>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 15th of September 2025 V2(+)

>>> Up
* Austevoll Seafood Raised to Buy at Arctic Securities
* Bakkafrost Raised to Buy at Arctic Securities; PT 500 kroner
* BP Raised to Outperform at BNPP Exane; PT 460 pence (+)
* Campari Raised to Sector Perform at RBC
* Icelandic Salmon Raised to Buy at Arctic Securities
* Mowi Raised to Buy at Arctic Securities; PT 255 kroner
* Odfjell Raised to Buy at Arctic Securities; PT 152 kroner (+)
* Pan African Raised to Neutral at Nedbank CIB; PT 93.32 pence (+)
* Roche Bobois SA Raised to Hold at TP ICAP Midcap; PT 30 euros (+)

>>> Down
* Bakkavor Cut to Hold at Investec; PT 236 pence
* BHP Cut to Underperform at BNPP Exane; PT 1,730 pence
* Edenred Cut to Market Perform at Bernstein (+)
* Fresenius Medical Care PT Cut to 36 euros at Jefferies
* Pluxee Cut to Market Perform at Bernstein (+)
* Puma Cut to Neutral at Rothschild & Co Redburn; PT 24 euros
* Sainsbury PT Raised to 363 pence from 330 pence at JPMorgan
* Under Armour Cut to Neutral at Rothschild & Co Redburn; PT $6

>>> Initiation
* AstraZeneca Cut to Hold at Handelsbanken; PT 12,857.34 pence (+)
* Brunello Cucinelli Reinstated Overweight at JPMorgan
* Fortum Rated New Neutral at Grupo Santander; PT 14.90 euros
* Granges Reinstated Buy at SEB Equities; PT 165 kronor
* Kyivstar Group Rated New Buy at Rothschild & Co Redburn (+)
* Rubis Rated New Outperform at Bernstein; PT 38.70 euros
* Zegna Group Rated New Overweight at JPMorgan; PT $11

>>> Call
* BHP’s Outperformance Tough to Justify, BNPP Exane Downgrades (+)
* Brunello Cucinelli, Zegna Overweight on High-End Focus: JPMorgan
* Campari Making Solid Progress, Raised to Sector Perform at RBC
* Sentiment and Positioning Turn More Bullish, Goldman Sachs Says (+)
* JPMorgan Strategists See Stocks Turning Cautious on Fed Easing (+)
* Morgan Stanley’s Wilson Reiterates Bull Case for 9% Stock Rally (+)
* Oppenheimer’s Stoltzfus: Markets Could Celebrate Jumbo Fed Cut (+)
* Jefferies Sees Soft Earnings, Low Valuations for Consumer Chems (+)

>>> What to look at today - 15th of September 2025

Asian stocks joined a global equity rally, with investors anticipating a potential interest-rate cut by the Federal Reserve later this week.
The MSCI Asia Pacific Index rose as much as 0.2% to trade above an all-time high close reached in February 2021. A global index of equities held steady after closing at its highest level Friday. There was no Treasury cash trading in Asia, with Japan closed for a holiday. Chinese shares rose 0.9%, shrugging off weak factory and consumer data. The Hong Kong dollar extended its gains to hit a four-month high as supply of the currency continued to tighten toward the end of the quarter. French bond futures opened mostly steady in Asian trading after Fitch Ratings downgraded France to A+ from AA-. Contracts for US stocks edged up 0.1% and those for Europe gained 0.3%. The key question for investors this week is whether Fed officials will push back against market bets on a series of rate cuts extending into next year. The Fed’s decision on Wednesday will set the tone for global markets, but it won’t be the only major event on the calendar. The Bank of Canada, the Bank of England and the Bank of Japan are also scheduled to announce policy decisions, making this a pivotal week for central banks worldwide. In China, economic activity slowed more than expected for a second straight month with a sharp slump in investment. On the tariff front, the US-China talks focused on trade, the economy and the status of ByteDance Ltd.’s TikTok, which faces a deadline this week to reach a deal to continue operations in the US. Officials were also expected to lay the groundwork for a potential meeting between President Donald Trump and Xi Jinping as soon as October. The Trump administration is expected to again extend a Sept. 17 deadline for Bytedance to divest the US assets of TikTok or shut it down, Reuters reported, citing an unidentified person familiar with the matter. Separately, Asian primary bond markets had a busy start this week with about a dozen issuers offering notes across currencies or mandating banks for potential deals. That’s adding to a global deal rush this month, as borrowers make the most of tight spreads that are signaling confidence in companies’ credit strength. Still, the Fed’s policy meeting will remain the key focus as markets question whether officials push back against bets of easing at each remaining meeting this year. A quarter-point reduction is seen as a sure thing when the Fed announces its policy decision Wednesday, with a small potential for a half-point move amid signs US job growth is slowing rapidly. The Fed is likely to deliver a dovish cut with at least one member in favor of a 50 basis point reduction, and new forecasts that imply a steeper easing path to guard against a weakening labor market, said Elias Haddad, a senior market strategist at Brown Brothers Harriman. “A dovish Fed policy stance can drag US dollar lower and support risk assets.” Trump predicted a “big cut” from the Federal Reserve this week ahead of a pivotal meeting at which the central bank’s governors are expected to ease policy for the first time in nine months. Elsewhere, Fitch Ratings downgraded France to A+ from AA- late Friday. The score is now a notch lower than the UK and on par with Belgium, indicating the upheaval of repeated government collapses has locked the country into an enduring battle to contain a swelling debt burden.  France’s 10-year benchmark bonds offer one of the highest yields in the euro area, akin to Lithuania, Slovakia and Italy. The premium paid over German peers has nearly doubled since President Emmanuel Macron called elections last year, a sign of weaker investor demand.

Nikkei +0.89% Hang Seng +0.15% CSI +0.38% Shanghai -0.13% Shenzen +0.54%

Eur$ 1.1734 CNH 7.1219 CNY 7.1214 JPY 147.41 GBP 1.3565 CHF 0.7963 RUB 83.3687 TRY 41.3741 WTI$ 63.03 +0.54% Gold 3;643.20 -- BTC 116,170 +0.27% ETH 4,654 +0.75%

S&P +0.11% Nasdaq +0.11% EuroStoxx +0.37% FTSE -0.03% Dax +0.35% SMI +0.25%

Macro :
- Here’s How a Crucial Court Case in Turkey Will Impact Markets
- Hedge Fund Arrowpoint Seeks $400 Million in New Money by March
- Busiest IPO Week Since 2021 Mints $4 Billion for Six Newcomers
- France’s Debt Woes Mount as Fitch Downgrades Credit Rating
- Spain Scores Credit-Rating Upgrade from S&P Global Ratings
- China Slams US for Imposing New Sanctions Ahead of Spain Talks
- Watch French Stocks After Fitch Cuts France’s Credit Rating
- Switzerland’s Central Bank Learns to Live With a Strong Franc
- German Ruling Parties Lose Support in Vote in Merz’s Home State
- Iran Warns Sanctions Would Derail Ties With UN Atomic Watchdog
- Won Should Stay Steady Even Amid Unlimited Swap Proposal: Woori

Keep an eye on :
- ABVX FP : Abivax to Join CAC Mid 60, SBF 120 Indices
- ABN NA : ABN Amro to Reorganize Risk Roles, Says Job Cuts Are Possible
- AIR FP : Airbus Defence Eyes Thales, Leonardo Deal by Year-End: Corriere
- AI FP : France’s Air Liquide Weighs Sale of Biomethane Business: Reuters
- AAL LN : Anglo-Teck Merger Looks Likely to Go Ahead After Both Stocks Gain
- AAPL US : Apple AI and Search Executive Robby Walker to Leave iPhone Maker
- AZN LN : AstraZeneca Pauses £200 Million Investment in UK Headquarters
- 1211 HK : BYD : BYD’s $45 Billion Stock Wipeout Raises Doubts on China Outlook
- CAN LN : Paramount Skydance Prepares Ellison-Backed Bid for Warner Bros. Discovery -- WSJ
- CARLB DC : Carlsberg Evaluating IPO of India Arm. Moneycontrol Reports
- CTVA US : Corteva, a $50 Billion Seed-and-Pesticide Maker, Is Exploring a Breakup -- WSJ
- ACA FP : American Tower among potential bidders in latest attempt to sell TDF Infrastructure, Ardian and EQT are also possible suitors in a deal that could fetch €10bn for the company’s owners - FT
- DPP LN : DP Poland Sees Earnings in Line With Expectations
- EL FP : The battle for Armani: will his anointed suitors swoop on late designer’s empire? - FT
- ETL FP : Eutelsat et Multimedios Televisión reconduisent leur partenariat
- XOM US : Exxon Says Graphite Invention Increases EV Battery Life by 30%
- GALP PL : Galp Says It Reached Farm-In Agreement for Block in Sao Tome
- IDR SM : Indra Denies Oesia Acquisition Talks; Telia Down: EMEA Tech Wrap
- JAMF US : Vista-Backed Jamf Working With Citigroup to Explore Sale: Rtrs
- JD US : Sainsbury’s in Talks to Sell Argos Unit to China’s JD.com
- LDO IM : Airbus Defence Eyes Thales, Leonardo Deal by Year-End: Corriere
- UN CN : Lundin Mining Approves Ron Hochstein as Vicuna CEO
- MC FP : The battle for Armani: will his anointed suitors swoop on late designer’s empire? - FT
- Medline IPO : Medline readies IPO in coming months in test of investor appetite, Offering seen as signal of whether large private equity groups can begin exiting largest deals - FT
- MSFT US : OpenAI to Gain $50 Billion From Cutting Revenue Share with Microsoft, Partners
- NESN SW : Nestlé investors call for chair to step down over executive turmoil - FT
- NOVB DC : Triple dose of Novo Nordisk drug delivers 19% weight loss in trials
- ORSTED DC : Trump Files to Cancel Approval of Maryland Offshore Wind Farm
- PARA US : Paramount Skydance Prepares Ellison-Backed Bid for Warner Bros. Discovery -- WSJ
- PFE US :Pfizer Is Growing More Reliant on Vaccines as Controversies Swirl, Vaccines could comprise a quarter of Pfizer’s revenue by 2030 as patents expire on other drugs. - Barron's
- 9992 HK : Pop Mart : Labubu has nothing to fear from Wakuku or Lafufu, Pop Mart’s elflike doll has its rivals but the greatest threat may be the temporary nature of viral toy crazes - FT Lex
- 9992 HK :Pop Mart : Labubu May Have Peaked for Now, but Pop Mart Is Here to Stay, With international expansion at a steady pace and a roster of popular artist IPs beyond Labubu, the Chinese blind box and plush toy maker is looking at $4.18 billion in 2025 revenue with ease. - WWD
- 9992 HK : PopMart : -7.15%
- RHM GY : Rheinmetall Agrees to Buy NVL; No Terms Disclosed (Sept. 14)
- RIVN US : Subsea 7 Awarded ‘Major’ Project Under Agreement With Aramco
- RUI FP : French Fuel Retailer Rubis Is Said to Attract CVC, Trafigura --> +3.9% pre open
- RYA ID : Spanish airport owner accuses Ryanair of ‘lies’ over flight cuts - FT
- SFOR LN : S4 Capital 1H Ebitda GBP20.8M
- SBRY LN : Sainsbury’s in Talks to Sell Argos Unit to China’s JD.com & FT
- SBRY LN : Sainsbury’s Ends Talks With JD.com Over Selling Argos Unit
- SRG IM : Italy’s Snam Plans to Delay Open Grid Europe Deal, Sole Says
- SOON SW : Bernard Starts as Sonova CEO, Effective September 15
- STLA US : Stellantis Will Discontinue Development of Full-Size BEV Pickup
- STAL US : Jeep’s Comeback Plan: First, Bring Back the Cherokee, After sales fell and dealers revolted, the company reverses course and revives the popular model - WSJ
- SUBC NO :
- SumUp IPO : UK fintech SumUp explores listing at up to $15bn valuation, Card reader company wants to raise cash to buy up competitors - FT
- SWP FP : Sword Group: New Acquisition in Switzerland
- TSLA US : Tesla chair says $1tn pay award will push Musk to do ‘impossible things’ - FT
- TSLA US : Tesla’s German Car Plant Boosts Production Plan, Chief Tells DPA
- TSLA US : Starlink Says Services Disrupted, Cause Under Investigation (1)
- HO FP : Airbus Defence Eyes Thales, Leonardo Deal by Year-End: Corriere
- UBSG SW : UBS Has No Choice But to Leave Switzerland, Investor tells NZZ
- UNP US : Union Pacific CEO, Trump Discussed $72 Billion Rail Deal
- UNH US : UnitedHealth Is Spending Big on Trump Allies to Fix Its Washington Problems -- WSJ
- VIE FP : Veolia in Deal for Water Recycling Project in Middle East
- VIRP FP : Virbac 1H Adjusted Current Operating Income EU135.0M
- VOW3 GY : VW China Boss Expects Global Car Market to Worsen: Süddeutsche
- WHR US : Whirlpool Tells U.S. Authorities Its Rivals Could Be Evading Tariffs -- WSJ
- XPEV US : China’s Xpeng Partners With Magna to Produce EVs in Austria

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 15th of September 2025

>>> Up
* Austevoll Seafood Raised to Buy at Arctic Securities
* Bakkafrost Raised to Buy at Arctic Securities; PT 500 kroner
* Campari Raised to Sector Perform at RBC
* Icelandic Salmon Raised to Buy at Arctic Securities
* Mowi Raised to Buy at Arctic Securities; PT 255 kroner

>>> Down
* Bakkavor Cut to Hold at Investec; PT 236 pence
* BHP Cut to Underperform at BNPP Exane; PT 1,730 pence
* Fresenius Medical Care PT Cut to 36 euros at Jefferies
* Puma Cut to Neutral at Rothschild & Co Redburn; PT 24 euros
* Sainsbury PT Raised to 363 pence from 330 pence at JPMorgan
* Under Armour Cut to Neutral at Rothschild & Co Redburn; PT $6

>>> Initiation
* Brunello Cucinelli Reinstated Overweight at JPMorgan
* Fortum Rated New Neutral at Grupo Santander; PT 14.90 euros
* Granges Reinstated Buy at SEB Equities; PT 165 kronor
* Rubis Rated New Outperform at Bernstein; PT 38.70 euros
* Zegna Group Rated New Overweight at JPMorgan; PT $11

>>> Call
* Brunello Cucinelli, Zegna Overweight on High-End Focus: JPMorgan
* Campari Making Solid Progress, Raised to Sector Perform at RBC

>>> Stoxx 600 Pre-Market Indications

  • Rubis (BYN TH) +4.6%
    • French Fuel Retailer Rubis Is Said to Attract CVC, Trafigura
  • Beazley (2D7 TH) +1.9%
  • Rolls-Royce (RRU TH) +1.6%
  • Wolters Kluwer (WOSB TH) +1.3%
  • Prudential (PRU TH) +1.3%
  • AstraZeneca (ZEG TH) +1.2%
  • Legal & General (LGI TH) +1.2%
  • Danone (BSN TH) -0.7%
  • ArcelorMittal (ARRD TH) -0.9%
  • SocGen (SGE TH) -1%
    • Watch French Stocks After Fitch Cuts France’s Credit Rating
  • Telefonica (TNE5 TH) -1.1%
  • Edenred (QSV TH) -1.4%
  • Fresenius Medical Care (FME TH) -1.6%
    • Fresenius Medical Care PT Cut to 36 euros at Jefferies
  • Tele2 (NCYD TH) -1.9%

>>> TradeGate Pre-Market Indications

DAX:
  • Infineon (IFX TH) +1.2%
  • Fresenius Medical Care (FME TH) -1.6%
    • Fresenius Medical Care PT Cut to 36 euros at Jefferies
MDAX:
  • Puma (PUM TH) +1%
  • Hensoldt (HAG TH) +1%
    • Watch European Defense Stocks After Russian Drone Over Romania
  • Nemetschek (NEM TH) -1.2%
SDAX:
  • MLP (MLP TH) +1.7%
  • SMA Solar (S92 TH) +1.3%
  • Borussia Dortmund (BVB TH) +1.2%
  • Kontron (KTN TH) -0.9%

FT : Crypto groups hit out at Bank of England plan to limit stablecoin ownership

Crypto groups hit out at Bank of England plan to limit stablecoin ownership
Proposals would give UK much stricter rules for market than US or EU

Cryptocurrency groups are calling on the Bank of England to abandon plans to limit how many stablecoins people can own, which would give the UK much stricter rules for the fast-growing market than the US or EU.

The central bank’s plan to restrict stablecoin ownership reflects concerns that the tokens could weaken the banking system by draining it of deposits and underscores how the UK has been more cautious on crypto regulation than other countries. 

BoE officials said it planned to press ahead with proposals for imposing ownership limits of £10,000 to £20,000 for individuals and £10mn for businesses on all systemic stablecoins — defined as any widely used for UK payments or likely to be in the future.

However, the plan has drawn criticism from cryptocurrency and payment groups, which said it would put the UK at a disadvantage compared with other countries and would be difficult and costly to enforce on the market. 

“Imposing caps on stablecoins is bad for UK savers, bad for the City and bad for sterling,” said Tom Duff Gordon, vice-president of international policy at Coinbase, the US crypto asset exchange. “No other major jurisdiction has deemed it necessary to impose caps.”

Other crypto industry executives said the BoE’s limits would be hard to implement and hamper the potential benefits of stablecoins — such as making cross-border payments cheaper and faster. “Limits simply don’t work in practice,” said Simon Jennings, executive director of the UK Cryptoasset Business Council trade body.

“Stablecoin issuers don’t have sight of who holds their tokens at any given time, so enforcing caps would require a costly, complex new system, such as digital IDs or constant co-ordination between wallets,” he said.

The criticism threatens to intensify tensions between the BoE and the Treasury after the central bank’s governor Andrew Bailey intervened to stop a meeting by chancellor Rachel Reeves to encourage regulators to speed up fintech Revolut’s banking licence.

Reeves has committed to support digital innovation in UK financial services and said in her Mansion House speech in July she would “drive forward developments in blockchain technology, including tokenised securities and stablecoins”.

The BoE has said its proposed limits on stablecoin ownership could be “transitional” while the financial system adjusts to the growth of digital money. It is due to publish a consultation outlining its updated plans for stablecoin regulation this year.

Sasha Mills, BoE executive director for financial market infrastructure, said in a recent speech that the limits would “mitigate financial stability risks stemming from large and rapid outflows of deposits from the banking sector — for example sudden drops in the provision of credit to businesses and households — and risks posed by newly recognised systemic payment systems as they are scaling up”.

The global stablecoin market has grown rapidly to reach $288bn. It is dominated by US dollar-based tokens and was given a major boost after Congress passed the Genius Act in July, introducing a regulatory framework that is expected to embed stablecoins as a key part of the financial system. Coinbase has forecast the market could reach $1.2tn by 2028.

“Limits make no sense,” said Riccardo Tordera-Ricchi, director of policy & government relations at The Payments Association. “Just as there are no limits on cash, bank accounts, or e-money, there is no reason beyond scepticism to impose limits on stablecoin ownership. This is a step in the wrong direction.”

Gilles Chemla, a professor at Imperial Business School and co-director of its centre for financial technology, said: “Stablecoins are no longer experimental technologies — they are becoming the foundation of the global digital economy.”

Ahead of a report published on Tuesday, Chemla warned that the UK was falling behind on stablecoin regulation. “London has the talent, the markets, and the history to lead the digital economy, but the delay in implementing a regulatory framework for stablecoins is eroding that advantage,” he said.

FT : Pop Mart shares decline most since April as Labubu shine starts to fade

Pop Mart shares decline most since April as Labubu shine starts to fade
Hong Kong-listed stock falls 9% in biggest intraday drop since Trump’s ‘liberation day’ tariffs announcement

Pop Mart shares declined by the most since April on Monday as fears mounted that the success of Labubu, its toothy-grinned furry elf doll, was running out of steam.

The Hong Kong-listed shares of the Beijing-based toy company fell nearly 9 per cent in early trading — the biggest intraday drop since just after US President Donald Trump’s “liberation day” tariffs announcement in April — before paring losses to be down about 7 per cent.

The declines took the stock’s losses to more than 10 per cent since last Monday, though it is still up more than 180 per cent year to date.

Pop Mart’s stunning stock market rally has made it one of the world’s most valuable toy companies, with a market capitalisation more than double that of Hasbro and Mattel combined, even after the recent dip.

Much of its success has been due to the global popularity of Labubu, an ugly-but-cute doll that has earned endorsements from celebrities including David Beckham and Rihanna.

But analysts have warned that the success of Labubu risked leaving the company reliant on a possibly transient trend, and say the company needs to continue to release popular new characters to sustain its valuation, now about 29 times one-year forward earnings.

FT : China retail sales and factory output grow at slowest pace this year

China retail sales and factory output grow at slowest pace this year
World’s second-largest economy shows signs of strain as Beijing cracks down on industrial overcapacity

China’s retail sales and industrial output growth undershot expectations last month, with both expanding at the slowest rate this year as the economy showed signs of strain from a trade war with the US and domestic weaknesses.

Retail sales rose 3.4 per cent year on year, data from the National Bureau of Statistics showed on Monday, falling short of analysts’ forecasts of 3.9 per cent and July’s 3.7 per cent gain.

Industrial output grew 5.2 per cent last month against a year earlier, slowing from a 5.7 per cent expansion in July. Both figures were the slowest pace of growth since November 2024.

Fixed asset investment growth for the year to date slowed to 0.5 per cent, less than the 1.4 per cent forecast by economists and the 1.6 per cent figure from January to July.

“With officials tightening oversight of industrial overcapacity and the fading tailwind from export frontloading ahead of US tariff hikes on other economies, industrial production growth is set to ease,” Moody’s Analytics said ahead of the data release.


China has relied heavily on trade for the past few years to weather a persistent slowdown in the property market and weaker household demand.

Exporters rushed to ship goods to the US in the first half of the year to pre-empt President Donald Trump’s tariffs. The two sides have agreed a series of reprieves in levies that had reached as high as 145 per cent, the latest in August, to allow for further negotiations.

US Treasury secretary Scott Bessent on Sunday met Chinese vice-premier He Lifeng in Madrid for a fourth round of trade talks, which are expected to continue later on Monday.

But with the threat of higher tariffs weighing on exports to the US, which fell by a third last month, Beijing has turned to domestic demand to help drive economic growth.

Policymakers have unveiled a series of stimulus plans, including childcare subsidies for families and subsidised loans for consumers. The government has also begun cracking down on industrial producer deflation by encouraging consolidation in industries plagued by overcapacity and fierce price competition.

Producer prices, which declined 2.9 per cent year on year in August, have been mired in deflationary territory since October 2022.

Analysts are concerned that measures to address overcapacity — dubbed “involution” in Communist party jargon — could lead to a decline in investment as factories are consolidated.

Other official data released on Monday showed house prices dropped 2.5 per cent year on year against a 2.8 per cent decline in July, while unemployment during the month was 5.3 per cent, compared with 5.2 per cent in July.

Yuhan Zhang, principal economist at The Conference Board’s China Center, said “short-term price movements for key industrial materials, such as cement and steel, also signal continued pressure on China’s real estate sector”.

He added: “Improved macroeconomic conditions and stronger consumer confidence, particularly regarding employment and income, are essential drivers for meaningful price stabilisation.”