>>> BRokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 10/07/2014

>>> Up
*ALLIANZ RAISED TO HOLD VS SELL AT SOCGEN
*BASHNEFT RAISED TO BUY VS NEUTRAL AT GOLDMAN
*EDP RAISED TO BUY VS ADD AT INVESTEC
*HEINEKEN RAISED TO NEUTRAL VS UNDERPERFORM AT CREDIT SUISSE
*IBERDROLA RAISED TO OUTPERFORM VS NEUTRAL AT CREDIT SUISSE
*RBS RAISED TO HOLD VS SELL AT INVESTEC
*SYNTHOMER RAISED TO BUY VS NEUTRAL AT UBS
*TELECOM ITALIA RAISED TO OVERWEIGHT VS NEUTRAL AT JPMORGAN
*TUI RAISED TO OVERWEIGHT AT JPMORGAN
*WACKER NEUSON RAISED TO HOLD VS SELL AT BERENBERG

>>> Down
*AIR FRANCE-KLM CUT TO HOLD VS BUY AT CANTOR
*BANK ASYA CUT TO NEUTRAL VS BUY AT CITI
*BIM BIRLESIK MAGAZALAR CUT TO UNDERWEIGHT AT MORGAN STANLEY
*CRODA INTL CUT TO SELL VS NEUTRAL AT UBS
*GARANTI CUT TO SELL VS BUY AT CITI
*HALKBANK CUT TO NEUTRAL VS BUY AT CITI
*ISBANK CUT TO NEUTRAL VS BUY AT CITI
*REMGRO CUT TO SELL VS HOLD AT RENAISSANCE
*SWISSCOM CUT TO NEUTRAL VS OVERWEIGHT AT JPMORGAN
*VIENNA INSURANCE CUT TO NEUTRAL VS BUY AT GOLDMAN
*WILH WILHELMSEN CUT TO HOLD VS BUY AT CARNEGIE
*YAPI KREDI CUT TO SELL VS BUY AT CITI
*YARA CUT TO SELL VS NEUTRAL AT UBS

>>> PT Change
*AIR FRANCE-KLM PT CUT TO EU9.5 VS EU12 AT CANTOR
* Campari PT Cut to EU5.7 vs EU6.1 at Mediobanca; Kept at Neutral

>>> Initiation
*ALSTOM REINITIATED AT BUY AT BERENBERG; PT EU31
*STABILUS RATED NEW HOLD AT SOCGEN; PT EU28
*TXCELL RATED NEW HOLD AT SOCGEN; PT EU8.3

>>> Call
>> Stock
*FERREXPO ADDED TO MOST PREFERRED METALS & MINING SHRS AT UBS
*ING ADDED TO CREDIT SUISSE EUROPE FOCUS LIST
*KAZAKHMYS ADDED TO LEAST PREFERRED METALS & MINING SHRS AT UBS

NYT :‘Big Short’ Case Raises Questions About Finra Arbitration

Deeb Salem, the former Goldman Sachs trader who helped devise the firm’s brilliant and highly profitable proprietary bet against the mortgage market, has never been shy about trumpeting his accomplishments. Mr. Salem no longer works at Goldman — he decamped to GoldenTree Asset Management, a New York hedge fund, in 2012 — but his continuing lawsuit, which contends the firm shortchanged him about $21 million in bonus and deferred compensation during the years after the financial crisis, raises fresh questions about the fairness of Wall Street’s compensation practices, its willingness to make scapegoats out of former employees and the arbitration system — run by the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority — that everyone who deals with Wall Street is forced to use to resolve monetary disputes.

(In the interest of full disclosure, nearly 10 years ago I lost a Finra arbitration case regarding my employment at JPMorgan Chase and am still involved in litigation with the bank.)

First, a quick recap: In 2006, Mr. Salem, in his late 20s at the time, was part of a small group of mortgage traders at Goldman that included Josh Birnbaum, Jeremy Primer and Mike Swenson, who concluded that serious trouble was brewing in the market for esoteric securities tied to the mortgage market. By December 2006, they had decided that there was serious money to be made betting against the mortgage market. In a now-infamous meeting, the group convinced David Viniar, Goldman’s chief financial officer at the time, that the trade should be established. When prices of securities tied to the mortgage market started to fall precipitously throughout 2007, Goldman made a fortune: $3.75 billion in profit, which more than offset losses in other parts of the firm’s mortgage business. While the rest of Wall Street was imploding, Goldman’s smart bet against the mortgage market helped it earn $17 billion in pretax profit in 2007. The top five executives at Goldman were rewarded with $350 million in compensation.

In his 2007 self-evaluation, Mr. Salem made no secret of the role he played in creating the “Big Short,” as Mr. Viniar later referred to the firm’s bet against the mortgage market. Although Mr. Salem would later disavow his immodesty, he described how he and his colleagues had devised the winning strategy. In May, while they remained “as negative as ever on the fundamentals in subprime, the market was trading VERY SHORT, and susceptible to a squeeze. We began to encourage this squeeze, with plans of getting very short again” after the short squeeze caused capitulation of these shorts, he wrote. “The strategy seemed doable and brilliant, but once the negative fundamental news kept coming in at a tremendous rate, we stopped waiting for the shorts to capitulate, and instead just reinitiated shorts ourselves immediately.” Mr. Salem probably received about $10 million in compensation in 2007 — in line with Mr. Birnbaum, who soon left Goldman to start Tilden Park, a hedge fund.

Although Mr. Salem was being actively recruited by other firms, he decided to stay at Goldman. He was promoted to managing director, one step down from the ranks of partner, known at the firm as participating managing directors, the highly compensated group of 400 or so executives who run Goldman. Given Mr. Salem’s relative youth, his chances of joining them looked extremely promising. In 2009, Goldman paid Mr. Salem $15 million. “Let’s be very clear: I was one of the most sought-after investment professionals in the mortgage industry,” Mr. Salem said during an arbitration hearing in February, according to Bloomberg News, which saw a transcript of the hearing before it was later sealed. “I had the opportunity throughout the course of my career and throughout — from that day, from almost every month that I was at Goldman — to leave for other opportunities.”

Things started going off the rails for Mr. Salem at Goldman around April 2010, when Senator Carl Levin, Democrat of Michigan, was completing his investigation into Goldman’s trading practices leading up to the financial crisis in 2008, a behavior that Mr. Levin described repeatedly, without nuance, as Goldman “betting against its clients.” Adding to Goldman’s woes was a lawsuit filed by the Securities and Exchange Commission that contended that the firm had misled the sophisticated investors who had participated in a squirrelly security known as a synthetic collateralized debt obligation. Goldman would later settle with the S.E.C. for $550 million, at the time the largest single payment by a Wall Street firm in the settlement of an S.E.C. civil suit.

In the treasure trove of documents that Mr. Levin released just before his all-day hearing about Goldman were portions of Mr. Salem’s self-evaluation form. The documents that Mr. Levin released publicly proved highly embarrassing to Goldman, which was trying to maintain the fiction that the “Big Short” was just a simple hedge, not a huge proprietary bet. Unfortunately for Goldman, documents like Mr. Salem’s self-evaluation form made that argument far less credible. According to Mr. Salem’s arbitration claim — a copy of which has been sealed by a New York State court at Goldman’s request and is no longer publicly available — after the release of his self-evaluation, Harvey Schwartz, who is now Goldman’s chief financial officer, told Mr. Salem that he had caused the firm “reputational harm” and that until “the executive office made the decision to impact your compensation you were going to be one of the very, very top-paid non-partners in the division.” Mr. Salem contended that Mr. Schwartz added, “We’ve all put things in writing that we should not have. Yours just got unlucky. We’ll make it up to you.” Goldman’s lawyer disputes Mr. Salem’s recollection of his conversation with Mr. Schwartz.

But Goldman did not “make it up” to Mr. Salem. In his arbitration claim, Mr. Salem was seeking an additional $8.25 million in compensation he thought he was due in 2010, an additional $1.75 million in 2011 and $5 million in 2012. He also asked for $6.15 million in deferred compensation. At the arbitration hearing, according to the Bloomberg report of the transcript, Goldman’s lawyer, Andrew Frackman of O’Melveny & Meyers, said that Mr. Salem had been paid more than $30 million in compensation in the decade he had spent at Goldman after college. Mr. Frackman’s message was that Mr. Salem should be satisfied with what Goldman paid him under its sole discretion.

“What we have here is a young trader who believes he should have been paid more under discretionary policies,” Mr. Frackman said at the hearing. “He made a ton of money,” he added. “He’s not entitled to more simply because he would like to have been paid more. If that were the case, you’d have traders and bankers in here every day of the week.”

Given the fact that Finra and its arbitration process are controlled by Wall Street, it is not the least bit surprising that, in March, Mr. Salem lost his arbitration. Indeed, the chairman of the three-person arbitration panel, Martin H. Zern — a professor of accounting at Pace University — used an expletive to describe his view of Mr. Salem’s case at one point during the panel’s deliberations.

Last month, Mr. Salem and his lawyer, Jonathan Sack, appealed the arbitration decision to the New York State Supreme Court. The state courts rarely overturn arbitration decisions, and there is little hope that it will overturn Mr. Salem’s. It is hard to feel sorry for Mr. Salem, but the fact remains that Goldman reaped billions of dollars in profits thanks to him and his colleagues while paying him — and them — only a fraction of those profits. On the one hand, Wall Street seeks to attract the best and the brightest the world over by dangling the possibility of huge compensation. But then it often fails to pay its superstars in line with what they deserve when they orchestrate a windfall. It’s not a surprise, then, when these superstars depart for hedge funds that do allow them to receive gargantuan payouts.

All Mr. Salem has been trying to do — so far unsuccessfully — is to force Goldman to pay him fairly for the absurd profits he helped to generate at a time when the firm could well have gone down the tubes, as its brethren did. Unfortunately for him — and everyone else with a monetary dispute with Wall Street — he has been forced into an arbitration system that exists solely to benefit Wall Street’s mighty firms, not the people who work at them.

Last month, in a sign that it may be starting to realize how biased its forced arbitration system is, Finra proposed a new rule that would bar former Wall Street professionals from serving as arbitrators. The S.E.C. has to approve the change, and it should do so as soon as possible. But hoping that Finra’s arbitration system will ever be anything other than a rubber stamp for Wall Street remains a fantasy. When I called Mr. Sack last week to discuss Mr. Salem’s appeal, he let me know instantly he could not discuss it. But he did not seem the slightest bit sanguine about his client’s chances of victory.

“There are very, very powerful people at Goldman Sachs,” he said, before hanging up the phone.

FT : Japan machinery orders plunge in May

An unexpected plunge in orders of new machinery by Japanese companies has raised concerns about businesses’ appetite for investment – a crucial but so far unreliable part of Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s pro-growth economic agenda.
Core machinery orders, considered a leading indicator of overall capital spending, fell by 19.5 per cent in May compared with April, the government said on Thursday.

It was the sharpest fall since at least 2005, the earliest period for which comparable data are available, outstripping even the sizeable declines recorded during the depths of the global financial crisis five years ago.
It was also the second-largest fall in a row, following a 9.1 per cent drop in April. The previous decline had been widely expected by economists, who saw it as an inevitable response to an increase in Japan’s national sales tax that took effect on April 1.
The tax increase had prompted a rush of pre-increase spending across all sectors of the economy, from consumers to businesses, much of it “borrowed” from the future – meaning a temporary fall was all but certain to follow.
But experts had expected machinery orders to rebound in May, with consensus forecasts compiled by news services showing economists predicting a 0.7 per cent rise in orders on average.
Mr Abe is leading an effort to stimulate Japan’s economy through government spending, looser monetary policy and productivity-boosting structural changes.
One of the central goals of “Abenomics” is to coax businesses to spend more on everything from payrolls to production equipment – something that many have been reluctant to do during the country’s 15 years of deflation.
After a slow start in 2013, capital investment jumped by 7.6 per cent in the first quarter of this year, becoming an important driver of overall growth. An important question is how much of that increase represented a fundamental and lasting shift toward optimism among business leaders, rather than a one-off bump.
Monthly machinery orders are known to be volatile, even though the core number excludes big orders from the electricity and shipping sectors that have a disproportionate impact on the data. Still, experts said the size of May’s decline was a cause for concern.
Daiju Aoki, an economist at UBS, said that even if machinery orders rebounded in June, they would likely fall short of the government’s official estimate of a 0.4 per cent expansion in the April-to-June quarter.
Hiromichi Shirakawa of Credit Suisse said the “disappointing” data “appeared to pose a downside risk” to his bank’s view that overall capital spending grew in the quarter.

FT : Investors press Allergan to find deal

Investors press Allergan to find deal

Shareholders in Allergan are encouraging the Botox maker to do a large acquisition of its own as it tries to fend off a $53bn hostile bid from rival drugmaker Valeant Pharmaceuticals.
David Pyott, Allergan’s chairman and chief executive, told the Financial Times he recognised that the company, which has $14bn of cash on its balance sheet, should act sooner rather than later if it was going to make an acquisition.

“Our stockholders have been fairly clear that if we have a deal that we can do, we should do it soon. On the other hand, Valeant is trying to use our own balance sheet to buy us.”
His comments will lend weight to speculation that Allergan executives could use a large acquisition to undermine Valeant’s cash and stock offer, in the latest dealmaking twist in a rapidly consolidating healthcare sector.
Since being targeted by Valeant, which is working with Bill Ackman, the activist investor who runs the Pershing Square hedge fund, analysts have linked Allergan to a string of possible takeover targets, the most recent being Shire, the UK drugmaker that is itself the subject of a $51bn bid from AbbVie of the US.
Mr Pyott declined to comment on whether Allergan was working on, or planning to launch, a bid for Shire.
A top 15 shareholder in both Allergan and Shire told the FT that the UK company would be more likely to accept an offer from Allergan than from AbbVie, even at a lower price, and that he would support such a choice because of Allergan’s faster growth prospects.
Investor appetite for such a deal comes three months into a fight with Valeant, in which Allergan executives have repeatedly criticised their pursuer’s acquisition-dependent business model.
Allergan’s criticism has also focused on Valeant’s history of cutting costs by scaling back research and development budgets at companies it has acquired. For its part, Valeant has sought to portray Allergan as being inefficient and having a bloated cost structure.
The increasingly bitter battle between the two companies, exacerbated by the presence of Mr Ackman, has informed a wider debate in the pharmaceuticals industry about the appropriate levels of R&D investment large drugmakers should fund.
Mr Pyott acknowledged the need to reduce his company’s research and development spending, which stood at $1.1bn last year.
He said Allergan would freeze some development programmes that were at early stages but added a cautionary note about only investing in projects that delivered short term results: “It’s a challenge for our industry but there is a mismatch between the life cycle of a chief executive and the life cycle of drug development.”

>>> Asian Update : China trade surplus narrows, missing cons

Asian Market Update: Australia unemployment higher as participation rate rises; China trade surplus narrows, missing consensus estimate

***Notable Economic Data*** - (CN) CHINA JUN TRADE BALANCE: $31.6B V $37.0BE; Exports Y/Y: +7.2% v +10.4%e; Imports Y/Y: +5.5% v +6.0%e - (AU) AUSTRALIA JUN EMPLOYMENT CHANGE: 15.9K V 12.0KE; UNEMPLOYMENT RATE: 6.0% (4-month high) V 5.9%E - (KR) BANK OF KOREA (BOK) LEAVES 7-DAY REPO RATE UNCHANGED AT 2.50% (AS EXPECTED); 14TH STRAIGHT PAUSE - (JP) JAPAN JUN PPI (CGPI) M/M: 0.2% V 0.1%E; Y/Y: 4.6% (5-year high) V 4.5%E - (JP) JAPAN MAY MACHINE ORDERS M/M: -19.5% (multi-year low) V +0.7%E; Y/Y: -14.3% V +10.1%E; Govt CUTS assessment on Machine Orders - (NZ) NEW ZEALAND JUN BUSINESS MANUFACTURING PMI: 53.3 (first rise in 3 months) V 52.7 PRIOR

***Index Snapshot (as of 02:30 GMT)*** - Nikkei225 -0.2%, S&P/ASX +0.1%, Kospi +0.1%, Shanghai Composite flat, Hang Seng +0.3%, Sept S&P500 -0.1% at 1,965

***Commodities/Fixed Income/Currencies*** - Aug gold +0.5% at $1,330/oz, Aug crude oil -0.5% at $101.82/brl, Sept Copper +0.1% at $3.25/lb - JGB: (JP) Japan MoF sells ¥646B in 1.7% (1.7% prior) 30-yr notes; Avg yield: 1.703% v 1.714% prior; Bid to cover: 3.12x v 3.00x prior - (JP) Japan GPIF investment committee head Yonezawa: will seek to limit impact of domestic bond prices when reducing holdings - financial press - (JP) Japan investors sold net ¥287.1B (2nd week of net sales) in foreign bonds vs sold net ¥1.05T prior week; Foreign Investors bought net ¥330.9B in Japan Stocks last week vs sold net ¥32.5B in prior week - (CN) PBoC to drain CNY10B in 28-day repos (4th consecutive drain); Injects net CNY50B this week v injected CNY55B prior (9th consecutive week of net injection) - (CN) PBoC sets yuan mid point at 6.1443 v 6.1565 prior setting (strongest Yuan setting since Mar 26th)

- AUD/USD was the most volatile pair among the dollar majors, briefly rising above $0.9450 after Australia employment data and then falling below $0.94 after the China trade figures. USD/JPY briefly fell below 101.50, down nearly 20pips from opening highs.

***Market Focal Points/Key Themes*** - China June trade surplus was up 16% y/y but still came in shy of consensus at $31.6B. Exports were up over 7% which was below the 10% estimate, while exports to US, EU, and Japan were all up in the single digits. H1 shipments of crude oil, iron ore, and Copper were up 10%, 19%, and 26% respectively. Customs office spokesperson Zhang attributed this month's surplus to fiscal policy measures, and also forecasted Q3 exports growth to top Q2 levels. Note that China Q2 GDP data will be released next week.

- Australia jobs data is mixed, with employment change of +15.9K topping consensus but jobless rate rising to a 4-month high of 6.0% due in part to rising participation rate. A closer look at the numbers also reveals a fall of 3.9K in full-time component along with a rise of 19.7K in part-time work, leading to lower increase in overall hours of worked of 15.1M v 33.5M in May. Subsequent comments from ANZ economist target unemployment rate to remain around 6% over the next year, with employment growth to pick up to just shy of 15K per month.

- Bank of Korea held rates unchanged for 14th consecutive month but this time one central bank member voted in favor of a policy easing. BOK also lowered its 2014 and 2015 targets for GDP to 3.8% and 4.0% from 4.0% and 4.2% prior. Inflation rate projections were reduced to 1.9% and 2.7% from 2.1% and 2.8% respectively. Separately, Korean press reported the govt may also cut its GDP projections to mid-3% level from 3.9% amid longer than anticipated impact of the ferry disaster and strong KRW.

- St Louis Fed President Bullard (not a FOMC voter) was surprisingly more hawkish given some of his recent measured tone. Bullard said the US unemployment could fall below 6% in the next 2 reports, leading to higher inflation and a more expedient tightening response from the FOMC than investors expect.

***Equities*** US markets: - ZUMZ: Reports June SSS +3.1% v 1.5%e; raises Q2 outlook; +10.0% afterhours - UAL: Reports June load factor 87.1% v 87.7% y/y; Q2 PRASM +3.5% y/y; +4.9% afterhours - BAC: Said to have requested $0.05 quarterly dividend again; request follows capital miscalculation forcing it to suspend plans in Apr - financial press; -0.1% afterhours - TSCO: Reports Q2 SSS +1.9%; guides FY14 to low end of range; -5.6% afterhours - PBPB: Guides Q2 $0.06 v $0.12e, R$83.6M v $87Me, SSS -1.6% (ex-Easter holiday shift -0.9%); -17.0% afterhours - LL: Guides Q2 $0.59-0.61 v $0.92e; R$263M v $306Me; -18.7% afterhours

Notable movers by sector: - Consumer Discretionary: Chow Tai Fook 1929.HK -3.9% (Q2 SSS results) - Financials: China Vanke 000002.CN +1.6%, Poly Real Estate 600048.CN +1.0% (China City of Xiamen, Jinan said to have eased home purchasing curbs) - Materials: Syrah Resources SYR.AU +18.7% (Glencore to take closer look); Energy Resources of Australia ERA.AU -3.7% (Jun quarter operation review) - Energy: Titan Energy Services TTN.AU +4.2% (prelim FY14 results) - Industrials: Shenzhen Auto Electric Power Plant 002227.CN +1.5%, Sieyuan Electric 002028.CN +3.5%, XJ Electric 000400.CN +2.7%, Beijing Dynamic Power 600405.CN +10.0%; BYD Corp 1211.HK +4.0%, Wanxiang Qianchao 000559.CN +1.0% (China to remove sales tax on new energy vehicles) - Utilities: J-Power 9513.JP -1.5% (thermal facility suspended)

Barron's : The Muddled Truths About the Stock Market

The Muddled Truths About the Stock Market

Are stocks overvalued? Is there a wall of worry? The answers aren't so easy.

As stocks continue to hit new highs instead of correcting, it's become commonplace to read that the market is expensive and perhaps even in a bubble.

Of course, a price-to-earnings ratio of the market should determine the truth or falsehood of that assertion, right? If only markets were so easy to decipher.

As financial blogger and investor Barry Ritholtz points out in a column on the Bloomberg View site, "your take on how expensive or cheap stocks are is a Rorschach test -- it reveals as much about the observer as it does about equity valuations."

Using a chart provided by JPMorgan, Ritholtz points out U.S. equity prices closely match their long-term average price-to-earnings ratio of 15.5. "That's precisely at fair value if you are comparing it to the Standard & Poor's 500 Index earnings-per-share average of analyst estimates for the next 12 months," he writes.

If this ratio were the only device used to measure stocks, it would prove that stocks are reasonably priced, not overvalued and certainly not in bubble territory.

A simple P/E ratio is the most common way to value companies, but there are plenty of other approaches that show stocks either over or undervalued.

For example, an increasingly popular P/E ratio, which looks at earnings over a 10-year cycle rather than a single year, is flashing overvalued market. The so-called CAPE, an invention of Yale professor and Nobel Prize-winning economist Robert Shiller, is trading at a very rich 25.6 times cyclical earnings. Market bears are championing this number over a simple P/E ratio because it bolsters their argument that stocks are overvalued and due for a correction.

But if only things were this simple. According to Ritholtz, since 1990 the CAPE has only been below its historical average 2% of the time. "If you avoided equities while they were above their historical CAPE measurement, you just missed 24 years of equity gains," he writes.

And don't go looking to the so-called PEG ratio for help. According to JPMorgan numbers, writes Ritholtz, "the P/E-to-growth ratio is below its 10-year average but above its 25-year average. The price-to-book ratio is below its 25-year average but above its one-year average. Price to cash flow at 11 is a little higher than its 25-year average of 10.6."

If you're thoroughly confused about whether stocks are cheap or expensive, you're in good company.

Another topic that resembles a Rorschach diagram, rather than a clear set of facts, is market sentiment. Though a low VIX suggests that investors have grown complacent and fearless, other investors and pundits take solace from the fact that fund flow data suggest that investors still haven't fully bought into the notion that stocks are great.

A recent piece in The Wall Street Journal points out that despite positive returns for stocks, investors have lately been net sellers of mutual funds that hold these shares. In the second quarter through June 25, investors pulled a net $15.1 billion from U.S.-stock mutual funds, according to estimates from the Investment Company Institute trade group.

"That's a reversal from net inflows in the first three months of this year; for the first half of 2014, through June 25, U.S.-stock portfolios took in an estimated net $3.8 billion," the Journal reported.

This is statistical evidence of the so-called wall of worry that contrarians like to see since it means that there is extra money that can come back into the stock market.

In a piece for Minyanville, John Gustafson, president of Palmetto Wealth Management, writes that retail-investor behavior is not even close to bubbly.

"There are no big, flashy warning signs that we saw prior to the last big falls -- probably because there are still so many things wrong economically and politically around the globe to forestall such overconfidence," he writes.

>>> US After Hours

After Hours Summary: DRWI +16.1%, ZUMZ +10.5%, LL -19.1%, PBPB -16.4%, HELI -7.3%, TSCO -5.6% following earnings/guidance

After Hours Gainers: Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to earnings: DRWI +16.1%, ZUMZ +10.5%

Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to news: CWH +6.9% (co sold its 22 mln shares of Select Income REIT (SIR) for $31.51 per share; total consideration is ~$705 mln), UAL +6.4% (reported June 2014 consolidated traffic (RPM) was flat y/y, consolidated capacity (ASM) increased 0.8% vs June 2013, consolidated load factor decreased 0.6 points compared to June 2013), SSE +4.2% (Carl Icahn disclosed 9.98% stake in 13D filing), APP +3.6% (disclosed an agreement with Standard General Group; agreement relates to, among other things, the composition of the Company's Board of Directors, the provision by SG of financial support to the Company in an aggregate amount up to $25 million, and the creation of a special committee of the Board to oversee the continuing investigation into alleged misconduct by Dov Charney), ZNGA +1.7% (appointed Google VP Regina Dugan to Board of Directors), REGN +0.8% (co and Sanofi (SNY) announced positive results from Phase 2b study of dupilumab in patients with moderate-to-severe atopic dermatitis)

After Hours Losers:

Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to earnings: LL -19.1%, PBPB -16.4%, HELI -7.3%, TSCO -5.6%, WDFC -5.3%, HELE -4.9%, BGC -0.1%

Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to news: MEMP -4.3% (announced public offering of 8.6 mln common units), AXLL -3.8% (announced that its PHH vinyl chloride monomer manufacturing facility in Lake Charles, Louisiana, has been repaired and the facility has returned to full operating rates; sees Q2 adjusted EBITDA of $125-130 mln), KOS -3.7% (announced that funds affiliated with The Blackstone Group L.P. and Warburg Pincus LLC have agreed to sell an aggregate of 17 mln of Kosmos's common shares in a registered underwritten public offering), RGDO -2.2% (announced clinical hold of REGULATE-PCI trial following voluntary halt of trial by Regado)

>>> American Apparel discloses Standard General agreement

American Apparel discloses Standard General agreement 

* On July 9, 2014, co entered into a Nomination, Standstill and Support Agreement with Standard General and Dov Charney. The Support Agreement relates to, among other things, the composition of the Company's Board of Directors, the provision by SG of financial support to the Company in an aggregate amount up to $25 million, and the creation of a special committee of the Board to oversee the continuing investigation into alleged misconduct by Dov Charney. The Standard General Group also agreed to certain standstill and voting limitations and SG affirmed its commitment to the Company's core values.
* Among other things, the Standard General Group agreed not to, until the completion of the 2015 Annual Meeting of Stockholders, purchase or acquire any additional beneficial ownership of shares of the Company's common stock (the "Common Stock"), solicit proxies or consents with respect to the Common Stock, form or join any group with respect to the Common Stock, present any proposal at a special meeting of stockholders or through action by written consent, seek the removal of any director or propose any nominee for election to the Board or grant any proxy or consent with respect to other matters. Furthermore, until the completion of the 2015 Annual Meeting of Stockholders, the Standard General Group agreed not to effect or seek to effect any extraordinary corporate transaction, business combination, amendment to the Company's governance documents or certain other activities.
* On July 9, 2014, prior to the execution of the Support Agreement, a duly authorized committee of the Board approved an amendment to the Rights Agreement, dated as of June 27, 2014 , between the Company and Continental Stock Transfer & Trust Company as Rights Agent.

>>> US Close Dow +0,47% S&P +0,46% Nasdaq +0,63%

Closing Summary: Stocks, Bonds, and Gold Settle Near Highs
The major averages snapped their two-day losing streak with the Nasdaq Composite leading today's charge. The tech-heavy index rose 0.6%, while the S&P 500 advanced 0.5% with nine sectors posting gains.

Equity indices displayed opening strength, but the early advance was a bit shaky as the Russell 2000 (+0.1%) had a tough time keeping pace with the broader market. The small-cap index underperformed throughout the session, while the other key indices powered to new highs after the Federal Reserve released the minutes from the June FOMC meeting.

Most notably, the minutes revealed the belief among officials that investors have displayed too much complacency with regard to risk. Furthermore, the minutes indicated that the committee has discussed its exit strategy tools with the general expectation of a final $15 billion taper taking place in October if the current outlook holds up.

The subsequent rally in equities could likely be attributed to participants being encouraged by the relatively consistent language in the minutes. However, it was a bit striking to see a concurrent spike in Treasuries and gold futures.

The 10-yr note hovered on its session low ahead of the release, but reclaimed its entire loss in short order. As a result, the benchmark yield ended at 2.55% after being near 2.60% when the minutes crossed the wires. One could argue that this spike was also related to the consistent language in the minutes with participants viewing the status quo at the Fed as a sign that the central bank could fall behind on its growth forecast.

Elsewhere, gold futures spiked to $1329.00/ozt to register a solid 1.0% gain, suggesting some participants believe the Fed could be underestimating inflationary pressures given the apparent lack of urgency to move off the zero bound.

The consumer discretionary sector (+1.2%) spent the entire session in the lead thanks to support from restaurants and retail names. Interestingly, the retail sector appeared unaffected by cautious comments made by the CEO of The Container Store (TCS 24.80, -2.27). The specialty retailer tumbled 8.9% following its earnings miss while the CEO said the retail industry as a whole was in a ‘funk.'

Unlike the discretionary sector, other top-weighted groups settled on a mixed note with respect to the broader market. Health care (+0.4%) and technology (+0.5%) ended essentially in line with the S&P 500, while financials (+0.3%) and industrials (+0.2%) were limited to slim gains.

The modest uptick among industrials masked the relative strength of transport stocks. The Dow Jones Transportation Average rose 0.5% with 16 components settling higher. Matson (MATX 28.99, +1.64) was a standout, surging 6.0% after BB&T upgraded the stock to ‘Buy' from ‘Hold.' Airlines also displayed broad strength following positive monthly data from American Airlines (AAL 41.98, +1.73).

On the downside, the utilities sector (-0.2%) was the lone decliner following two days of relative strength.

Participation was below average with 557 million shares changing hands at the NYSE floor.

Economic data was limited to the weekly MBA Mortgage Index, which rose 1.9% to follow last week's downtick of 0.2%.

Tomorrow, weekly initial claims will be reported at 8:30 ET (consensus 311K), while the Wholesale Inventories report for May will cross the wires at 10:00 ET (consensus 0.5%).

S&P 500 +6.7% YTD
Nasdaq Composite +5.8% YTD
Dow Jones Industrial Average +2.5% YTD
Russell 2000 +0.8% YTD