(BFW) Altice Priced $8.6b Debt, Will Sell Shares; Confirms Outlook

Altice seeks EU1.8b in 10% capital raising of new A and B shares via accelerated bookbuilding.
  • Co. will issue as much as 69,997,600 A shares, as much as 24,832,500 Altice B shares
    • Placing will be launched immediately, settlement seen in Oct. 5
  • Says debt financing on Cablevision acquisition has avg. cost of 7.6%, avg. tenor of 7.9 years, priced on Sept. 25, split as follows:
    • $3.8b of 7 year senior secured term loan B
    • $1.0b of 10 year senior guaranteed Notes
    • $3.8b of 7 year and 10 year senior unsecured notes
  • Total Cablevision debt financing is $14.5b, including $5.9b retained debt
  • Cablevision has also secured 5 year $2b revolving facility
  • Confirms guidance on medium-term Ebitda margin targets of 45% at Numericable-SFR, 50% at Altice Intl
  • Co. remains confident in cost savings, synergies targets of EU200m at Portugal Telecom, $215m at Suddenlink, $900m at Cablevision.
  • Sept. 17: Altice agreed to buy Cablevision for $17.7b

>>> What to look at today - 1st of October 2015

Dow+1.47% S&P+1.91% Nasdaq+2.28% Russell+1.55% VIX 24.50 (-8.68%) WTI $45.39 (+0.35%) GOLD -1.11% 10Y -1.05b to 2.04% Brazil +2.10%
US market ended the midweek session on a higher note, but could not avoid its second consecutive monthly decline. The S&P 500 gained 1.9% on Wednesday, but surrendered 2.7% in September. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (+2.3%) outperformed today, but lost 3.3% for the month. Today was also end of Q3, S&P 500 fell 6.9% versus a 7.4% decline in the Nasdaq for this Q, today's session has been clearly impacted by window dressing. The iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF (IBB 303.33, +13.85) surged 4.8%, narrowing its September loss to 11.3%. For its part, the health care sector lost 5.8% in September. arge cap tech names with the likes of Google (GOOGL 637.20, +14.59), Microsoft (MSFT 44.20, +0.76), and Facebook (FB 89.73, +3.06) gaining between 1.8% and 3.5%. Western Digital (WDC 79.40, +10.53) surged 15.3% after Unisplendour made a $3.78 billion investment in WDC by acquiring newly issued shares at $92.50/share. Barracuda Networks (CUDA 15.58, -7.97) plunged 33.8% after cautious guidance overshadowed a one-cent beat. Volume were above average with more than 1bil shares traded. US After Hours CAFD +3.2%, USAT +0.4% following earnings/guidance, VRSK (+4.8%) to enter S&P500, replacing JOY (-2.2%)...China PMIs. Official manufacturing PMI was in contraction for 2nd straight month but not as poor as feared, while Caixin also improved and beat out projections. Caixin economist did note that the pressure driving the decline of manufacturing has eased, though there is still tepid demand amid general oversupply of manufacturing. Services PMIs were unchanged for official level and slightly lower for the SME-oriented Caixin gauge. Japan Q3 Tankan survey from the BOJ came in mixed - Manufacturer Index was actually slightly below consensus and Non-manufacturing topped estimates. BOJ official said firms appear to be retaining their CAPEX plans despite the slowdown in China, and that the central bank does not anticipate sharp deterioration in conditions ahead...OZ Minerals (OZL AU) +19.5%, KKR to buy 10%...

Nikkei +2.25% Hang Seng +1.41% Shanghai +0.48%

Eur$ 1.1142 JPY 120.22 CNY 6.3571 GBP 1.5130 BRL 3.9475 EURCHF 1.0883 RUB$ 65.3585 WTI $45.76(+1.49%)

S&P +0.75% EuroStoxx +1.4% Dax+0.95% SMI+1.15%

Macro :
- European Commission Said Set to Take HK Off Tax-Haven List: SCMP
- Greek Securities Regulator Extends Short-Selling Ban for Banks
- Russia May Cut Rates in October If RUB Stronger Than 65/USD: RBS
- Brazil Said to Consider Key Rate Hike If Budget Plan Derails
- China to Lose Earliest Manufacturing Gauge as Flash PMI Ends
- Japan Inc.’s Confidence Is Waning as Headwinds Hit Abenomics
- GPIF Swims Against Tide With Move Into Junk, Emerging Bonds (1)

Keep an eye on :
- ABE SM : Regulator CNMV Authorizes Abertis Offer for Own Shares
- ADS GY : Adidas to decide whether to sell its golf operations by March; plenty of interest - Borsen Zeitung
- AF FP : Air France Says Talks With Pilots on Cost Cuts Have Failed
- AZN LN : AstraZeneca Says Psoriasis Patients Benefited From Brodalumab
- BT/A LN : U.K. Telecom Minister a ‘Sceptic’ About BT Broadband Split: FT
- CORL BB : Colruyt Sees FY Net At Least EU362m vs Est. EU358m; Rev. Up 2-4%
- DLG GY : Dialog, Amtel Amend Merger Agreement to Detail Required Votes
- EDCL LI : Eurasia Drilling Sees FY Ebitda Margin at 26%; Keeps Sales Est.
- FCA IM : Ferrari Said on Track to Get EU10b Value in IPO
- GAS NA : Gas Natural to Buy EU450m of Repsol’s Gas Distiribution Assets
- GLEN LN : say Glencore has $50B in speical financing, if its credit dwg to junk, cost of capital will be lower than competitors - told in investors meeting today, reported by CNBC
- GLEN LN : +15% in HK @ 93.2p vs 91.55 yest in ldn
- GLEN LN : Nidera Rogue Trader Said to Have Lost Around $200m: WSJ
- GLEN LN : CHS May Be Interested in Glencore Assets at Right Price: Reuters
- ING NA : ING Sells 40m NN Group Shrs at EU25/Shr, Raising EU1b
- IAG LN : Spanish Air Traffic Controllers Agree to End Strikes
- SDF GY : Potash Offered K+S Board Jobs, More Money in Takeover Talks: FAZ
- LHN VX : Lafarge Signs Pact for Sale of Cement Shrs to CRH Aboitiz
- RDSA NA : Shell Declares Force Majeure on Forcados Exports in Nigeria
- TNTE NA : Tyrus Capital Cuts Net Short Position in TNT to 0.38%: Filing
- UBI FP : SOHN CANADA: FrontFour’s Lorber Likes Ubisoft
- VIV FP : YouTube May Start Pay Version at End Oct., Les Echos Says
- VOW3 GY : VW Says Emissions Issue Affects 683,626 Vehicles in Spain

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 1st of October 2015

>>> Up
*AGRANA RAISED TO NEUTRAL VS SELL AT GOLDMAN SACHS
*AMEC FOSTER WHEELER RAISED TO NEUTRAL AT MACQUARIE
*ARYZTA RAISED TO BUY VS HOLD AT SOCGEN
*BNP PARIBAS RAISED TO OUTPERFORM VS NEUTRAL AT MACQUARIE
*DEUTSCHE BOERSE RAISED TO OVERWEIGHT VS UNDERWEIGHT AT BARCLAYS
*DSM RAISED TO BUY VS HOLD AT LIBERUM
*EURONAV RAISED TO BUY FROM HOLD AT ING; PT RAISED TO EU14
*HEIDELBERGCEMENT RAISED TO OVERWEIGHT VS NEUTRAL AT JPMORGAN
*PERNOD RICARD RAISED TO BUY VS NEUTRAL AT GOLDMAN SACHS
*RWE RAISED TO SECTOR PERFORM AT RBC CAPITAL

>>> Down
*BBA AVIATION CUT TO SECTOR PERFORM VS OUTPERFORM AT RBC
*SANTANDER CUT TO NEUTRAL VS OVERWEIGHT AT JPMORGAN
*PFEIFFER VACUUM CUT TO HOLD AT KEPLER CHEUVREUX
*URALKALI CUT TO SELL VS NEUTRAL AT GOLDMAN SACHS

>>> PT change


>>> Initiation
*AB-INBEV RATED NEW BUY AT UBS
*BRITVIC RATED NEW BUY AT UBS
*CAMPARI RATED NEW SELL AT UBS, PT EU6
*CARLSBERG RATED NEW NEUTRAL AT UBS
*COCA-COLA HBC RATED NEW SELL AT UBS
*DIAGEO RAISED TO BUY VS NEUTRAL AT UBS
*HEINEKEN RATED NEW BUY AT UBS, PT EU88
*MEDIASET REINITIATED AT HOLD AT LIBERUM; PT EU4.2
*PEARSON REINSTATED BUY AT CITI, PT 1,425P
*PERNOD RICARD RATED NEW BUY AT UBS, PT EU118
*REMY COINTREAU RATED NEW NEUTRAL AT UBS
*SABMILLER RATED NEW NEUTRAL AT UBS

>>> Call
>> Stock
*AGRANA REMOVED FROM GOLDMAN SACHS PAN-EUROPE SELL LIST
*BBVA, AAREAL REMOVED FROM KEPLER CHEUVREUX MOST PREFERRED BANKS
*EFG, COMMERZBANK, BAER ADDED TO KEPLER LEAST PREFERRED BANKS
*OXFORD INSTRUMENTS REPLACES RENOLD IN NUMIS TOP PICKS PORTFOLIO
*MELROSE, TULLOW OIL, MICRO FOCUS ADDED TO NUMIS TOP PICKS
*SEB, UBS ADDED TO KEPLER CHEUVREUX MOST PREFERRED BANKS

(Nomura) ABI / SAB : A ‘who’s who’ of cos affected by ABISAB

20 companies potentially affected by ABISAB; continue to own SAB given likelihood of deal

Still a gap between implied deal price and current share price
There still remains a significant discount (21%) between the current SABMiller share price and the potential bid price of GBP 45 a share

SABMiller (Buy) – continue to own

ABI (Neutral) – remain on the sidelines for now

--> In accordance with Rule 2.6 (a) of the Takeover Code, ABI must either announce a firm intention to make an offer for SABMiller or announce that it does not intend to make an offer by not later than 5pm on 14 October. We would highlight that this deadline can be extended if both sides agree.

>>> US After Hours Summary: CAFD +3.2%, USAT +0.4% following

After Hours Summary: CAFD +3.2%, USAT +0.4% following earnings/guidance

After Hours Gainers:

Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to earnings: CAFD +3.2%, USAT +0.4%

Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to news: VRSK +4.8% (to replace JOYG in the S&P 500), PBF +4.5% (announced purchase of 155,000 barrel-per-day Torrance refinery and related logistics assets from ExxonMobil (XOM) for $537.5 mln), MAC +0.3% (announced $1.2 bln share repurchase program; reached an agreement to form joint ventures in which it will contribute interests in eight assets with expected cash proceeds of $2.3 bln; expects special dividend of $3.50-4.50 per share), 

After Hours Losers:

Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to news: MDGN -11.1% (to offer and sell shares of its common stock in an underwritten public offering), CXO -4.2% (updated risk factors regarding the carrying value of its proved oil and natural gas properties), BKH -2.6% (subsidiary announced submission of applications with respective state utility regulators seeking approval for a Cost of Service Gas Program), JOY -2.2% (to move from S&P 500 to S&P MidCap 400), FOLD -1.7% (filed for ~5.92 mln share common stock offering by selling shareholders)

>>> Asian Update

Asian Mid-session Update: Investors enthused as China PMIs and Japan Tankan tread water


***Economic Data***
- (CN) CHINA SEPT MANUFACTURING PMI (OFFICIAL): 49.8 V 49.7E (2nd month of contraction); NON-MANUFACTURING (SERVICES) PMI: 53.4 V 53.4 PRIOR
- (CN) CHINA SEPT FINAL CAIXIN PMI MANUFACTURING: 47.2 V 47.0E; PMI COMPOSITE: 48.0 V 48.8 PRIOR; PMI SERVICES: 50.5 V 51.5 PRIOR; To discontinue issuing Flash PMI
- (JP) JAPAN Q3 TANKAN MANUFACTURER INDEX: 12 V 13E; LARGE MANUFACTURER OUTLOOK SURVEY: 10 V 10E; All industry CAPEX 10.9% v 8.7%e
- (JP) JAPAN SEPT FINAL PMI MANUFACTURING: 51.0 V 50.9 PRELIM; 3-month low
- (AU) AUSTRALIA JUNE-AUG JOB VACANCIES Q/Q: 2.7% V 2.6% PRIOR
- (AU) AUSTRALIA SEPT CORELOGIC RPDATA HOUSE PRICES M/M: 0.9% V 0.3% PRIOR; 4th straight increase
- (AU) AUSTRALIA SEPT AIG MANUFACTURING INDEX: 52.1 V 51.7 PRIOR; 3rd month of expansion
- (NZ) NEW ZEALAND SEPT QV HOUSE PRICES Y/Y: 12.6% V 11.3% PRIOR
- (KR) SOUTH KOREA PMI MANUFACTURING: 49.2 V 47.9 PRIOR
- (KR) South Korea Sept Trade Balance: $8.9B v $6.7Be
- (KR) South Korea Aug Industrial Production M/M: +0.4% v -1.5%e; Y/Y: +0.3% v -1.8%e

***Index Snapshot (as of 02:30 GMT)***
- Nikkei225 +1.7%, S&P/ASX +1.6%, Kospi +0.9%, Shanghai Composite closed, Hang Seng closed, Dec S&P500 +0.7% at 1,920

***Commodities/Fixed Income***
- Dec gold flat at $1,114/oz, Nov crude oil +1.2% at $45.64/brl, Dec copper +1.2% at $2.37/lb
- JGB: (JP) Japan MoF sells ¥2.19T in 10-yr 0.4% JGBs; Avg yield: 0.336% v 0.421% prior; bid to cover: 3.03x v 3.52x prior
- (JP) Japan investors net bought ¥1.0T in foreign bonds v bought ¥725B in prior week; Foreign investors sold net ¥192B in Japan stocks v sold ¥432B in prior week

***Market Focal Points/FX***
- S&P500 futures are up over 1.5% and JPY is under pressure as risk-on flows emerge after the release of slightly better than expected China PMIs. Official manufacturing PMI was in contraction for 2nd straight month but not as poor as feared, while Caixin also improved and beat out projections. Caixin economist did note that the pressure driving the decline of manufacturing has eased, though there is still tepid demand amid general oversupply of manufacturing. Services PMIs were unchanged for official level and slightly lower for the SME-oriented Caixin gauge. The data also sent JPY lower and commodity FX higher - USD/JPY spiked up about 40pips above 120.20, AUD/USD up about 50pips to 0.7060, and NZD/USD up about 30pips above 0.6420. CAD built on its late US session gains, with USD/CAD falling another 30pips below 1.33. Markets in China were closed for holiday and did not have a chance to react to the data.

- Japan Q3 Tankan survey from the BOJ came in mixed - Manufacturer Index was actually slightly below consensus and Non-manufacturing topped estimates. Here, traders noted better than expected all-industry CapEx component at 10.9% v 8.7%e. BOJ official said firms appear to be retaining their CAPEX plans despite the slowdown in China, and that the central bank does not anticipate sharp deterioration in conditions ahead. Some of the analysts reflected on the Tankan data, noting the updates will likely keep the BOJ from expanding QE in late September, however there were also some skeptics. Former BOJ Dep Gov Iwata said BOJ Gov Kuroda is too optimistic about the economy, calling for more easing. BOJ critic Yamamoto also said he would still prefer BOJ to announce more policy action in October when it updates projections for growth and inflation.

***Equities***
US equities / ADRs:
- VRSK: To enter S&P 500 Index, replacing JOY; +5.3% afterhours
- PBF: Confirms to acquire Torrance refinery (155K bpd) from Exxon for $537.5M; +4.3% afterhours
- XPO: Price Target cut to $33 from $56 at Oppenheimer, reiterates Outperform rating; -1.5% afterhours
- CXO: Announces public offering of 7.0M shares of common stock; -4.7% afterhours
- MDGN: Offering shares of indeterminate amount; -11.1% afterhours

Notable movers by sector:
- Consumer discretionary: Adastria Holdings Co 2685.JP +7.8% (raises guidance); Lawson 2651.JP +1.4% (H1 guidance); Mandom Corp 4917.JP -0.1% (Cuts FY15/16 guidance)
- Financials: ANZ Bank ANZ.AU +1.6% (new CEO)
- Technology: Samsung Electronics 005930.KR +0.4% (Q3 result speculation); Acer Inc 2353.TW +0.8% (denies layoff speculation); Pegatron Corp 4938.TW +2.1% (OEM orders)
- Materials: OZ Minerals OZL.AU +17.8% (KKR to buy 10% interest); Newcrest Mining NCM.AU -1.3% (to divest interest in Evolution)
- Healthcare: Mitsubishi Tanabe Pharma 4508.JP -1.1% (raises H1 guidance)
- Telecom: Telstra Corp TLS.AU +0.7% (CEO comment); Daum Communications 035720.KR +3.6% (partnership with Tencent)

FT : China manufacturing contracts for 2nd straight month


Chinese manufacturing activity contracted for the second consecutive month in September, according to an official survey released on Thursday, in a reading analysts said increased the likelihood of another interest rate cut by the People’s Bank of China.
The official purchasing manager’s index came in at 49.8 last month, after a reading of 49.7 in August. Readings below 50 indicate contraction.

Thursday’s PMI was higher than the unofficial Caixin China PMI released last week. The Caixin index focuses on small and medium-sized companies in China, which routinely complain of difficulties in securing credit from the state-led banking system.
“Commercial banks are still quite reluctant to provide credits to SMEs but hoard large chunks of money in corporate bonds issued by large names,” said Zhou Hao, economist with Commerzbank. “This reflects risk aversion and suggests that the policy easing is not sufficient to offset concerns over [China’s] economic slowdown.”
China’s central bank has cut interest rates five times since November. But two rate cuts this summer, along with an unprecedented market intervention by the government, failed to stem a rout on China’s stock exchanges.
Global markets were also rattled by the PBoC’s “one-off” devaluation of the renminbi on August 11 as part of an adjustment to make the currency’s exchange rate more market-driven. But poor communication of the strategy spooked global investors, who are now more worried than ever about China’s economic outlook.
“China’s weak survey data suggest that additional policy easing is quite likely before year-end,” said Bill Adams, economist at PNC Financial Services Group.
Last month the US Federal Reserve held off on an unexpected interest rate rise, citing an uncertain economic outlook in emerging economies and China specifically.
On Tuesday the Reserve Bank of India reduced its benchmark lending rate by 50 basis points. “Emerging market central banks see an opening to leave monetary policy looser for longer in the Federal Reserve’s decision to defer an initial interest rate hike,” Mr Adams added.
China’s economy is growing at its slowest annual rate in 25 years. The National Bureau of Statistics will release its third-quarter growth estimate on October 19. The NBS reported that China’s economy grew 7 per cent in both the first and second quarters, exactly in line with the government’s official target for the year.
China’s stock markets were closed on Thursday for National Day holiday, the start of a weeklong holiday. The Hong Kong stock exchange was also closed.

WSJ : U.S. Rebukes Russia Over Syria Strikes

U.S. Rebukes Russia Over Syria Strikes
American official said Islamic State does not appear to be the target

Russia launched airstrikes in Syria on Wednesday, catching U.S. and Western officials off guard and drawing new condemnation as evidence suggested Moscow wasn’t targeting extremist group Islamic State, but rather other opponents of Bashar al-Assad’s regime.

The arrival of Russian warplanes and helicopter gunships catapulted the Syrian crisis to a new level of danger and uncertainty. Moscow’s entry means the world’s most powerful militaries—including the U.S., Britain and France—now are flying uncoordinated combat missions, heightening the risk of conflict in the skies over Syria.

U.S. Defense Secretary Ash Carter said Russia’s approach to the Syrian war—defending Mr. Assad while ostensibly targeting extremists—was tantamount to “pouring gasoline on the fire.”

“I have been dealing with them for a long time. And this is not the kind of behavior that we should expect professionally from the Russian military,” Mr. Carter said, in a Pentagon news conference.

Secretary of State John Kerry met with Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov and said he raised U.S. concerns about attacks that target regime opponents other than Islamic State, also known as ISIS or ISIL. In Syria’s multi-sided war, Mr. Assad’s military—aided by Iran and the Lebanese Shiite group Hezbollah—is fighting both Islamic State and opposition rebel groups, some of which are supported by the U.S. and its allies.

Mr. Kerry said the U.S. and Russia need to hold military talks as soon as possible and Mr. Lavrov said he agreed.

Russian lawmakers voted unanimously on Wednesday to let President Vladimir Putin send troops to Syria. A top Kremlin official said the authorization follows a request for military assistance by Syrian President Bashar al-Assad. Photo: AP.
The U.S. and its allies were angry at the Russians on many scores: that they are supporting Mr. Assad; that they aren’t coordinating their actions with the existing, U.S.-led anti-Islamic State coalition; that they provided terse notice only an hour before their operations; that they demanded the U.S. coalition stay out of Syrian airspace; and that they struck in areas where anti-Assad rebels—not Islamic State—operate.

“It does appear that they were in areas where there probably were not ISIL forces, and that is precisely one of the problems with this whole approach,” said Mr. Carter, the U.S. defense chief.

The combination of unpredictable, unilateral action that flouted Western exhortations posed an unmistakable resemblance to Ukraine, where Mr. Putin moved to annex the Crimea region and has defied international demands to halt its support for separatists.

Mr. Putin’s decision-making in Syria mirrors the way he has approached Ukraine, said Andrew Weiss, vice president for studies at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.

“He deliberately tries to do things to throw opponents off balance and he’s always trying to get some sort of element of surprise and tactical advantage over people, that’s sort of what keeps him going is this constant springing surprises and flipping events in his favor,” said Mr. Weiss, who worked on Russia policy in the George H.W. Bush and Bill Clinton administrations.

ENLARGE
Russia is also playing a greater military role in Iraq, which is threatened by Islamic State and aided by the U.S.-led coalition. Iraq agreed this week to share intelligence with Russia, the Syrian regime and Iran to counter Islamic State.

Iraqi Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi said he would welcome Russian airstrikes against Islamic State in Iraq as long as they are coordinated with the U.S.-led coalition.

“If the Russians are prepared to join the international coalition, which is helping Iraq, they’re welcome,” he said in a PBS interview.

French Foreign Minister Laurent Fabius said the first indications he had on the Russian strikes is that they didn’t target areas controlled by Islamic State. At a United Nations summit in New York, British Foreign Secretary Philip Hammond said the targets were still unclear.

“They are the first Russian airstrikes as far as we’re aware, so the selection of targets won't have been accidental or random,” he said. “If they are clearly ISIL targets far away from any regime activity, that will send one signal,” he said. “If they are targets that look more like defense of regime forces than attack on ISIL forces, that will send a very different signal.”

American officials were taken aback by Russia’s decision to announce the strikes by sending a three-star Russian general to the U.S. embassy in Baghdad on Wednesday. The general gave U.S. officials an hour’s notice before he arrived, delivered the message that Russia was going to start bombing, said American aircraft should get out of Syrian airspace, and left, American officials said.

One defense official called it “unprofessional.” Another called it unproductive.

U.S. officials said they didn’t alter their airstrike and surveillance missions over Syria as a result of Russia’s attacks. But the lack of coordination makes it more challenging to avoid potential confrontations.

U.S. defense officials said they are still trying to set up meetings with their Russian counterparts to discuss ways to prevent a direct conflict between the two global military powers. But Wednesday’s attacks cast a shadow over the hopes for the discussions.

U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry addresses the U.N. in response to Russian airstrikes in Syria, saying the fight against Islamic State must not be confused with support for Syrian President Bashar al-Assad. Photo: AP
“You’ve got to have a willing partner to come to the table and tell you the truth,” said a senior military official.

Russia has built up its military presence in Syria in recent weeks to support Mr. Assad after he suffered a series of battlefield setbacks and acknowledged publicly that he could no longer hold on to all of the country after more than four years of war. During the buildup, Moscow said its intent was to fight Islamic State and conflated opponents of the regime with terrorists.

U.S. defense officials said that Russia now has 32 planes stationed at an airfield near the Syrian coast. Along with jet fighters, Russia has 16 helicopters, nine tanks, at least two surface-to-air missile defense systems and enough housing for up to 2,000 people, U.S. officials said.

Moscow and Syrian state media claimed Russia’s initial strikes hit areas under Islamic State control. The Syrian state news agency said the targets were in the central provinces of Homs and Hama. However, most of the areas that state media listed as targets aren’t known to be Islamic State-held territory.

Airstrikes on Wednesday also struck the ancient city of Palmyra and the nearby village of Qaryatain in Homs province, both held by Islamic State. However, it wasn’t immediately clear whether they were Syrian regime or Russian bombings. Syrian state media claimed they were carried out by Mr. Assad’s air force. Anti-Assad activists on the ground said they were more powerful than any regime airstrikes until now, leading them to believe they were Russian.

Among seven areas that Syrian state media listed as targets of Russian strikes, only one—an area east of the town of Salamiyah in Hama province—has a known presence of Islamic State fighters. The other areas listed are largely dominated by moderate rebel factions or Islamist groups, such as Ahrar al-Sham and the al Qaeda-affiliated Nusra Front.

“This is not downtown Raqqa,” one senior defense official said of the areas Russian planes hit. “This is not an ISIL stronghold.”

Syrian activists said the town of Talbiseh, about 10 miles north of the city of Homs, along with several surrounding villages bore the brunt of the bombardment. The area has been besieged by regime forces for several years.

At least 27 people, including six children and five women, were killed in the strikes on Talbiseh, opposition activists said.

The dominant factions in Talbiseh and the nearby town of al-Rastan are tied to the Free Syrian Army, the Western-backed rebel umbrella group that includes many Syrian army defectors.

The commander of one FSA faction named Tajamu al-Ezzeh said Russian warplanes targeted his fighters in Hama province, according to a video statement released by the group. It wasn’t possible to independently verify the claim.

Video filmed by citizen journalists affiliated to local rebel groups and posted on YouTube showed the aftermath of the airstrikes in Talbiseh. In one video, rebels and citizens are seen rushing down a street as thick black smoke and fire engulfed heavily damaged buildings. Then they are shown attempting to rescue those trapped under the rubble. A dazed man covered in blood was lifted up from the ground and taken outside.

“Is there anyone here?” a voice is heard shouting. “I don’t know, I don’t know but lots of people live here!” answers a panicked man.

In another video a naked child covered in blood and shrapnel is shown crying on a bed at a local field hospital.

WSJ : Questions About Leak at Federal Reserve Escalate to Insider-Trading Probe

Questions About Leak at Federal Reserve Escalate to Insider-Trading Probe

Firm at center of probe says it is a media organization with special legal protections

WASHINGTON—A high-profile investigation into a leak of sensitive information from the Federal Reserve in 2012 has escalated to an insider-trading probe led by a key market surveillance agency and federal prosecutors in Manhattan, according to people familiar with the matter.

But the firm at the center of the probe, Medley Global Advisors, has thrown up a roadblock by claiming a novel defense: It says it is a media organization entitled to special protections under the law, the people said.

Federal prosecutors in the Southern District of New York are focusing on the information leak while the Commodity Futures Trading Commission is looking into whether anyone violated insider-trading rules in 2012 when Medley disclosed to its clients details about the Fed’s plans for further economic stimulus, according to people familiar with the matter.

A spokesman for Medley said the firm “reserves complete editorial freedom in its newsletters, an integral principle for any serious newsgathering organization.” He said, “Medley’s journalists are focused on providing their readers deep insight,” and that the firm’s work is “made available to all subscribers and has a global audience from Kansas City to Madrid to Tokyo.”

The Fed declined to comment on the investigation and insider-trading probe.

The CFTC began its investigation after news of an internal Fed probe into the matter became public in December 2014. The 2010 Dodd-Frank financial regulatory law gave the CFTC the ability to pursue insider-trading charges based on confidential government information that affects the price of a commodity, including futures. The agency hasn’t yet brought any such charges.

The investigations by the Southern District of New York and the CFTC are still in the fact-finding stages, and it isn’t clear whether any insider-trading violations occurred.

Medley’s assertion that it is a news organization has raised prickly legal issues for prosecutors, the people said. Earlier this year, former Attorney General Eric Holder issued new rules requiring prosecutors to obtain additional high-level approvals to subpoena materials from reporters involved in investigations.

Medley’s claims also could impact at least three other insider-trading probes involving policy research firms that allegedly relayed confidential government information to Wall Street traders.

Traditional media firms are largely immune from insider-trading prosecution because even if they acquire private information, they publish it to a broad section of the public. But the government has no clear definition of what constitutes a media organization, in part because it is wary of being accused of infringing on the First Amendment.

Medley’s website refers to recipients of its research notes as “clients,” not readers or subscribers. It says the firm serves “the world’s top hedge funds, institutional investors, and asset managers” by delivering “unbiased intelligence on macroeconomic and political events by cultivating relationships with senior policy makers around the globe.”

In 2010, Medley was purchased by the Financial Times. Medley hasn’t disclosed how many clients receive its newsletters.

The investigation is in “uncharted territory and raises some unique issues,” said Justin Shur, a former Justice Department prosecutor now with MoloLamken LLP.

“It may be more difficult for prosecutors and regulators to obtain information from those firms given the First Amendment implications,” Mr. Shur said. “And proving the information is nonpublic could be an uphill battle if widely disseminated.”

Insider-trading law is notoriously vague, and there is no specific statute prohibiting it. Securities lawyers say it could be illegal for a government official to knowingly disclose private and market-moving information to an investor or an individual working on behalf of investors. And investors could run afoul of the rules if they trade on information they know was illegally obtained from the government.

The Justice Department and the Fed’s inspector general were previously conducting investigations to identify Fed employees who may have improperly shared details of the Fed’s deliberations in September 2012 with Medley senior managing director Regina Schleiger. House Republicans also have subpoenaed the Fed after accusing the central bank of botching its internal investigation.

The leak probe centers on a confidential Sept. 12-13, 2012, meeting of senior Fed officials. At the meetings, the Federal Open Market Committee voted to begin a new effort to spur the economy by buying $40 billion worth of mortgage-backed securities each month.

The Fed announced the move after the meetings concluded. It left open the possibility of further stimulus.

The important details of the Fed’s internal deliberations at the September meetings were supposed to be disclosed by the Fed in early October.

Before that happened, The Wall Street Journal published a story reporting that Fed officials at the September meeting were considering further action to stimulate the economy. The Sept. 28 story said there was a “strong possibility” the Fed would begin purchasing large amounts of Treasury bonds.

The next week, Medley sent a research note to its clients saying with more certainty that the Fed was “likely to vote as early as its December meeting” to begin monthly purchases of $45 billion worth of Treasury bonds.

The Oct. 3 Medley note, which came the day before the Fed released the meeting minutes, included confidential details that indicated the information came from inside the Fed.

For example, Medley stated that Fed officials debated providing an assurance that they wouldn’t consider raising interest rates until unemployment fell below 6.5% or the medium-term outlook for inflation rose above 2.5%. The language was adopted later that year.

Medley also wrote that “tomorrow’s minutes will reference a staff paper” and disclosed that staff members at the Fed worked past midnight to prepare for the meeting.

The Fed’s decision to initiate $45 billion in Treasury bond purchases, which the Fed announced after its December meeting, was intended to put downward pressure on Treasury yields and other interest rates, weaken the dollar and stoke the stock market.

After the Journal story and the Medley analyst report were made public, Ben Bernanke, then the Fed chairman, asked the Fed’s general counsel to investigate whether any information was improperly leaked by Fed employees.

In March 2013, the investigation found that Fed officials who spoke with the Journal didn’t provide details of Fed “policy proposals or actions.” Disclosures made to the Journal “appeared to be unintentional or careless,” the investigation found.

That same investigation concluded that “nearly everything” in the Medley note was previously disclosed by the Journal.

The Journal hasn’t received any subpoenas on the matter, said Colleen Schwartz, a spokeswoman for Dow Jones & Co., which owns the Journal.

When the Fed’s internal investigation was made public earlier this year, the chairman of the House Financial Services Committee called it “inadequate.” The committee chairman, Rep. Jeb Hensarling (R., Texas), later issued a subpoena to the Fed requesting more details about the investigation.

The Fed investigation said it failed to determine who provided the information to Medley.

Still, the alleged leak was surprising to some inside the central bank because the Fed had adopted a policy two years earlier to avoid such disclosures. The communications policy, written in June 2011, stated that members of its top policy-making committee “will strive to ensure” they don’t provide any profit-making entity “with a prestige advantage over its competitors.”

Policy makers “will consider this principle carefully and rigorously” when meeting with “anyone who might benefit financially from apparently exclusive contacts” with Fed officials, according to the policy, which was amended in January this year.

The Fed found that a handful of officials had in fact sat down with Ms. Schleiger, including then-vice Chairwoman Janet Yellen, who met with the Medley analyst in June 2012, long before the leak. The Fed hasn’t released the names of other officials who met with Ms. Schleiger.

After the Fed’s investigation became public, the CFTC launched its own probe, according to people familiar with the matter. Investigators asked Medley to turn over information related to the October 2012 research note. Lawyers for Medley declined to do so, saying it is a media company and entitled to protections under the First Amendment.

At issue for federal officials: Is there a legal difference between research firms that gather information about confidential government activity for clients and more traditional news organizations that publish similar information for a broader set of subscribers?

Before joining Medley in 2003, Ms. Schleiger worked for a decade as a reporter covering financial services for Knight Ridder.

There is no record of Medley applying for a media credential from the congressional press gallery, which is the traditional way journalists in Washington obtain press passes. The Fed says it hasn’t issued media credentials to Ms. Schleiger or anyone at Medley.

The firm’s spokesman said “Medley’s status as a media organization does not turn on whether it applies for media credentials.”