>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 12th of August 2024 V2(+)

>>> Up
* Atlantic Lithium Raised to Outperform at Macquarie; PT 20 pence
* Beazley PT Raised to 1,025 pence from 1,000 pence at RBC
* Bellway Raised to Add at Peel Hunt; PT 3,020 pence
* BE Semiconductor Raised to Buy at Stifel; PT 140 euros
* Bittium Raised to Accumulate at Inderes; PT 8 euros
* Diageo Raised to Sector Perform at RBC; PT 2,400 pence
* Hargreaves Lansdown Raised to Neutral From Sell by Citi, PT raised from 700p to 1,100p
* Lundin Gold Raised to Buy at Pareto Securities; PT C$28.70
* Puma Raised to Buy at Baader Helvea; PT 45 euros
* Rheinmetall Raised to Buy at M.M. Warburg; PT 600 euros (+)

>>> Down
* Grenke Cut to Neutral at Oddo BHF; PT 27.30 euros
* Hilton Grand Vacations Cut to Neutral at JPMorgan; PT $36
* JD Sports Cut to Sell at Deutsche Bank; PT 110 pence (+)
* Pihlajalinna Cut to Accumulate at Inderes; PT 11 euros

>>> Initiation
* Aoti Rated New Buy at Peel Hunt; PT 169 pence
* Baltic Classifieds Group Rated New Hold at Wood & Company
* Cargotec Rated New Neutral at BNPP Exane; PT 48 euros (+)
* Conagra Rated New Buy at Goldman; PT $36 (+)
* General Mills Rated New Buy at Goldman; PT $76 (+)
* Hershey Rated New Sell at Goldman; PT $185 (+)
* Kalmar Rated New Outperform at BNPP Exane; PT 33 euros (+)
* Kellanova Rated New Neutral at Goldman; PT $75 (+)
* Kraft Heinz Rated New Sell at Goldman; PT $34 (+)
* Mondelez Rated New Buy at Goldman; PT $80 (+)

>>> Call
* Bellway Raised to Add at Peel Hunt After Strong End to Year
* Diageo Has Opportunity to Reset Expectations, RBC Upgrades
* Hannover Re Beats, Jefferies Says Guidance Likely to Be Exceeded (+)
* JD Sports Cut to Sell at Deutsche Bank on ‘Unwarranted’ Premium (+)
* Thyssenkrupp’s Steel Business Plans Lack Clarity: Morgan Stanley (+)

>>> Exor : Commences second €125M tranche of previously announced €250M share bu

Commences second €125M tranche of previously announced €250M share buyback
- Company continues share buyback program, targeting up to €250M of ordinary shares to reduce share capital.
- Second tranche of up to €125M starts 12 August 2024, expected completion by November 2024.
- Follows first tranche of €125M completed on 1 July 2024.
- Buyback will comply with Market Abuse Regulation 596/2014 and related EU rules, executed under a discretionary agreement with a financial institution.
- Buyback authorized by shareholders on 31 May 2023, valid until 30 November 2024.

>>> Stoxx 600 Pre-Market Indications

  • Hannover Re (HNR1 TH) +3.7%
    • Hannover Re 2Q Net Investment Income Beats Estimates
  • Frontline PLC (HF6 TH) +1.9%
  • BE Semiconductor (BSI TH) +1.6%
    • BE Semiconductor Raised to Buy at Stifel; PT 140 euros
  • Rio Tinto (RIO1 TH) +1.6%
  • Kongsberg (KOZ TH) +1.5%
  • ASML (ASME TH) +1.2%
  • STMicroelectronics (SGM TH) +1.1%
  • Siemens Energy (ENR TH) +1.1%
  • Adyen (1N8 TH) +1%
  • Freenet (FNTN TH) +1%
  • NIBE Industrier (NJB TH) -0.8%
    • NIBE’s Profit Likely Fell on Weak Heat Pump Sales: 2Q Preview
  • JDE Peet’s (JDE TH) -1%
    • JDE Peet’s Interim CEO and Chairman Vandevelde Steps Down Today
  • Veolia (VVD TH) -1%
  • Vodafone (VODI TH) -1.1%

>>> TradeGate Pre-Market Indications

DAX:
  • Hannover Re (HNR1 TH) +3.8%
    • Hannover Re 2Q Net Investment Income Beats Estimates
  • Siemens Energy (ENR TH) +1.1%
  • Porsche (P911 TH) +1%
  • BMW (BMW TH) +1%
  • RWE (RWE TH) +0.8%
MDAX:
  • RTL (RRTL TH) +1.6%
  • Jungheinrich (JUN3 TH) +1.4%
  • TUI (TUI1 TH) +1.2%
  • HelloFresh (HFG TH) +1.1%
  • Evotec SE (EVT TH) +1.1%
SDAX:
  • GFT (GFT TH) +3.8%
  • Schaeffler (SHA TH) +3.1%
  • Deutsche PBB (PBB TH) +1.7%
  • Kontron (KTN TH) +1.7%
  • Ionos (IOS TH) +1.7%
  • Borussia Dortmund (BVB TH) -1%
  • Ceconomy (CEC TH) -1.2%
  • Medios (ILM1 TH) -1.2%
  • Grenke (GLJ TH) -1.9%
    • Grenke Cut to Neutral at Oddo BHF; PT 27.30 euros

WWD : A Flurry of Investments Elevate the Status of Fifth Avenue as the Ritzy Th

A Flurry of Investments Elevate the Status of Fifth Avenue as the Ritzy Thoroughfare Turns 200
The avenue has experienced major retail developments and property acquisitions at lavish prices by luxury conglomerates and no longer seems blighted by vacant storefronts.

Fifth Avenue is getting ready to mark its bicentennial in November, and there’s plenty more than a milestone to celebrate.

The ritzy, internationally renowned thoroughfare, which commands the world’s highest commercial rents, has undergone an unprecedented degree of investment, retail development and transformation in Midtown for the past two years, and it all seemed to conspicuously take off around the August 2023 opening of the redesigned Tiffany flagship with its completely transformed interior.

The Tiffany metamorphosis, which some sources pegged at $250 million to $350 million, while other sources estimate that cost was as high as $600 million to $800 million, including the art, was followed by a flurry of property acquisitions at lavish prices by luxury conglomerates. Prada bought 724 Fifth Avenue, site of its New York flagship, and the building next door where Abercrombie & Fitch formerly operated, for $835 million. Kering, owner of Gucci, Balenciaga, Bottega Veneta and Alexander McQueen, bought the 115,000-square-foot retail space at 715–717 Fifth Avenue for $963 million, considered the most expensive high street retail deal in the U.S. Armani will vacate the site and move to the designer’s mixed-used project under construction and opening in October at 760 Madison Avenue, and Dolce & Gabbana will also vacate the site and relocate to 695 Madison Avenue.

“New York City’s Plaza District is the only place on Earth where residential, retail, office and hospitality — at the highest end — are all located,” claimed Will Silverman, managing director at Eastdil Secured, a real estate investment bank that advised the sellers in Prada’s and Kering’s property purchases on Fifth Avenue. “There is no other city on Earth where these premium uses are all in the same place,” said Silverman. “That creates a unique foot traffic experience,” to the Plaza District, which runs from 50th to 58th Streets, west to Seventh Avenue and east to Third Avenue. “Anytime someone raises the bar on the Fifth Avenue experience, the customer has been there to meet it.”

“It’s just been one deal after another on Fifth Avenue,” said Robert Siegel, chief executive officer, Metropole Realty Advisors Inc. “Billions and billions are being poured in. About two years from now, Fifth Avenue will be restored as the most iconic retail destination in the world for the ultra-affluent. If you remember when Warner Brothers opened its store on 57th and Fifth (in 1993) where Louis Vuitton is now, everybody said luxury on the avenue is dead. But it’s all been coming back again.” Siegel said that retail availability on Fifth in Midtown is becoming scarce.

Once blighted by too many empty storefronts, the vacancy rate on Fifth Avenue Midtown has dropped significantly. On the luxury corridor from 49th to 60th streets, the availability rate — vacant space, space available for sublease, and space soon to become available —stood at 17.4 percent at the end of the first quarter this year, a 10.1 percent decrease from five years ago when availability peaked at 27.5 percent, according to Cushman & Wakefield.

“The intersection of Fifth Avenue and 57th Street is arguably the most important intersection in North America,” claimed Charlie Koniver, a founder and principal in Odyssey Partners real estate which specializes in high streets and represented Brookfield in leasing to Chanel and Chopard in the Crown Building. “Anything in and around that area is very important to luxury brands. They know the traffic is there. They know the tourism is there and they know the daytime population is going to support the highest level of productivity.”

A Unique Moment in Time
Aside from the traffic, brands are drawn to “the prominence of Fifth Avenue facades,” Koniver said. “There’s height, stature, and an artistic expression that brands look for.”

With the recent string of multimillion-dollar Fifth Avenue property deals, “It’s a very unique moment in time,” Koniver said. “Heritage brands in the luxury world really find it important to maintain a long-term commitment,” on heritage streets. “But this is not the only time brands have done this. Tiffany did own its building prior to LVMH’s acquisition of Tiffany, and LVMH has owned its property where LV is for a very long time.”

Among the major projects in the works or soon to happen on Fifth Avenue in Midtown:

LVMH will demolish its Louis Vuitton flagship on the northeast corner of 57th Street, and build a tower with a new LV flagship at an estimated cost of $500 million. LVMH, according to media reports, is said to be seeking a site for a Cheval Blanc hotel and has eyed 745 Fifth Avenue, housing the Bergdorf Goodman men’s store.
Rolex at 665 Fifth Avenue is redeveloping its U.S. flagship and office headquarters, creating a 28-story structure with nearly 200,000 square feet of office and retail space.
A tower anchored by an 80,000-square-foot Ikea store is in the planning phase for 570 Fifth Avenue between West 46th and 47th streets. As part of Ikea parent company Ingka Investments’ strategy to expand Ikea’s presence in urban areas, the company will have a one-third stake in the 1-million-square-foot project, which is slated to open in 2028.
The Crown family, owner of the Little Nell Hotel in Aspen and a major owner of Rockefeller Center, will invest $185 million to open a 130-room hotel at 10 Rockefeller Plaza, right off Fifth Avenue.
Also in the works, a plan to redesign Fifth Avenue itself.

“We want to make Fifth Avenue more inviting for New Yorkers and tourists. Fifth Avenue is very crowded on the holidays. It becomes difficult to walk the streets,” said Madelyn Wils, interim president of the Fifth Avenue Association, a business improvement district covering 46th Street to 61st Street along Fifth Avenue, as well as 57th Street from Madison Avenue to Sixth Avenue.

“When Fifth Avenue was first created 200 years ago, it was built with very wide sidewalks. In 1915, however, construction was finished on making the roadbed wider for cars, narrowing the sidewalks,” Wils explained. “With our plan, we want to give people a lot more space for walking, cycling, sightseeing and window shopping — like a boulevard from Bryant Park to Central Park.”

Wils said she expects the plans for the redesign project to be completed sometime in the fall. Besides widening the sidewalks, the plan could encompass landscaping and artwork. There could also be a furtherance of vehicle-free days on Fifth Avenue. Last year, on Dec. 3, 10, and 17, Fifth Avenue from 48th Street to 59th Street was closed to vehicle traffic from noon to 6 p.m. For developing the redesign of Fifth, the association is working with the Central Park Conservancy, Bryant Park, the city’s Economic Development Corp., and landscape architects.

Among the plans for the avenue’s bicentennial celebration, several luxury flagships and hotels will create special activations, menus, and merchandise; the Fifth Avenue Association will provide tours examining the avenue’s rich history and role in holidays, film and culture, and also planning a car-free birthday party in early December. The sidewalks from 46th to 61st streets will be transformed with decor and photo opportunities, while the vehicle-free streets holiday program will return with “curated” programming, food and beverage, and musical performances organized by retailers. The celebration will carry into 2025.

Ferragamo and Cartier on Fifth Avenue.
Luxury appeal: Ferragamo and Cartier on Fifth Avenue. Lexie Moreland/WWD
Hot Dogs & Luxury
Fifth Avenue isn’t immune to what ails many parts of New York City. Homelessness and sellers of illegal and counterfeit merchandise are evident. “The security issue is a palpable thing in New York. You do have to be extra mindful,” said Koniver. “The sale of fake luxury goods is a real issue, but vendors like those selling hot dogs is part of the cultural fabric of New York City, but they do inhibit visibility and take away from the luxury experience.”

Retailers along the avenue have been trying to get the city to crack down on sellers that are not allowed on Fifth except for Sundays. “We are hoping that with this plan, we will be able to give them a spot on the side streets that will be more intentional,” said Wils.

Yet quality-of-life issues haven’t blunted the influx of luxury as well as lower-priced stores. It’s been fueled by the post-pandemic return to brick-and-mortar shopping, landlords re-evaluating rents, and property sales reflecting conglomerates intent on preserving a future on the avenue. Over the past two years, openings include the Tag Heuer flagship at 645 Fifth Avenue; Swarovski’s first New York flagship at 680 Fifth Avenue; and Chopard, the Aman New York hotel, and Chanel’s watch and fine jewelry boutique all in the Crown Building at 730 Fifth Avenue.

Billions and billions are being poured in. About two years from now, Fifth Avenue will be restored as the most iconic retail destination in the world for the ultra-affluent. If you remember when Warner Brothers opened its store on 57th and Fifth (in 1993) where Louis Vuitton is now, everybody said luxury on the avenue is dead. But it’s all been coming back again.

Robert Siegel, CEO, Metropole Realty Advisors Inc.
Moncler, retail sources said, is expected to take space in the GM building, on Fifth Avenue between 58th and 59th streets where Under Armour once planned to open but ran into financial difficulties. A lease is said to be in the works. Moncler did not respond to inquiries on the matter.

For more of a general audience appeal, Mango opened a flagship at 711 Fifth by subletting the former Ralph Lauren space; Abercrombie relocated with its updated format to the former Hollister site at 668 Fifth Avenue replacing the A&F store a few blocks north. And Hoka athletic footwear opened at 579 Fifth capping eight years of footwear openings along the avenue including Nike, Puma and Adidas.

Others strengthening their commitments on Fifth include Bulgari, which extended its lease. Hublot and Tag Heuer reinvested in Fifth Avenue through relocations between 51st and 52nd Street. Kim Kardashian’s shapewear brand Skims leased 20,000 square feet at 647 Fifth for a store that is expected to open next year.

But two prime sites have remained vacant for years — the former Henri Bendel flagship at 712 Fifth Avenue, and the former Tommy Hilfiger store at 681 Fifth Avenue. Metropole’s Siegel is trying to lease the former Hilfiger space which he says has 22,000 square feet with 42 feet of frontage. The former Henri Bendel site at 712 Fifth Avenue is owned by the Paramount Group real estate investment trust. Bendel’s closed in January 2019, and Harry Winston is expanding into some of the space. It’s a beautiful building with multiple levels and nooks and crannies with potential for a food hall, though retailers have noted it’s a challenging configuration for fashion merchandising.

Securing a Future
Rents in the upper 50s on Fifth are tracking at $2,500 to $3,000 a foot; in the lower 50s it’s closer to around $2,000 a foot. At one time, the corner of 57th and Fifth peaked at $5,000 a foot. Luxury brands take the view that if they have the money, and plan to occupy a Fifth Avenue location for the next few decades or longer, it pays to buy the property. They gain a salable asset that likely rises in value over time and can be leveraged if needed. In late November, Cushman & Wakefield reported that Fifth Avenue retained its spot as the world’s most expensive shopping street with average rents of $2,000 a square foot, followed by Tsim Sha Tsui in Hong Kong and Via Montenapoleone in Milan.

“The number-one thing that’s happened on Fifth in the last year is investments from luxury users, but it’s now also a mass market story with the Ikea investment,” said Silverman, of Eastdil Secured. “Whether it’s Prada, Kering or Ikea, it’s all companies with spectacular access to information and intelligence,” enabling them to realize and tap into the area’s potential. “It’s the idea of wanting and making sure you secure a location for eternity. That’s becoming increasingly important.”

“Stores have to be more creative about the experiences they provide so when you come in, it’s an event that’s interesting, an art exhibit, or Champagne,” said Wils. “You have to provide personal attention, more things to look at and do. Tiffany is a good example of that. On every floor there is an enormous amount of artwork and every floor is different. Tiffany understands how to draw people in. But most of the retailers at this point know they have to do something, to go that extra mile. And stores have changed, particularly high-end luxury stores.”

“When you examine the retailing on Fifth Avenue from 42nd Street to 59th Street, it’s really broken into three different segments,” observed Gene Spiegelman, vice chairman and principal at Ripco Real Estate. Forty-second to 48th streets is a section more populated by mass merchants and still some local shops. Forty-eighth to 53rd streets, dominated by Rockefeller Center, St. Patrick’s Cathedral and Saks Fifth Avenue, is very tourist-oriented with several contemporary and mass-appeal stores such as Lego, Uniqlo, Zara, Cole Haan and Michael Kors. And from 54th to 59th streets it’s much more luxury retail and hotels, with The Peninsula, the St. Regis, Swarovski just opened at 680 Fifth, Chanel and Chopard recently opened, Rolex under construction, and the new Tiffany. Each of these segments have seen recovery.

“Another interesting storyline revolves around the future of Saks Fifth Avenue and Bergdorf Goodman,” Spiegelman added, referencing Saks’ owner HBC reaching a deal last month to acquire the Neiman Marcus Group which owns Bergdorf’s, and HBC’s approximate $250 million investment to renovate and modernize the Saks flagship.

For the Saks-Neiman’s merger to go through, it must be approved by the government. A decision could take months. Along Fifth Avenue, Spiegelman noted, “There really are different retail storylines,” suggesting a unique retail narrative.

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 12th of August 2024

>>> Up
* Atlantic Lithium Raised to Outperform at Macquarie; PT 20 pence
* Beazley PT Raised to 1,025 pence from 1,000 pence at RBC
* Bellway Raised to Add at Peel Hunt; PT 3,020 pence
* BE Semiconductor Raised to Buy at Stifel; PT 140 euros
* Bittium Raised to Accumulate at Inderes; PT 8 euros
* Diageo Raised to Sector Perform at RBC; PT 2,400 pence
* Hargreaves Lansdown Raised to Neutral From Sell by Citi, PT raised from 700p to 1,100p
* Lundin Gold Raised to Buy at Pareto Securities; PT C$28.70
* Puma Raised to Buy at Baader Helvea; PT 45 euros

>>> Down
* Grenke Cut to Neutral at Oddo BHF; PT 27.30 euros
* Hilton Grand Vacations Cut to Neutral at JPMorgan; PT $36
* Pihlajalinna Cut to Accumulate at Inderes; PT 11 euros

>>> Initiation
* Aoti Rated New Buy at Peel Hunt; PT 169 pence
* Baltic Classifieds Group Rated New Hold at Wood & Company

>>> Call
* Bellway Raised to Add at Peel Hunt After Strong End to Year
* Diageo Has Opportunity to Reset Expectations, RBC Upgrades

>>> What to look at today - 12th of August 2024

Shares in Asia climbed for a second session as markets shifted focus to key US data prints this week for further insight into the health of the world’s biggest economy.  A gauge of stocks for the region rose Monday, following on from Friday’s 1.5% gain. Benchmarks in Australia and South Korea advanced, while a jump in the shares of Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. on rising revenue helped lift the index in Taipei. Hong Kong stocks were little changed while those on the Chinese mainland fluctuated. Japanese markets were closed for a holiday. A semblance of calm returned after markets were ravaged early last week from fears the Federal Reserve is waiting too long to cut interest rates. The Cboe Volatility Index - Wall Street’s fear gauge - has reversed off its highest since the early days of the Covid-19 pandemic. The yen was weaker against the greenback on Monday. Elsewhere in Asia, traders will be focused on China’s retail sales and industrial production data this week to gauge whether the nation’s economy is finding traction.  China is still battling bond market speculators, with state banks selling debt to buoy yields. Yields on the nation’s 10-year benchmark bond headed for their biggest one-day gain since February on a closing basis. The People’s Bank of China said in a quarterly monetary policy report published Friday that wealth management products based on bonds were exposed to interest-rate risk and could lead to losses. New Zealand’s central bank will also decide on policy this week, with the economy showing signs of entering its third recession in less than two years. Australian and New Zealand government bonds were little changed on Monday. Treasuries cash trading was shut in Asia due to the holiday in Tokyo.  The yen surged last week as traders slashed bearish bets following the BOJ’s rate hike, forcing a negative feedback loop as investors dumped carry trades that ricocheted across markets, before ending last week little changed. The central bank won’t be able to raise rates again this year, given the market turmoil that followed its recent hike, according to a former board member. The BOJ and Fed are the biggest variables to drive trading, said Taosha Wang, a portfolio manager at Fil Asia Holdings Pte Ltd. For the US, “I don’t think the market has agreed — either a recession, which we think is excessive, or a soft landing,” she told Bloomberg Television’s Yvonne Man and David Ingles on Monday.  A tumultuous week for global bond markets headed toward calm on Friday as angst over the potential US economic downturn — which spurred a Treasury rally and brief market meltdown — faded.   The US consumer price index on Wednesday is expected to have risen 0.2% from June for both the headline figure and the so-called core gauge that excludes food and energy. The modest moves, however, may not be enough to derail the Fed from a widely anticipated interest-rate cut next month. At the weekend, Fed Governor Michelle Bowman said she still sees upside risks for inflation and continued strength in the labor market, signaling she may not be ready to support an interest-rate decrease when US central bankers next meet in September. Money markets have fully priced a rate cut in September and about 100 basis points of easing for the year, according to swaps data compiled by Bloomberg.   In commodities, oil rose Monday, extending a 4.5% gain last week. Some of the top US oil refiners are throttling back operations at their facilities this quarter, adding to concerns that a global glut of crude is forming. Gold traded lower.

Nikkei +0.56% Hang Seng +0.02% CSI -0.16% Shanghai -0.15% Shenzen -0.39%

Eur$ 1.0917 CNH 7.1827 CNY 7.1803 JPY 147.09 GBP 1.2761 CHF 0.8662 RUB 88.6002 TRY 33.5283 WTI$ 77.11 +0.35% Gold 2,431 BTC 58,492 ETH 2,542

S&P +0.04% Nasdaq +0.14% EuroStoxx +0.53% FTSE +0.41% Dax +0.55% SMI +0.60%

Macro :
- Bonds Are Back as a Hedge After Failing Investors for Years
- FDA Rejects Use of Psychedelic Drug MDMA to Treat PTSD Patients
- CFTC Positioning Update: Massive Yen Short Covering
- Oil Refiners in US Slow Down, Stoking Global Crude Glut Worries
- SNB INSIGHT: Carry Trade Spillover to Franc Means September Cut

Keep an eye on :
- AAPL US : Apple iPhone 16 Is Stopgap Until Bigger Changes Arrive: Power On
- ARES US : Ares Said to Weigh Takeover of Partners-Backed Form Technologies
- ARYN SW : Aryzta 1H Revenue EU1.06B; New Credit Facility
- SPRY US : ARS Pharma Rises on FDA Approval for Neffy Allergy Spray
- AOF GY : Atoss Software SE 1H Ebit EU29.7M Vs. EU24.2M Y/y
- BYND US : Beyond Meat Shares Turn Negative After Mysterious 42% Surge
- BORR NO : Borr Drilling Prelim 2Q Oper Rev. About $272M, Est. $242.6M
- DIS US : Streaming Sports Platform Venu to Launch in August, FOS Reports
- EQT SS : Eutelsat in Talks With EQT For its Passive Ground Segment
- ETL FP : Eutelsat in Talks With EQT For its Passive Ground Segment
- HNR1 GY : Hannover Re 2Q Net Investment Income Beats Estimates
- HE US : Hawaiian Electric 2Q Loss per Share $11.74 Vs. EPS 50C Y/y
- HYQ GY : Hypoport 1H EPS EU0.81 Vs. Loss/Shr EU0.32 Y/y
- PCRX US : Pacira Bio Plunges After Court Finds Exparel Patent Invalid
- PGHN SW : Partners Group Is Said to Weigh Techem IPO Launch in September
- PGHN SW : Ares Said to Weigh Takeover of Partners-Backed Form Technologies
- PFV GY : Pfeiffer Vacuum Maintains FY Ebit Margin Forecast
- REP SM : Repsol Says Fire Extinguished at Peru’s La Pampilla Refinery
- SZG GY : Salzgitter 1H Pretax Profit EU11.5M
- SDZ SW : Sandoz Gets FDA Approval for Aflibercept Eye Drug Biosimilar
- SLBEN PL : Benfica Shares Jump to One-Year High After Investor Interest
- SBUX US : Starbucks Rises After Starboard Reported to Take Stake in Chain
- STLAM IM : Stellantis to Cut as Many as 2,450 Jobs at Michigan Truck Plant
- TALK LN : TalkTalk Set to Announce £400m Refinancing Deal Today: Sky
- TKA GY : WirtschaftsWoche: Thyssenkrupp CEO López attacks steel boss Osburg
- YPFD AR : YPF Moves to Sell Units as It Ramps Up Divestments in Shale Push

WSJ : Gold Fields to Buy Osisko Mining for $1.6 Billion

Gold Fields to Buy Osisko Mining for $1.6 Billion

Gold Fields GFI -3.60%decrease; red down pointing triangle is set to buy Osisko Mining for $1.57 billion, giving the South African company full control of the Windfall project in Canada.

Under the deal Gold fields is offering 4.90 Canadian dollars in cash for each Osisko share held. The price is a 67% premium to its closing price of 2.94 Canadian dollars on Friday.

“Over the past two years, beginning with our initial due diligence in 2022 and throughout our joint ownership of the Project since May 2023, we have developed a strong understanding of Windfall and its potential, and view it as the next long-life cornerstone asset in our portfolio,” Gold Fields Chief Executive Mike Fraser said Monday.

FT : Revolut backer Balderton Capital raises $1.3bn for European tech start-ups

Revolut backer Balderton Capital raises $1.3bn for European tech start-ups
VC funding points to capital returning to Europe as interest in region grows

Revolut backer Balderton Capital has raised $1.3bn in Europe’s largest ever new venture funds focused on start-ups in the region, as capital returns to private technology companies.

London-based Balderton, which has backed artificial intelligence start-up Wayve and Royal Match developer Dream Games, closed a $615mn early-stage fund and a $685mn fund for “growth” investing in more mature start-ups, reflecting “growing interest in European tech”, according to managing partner Bernard Liautaud.

Liautaud pointed to data from Invest Europe and Cambridge Associates that showed European venture capital funds had outperformed their North American peers over 10- and 15-year periods. “There is a much bigger list of large global leaders coming out of Europe and we have many in our portfolio,” Liautaud said.

The fundraise follows new capital for several of the region’s top VC firms this year, including Accel’s European arm, Index Ventures and Creandum.

The European venture capital industry has been more active than at any time before the boom year of 2021, when Balderton and many of its peers last raised capital. VC investment in the region rose 12 per cent in the second quarter year on year, according to Dealroom, which tracks private tech financings.

Balderton poured money into Revolut’s earliest funding rounds, becoming its largest investor. The fintech group this month launched an employee share sale at a $45bn valuation, making it Europe’s most valuable start-up.

“You can imagine how much that propels the fund,” Liautaud said. “To have a great track record is one where you have consistent performance and sometimes you have an outsized return.”

Unlike other large venture capital firms with roots in Europe, such as Index Ventures and Atomico, which also invest in US companies, Balderton exclusively backs European start-ups.

However, that means the 24-year-old firm has largely missed out on the latest wave of “foundational” AI start-ups based in Silicon Valley, such as OpenAI and Anthropic, which are investing huge sums to create the large language models that underpin chatbots such as ChatGPT.

Following large funding rounds for European AI start-ups Mistral, Wayve and Poolside AI, AI now accounts for 18 per cent of all European VC funding, more than doubling in the past decade, according to Dealroom.

But its analysts found that the top five global investors in generative AI are US-based, including Silicon Valley-based Andreessen Horowitz, Sequoia Capital and Lightspeed Venture Partners, which have all opened offices in London in the past few years.

Since 2019, US funding for generative AI companies had totalled $54bn, compared with $3bn for each of the next largest countries, China and the UK, Dealroom said. That data suggests European investors are being outgunned by their US peers in the biggest tech trend of the moment.


“We haven’t been convinced that [the underlying AI infrastructure] is necessarily the best place to get the best returns, because of the amount of capital required to be a great company,” Liautaud said. Investing vast sums to support the fast-evolving technology has become the domain of tech giants such as Microsoft, Google and Amazon.

That still left the “enormous” opportunity of AI applications built on top of that infrastructure, he added.

“The risk is that the applications are actually not going as fast as predicted in commercial terms,” Liautaud said. While many companies are trialling AI, few of those are leading to large long-term contracts for AI software companies.

“But the opportunity is that it actually goes very fast and it actually transforms every sector,” Liautaud said. “And that’s what we’re betting on.”

While the capital available for European start-ups has increased several times over in the past 15 years, the pace at which VCs have been able to realise those investments through initial public offerings has slowed drastically in the three years since Balderton’s last fundraising.

“The bar has gone up enormously because there have been disappointments in the past,” Liautaud said. “I think now, to go public, you basically have to be three times bigger than before.”

Companies that would have been able to IPO with $100mn in annualised revenues were now being told to wait a few more years until they reached $300mn to 400mn in sales, he added. In the meantime, however, mergers and acquisitions were picking up, with a series of smaller purchases of under $1bn.

“The IPO market will determine the fate of one of those huge hits,” said Suranga Chandratillake, a partner at Balderton who sits on Wayve’s board. “But a really important part of a consistent VC fund cycle is smaller exits.”