merger)
  • LDOS +1.2% (awarded $180 mln Defense Health Agency task order)
Analyst comments:
  • MAT +1.3% (initiated with a Buy at Citigroup)
  • CTSH +1.2% (upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Citigroup)

>>> Autoliv misses by $0.13, reports revs in-line (90.17)

Autoliv misses by $0.13, reports revs in-line (90.17)
  • Reports Q3 (Sep) earnings of $1.66 per share, excluding non-recurring items, $0.13 worse than the FactSet Consensus of $1.79; revenues rose 12.8% year/year to $2.6 bln vs the $2.61 bln FactSet Consensus.
  • Profitability improved substantially, positively impacted by price increases, organic growth, and our cost reduction activities. Operating income was $232 million and operating margin was 8.9%. Adjusted operating income improved from $173 million to $243 million and adjusted operating margin* increased from 7.5% to 9.4%, despite inflationary pressure and adverse FX effects.
  • Return on capital employed was 24% and adjusted return on capital employed* was 25%.

>>> American Express beats by $0.35, reports revs in-line (149.62)

American Express beats by $0.35, reports revs in-line (149.62)
  • Reports Q3 (Sep) earnings of $3.30 per share, $0.35 better than the FactSet Consensus of $2.95; revenues rose 13.5% year/year to $15.38 bln vs the $15.36 bln FactSet Consensus.
  • Credit metrics remained strong in the current quarter, with net write-off and delinquency rates for total Card Member loans and receivables below pre-pandemic levels. Consolidated provisions for credit losses were $1.2 billion, compared with $778 million a year ago. The increase reflected higher net write-offs, partially offset by a lower net reserve build of $321 million, compared with a reserve build of $387 million a year ago.

>>> Interpublic misses by $0.03, beats on revs (28.54)

Interpublic misses by $0.03, beats on revs (28.54)
  • Reports Q3 (Sep) earnings of $0.70 per share, excluding non-recurring items, $0.03 worse than the FactSet Consensus of $0.73; revenues rose 16.6% year/year to $2.68 bln vs the $2.39 bln FactSet Consensus.
  • "During the third quarter, revenue performance did not measure up to expectations, yet we continued to demonstrate disciplined management of the business and to see positive contributions to growth from our media offerings, the health care sector, sports and experiential marketing, and public relations. "Factors that we have identified since the early part of the year continued to weigh on our growth in the quarter. These include the decreases in client activity in the tech and telecom client sector that have been evident across our industry, and the performance of certain of our digital specialists. Another factor impacting results is increased concern among marketers related to macroeconomic conditions, which led to the delay of projects and sales cycles, as well as slower-than-anticipated onboarding of some new business."

>>> US Early premarket gappers

Early premarket gappers
  • Gapping up:
    • KNX +17.8%, BOWL +12.6%, MCB +4.9%, BLX +4.1%, WE +2.9%, PACW +2.5%, WAL +2.1%, DOOR +2%, ASB +2%, AEON +1.9%, DNA +1.3%, LDOS +1.2%, RF +1.2%
  • Gapping down:
    • SEDG -26%, ARQT -18.5%, ENPH -15.1%, SPWR -8.4%, RUN -7.8%, ISRG -7.8%, CSIQ -5.8%, FSLR -5.2%, MAXN -4.4%, WDFC -4.4%, HPE -4.3%, JKS -4.1%, STLD -3.2%, IHG -2.9%, FLR -2.6%, NI -2.4%, ENOV -1.9%, SNDL -1.3%, STLA -1.3%, AZPN -0.8%, CSX -0.8%, X -0.7%

TechCrunch : Third Point managing director doubles down on SBF investor fraud in

Third Point managing director doubles down on SBF investor fraud in trial testimony
The hedge fund, founded by billionaire Daniel Loeb, invested a total of $60M into FTX

Robert Boroujerdi, managing director at Third Point, testified on Thursday at Sam Bankman-Fried’s trial in assistance with the government’s case to try and find the defendant guilty on seven counts related to fraud and money laundering.

Boroujerdi formerly served as the head of global securities research at Goldman Sachs. He testified that while he got access to FTX’s “data room,” which is digital documents that consisted of strategic decks, organizational charts and financial statements, they weren’t made aware of the interrelationships between FTX and its sister company Alameda.

Third Point is an institutional alternative asset manager that serves pension funds, endowments and high-net-worth individuals. The hedge fund was founded in 1995 by billionaire Daniel Loeb. Boroujerdi’s job is to look for investment opportunities for the firm and as a result, he learned about FTX.

In the late first quarter to early second quarter of 2021, Boroujerdi first emailed with Bankman-Fried and other related parties as a first step to potentially invest in the crypto exchange. By mid-March of that year, the witness had a Zoom call with Bankman-Fried and Third Point investment team members. He testified that on the call, Bankman-Fried mainly led the conversation and talked about FTX’s growth, strategic plans, financial aspects and so on.

Third Point relied on the financial data provided by FTX to invest and was not told of other expenses not shown in the data room, Boroujerdi testified. Everything should be shown, whether it’s “good or bad,” he added.

They had a second Zoom call meeting several weeks later.

Boroujerdi said Alameda came up on the call and Bankman-Fried spoke of it as something he co-founded, but called its relationship with FTX an “arm’s length business” and that it “operated independently and had its own self-interests.” He added that Bankman-Fried shared that he had equity in Alameda, but it wasn’t impacting the relationship.

Third Point was under the impression Alameda was treated like every other trading firm that used the exchange. “There should be no preferential treatment on an exchange,” Boroujerdi said. If the firm knew Alameda had special privileges and that it could withdraw customer funds from FTX, Third Point would not have invested, he added.

But, Boroujerdi and Third Point were in the dark at the time and the firm went ahead with initially investing $35 million in FTX’s $900 million Series B capital raise in July 2021. That round had over 60 investors, including VC firm Sequoia Capital, SoftBank Group Corp and British billionaire hedge fund manager Alan Howard. At the time, FTX’s valuation rose to $18 billion (it hit a $32 billion valuation at its peak.)

Boroujerdi recalled being told by FTX that the capital would be used to expand the team, increase market share and for strategy, among other things. He testified he was not aware that the money was being transferred to Alameda and had he known that, again, Third Point wouldn’t have invested.

But the firm didn’t know — and Third Point provided more capital for additional funding rounds, marking its total investment in FTX to $60 million, Boroujerdi testified.

When asked by prosecutors what was the value of the firm’s investment in FTX, Boroujerdi responded stiffly, “Zero.” But the firm seems to be doing all right — Loeb wrote in Third Point’s Q2 2023 investor letter that it still sees a “healthy upside in the valuations of [its] portfolio.”

In a similar tune, Matt Huang, co-founder and managing partner of crypto investment firm Paradigm, testified during Bankman-Fried’s trial earlier this month that the red flags in FTX would have affected his firm’s decision on investing in the exchange — especially if they knew FTX used customer funds to prop up Alameda.

Over two funding rounds between 2021 and 2022, Paradigm invested $278 million into FTX. When prosecutors asked what Paradigm estimates the current value of that investment to be, Huang replied, “We have marked it to zero.”

Both testimonies point to the damage that FTX’s and Alameda’s collapse have caused to investors. These witnesses may also strengthen the government’s case against Bankman-Fried in regards to whether he committed the alleged fraud.

While the trial will be on recess until October 26, the government shared that its final three potential witnesses will consist of an FBI agent, an investor and a customer.

After that, Bankman-Fried’s main lawyer, Mark Cohen, shared that “if there’s a defense case, it’ll be one week or less.” It was not clarified whether Bankman-Fried will testify during that time.

WSJ : The Billionaire Tycoon Who Can’t Stop Buying Sports Teams

The Billionaire Tycoon Who Can’t Stop Buying Sports Teams
Jim Ratcliffe is about to purchase 25% of English soccer behemoth Manchester United. He’s becoming one of the world’s most influential armchair sports fans.

Jim Ratcliffe, the British petrochemicals billionaire, was on a 5,000-mile motorcycle journey through the Andes a few years ago and feeling pretty bored with the state of sports. No one was really going after the biggest barriers in human performance anymore, he thought. What was even left?

Then, somewhere on the road in Argentina, he settled on a sporting achievement that actually excited him: Ratcliffe wanted to see someone run a marathon in under 2 hours. So he hired some of the best scientists in sports and the best marathoner in the world to make it happen. And in 2019, on a closed course in Vienna, Eliud Kipchoge ran 26.2 miles in 1 hour and 59 minutes.

This, Ratcliffe realized, was how he wanted to spend his time. Being Britain’s richest man wasn’t enough, he was also in the process of making himself one of the world’s wealthiest, most influential armchair sports fans.

Over the next four years, Ratcliffe’s empire would expand from the Ineos petrochemical firm to include the professional cycling outfit formerly known as Team Sky, soccer clubs in France and Switzerland, a stake in the Mercedes Formula One team, and this week, a 25% share in the English soccer behemoth, Manchester United for around $1.5 billion.

Yet the most remarkable thing about Ratcliffe’s sporting enterprises is that he appears to be growing them not for profit but purely for his own amusement. Some sports fans buy streaming packages and season tickets to serve their entertainment needs. The 71-year-old Ratcliffe, who splits his time between the U.K. and Monaco, simply went out and bought the teams he liked. And with a fortune widely estimated to exceed $30 billion, he could afford it.

“There’s no clear strategic direction that’s led to the choices that have been made,” Fran Millar, the former CEO of Ineos Sports, told The Wall Street Journal in 2019. “Jim’s a very passionate guy…He’s at a stage in his life where I think he’s making decisions based on what’s a fun, interesting, cool thing to do.”

A spokesperson for Mr. Ratcliffe didn’t respond to a request for comment.

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 20th of October 2023 V2(+)

>>> Up
* Alma Media Raised to Buy at SEB Equities; PT 10.60 euros
* America Movil ADRs Raised to Buy at HSBC; PT $21.50
* BBVA Raised to Overweight at Barclay<Cell 38, 0>s
* Brunello Cucinelli Raised to Buy at SocGen; PT 95 euros (+)
* Elisa Raised to Accumulate at Inderes; PT 47 euros
* EssilorLuxottica Raised to Buy at SocGen; PT 189.80 euros (+)
* Kainos Raised to Buy at Panmure Gordon; PT 1,450 pence
* Lhyfe SAS Raised to Neutral at Bryan Garnier; PT 3.90 euros (+)
* Netflix Raised to Accumulate at Phillip Secs; PT $455 (+)
* Umicore Raised to Neutral at Oddo BHF; PT 25.50 euros (+)

>>> Down
* Alcoa Cut to Strong Sell at CFRA
* eQ Cut to Reduce at Inderes; PT 16.50 euros
* Exel Composites Cut to Sell at Inderes; PT 2.50 euros
* Holcim AG Cut to Hold at Octavian; PT 85 Swiss francs
* HSBC Cut to Market Perform at KBW; PT 725 pence
* KBC Cut to Hold at Deutsche Bank; PT 70 euros
* Millicom GDRs Cut to Hold at HSBC; PT 185 kronor
* Millicom Cut to Hold at HSBC; PT $17
* Nokia Cut to Reduce at Inderes; PT 3.20 euros
* SIG Cut to Reduce at Numis; PT 27 pence
* Telefonica Cut to Reduce at HSBC; PT 3.30 euros

>>> Initiation
* ARM Holdings PLC ADRs Rated New Hold at SocGen; PT $58
* First Solar Rated New Outperform at BNPP Exane; PT $237 (+)
* Lenzing Reinstated Hold at Deutsche Bank; PT 45 euros
* MPLX Rated New Hold at Baptista Research; PT $38.60 (+)
* SolarEdge Rated New Outperform at BNPP Exane; PT $140 (+)
* Stem Inc Rated New Neutral at BNPP Exane; PT $5 (+)
* Sunrun Rated New Outperform at BNPP Exane; PT $20

>>> Call

>>> Stoxx 600 Pre-Market Indications

  • Rio Tinto (RIO1 TH) +1.1%
    • Copper Heads for Weekly Gain With China Outlook, Fed in Focus
  • Equinor (DNQ TH) +0.4%
    • Watch Europe Oil Stocks as Crude Up on Deepening Mideast Crisis
    • Equinor Says Breidablikk Comes on Stream Ahead of Schedule
  • Encavis (ECV TH) -1.7%
    • BlackRock, Inc. Cut Encavis Voting Rights to 4.53% on Oct. 16
  • Nemetschek (NEM TH) -1.7%
  • Prosus (1TY TH) -1.9%
  • Verbund (OEWA TH) -1.9%
  • Wacker Chemie (WCH TH) -1.9%
  • Zalando (ZAL TH) -2%
  • NN Group (2NN TH) -2%
  • KBC (KDB TH) -2.7%
    • KBC Cut to Hold at Deutsche Bank; PT 70 euros
  • L’Oreal (LOR TH) -4.7%
    • L’Oreal Slips on Surprise North Asia Sales Decline: Street Wrap
  • Tomra (TMRA TH) -7.7%
    • Tomra 3Q Revenue Misses Estimates