>>> US Gapping down

Gapping down
In reaction to disappointing earnings/guidance
: KNDI -12%, PLUG -8.3%, NVAX -6.8%, PCLN -5.9%, EVEP -4.8%, AOI -3%, ANTH -3%, BITA -2.8%, MNKD -2.4%, FXEN -0.9%

M&A news: WY -3.7% (Weyerhaeuser and Plum Creek (PCL) to merge; all-stock transaction followed by $2.5 bln post-closing share repurchase; WY to review strategic alternatives for its Cellulose Fibers business)

Select large pharma names showing weakness: SNY -2.1%, AZN -1.7%, SHPG -1.6%, NVS -1%, GSK -0.5%

Other news: XOMA -8.9% (cont weakness), NBG -5.3% (still checking), AGIO -5.1% (reports data from dose-escalation Phase 1 study of AG-120), ITUB -2.5% (still checking), CALA -2.4% (reports new Phase 1 solid tumor dose expansion data of CB-839), BHP -1.3% (updates on the incident at its Samarco mine, places FY16 production guidance under review)

Analyst comments: GLUU -4.3% (downgraded to Hold at The Benchmark Company), CENX -2.2% (downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Nomura), SNY -2.1% (downgraded to Mkt Perform from Outperform at Bernstein), OVAS -1.9% (downgraded to Mkt Perform from Outperform at Leerink Partners), ADSK -1.5% (downgraded to Neutral from Buy at UBS ), SSYS -1.3% (downgraded to Hold from Buy at Deutsche Bank), CTIC -0.8% (downgraded to Hold at WallachBeth), AA -0.7% (downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Nomura), QCOM -0.6% (downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Nomura)
.

>>> US Gapping up

Gapping up
In reaction to strong earnings/guidance
: ACI +26.5%, PGN +12.5%, AVEO +12.2%, RXDX +8.5%, DF +7.8%, HZNP +6.1%, ICON +5.8%, SNI +4.2%, INO +4%, RLD +3.6%, NSAM +2.5%, CTCM +2.4%, ENDP +1.9%, EXXI +1%

M&A news: PCL +14% (Weyerhaeuser and Plum Creek (PCL) to merge; all-stock transaction followed by $2.5 bln post-closing share repurchase; WY to review strategic alternatives for its Cellulose Fibers business)

Select metals/mining stocks trading higher: RGLD +1.4%, RIO +0.9%, SSRI +0.7%, AEM +0.7%, KGC +0.6%, GG +0.5%

Select oil/gas related names showing strength: APA +12.9% (still checking), RIG +2.3% (still checking), SDRL +2.2% (still checking), OAS +2% (still checking), STO +1.8% (still checking), NBL +1% (still checking), RDS.A +0.8% (still checking)

Other news: AVXL +20.7% (presents positive safety and cognitive efficacy data for ANAVEX 2-73; study met the primary objective of safety), PCL +14% (Weyerhaeuser and Plum Creek (PCL) to merge; all-stock transaction followed by $2.5 bln post-closing share repurchase; WY to review strategic alternatives for its Cellulose Fibers business), TKAI +13.4% (presents new data highlighting the anti-tumor activity of galeterone in multiple preclinical tumor models), IMNP +9.6% (announces FDA acceptance of its IND application for Bertilimumab, to treat Bullous Pemphigoid; enables expanded recruitment for its clinical trials), RXDX +8.5% (reports interim data from RXDX-105 Phase 1 clinical trial; RXDX-105 was well tolerated to date), WTW +6.3% (cont strength), RDHL +4.5% (RedHill Biopharma and IntelGenx Corp announce that they have been granted marketing approval in Germany, for Rizaport 5mg and 10mg to treat migraines), CRIS +4% (presents preclinical data from oral small molecule PD-L1/VISTA and IRAK4 programs), MT +2.8% (Telegraph discusses that Europe wants China to stop dumping steel output), ERIC +2.2% (Cisco Systems and Ericsson form strategic partnership), COLL +1.8% (announces FDA approval for its NDA for Xtampza ER), GALE +1.7% (reports data from its GALE-301 and GALE-302 clinical programs)

Analyst comments: AEZS +24.6% (upgraded to Buy at Canaccord Genuity), PZZA +3.2% (upgraded to Overweight at KeyBanc
)

(ZH) "US Debt Is 3 Times More Than You Think" Warns Former Chief US Accountant

"US Debt Is 3 Times More Than You Think" Warns Former Chief US Accountant

In a shocking admission for most of mainstream America, the former U.S. comptroller general says the real U.S. debt is closer to about $65 trillion than the oft-cited figure of $18 trillion, thanks to unfunded liabilities which simply cannot be ignored. As The Hill reports, unless economic growth accelerates, he warns, "you’re not going to be able to provide the kind of social safety net that we need in this country,"adding unequivocially that Americans have "lost touch with reality" when it comes to spending.


Dave Walker, who headed the Government Accountability Office (GAO) under Presidents Bill Clinton and George W. Bush, saidwhen you add up all of the nation’s unfunded liabilities, the national debt is more than three times the number generally advertised.

“If you end up adding to that $18.5 trillion the unfunded civilian and military pensions and retiree healthcare, the additional underfunding for Social Security, the additional underfunding for Medicare, various commitments and contingencies that the federal government has, the real number is about $65 trillion rather than $18 trillion, and it’s growing automatically absent reforms,” Walker told host John Catsimatidis on “The Cats Roundtable” on New York’s AM-970 in an interview airing Sunday.

The former comptroller general, who is in charge of ensuring federal spending is fiscally responsible, said a burgeoning national debt hampers the ability of government to carry out both domestic and foreign policy initiatives.

“If you don’t keep your economy strong, and that means to be able to generate more jobs and opportunities, you’re not going to be strong internationally with regard to foreign policy, you’re not going to be able to invest what you need to invest in national defense and homeland security, and ultimately you’re not going to be able to provide the kind of social safety net that we need in this country,” he said.

He said Americans have “lost touch with reality” when it comes to spending.

Walker called for Democrats and Republicans to put aside partisan politics to come together to fix the problem.

"You can be a Democrat, you can be a Republican, you can be unaffiliated, you can be whatever you want, but your duty of loyalty needs to be to country rather than to party, and we need to solve some of the large, known, and growing problems that we have,” he said.
* * *
Of course, that is to say nothing of the other unfunded liability - America's Pension Ponzi, as we detailed previously...
Just how big of a problem is this you ask? Well, pretty big, according to Moody’s which, as we noted last month, contends that the largest 25 public pensions are underfunded by some $2 trillion.
It’s against that backdrop that we present the following graphic and color from Goldman which together demonstrate the amount by which state and local governments would need to raise contributions to "bring plans into balance over time."
From Goldman:




Unfunded pension liabilities have grown substantially. There are several factors behind this, led by lower than expected investment returns and insufficient contributions from state and local governments to the plans. The two issues are related. The assumed investment return is used as a discount rate to determine the present value of liabilities. The higher the discount rate, the lower the estimated liability, and the lower the periodic payment into the fund a state or local employer is expected to make. There is, of course, no clear answer about what the discount rate ought to be, though the fact that the average assumption used by private plans has continuously declined for more than a decade suggests that the rates have probably been too high and that the current average assumption of 7.7% may come down further.

Contributions have also generally been lower than necessary to stabilize or reduce unfunded liabilities because of the rules around how those unfunded liabilities are amortized. Payments into pension plans are generally meant to account for the future cost of benefits accrued during the current year, as well as catch-up payments equal to some fraction of the unfunded liability left from prior years. Many plans target payment amounts that would work off this underfunding over 30 years, though some use shorter periods. However, the amounts of these payments are often backloaded, with the result that even if the “required” payment is made in full the unfunded liability often grows.

A separate but related issue is that some states have simply declined to make even the “required” contribution, which is probably lower than it should be in any case due to the factors just noted. For example, over the last few years New Jersey has made on average only around 40% of the expected payment. New accounting rules promulgated by the Government Accounting Standards Board (GASB) will penalize underfunded plans with a lower discount rate, but the change is fairly minor and, in any case, affects only the accounting; it will not impose any new legal requirements to make the contributions.

If state and local governments are ultimately forced to devote more resources to these obligations, the effect on state and local spending would be noticeable. Exhibit 8 shows the states’ pension contributions, as a share of gross state product, with two potential additions. The first is the level that would be required to simply meet the “actuarially required contribution.” To bring the plans back into balance over time, further contributions would be necessary. In aggregate this would raise government pension contributions by something like $100bn per year (0.6% of GDP), lowering spending in other areas (or raising taxes) by a similar amount. In theory, OPEB costs could push this adjustment a bit higher.

>>> Three Shot, One Dead In Midtown Manhattan Near Penn Station; Gunman Flees

Three Shot, One Dead In Midtown Manhattan Near Penn Station; Gunman Flees

While shootings in Manhattan used to be a relative rarity in the past couple of years, they have become increasingly more common (despite the city's well known attitude toward carrying guns). Case in point, earlier this morning when shortly before 6:15 am, a 43-year-old man was shot and killed and two others were wounded in a shooting inside a subway station at Eighth Avenue and 35th Street in Manhattan, by Pennsylvania Station.
According to the NYT, the man, who was declared dead at the scene, was not immediately identified by the police. The two other victims, a 45-year-old man with wounds to his neck and abdomen, and a 48-year-old shot in the leg, were taken to Bellevue Hospital in serious condition, the police said.
The newspaper adds that according to preliminary information gathered by the police pointed to an altercation that began on the sidewalk near the 35th Street and Eighth Avenue entrance to the subway and spilled down into the station, according to a police official who requested anonymity to discuss the early stages of the investigation.
There is some confusion about the precise location of the shoot out: according to one official, the shooting took place inside the station, possibly on the platform. A second official said the men were shot on the subway’s stairs. It was not immediately clear if the three men knew each other though detectives believe they did. The reason for the shooting remained under investigation. The gunman may have fled in a car, the official said.
Another official said the shooting did not take place inside Pennsylvania Station. The shooting took place about two blocks from the spot along Eighth Avenue where officers shot a man on the street this year in connection with a string of hammer attacks two blocks north of this shooting.
The manhunt was underway for the gunman or gunmen, WABC-TV reported. The wounded were rushed to Bellevue hospital in serious condition, the station said.
On Monday morning, the east side of 35th Street was blocked with police tape as can be seen on the photos below. A swarm of police officers and squad cars stretched halfway down the block toward 34th Street.

>>> Fitch Ratings has cut the oil and gas price assumptions it uses when rating

Fitch Ratings has cut the oil and gas price assumptions it uses when rating energy-sector corporates, reflecting the continued imbalance between oil supply and demand, as well as expectation that marginal costs will fall further in the medium term
The new assumption, or price deck, is for Brent to average USD55 a barrel in 2016 and USD65 a barrel in 2017, with WTI averaging USD50 a barrel in 2016, rising to USD60 a barrel in 2017.

>>> Coca-Cola Ent: EU Commission clears acquisition of joint control over four C

Coca-Cola Ent: EU Commission clears acquisition of joint control over four Coca-Cola bottlers by The Coca-Cola Company and COBEGA 

The European Commission has approved under the EU Merger Regulation the acquisition of joint control over Coca-Cola European Partners of the UK. by The Coca-Cola Company of the US and Cobega, S.A. of Spain. It sells its products to bottlers. Cobega is active in bottling and distributing beverages. CCEP will bring together four existing Coca-Cola bottlers active in Germany, Belgium, France, United Kingdom, Luxembourg, the Netherlands, Norway, Sweden, Spain, Portugal, Andorra and Iceland.