FT : Record outflows from Europe-focused ETFs

US investors’ retreat from Europe has accelerated this month, with the amounts they have pulled from European-focused equity exchange traded funds already exceeding the previous record set in August.

Outflows so far this month from US-listed European equity ETFs have reached nearly $3bn, according to an analysis by Markit, the financial data provider. That was the largest in any month since the first such products were launched more than a decade ago.

The flows were driven by the weaker euro, but they also highlight a global shift in sentiment away from Europe amid fears the continent could slip into a deflationary downswing. “The growth story isn’t really there,” said Simon Colvin, analyst at Markit.

ETFs, which trade like stocks and often track baskets of securities, are used widely by hedge funds as well as retail investors as easy ways to take quick, directional positions on changing economic prospects. Outflows picked up from October 10, after a week of sharp falls in global share prices and continued during last week’s financial market turbulence.

Encouraging US investors to repatriate funds have been transatlantic divergences in monetary policies that have led to the euro falling 9 per cent against the dollar since May. While the US Federal Reserve this month plans to end its quantitative easing, or large scale asset purchases, the European Central Bank is expanding its balance sheet via lending and private sector asset purchases.

This month the International Monetary Fund warned of a 40 per cent chance of a eurozone recession, although purchasing managers’ indices released on Thursday suggested economic activity this month had been stronger than expected.
In depth

The UK, which is not part of the eurozone, has not been immune from the change in sentiment, with this month’s outflows from UK-focused ETFs approaching $700m, also a record.

European equity funds have also seen global investors withdrawing in recent months. Last week saw record outflows of $5.7bn from European equity funds tracked by EPFR, the funds data provider.

However, US investors have not given up on Europe when they can protect against the falling euro. Inflows into US-listed currency-hedged European exposed ETFs have accelerated to $326m this month, which Markit said showed “investors are still keen to gain exposure to the eurozone”.

(BFW) Cutrale-Safra Boosts Chiquita Offer to $14.50-Shr


BN 10/23 12:54 *CUTRALE-SAFRA OFFERS TO BUY CHIQUITA AT $14.50-SHR IN CASH
BFW 10/23 12:53 *CUTRALE-SAFRA SUBMITS BID FOR $14.50-SHR FOR CQB
BN 10/23 12:53 *CUTRALE-SAFRA SUBMITS BID FOR $14.50-SHR FOR CQB

Cutrale-Safra Boosts Chiquita Offer to $14.50-Shr
2014-10-23 12:55:28.459 GMT


By Brad Skillman
Oct. 23 (Bloomberg) -- Chiquita had found $14/shr offer
inadequate, believed future share price range of Chiquita Fyffes
combination is $15.46 to $20.01
* NOTE: CQB holders meeting tomorrow on Fyffes combination

Link to Company News:{CQB US <Equity> CN <GO>}
Link to Company News:{FFY ID <Equity> CN <GO>}

For Related News and Information:
First Word scrolling panel: {FIRST<GO>}
First Word newswire: {NH BFW<GO>}

To contact the editor responsible for this story:
Brad Skillman at +1-212-617-2763 or
bskillman1@bloomberg.net

WSJ : BOJ Sees Bigger Chance of Fall in CPI Below 1%

The Bank of Japan now sees a much bigger possibility of inflation slipping below 1%, pushed down by falling crude oil prices, according to people familiar with the central bank’s thinking, a development that could rekindle market speculation for additional easing.

While the BOJ recognizes that lower oil prices are ultimately good for the economy as they reduce living costs from imported food to gasoline, the central bank is concerned about their effect over the shorter term.

Viewed from the perspective of the bank’s goal to achieve stable inflation of 2% in about two years, the lower crude prices will likely outweigh recent falls in the yen, slowing down the BOJ’s mission to rid Japan of deflation.

A fall below 1% is now “possible,” said one of the people. Another person cited a “fifty-fifty” chance. The people also signaled that inflation could stay below 1% for more than one month, though one of them said sustained declines after October were unlikely.

Only a few months ago, a drop in price growth below 1% was seen by some economists as a trigger for the BOJ to consider extra stimulus, though the falls in the yen since then largely doused out speculation of imminent easing.

Still, financial markets are closely watching how the consumer price index fares over the coming months to gauge the possibility of whether the central bank will act again. The index, factoring out the effects of an increase in the sales tax in April and volatile perishable food prices, rose 1.1% in August, below its recent peak of 1.5% in April.

Crude oil prices have fallen by more than $20 per barrel over the past few months. The Dubai oil price, the benchmark oil transaction in Asia, fell $3 on Thursday to $82.30 per barrel.

The BOJ sees a $10 drop in crude oil prices weighing on CPI growth by at least 0.1 percentage point, the first person said.

If the recent decline in oil prices is sign of a further slowdown in the global economy, that’s also not good for the Japanese economy just as recent signs point to a pick-up in exports, the people said.

The BOJ is also concerned about the protracted impact of a continued fall in crude oil prices on inflation expectations, something the bank sees as key to eradicating years of deflation, the people said.

Board member Sayuri Shirai argued in a monthly magazine Thursday that various data suggest Japan’s long-term inflation expectations are hovering around 1% compared with around 2% in the U.S. and U.K. For the BOJ to achieve a stable 2% inflation target, those expectations needs to be stabilized at the same level, she said.

Ms. Shirai dissented on the policy board’s view at the previous meeting that inflation expectations appear to be rising on the whole.

Many BOJ watchers don’t expect the central bank to take additional stimulus when the policy board meets on Oct. 31. CPI data for September comes out the same day, with the central bank also slated to release its semi-annual forecasts on prices and growth over a three-year time frame.

>>> US Gapping down

Gapping down
In reaction to disappointing earnings/guidance
: AIRM -24.3%, YELP -12.5%, CAB -9.6%, CLB -6.8%, CTXS -6.6%, IPCM -6.2%, AWH -4.7%, (light volume), CAKE -4.5%, VAR -4.3%, ACAT -4%, UA -4%, OTEX -3.9%, DNKN -3.8%, TER -2.2%, SUSQ -2.1%, UN -1.9%, GOL -1.7%, LRCX -1.5%, WFT -1.5%, CA -1.3%, T -1%, PCP -1%, CCE -0.8%

Other news: ADHD -14.1% ( released a presentation with updated clinical trial results of Metadoxine Extended Release for the treatment of ADHD), FREE -9.1% (filed for 17,500,000 shares common stock, offering by selling stockholder), PT -5.4% (still checking), NMFC -3.8% (commences offering of 5,000,000 shares of common stock), WYY -3.7% (prices public offering of 6,896,552 shares of common stock at $1.45/share), ZAZA -1% (following 40% move higher yesterday), ISNS -0.9% (following 30% move higher yesterday), SPEX -0.8% (provides litigation update)

Analyst comments: MDCO -1.5% (downgraded to Neutral from Buy at BofA/Merrill)

>>> US Gapping up

Gapping up
In reaction to strong earnings/guidance
: JAKK +16.2%, EGHT +13.4%, SCSS +13.3%, TSCO +12.6%, INFN +12.6%, DAN +9.8%, NOK +8.7%, ACTG +8.3%, LCI +7.3%, PLCM +6.2%, LOGI +5.7%, YNDX +5.2%, JNS +5.2%, MKTO +4.5%, DO +4.4%, CAT +4.4%, ORAN +4.2%, SLM +4%, ORLY +3.9%, MLNX +3.5%, SHLM +3.3%, (following late move lower), ALXN +3%, FTNT +2.9%, LUV +2.7%, MMM +2.2%, NXPI +2.1%, SFG +2%, CSH +2%, BBW +2%, UNP +1.9%, NOW +1.8%, GM +1.7%, DMRC +1.6%, AB +1.6%, JBLU +1.5%, SGMO +1.4%, ORRF +1.3%, CAM +1.2%, RTN +1.1%, CMCSA +1%, CHKP +0.9%

M&A news: BRP +21.3% (Brookfield Asset Mgmt proposes to acquire 30% of Brookfield Residential Properties (BRP) not currently owned for $23.00/share), WWAV +7.2% (WhiteWave Foods or Boulder Brands (BDBD) may be possible takeover targets, according to Bloomberg real M&A column), PETM +3.1% (has received takeover interest from KKR (KKR) and outer PE firms, according to reports)

Other news: CYTX +50% (received FDA approval to resume ATHENA trial enrollment), VIMC +8.4% (announces $29.2 million contract win in Chenzhou city of Hunan province), KNDI +5% (still checking), PH +4.5% (increases quarterly dividend 31 percent and authorizes the repurchase of up to 35 million shares), RGLS +3.3% (after doubling yesterday), ERIC +3% (in symp with NOK), GPRO +2.9% (still checking), ING +2.1% (in symp with CS), BBRY +2.1% (trading higher, may be on NOK earnings, but also a story that co is unlikely to be acquired by Lenovo (LNVGY), according to reports), CSH +2% (approved the spin-off of its E-Commerce Division, Enova International, Inc., into an independent and separate publicly traded company), STX +1.7% (raises targeted annual dividend), UBS +1.7% (in symp with CS), CPXX +1.7% (pricing of a $12.9 million public offering of common stock at $1.95/unit and warrants to purchase common stock at $3.58/whole share and will have a term of five years), TWTR +1.5% (presented at Mobile Developer conf yday), V +1.3% (declared a quarterly dividend in the aggregate amount of $0.48 per share, a 20% increase), TSLA +1.2% (to enter Australia market, accoridng to reports), KMX +1% (raises share repurchase authorization by $2 bln), LYG +0.8% (plans to eliminate 9000 jobs, according to reports)

Analyst comments: ALU +6% (upgraded to Hold from Underperform at Jefferies), LUX +2.3% (upgraded to Buy from Hold at Berenberg), DOW +2% (upgraded to Buy from Hold at Deutsche Bank), BABA +1.1% (initiated with an Overweight at Barclays), ABBV +1% (resumed with a Overweight at JP Morgan), GSK +0.9% (upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Barclays)

>>> US Early premarket gappers

Early premarket gappers
Gapping up: CYTX +68.5%, JAKK+19.3%, INFN +16.9%, NOK +7.4%, LOGI +5.2%, SN +4.1%, MBLY +3.9%, NXPI +3.5%, ERIC +2.9%, ING +2.5%. GPOR +1.9%, RGLS +1.8%, ISNS +1.2%, PH +1.1%

Gapping down: FREE -18.2%, YELP -12.1%, CTXS -6.4%, UA -5.0%, UN -2.0%, MDCO -1.5%, T -1.5%, VALE -1.5%, OCN -1.2%, BHP -1.2%, RIO -1.1%, DO -1.0%

>>> American Airlines beats by $0.02, reports revs in-line (37.04)

American Airlines beats by $0.02, reports revs in-line

Reports Q3 (Sep) earnings of $1.66 per share, $0.02 better than the Capital IQ Consensus Estimate of $1.64; revenues rose 4.4% year/year (adj. for merger) to $11.14 bln vs the $11.14 bln consensus, on a 2.0 percent increase in total available seat miles (ASMs).
  • Consolidated passenger revenue per ASM (PRASM) was a record at 14.12 cents, up 1.0% vs. +0.5-1.5% guidance, driven by a record yield of 16.93 cents, up 2.6 percent year-over-year.
  • The Company's third quarter 2014 pretax margin excluding net special charges was 11% vs. 10-12% guidance.
  • "We anticipate we will also post a record profit for both the fourth quarter and full year 2014.

>>> Dr Pepper Snapple beats by $0.10, beats on revs; guides FY14 EPS in-line, re

Dr Pepper Snapple beats by $0.10, beats on revs; guides FY14 EPS in-line, revs above consensus

Reports Q3 (Sep) core earnings of $0.98 per share, excluding non-recurring items, $0.10 better than the Capital IQ Consensus Estimate of $0.88; revenues rose 2.6% year/year to $1.58 bln vs the $1.54 bln consensus. For FY14, co sees core EPS of $3.56-3.62, excluding non-recurring items, vs. $3.56 Capital IQ Consensus Estimate; sees FY14 revenue growth of +1% which computes to approximately $6.06 bln vs. $6.04 bln Capital IQ Consensus Estimate.

(BN) Goldman, Citigroup Said Wary of Ergen as He Mulls T-Mobile Bid


Goldman, Citigroup Said Wary of Ergen as He Mulls T-Mobile Bid
2014-10-23 04:01:00.17 GMT


By Alex Sherman
Oct. 23 (Bloomberg) -- Dish Network Corp. co-founder
Charlie Ergen likes to say his corporate strategy is all about
“optionality.” Wall Street banks also have options -- and, for
some, working with Ergen isn’t on the top of their list.
Goldman Sachs Group Inc., Citigroup Inc. and Wells Fargo &
Co. all view the 43rd-richest man in the world as a client of
last resort when it comes to deals, people with knowledge of the
matter say. The banks are turned off by his willingness to back
out at the last minute -- as he did with a 2007 sale to AT&T
Inc. and a 2007 purchase of Sirius XM Holdings Inc. -- and his
hard-nosed negotiating over fees and deal terms.
The issue is pertinent again as Ergen contemplates bidding
for T-Mobile US Inc. Dish, the second-largest U.S. satellite-
television company, has told Deutsche Telekom AG, T-Mobile’s
controlling shareholder, that it would be interested in
purchasing the U.S.’s fourth-largest wireless-service provider,
people familiar with the matter have said.
“He’s certainly got a reputation as a tough negotiator,
but it cuts both ways,” Craig Moffett, co-founder of
MoffettNathanson LLC, who has covered Ergen’s companies as an
analyst for more than 15 years. “It tends to breed loyalty from
his shareholders, but he’s burned a lot of bridges with
negotiations in the past.”
The people who spoke for this story asked not to be
identified discussing private information.
Ergen declined to comment through Dish spokesman Bob Toevs.
In August, the 61-year-old, who has a net worth of almost $17
billion, said “maybe” when asked during a conference call if
he will bid for Bellevue, Washington-based T-Mobile.

No Thanks

The decision not to work with Ergen is partly a result of
conflicts of interest: Goldman, Morgan Stanley, Citigroup, Bank
of America Corp. and JPMorgan Chase & Co. have all worked with
competitors to Dish, such as Comcast Corp., DirecTV, AT&T,
Verizon Communications Inc. and SoftBank Corp.
Still, five of the top six deal advisers this year --
Goldman, Morgan Stanley, Citigroup, Bank of America and JPMorgan
-- haven’t worked with Dish on an acquisition since at least
1998, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
During that period, Ergen has undertaken several
transactions or entered bids on deals, employing Lazard Ltd.,
UBS AG, Barclays Plc and Deutsche Bank AG for the largest of
them. Among big banks, Deutsche Bank is closest to Ergen,
operating almost as the company’s house bank, one person
familiar with the matter said.
Even the German bank may find itself conflicted when it
comes to T-Mobile, thanks to its relationship with Masayoshi Son
-- the billionaire founder of SoftBank. Son has competed with
Ergen on deals in the past and is also interested in acquiring
T-Mobile.
Representatives for Goldman, Morgan Stanley, Citigroup,
Bank of America, JPMorgan, Wells Fargo and Deutsche Bank
declined to comment.

Ergen’s Loyalty

Wall Street’s royalty can often choose sides and it’s not a
coincidence Ergen hasn’t been their top choice. He is a
difficult negotiator on fees paid to banks, pushing to pay as
little as possible, four people said.
He’s also loyal, which is why he has had a long
relationship with Deutsche Bank, two people said. Some of the
fear of working with Ergen comes more from mythology than
reality, because many bankers haven’t worked directly with him,
one of the people said.
While Dish hasn’t disclosed recent M&A fees, the Englewood,
Colorado-based company paid bond underwriting fees of 0.2
percent to 0.5 percent on recent offerings of more than $1
billion, significantly less than the average of about 1.5
percent, according to research firm Freeman & Co.
He also has a reputation for being mercurial on deals,
sometimes asking for last-minute changes after initially
agreeing to a transaction, two of the people said. These
requests -- sometimes even after an agreement is in place --
have scuttled several large deals.

Banker Chagrin

About seven years ago, when Dish was still called EchoStar
Communications Corp., Ergen had a handshake agreement to sell
the company to AT&T, according to people familiar with the
matter. Before the deal was signed, Ergen asked for a non-
standard provision to be added in the transaction, causing the
takeover to break down to the chagrin of the bankers working on
it, the people said.
In early 2009, Ergen was close to a deal to acquire a stake
in Sirius until he pushed for 51 percent of Sirius’s equity, one
of the people said. Sirius was willing to sell him 49 percent,
which would have given Ergen effective control of the company.

Malone’s Move

Weeks later, John Malone’s Liberty Media Corp. bought only
40 percent of the company. Since the deal was announced in
February 2009, Sirius shares have jumped to $3.33 from about 10
cents, a gain of more than 3,200 percent.
Brad Burns, a spokesman for AT&T, declined to comment while
Patrick Reilly, a spokesman for Sirius, couldn’t immediately be
reached for comment.
Ergen’s tactics have sometimes landed him in court. When he
rescinded his bid to acquire Philip Falcone’s LightSquared Inc.
out of bankruptcy earlier this year, Falcone accused Ergen in
court papers filed in July of “wrongfully and deceptively”
creating “chaos in the bankruptcy proceedings.” Ergen claimed
he pulled his bid due to a “technical issue.” The suit is
pending in a federal court in Colorado.

’Vexatious’ Behavior

Dish’s battle with TiVo Inc. over patent infringement took
seven years to settle, finally ending in 2011. EchoStar and its
attorneys were sanctioned three separate times by federal judges
from 2004 to 2006, including “unreasonable and vexatious”
behavior in a contract dispute with a programmer, according to
the Denver Post.
As Ergen considers going after T-Mobile, even his
longstanding relationship with Deutsche Bank isn’t assured. For
the German bank, financing for a Dish bid could burn a bridge
with another potential source of advisory fees, Softbank’s Son.
Ergen might irk Son by pursuing T-Mobile because Japan’s
SoftBank owns 80 percent of wireless carrier Sprint Corp., which
Son tried to merge with T-Mobile. Frankfurt-based Deutsche Bank
had agreed to help fund that bid.
Son has shown he will punish a bank for actions he deems
hurtful to his company. After Barclays advised Ergen on his
competing bid for Sprint in 2013, driving up the price tag, Son
pressed Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. to stop working with the
British bank, according to people familiar with the matter.
SoftBank is Alibaba’s largest shareholder, with nearly one-third
of the company.
Son’s Sprint also shut out Barclays from funding its
scrapped bid for T-Mobile. SoftBank is currently considering
buying assets around the world, including Grupo Iusacell SA in
Mexico and U.S. film studio Dreamworks Animation SKG Inc.,
people with knowledge of the matter have said.
Like other banks, Deutsche Bank has a complex business
selection process that it would use to decide whether or not to
advise Ergen, if it is asked to, a person said.

Gambling Man

Dish’s shares have gained about 225 percent over the past
five years -- nearly triple the performance of the Standard &
Poor’s 500 Index in the same time period. More than $10 billion
of the company’s $27.5 billion market value is tied up in unused
wireless spectrum, Moffett estimates.
Ergen acquired the spectrum for $3 billion in 2012 through
his acquisitions of TerreStar Network Inc. and DBSB North
America Inc. The value skyrocketed after Ergen successfully
petitioned the U.S. government to allow the spectrum to be
transformed into airwaves used for mobile voice and data.
The gambit on spectrum may limit Dish’s appeal as a
takeover target, pushing banks further away from him and casting
doubt on the company’s true value, Moffett said. AT&T chose to
acquire DirecTV instead of Dish earlier this year, in part
because of Chief Executive Officer Randall Stephenson’s concerns
that regulators wouldn’t allow the second-largest U.S. wireless
provider to use the Dish spectrum because of concern about
competition, according to people familiar with the matter.

‘Drunken Fools’

Dish’s most logical buyer, Verizon, would face the same
regulatory challenges to use that spectrum, Moffett said. Ergen
doesn’t agree that Dish’s options are limited.
“When I used to play poker, and everybody was throwing
chips around and betting crazy on the table, and I had really
good cards, I always felt it was better just to sit back and
watch them go at it,” he said during a conference call in May.
“When a bunch of drunken fools were throwing money around,
occasionally I was able to pick up a pot at the end of the
day.”
The government auction of wireless spectrum later this year
puts Ergen in territory he’s used to: keeping people guessing.
If he bids for the spectrum, competitors can’t be sure if he
really wants it to expand his wireless system, or if he just
wants to push up the value of the spectrum Dish already owns.
“The government will be very happy if people show up and
bid more money,” said Tim Farrar, founder of Telecom, Media &
Finance Associates Inc., a Menlo Park, California-based research
firm. “But if Dish is bidding just to drive up the price, AT&T
and Verizon should call his bluff and stick him with billions of
dollars of additional spectrum, and see how his investors like
that.”

For Related News and Information:
Top Deal Stories:DTOP<GO>
Dish Seen as Favored T-Mobile Suitor After Sprint Pulls Out:
NA7PLO6KLVR9 <GO>
Dish Network, the Meanest Company in America:
MG2TQX3HBS3K <GO>

--With assistance from Scott Moritz in New York.

To contact the reporter on this story:
Alex Sherman in New York at +1-212-617-8278 or
asherman6@bloomberg.net
To contact the editors responsible for this story:
Mohammed Hadi at +1-212-617-2914 or
mhadi1@bloomberg.net
Larry Reibstein, Elizabeth Wollman

>>>Coca-Cola Ent (CCE)beats by $0.08, misses on revs;guides FY14 revs below cons

Coca-Cola Ent beats by $0.08, misses on revs; guides FY14 revs below consensus (
Reports Q3 (Sep) earnings of $0.96 per share, $0.08 better than the Capital IQ Consensus Estimate of $0.88; revenues fell 1.7% year/year to $2.14 bln vs the $2.22 bln consensus.

  • Operating income totaled $345 million on a reported basis, or $338 million on a comparable basis. Operating income grew 10 percent on a reported basis, 5½ percent on a comparable basis, or 2½ percent on a currency-neutral basis.

  • Guidance: Co issues downside guidance for FY14, sees FY14 revs "essentially flat", which would equate to approximately $8.21 bln vs. $8.46 bln Capital IQ Consensus Estimate. CCE expects comparable and currency-neutral earnings per diluted share growth of approximately 10 percent. Based on recent rates, currency translation would benefit full-year 2014 earnings per diluted share by approximately 3%.

    CCE continues to expect 2014 free cash flow of approximately $650 mln. Capital expenditures are now expected to be approximately $325 mln. Weighted-average cost of debt is expected to be approximately 3%, and the comparable effective tax rate for 2014 is expected to be approximately 27%.