FT : Speedy sales at Paris+ fair include Rauschenberg but $40mn Rothko still uns

Speedy sales at Paris+ fair include Rauschenberg but $40mn Rothko still unsold
Plus: 1-54 fair tests Hong Kong; London auctions reflect uncertain times; Vienna fair gets new director



The high number of visitors and early sales at Wednesday’s VIP opening of the handsome Paris+ par Art Basel (October 20-22) seemed to justify the unrelenting nature of this fair coming straight after Frieze in London. Gallerists feel the pressure — variously describing the back-to-back events as “an enormous challenge” (Thaddaeus Ropac) and “really tough on us” (Andreas Gegner, Sprüth Magers) — but can see the upsides. “Seeing different collectors at each fair is what makes it so worthwhile, and having collectors who come to both is a bonus,” Ropac says.

Early sales seemed faster than in London last week, though in a market that is more muted this year than last amid increasing economic and geopolitical uncertainty. Ropac’s were topped by Robert Rauschenberg’s “Untitled” (1962) for $2mn while Sprüth Magers’ included “The Apparition” (1984), a photograph by Peter Fischli and David Weiss (€65,000), which sold to an Asian collection.

At Pace, “Olive over Red” (1956) by Mark Rothko, priced at $40mn, chimes with the artist’s expansive show that opened at the Fondation Louis Vuitton in Paris this week, but had yet to find a buyer by the end of Wednesday. Sales were strong for Pace’s other artists, including a work by Pam Evelyn that sold to LVMH for $80,000 and work by its new signing, Alicja Kwade, whose 2015 mirror and iron sculpture went for $65,000. The artist also found favour through her other galleries at the fair: Mennour sold Kwade’s new “Matter-Mind” sculpture for about €150,000, while 303 Gallery sold a 2022 wall work comprising more than 2,000 watch hands for €62,000.


Other contemporary art highlights include a yellow Triumph TR6 with two “Bunnies” by Sarah Lucas (“Six Cent Soixante Six, 2023, Sadie Coles HQ, £950,000); aluminium body casts by Lili Reynaud-Dewar at Layr and Clearing (€48,000); embracing wooden skeletons in an armoire by Hugh Hayden at Lisson (“Us”, 2023, $170,000). Clément Delépine, director of Art Basel’s Paris fair, says that there are no plans to alter its timing. “The contexts [of Frieze and Paris+] are so different, and there is room for us both. Ultimately it works,” he says.


The 1-54 Contemporary African Art Fair, which held its 10th edition in London last week, is testing the waters in Hong Kong. Its new event will highlight about 30 works in Christie’s, an extension of the fair’s “1-54 Presents” pop-up programme, and will coincide with Art Basel Hong Kong (March 28-30). “I would like a fully fledged fair in Asia but am starting carefully,” says 1-54 founder Touria El-Glaoui. She notes that artists including the Ivory Coast-born Aboudia and the Ghanaian Gideon Appah have already proved popular in Asia.

This year’s London event, which closed on October 15, was its biggest so far with 62 exhibitors and an emphasis on textiles and ceramics which was also evident through Frieze and some of the gallery shows that opened in the capital this month. Fair highlights included “Library” (2008) by Alex Burke, incorporating 144 cloth dolls (£26,000 at Loeve&Co), metal works and ink paintings at MCC Gallery by the Somerset House courtyard artist Amine El Gotaibi and, at Afikaris gallery, a glazed ceramic wall hanging by Ozioma Onuzulike — also among the artists chosen by Yinka Shonibare in Stephen Friedman’s new gallery on Cork Street. Onuzulike’s 2021 work at 1-54 sold for €20,000 to a Belgian foundation, confirms Afikaris founder Florian Azzopardi. 


London’s October auction season, timed to coincide with the Frieze fairs, fell flat, with unsold and withdrawn lots reflecting the uncertain time.

Of the works that did sell, some had lost value since their previous outings: a 1974 Cy Twombly work on paper went for within estimate at £190,500 (with fees) at Phillips, having been bought in 2007 for £311,200, while Robert Ryman’s impasto “Gate” (1995), bought for $6.2mn in 2014, sold for the equivalent of $3.1mn at Sotheby’s this time around. Exceptions to the rule included national treasure David Hockney, whose 1978 “Gregory in the Pool (Paper Pool 4)” sold for £529,200 at Christie’s, having been bought for £94,850 in 2004.

There was no such luck for Gerhard Richter’s “Abstraktes Bild” (1986), bought for £677,600 in 2003 and back on the market at Sotheby’s on October 12 with a hefty £16mn-£24mn estimate, a level too high to elicit a bid. Sotheby’s evening total of £37mn (£45.6mn with fees) was below presale expectations and considerably below last year’s equivalent total of £97.1mn (including fees). There were still some high points, particularly among the younger artists, with records made for Lynette Yiadom-Boakye (£3mn with fees for a 2015 work) and Mohammed Sami (£558,500), one of the stars of this season.


Christie’s had the biggest haul this year, though its mixed owner sale on October 13 still came in below estimate at £36.4mn (£44.7mn with fees). Its offering was boosted by an extra 37 works from the scholarly collection of the late mail-order businessman Sam Josefowitz. These were topped by Kees van Dongen’s 1918 painting “La Quiétude”, which sold for £9.1mn (£10.8mn with fees, est £3mn-£5mn). 

The British curator and writer Francesca Gavin will be the new artistic director of the viennacontemporary fair, which held its ninth edition last month. Gavin replaces Boris Ondreička, a Slovakian curator who has run the fair since 2020. 

Gavin, who organised the emerging art section of the fair this year, says: “Vienna has incredible institutions and art schools, active project spaces and more and more galleries. It has the potential to be the next European art hub.” In 2022, Galerie Eva Presenhuber and Gregor Podnar both opened spaces in the city.

Viennacontemporary has shrunk in size in recent years: pre-pandemic it fielded 110 exhibitors, while September’s edition had 62. Gavin says that she expects more galleries next year, in the new venue of Messe Wien, and that some of the fair’s eastern European exhibitors should be back on the roster, despite the upheavals of the war in Ukraine. “This is a fair with a real sense of identity,” Gavin says. She starts her new role in November.

WWD : Tag Heuer Releases Carrera Chronograph in 18-karat Goldtember

Tag Heuer Releases Carrera Chronograph in 18-karat Gold
The latest release culminates the 60th year anniversary of the Carrera series.
In the golden age of Formula 1 racing in the early ’70s, Jack Heuer, the fourth-generation leader of Tag Heuer, started gifting gold watches to race car drivers, in a move that created a strong link between the watch brand and motorsports. They were worn by famous drivers, including Ronnie Peterson and Niki Lauda.

Now, to mark the 60th anniversary of the Carrera, Tag Heuer has released the Carrera Chronograph in 18-karat yellow gold.
Tag Heuer Carrera Chronograph in 18-karat gold.
COURTESY OF TAG HEUER
Tag Heuer Carrera Chronograph in 18-karat gold.
COURTESY OF TAG HEUER

The new Carrera Chronograph pays tribute to the ’70s with retro charm that reflects the heritage of the Swiss brand, and lines up with the resurgence of yellow gold in watches.

Produced in a 39mm case, with muscular lugs that bend downward to follow the profile of the wrist, crafted from 18-karat 3N yellow gold, its case is nearly identical to previous iterations of the current “Glassbox” generation of Carreras.

Key features include a Glassbox sapphire crystal with double anti-reflective treatment, 100 meters of water resistance, pump pushers that activate the chronograph functions: start/stop at 2 o’clock, reset at 4 o’clock, and its hours/minutes hands in addition to the indexes are treated with Super-LumiNova that glows green in the dark. The watch is finished by a black perforated calfskin leather strap, secured with a 18-karat 3N yellow gold pin buckle, enhancing the timepiece’s connection to its racing-inspired heritage while adding an air of exclusivity and luxury.

This latest chronograph uses the TH20-00 automatic movement with 80 hours of power reserve. This new-generation movement features an oscillating weight offering bi-directional winding, where previous versions only charged the movement’s mainspring if the rotor moved in an anti-clockwise direction.

Pricing is set at $21,500 and the watch is available for purchase at Tag Heuer boutiques and on tagheuer.com.
Tag Heuer Carrera Chronograph in 18-karat gold.
COURTESY OF TAG HEUER
Tag Heuer Carrera Chronograph in 18-karat gold.
COURTESY OF TAG HEUER
Tag Heuer Carrera Chronograph in 18-karat gold.
COURTESY OF TAG HEUER
Tag Heuer Carrera Chronograph in 18-karat gold.
COURTESY OF TAG HEUER

WWD : Swiss Watch Exports Register Steady Growth in September

Swiss Watch Exports Register Steady Growth in September
India entered into the top 20 markets of Swiss watch exports that month.

PARIS — The shift to a “normal level of growth” continued for Swiss watch exports in September.

Total exports grew 3.8 percent year-on-year to 2.3 billion Swiss francs, or $2.56 billion, the Federation of the Swiss Watch Industry said Thursday. It described the rise as “comparable to August” and coming despite “a particularly negative base effect.”

While the monthly gains were slower since the summer, the first nine months of 2023 saw an 8.6 percent rise in exports versus the same prior-year period.

Global demand was mixed in September, with timepiece sales to the U.S. and China declining 6.4 and 5.5 percent, respectively. Sales to the third-largest market, Hong Kong, jumped 24 percent, as exports to France, Italy and Taiwan saw high double-digit growth.

While other major markets like Japan or the U.K. registered modest growth and others like Singapore contracted slightly, at 2.7 percent, the federation noted “the top 20 markets have all maintained steady growth since the start of the year, except for South Korea.” And all eyes will be on the latest entrant, in the 20th position: India.

With export sales of 20.5 million francs, India remains a modest market for now, but a Deloitte study published in October said the country would climb to a top-10 position within the next decade, generating at an estimated 400 million francs of Swiss watch sales.

Overall, for the third consecutive month, sales of the 500-to-3,000 franc price category, which accounted for around one-fifth of all watch exports, was down 10.4 percent. While the summer months were quiet for the top end of the price range, sales of watches costing more than 3,000 francs rose 8.2 percent, and sales of the entry level range, under 200 francs, grew 4.3 percent in September.

That month, the volume of exported wristwatches declined 2.9 percent, eqivalent to 47,000 fewer units leaving Switzerland, but their value increased 4 percent, pointing to a rise in export prices.

Even the 22.5 percent in value and 11.5 percent leaps in volume of the “other metals” category was not enough to offset the contraction in steel watches, which accounted for more than half of all timepieces sold and were down 7.2 percent in value. The “other materials” category, falling 7.1 percent in units, was a major contributing factor to the decline in number of items exported.

>>> Netflix: Highlights from earnings call last night (346.19)

Netflix: Highlights from earnings call last night (346.19)
  • Strike update? Co says it has spent hours and hours with SAG-AFTRA over the last few weeks, and was actually very optimistic that it was making progress. But then at the very end, the guild presented this new demand that on top of everything for a per-subscriber levy unrelated to viewing or success. And this broke the momentum, unfortunately. But co is committed to ending this strike. Co has good content coming in Q4, headlined by the return of The Crown for its final season. It also has a new season of Big Mouth, a new season of Elite, the launch of Berlin etc.
  • Paid Sharing Update? Co is incredibly pleased with how it's been going, and the progress can be seen in membership growth in Q2. Now, in Q3, it is embedded in the revenue outlook for Q4. Co will continue the rollout for the next couple of quarters. In terms of how much juice is left there, co would say it anticipates incremental adds for the next several quarters.
  • Advertising Update? Scale is the number one priority. Co is making good progress there. In Q3, co grew its ad plan membership 70% sequentially following 100% sequential growth in Q2. Co now has 30% of new sign-ups choosing ad plan in its ads countries. However, co says this has always been a multiyear build, a multiyear progress. Co is excited about the future to come.
  • Outlook for ARM (Avg revenue per member) in 2024 and beyond? Co expects a more balanced mix of membership and ARM growth in 2024 and beyond 2024. Co says 2023 was a pretty unusual year where essentially all growth came from member growth. Co believes it has a long runway for growth in both membership and higher ARM over time in a more balanced way than what was seen in 2023.
  • Margins and ad tech content spend? Co believes it is not anywhere near a margin ceiling. It has a long runway of margin growth. Co plans to drive healthy margin expansion. Co expects roughly 22% to 23% operating margin in 2024, assuming no material swings in FX. That is up from 20% this year, which is at the high end of the range. Co plans to take a disciplined approach to balancing margin improvement with investing in growth.
  • Licensing third party content? This has always been part of its strategy and something NFLX has been great at. Co thinks Suits is a great example of the impact of the Netflix effect because of its distribution footprint and recommendation system. Co was able to take Suits, which had played on cable and other streaming services and pop it right into the center of the culture in a huge way. Not just in the US, but all over the world.
  • Gaming update? Co believes it can build games into a strong content category, leveraging its current core film and series by connecting members with games that they will love. Co says its current scale and investment level are both very small relative to overall content spend and engagement. Co plans to incrementally scale to the place where games will have a material impact on the business. Co says it has ambitious plans there. It wants to grow engagement by many multiples in the next handful of years.

>>> Cytokinetics will provide an update on the company’s cardiac myosin inhibito

Cytokinetics will provide an update on the company’s cardiac myosin inhibitor programs and plans to build a specialty cardiology franchise at its virtual Investor and Analyst Day, “New Horizons in Hypercontractility” (34.30)
  • New long-term data from FOREST-HCM, the open-label extension study of aficamten, show sustained improvements in clinical efficacy endpoints and no treatment interruptions for low ejection fraction.
  • Commercial readiness activities leverage insights from market research to inform market segmentation and patient-centric strategies.
  • New pre-clinical data for CK-586 shows improved diastolic function and reduced cardiac fibrosis in animal model of HFpEF; Phase 1 study ongoing.

>>> US Research Calls

Research Calls II
  • Upgrades:
    • Aptiv (APTV) upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at JP Morgan; tgt $145
    • Best Buy (BBY) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Goldman; tgt raised to $85
    • CrowdStrike (CRWD) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Jefferies; tgt raised to $225
    • First Solar (FSLR) upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at JP Morgan; tgt lowered to $220
    • Fidelity Nat'l Info (FIS) upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Barclays; tgt raised to $69
    • Kontoor Brands (KTB) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Goldman; tgt raised to $56
    • Netflix (NFLX) upgraded to Overweight from Sector Weight at KeyBanc Capital Markets; tgt $510
    • R1 RCM (RCM) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Truist; tgt $18
    • Semtech (SMTC) upgraded to Buy from Hold at The Benchmark Company; tgt $30
    • SoFi Technologies (SOFI) upgraded to Mkt Perform from Underperform at Keefe Bruyette; tgt $7.50
    • Spirit Aerosystems (SPR) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Deutsche Bank; tgt raised to $30
    • Xylem (XYL) upgraded to Outperform from Perform at Oppenheimer; tgt $118
    • Zscaler (ZS) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Jefferies; tgt raised to $225
  • Downgrades:
    • Canada Goose (GOOS) downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Wells Fargo
    • Canada Goose (GOOS) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at TD Cowen; tgt lowered to $15
    • Concrete Pumping (BBCP) downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at JP Morgan; tgt raised to $8.50
    • Dada (DADA) downgraded to Equal-Weight from Overweight at Morgan Stanley; tgt lowered to $4.78
    • DHT (DHT) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Stifel; tgt $11
    • Enphase Energy (ENPH) downgraded to Sector Perform from Sector Outperform at Scotiabank; tgt $140
    • Foot Locker (FL) downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Goldman; tgt $18
    • Fortinet (FTNT) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Jefferies; tgt lowered to $65
    • Generation Bio (GBIO) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at TD Cowen
    • Graphic Packaging (GPK) downgraded to Underweight from Overweight at Wells Fargo; tgt lowered to $19
    • Fortrea (FTRE) initiated with a Neutral at Citigroup; tgt $32
    • Match Group (MTCH) initiated with a Buy at BofA Securities; tgt $52
    • MaxLinear (MXL) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Deutsche Bank; tgt $23
    • Monarch Casino & Resort (MCRI) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Truist; tgt lowered to $65
    • Peloton (PTON) downgraded to Underperform from Neutral at BofA Securities; tgt lowered to $4.15
    • United Comm Banks (UCBI) downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at Piper Sandler; tgt lowered to $27
    • Wallbox (WBX) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Chardan Capital Markets; tgt $2.25
    • Werner Enterprises (WERN) downgraded to Underperform from Buy at BofA Securities; tgt lowered to $37
  • Others:
    • Bloomin' Brands (BLMN) initiated with a Hold at Deutsche Bank; tgt $25
    • Bumble Inc. (BMBL) resumed with a Neutral at BofA Securities; tgt $17
    • Cabaletta Bio (CABA) initiated with a Buy at Stifel; tgt $31
    • Cheesecake Factory (CAKE) initiated with a Hold at Deutsche Bank; tgt $32
    • Chewy (CHWY) resumed with an Underperform at BofA Securities; tgt $16
    • Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) initiated with a Buy at Deutsche Bank; tgt $2375
    • Darden Restaurants (DRI) initiated with a Buy at Deutsche Bank; tgt $159
    • Domino's Pizza (DPZ) initiated with a Buy at Deutsche Bank; tgt $430
    • Duolingo (DUOL) resumed with a Neutral at BofA Securities; tgt $188
    • Gracell Biotechnologies (GRCL) initiated with a Buy at Stifel; tgt $11
    • Jack In The Box (JACK) initiated with a Hold at Deutsche Bank; tgt $71
    • McDonald's (MCD) initiated with a Buy at Deutsche Bank; tgt $287
    • NETSTREIT (NTST) initiated with a Neutral at Mizuho; tgt $15
    • Nu Holdings (NU) named Top Pick at Morgan Stanley; tgt raised to $16
    • Papa John's (PZZA) initiated with a Hold at Deutsche Bank; tgt $71
    • Performance Food Group (PFGC) initiated with a Buy at Deutsche Bank; tgt $80
    • Restaurant Brands Int'l (QSR) initiated with a Buy at Deutsche Bank; tgt $75
    • Shake Shack (SHAK) initiated with a Hold at Deutsche Bank; tgt $62
    • Shutterstock (SSTK) resumed with an Underperform at BofA Securities; tgt $34
    • Starbucks (SBUX) initiated with a Buy at Deutsche Bank; tgt $118
    • Structure Therapeutics (GPCR) initiated with a Mkt Outperform at JMP Securities; tgt $90
    • Sysco (SYY) initiated with a Buy at Deutsche Bank; tgt $75
    • Texas Roadhouse (TXRH) initiated with a Buy at Deutsche Bank; tgt $111
    • Udemy (UDMY) resumed with a Buy at BofA Securities; tgt $13
    • US Foods (USFD) initiated with a Buy at Deutsche Bank; tgt $50
    • Wendy's (WEN) initiated with a Hold at Deutsche Bank; tgt $20
    • Yum! Brands (YUM) initiated with a Hold at Deutsche Bank; tgt $131

>>> US Gapping down

Gapping down
In reaction to earnings/guidance
:
  • EFX -8.4%, TSLA -7%, WNS -6.8%, ZION -4.9%, CCI -4.7% (also CFO to depart), NOK -4.1%, BX -4.1%, PKX -3.8%, TCBI -3.5%, SLG -3.4%, GPC -3.1%, BKU -3%, LRCX -2.9%, DFS -2.7%, POOL -2%, ENOV -1.4% (guidance), STLD -1.2%, MRTN -0.9%, WSO -0.9%
Other news:
  • SMTC -8.2% (intends to offer $250 mln in aggregate principal amount of convertible senior notes due 2028)
  • ROL -4.2% (trading lower following Rentokil (RTOKY) guidance)
  • CLCO -3.1% (sale and leaseback financing arrangement)
  • STLA -2.9% (STLA discloses 15.1% stake in ACHR)
  • HP -2.8% (supplemental shareholder return plan and planned cap-ex)
  • MOBV -2.3% (reports that as of September 30 2023 the trust value was $61120249.39)
  • JOUT -2% (is exiting its Eureka product lines)
  • DVN -1.4% (DVN mulling M&A activity with MRO and CrownRock according to Bloomberg)
  • THG -1.4% (reports Q3 catastrophe losses)
  • RARE -1.1% (prices offering of 8333334 shares of its common stock at $30.00 per share)
  • WHD -1.1% (announces leadership changes)
Analyst comments:
  • FL -6.7% (downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Goldman)
  • MCRI -3.9% (downgraded to Hold from Buy at Truist)
  • BBCP -2.3% (downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at JP Morgan)
  • DHT -1.6% (downgraded to Hold from Buy at Stifel)
  • FTNT -1.3% (downgraded to Hold from Buy at Jefferies)

>>> US Gapping up

Gapping up
In reaction to earnings/guidance
:
  • NFLX +13.6%, AUB +9.9%, LNN +6.6%, LVS +5.9% (also increases buyback auth to $2 bln), SAP +5%, T +5%, COLB +4.3%, WBS +4.2%, TSM +3.7%, LBRT +2.9%, FR +1.8%, AAL +1.8%, TFC +1.6%, KEY +1.6%, SNA +1.5%, FNB +1.1%, REXR +1%, FITB +0.8%
Other news:
  • CAAP +3% (reports Sept traffic)
  • ACHR +2.4% (STLA discloses 15.1% stake in ACHR)
  • PB +2% (increases dividend)
  • CYTK +2% (will provide an update on the company's cardiac myosin inhibitor programs and plans to build a specialty cardiology franchise at its virtual Investor and Analyst Day "New Horizons in Hypercontractility")
  • ALSN +1.9% (X1100-5A3 cross-drive propulsion solution selected for Australian armored vehicle project)
  • ROKU +1.9% (in sympathy with NFLX earnings)
  • XEL +1.1% (receives $100 mln Dept of Energy grant)
  • MTX +1% (increases dividend)
  • MRO +1% (DVN mulling M&A activity with MRO and CrownRock according to Bloomberg)
  • PARA +0.9% (in sympathy with NFLX earnings)
Analyst comments:
  • RCM +4.1% (upgraded to Buy from Hold at Truist)
  • APTV +2.8% (upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at JP Morgan)
  • BBY +2.5% (upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Goldman)
  • KTB +2.2% (upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Goldman)
  • CRWD +2.1% (upgraded to Buy from Hold at Jefferies)
  • ZS +2% (upgraded to Buy from Hold at Jefferies)
  • FSLR +1.9% (upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at JP Morgan)