Belt-Tightening at European Banks
Around 20,000 employees of E.U. banks are getting the axe in a sweeping new bid to cut costs. But as low interest rates, increasing regulation and new industry competition builds, there looks to be no real end to roll backs in sight.
15:01:28 There have been better times to work for a bank. Once again, Europe’s financial institutions are preparing for big layoffs.
Major Dutch lender ING plans to slash about 7,000 jobs within the next five years. Germany’s second biggest private bank Commerzbank announced it’s losing 9,600 positions by 2020. Even Spain’s Banco Popular has 3,000 more jobs on the chopping block.
Across the board, European banks intend to lay off about 20,000 people, and that probably won’t even be the end of the wave.
Since the financial crisis, more than 150,000 positions have already been eliminated across Europe’s industry, according to analysts at Bloomberg’s financial information service. Even though eight years have passed since U.S. investment bank Lehman Brothers went belly up, the consequences of the financial crisis have yet to be overcome.
Heads of European banks repeatedly complain that low interest rates, expanding regulatory requirements and competition from new industry players are hurting business. And some banks, like Germany’s embattled Deutsche Bank, have also been hit with heavy fines for past transgressions.
No matter how you mix the ingredients, it’s a cocktail that tastes bad for everyone in the industry.
“We simply are not making enough money,” said Commerzbank Chief Executive Officer Martin Zielke at the unveiling of his new strategy, adding that this is a problem for the entire industry, not just Commerzbank. “And unless we do something about it, the situation will only get worse.”
Even though eight years have passed since U.S. investment bank Lehman Brothers went belly up, the consequences of the financial crisis have yet to be overcome.
Mr. Zielke is reacting primarily with massive cuts, planning to eliminate about 9,600 full-time positions at Germany’s second-largest bank. In return, Commerzbank will create 2,300 new jobs in Germany and abroad, but many of the bank’s current employees are unlikely to qualify. Mr. Zielke aims to transform the bank into a technology-driven company. The first step, he said, is refining IT systems so that processes can be automated.
So far the cost-cutting plan has been well received by analysts. But experts also point out that German labor law could prolong negotiations over terminations. Labor representatives have already said they will oppose Mr. Zielke’s plans, especially as the CEO is unwilling to rule out compulsory redundancies. The bank begins talks with labor representatives on Wednesday.
Such terminations face high hurdles, said Gregor Dornbusch, an attorney specializing in labor law at the Baker & McKenzie law firm. “A redundancy program specifies who is to receive what kind of settlement, but it also involves social criteria,” Mr. Dornbusch said. In many cases, he explained, older employees who face greater obstacles in the job market receive the largest settlements. “Those who are relatively new to a company or are on the verge of retirement tend to receive less,” he added.
This explains why layoffs are very expensive for a bank, with industry experts estimating an average cost of €100,000, or $112,000, per employee. But slashing jobs may be inevitable. Deutsche Bank Chief Executive Officer John Cryan plans to cut 9,000 full-time jobs, including 4,000 in Germany, and another 6,000 consultants. The bank is currently looking into whether it can eliminate the positions more quickly than originally planned.
Like Deutsche Bank, Netherlands-based ING also wants to cut costs, but the bank is actually doing extremely well compared to its European competitors. ING reported net earnings of €1.4 billion, or $1.5 billion, in the second quarter. Nevertheless, Chief Executive Officer Ralph Hamers defended the decision.
“These programs and plans need to be approached from a position of strength,” he said in a conference call. ING plans to eliminate up to 7,000 positions, mainly in Belgium and the Netherlands. The cuts will also affect 1,000 employees of affiliated service providers.
The bank intends to save about €900 million, or $1 billion, a year by 2021 with its program. It’s moving to emulate the model of its German direct bank subsidiary ING DiBa, which snapped up market share from established lenders via the Internet, without costly brick-and-mortar branches.
Now Mr. Hamers has set his sights on completely different competitors. “There are very clear indications that tomorrow’s competitors will be companies like Google, Apple and Facebook.”
If that’s true, the downsizing at Europe’s banks has probably only just begun.
Gapping up
In reaction to strong earnings/guidance:
In reaction to strong earnings/guidance:
- ACIA +9.5%, ( files amended S-1 for offering of 4.5 mln shares, again raises Q3 guidance ), GPN +2.8%, ANGO +1.3%
M&A news:
- ENH +4.2% (to be acquired by SOMPO Holdings for $93 per shares)
- TWTR +3.7% (WSJ report that company might entertain bids this week including possible Salesforce (CRM) bid)
Select metals/mining stocks trading higher:
- KGC +5.3%, AUY +2.9%, HL +2.5%, AG +2.3%, MT +2.2%, HMY +1.9%, SLW +1.7%, PAAS +1.6%, GFI +1.6%,
- ABX +1.5%, GDX +1.5%, FCX +1.3%, RIO +1.3%, NEM +1.2%, GG +1.2%
Select oil/gas related names showing strength: DNR +8.8%, WLL +3.8%, RIG +3.4%, CHK +2.8%, STO +1.3%, RDS.A+1.1%, .
Other news:
Other news:
- AVXL +7.6% (announces a collaboration with Ariana Pharma to potentially accelerate ANAVEX 2-73's Phase 2/3 Alzheimer's clinical development timelines)
- SALT +3.4% (light volume - President Robert Bugbee has purchased 60K common shares at average price of $3.60/share in the open market)
- TWLO +3.3% (Chief Operating Officer Roy Ng transitions to Senior Vice President of Commercial Operations, effective immediately)
- REN +3.2% (prices private offering of 55,000 shares of 8 1/8% Series B Cumulative Perpetual Convertible Preferred Stock)
- NTIP +2.5% (thinly traded - announces settlement of patent litigation with Polycom)
- ECA +2.3% (to outline five-year growth potential during investor day, updates 2016 guidance)
- TEVA +1.2% (presenting at BioNetwork West Partnering Summit 2016)
- SCTY +1% (launched residential solar service in South Carolina), .
Analyst comments:
- AMRN +4.4% (initiated with a Buy at Cantor Fitzgerald)
- CMRE +1.5% (upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at JP Morgan)
- ARIA +2.2% (initiated with a Buy at SunTrust, $22 tgt)
- E +1.2% (upgraded to Buy from Hold at Deutsche Bank)
- Q +0.7% (initiated with a Buy at Goldman)
Gapping down
In reaction to disappointing earnings/guidance:
In reaction to disappointing earnings/guidance:
- ULH -11%, AZZ -6%, AYI -5.9%, CRM -3.3%, (issued guidance at ongoing Dreamforce conference), MU -2.6%
M&A news:
- CRM -3.3% (speculation co may be interested in bidding for TWTR)
Other news:
- CASC -4.8% (approves reverse split)
- AAAP -1.2% (ticking lower; commenced an underwritten public offering of $125 million of American Depositary Shares)
- SDRL -1.1% (modest pullback following yesterday's advance)
- DEO -0.9% (will not proceed with potential offer to increase equity stake in Guinness Nigeria)
Analyst comments:
- GNW -1% (downgraded to Neutral from Buy at BTIG Research)
- TRIB -0.9% (downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at a boutique firm)
Swiss suspect Ponzi scheme used to conceal 1MDB losses
Switzerland steps up pressure on Malaysia over corruption allegations
Switzerland has stepped up pressure on Malaysia over corruption allegations linked to the 1MDB state investment fund, saying it suspected a Ponzi scheme had been used to conceal “substantial amounts” of misappropriated funds.
The Swiss attorney-general’s office said on Wednesday that its criminal inquiries relating to 1MDB had identified further suspect transactions involving the Swiss financial sector, including $800m misappropriated from investments in natural resources made by a 1MDB subsidiary, SRC.
The Swiss statement said: “It is suspected that a Ponzi scheme fraud was committed to conceal the misappropriations from both the SRC fund and from 1MDB.”
The accusations of a Ponzi scheme — a fraud in which funds generated from subsequent investors, rather than revenue, is used to pay initial investors — will fuel concerns over the governance of 1MDB, which was set up by the Malaysian prime minister Najib Razak.
Both Mr Najib and 1MDB deny any wrongdoing. The Malaysian parliament’s public accounts committee said in April that billions of dollars in transactions by the fund had not been accounted for. By January this year 1MDB’s debts ballooned from 5bn Malaysian ringgit to 50bn ($13bn).
In an apparent rebuke to Malaysian authorities, Swiss officials said that a request for assistance made to Kuala Lumpur in January was “still pending” and added that they had now requested “further mutual legal assistance” from Malaysia over the affair.
The Swiss attorney-general’s office said it “remains confident that the two requests for mutual legal assistance made to the authorities in Malaysia will be executed”.
The latest Swiss intervention shows how pressure from global regulators is intensifying, after US authorities moved to seize $1bn in assets — including properties in New York and Beverly Hills — as part of an investigation into 1MDB.
But domestically, inquiries into the affair have ground to a standstill. Malaysia’s previous attorney-general, Abdul Gani Patail, was suddenly retired on grounds of ill health last year, part of a series of moves which blunted criticism over 1MDB.
Malaysia’s new attorney-general, Mohamed Apandi Ali, has cleared the prime minister of wrongdoing over $681m paid into Mr Najib’s personal bank account, a transfer which Mr Apandi said was made by Saudi royals.
Separately, Mr Apandi halted inquiries into alleged misappropriation of funds at SRC.
A Swiss criminal investigation into 1MDB has found that about $4bn has been misappropriated from Malaysian state companies, funds which would have been earmarked for economic and social development projects in Malaysia, according to a statement in January.
Singapore has been co-operating with Swiss authorities in relation to the criminal inquiry.
In May, authorities in Switzerland and Singapore carried out apparently co-ordinated action against Swiss private bank BSI, accusing it of serious anti-money-laundering failures connected to the 1MDB affair.
The Swiss launched criminal proceedings against BSI while Singapore ordered the closure of its operations there.
--> +0.72% pre mkt 6k shares traded
Monsanto beats by $0.10, beats on revs; guides FY17 EPS below consensus
- Reports Q4 (Aug) earnings of $0.07 per share, excluding non-recurring items, $0.10 better than the Capital IQ Consensus of ($0.03); revenues rose 8.8% year/year to $2.56 bln vs the $2.38 bln Capital IQ Consensus. Despite strong penetration of Intacta RR2 PRO technology and record U.S. corn seed volumes, full-year net sales were down year-over-year, due primarily to currency headwinds and price declines in agricultural productivity. Seeds and Genomics segment net sales were $1.6 billion for the quarter.
- Co issues downside guidance for FY17, sees EPS of $4.50-4.90, excluding non-recurring items, vs. $4.92 Capital IQ Consensus Estimate. The company expects net cash provided by operating activities to be $2.4 billion to $2.8 billion, and net cash required by investing activities to be ~$1.0 billion to $1.2 billion, assuming the successful sale of the Precision Planting equipment business and a meaningful first year investment in its dicamba production facility. All together, this translates into expected free cash flow of $1.4 to $1.6 billion.
- The company noted that its continued focus on return on innovation and cost discipline in 2016 sets up a strong base for growth in 2017, where it expects strong cash flows and growth in EPS.
- Anticipated gross profit growth in the Seeds and Genomics segment is expected to be driven by increased penetration of soybean technologies and improved soybean costs of goods sold. The company expects Seeds and Genomics segment gross profit to increase in the mid-single digits as a percent year-over-year, with soybean gross profit alone expected to grow by more than 20%.
- Co is being acquired by Bayer (BAYRY) for $128/share in cash... deal expected to close by end of 2017.
--> Shares of MU are trading down approx 3% in pre--market trade; shares are showing some signs of holding the $16.85 area.
Micron: Color on Qtr
- Stifel Research notes Micron delivered a solid beat to August-ending quarter estimates. Clearly, the DRAM market is in recovery mode following a 2 year period of declining prices. Micron has also firmly established its 3D NAND production with management pointing to over 50% of the company's NAND output to be 3D during the November quarter. November quarter revenue guidance beat estimates with ASPs rising and increasing demand. Non-GAAP EPS guidance, though, has some controversy. Firm believes this change is reasonable but does suggest that management's non-GAAP EPS guidance for $0.13 - $0.21 excluding SBC (~0.05/share) missed consensus estimate for $0.09. The MU shares may be weaker due to this miss. Stifel would be buyers on the weakness as it believes, Micron's up-cycle is only beginning.
- Mizuho Securities notes MU reported AugQ above consensus and guided NovQ EPS to $0.13-0.21, well above the $0.09 consensus. NovQ GM was guided to 23-25.5%, well above 21.6% consensus; but excluding a 200bps benefit from lower deprecation the guide was inline, which may be a disappointment. Topline growth and bit growth are accelerating, the industry is supply constrained in DRAM and NAND, and the Inotera deal should close in the Dec Q, which should all drive more GM improvement.Raising estimates and PT to $22.
--> STZ +3.71% in pre market only 12k shares worth $2mil
Constellation Brands beats by $0.12, beats on revs; raises FY17 EPS above consensus on better beer outlook; acquires High West Distillery for $160 mln
- Reports Q2 (Aug) earnings of $1.77 per share, excluding non-recurring items, $0.12 better than the Capital IQ Consensus of $1.65; revenues rose 16.6% year/year to $2.02 bln vs the $1.96 bln Capital IQ Consensus. This reflects organic net sales growth on a constant currency basis of 13% and acquisition benefits from Ballast Point craft beer, as well as Meiomi and The Prisoner wine brands.
- Net sales for beer increased 20%. This was due to a 15% increase in organic net sales driven primarily by volume growth and favorable pricing, and the acquisition benefit from Ballast Point.
- Wine and spirits net sales increased 12%. This reflects an eight% increase in organic net sales on a constant currency basis driven primarily by volume growth and favorable mix, and the acquisition benefit from Meiomi and The Prisoner wine brands.
- Co issues upside guidance for FY17, raises EPS to $6.30-6.45 (from $6.05-6.35), excluding non-recurring items, vs. $6.30 Capital IQ Consensus.
- For fiscal 2017, the beer business now expects net sales growth of 16 - 17% and operating income growth at the high teens level (up from +14-17% for top and bottom line). These growth rates include an estimated incremental benefit from the Ballast Point acquisition.
- For the wine and spirits business, the company continues to expect net sales growth in the mid single-digit range and operating income growth in the mid to high single-digit range. These growth rates include an estimated incremental benefit from the Meiomi and The Prisoner wine brands acquisitions.
- Co announced an agreement to purchase the Utah-based High West Distillery for ~$160 million. With High West, which has experienced double-digit volume growth year over year for the past three years, Constellation Brands enters the dynamic and profitable high-end craft whiskey market segment.
--> +ve RKET GY
Delivery Hero targets IPO valuation worth 4-6.5 bln euros-report - Reuters News
05-OCT-2016 13:50:02
** Delivery Hero, in which Rocket Internet RKET.DE has a 37 percent stake, is targeting a valuation of 4-6.5 bln euros in an IPO next year, NGIN Food, a magazine of German start-up news site Gruenderszene, reports, citing internal documents
** Delivery Hero declines to comment
** Rival Takeaway.com TKWY.AS was valued at 993 million euros when it listed on the Amsterdam bourse last week (Full Story)
** Rocket Internet shares rise 4.2 pct by 1146 GMT
** Delivery Hero was valued at 2.89 billion euros ($3.24 billion)at a funding round last December. It said in August it had raised additional capital - a high two-digit million amount - but gave no details on a new valuation
** NGIN says the company was only profitable in Turkey and Scandinavia in 2015, while its Foodora logistics unit lost 16 million euros on a turnover of just 4.5 million.
** The magazine says a new IPO prospectus shows that Rocket Internet invested 768 million euros in Delivery Hero in 2015