Le Figaro : Comment Anne Hidalgo a réussi à imposer son projet de zone à trafic

Comment Anne Hidalgo a réussi à imposer son projet de zone à trafic limité au cœur de Paris

RÉCIT - La maire de la capitale avait fait part durant la campagne des municipales en 2020 de sa volonté de «rendre le centre de Paris piéton». L’élue socialiste a fini par imposer son projet, non sans mal.

«Le centre de Paris devient une zone à trafic limité (ZTL)». Ce lundi 4 novembre, Anne Hidalgo n’a pas manqué de se féliciter sur ses réseaux sociaux. Après quatre années de dur labeur, la maire de la capitale tient enfin sa promesse de campagne de 2020 en limitant l’accès des véhicules au cœur de la capitale... Avec deux ans de retard, et au prix d’importantes concessions. Symbole de sa volonté politique de réduire la place de la voiture en ville, l’instauration de la ZTL lui a donné du fil à retordre. Et a provoqué, à l’échelle locale, des débats animés, ainsi qu’un bras de fer avec l’État et plusieurs maires d’arrondissements.

Les toutes premières traces de la ZTL apparaissent dans le programme de campagne d’Anne Hidalgo lors des municipales de 2020. Celle qui brigue un second mandat a un atout : la loi sur le nouveau statut de Paris, décidée sous François Hollande. Loin d’être anecdotique, cette réforme lui donne de nouveaux pouvoirs, notamment dans le domaine de la circulation. Cela lui permet d’imposer ses projets, comme celui, de rendre piéton le centre de la capitale. Une folie, aux yeux des oppositions, éberluées par cette nouvelle lubie anti-voitures.

Le projet émerge finalement un an plus tard, au printemps 2021. Son premier adjoint Emmanuel Grégoire et son adjoint chargé des mobilités David Belliard présentent alors officiellement le projet de ZTL et promettent un lancement au début de l’année suivante. Le centre de Paris «subit un trafic de transit particulièrement important» qu’il conviendrait de réguler, prêche l’élu écologiste, qui promeut le réseau de transports en commun dense au cœur de la ville. Une position qui n’a pas évolué depuis. «Il existe depuis déjà maintenant 120 ans un métro qui dessert la zone. Peut-être est-ce l’occasion de l’essayer ?», lance-t-il encore aujourd’hui, narquois, aux détracteurs du projet.

D’emblée, toutefois, l’ampleur du projet de la mairie fait grincer des dents. Son périmètre initial, qui comprend Paris Centre et toute la partie de la rive gauche située au nord du boulevard Saint-Germain, y compris l’Île de la Cité et l’Île Saint-Louis, pose problème. L’opposition - qui assure avoir découvert le projet dans la presse - s’insurge. Et les questions fusent, sans réponse précise : «À quoi doivent s’attendre les automobilistes ? Quels sont les dispositifs de contrôle ? Comment sera budgété le projet ?». Aurélien Véron, élu Changer Paris de Paris Centre, s’en souvient bien : «Je leur demande s’il y a une enquête publique et une étude d’impact, obligatoires pour mettre en place ce projet, et je n’obtiens aucune réponse à mes questions». De «l’amateurisme complet», déplore-t-il, décrivant une «mesure radicale et complexe» dont les conséquences «n’ont pas été réfléchies».

Maire (LR) du 6e arrondissement de la capitale, Jean-Pierre Lecoq explique qu’on lui avait d’abord présenté ce projet comme une zone apaisée, dans laquelle la circulation pourrait être limitée à 30 km/h. «L’objectif était d’intégrer dans cette zone dite “tranquille” tout le quartier situé entre le boulevard Saint-Germain et les quais de Seine, mais il n’était pas du tout question d’y contrôler les entrées et les sorties», se remémore-t-il. L’élu déchante rapidement, dès le début des réunions officielles, au lendemain du Covid. «Le projet a commencé à se durcir, et au bout de quelques mois. On m’expliquait que pour que la ZTL fonctionne, il faudrait mettre le boulevard Saint-Germain à double sens et interdire la circulation sur les quais hauts de la rive gauche entre l’Assemblée nationale et l’Institut du monde arabe. Ce n’était pas du tout ce qu’on m’avait raconté [...] C’est là où j’ai compris que la ZTL s’accompagnait de la création d’une sorte de nouvel anneau périphérique à l’intérieur de Paris», tempête-t-il.

Pour le maire du 6e, en poste depuis 30 ans, ce projet a notamment une visée électorale claire : «éminemment politique», il est le fruit d’un accord entre l’équipe d’Anne Hidalgo et les Écologistes, qui s’allient au second tour des municipales pour peser contre la droite. Pour autant, un «grand flou» demeure quant aux moyens de contrôle envisagés. «Du déploiement de policiers municipaux à la création de vignettes résidentielles... Toutes les idées ont germé», ironise Jean-Pierre Lecoq. Le projet continue néanmoins d’avancer et se précise durant l’année 2021. Une consultation citoyenne est lancée, et l’inquiétude des commerçants - déjà durement touchés par les grèves dans les transports, les manifestations des gilets jaunes, celles contre la réforme des retraites et le Covid - croît. Au point de réclamer le report de la mise en place de la ZTL «à l’horizon 2024», notamment afin d’échanger davantage avec la Ville de Paris.

Mi-février 2022, Emmanuel Grégoire annonce que la ZTL sera reportée «à début 2024, avant les Jeux olympiques». L’exécutif souhaite peaufiner les détails, alors qu’Anne Hidalgo est prise par sa campagne présidentielle. L’Hôtel de ville se donne surtout «plus de temps pour discuter avec la préfecture de police», comme le souligne alors David Belliard. Car le préfet de police de l’époque, Didier Lallement, avec qui la maire entretient des relations conflictuelles, freine des quatre fers. Dans une lettre rédigée le 17 février 2022, ce dernier rappelle que le projet de la ZTL parisienne «suppose une décision conjointe de la maire et du préfet». La Ville ne peut plus faire cavalier seul, alors que l’institution s’insurge de ne pas avoir été «saisie d’un dossier précis comportant les impacts de cette mesure sur les flux de véhicules et les reports de trafic tenant compte de l’ensemble des aménagements réalisés ou projetés». Pire, le préfet émet de «fortes réserves» sur le projet «tel qu’envisagé» et explique que ses «caractéristiques actuelles» risquent même «de créer des difficultés pour la circulation des services de secours et de police (...) et pourrait avoir un impact négatif pour l’activité économique de la capitale».

Quelques mois plus tard, en novembre, Anne Hidalgo reporte encore une fois la ZTL, cette fois-ci «après les Jeux olympiques». Elle met de l’eau dans son vin, et semble moins catégorique sur le périmètre du projet, qui reste «à définir». Le dialogue avec le nouveau préfet de police Laurent Nuñez, arrivé en juillet, semble bien plus fluide qu’avec son prédécesseur, mais les discussions pour parvenir à un accord n’en sont pas moins intenses. Car la question du périmètre pose toujours problème : la maire tient à garder la rive gauche dans son projet dont les aménagements selon elle «n’empêcheront pas» Laurent Nuñez «de continuer à mener sa mission de protection des Parisiens». Le préfet, quant à lui, s’inquiète de la bonne circulation des véhicules d’urgence et défend l’attractivité économique de la zone. Interrogée récemment à ce sujet, la préfecture de police de Paris se targue d’avoir obtenu gain de cause sur ces deux points : la rive gauche est retirée du projet et les modalités de la zone sont redéfinies avec les acteurs économiques. «Après plus de trois années d’échanges entre les services de la Ville et de la préfecture de police, le périmètre retenu est celui que nous avons proposé, c’est-à-dire une ZTL qui couvrira Paris Centre, hors quais hauts rive droite et hors îles», souligne l’institution. Avant d’ajouter que ces «nouveaux échanges avec la Ville de Paris ont permis d’aboutir à la garantie, notamment, que les autocars de tourisme ne feraient l’objet d’aucune restriction spécifique».

Un «long travail de négociation», reconnaît Emmanuel Grégoire, désormais député à l’Assemblée nationale. Et si l’élu socialiste a quitté la mairie, il défend toujours ardemment le projet. «Il ne faut pas tomber dans le piège de penser que la ZTL serait attentatoire à la circulation», plaide celui qui qualifie cette zone de «levier de transformation des habitudes», alors que la capitale est depuis trop longtemps «utilisée comme lieu de transit». Entre 350.000 à 550.000 véhicules y passeraient chaque jour, dont près de la moitié sans s’y arrêter, selon les chiffres de la Ville. Dans l’entourage de la maire, le lancement de cette ZTL est défini comme une réussite, à l’image de la fermeture des quais bas et de la rue de Rivoli à la circulation de transit. «Tout le monde disait “ça va être le chaos” mais ceux qui en bénéficient, ce sont surtout les piétons (...) On ne reviendra pas en arrière», assure-t-on.

Pour autant, le plus important reste à faire : définir les modalités de contrôle de la zone. Si la solution d’un «QR Code» semble être plébiscitée, il faudra encore définir précisément les justificatifs à présenter aux policiers municipaux. En attendant, les discussions se poursuivent à ce sujet et la Ville promet qu’aucune amende ne sera infligée pendant six mois, le temps de «faire un peu de pédagogie». «La ZTL, c’est de la communication, ce qui compte, c’est ce qu’il y a dedans», peste Aurélien Véron, persuadé que ce système «incite les automobilistes à tricher», «comme dans le Marais où tous les sens de circulation ont été repensés». Résultat selon lui : «il y a ceux qui connaissent et qui prennent les rues en sens interdit» et «ceux qui ont peur et qui contournent». Face à ce risque, les élus de la droite parisienne réclament un bilan chiffré dans les prochains mois, afin notamment de constater les conséquences de la ZTL sur les commerces. Le bras de fer est loin d’être terminé.

Le Figaro : Francis Fukuyama, Donald Trump et la fin suspendue de l’histoire

Francis Fukuyama, Donald Trump et la fin suspendue de l’histoire

ANALYSE - Dans une longue tribune au Financial Times, le célèbre politiste américain perçoit la réélection de Donald Trump comme l’entrée dans une «nouvelle ère» de «rejet décisif» du «libéralisme» dont il avait pourtant prophétisé le triomphe idéologique dès 1989.

La force de certains mots dépend parfois de celui qui les prononce. Ainsi, quand Francis Fukuyama, le penseur de «la fin de l’histoire», se fait derechef prophète en annonçant que la réélection de Donald Trump à la Maison-Blanche pourrait ouvrir une «ère nouvelle politique» de «rejet décisif» du «libéralisme», l’on ne peut que redoubler d’attention et de vigilance. Dans une longue tribune parue ce jeudi dans le Financial Times, le célèbre politiste américain semble vaciller sur ses propres fondements, sans le reconnaître expressément. Il y a 35 ans, à l’été 1989 - quelques mois avant la chute du mur de Berlin -, il prophétisait dans un article de la revue The National Interest «l’universalisation de la démocratie libérale occidentale comme forme finale de tout gouvernement humain».

De prophète de bonheur, Francis Fukuyama se mue aujourd’hui en prophète de malheur. «Lorsque Trump a été élu pour la première fois en 2016, il était facile de croire que cet événement était une aberration. Quatre ans plus tard, tout semblait être revenu à la normale», commence le professeur de l’Université John-Hopkins, qui se corrige aussitôt : «Il semble désormais que ce soit la présidence Biden qui soit l’anomalie, et que Trump inaugure une nouvelle ère dans la politique américaine et peut-être dans le monde entier». De quelle ère s’agirait-il ? Francis Fukuyama la décrit en négatif, par le «rejet décisif» du «libéralisme classique lui-même», et pas seulement de ses deux avatars plus récents que sont le «néolibéralisme» et le «libéralisme éveillé».

Le libéralisme et ses deux distorsions

Plongeant ses racines dans les Lumières tant françaises qu’anglo-saxonnes, mais forgé surtout au 19e siècle, le libéralisme classique est une «doctrine fondée sur le respect de l’égale dignité des individus» : l’État est là pour y veiller en même temps que des «contrôles constitutionnels» garantissent que ce même État n’aille pas trop loin. C’est toute l’idée de l’«État de droit» à travers laquelle l’État pose lui-même les bornes de son propre pouvoir pour ne pas en abuser. En somme, c’est le rejet de l’arbitraire. Mais le libéralisme a connu deux «distorsions» dans la seconde moitié du 20e siècle, précise Fukuyama. D’un côté, le «néolibéralisme», cette doctrine économique qui a «sanctifié les marchés et réduit la capacité des gouvernements à protéger ceux qui étaient touchés par le changement économique». De l’autre, le «libéralisme éveillé», ce désormais fameux «wokisme» à travers lequel «l’intérêt progressiste pour la classe ouvrière a été remplacé par des mesures de protection ciblées» vers des «groupes marginalisés : minorités raciales, immigrés, minorités sexuelles, etc.».

Le «trumpisme» a évidemment fait son miel du rejet croissant de ces deux enfants du libéralisme classique. En l’emportant dans les sept «Swing States» et en décrochant le vote populaire, Donald Trump a fait main basse sur l’Amérique blanche déshéritée ou inquiète, frappée par la désindustrialisation de ces dernières décennies et par l’inflation forte qui a particulièrement entaché le mandat de Joe Biden. Les blancs, certes, mais pas seulement car le score du républicain a explosé chez les Latinos, et Kamala Harris, de son côté, n’a pas su convaincre davantage les Noirs, les femmes et les jeunes, malgré ses mises en garde parfois caricaturales contre la misogynie, le racisme voire le fascisme de son rival. Pour ces électeurs appartenant aux minorités chéries des démocrates, «la classe sociale comptait plus que la race ou l’ethnicité», commente Francis Fukuyama.

Exit, donc, le néolibéralisme et le libéralisme éveillé. Mais, pour l’auteur de La Fin de l’histoire et le Dernier Homme - l’essai de 1992 qui a suivi l’article de 1989 -, Trump va plus loin. Il représenterait aussi une «menace majeure» contre le «libéralisme classique» lui-même. «Une nouvelle présidence Trump ne ressemblera en rien à son premier mandat. La véritable question à ce stade n’est pas la malignité de ses intentions, mais plutôt sa capacité à mettre réellement à exécution ce qu’il menace. De nombreux électeurs ne prennent tout simplement pas sa rhétorique au sérieux, tandis que les républicains traditionnels soutiennent que les freins et contrepoids du système américain l’empêcheront de faire le pire. C’est une erreur : nous devons prendre très au sérieux ses intentions déclarées», s’alarme Francis Fukuyama.

Le philosophe dessine alors un effrayant panorama du mandat à venir du 47e président des États-Unis, thématique par thématique. Son protectionnisme, qui déclenchera des représailles, aura des conséquences dramatiques sur l’inflation, la productivité et l’emploi, tout en faisant «s’effondrer» le commerce et bondir la «corruption». L’expulsion de 11 millions de sans-papiers «ouvrira la voie à un conflit civil». L’État de droit pâtira des «injustices» que Donald Trump estime avoir subies de la part de ses détracteurs et qu’il cherchera à «venger» : «Il a juré d’utiliser le système judiciaire pour poursuivre tout le monde». La politique étrangère occidentale sera bouleversée : «l’Ukraine est de loin la plus grande perdante» ; l’Otan, même si les États-Unis ne s’en retirent pas, sera «gravement affaiblie» par le non-respect potentiel de l’article 5 consacrant le principe de défense mutuelle au sein de l’alliance. «Il n’y a pas de champion européen capable de remplacer l’Amérique à sa tête», annonce d’ores et déjà le philosophe-prophète. «Les alliés et amis des États-Unis en Asie de l’Est ne sont pas en meilleure position», craint-il, en évoquant un possible accord sino-américain contre Taïwan. «Trump semble congénitalement opposé à l’usage de la force militaire et se laisse facilement manipuler, à l’exception du Moyen-Orient, où il est susceptible de soutenir sans réserve les guerres de Benjamin Netanyahou contre le Hamas, le Hezbollah et l’Iran.»

La fin suspendue de l’histoire

Donald Trump n’est pas un «fasciste» car il n’a pas «l’intention d’instaurer un régime totalitaire aux États-Unis», nuance certes Francis Fukuyama, en infirmant le mot de Kamala Harris. Donald Trump serait simplement le visage du «déclin progressif des institutions libérales» : «il se peut que la situation doive empirer bien avant de s’améliorer». Ce pronostic, en soi, n’a rien d’exceptionnel : combien de commentateurs l’ont dit avant lui ? Le plus singulier, dans ce long article du «FT», est que Francis Fukuyama semble suspendre «la fin de l’histoire» et ajouter une note de bas de page supplémentaire aux nombreux addendum qu’il a été obligé d’ajouter périodiquement à sa théorie depuis sa première formulation en 1989.

Qu’on ne se méprenne pas, Francis Fukuyama a été victime de son succès et ses propos ont souvent été caricaturés : ce lecteur d’Alexandre Kojève, lui-même lecteur d’Hegel, n’a jamais dit que le monde s’arrêterait à la chute du communisme et que les guerres disparaîtraient. Sa fin de l’histoire est d’ordre idéologique : le libéralisme ne viendra certes pas à bout du mal qui prospère sur la planète, mais il ne rencontrera désormais plus de rival capable de revendiquer une légitimité universelle comparable et, ainsi, de le menacer existentiellement, comme le fit naguère le communisme. La fin de l’histoire, c’est l’atteinte du «point final de l’évolution idéologique de l’humanité». Depuis 35 ans, comme un exégète de sa propre pensée téléologique, Francis Fukuyama est obligé de remettre les points sur les «i» à chaque soubresaut de l’histoire qui semble anéantir sa théorie.

Le djihadisme dans le sillage du 11-Septembre ? «Je n’avais pas anticipé la montée en puissance de l’islam», reconnaissait-il en 2017 dans un entretien au Monde. Pour lui, néanmoins, l’islamisme est si «radicalisé» qu’il constitue un repère de «marginaux», incapable de «gouverner». Il se rassurait en voyant disparaître Daech. Dans un monde de moins en moins croyant, le djihad et son spectaculaire terrorisme seraient la preuve paradoxale d’un essoufflement de la légitimité religieuse.

L’émergence de la Chine comme «peer competitor» des États-Unis, Pékin rêvant de devenir la première puissance mondiale et faisant émerger au fil du 21e siècle un nouveau modèle techno-politique, mélange des deux frères ennemis, le communisme et le capitalisme ? Là encore, Fukuyama chancelle légèrement, tout en essayant de se reprendre : «Le système chinois m’apparaît, sur le long terme, comme le plus grand adversaire des démocraties libérales. Mais c’est une tâche ardue que de dupliquer le système chinois hors de Chine.»

De l’«ennui» à la révolte

Au fond, pour Fukuyama, des résistances au libéralisme surviennent encore ici ou là, des régimes politiques parvenant à étouffer par la force, la menace ou la persuasion le désir des peuples plus ou moins vif pour ce seul et unique projet qu’est la modernité. Mais aucun désir universel alternatif ne prendra le pas : personne ne fuira à Pékin, à Moscou ou à Téhéran rechercher l’asile politique. L’on retrouve dans ce messianisme sa proximité d’antan avec le courant néoconservateur américain, dont il a depuis pris ses distances.

Car, au fil des ans, le scepticisme l’a gagné peu à peu. Mais il était déjà présent dès l’origine. Dans son essai de 1992, il dépeint ainsi ce monde de la fin de l’histoire, où la lutte idéologique finale a vécu : l’«ennui» qui s’est emparé des individus post-historiques s’est substitué à la ferveur des sociétés agitées par la plus ancienne des questions politiques : comment bien organiser la Cité ? Privé de cette angoisse existentielle, l’Américain post-1991 s’affale confortablement dans son canapé, une canette de bière dans une main, un burger dans l’autre, face au grand écran de sa télévision où défile la fin de l’histoire, sans sursaut décisif sinon les tribulations de quelques djihadistes, d’une poignée de dictateurs corrompus et d’un milliard et demi de communistes asiatiques qui, tous, se seraient trompés de siècle.

Avec Donald Trump, au cœur de l’Amérique, le prophète libéral voit son système menacé de s’effondrer en son centre et non dans ses marges : c’est ce même Américain consumériste assoupi, dont l’«ennui» se mue soudainement en colère, et maintenant en révolte. «Quand on lit attentivement mon livre, je mettais déjà en garde contre le danger généré par cet ennui et la menace d’une guerre contre la démocratie par ceux qui ont été élevés en son sein. Avec, à la clé, la menace du relativisme, où la démocratie serait perçue comme un mode de gouvernance parmi d’autres», expliquait-il déjà en 2017. À force d’addendum, que reste-t-il de sa fin de l’histoire ? Celle-ci se fissure toujours un peu plus, rappelant la critique de son grand rival réaliste, Samuel Huntington, qui qualifiait de «finisme» (endism) le travers de celui qui fut son élève : toutes les téléologies, mêmes élaborées, structurées et nuancées, finissent par se heurter au mur du réel, si imaginatif. 

Mais il reste une ultime question : le vent de colère contre le système politique qui porte Donald Trump est-il un «rejet décisif» de la démocratie et du libéralisme eux-mêmes ou est-il le surgissement brutal d’une nouvelle formule libérale encore informe ? La première hypothèse est celle que pose aujourd’hui Francis Fukuyama. L’expérience de ces trois décennies montre heureusement que le prophète n’a pas toujours su prédire la fin de l’histoire.

TechCrunch : Upwind, an Israeli cloud cybersecurity startup, is raising $100M at

Upwind, an Israeli cloud cybersecurity startup, is raising $100M at a $850-900M valuation, say sources

Cybersecurity continues to command a lot of attention from enterprises looking for better protection from malicious hackers, and VCs want in on the action. In the latest example, TechCrunch has learned and confirmed that Upwind — a specialist in assessing and securing cloud infrastructure — is closing in on a $100 million round at a valuation of between $850-$900 million, post-money.

The round includes a mix of new and existing investors such as Craft Ventures, Greylock, CyberStarts, Leaders Fund, Omri Casspi’s Sheva Fund, and basketball star Steph Curry’s investment fund Penny Jar. The round is in its final stages of getting closed — this could come in a matter of days — and could include further investors.

The round, a Series B, comes on the heels of the company picking up “dozens” of Fortune 500 companies and growing its staff to about 160 people, a source said.

It’s a significant leap for Upwind, which had previously raised just over $77 million, including a $50 million round in September 2023. Upwind’s last valuation, from that most recent round, was $300 million. It will be using some of the funding for R&D, and some for hiring, with plans to add around 100 people across Israel, San Francisco… and Iceland.

Upwind was founded by Amiram Shachar, who sold his previous company, the cloud spend management startup Spot.io, to NetApp for $450 million. It is part of the guard of cybersecurity startups founded in Israel by teams that cut their teeth originally working in areas like military intelligence.

In its case, it is also one of the many companies in the space focusing on vulnerabilities in the cloud through a platform approach. Specifically, Upwind aims to tackle the blizzard of alerts that are typically raised by threat detection tools. It claims to reduce these alerts by 90% to focus security operations teams more closely on understanding and responding faster to actual threats.

The company’s tech covers cloud services (covering areas like vulnerability management and identity security), workloads (which includes container security and detection and response) and apps (including areas like API vulnerability management). To some extent, these are all interrelated, one reason a platform approach makes sense.

TechCrunch : iPhones might be harder for police to unlock, thanks to new reboot

iPhones might be harder for police to unlock, thanks to new reboot feature
New code introduced in the latest version of Apple’s mobile operating system could make it more difficult for both police and thieves to unlock iPhones.

404 Media reported Thursday that law enforcement officials were warning each other that phones being stored for forensic examination seemed to be rebooting themselves — something that security experts confirmed in a follow-up story. After the reboot, it’s harder for those phones to be unlocked by password-cracking tools.

Apple did not immediately respond to TechCrunch’s request for comment.

This reboot appears to take place after iPhones with iOS 18.1 have not been unlocked for a set period of time. According to Chris Wade, founder of mobile analysis company Corellium, iPhones seem to reboot after their fourth day of in a locked state.

Matthew Green, a cryptographer and assistant professor at Johns Hopkins University, described this as “a huge improvement in terms of security” that “probably doesn’t inconvenience anyone” — though the police might disagree.

WSJ : Europe’s Economy Faces Sink-or-Swim Moment as Trump Returns

Europe’s Economy Faces Sink-or-Swim Moment as Trump Returns
With the U.S. election result and the German government’s collapse, the lagging European economy is at a crossroads

Wall Street’s verdict is clear: A second Trump presidency is likely to deliver a blow to an export-dependent European Union that is struggling with sclerotic economic growth and ever-multiplying political crises. Whether it will finally spark some change is the question for patient investors.

Since Wednesday, the day after the election, the S&P 500 has gained 3.7%. Meanwhile, the Euro Stoxx 50 and the FTSE 100 are down. Among those to shed the most market value have been clean-energy firms such as Vestas, carmakers such as BMW, consumer-goods companies such as Nestlé and Unilever and sellers of pharmaceuticals such as Roche. They all sell a lot to the U.S.

The U.S. is the top goods-export market for the European Union, and for Germany, with pharmaceuticals, machinery and vehicles topping the export list.

During the campaign, President-elect Donald Trump floated a 60% tariff on Chinese imports and a 10%-to-20% levy across the board. The think tank German Economic Institute estimates that such a measure could make the German economy between 1.2% and 1.4% smaller than it would have been by 2028.

The core of the European Union’s export machine has been plunged into difficulties because of the end of cheap Russian energy, delays in joining the electric-vehicle revolution and an overreliance on selling to China.

Volkswagen last week announced the closing of at least three plants in Germany. According to FactSet, American customers make up 18% of its sales, about the same as the German market.

“I want German car companies to become American car companies,” Trump said last month while holding a rally in Savannah, Ga. “If you don’t make your product here, then you will have to pay a tariff, a very substantial tariff,” he added.

On Wednesday, Oliver Zipse, chairman of German carmaker BMW, underscored that the company has a plant in Greer, S.C.

“The most demanded vehicles in the United States, we produce there,” he told analysts Wednesday in a conference call. “So there is some natural cover against possible tariffs.”

Volkswagen and Mercedes-Benz have factories in Chattanooga, Tenn., and Vance, Ala., respectively. Manufacturers Airbus, Siemens and BASF also service the U.S. market from within, as do Nestlé and Unilever.

Much depends on details. In early 2021, Airbus’s assembly line in Mobile, Ala., was forced to pay tariffs for its shipments of fuselage, wing and tail components from France and Germany, as part of a World Trade Organization dispute. An agreement was quickly reached to suspend them.

Regardless, building up capacity to service all types of American-based demand would be hard. The Mobile plant makes A220 and A320 jets, but A330 and A350 wide-bodies are assembled in France. Volkswagen uses Chattanooga for the Atlas SUV, the Passat sedan and the electric ID.4, but the bestselling Tiguan and Jetta are built in Mexico. Roughly a quarter of U.S. imported cars originate there, and Trump has suggested that a 200% tariff could be slapped on them.

And when it comes to high-performance models, most EU firms still make them domestically and ship them over. Exports to the U.S. amounted to about 800,000 cars in 2023.

To be sure, EU leaders have struck a conciliatory tone with Trump this week, suggesting that a more amicable endgame such as the 2018 trade deal between the U.S., Canada and Mexico is possible.


Another risk is that China would send even more cheap goods to Europe if the U.S. ratchets up its trade war with Beijing. Yes, recent experience shows that China often just reroutes exports through third countries—and, as of recently, faces higher tariffs for electric vehicles in the EU anyway—but even small shifts could have big effects.

For a decade and a half, the 27-nation bloc has limped along, fostering just enough political change to avoid a painful breakup during the debt crisis of the 2010s and the 2020 pandemic, but never enough to truly invigorate its economy. Attempts by France’s Emmanuel Macron and Germany’s Olaf Scholz to change course have ended in paralysis. Scholz’s three-party government collapsed this week, after years that saw the coalition’s pro-austerity member blocking efforts to spur domestic industry with public spending.

Yet the first Trump presidency did galvanize some early support for a cohesive industrial strategy in Europe. The long-term bull case for European equities is that Trump 2.0 will be a catalyst for further transformation. European Central Bank President Mario Draghi published a report in September urging less red tape, state aid to key sectors and, where appropriate, harsher tariffs, all of which has buy-in from officials in Brussels.

On a small scale, the impulse toward a European industrial policy is already playing out. European defense contractors such as BAE Systems, Rheinmetall and Thales have seen their shares jump on the expectation that less American military involvement in Europe will force governments there to rely on their own capabilities. By 2030, the EU wants members to direct 50% or more of their procurement budgets toward European contractors.

Elsewhere, substituting foreign markets for domestic consumers will prove much harder, though providing advantages to buyers of electric vehicles has proved extremely effective in Norway. They now outnumber cars that run on gasoline.

Caught between the U.S. and China, Europe’s economic strategy is soon to face its biggest challenge since the eurozone crisis. Investors are right to be wary.

FT : AI groups rush to redesign model testing and create new benchmarks

AI groups rush to redesign model testing and create new benchmarks
Rapidly advancing technology is surpassing current methods of evaluating and comparing large language models

Tech groups are rushing to redesign how they test and evaluate their artificial intelligence models, as the fast advancing technology surpasses current benchmarks.

OpenAI, Microsoft, Meta and Anthropic have all recently announced plans to build AI agents that can execute tasks for humans autonomously on their behalf. To do this effectively, the systems must be able to perform increasingly complex actions, using reasoning and planning.

Companies conduct “evaluations” of AI models by teams of staff and outside researchers. These are standardised tests, known as benchmarks, that assess models’ abilities and the performance of different groups’ systems or older versions.

However, recent advances in AI technology have meant many of the newest models have been able to get close to or above 90 per cent accuracy on existing tests, highlighting the need for new benchmarks.

“The pace of the industry is extremely fast. We are now starting to saturate our ability to measure some of these systems [and as an industry] it is becoming more and more difficult to evaluate [them],” said Ahmad Al-Dahle, generative AI lead at Meta.

To deal with this issue, several tech groups including Meta, OpenAI and Microsoft have created their own internal benchmarks and tests for intelligence. But this has raised concerns within the industry over the ability to compare the technology in the absence of public tests.

“Many of these benchmarks let us know how far away we are from automation of tasks and jobs. Without them being made public, it is hard for businesses and wider society to tell,” said Dan Hendrycks, executive director of the Center for AI Safety and an adviser to Elon Musk’s xAI.

Current public benchmarks — Hellaswag and MMLU — use multiple-choice questions to assess common sense and knowledge across various topics. However, researchers argue this method is now becoming redundant and models need more complex problems.

“We are getting to the era where a lot of the human-written tests are no longer sufficient as a good barometer for how capable the models are,” said Mark Chen, SVP of research at OpenAI. “That creates a new challenge for us as a research world.”

One public benchmark, SWE-bench Verified, was updated in August to better evaluate autonomous systems based on feedback from companies, including OpenAI.

It uses real-world software problems sourced from the developer platform GitHub and involves supplying the AI agent with a code repository and an engineering issue, asking them to fix it. The tasks require reasoning to complete.

On this measure OpenAI’s latest model, GPT-4o preview, solves 41.4 per cent of issues, while Anthropic’s Claude 3.5 Sonnet gets 49 per cent.

“It is a lot more challenging [with agentic systems] because you need to connect those systems to lots of extra tools,” said Jared Kaplan, chief science officer at Anthropic.

“You have to basically create a whole sandbox environment for them to play in. It is not as simple as just providing a prompt, seeing what the completion is and then evaluating that,” he added.

Another important factor when conducting more advanced tests is to make sure the benchmark questions are kept out of the public domain, in order to ensure the models do not effectively “cheat” by generating the answers from training data rather than solving the problem.

The ability to reason and plan is critical to unlocking the potential of AI agents that can conduct tasks over multiple steps and applications, and correct themselves.

“We are discovering new ways of measuring these systems and of course one of those is reasoning, which is an important frontier,” said Ece Kamar, VP and lab director of AI Frontiers at Microsoft research.

As a result, Microsoft is working on its own internal benchmark, incorporating problems that have not previously appeared in training to assess whether its AI models can reason as a human would.

Some, including researchers from Apple, have questioned whether current large language models are “reasoning” or purely “pattern matching” the closest similar data seen in their training.

“In the narrower domains [that] enterprises care about, they do reason,” said Ruchir Puri, chief scientist at IBM Research. “[The debate is around] this broader concept of reasoning at a human level, that would almost put it in the context of artificial general intelligence. Do they really reason, or are they parroting?”

OpenAI measures reasoning primarily through evaluations covering maths, STEM subjects and coding tasks.

“Reasoning is a very grand term. Everyone defines it differently and has their own interpretation . . . this boundary is very fuzzy [and] we try not to get too bogged down with that distinction itself, but look at whether it is driving utility, performance or capabilities,” said OpenAI’s Chen.

The need for new benchmarks has also led to efforts by external organisations.

In September, the start-up Scale AI and Hendrycks announced a project called “Humanity’s Last Exam”, which crowdsourced complex questions from experts across different disciplines that required abstract reasoning to complete.

Another example is FrontierMath, a novel benchmark released this week, created by expert mathematicians. Based on this test, the most advanced models can complete less than 2 per cent of questions.

However, without explicit agreement on measuring such capabilities, experts warn that it can be difficult for companies to assess their competitors or for businesses and consumers to understand the market.

“There is no clear way to say ‘this model is definitively better than this model’ [because] when a measure becomes a target, it ceases to be a good measure” and models are trained to pass the set benchmarks, said Meta’s Al-Dahle.

“It is something that, as a whole industry, we are working our way through.”

FT : Cheap tyres and scrap metal: Carl Icahn’s empire shows signs of strain

Cheap tyres and scrap metal: Carl Icahn’s empire shows signs of strain
Billionaire activist investor’s holding company grasps for revival as it cuts dividend and weighs asset sale

Carl Icahn’s efforts to stabilise his corporate empire rest in part on a small Midwestern refinery and a scrapyard on the outskirts of Nashville, Tennessee.

The billionaire activist investor slashed the dividend of his publicly listed holding company in half on Friday, sending its stock tumbling and adding to a litany of financial troubles for the 88-year-old financier.

Icahn Enterprises, his listed conglomerate, has seen its shares plunge this year due to losses in its investment portfolio and operational problems across its businesses spanning car repair dealerships, sausage packaging operations and oil refineries, which have eaten into its cash flows.

It has been an ignominious stretch for the legendary corporate raider, who made his name in the 1980s with huge stakes in oil majors, airlines and consumer products companies.

Executives said on Friday they had fired senior managers of its Pep Boys car repair unit, after it ran out of tyres last quarter — due to a cost-cutting effort to buy cheap tyres from a new vendor. The operational crisis forced Icahn Enterprises to write down the value of Pep Boys by $193mn.

Icahn’s representatives did not respond to interview requests on Friday.

Last month, its largest investment, a controlling interest in refinery CVR Energy, was pummelled after the group eliminated its dividend to conserve cash amid power outages and heavy spending needs. That cut off a vital source of funds for Icahn Enterprises.

On Friday, Icahn Enterprises followed suit, halving its quarterly payout from $1 per share to 50 cents, in a move designed to save cash and double down on its refining operations.

But it scared shareholders, many of whom were attracted to the conglomerate for its high yields. Icahn Enterprises’ stock fell 6 per cent, putting year-to-date losses at about 38 per cent.

In addition to cash flow shortfalls that drove the dividend cut, Icahn Enterprises has seen the value of its assets quickly erode. Its net asset value per share has declined 35 per cent this year.

Those losses are putting financial strain on Icahn, who borrowed billions in personal loans against his shares in Icahn Enterprises, using the stock as collateral for as much as $5bn from a group of banks in recent years.

Icahn’s heavy borrowing came during a decade-long stretch of losses in his investment portfolio due to large bets he held against booming financial markets. The feared activist has pledged substantial assets as collateral against the loans and now must repay the debts in coming years after some of their values have fallen.

Now Icahn is betting that he can pull off a revival by selling a metals scrapyard he acquired more than a decade ago.

In 2007, Icahn acquired a scrap metals company called PSC Metals with a large junkyard in Nashville. When Icahn sold the company in 2021, he held on to PSC’s 45-acre scrapyard in the city’s industrial “East Bank” neighbourhood, betting he could eventually flip the property when the area was gentrified.

On Friday, executives at Icahn Enterprises told shareholders they had put the property up for sale and hoped to make a 10-fold gain on its $25mn carrying value.

The National Football League’s Tennessee Titans are building a stadium adjacent to the scrapyard and the area is part of a giant urban renewal plan in one of America’s fastest growing cities. It has turned the industrial wasteland into a coveted property, according to local real estate executives.

Icahn also told shareholders on Friday he decided to cut his conglomerate’s dividend because he wants to buy additional shares in CVR Energy. He has launched a tender offer to buy $263mn in CVR stock, boosting Icahn Enterprises’ ownership from 66 per cent to 81 per cent.

Icahn Enterprises characterised the manoeuvre as opportunistic after an about 20 per cent tumble in CVR’s shares last month, giving it greater ownership in a refining operation that has paid out over $3bn in dividends to the conglomerate since 2012.

“[We] think the decisions we made today will actually help cash flow in the future,” said Andrew Teno, chief executive, referring to the tender offer.

The trade could benefit from a new administration in the US. CVR carries $374mn of liabilities due to a federal mandate to mix biofuels into petrol supplies or buy credits to make up the shortfall.

But the refinery has sued the federal government over the mandate and recently blasted the Biden administration's “egregious conduct” in keeping refineries that had won some legal challenges to the payments hanging. “[The] financial impact of their actions threaten the very existence of small refineries like ours,” said CVR chief executive David Lamp.

But the new administration could offer the relief CVR is seeking, removing a big financial burden.

“Rarely have I seen a stock market with such extreme valuations — with some companies trading at unjustifiable premiums and others being massively undervalued,” Icahn said in a prepared statement on Friday.

>>> US Weekend Papers Summary

FINANCIAL TIMES
-US trade representative Robert Lighthizer has been asked to return to his role as the president-elect begins building his cabinet team. Lighthizer had expressed interest in serving as Treasury secretary, but this position is likely to be offered to a financier, with contenders including hedge fund managers Scott Bessent and John Paulson. The possibility of an arch protectionist being reappointed to the pivotal trade role is likely to raise concerns in Beijing and among US trading allies, given his influence during Trump's trade wars during his first term. Trump had considered Lighthizer for commerce secretary, but Linda McMahon, the billionaire co-chair of Trump's presidential transition team, is most likely to be offered the job. Philadelphia congressman Brenda Boyle, the top Democrat on the influential House budget committee and senior member of the ways and means committee overseeing trade, expressed his welcomeness for Lighthizer's appointment.
-At Mar-a-Lago, the wealthy and soon-to-be powerful gathered for the election results at Donald Trump's fortress. Trump sat with Elon Musk, the billionaire technology executive, and Dana White, the CEO of the Ultimate Fighting Championship. Musk called the race "game, set and match" hours before the final outcome was announced. The next day, after Trump defeated Kamala Harris, Trump and Musk ate together on the terrace of the resort, wearing a T-shirt of astronauts walking on the moon with Mars in the distance. Musk wrote "Novus Ordo Seclorum," the Latin expression for "a new era is born." The jubilant scenes at Mar-a-Lago suggest that a second Trump presidency might differ from the first one, and how his new inner circle will be changed.
-Qatar has urged Hamas leaders to leave the country following pressure from Washington. The request was made around 10 days ago after discussions with US officials. Qatar has hosted Hamas's political office in Doha since 2012, when Syria's civil war forced it to leave its base in Damascus. Doha became a crucial interlocutor in hostage negotiations between Israel and Hamas after the group's deadly attack on southern Israel in October 2023. Israel's offensive in Gaza has killed over 43,000 Palestinians. Qatar helped broker a deal to free over 100 Israeli hostages last year, but talks have since been deadlocked. A senior Biden administration official said that after the failure of repeated proposals to release hostages, Hamas's leaders should no longer be welcome in the capitals of any American partner.
-US stocks have had their best week in a year, thanks to a rally sparked by Donald Trump's election victory. The S&P 500 closed 0.4% higher in New York, gaining 4.7% over five days, its best performance since early November 2023. The broad-based bellwether pushed above 6,000 for the first time on Friday, peaking at 6,012.45. The market was boosted by a Trump victory and another jolt from the Federal Reserve this week. Wednesday's 2.5% jump was the S&P's best day in over two years. The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by a quarter-point on Thursday. Sebastian Page, head of global multi-asset and chief investment officer at T Rowe Price, said there was an element of a relief rally following the election, as the market is expecting deregulation, lower taxes, and higher inflation.
-Donald Trump's victory in the US presidential election has caused tensions in Canada, a close ally with a trading partnership worth $1.3T a year. Prime Minister Justin Trudeau congratulated Trump, stating that Canada and the US have the world's most successful partnership and are each other's largest trade partners. Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland assured reporters in Ottawa that Canada would be fine despite the anxieties. Ottawa had first-hand experience of Trump's "America First" trade policy during his previous administration, where he insisted on renegotiating the North American Free Trade Agreement in 2017.
-Donald Trump's victory in the US presidential election has caused tensions in Canada, a close ally with a trading partnership worth $1.3T a year. Prime Minister Justin Trudeau congratulated Trump, stating that Canada and the US have the world's most successful partnership and are each other's largest trade partners. Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland assured reporters in Ottawa that Canada would be fine despite the anxieties. Ottawa had first-hand experience of Trump's "America First" trade policy during his previous administration, where he insisted on renegotiating the North American Free Trade Agreement in 2017.
-Paraguay's conservative president, Santiago Peña, is facing pressure from investors and diplomats to veto a bill that would increase government controls on non-profit organisations. Critics argue that the bill would target opponents of the ruling Colorado Party and its leader, Horacio Cartes, a former president who supports increased oversight of NGOs. Cartes has denied any wrongdoing and dismisses the accusations as politically motivated. The Colorado Party claims the law, which would require organizations to report funding and employee details, and allow authorities to temporarily shut down or block payments, is needed to prevent money laundering and foreign interference. The US imposed sanctions on Cartes in 2022 over corruption allegations.
-The UK has approved the construction of a multibillion-pound fighter jet with Italy and Japan, easing concerns that the project could be affected by the Labour government's strategic defense review. The Global Combat Air Programme (GCAP) was approved at a meeting on Tuesday, and a formal announcement is expected in the coming weeks. This comes as a relief to Italy and Japan, Britain's partners on GCAP, after Labour sparked fears that it could axe the project on cost grounds. Despite the importance of the program, armed forces minister Luke Pollard has said it would not be right for him to prejudge Labour's strategic defense review.
-Verizon's $20B acquisition of Frontier Communications is set to face a showdown at an investor meeting next week, as shareholders demand a 30% price increase. The acquisition by Canada-based BCE's of Ziply, a telco with a similar fibre network, has become a flashpoint. Frontier investors believe the Ziply deal's valuation metrics suggest a higher purchase price for Frontier, citing long-term growth prospects for fibre broadband service. Frontier's projected growth makes its shares worth more than $50 a share, far higher than the deal price of $38.50. Glendon Capital Management and Cerberus Capital Management are among the investors angling for a higher deal price. Ares Management, the company's single largest shareholder, has not indicated its vote and has hired boutique bank Houlihan Lokey to evaluate its options.
-Germany's Chancellor Olaf Scholz may be prepared to bring forward a confidence vote in his government, potentially leading to earlier snap elections in the Eurozone's largest economy. The opposition has urged the vote to be held as early as next week to avoid political uncertainty, allowing elections to be held in January. Scholz sacked finance minister Christian Lindner, leader of the pro-business Free Democrats (FDP), marking the end of a long-running dispute within the coalition between the Social Democrats (SPD) and Greens and the FDP over economic policy. With the FDP pulling its ministers out of the cabinet, Scholz now heads an SPD-Green minority government. Scholz may be flexible on timing if the SPD and Greens can reach a deal with opposition parties to get some outstanding bills through parliament.
-President-elect Donald Trump has pledged to boost upstream production and lift a moratorium on licensing new liquefied natural gas export facilities. This move could give European industry a boost, as US natural gas production has reached record levels of 125B ft3 a day, up nearly half over the past decade. While rolling back royalties, compliance, and costs might give drillers an extra incentive, the uplift would be capped by the downward pressure on oil and gas prices. The temporary pause on new authorizations for LNG terminals affected earlier-stage projects, but a reversal would strengthen the prospects for more LNG supply in the medium term. This comes in the context of an LNG market preparing for a glut, with projects with 130 mtpa of capacity scheduled to come on stream between 2025 and 2027.

NEW YORK TIMES
-President-elect Donald Trump and Ukraine's President, Volodymyr Zelensky, had a phone call on Wednesday. During the call, Trump handed the phone to Elon Musk, a billionaire who has played a key role in providing communications capability to Ukraine in its war with Russia. It is unclear whether the three men discussed any change in U.S. policy toward Ukraine in the wake of Trump's election. Musk was with Trump at Mar-a-Lago, his private club and residence in Florida, and the tone of the call was described as positive. A second person briefed on the call confirmed Musk's participation, which was reported earlier by Axios. A third person briefed on the call described it as a "good talk," with Zelensky calling Trump to congratulate him and thanking him for the communication assistance.
-Iranian agents have been accused of plotting to kill President-elect Donald Trump, according to a complaint filed in Manhattan federal court. The allegation came in a complaint that claimed Masih Alinejad, a Brooklyn activist, had been the target of a second assassination attempt. The latest development is an alarming development for U.S. security officials, as it comes as Iranian plotters discussed a plan to assassinate Trump before his re-election as president. One of the plotters claimed to have been assigned in September to carry out the plan by the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps of Iran. An Iranian operative was instructed to focus on surveilling and ultimately assassinating Trump, according to the criminal complaint filed in Manhattan federal court.
-New York Governor Kathy Hochul is considering reviving a congestion pricing plan for New York City before President-elect Donald J. Trump has a chance to kill it, according to four people familiar with the matter. Hochul's move to salvage the contentious plan comes as she faces pressure from various corners, including a group that represents transit riders. She is planning to start an advertising blitz on Monday in support of the tolling program. The plan that Hochul, a Democrat, is now exploring differs slightly from the one she halted in June. She is trying to satisfy opponents who had complained about the $15 congestion-pricing toll that most motorists would have had to pay as well as supporters who want to reduce car traffic and fund mass transit improvements.
-A brush fire in Brooklyn's Prospect Park has drew nearly 100 firefighters, prompting officials to warn residents to stay away as they used drones to identify hot spots. The fire was first reported around 6:40 p.m., and no injuries were immediately reported. The Fire Department's commissioner, Robert S. Tucker, stated that every time the wind gusts up, an ember creates more fire, causing the fire to burn all night. The fire was first reported in the Nethermead area southeast of the dog beach, and no injuries had been reported as of 9:15 p.m. The department has not determined the cause of the fire, but fire marshals will investigate once it is contained. Officials warned residents to stay away from the park and close their windows due to the smoke. Commissioner Tucker said it was too difficult to evacuate the park due to the darkness and the movement of emergency equipment, creating a risk of inadvertent injury.
-President-elect Donald J. Trump's transition team for climate and the environment is considering relocating the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) out of Washington and other drastic changes. David Bernhardt, a former oil lobbyist who headed the Interior Department during the first Trump administration, and Andrew Wheeler, a former coal lobbyist who ran the EPA, are leading the charge in reshaping the agencies responsible for protecting the nation's air, water, climate, and public lands. Both are Washington insiders with years of experience in dismantling federal environmental protections. The transition team has already prepared executive orders and presidential proclamations on climate and energy, including withdrawing the United States from the Paris climate agreement, eliminating every office in every agency working to end pollution that disproportionately affects poor communities, and shrinking the size of national monuments in the West to allow more drilling and mining on public lands. President Biden has made environmental justice a top priority, but this initiative will be scrapped.
-Senate Democrats are considering a major push to confirm as many of President Biden's judicial nominees as possible in the lame-duck session of Congress before their power to reshape the federal courts ends with the Republican takeover of the White House and the Senate in January. Democrats had hoped to hold onto the Senate and the White House, allowing them to continue their drive to counterbalance the 234 conservative-leaning judges, including three Supreme Court justices, who were confirmed during the first Trump administration. However, with the re-election of Donald J. Trump and Republicans winning control of the Senate, that possibility is now gone.
-San Francisco Mayor-Elect Daniel Lurie announced in his first speech as mayor that he would declare a state of emergency on fentanyl on his first day in office. In brief, Lurie stated that he intended to shut down the open-air fentanyl markets that had proliferated in the city's Tenderloin and South of Market neighborhoods and had infuriated many residents. He stated that he would declare the emergency on his first day in office in January. Another man stands behind him holding a sign that says, "Lurie for Mayor."
-A semiabstract portrait of British mathematician Alan Turing, created by a humanoid robot powered by artificial intelligence, sold at auction for nearly $1.1M. The painting, created by Aidan Meller, a former gallerist living outside Oxford, England, was created by a team of nearly 30 people. The robot, named Ai-Da, is dressed like a woman with a bob haircut and is referred to as Ai-Da in honor of Ada Lovelace, the 19th-century mathematician recognized as the world's first computer programmer. The painting was offered as part of Sotheby's digital art sale and initially was estimated to sell for $120,000 to $180,000. It received more than 27 bids and was sold to an anonymous buyer from the United States. Meller said the proceeds from the sale of the painting, called "A.I. God. Portrait of Alan Turing," would help finance new improvements to Ai-Da's design.
-Stocks rose on Friday, marking the market's best week in over a year, and extending a rally that began with President-elect Donald Trump's election win. The S&P 500 rose almost 0.4% on Friday, its fourth consecutive daily increase, and briefly crossed above 6,000 points for the first time ever. For the week, the index gained 4.7%. The victory ushered in a relief rally typical in the immediate aftermath of a presidential election as the vote becomes clear. Stocks were also buoyed by investors' expectations of business-friendly policies under the Trump administration, including lighter regulation and tax cuts. The market's rally was triggered by President-elect Trump's victory and a quarter-point interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve.

NEW YORK POST
-The Kamala Harris campaign spent up to $20M on swing-state concerts before the election, causing concern that staff and vendors won't be paid amid reports of the campaign being in debt. Members of the defeated Harris team claim that the concerts had a ruinous effect on the Democratic campaign's coffers, with one planned performance by '90s alt-rock goddess Alanis Morissette being scrapped to save money. The seven swing-state concerts on election eve featured performances by Jon Bon Jovi in Detroit, Christina Aguilera in Las Vegas, Katy Perry in Pittsburgh, and Lady Gaga in Philadelphia. 2 Chainz joined Harris on November 2, three days before the election, for an eighth concert in Atlanta. Two sources said that Obama campaign alum Stephanie Cutter pushed the concert concept as a way to woo lower-propensity voters to the polls. While the performers donated their time and talent, the sets still required an immense commitment of manpower and financial resources.
-Iran instructed one of its agents, Farhad Shakeri, to stalk and assassinate former President Donald Trump in the 2024 election's final weeks, according to a bombshell criminal complaint unsealed by Manhattan federal prosecutors. The complaint charges Shakeri, who remains at large, with murder-for-hire, as well as two New York City men in separate assassination plots targeting a prominent Brooklyn journalist and two unidentified Jewish businesspeople. The Iranian official hinted at other Tehran-backed attempts to murder the former president when Shakeri told his handler that the Trump plot would "cost a 'huge' amount of money." The complaint states that the money was not an issue, as the Iranian government had already spent a lot of money on the plot.
-Mortgage rates remain high despite the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts and President Trump's pledges to cut homebuyers a break. After Trump's victory, 30-year fixed mortgage rates briefly surged before settling at 6.98%. This is bad news for house hunters who had hoped the Fed's recent interest rate cuts would ease mortgage rates, which surged during the pandemic due to government stimulus. Mortgages are more directly tied to 10-year treasury bond yields, which can cause inflation due to strong economic growth.
-Richard Farley, a partner at New York law firm Kramer Levin Naftalis & Frankel, is being considered as a potential candidate to lead the Securities and Exchange Commission for the Trump administration. Farley, a partner at Kramer Levin Naftalis & Frankel, has represented major banks and financial services companies, including Goldman Sachs, Credit Suisse, and UBS, on major financing deals. He has also represented Cantor Fitzgerald in 2017 when it was selling shares in Sorrento Therapeutics. Cantor CEO Howard Lutnick is helping to lead Trump's transition team and is in charge of choosing personnel. Farley is also an old friend of Trump backer Robert F. Kennedy Jr., who is now angling for a cabinet position.