WSJ : Takeover Loans Have Few Takers on Wall Street

Takeover Loans Have Few Takers on Wall Street

It is a sign that investor appetite for riskier debt remains muted

Wall Street banks are struggling to sell billions of dollars of loans they made to finance the corporate buyout boom, a sign that investor appetite for riskier debt remains muted despite a robust autumn rally in other financial markets.

The slowdown threatens to cool the surge in mergers-and-acquisitions that has sent takeover volume in 2015 to record levels, thanks in part to easy credit. Bank of America Corp., Credit Suisse Group AG and Morgan Stanley are among the banks wrestling to sell loans they made to back purchases by firms including Lannett Co. and Apollo Global Management LLC, according to investors.

“This is the longest sustained downturn we’ve seen in the markets in a while,” said Michael Kaplan, a deal-financing partner at law firm Davis Polk & Wardwell LLP.

For now, loan investors have lost their appetite only for the riskiest deals while relatively high junk credit ratings still attract buyers. Investment banks are growing reluctant to back new deals with heavier debt loads or in troubled industries like energy and pharmaceuticals. That in turn makes it harder for potential acquirers to capture takeover targets. The stresses contrast to a boom in sales of debt considered less risky, or investment grade.

The banks must sell the loans by year’s end to minimize holdings of risky assets that require capital charges under new regulations. But buyers have lost their taste for riskier loans because prices of such debt dropped sharply in September and October, saddling investors with losses.

Now bankers are being forced to heavily discount the new loans to clear their balance sheets, investors and bankers say. Banks must make up much of the difference when loans they make are sold at discounts by giving up their fees or taking losses, an unwelcome prospect at a time when M&A deal-making has emerged as one of their strongest businesses.

Morgan Stanley is laboring to sell a $1.2 billion loan it made with other banks backing generic-drug maker Lannett’s purchase of Kremers Urban Pharmaceuticals Inc. Investor interest dried up last week after Kremers disclosed the loss of a major customer. Loan fund managers are increasingly leery of the drug sector because of turmoil at Valeant Pharmaceuticals International Inc., investors and bankers say.

Credit Suisse Group AG has been trying since early October to distribute $525 million in loans it made with other banks for private-equity firm Apollo’s buyout of OM Group. The bank has been unable to find buyers so far, and it is in the process of cutting the price of the debt, investors say.

Bank of America Merrill Lynch last week reduced the price of a $1.2 billion loan to barge operator American Commercial Lines for its purchase of AEP River Operations LLC in an attempt to attract loan fund managers, according to S&P Capital IQ LCD.

Banks chase acquisition financings because they pay higher fees than standard corporate loans, but the deals come with a catch: Because M&A transactions can take months to complete, banks that commit to the loans run the risk of having to sell them in choppy markets when the acquisitions eventually close.

In past decades, banks sometimes held the loans until markets stabilized, but such warehousing became prohibitively expensive because of high capital charges required under the Dodd-Frank law that was passed in response to the 2008 financial crisis. Investment banks have always tried to sell leveraged loans, which have credit ratings below investment grade, as quickly as possible to reduce balance-sheet risk, spokespeople for several banks said.

While the riskiest deals, like those for Lannett, OM Group and American Commercial Lines, go wanting, companies with relatively high junk credit ratings of double-B “are still in very strong demand,” says George Goudelias, a loan portfolio manager at Seix Investment Advisors, which owns about $10 billion of leveraged loans.

Credit Suisse and a group of banks received $7 billion in orders from loan investors for a $2.7 billion loan the lenders sold last week for double-B rated NXP Semiconductor’s purchase of Freescale Semiconductor, according to a person familiar with the matter. Fund managers also are eager to buy a $7.5 billion loan Bank of America is marketing for chip maker Avago Technologies Ltd.’s purchase of Broadcom Corp., investors said.

Bankers need demand for higher-rated deals to remain strong to help them sell loans for even larger transactions in the pipeline. Early next year, Dell Inc. is expected to try to raise more than $40 billion of debt for its purchase of EMC Corp.

“There is absolutely capital available on attractive terms to companies doing strategic financings,” said A.J. Murphy, head of global leveraged finance at Bank of America Merrill Lynch. But she said a handful of larger, high-profile deals could squeeze some smaller deals out of the marketplace, adding that “investors have a lot to choose from.”

All leveraged loans returned 1.27% this year through Nov. 5, including price changes and periodic payments, according to S&P Capital IQ LCD. But the riskiest loans with credit ratings of triple-C or below have lost 2.85%, on average. By comparison, the S&P 500 stock index delivered a 1.96% total return over the same period.

Selling low-rated loans became more difficult after stock and debt prices tumbled in August amid concern about the outlook for global growth.

Large stock price swings also have made M&A buyers reluctant to use their shares as a currency, prompting more to pay cash, often prompting more borrowing. Using more cash also allows acquirers to reap more of a merger’s upside for their own investors.

Since the start of October, 91% of global public-company takeovers have included cash as a portion of the consideration, the highest since the current M&A boom began two years ago, according to FactSet.

Cash, including sums borrowed from banks and raised in debt markets, accounts for 71 cents of every dollar committed to takeovers in the fourth quarter to date, up from 53 cents in the fourth quarter of last year.

>>> Asian Update

sian Mid-session Update: China markets shrug soft trade data, rally on IPO resumption
Mon, 09 Nov 2015 0:51 AM EST

***Economic Data***
- (CN) CHINA OCT TRADE BALANCE: $61.6B V $62.2BE; Largest surplus since 1995
- (JP) JAPAN SEPT LABOR CASH EARNINGS Y/Y: 0.6% V 0.5%E; REAL EARNINGS (EX-INFLATION) Y/Y: 0.5% V 0.3%E; 7th straight increase
- (JP) JAPAN OCT OFFICIAL RESERVE ASSETS: $1.24T V $1.25T PRIOR
- (AU) AUSTRALIA OCT ANZ JOB ADVERTISEMENTS M/M: 0.4% V 3.8% PRIOR

***Index Snapshot (as of 02:30 GMT)***
- Nikkei225 +1.9%, S&P/ASX -1.7%, Kospi -0.4%, Shanghai Composite +1.6%, Hang Seng +0.1%, Dec S&P500 +0.1% at 2,095

***Commodities/Fixed Income***
- Dec gold +0.4% at $1,092/oz, Dec crude oil +0.8% at $44.66/brl, Dec copper +0.2% at $2.24/lb
- GLD: SPDR Gold Trust ETF daily holdings fall 2.7 tonnes to 669.1 tonnes; lowest since Aug 8th
- IMF's Lagarde: Global oil prices may remain low for years; Gulf countries should adjust their budgets
- (JP) BOJ offers to buy ¥400B in 1-3yr JGBs, ¥400B in 3-5yr JGBs, ¥240B in 10-25yr JGBs, and ¥140B in JGBs with maturity over 25-yr
- (KR) South Korea sells 5-yr govt bonds, avg yield 2.00%

***Market Focal Points/FX***
- Asian indices are trading mixed after a much stronger non-farm payrolls report in the US on Friday lifted the Fed Funds futures market expectations of a Fed liftoff in December above 70%. USD was sharply higher across the board but particularly against JPY, helping Nikkei225 to a near 2% rally. USD/JPY hit a fresh 3-month highs near 123.50 in today's Asia session. Over the weekend, China saw soft trade data, but Shanghai Composite also rallied on reports of resumption of mainland IPOs. AUD/USD fell some 10pips at the open to 0.7020 but then reversed that decline later in the day. NZD/USD also initially slid 20pips to 0.6490 before a bounce above 0.6550.

- China October trade balance saw the highest surplus on record since 1995, but components remained disconcerting. Both exports and imports saw larger than expected declines: Exports fell for the 4th straight month at -6.9% v -3.8%e, while imports were down -18.8% v -15.0%e. Regionally, shipments to US fell -0.9%, EU by -2.9%, and Japan by 7.7%. Economist with ANZ said the trade figures would suggest that domestic demand remains sluggish, but added growth should improve in Q1 of next year. Separately, a govt researcher in China noted that GDP of 6.5% for 2016-2020 is a "bottom line" rather than a target amid reports that the official targets for next 5-year planning period will be released in March. For now, recent signs of stability in financial markets have given China Securities regulator CSRC the confidence to announce resumption of IPOs by the end of 2015. IPOs have been suspended for 4 months, and the resumption is also supporting broader sentiment in the China market, with particular benefits felt in the broker space.

- Australia was a clear laggard in Asia, weighed down by gold and materials stocks negatively impacted by the stronger dollar. Shares of BHP were especially weak, falling over 5%. BHP CEO said its 2016 production targets were under review after last week's Samarco dam incident in Brazil. 3 people have been confirmed killed, over 20 remain missing, and reports suggest the site may be closed for several years with cleanup costs estimated as high as $1B.

- Voting FOMC member Williams spoke over the weekend, stating that the decision not to raise rates in October was already a close call. Williams added that waiting too long on a hike introduces a range of risks, and talked up employment market after the strong NFP, noting US is very close to full employment.

***Equities***
US equities / ADRs:
- PCL: Weyerhaeuser and Plum Creek to merge, creating the world's premier timber, land and forest products company; Weyerhaeuser to repurchase $2.5B (16% of market cap) after transaction
- APA: Said to have rejected unsolicited takeover approach; working on defense with GS - financial press

Notable movers by sector:
- Consumer discretionary: Uni-President China Holdings 220.HK +3.6% (9-month result); Skyworth Digital 751.HK -12.7% (Oct result); Recall Holdings REC.AU -0.7% (guidance)
- Financials: CICC 3908.HK +9.5% (IPO debut); CITIC Securities 6030.HK +2.1%, China Galaxy Securities 6881.HK +2.1% (China to resume IPO); Fosun International 656.HK +1.5% (litigation settlement)
- Industrials: Guangzhou Automobile Group 2238.HK +2.4% (Oct result); Hanjin Shipping Co 117930.KR -4.2% , Hyundai Merchant 011200.KR -8.4% (merger speculation); Isuzu Motors 7202.JP +3.3% (H1 result); Yamaha Motor 7272.JP +3.9% (H1 result); Daiwa House Industry Co. 1925.JP +1.7% (H1 result)
- Technology: Toshiba Corporation 6502.JP -7.0% (H1 result)
- Materials: Newcrest Mining NCM.AU -5.3% (decline in gold prices); Asciano AIO.AU -2.7% (modified offer); Alacer Gold Corp AQG.AU -2.2% (decline in gold prices)
- Energy: Santos STO.AU -1.7% (reaffirms guidance, strategic review); Origin Energy ORG.AU -4.8% (divestment speculation)
- Telecom: NTT 9432.JP +4.6% (H1 result)

>>> Weyerhaeuser and Plum Creek to merge, creating the world's premier timber, l

Weyerhaeuser and Plum Creek to merge, creating the world's premier timber, land and forest products company; Weyerhaeuser to repurchase $2.5B after transaction 

- Weyerhaeuser Company (NYSE: WY) and Plum Creek (NYSE: PCL) today announced they have entered into a definitive agreement to create the world's premier timber, land and forest products company with more than 13 million acres of the most productive and diverse timberland in the U.S. At closing, the combined company is expected to have an equity value of $23 billion based on current share prices. The combined EBITDA for both companies in 2014 was $2.2 billion.

- Under the terms of the agreement, which has been unanimously approved by the boards of directors of both companies, Plum Creek shareholders will receive 1.60 shares of Weyerhaeuser for each share of Plum Creek held. This fixed exchange ratio represents an implied premium of 13.8% to the 30-trading-day Volume Weighted Average Price ratio of Plum Creek shares to Weyerhaeuser shares. Following closing, Weyerhaeuser and Plum Creek shareholders will own approximately 65% and 35%, respectively, of the combined company's common stock. Weyerhaeuser intends to execute a $2.5 billion share repurchase shortly after closing. The repurchase will result in a net financial impact on the company that is as if the deal were structured with approximately 70% stock and 30% cash. The combined company expects to maintain Weyerhaeuser's current annual dividend of $1.24 per common share, representing a 13% dividend increase to the dividend currently received by Plum Creek shareholders.

>>> What to look at this Week End - 7th & 8th of November 2015

Weekly Update
Dow+1.40% S&P+0.95% Nasdaq +3.79% Russell Nikkei +1.74% Hang Seng +1% Shanghai +6.13% Brazil+2.83% EuroStoxx +1.46% FTSE -0.11% CAC+1.77% Dax+1.27% Ibex +0.89% MIB +0.39% SMI +0.35%
US equities eked out their sixth week of gains as the October jobs report outperformed and earnings season entered the home stretch. After the anemic Q3 GDP report and September's weak job growth, there were real concerns the Fed would not be able to deliver an initial rate hike this year. The October jobs report dispelled the notion. In Europe, there were real concerns about the very weak September German industrial production report, while in China PMI numbers remained pretty poor. By Friday the US Dollar Index reached a new 7-month high, and the benchmark 10-year yield backed up 18 basis points to surpass 2.3% for the first time since July. For the week, the DJIA gained 1.4%, the S&P500 gained 1% and the Nasdaq advanced 1.8%.


Macro :
- Elon Musk: In less than 20 years, owning a car will be like owning a horse http://bit.ly/1WFkvBN
- Swiss Support for EU Bilateral Agreements Drops to 43%: NZZ
- Lagarde Says Better for Fed to Be Certain on Data Before Moving


Keep an eye on :
- ABBN VX : ABB Would Consider Offer for Power Grid Unit, CEO Tells Aargauer
- ABG/P SM : Abengoa Signs Agreement For Gonvarri to Become Main Shareholder
- ABI BB : SABMiller May Confirm Miller Coors Sale Wednesday.: S. Times
- AOI SS : Africa Oil attractive to larger companies, could attract JV partner in 12-18 months 
- AIR FP : Boeing Is Confident 2015 Plane Orders Will Match 755 Deliveries
- ATL IM : Atlantia drops plans to sell 30% stake in AdR
- BBVA SM : BBVA Holds Most Catalan Govt Debt Among Spanish Banks: El Mundo
- BMPS IM : Monte Paschi Plans EU1.7b Bad Loan Sale by 4Q, Viola Says
- CSGN VX : Credit Suisse May Cut Bonuses by as Much as 60%, SaS Reports
- ERF FP : Eurofins Scientific Said to Consider Bidding for $1 Billion LGC
- FCA IM : Fiat’s Marchionne Says All Options on Table for GM Tie Up
- GSK LN : Glaxo Says Subcutaneous Benlysta Use Worked Better Than Placebo
- HGG LN : Jupiter and Henderson Fund management eyed for takeover by Wells Fargo 
- ITV LN : ITV rumoured to be eyed by Liberty Global - The Times
- IHG LN : InterContinental Hotels Says It Isn’t Considering Sale, Merger
- JUP LN : Jupiter and Henderson Fund management eyed for takeover by Wells Fargo 
- NOK1V FH : Nokia would buy Comptel once Alcatel-Lucent deal is completed - Arvopaperi
- PFV GY : Busch would not rule out controlling majority in Pfeiffer Vacuum
- PUM GY : Puma dampens speculation of Kering sale plans 
- RNO FP : Renault-Nissan Refuse French Government Push for Merger: Nikkei
- RNO FP : France Could Reduce Its Stake in Renault, PM Valls Says
- RR/ LN : Rolls-Royce resists pressure to give board seat to activist ValueAct 
- RDSA NA : Shell Scrapped Project Over Pipeline Uncertainty: Globe & Mail
- SAN FP : Sanofi CEO Sees No Production Site Closings in France: Le Figaro
- SAN FP : Sanofi Says ‘Significant Improvement’ in Sarilumab Patients
- SPM IM : Saipem Chrmn Says FSI Role Makes Finances Stronger: Corriere
- SREN VX : Bradesco May Sell High-Risk Insurance Unit to Swiss Re: Globo
- JDW LN : Wetherspoon mandates CBRE to sell 34 more pubs - The Times
- VIV FP : Vivendi Doesn’t Own Telecom Italia Savings Shares: Spokesman
- VIV FP : Vivendi May Call for Expanded Board at Telecom Italia: Corriere
- VOW3 GY : VW to Pay for Any Swiss Road Tax Shortfall Over Emissions: NZZaS
- VOW3 GY : VW Says Employees Flagged ‘Irregularities’ in Internal Probes
- VOW3 GY : Volkswagen May Offer Cash to Diesel Customers, NYT Says
- YPSN SW : Strong Franc to Cut Ypsomed FY Oper. Profit by CHF4.5M: SoZ

>>> Nokia would buy Comptel once Alcatel-Lucent deal is completed

Nokia would buy Comptel once Alcatel-Lucent deal is completed 

Nokia [NYSE:NOK], the Finnish telecom equipment company would only buy Comptel, the Finnish telecoms software company, once its merger with Alcatel-Lucent is completed, according to Arvopaperi.

The Finnish language piece wrote, citing an analyst named Mika Rautanen from Inderes, who said that Comptel’s fulfillment and analysis software could be valuable to an equipment vendor.

He said that it is unlikely any acquisition will take place before the deal to acquire Alcatel-Lucent is finalised in April next year. He added that it is likely Nokia will have to make complementary acquisitions in telecoms software.

Comptel had sales of EUR 82m in 2014.

Arvopaperi

>>> SABMiller USD 10bn sale of Miller Coors stake expected Wednesday alongside A

SABMiller USD 10bn sale of Miller Coors stake expected Wednesday alongside AB InBev takeover announcement 

SABMiller (LSE:SAB) is understood to be preparing to announce the sale of its 58% Miller Coors stake on Wednesday 11 November, The Sunday Times reported. The unsourced report said the USD 10bn-plus sale to Molson Coors (NYSE:TAP), SABMiller’s partner in the Miller Coors venture, is on track for announcement this week.

The deal is regarded as key to securing competition regulators’ approval for SABMiller’s takeover by rival brewery group AB InBev (LSE:BUD), the report said. An announcement of that deal is also expected to be made on Wednesday, unless an unexpected obstacle emerges, the item reported, noting that two deadline extensions have already been issued by the Takeover Panel.
Sunday Times

>>> Jupiter and Henderson Fund management eyed for takeover by Wells Fargo

Jupiter and Henderson Fund management eyed for takeover by Wells Fargo 

Wells Fargo, the San Francisco-headquartered banking giant, is considering several takeovers in the UK fund-management sector, The Sunday Times reported. London-based Jupiter and Henderson are believed to be on Wells Fargo’s radar, the unsourced report said.

Jupiter has a GBP 2.1bn (USD 3.2bn) market capitalisation, while Henderson Group’s market cap is GBP 3.2bn.

Wells Fargo did not wish to make any comment on the matter, the item reported.

The original report appeared in print: Business section, page 3

Sunday Times

>>> Africa Oil attractive to larger companies, could attract JV partner in 12-18

Africa Oil attractive to larger companies, could attract JV partner in 12-18 months 

Africa Oil (TSX.V: AOI) has assets that may be appealing to larger energy players and could attract a major joint venture partner within 12 to 18 moths, according to an Energy Report Q&A, citing Marin Katusas of Katusas Research.

The report credited Katusas, whose firm tracks the energy industry, with stating that he is close to the company's management team. He was cited as saying the company's share price decline has made the company a "great deal" at present, the article noted.

Katusas added larger energy companies such as ExxonMobil (NYSE: XOM), ConocoPhillips (NYSE: COP), or Chevron (NYSE: CVX) would find Africa Oil's assets appealing at barrel prices below USD 50 since they are inexpensive production assets not controlled by OPEC nations' oversight, the report said.

Energy Report

>>> Rolls-Royce resists pressure to give board seat to activist ValueAct

Rolls-Royce resists pressure to give board seat to activist ValueAct 

Rolls-Royce (LON:RR), the UK-based engineering group, is under pressure to give its biggest shareholder board representation, The Sunday Telegraph reported.

According to people with close links to the business, at least two meetings have been held between Rolls-Royce and activist investor ValueAct, and the US-based fund has not hidden its appetite for a board seat, the report said.

Rolls-Royce’s management team has concerns about the needs of its customers and other investors being sidelined and has thus resisted ValueAct, which had built up an almost 5.5% holding by July this year, the item reported. The executives believe Rolls-Royce’s best interests would not be best served by giving ValueAct board representation and think ValueAct’s activist status may not be compatible with a board seat, the report said.

ValueAct is eager to secure a board seat but does not feel strongly enough about the issue to force an extraordinary general meeting where it can be put to the vote, the report said.

Rolls-Royce has put out four profit warnings during 18 months and is scheduled to release its quarterly results on Thursday, 12 November, the report noted. A company spokesperson confirmed several conversations had been held with ValueAct but did not elaborate.

Warren East, chief executive of Rolls-Royce, is believed to have warmed to ValueAct since initially disparaging the fund as “opportunists” in a critical memo to employees, the report said. He now considers ValueAct to be relatively benign, in comparison with most activists, but remains uneasy about the fund’s dominant stakeholding, according to sources cited in the piece.
Sunday Telegraph