>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 28th of January 2024 V2(+)

>>> Up
* 3i Raised to Buy at Redburn; PT 2,847 pence (+)
* American Express PT Raised to $230 from $200 at Argus
* Azoty Raised to Hold at Erste Group; PT 22.90 zloty (+)
* Enagas Raised to Hold at Mirabaud Securities; PT 19.60 euros
* Friedrich Vorwerk Group Raised to Buy at Hauck & Aufhaeuser (+)
* GB Group Raised to Add at Peel Hunt
* Hensoldt Raised to Buy at Citi; PT 37.70 euros
* IMI Raised to Buy at Berenberg
* Intertek Raised to Buy at Jefferies; PT 5,300 pence
* Lonza Raised to Sector Perform at RBC; PT 430 Swiss francs
* ProSieben Raised to Overweight at Barclays; PT 8 euros
* Toivo Group Raised to Accumulate at Inderes; PT 1.25 euros
* Valeo Raised to Buy at HSBC; PT 15.50 euros
* Veolia Raised to Buy at BofA (+)

>>> Down
* Azimut Cut to Equal-Weight at Barclays; PT 27.10 euros
* Elisa Cut to Hold at ABG; PT 48 euros
* Elisa Cut to Reduce at Inderes; PT 47 euros
* Equals Group PLC Cut to Hold at Peel Hunt
* Gjensidige Downgraded to Hold at Jefferies on Margin Weakness
* Groupe LDLC Cut to Add at Gilbert Dupont; PT 21 euros
* Kingfisher Cut to Sector Perform at RBC; PT 235 pence
* LVMH Cut to Hold at SBG Securities; PT 855 euros
* Musti Group Cut to Hold at SEB Equities; PT 26.10 euros
* Naturgy Cut to Sell at Mirabaud Securities; PT 27.80 euros
* Saras Cut to Hold at Intesa Sanpaolo; PT 1.71 euros (+)
* Schroders Cut to Underperform at BNPP Exane; PT 375 pence
* Snam Cut to Sector Perform at RBC; PT 5.40 euros
* Snam Cut to Neutral at Grupo Santander; PT 5.10 euros
* Stora Enso Cut to Sell at Inderes; PT 10.50 euros
* Stroeer Cut to Equal-Weight at Barclays; PT 60 euros
* Tesla PT Cut to $286 from $316 at Argus
* Vitec Software Group Cut to Hold at ABG; PT 575 kronor
* Wise Cut to Hold at Peel Hunt

>>> Initiation
* Inter Parfums Rated New Buy at Baptista Research; PT $171.30
* Landi Renzo Reinstated Neutral at Mediobanca SpA; PT 1.42 euros
* Marriott Vacations Rated New Hold at Baptista Research
* Sogefi Reinstated Neutral at Mediobanca SpA; PT 3.85 euros
* Yelp Rated New Hold at Baptista Research; PT $49.50

>>> Call
* European REIT Share Discounts May Narrow as Short Sellers Flee
* Holcim US Spinoff Plan May Face Shareholder Pushback: Jefferies
* Kingfisher Cut to Sector Perform at RBC on Near-Term Caution
* Novozymes Upgraded at Jefferies Ahead of Chr Hansen Merger
* Schroders Faces Weakening Momentum, BNPP Exane Downgrades (+)

FT : Chinese developer Evergrande ordered to be wound up by Hong Kong court

Chinese developer Evergrande ordered to be wound up by Hong Kong court
Indebted property group fails to agree restructuring plan with creditors

A Hong Kong court has ordered China Evergrande to be wound up, opening a new and unpredictable phase in the collapse of the world’s most indebted property developer.

The liquidation order comes just over two years after the company’s official default, which triggered a cash crunch for Chinese developers that is still hobbling the world’s second-largest economy.

High Court Judge Linda Chan issued the order on Monday after the developer failed to come up with a restructuring plan to satisfy international creditors despite lengthy negotiations.

“It would be a situation where the court says enough is enough,” Chan said. “I consider that it is appropriate for the court to make a winding-up order against the company, and I so order.”

The decision is set to test the reach of Hong Kong courts in the Chinese mainland, where foreign claims are widely seen to hold little sway and the property slowdown has become one of Beijing’s biggest political challenges.

While Evergrande is listed in Hong Kong, almost all of its assets and the vast majority of its more than $300bn in liabilities are in China. Authorities have so far prioritised the completion of unfinished projects by developers.

The judge’s order will allow a liquidator to attempt to take control of Evergrande’s assets outside China, including Hong Kong-listed subsidiaries that were part of the failed restructuring negotiations.

It could also trigger further lawsuits stemming from the billions of dollars of losses related to the company’s collapse.

Trading in the Hong Kong-listed shares of Evergrande and two of its subsidiaries was halted after the ruling.

Speaking after the hearing Fergus Saurin, a partner at law firm Kirkland and Ellis, which represents a key group of Evergrande creditors, said: “We are not surprised by the outcome. It’s a product of the company failing to engage with [us].

“There has been a history of last-minute engagement which has gone nowhere. And in the circumstances, the company only has itself to blame for being wound up.”

In theory, the ruling could pave the way for liquidators to attempt to seize control of some Evergrande assets in mainland China, since Hong Kong has a mutual recognition agreement on insolvency and restructuring that applies in some parts of China.

However, it is not clear how far mainland courts will accept the Hong Kong winding-up order. Asked about the issue, Saurin declined to comment.

Shortly after the court order, Chinese media reported that Evergrande chief Shawn Siu responded that the company would “do everything possible” to ensure the continued delivery of property development projects in China, adding that the operation of its onshore and offshore subsidiaries would “remain unaffected” as the court order was based in Hong Kong.

Siu was also cited saying the court decision was “regrettable”.

Evergrande did not immediately respond to a request for comment from the Financial Times.

Brock Silvers, chief investment officer of Hong Kong private equity group Kaiyuan Capital, said in a written comment: “Offshore creditors may lack good alternatives, but a wind-up order from the Hong Kong court today would be the beginning of a multiyear, very costly process ultimately unlikely to yield significant recoveries.”

Before the trading halt and following the order, shares in Evergrande fell more than 20 per cent to HK$0.16, while outstanding dollar bonds issued by the developer traded at deeply distressed levels, with one bond maturing in 2025 trading at less than two cents on the dollar.

A previous deal between Evergrande and international investors fell apart in September after Chinese authorities failed to grant some regulatory approvals. Hui Ka Yan, Evergrande’s chair, was placed under “mandatory measures” days later on suspicion of “illegal crimes”, authorities said at the time.

The winding-up lawsuit was filed in 2022 by offshore creditor Top Shine Global, which said Evergrande had failed to honour HK$863mn (US$110mn) worth of claims.

The decision could have implications for other developers still locked in protracted restructuring negotiations with offshore creditors. Jiayuan, another Chinese developer, received a winding-up order from the same judge last year.

>>> Stoxx 600 Pre-Market Indications

  • Equinor (DNQ TH) +2%
  • Zealand Pharma (22Z TH) +1.9%
  • BE Semiconductor (BSI TH) +1.4%
  • Vodafone (VODI TH) +1.3%
    • European Mobile Front-Book Pricing in Downtrend With Few Defying
  • OMV (OMV TH) +1.2%
  • Leonardo (FMNB TH) +1.2%
  • Grifols (OZTA TH) +1.2%
  • Intesa Sanpaolo (IES TH) +1%
  • Qiagen (QIA TH) -1.1%
  • Prosus (1TY TH) -1.3%
  • Delivery Hero (DHER TH) -1.5%
    • *WDH/CITIGROUP LOWERS ITS TARGET FOR DELIVERY HERO TO 38 (39) EUR - ‘BUY’= APA
  • Merck KGaA (MRK TH) -1.5%
  • CaixaBank (48CA TH) -2.7%
  • Wacker Chemie (WCH TH) -2.9%
    • Wacker Chemie Prelim FY Ebitda EU824M
  • STMicroelectronics (SGM TH) -3.1%
  • Bayer (BAYN TH) -4.6%
    • Bayer’s Litigation Costs May See Lower Dividend: Morgan Stanley
  • Philips (PHI1 TH) -5.8%
    • Philips Halts Sale of Sleep Apnea Gear in US After FDA Deal (1)
  • Ryanair (RY4C TH) -5.9%
    • *RYANAIR SEES FY PROFIT €1.85B TO €1.95B, SAW €1.85B TO €2.05B

>>> TradeGate Pre-Market Indications

DAX:
  • Rheinmetall (RHM TH) +0.5%
  • Daimler Truck (DTG TH) -0.8%
  • Merck KGaA (MRK TH) -1.2%
  • Bayer (BAYN TH) -3.9%
    • Bayer’s Litigation Costs May See Lower Dividend: Morgan Stanley
MDAX:
  • Hensoldt (HAG TH) +3.6%
    • Hensoldt Raised to Buy at Citi; PT 37.70 euros
  • Encavis (ECV TH) -1.1%
  • Wacker Chemie (WCH TH) -1.5%
    • Wacker Chemie Prelim FY Ebitda EU824M
  • Delivery Hero (DHER TH) -1.5%
    • *WDH/CITIGROUP LOWERS ITS TARGET FOR DELIVERY HERO TO 38 (39) EUR - ‘BUY’= APA
  • Aroundtown (AT1 TH) -1.7%
  • Stroeer (SAX TH) -2.6%
    • Stroeer Cut to Equal-Weight at Barclays; PT 60 euros
SDAX:
  • ProSieben (PSM TH) +3.9%
    • ProSieben Raised to Overweight at Barclays; PT 8 euros
  • Metro (B4B TH) +2%
  • PVA TePla (TPE TH) +1.5%
  • Heidelberger Druck (HDD TH) +1.4%
  • Energiekontor (EKT TH) -1.6%
  • MorphoSys (MOR TH) -2.2%
  • DWS (DWS TH) -5.7%

>>> What to look at today - 28th of January 2024

Stocks in Asia started the week broadly on a positive note after China’s latest measures to bolster its equity market injected optimism. Energy shares were boosted by higher oil prices.  China’s securities regulator said on the weekend it will halt the lending of certain shares for short selling from Monday. The latest steps add to measures aimed at arresting a slide in the nation’s stocks which has seen the MSCI China Index tumble about 60% from a February 2021 peak. Mainland China equities failed to match gains in Hong Kong peers, amid concern over a proposal requiring US cloud firms to reveal foreign clients developing AI applications. The proposal — scheduled for release Monday — risks adding to tensions between Washington and Beijing after some US lawmakers last week proposed legislation targeting Chinese biotech companies.  Property shares earlier received a tailwind after the southern city of Guangzhou eased home-buying restrictions. However, optimism started to fade following a Hong Kong court’s order to liquidate China Evergrande Group. A Bloomberg Intelligence gauge of Chinese real estate developers was down 1% in afternoon trading after climbing as much as 3.8% earlier. Europe and US stock futures edged lower as investors weighed risks from the Middle East conflicts at the start of a busy week for the global policy outlook. Brent and West Texas Intermediate crude gained for a fourth day, rising to their highest levels since November in intraday trading. The US said Iranian-backed militants killed three service members, with US President Joe Biden pledging to retaliate. Oil climbed on Friday after Houthi rebels attacked a vessel carrying Russian fuel. The Australian and New Zealand dollars outperformed their Group-of-10 peers on higher commodity prices and as China’s stock-market support measures boosted investor sentiment. The US dollar and Treasuries were both little changed in Asia. Mixed US economic Friday data spurred concerns the Federal Reserve will signal patience about the pace of interest-rate cuts when it announces its next policy decision on Wednesday.  This week also brings a slew of key data, from European GDP on Tuesday, to China PMI and Australian inflation on Wednesday, then European inflation and a Bank of England policy decision on Thursday. Big tech companies such as Microsoft Corp. and Apple Inc. will shed more light on the current earnings season when they report results.

Nikkei +0.77% Hang Seng +0.90% CSI -0.15% Shanghai -0.14% Shenzen -1.53%

Eur$ 1.0847 CNH 7.1915 CNY 7.1812 JPY 147.90 GBP 1.2709 CHF 0.8635 RUB 89.8675 TRY 30.35 WTI$ 78.28 +0.35% Gold 2,029 +0.50% BTC 42,165 +0.46% ETH 2,267 +0.19%

S&P -0.04% Nasdaq -0.09% EuroStoxx -0.13% FTSE -0.08% Dax -0.26% SMI +0.13%

Macro :
- Trafigura Oil Tanker on Fire After Houthi Strike Near Yemen
- Biden Expected to Announce Billions in Chip Subsidies, WSJ Says
- SPAIN IN TALKS TO REDUCE TAX TO ENERGY COMPANIES: EXPANSION
- European REIT Share Discounts May Narrow as Short Sellers Flee

Keep an eye on :
- APPS SM : I Squared, TDR Plan to Increase Offer to Buy Applus: Expansion
- MT NA : Rome must provide green funding to ArcelorMittal plant, industry chief says
- BAYN GY : Bayer’s Litigation Costs May See Lower Dividend: Morgan Stanley
- BA US : Airbus Hunts for Delivery Slots to Win Over Key Boeing Customer
- BP/ LN : Activist Bluebell Told BP to Scrap Clean Energy Pledges: FT
- ALCAR FP : Carmat Completes Capital Increase for Gross Amount of €16.5M
- DYN US : Dyne Is Said to Explore Options Amid Takeover Interest
- ETL FP : Eutelsat Cuts FY Guidance, Suspends Next Year’s Targets
- 333 HK : Hong Kong court orders property firm China Evergrande to liquidate after plan for $300B debt fails
- GALP PL : Galp 4Q Refining Margin Misses Estimates
- GRF SM : Grifols Files Suit Against Gotham; Seeks Monetary Relief
- HOLN SW : Holcim to List North America Unit Next Year, Names New CEO
- INRN SW : Interroll FY Sales Misses Estimates
- BAER SW : Julius Baer to Announce Benko-Related Write-Off, SoZ reports
- KRN GY : Krones Close to Sign Agreement to Buy Swiss Netstal
- LMT US : State Department Approves Possible $8.6B Military Sale to Greece
- NWG LN : UK Government Asks City Firms for NatWest Share Sale Proposals
- PHIA NA : Philips Halts Sale of Sleep Apnea Devices in US After FDA Deal
- PKTM AV : Pierer Mobility Prelim FY Revenue EU2.66B
- PRX NA : Blackstone, Prosus Object to Aakash Debt-to-Equity Plan: Mint
- RYA ID : Ryanair Sees FY Profit After Tax EU1.85B to EU1.95B (1)
- SRS IM : Trafigura Lowers Stake in Italian Oil Refiner Saras to 9.6%
- SMCP FP : SMCP Cuts FY Adjusted Ebit Margin Forecast
- STM GY : Stabilus 1Q Adjusted Ebit Misses Estimates
- SDRY LN : Superdry Explores Restructuring Amid Widening Losses, Sky Says
- WCH GY : Wacker Chemie Prelim FY Ebitda EU824M
- WDC US : Kioxia Seeks to Revive Merger Talks with Western Digital-Media

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 28th of January 2024

>>> Up
* American Express PT Raised to $230 from $200 at Argus
* Enagas Raised to Hold at Mirabaud Securities; PT 19.60 euros
* GB Group Raised to Add at Peel Hunt
* Hensoldt Raised to Buy at Citi; PT 37.70 euros
* IMI Raised to Buy at Berenberg
* Intertek Raised to Buy at Jefferies; PT 5,300 pence
* Lonza Raised to Sector Perform at RBC; PT 430 Swiss francs
* ProSieben Raised to Overweight at Barclays; PT 8 euros
* Toivo Group Raised to Accumulate at Inderes; PT 1.25 euros
* Valeo Raised to Buy at HSBC; PT 15.50 euros

>>> Down
* Azimut Cut to Equal-Weight at Barclays; PT 27.10 euros
* Elisa Cut to Hold at ABG; PT 48 euros
* Elisa Cut to Reduce at Inderes; PT 47 euros
* Equals Group PLC Cut to Hold at Peel Hunt
* Gjensidige Downgraded to Hold at Jefferies on Margin Weakness
* Groupe LDLC Cut to Add at Gilbert Dupont; PT 21 euros
* Kingfisher Cut to Sector Perform at RBC; PT 235 pence
* LVMH Cut to Hold at SBG Securities; PT 855 euros
* Musti Group Cut to Hold at SEB Equities; PT 26.10 euros
* Naturgy Cut to Sell at Mirabaud Securities; PT 27.80 euros
* Schroders Cut to Underperform at BNPP Exane; PT 375 pence
* Snam Cut to Sector Perform at RBC; PT 5.40 euros
* Snam Cut to Neutral at Grupo Santander; PT 5.10 euros
* Stora Enso Cut to Sell at Inderes; PT 10.50 euros
* Stroeer Cut to Equal-Weight at Barclays; PT 60 euros
* Tesla PT Cut to $286 from $316 at Argus
* Vitec Software Group Cut to Hold at ABG; PT 575 kronor
* Wise Cut to Hold at Peel Hunt

>>> Initiation
* Inter Parfums Rated New Buy at Baptista Research; PT $171.30
* Landi Renzo Reinstated Neutral at Mediobanca SpA; PT 1.42 euros
* Marriott Vacations Rated New Hold at Baptista Research
* Sogefi Reinstated Neutral at Mediobanca SpA; PT 3.85 euros
* Yelp Rated New Hold at Baptista Research; PT $49.50

>>> Call
* European REIT Share Discounts May Narrow as Short Sellers Flee
* Holcim US Spinoff Plan May Face Shareholder Pushback: Jefferies
* Kingfisher Cut to Sector Perform at RBC on Near-Term Caution
* Novozymes Upgraded at Jefferies Ahead of Chr Hansen Merger

>>> S&P may downgrade Israel's sovereign credit rating if war with Hamaz expands

S&P may downgrade Israel's sovereign credit rating if war with Hamaz expands beyond Gaza - S&P EMEA Director
- "The negative outlook on the ratings implies that we currently see at least a one-in-three chance of a downgrade over the next one to two years"
- "We could also lower the ratings if the impact of the conflict on Israel's economic growth, fiscal position, and balance of payments proves more significant than we currently project"