>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 7th of February 2024 V2(+)

>>> Up
* Alfa Laval Raised to Buy at Carnegie; PT 415 kronor (+)
* Atrium Ljungberg Raised to Hold at ABG; PT 195 kronor
* Hermes Raised to Overweight at Morgan Stanley; PT 2,380 euros
* Julius Baer Raised to Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley
* Lagercrantz Raised to Buy at SEB Equities; PT 150 kronor
* Lundin Mining Raised to Buy at Canaccord; PT C$11
* Lundin Mining Raised to Buy at Deutsche Bank; PT 105 kronor
* NIBE Industrier Raised to Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley
* Nordic Semiconductor Raised to Hold at Arctic Securities
* Richemont Raised to Outperform at Mediobanca SpA (+)
* Siemens Healthineers Raised to Outperform at BNPP Exane (+)
* UBS Raised to Buy at SocGen; PT 30 Swiss francs
* Witted Megacorp Raised to Buy at Inderes; PT 2.40 euros (+)

>>> Down
* Air France-KLM Cut to Hold at SocGen; PT 12.50 euros
* BioPharma Credit Cut to Hold at Jefferies
* Boule Diagnostics Cut to Hold at Pareto Securities
* Demant Cut to Hold at SEB Equities; PT 350 kroner
* Enel Cut to Add at AlphaValue/Baader
* Model N Cut to Market Perform at JMP
* MorphoSys ADRs Cut to Market Perform at JMP
* Nordic Semiconductor Cut to Hold at Jefferies; PT 88 kroner
* Philips Cut to Underperform at BNPP Exane; PT 17.50 euros (+)
* Renishaw Cut to Hold at Stifel; PT 4,250 pence
* Roche Cut to Hold at Bank Vontobel; PT 254 Swiss francs
* Straumann Cut to Reduce at HSBC; PT 108 Swiss francs
* Verbund Cut to Reduce at AlphaValue/Baader
* Vetropack Cut to Hold at Berenberg

>>> Initiation
* Mersen Rated New Buy at Berenberg; PT 45 euros
* Pluxee France Rated New Buy at Deutsche Bank; PT 34.30 euros (+)

>>> Call
* Hermes Stands Out Amid Subdued Demand, Raised at Morgan Stanley
* Nibe Industrier Risks Now Reflected, Morgan Stanley Upgrades

WSJ : LG Chem, GM Sign $19 Billion Deal on Cathode Materials

LG Chem, GM Sign $19 Billion Deal on Cathode Materials
The estimated total volume of cathode materials would be enough to make batteries to power about 5 million high-performance electric vehicles

South Korea’s LG Chem 051910 0.22%increase; green up pointing triangle has signed a $19 billion deal with General Motors GM 0.64%increase; green up pointing triangle to supply cathode materials used to make electric-vehicle batteries.

The South Korean chemical company said in a press release Wednesday that it will supply 24.750 trillion won ($18.65 billion) worth of cathode materials to GM from 2026 through 2035.

LG Chem plans to supply the U.S. auto giant with around 500,000 metric tons of cathode materials, which will be produced at its plant currently being built in Tennessee, according to the statement.

The estimated total volume of cathode materials would be enough to make batteries to power about 5 million high-performance electric vehicles, it said.

The South Korean company broke ground on the Tennessee plant in December 2023, which will produce 60,000 metric tons of cathode materials annually starting from 2026.

FT : Barratt to buy rival Redrow for £2.5bn

Barratt to buy rival Redrow for £2.5bn
UK housebuilder aims for £90mn in cost savings as developers deal with slowdown

Barratt has reached a £2.5bn deal to buy rival Redrow, creating the UK’s largest housebuilder, as developers weather the property market downturn. 

The boards of both FTSE housebuilders have recommended that all-share combination, which they said would combine complimentary brands and achieve significant cost savings. 

The offer by Barratt, already one of the country’s largest developers, comes as both companies navigate a brutal downturn in new homes sales caused by higher mortgage rates squeezing prospective buyers. 

Housebuilders across the country have cut costs and slowed land buying as their profit and output plummet. Wednesday’s deal marks the first move to consolidate by two big national developers since the market soured. Vistry struck a £1.25bn deal to buy Countryside in 2022. 

Barratt chief executive David Thomas, who would lead the combined group, said the deal would “bring together two highly complementary companies, creating an exceptional homebuilder”.

The companies said the Redrow brand, which focuses on larger, high-quality homes for more affluent buyers, would continue as part of Barratt, which already operates the David Wilson Homes brand alongside Barratt Homes. Redrow chief executive Matthew Pratt will continue to lead the brand and join the board. 

The combined group would be renamed Barratt Redrow plc and build roughly 22,000 homes a year, based on the two companies’ current performance. 

Steve Morgan, founder of Redrow and still its largest shareholder with a 16 per cent stake, has agreed to support the deal. Morgan said he hoped the larger group will “accelerate the delivery of much needed homes across the UK”.

The terms of the deal, which still have to be approved by shareholders, offer a 27 per cent premium over Redrow’s Tuesday closing share price.  

Barratt on Wednesday announced that its adjusted profit before tax dropped 70 per cent to £157mn and its output fell 28 per cent to 6,171 homes in the six months to the end of December. Redrow also reported a major slowdown in trading.

FT : Ørsted axes dividend, cuts jobs and exits offshore wind markets

Ørsted axes dividend, cuts jobs and exits offshore wind markets
Wind developer says moves needed to create ‘leaner and more efficient company’

Wind developer Ørsted is axing its dividend, cutting jobs and exiting several offshore wind markets as it tries to shore up its balance sheet and refocus following a troubled year. 

The world’s largest offshore wind developer, which is 50.1 per cent owned by the Danish state, said it would “pause” dividends for 2023-2025, cut 600-800 jobs around the world and exit offshore markets including Norway, Spain and Portugal. 

About 250 workers are expected to lose their jobs in coming months. Mads Nipper, president and chief executive, said the moves were needed to make Ørsted a “leaner and more efficient company”. 

Ørsted is trying to restore confidence after shares tumbled last year as it abandoned two US offshore wind projects because of rising costs, and it recorded higher than expected impairments.

>>> Stoxx 600 Pre-Market Indications

  • TeamViewer SE (TMV TH) +4.8%
    • TeamViewer SE 4Q Revenue Beats Estimates
  • CTS Eventim (EVD TH) +3.2%
    • CTS Eventim Prelim FY Normalized Ebitda EU501.4M
  • Vestas (VWSB TH) +1.6%
    • Vestas Sees 2024 Adjusted Ebit Margin 4% to 6%, Est. 5.11%
  • AB InBev (1NBA TH) +1.4%
  • Hermes (HMI TH) +1.2%
    • Hermes Stands Out Amid Subdued Demand, Raised at Morgan Stanley
  • Kering (PPX TH) +1.2%
  • Siemens Healthineers (SHL TH) +1.1%
  • Evotec SE (EVT TH) +0.9%
    • Evotec Unit Expands Development Pact With ABL
  • Philips (PHI1 TH) -1%
  • Mowi (PND TH) -1.1%
  • Leonardo (FMNB TH) -1.2%
  • Sartorius (SRT3 TH) -1.3%
  • Cofinimmo (COF TH) -1.8%
  • Deutsche Post AG (DHL TH) -2%
  • Pandora (3P7 TH) -2.2%
    • Pandora Sees 2024 Organic Revenue +6% to +9%, Est. +8.32%
  • Burberry (BB2 TH) -2.3%
  • Sartorius Stedim Biotech (56S1 TH) -6%
    • Sartorius Stedim Biotech Offering Prices at EU233/Share
  • Orsted (D2G TH) -7.7%
    • Orsted 4Q Revenue Misses Estimates

>>> TradeGate Pre-Market Indications

DAX:
  • Siemens Healthineers (SHL TH) +1.5%
  • Siemens Energy (ENR TH) +1.4%
    • Siemens Energy Cash Flow Loss Deepens During Gamesa Turnaround
  • Qiagen (QIA TH) -0.7%
    • Qiagen Outlook Suggests Small Risk to Consensus: Street Wrap
  • Sartorius (SRT3 TH) -1.3%
  • Deutsche Post AG (DHL TH) -1.8%
    • KfW Sells 50m Deutsche Post Shares at €43.45/Share
MDAX:
  • TeamViewer SE (TMV TH) +7%
    • TeamViewer SE 4Q Revenue Beats Estimates
  • CTS Eventim (EVD TH) +3.2%
    • CTS Eventim Prelim FY Normalized Ebitda EU501.4M
  • SMA Solar (S92 TH) +2.4%
  • Nordex (NDX1 TH) +2.2%
  • Evotec SE (EVT TH) +1.7%
    • Evotec Unit Expands Development Pact With ABL
  • Hella (HLE TH) -0.9%
SDAX:
  • Kontron (KTN TH) +3%
    • Kontron Signs Three Railway Contracts Exceeding EU100M
  • Heidelberger Druck (HDD TH) +1.8%
  • Kloeckner (KCO TH) +1.7%
  • Thyssenkrupp Nucera AG & Co KGaa (NCH2 TH) +1.4%
  • MorphoSys (MOR TH) -4.4%
    • MorphoSys Dips as Feuerstein Speculates on Novartis Deal (1)

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 7th of February 2024

>>> Up
* Atrium Ljungberg Raised to Hold at ABG; PT 195 kronor
* Hermes Raised to Overweight at Morgan Stanley; PT 2,380 euros
* Julius Baer Raised to Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley
* Lagercrantz Raised to Buy at SEB Equities; PT 150 kronor
* Lundin Mining Raised to Buy at Canaccord; PT C$11
* NIBE Industrier Raised to Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley
* Nordic Semiconductor Raised to Hold at Arctic Securities
* UBS Raised to Buy at SocGen; PT 30 Swiss francs

>>> Down
* Air France-KLM Cut to Hold at SocGen; PT 12.50 euros
* BioPharma Credit Cut to Hold at Jefferies
* Boule Diagnostics Cut to Hold at Pareto Securities
* Demant Cut to Hold at SEB Equities; PT 350 kroner
* Enel Cut to Add at AlphaValue/Baader
* Model N Cut to Market Perform at JMP
* MorphoSys ADRs Cut to Market Perform at JMP
* Nordic Semiconductor Cut to Hold at Jefferies; PT 88 kroner
* Roche Cut to Hold at Bank Vontobel; PT 254 Swiss francs
* Straumann Cut to Reduce at HSBC; PT 108 Swiss francs
* Verbund Cut to Reduce at AlphaValue/Baader
* Vetropack Cut to Hold at Berenberg

>>> Initiation
* Mersen Rated New Buy at Berenberg; PT 45 euros

>>> Call
* Hermes Stands Out Amid Subdued Demand, Raised at Morgan Stanley
* Nibe Industrier Risks Now Reflected, Morgan Stanley Upgrades

>>> What to look at today - 7th of February 2024

Asian stocks climbed on bets China will be more forceful to prop up markets and as traders shrugged off a slew of cautious remarks from Federal Reserve officials.  A gauge of Asian equities rose to its highest in more than a month. Shares in mainland China rose while those in Hong Kong erased earlier gains as traders weighed whether a string of market stabilizing efforts by Beijing will bear fruit.  Japanese stocks were muted amid a mixed bag of earnings from major companies including Toyota, Mitsubishi Corp and Daikin.    The yield on 10-year Treasuries slipped two basis points in early Asian trading. Bonds rebounded in the US session as the three-year auction drew solid demand, bolstering sentiment before a record $42 billion sale of 10-year Treasuries on Wednesday.  The dollar steadied following Tuesday’s drop. A drumbeat of Fed officials echoed Jerome Powell’s signals that the central bank will be in no rush to ease policy. Fed Bank of Cleveland President Loretta Mester said policymakers will probably gain confidence to cut interest rates “later this year” if the economy evolves as expected. Her Minneapolis counterpart Neel Kashkari celebrated the substantial improvement made on inflation, but indicated more progress is needed.  New York Community Bancorp’s credit grade was cut to junk by Moody’s Investors Service less than a week after the regional lender said it was stockpiling reserves to cover souring loans tied to commercial real estate. In other markets, oil rose for a third day as geopolitical risk in the Middle East was partially offset by a report showing stockpiles expanding in the US. In the corporate world, Toyota extended Tuesday gains after the world’s No.1 carmaker boosted its operating income guidance for the full year. Mitsubishi Corp. jumped following a share buyback announcement and better-than-expected quarterly earnings. Yum China Holdings Inc. soared following a sales beat. Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. reports later in the day.  US After Hours YUMC +17.2%, ENPH +11.6%, SONO +11.5%, CRUS +8.8%, KD +8.2%, TENB +7.6% higher on earnings; SNAP -31.5%, MRCY -11.5%, VFC -6.9% lower on earnings.

Nikkei -0.11% Hang Seng -0.25% CSI +0.81% Shanghai +1.20% Shenzen +1.30%

Eur$ 1.0763 CNH 7.1989 CNY 7.1880 JPY 147.96 GBP 1.2605 CHF 0.8695 RUB 90.6750 TRY 30.5950 WTI$ 73.39 +0.11% Gold 2,035 -0.08% BTC 42,995 -0.37% ETH 2,365 -0.67%

S&P -0.03% Nasdaq -0.08% EuroStoxx +0.17% FTSE +0.12% Dax -0.03% SMI -0.04%

Macro :
- Italy Approves New Controversial Capital-Markets Reform Bill
- Bitcoin Outlook Clouded by Falling Miner Reserves Before Halving
- Germany’s Scholz to Travel to Beijing in April: FAZ

Keep an eye on :
- AKZA NA : Akzo Nobel 4Q Adjusted Operating Income Misses Estimates
- AMGN US : Amgen Expects a 2024 Sales Jump, Sets Sights on Obesity Market
- AMUN FP : Amundi to buy private markets specialist Alpha Associates - FT
- AAPL US : Apple Defeats Khosla-Backed AliveCor Suit Over Watch Technology
- BELL SW : Bell FY Ebitda Beats Estimates
- BPSO IM : Pop. Sondrio 4Q Total Income Beats Estimates
- BNP FP : BNP, MS Bid for Spain’s Orange Bank Loans: El Confidencial
- CARLB DC : Carlsberg's Raised Guidance May Add 3%-Plus to EPS Growth, Carlsberg Targets Imply Upside Risk to Consensus
- COP GY : CORRECT: CompuGroup 4Q Adjusted Ebitda Misses Estimates
- EVVT GY : CTS Eventim Prelim FY Normalized Ebitda EU501.4M (1)
- DAE SW : Daetwyler FY Ebit Misses Estimates
- DHL GY : KfW Sells 50m Deutsche Post Shares at €43.45/Share
- DIS US : Fox, Warner Bros. Discovery and Disney Create New Sports Streaming Venture -- WSJ
- EQNR NO : Equinor 4Q Adjusted Net Income Misses Estimates
- EVT GY : Evotec Unit Expands Development Pact With ABL
- FBK IM : Finecobank Board Approves Two Free Capital Increases
- F US : Ford 2024 Adjusted Ebit Forecast Beats Estimates: Snapshot
- FUBO US : fuboTV slipping by -6.6% following FOXA/WBD/DIS news
- GILD US : Gilead 4Q Adjusted EPS Misses Estimates
- SHAB SS : Handelsbanken 4Q Net Interest Income Meets Estimates
- HNR1 GY : Hannover Re Prelim FY Ebit Misses Estimates
- HOLN SW ; Holcim Buys Germany’s ZinCo; No Terms Disclosed
- JEN GY : Jenoptik FY Ebitda Meets Estimates
- KINDSDB SS : Kindred 4Q Adjusted Ebitda GBP56.8M; Names Anden Permanent CEO
- KTN GY : Kontron Signs Three Railway Contracts Exceeding EU100M
- B4B GY : Metro 1Q Sales Meets Estimates
- MOR GY : MorphoSys Dips as Feuerstein Speculates on Novartis Deal
- BMPS IM : Monte Paschi 4Q Net Income Beats Estimates, Resumes Dividend
- NOVOB DC : Novo’s New Indiana Plant Is Struggling to Meet Quality Standards
- OMC US : Omnicom 4Q Revenue Beats Estimates
- PETR4 BZ : Petrobras CEO Plans $100b Spending Focused on Offshore Oil: FT
- PUB FP : Watch Advertising Stocks in Europe After Omnicom Revenue Beats
- QIA GY : Qiagen 4Q Net Sales Beats Estimates, Qiagen Outlook Suggests Small Risk to Consensus: Street Wrap
- R3NK GY : Renk IPO Upsized to €500m From €450m: Terms
- SANOMA FH : Sanoma 4Q Ebit Loss EU51.4M, Est. Loss EU42.3M
- DIM FP, SRT GY : Sartorius Stedim Biotech Offers EU1.2b New Shares
- SRT FP : Sartorius Offer of 613,497 Preference Shares Prices at EU326/Shr
- DIM FP : Sartorius Stedim Biotech Offering Prices at EU233/Share
- SCHA NO : Schibsted 4Q Ebitda Beats Estimates
- SHUR BB : Shurgard Acquires Pickens Self-Storage in Germany for EU120M
- SKAB SS : Skanska Gets SEK1.2b Laguardia Airport Fuel Systems Contract
- SNAP US : Snap Sees 1Q Revenue $1.10B to $1.14B, Est. $1.11B: Snapshot
- STAN LN : StanChart Taps UK Political Figures as Potential New Chair: FT
- SF SS : Stillfront 4Q Ebit Misses Estimates
- STB NO : Storebrand 4Q Pretax Profit Misses Estimates
- TEL NO : Telenor 4Q Adjusted Ebitda Misses Estimates
- TKO FP : Tikehau AuM Reach €43.2B at End-Dec., Up 11% Y/Y
- UIS SW : Unisys to Delist Secondary Shares From Swiss Exchange on May 8
- VWS DC : Vestas FY Ebit Before Significant Items Beats Estimates
- VOE AV : Voestalpine 3Q Ebitda Misses Est., Sees FY Ebitda at EU1.7b (1)
- VOW GY : UAW Signs Up Majority of VW Plant’s Staff After Detroit Wins
- VOW GY : Volkswagen Needs Capex Cutback, Lamborghini IPO to Unlock Value

WSJ : Woodside, Santos End Talks on Merger That Had Possible $57 Billion Market

Woodside, Santos End Talks on Merger That Had Possible $57 Billion Market Cap
Companies spent two months discussing a merger that aimed to capitalize on the rising demand for natural gas resulting from the war in Ukraine

SYDNEY—Woodside Energy WDS 0.53%increase; green up pointing triangle and Santos STO -5.84%decrease; red down pointing triangle have ended talks over a merger that could have created a gas company worth some $57 billion, representing a rare setback in the global energy sector, where producers have been rushing to do deals.

Woodside and Santos spent two months discussing a merger that aimed to capitalize on the rising demand for natural gas resulting from the war in Ukraine. With interests in gas-export projects in Australia and Papua New Guinea, the two companies appeared well placed to take advantage of any prolonged pause in approvals for new plants to export U.S. liquefied natural gas.

“While the discussions with Santos did not result in a transaction, Woodside considers that the global LNG sector provides significant potential for value creation,” Woodside Chief Executive Meg O’Neill said Wednesday.

Energy companies have been doubling down on fossil fuels in a bet that the world will continue to have an appetite for oil and natural gas for decades, even as many nations are seeking to cut emissions and move toward green energy. In October, Exxon Mobil agreed to buy Pioneer Natural Resources for about $60 billion, while Chevron said it would acquire Hess for $53 billion.

Other companies have sought to get bigger to take advantage of the Ukraine war, which is reshaping the map for global natural-gas supply. The Biden administration’s decision late last month to effectively freeze the approval process for LNG exports further underscores the importance of plants already in operation.

Talks over a merger with Santos had helped to lift Woodside’s shares from a 16-month low in early December, and the stock has risen around 9% since then. Analysts said a merger could have increased Woodside’s earnings even if the Perth, Australia-based company had paid a 20%-30% premium for control of its smaller rival. Being bigger would have enabled Woodside to reduce debt costs and expand its trading business, although combining its Australian assets with those of Santos could have created domestic competition concerns, they said.

“Following an initial exchange of information, sufficient combination benefits were not identified to support a merger that would be in the best interests of Santos shareholders,” Santos said.

For many investors, natural gas holds appeal as a fuel that can help the power sector to bridge the time it will take from ending coal use to relying heavily on renewables.

In a report published in October, the International Energy Agency said the LNG market balance would likely remain precarious in the near term. New LNG projects, however, could add 250 billion cubic meters a year of liquefaction capacity by 2030, equal to almost half of today’s global LNG supply, the IEA said.

Woodside, already Australia’s 10th-largest company by market capitalization, operates assets throughout Australia as well as international projects including in the Caribbean and the majority owned Shenzi oil-and-gas field, about 120 miles off the coast of Louisiana. It plans to invest $5 billion in new energy projects by 2030, including a proposed hydrogen project in Oklahoma.

WSJ : China Offers Support to Accelerate EV Makers’ Global Push

China Offers Support to Accelerate EV Makers’ Global Push
The moves are part of Beijing’s efforts to strengthen its EV and automobile industry market share by increasing exports of its EV and hybrid vehicles

China is encouraging its electric vehicle makers to expand their overseas presence, including forging tie-ups with foreign research institutions and countries to build industrial clusters.

Companies are encouraged to establish research & development centers overseas and collaborate with shipping companies to integrate warehousing and logistics resources in foreign markets, the Ministry of Commerce said in a statement on Wednesday.

The ministry said it would optimize credit support by encouraging banks to support EV supply chain companies domestically and overseas financially. Banks will also be encouraged to expand the scale of cross-border settlements in yuan.

The moves are part of Beijing’s efforts to strengthen its EV and automobile industry market share by increasing exports of its EV and hybrid vehicles. China’s BYD, the Warren Buffett-backed company, had recently surpassed Tesla to become the world’s largest EV maker by sales after it sold almost five times 242,000 Units in 2023. It is expanding showrooms across Europe as it targets more sales there this year.

Industry organizations are also encouraged to strengthen research on overseas markets and guide new energy vehicles and their supply chain companies to optimize international cooperation based on market size, trade potential, consumption structure, and country risks. the ministry said.

Chinese EV shares are mixed in Hong Kong trade on Wednesday, after an overnight rebound in the U.S. At midday BYD shares were up 2.4% while Li Auto and Xpeng were 0.1% and 0.45% lower in Hong Kong, respectively.