>>>Amazon.com: Color on Quarter

-->AMZN is down 9.6% at a 14 month low in the premarket

Amazon.com: Color on Quarter
  • Needham notes Amazon missed rev and operating income expectations for 3Q14 and Q4 guidance. While overall GMV growth trended lower, they believe investors should find solace in the acceleration of 3P GMV growth. The slower growth was primarily due to a shift towards digital goods and sluggish international markets. Despite heading towards the holidays, they expect these trends to persist, offsetting the solid 3P GMV growth and leaving the slowing overall GMV growth trend intact. Gross margin continued to improve, which they expect to occur again in Q4. While large technology, content, and fulfillment investments may be necessary for long-term growth, they believe investors are fatigued by the severity of the loss and lack of profitability given the current revenue growth rate; Hold.
  • Oppenheimer lowers their AMZN tgt to $372 from $415 on lower long-term estimates for Media, which is seeing materially slower growth; despite weaker 3Q gross profit and 4Q guidance, driven by the Fire Phone write-off. Excluding this charge, eCommerce GP/customer increased a healthy 10% y/y vs. +11% in 1H14. AWS growth accelerated q/q, and should grow sequentially in 4Q. Mgmt blamed weaker Media on less aggressive discounting vs. last year and shift in textbooks to rentals. They also believe that a larger Prime library is resulting in fewer media purchases. Decreasing '14E SOI by 5%, '15E largely unchanged.
  • Topeka Capital Markets lowers their AMZN tgt to $350 from $395. Amazon's 3Q14 revenues were slightly below their estimates while CSOI was better than they modeled, perhaps even better ex-the Fire Phone valuation costs. The sharp deceleration in media growth is concerning and is a trend they will monitor. 4Q CSOI guidance implies a return to profitability levels in the +3% range if Amazon exceeds guidance. For them, 1Q15 guidance (with 4Q results) will be critical in assessing their view of the stock next year. Amazon will need to show that its investments since the start of this cycle will produce returns.
  • RBC Capital Mkts lowers their AMZN tgt to $420 from $435; AMZN remains a Very Aggressive Investor - China market expansion, Devices (Fire), Fresh (Groceries), Faster Delivery, Consumer Staples, and Video Content. They continue to view most of these as logical, with the possible exception of some of the Devices spend. The super-aggressive investment outlook may well make AMZN a 2015 Long, but they'll be patient. They highly doubt that all these investments won't pay off in the form of eventual revenue growth reacceleration AND eventual margin expansion.
  • Janney downgraded AMZN to Neutral
  • Cowen downgraded AMZN to Mkt Perform; tgt to $325

>>>Choice Hotels beats by $0.03, misses on revs; guides Q4 EPS below consensus

Choice Hotels beats by $0.03, misses on revs; guides Q4 EPS below consensus

Reports Q3 (Sep) earnings of $0.67 per share, $0.03 better than the Capital IQ Consensus Estimate of $0.64; revenues fell 0.7% year/year to $215.2 mln vs the $229.29 mln consensus.
  • RevPar increased 8.8 percent in the third quarter of 2014 as occupancy and average daily rates increased 320 basis points and 3.4 percent, respectively from the same period of 2013.
  • Co issues downside guidance for Q4, sees EPS of $0.34 vs. $0.40 Capital IQ Consensus Estimate. EBITDA for full-year 2014 are expected to range between $216 million and $219 million.
  • FY14 Outlook: Franchising: Net domestic unit growth for 2014 is expected to range between 1% and 2%; RevPAR is expected to increase approximately 9% for the fourth quarter and range between 8% and 8.5% for full-year 2014; The effective royalty rate is expected to decline 5 basis points for full-year 2014 as compared to full-year 2013.

>>>Bristol-Myers beats by $0.03, beats on revs; reaffirms FY14 EPS guidance

Bristol-Myers beats by $0.03, beats on revs; reaffirms FY14 EPS guidance

Reports Q3 (Sep) earnings of $0.45 per share, excluding non-recurring items, $0.03 better than the Capital IQ Consensus Estimate of $0.42; revenues fell 3.5% year/year to $3.92 bln vs the $3.82 bln consensus.
  • Excluding the divested Diabetes Alliance, global revenues increased 7%. U.S. revenues decreased 3% to $2.0 billion in the quarter compared to the same period a year ago. International revenues decreased 4%. Gross margin as a percentage of revenues was 74.3% in the quarter compared to 71.1% in the same period a year ago.
Co issues guidance for FY14, sees EPS of $1.70-1.80, excluding non-recurring items, vs. $1.78 Capital IQ Consensus Estimate; sees FY14 revs of $15.2-15.8 bln vs. $15.58 bln Capital IQ Consensus Estimate.

"Our financial results in the third quarter reflect our continued focus on balancing long-term growth with short-term performance, as we achieved significant progress in our pipeline and saw strong in-market performance for key products including Eliquis, Yervoy, Sprycel and Orencia."

>>>UPS beats by $0.04, reports revs in-line; reaffirms FY14 EPS guidance

UPS beats by $0.04, reports revs in-line; reaffirms FY14 EPS guidance

Reports Q3 (Sep) earnings of $1.32 per share, $0.04 better than the Capital IQ Consensus of $1.28; revenues rose 5.7% year/year to $14.29 bln vs the $14.2 bln consensus.
  • Operating profit increased 8.3%, resulting from balanced growth across all three segments.
    • Daily packages in the U.S. were 6.9% higher as demand from both B2C and B2B customers improved.
    • International Export shipments increased 9.4% with strong growth in both Asia and Europe.
    • UPS delivered 1.1 billion packages around the world, up 6.9% over the third quarter 2013.
    • U.S. Domestic revenue +5.3% to $8.7 bln.
      • Daily package volume improved 6.9%, led by gains in UPS Ground and Deferred products up 7.7% and 5.9%, respectively.
      • E-commerce continued to drive strong B2C growth, while B2B deliveries were also higher this quarter.
      • Operating profit was $1.3 billion, up 7.8%.
Co reaffirms guidance for FY14, sees EPS of $4.90-5.00 vs. $4.95 Capital IQ Consensus.
  • The co announced its expectations for the upcoming holiday season. UPS expects shipments delivered during the month of December to climb 11% over the prior year.
  • As previously announced, the company committed an additional $175 million in operating expense and $500 million in capital expenditures to enhance its capabilities and prepare the network for peak and future volume growth.

>>> ARIA : Announces adoption of final opinion for Iclusig by Committee for Medi

Announces adoption of final opinion for Iclusig by Committee for Medicinal Products for human use in Europe
- Committee for Medicinal Products for Human Use (CHMP) of the European Medicines Agency (EMA) has adopted its final opinion on Iclusig(ponatinib) following the recommendations made by the Pharmacovigilance Risk Assessment Committee (PRAC) earlier this month. The PRAC conducted an 11-month review of the available data on Iclusig and consulted with a scientific advisory group in oncology
- This week, the EMA recommended that Iclusig continue to be used in accordance with its already approved indications as a treatment of certain leukaemias and confirmed that the benefit-risk profile of Iclusig continues to be positive in each of these indications. The EMA also recommended additional warnings in the European product information to minimize the risk of vascular events.

>>> US Early premarket gappers

Early premarket gappers

Gapping up: VTAE +38.7%, LAKE +21.2%, RUBI +19.2%, APT +18.3%, IBIO +16%, GIMO +14.3%, RP +13.4%, MXWL +12.9%, KLAC +11.6%, BJRI +11.5%, QLIK +9.7%, TKMR +7.8%, NLNK +6.4%, EW +4.8%, SWFT +4.5%, GHL +4.4%, FII +4%, PFPT +3.6%, PFPT +3.6%, BBGI +3.6%, SHPG +3.3%, INO +2.7%, MSFT +2.5%, POL +2.4%, LEA +2.3%, EMES +2.2%, VOD +2.2%, BCRX +2.1%, JNPR +2.1%, CB +2%, LJPC +1.9%, PACB +1.8%, IM +1.8%, PFE +1.6%, LYB +1.6%, WYN +1.5%, F +1.5%, AMAT +1.4%, WRI +1.3%, NCR +1%, LOGM +0.9%

Gapping down: DRYS -21%, SUTR -19.2%, TESS -15.6%, TESS -15.6%, LAYN -14.3%, SYNA -12.3%, AMZN -10.6%, P -8.3%, NPSP -6.8%, FSL -6.4%, OLN -6%, LSCC -5.8%, SWN -3.8%, ALTR -3.7%, GPRO -3.3%, VMI -3.1%, JBSS -3%, MXIM -2.9%, DECK -2.7%, CLNE -2.7%, CERN -2.4%, ERIC -2.2%, ELY -2.1%, CL -2%, RCL -1.9%, EDU -1.9%, GOLD -1.8%, INFA -1.8%, SDRL -1.6%, AAL -1.5%, GEVA -1.4%, STT -1.4%, RGLD -1.3%, BMRN -1.3%, TOT -1.2%, WIRE -1.2%, FMD -1.2%, MNOV -1%, STO -1%, IMGN -1%, GG -0.9%, CPWR -0.9%, BP -0.7%

WSJ : Warren Buffett Puts Wind in Berkshire’s Sails

Warren Buffett Puts Wind in Berkshire’s Sails
Billionaire Investor Doubles Down on Renewables in Energy Strategy

Warren Buffett is synonymous with his hometown of Omaha, Neb., but for a glimpse into the future of his investment empire, look east…to Iowa.

In the neighboring Hawkeye State, the Berkshire Hathaway Inc. chairman has sunk billions into wind-farm projects, part of a big gambit on renewable energy by a utility company he acquired in 2000 and has built into one of the country’s largest power suppliers.

Through a majority-owned subsidiary, Berkshire Hathaway Energy, Mr. Buffett plans to double the $15 billion already committed to renewable-energy projects through early this year, and he is on the hunt for more utility acquisitions.

Charles T. Munger , Mr. Buffett’s longtime business partner and Berkshire’s vice chairman, last month predicted that the company would be “the biggest utilities business in the United States” in a few years.

The energy unit is key to Berkshire’s future—it generates more than 7% of the conglomerate’s earnings, and is likely to climb—while also providing Mr. Buffett a way to invest Berkshire’s ever-growing cash pile.

“Charlie and I for decades said that the best businesses don’t need capital and that’s still the case,” Mr. Buffett said in an interview. “But we’ve reached a point in Berkshire’s life where we also are quite satisfied with businesses that require capital as long as they provide a decent rate of return.”

Berkshire Hathaway Inc. had $55.5 billion of cash as of June 30.

Another reason many Buffett watchers are paying attention: Berkshire Hathaway Energy is run by Greg Abel, a 52-year-old Canadian who is among the younger executives seen by analysts as possibly succeeding the 84-year-old billionaire as CEO.

For Mr. Buffett, who entered the energy industry in 2000 with Berkshire’s $2 billion purchase of what was then called MidAmerican Energy Holdings Co., the bet is straightforward: People will always need power, come boom or bust. As he likes to quip, owning a utility isn’t a way to get rich, but to stay rich.

Berkshire Hathaway Energy—as MidAmerican Energy Holdings was renamed this April—supplies electricity to more than 8 million customers globally. That number will likely swell to 11 million if Berkshire closes its $3 billion acquisition of a Canadian power transmission company later this year as expected.

In addition to the renewable-energy projects, Berkshire has spent roughly $15 billion on acquisitions that have diversified the energy company’s sources of revenue. Last year, it bought Nevada’s largest utility, NV Energy, for $5.6 billion. Mr. Buffett said in his last letter to shareholders that will “not be [the] last major acquisition in Energy.” Soon after, Berkshire announced plans to buy Alberta-based AltaLink.

Mr. Buffett praised Mr. Abel for shepherding the utility through multiple acquisitions and a big commitment to renewable energy. “It is quite a story,” Mr. Buffett said.

Although many analysts consider utilities a lackluster investment as traditional sources of energy lose favor and distribution models change, they contend that Berkshire’s early focus on renewables will help it manage the transition better.

“Electricity is pretty fundamental, but the means of producing it will shift gradually over time,” Mr. Buffett said.

Messrs. Buffett and Abel don’t make a secret of the fact that their renewable-energy investments have been driven in large part by tax credits, which the U.S. government has for years offered to offset the costs of building wind and solar farms.

With the tax credit for wind power having expired and another for solar set to expire in 2016, Mr. Abel, who oversaw Berkshire’s purchase of one of the world’s largest solar farms in California, said he was expecting a “significant impact” to the economics of investing in renewable power.

Mr. Abel said “2016 in our minds is still a long way off.” He added that he expects the cost of deploying alternative technologies to come down over time, but that Berkshire Hathaway Energy would “encourage the federal government” to continue evaluating the impact of such policies.

Utilities require heavy investments to maintain and upgrade grids. Regulated utilities, such as the ones Berkshire owns, are allowed to operate monopolies in exchange for keeping their prices low, with rates of return being set by regulators. Many of Berkshire’s customers pay lower rates than the national average.

That doesn’t allow much wriggle room. However, Berkshire has managed to find returns of at least 12% on its invested capital, according to analysts. That is partly because Berkshire Hathaway Energy doesn’t pay any dividends to its shareholders, including its 89.8% owner Berkshire Hathaway (Berkshire board member Walter Scott and his family and Mr. Abel own the rest). Instead, it reinvests its earnings into the business, which regulators encourage.
Warren Buffett’s bet on energy is fairly straightforward: People will always need power, come boom or bust. ENLARGE
Warren Buffett’s bet on energy is fairly straightforward: People will always need power, come boom or bust. Bloomberg News

In a note last year, Andrew Bischof, an equities analyst at Morningstar Inc., called Berkshire Hathaway Energy “one of the largest, top-performing utilities of the last half-decade” by return on capital, a trend he said has continued in 2014. He values the company at about $31 billion.

A utilities lifer who grants few interviews, Mr. Abel has headed Berkshire’s energy business since 2008 when the Des Moines-based arm’s former CEO David Sokol took on a bigger role at the conglomerate. Mr. Sokol left Berkshire in 2011.

Mr. Abel has built a reputation as an astute deal maker, with an easygoing manner similar to other senior Berkshire executives.

Since 2004, Berkshire has invested $5.8 billion into wind projects in Iowa, Mr. Abel said. The Iowa utility, still called MidAmerican under the Berkshire Hathaway Energy banner, has built more than 3,300 megawatts, or 64% of Iowa’s wind-generation capacity, compared with about 100 megawatts it had built there by 2000.

Iowa driver’s licenses now have wind turbines in the background, said Mr. Abel: “That’s how proud we are.”