NYT : Sony Threatens to Bypass Licensers in Royalties Battle

A month after the Justice Department said it would review the decades-old regulatory agreements governing the music licensing agencies Ascap and BMI, the world’s biggest song publisher has threatened to end its relationship with those groups if the changes it wants are not made.

The announcement, made by Sony/ATV Music Publishing — whose catalog of more than two million songs includes Beatles classics as well as current hits by Taylor Swift and Lady Gaga — comes as the music publishing world ponders major structural changes, in response to the rise of online streaming services like Pandora, Spotify and YouTube, which critics say pay too little in royalties.

In a letter to tens of thousands of Sony/ATV songwriters, Martin N. Bandier, the company’s chairman, addressed some of the issues facing the world of music publishing, including the Justice Department review and Ascap and BMI’s legal battles with Pandora over licensing.

If those matters turn out badly for the publishing world, then Sony/ATV would consider “the potential complete withdrawal of all rights from Ascap and BMI,” Mr. Bandier wrote in the letter, sent Wednesday.

Executives at major publishers like Sony/ATV and Universal Music Group have, in the past, discussed leaving Ascap and BMI, which handle the licensing of performing rights to outlets like radio, television and online services.

But Mr. Bandier’s letter highlighted the speed with which big publishers are preparing for a possible future without the two agencies. Two weeks ago, Universal announced a plan to make all of its song catalog data available online, a move that could allow it to bypass the licensing agencies. Sony/ATV is said to be working on a similar effort.

A publisher exodus would severely diminish Ascap and BMI, which together process almost $2 billion in royalties each year.

Musicians of all kinds have long complained about minuscule earnings from streaming services, which usually pay fractions of a cent each time a song is played. But songwriters say that outdated licensing rules — and the decline of separate royalties from CD and download sales — have made their losses particularly acute.

“It’s almost like their 401(k)’s have been wiped out in a heartbeat,” Mr. Bandier said in an interview on Thursday.

Despite the small sums that musicians sometimes report, streaming music has proved the music business’s only growth area. For the first half of 2014, 70.3 billion songs were streamed through on-demand services like Spotify and YouTube.

Pandora’s litigation with Ascap and BMI was prompted by the publishers’ attempts to change their relationship with the licensing agencies by making “partial withdrawals” of their rights. Under this plan, Pandora would be forced to negotiate directly with publishers — and thus pay higher licensing fees — while Ascap and BMI would continue to represent the same songs for other kinds of outlets, like radio and TV.

That effort was rejected by judges, but publishers — as well as Ascap and BMI themselves — have asked the Justice Department to amend their regulatory agreements to allow them.

Stuart Rosen, BMI’s general counsel, said in response to Sony/ATV’s letter that the Justice Department should give publishers flexibility in how they use the rights agencies to license their music. “An all-or-nothing choice is not in the best interest of songwriters, composers and publishers,” Mr. Rosen said.

Jesse Harris, a Sony/ATV songwriter best known for writing some of Norah Jones’s biggest hits, pointed out that songwriters often relie on royalties more heavily than performing artists.

“These royalties are important to us,” Mr. Harris said.

(BofA-ML) The Flow Show : Paranoia driving flows to EM


* Inflows: All asset classes see weekly inflows: Equities $5.5bn, Bonds $3.6bn, Commodities $1.0bn
* Quality: In Fixed Income theme is quality: big $3.2bn inflows to Investment Grade, no inflows to High Yield
* Value: In Equities persistent flows to cheap EM (Chart 2), faltering flows to less cheap Europe, outflows from pricey US
* Inflation: Hedges for inflation in demand: largest weekly inflow to precious metals funds since Sep’12; first inflows to floating-rate debt in 13 weeks; another week of inflows to TIPS
* Sentiment: BofAML Bull & Bear Index stays at 7.4 (Chart 1); breach of 8.0 “sell” signal level next week requires July FMS cash levels to fall to 3.5% on Tuesday, and stronger EM debt & equity fund inflows

>>> Asset class flows
* Equities: $5.5bn inflows (almost all via ETF’s – SPY, QQQ, EEM)
* Bonds: $3.6bn inflows (inflows in 17 out of past 18 weeks) (Table 1)
* Precious metals: $1.0bn inflows (largest since Sep’12)

>>> Equity flows
* 5 straight weeks of inflows to EM equities ($1.4bn) vs tiny $5mn outflows from
* EU equities (outflows in 2 out of past 3 weeks), i.e. persistent flows to cheap EM, faltering flows to less cheap Europe
* US: $0.6bn inflows; Japan: $0.7bn inflows

>>> FICC flows
* 29 straight weeks of inflows to IG bond funds ($3.2bn – responsible for lion’s share of fixed income inflows this week)
* HY bond funds see no inflows this week
* First floating-rate debt inflows in 13 weeks (albeit modest $90mn)
* 3 straight weeks of inflows to TIPS ($0.3bn)
* 15 straight weeks of inflows to EM debt funds ($0.1bn)
* Largest weekly outflows from Muni bond funds YTD ($0.7bn)

(Kep-Che) French Telco - Liar's Poker

* Consolidation still the logical outcome
Despite recent events, we think consolidation is still the most likely
outcome, as Bouygues Telecom’s strategy does not seem sustainable and
the risk of an irreversible price war in fixed is looming. A break-up of
Bouygues Telecom is the most logical outcome, but Iliad will probably now
have to take the lead and bear the risks (overpayment, leverage and
cannibalisation).

* M&A options fairly valued for Orange and Iliad
The recent share price pullback suggests the M&A options are now fairly
valued for Orange and Iliad. Numericable stands to gain the most from
consolidation, given its higher mobile exposure and leverage.

* Numericable best pick based on synergies, growth and M&A
Numericable remains our preferred stock (TP upped from EUR49 to
EUR54), as a result of integration synergies, the M&A option and a longterm
superior competitive edge. Orange (Hold, TP upped from EUR11.0
to EUR11.5) looks fairly valued when non-recurrent items are factored in.
Iliad (Reduce, TP upped from EUR170 to EUR205) still looks slightly
overvalued and could face more operating or M&A-related risks.

(BFW) Ajinomoto Interested in Buying Symrise, Platow Brief Says


Ajinomoto Interested in Buying Symrise, Platow Brief Says
2014-07-10 17:06:42.82 GMT


By Richard Weiss
     July 10 (Bloomberg) -- Japanese co. hired investment bank
to help prepare deal, Platow Brief reports in July 11 edition,
without saying where it got the information.
     Magazine also says:
  * Former Symrise CEO and shareholder Horst-Otto Gerberding not
    yet convinced of deal
  * While Symrise valuation had seemed high, ADM buying Wild
    Flavors meant prices rose further with one fewer target
    available
  * Ajinomoto had also bid for Wild Flavors
  * NOTE: ADM to buy Wild Flavors for $3.1 billion to add
    natural flavors


For Related News and Information:
First Word scrolling panel: FIRST<GO>
First Word newswire: NH BFW<GO>

To contact the reporter on this story:
Richard Weiss in Frankfurt at +49-69-92041-287 or
rweiss5@bloomberg.net
To contact the editor responsible for this story:
Benedikt Kammel at +49-30-70010-6230 or
bkammel@bloomberg.net

>>> What to look at today - 11/07/2014

US Market Closed lower but rebound from low levels, The early stumble was not brought upon by any specific headline, but rather a series of developments that caused investors to reduce their exposure to equities. In Asia, China reported below-consensus exports (7.2% versus expected 10.6%) and imports (5.5% versus expected 5.8%), while Japan's Core Machinery Orders tumbled 19.5% against the expectations of an uptick of 0.7%, worries about Portugal banking system didn't helped the mkt also, With the second-quarter earnings season set to heat up next week, two consumer discretionary components primed the market for disappointing results. Shares of Potbelly(PBPB 10.97, -3.68) plunged 25.1% to a new record low after the company said it expects its revenue to come in below estimates, while also guiding for a 1.6% decline in comparable store sales...Volume was below average with 640m shares...VIX @ 12,64 +8,50%...
Asian Markets are trading in line with US & Europe...European concerns appears to be the main focus, JPY is holding...Nikkei -0.48% Hang Seng -0.35% Shanghai +0.45%

Eur$1.3600 S&P +0.03% EuroStoxx +0.35% FTSE +0.18% Dax +0.29% SMI+0.15%

Macro
- Nowotny Says ECB Should Agree or Drop ABS Plan by End of Year

Keep an eye on :
- AIR FP : SMBC Said in Airbus Talks for Potential A320 Order ($10b): Reuters
- BATS LN : Reynolds Said to Be Near Deal to Buy Lorillard With BAT Blessing
- BES PL : Portugal’s CMVM Bans Naked Short Selling of BES Shares
- BES PL : BES Has Large Enough Capital for Possible Defaults: Reuters
- BES PL : Banco Espirito Santo Has EU1.18b Exposure to E.S. Group
- Braccialini IPO : Braccialini moves toward selling to Chinese or Singapore investor; IPO becomes less likely
- BMW GY : 1114 HK +1.68%
- BRBY LN : Burberry Shareholder Sells ~GBP69m of Shares, Reuters Says
- AM FP : India to Delay Rafale Contract Until Next Year: Les Echos
- DSY FP : Dassault Systemes Buys Simpack; Purchase Price Not Disclosed
- EDF FP : France to Close Experimental Nuclear Reactor end-2015: Les Echos
- EMSN SW : EMS-Chemie 1H Net Sales Rise to CHF999m, Confirms 2014 Forecast
- IND IM : Whirlpool Agrees to Buy $1b Majority Stake in Indesit
- LLOY LN : Lloyds CEO Says Co. Ready for Full Privatization: Expansion
- MC FP : Russian Luxury Market to Drop 4%-6% This Yr, Vedomosti Says
- MTX GY : MTU Aero Takes Stake in GE’s Boeing 777X Power Plant
- NOVN VX : Novartis’s Siponimod Gets FDA Orphan Status for Dermatomyositis
- UG FP : Peugeot Auto-Finance Unit, Santander to Set Up Partnership
- RHM GY : Rheinmetall Wants to Merge With Krauss-Maffei, Handelsblatt Says
- RI FP : Pernod takes a $100M gulp of Tequila Avion - NY Post
- SAF FP : Safran to Partner GE on New Engine for Boeing 777x
- SAP GY : Infosys 1Q Net Income Beats Estimates, Keeps Sales Outlook (Info IM +1.2%)
- SHP LN : More talks about Allergan bid on Shire
- SIE GY : Siemens to Sell BSH Joint Venture Stake to Bosch: Handelsblatt
- GLE FP : Societe Generale to Relocate Tokyo Office to Marunouchi
- UNA NA : Unilever Sells Slim-Fast Brand to Kainos Capital; No Terms
- VIV FP : Sony May Bypass Licensing Agencies Over Royalties: NYT
- VOW3 GY : Volkswagen Group China 1H Sales Rise 17.5% YoY

>>> Brokers Upgrades & Donwgrades

>>> Up
*BASHNEFT PREF RAISED TO NEUTRAL VS UNDERWEIGHT AT JPMORGAN
*BOUYGUES RAISED TO HOLD VS REDUCE AT KEPLER CHEUVREUX
*BUZZI UNICEM RAISED TO OUTPERFORM VS NEUTRAL AT EXANE
*COCA-COLA HBC RAISED TO BUY VS NEUTRAL AT GOLDMAN
*ERSTE RAISED TO BUY VS NEUTRAL AT UBS
*FLUIDRA RAISED TO BUY VS HOLD AT KEPLER CHEUVREUX
*IMPALA PLATINUM HOLDINGS RAISED TO NEUTRAL VS SELL AT UBS
*PGE RAISED TO NEUTRAL VS SELL AT GOLDMAN
*REGUS RAISED TO NEUTRAL VS UNDERWEIGHT AT JPMORGAN
*SEVERFIELD RAISED TO BUY VS HOLD AT JEFFERIES
*SHELL RAISED TO OVERWEIGHT VS NEUTRAL AT JPMORGAN
*WINCANTON RAISED TO OVERWEIGHT VS NEUTRAL AT JPMORGAN

>>> Down
*ABERTIS CUT TO UNDERWEIGHT VS NEUTRAL AT JPMORGAN
*AFRICAN MINERALS CUT TO UNDERPERFORM AT BOFAML
*ANGLO PLATINUM CUT TO SELL VS NEUTRAL AT UBS
*DAIRY CREST GROUP CUT TO SELL VS HOLD AT SOCGEN
*ITALCEMENTI CUT TO NEUTRAL VS OUTPERFORM AT EXANE
*KAZAKHMYS CUT TO NEUTRAL AT BOFAML
*MORGAN ADVANCED MATERIALS CUT TO NEUTRAL AT JPMORGAN
*PAYPOINT CUT TO NEUTRAL VS OVERWEIGHT AT JPMORGAN
*PROMETHEAN CUT TO NEUTRAL VS OVERWEIGHT AT JPMORGAN
*ROSNEFT CUT TO NEUTRAL VS OVERWEIGHT AT JPMORGAN
*SAINT-GOBAIN CUT TO HOLD VS BUY AT SOCGEN
*SURGUTNG PREF CUT TO NEUTRAL VS OVERWEIGHT AT JPMORGAN

>>> PT Change


>>> Initiation
*ALENT RATED NEW BUY AT LIBERUM; PT 400P
*ENEL RATED NEW UNDERPERFORM AT RBC; PT EU4.25
*SNAM RATED NEW OUTPERFORM AT RBC; PT EU4.75
*TERNA RATED NEW SECTOR PERFORM AT RBC; PT EU4
*TYMAN RATED NEW BUY AT UBS; PT 350P

>>> Call
>> Stock
*EDP REMOVED FROM CONVICTION SELL LIST AT GOLDMAN; STILL SELL
* Barcap : Rio Tinto, Agrium, Marathon Oil added; BT Group, Gas Natural, Gazprom, Schlumberger, Wolseley removed.

>>> Braccialini moves toward selling to Chinese or Singapore investor; IPO becom

Braccialini moves toward selling to Chinese or Singapore investor; IPO becomes less likely 

Braccialini, the Italian fashion designer and manufacturer of leather accessories, is moving toward selling a strategic stake to an investor from China or Singapore, Italian language daily Milano Finanza reported. The item cited Nino Attanasio, the chairman of HAT, the private equity firm that holds 22.22% of Braccialini.

The item cited Attanasio as saying that the two financial investors were already carrying out due diligence. The item said that both investors have already presented non-binding offers.

The item also cited Attanasio as saying that a listing on Italy's AIM was becoming less likely.

The report noted that the other shareholders of Braccialini are Riccardo Braccialini with a 21.84% stake, NEM Sgr with a 22.22% stake, and Sici sgr with a 33.33% stake. The report added that Riccardo Braccialini will remain a shareholder in the company.

The report noted that Braccialini closed 2013 with turnover of EUR 68.79m compared to EUR 77m in 2012. The item added that EBITDA was EUR 5.3m in 2013 compared to EUR 2.7m in 2012. The report added that net financial debt was EUR 23.5m compared to EUR 22.8m in 2012



Source Milano Finanza daily edition

NYT : TRW Automotive Gets Preliminary Takeover Offer

TRW Automotive Holdings, one of the largest auto safety parts makers, has received a preliminary nonbinding offer to be acquired.

TRW, based in Livonia, Mich., did not identify the suitor, but according to people briefed the matter, the offer came from ZF Friedrichshafen, a German auto parts maker. The German company later confirmed that it had discussions on a possible acquisition.

ZF added that it “does not intend to make any further public comment on this matter until a definitive agreement with TRW is reached or discussions are terminated.”

TRW has a market value of more than $10 billion. Its shares have performed well in recent months, reaching record highs.

On Thursday, the shares rose sharply, jumping as much as 11.6 percent, after Bloomberg News earlier reported the approach.

TRW said in a statement that it had not decided whether it would engage in sale talks, and had not set a timetable for making a decision. The company added that it had hired Goldman Sachs to advise it.

TRW makes air bags, crash sensors and other parts used to protect passengers, distributing to a wide range of car makers. It had sales of $17.4 billion in 2013, and employs more than 65,000 people.

ZF, based in Friedrichshafen, in southern Germany, manufactures transmissions, axles and other parts that are included in European and American cars. It had sales of about $23 billion in 2013.

TRW was spun out of defense contractor Northrop Grumman in 2002, with private equity firm Blackstone acquiring the business for $4.7 billion. Blackstone took TRW public less than two years later.

NY Post : Pernod takes a $100M gulp of Tequila Avion

The drinks are on them!
New York-based Tequila Avion, the 5-year-old spirits brand backed by big name investors — including AOL’s Tim Armstrong, YouTube co-founder Chad Hurley and Coach Chairman Lew Frankfort — has sold a significant majority stake to French beverage giant Pernod Ricard.
Terms of the sale were not disclosed — but sources close to the deal peg the sale price at about $100 million.
The acquisition is believed to be a cash deal, a source told The Post.
The deal comes as the volume of super premium tequilas like Avion sold in the US have soared 481 percent over the last 11 years, according to industry figures.
Overall tequila shipments are up 83 percent over that same period.
Tequila Avion, which can cost up to $150 a bottle, was started in 2009 by former Marquis Jets executive Ken Austin.
It got a big boost after Austin, a longtime pal of “Entourage” creator Doug Ellin, convinced Ellin to feature the brand on the popular HBO series that ran for eight seasons through 2011.
The sale to Pernod is a big win for Austin, who set out to create the tequila after a conversation with Warren Buffett.
The noted billionaire investor noted the absence of a No. 2 brand in the premium tequila world — after No. 1 Patron.
After the chat with the Oracle of Omaha, Austin scouted for a Mexican family to work with to create what he hoped would be the world’s best-tasting tequila.
Meanwhile, Pernod Ricard, whose global stable of spirits brands include Absolut, Chivas, Kahlúa, Jameson and Beefeater, is looking to grow its US business.
Earlier this year, it acquired Kenwood, the Sonoma, Calif., vineyard, for under $100 million, according to Reuters.

>>> US After Hours

After Hours Summary: JOEZ +15.5%, CERE +2.9%, CUDA +2.2%, RCII -11.1%, EOPN -4.6%, GPS -2.0% following earnings/guidance
After Hours Gainers:

Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to earnings: JOEZ +15.5%, CERE +2.9%, CUDA +2.2%, EBAY +0.5%, ZEP +0.4%

Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to news: KEYW +4.6% (co's subsidiaries and Oracle (ORCL) collaborate on advanced security solutions), TLP +2.6% (NGL Energy Partners (NGL) announces offer to acquire outstanding units of TransMontaigne Partners), TC +0.4% (announced Q2 operating results: Total concrete production for Mt. Milligan was 29.7 thousand dry tonnes), PVA +0.3% (announced acquisition of Eagle Ford Shale assets)

After Hours Losers:

Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to earnings: RCII -11.1%, EOPN -4.6%, VOXX -4.4%, PSMT -4.3%, GPS -2.0%

Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to news: TMST -5.8% (Relational Investors disclosed 2.99% active stake in 13D filing), ARTX -5.6% (announced public offering of common stock, size not disclosed), RDN -3.6% (provided comment on propsed GSE requirements for private mortgage insurer elibilitiy; Radian expects ability to comply within the transition period without a need to raise external capital), FSC -2.5% (commenced public offering of 13.25 mln shares of its common stock), ISLE -2.1% (announced management changes: Position of Executive Chairman eliminated; Robert Goldstein named non-executive Chairman; Eric Hausler named CFO)