>>> Asian Upqdate

Asia Mid-Session Market Update: US Commerce Sec Pritzker warns incoming administration that China will retaliate to any new tariffs; S&P/ASX200 at 6-week

***US Session Highlights***
- Reportedly OPEC technical experts recommend production cut between 4.0-4.5% for each member (except Libya and Nigeria) - financial press
- OPEC committee said to defer decision on Iran/Iraq production cuts until Nov 30th meeting - press
- OPEC source: high-level technical committee has finished its work 'successfully' - press
- (US) Nov Philly Fed Non-Manufacturing Index: 10.6 v 21.3 prior
- (US) NOV RICHMOND FED MANUFACTURING INDEX: 4 V 0E; new orders jump
- (US) OCT EXISTING HOME SALES: 5.60M V 5.44ME (highest pace since Feb 2007, pre-crisis)
- (US) Reportedly Pres-elect Trump plans to fill the 2 vacant Fed board seats within the first 3 months of the Administration - press

***US markets on close: Dow +0.4%, S&P500 +0.2%, Nasdaq +0.3%***
- Best Sector in S&P500: Basic Materials
- Worst Sector in S&P500: Healthcare
- Biggest gainers: DLTR +8.2%, VFC +5.0%, URBN +5.0%, ADI +4.4%, NUE +4.4%
- Biggest losers: PDCO -16.7%, MDT -8.7%, MOS -5.8%, NRG -5.3%, ENDP -5.0%
- At the close: VIX 12.4 (flat); Treasuries: 2-yr 1.10% (+1bp), 10-yr 2.32% (-2bp), 30-yr 3.01% (flat)

***US movers afterhours***
- VEEV: Reports Q3 $0.22 adj v $0.16e, R$143M v $136Me; +5.9% afterhours
- GME: Reports Q3 $0.49 v $0.47e, R$1.96B v $1.97Be; +2.5% afterhours
- HPE: Reports Q4 $0.61 v $0.61e, R$12.5B v $12.9Be; -1.8% afterhours
- HPQ: Reports Q4 $0.36 v $0.36e, R$12.5B v $11.9Be; -2.3% afterhours
- URBN: Reports Q3 $0.40 v $0.44e, R$862M v $873Me; -10.0% afterhours

***Politics***
- (US) Mitt Romney now seen as the leading candidate for Secretary of State under President Trump - press
- (US) Former House Rep Harold Ford (D-CA) considered by Donald Trump for Transportation Sec or another post - Politico

***Asia Session Notable Observations, Speakers and Press***
- Crude oil prices retreat despite the draw in API inventories.
- S&P/ASX200 hits 6-week highs above 5,470; Mining shares rally on iron ore spike.
- Dollar majors in narrow ranges; AUD/USD outperforms following upbeat comments overnight from RBA's Kent and patience from S&P analyst on AAA rating going into Australia's MYEFO budget release.
- Offshore Yuan falls to new all-time lows through CNH6.92 despite stronger fix
- Japan closed for holiday

China:
- US Commerce Sec Pritzer: China has warned of a retaliation if US levies tariffs as threatened by Pres-elect Trump; Abandoning TPP gives China an advantage; Will hurt US interests in Asia and globally.
- (CN) China big 5 banks to establish debt-to-equity divisions; Each to invest CNY10B - Caixin

Australia:
- Australia Q3 construction falls at fastest pace in 16 years; Residential segment -3.1% q/q v +9.4% prior, non-residential -10.9% v +0.4% prior
- (AU) UBS: Australia Q3 GDP may be flat due to falling construction activity - press
- (AU) S&P Global Ratings director Craig Michaels suggesting S&P may stay patient in its AAA rating of Australia after the upcoming MYEFO report - AFR
- (AU) Moody's: sees Australia 2017 GDP between 2.0-3.0%

***Asia Key economic data:***
- (AU) AUSTRALIA Q3 CONSTRUCTION WORK DONE Q/Q: -4.9% V -1.6%E; 5th straight quarter of decline; biggest decline in 16 years
- (AU) AUSTRALIA OCT SKILLED VACANCIES M/M: -0.4% V -0.8% PRIOR
- (US) NORTH AMERICA OCT SEMI BOOK/BILL RATIO: 0.91 V 1.05 PRIOR (first print below parity in 11 months)

***Asian Equity Indices/Futures (23:30ET)***
- Nikkei closed, Hang Seng +0.4%, Shanghai Composite +0.2%, ASX200 +1.2%, Kospi +0.8%
- Equity Futures: S&P e-mini flat, Dax flat, FTSE100 +0.1%

***FX ranges/Commodities/Fixed Income (23:30ET):***
- EUR 1.0620-1.0635; JPY 110.95-111.15; AUD 0.7400-0.7435; NZD 0.7055-0.7075
- Dec Gold +0.1% at 1,212/oz; Jan Crude Oil -0.3% at $47.89/brl; Dec Copper flat at $2.55/lb
- (US) Weekly API Oil Inventories: Crude: -1.3M v +3.7M prior; first draw in 5 weeks
- GLD: SPDR Gold Trust ETF daily holdings fall 3.9 tonnes to 904.9 tonnes; 9th straight decline; lowest since June 16th
- SLV: iShares Silver Trust ETF daily holdings fall to 10,796 tonnes from 10,891 tonnes prior; 5th straight decline; lowest since July 12th
- USD/CNY: (CN) PBOC SETS YUAN MID POINT AT 6.8904 V 6.8779 PRIOR
- (CN) China MoF sells 3-yr bonds at 2.432% v 2.43%e
- (AU) Australia sells A$900M in 2.25% 2028 bonds; avg yield 2.8136%; bid-to-cover 1.63x (lowest on record) v 1.77x prior

Notable movers by sector:
- Consumer discretionary: Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group 1929.HK +7.2% (H1 result); Gome Electrical Appliances 493.HK +2.0% (9mo result); Skyworth Digital 751.HK -6.4% (H1 result); AP Eagers APE.AU +3.3% (guidance)
- Consumer staple: Australian Agricultural Company AAC.AU -2.6% (H1 result)
- Financials: Mirvac Group MGR.AU +3.1% (Credit Suisse upgraded to outperform); Programmed Maintenance Services PRG.AU +8.5% (H1 result)
- Industrials: Elders ELD.AU -1.5% (acquisition)
- Technology: Webjet WEB.AU +8.3% (partnership with Dida Travel)
- Materials: BHP +2.5%, Rio Tinto +2.4%, Fortescue FMG.AU +2.4% (iron ore rises); Galaxy Resources GXY.AU +4.6% (Mt Cattlin updates); Orocobre ORE.AU +2.4% (affirms guidance)
- Healthcare: Benitec Biopharma BLT.AU -4.8% (Q1 result)

>>> US Gapping Up

Gapping up
In reaction to strong earnings/guidance
:
  • DE +11.9%, VEEV +5.1%, GME +3.7%, PTNR +2.6%, BCOM +0.7%, CAL +0.5%
Other news:
  • NSPR +18.7% (Continuing higher following yesterday'ss 19% rally)
  • AGCO +4.8% (in sympathy with DE earnings)
  • CNHI +4.4% (in sympathy with DE earnings)
  • JEC +4% (Ticking higher in thin trading)
  • CAT +2.3% (in sympathy with DE earnings)
  • POT +0.9% (in sympathy with DE earnings)
  • TCK +0.7% (raises Q4 outlook for average blended realized price for coal; maintains sales volume guidance)
Analyst comments:
  • PHG +1.1% (initiated with a Buy at Citigroup)
  • ADI +0.8% (upgraded to Buy from Neutral at BofA/Merrill)
  • ZTO +0.5% (initiated with a Overweight at JP Morgan)

>>> US Gapping down

Gapping down
In reaction to disappointing earnings/guidance
: NMBL -13.1%, CLLS -3.2%, HPE -2.7%, HPQ -1.6%, PFLT -1.3%, ICL-0.8%

M&A news:
  • BTE -2.4% (Announced deal to acquire heavy oil assets located in the Peace River area of northern Alberta for CAD 65 mln; enters CAD 100 mln bought deal financing)
  • AYA -1.8% (confirms that it is aware of media report regarding David Baazov's proposal; no further comment at this time)
Select EU financial related names showing weakness: RBS -2.5%, ING -2.2%, CS -2%, BBVA -1.9%, DB -1.4%, BCS-1.2%, HSBC -0.8%

Select Pharma related names showing early weakness after LLY, JUNO news: MRK -2.8%, NVO -1.7%, SNY -1%, AZN-1%

Other news:
  • JUNO -43% (voluntarily places on hold the Phase II clinical trial of JCAR015)
  • LLY -13.5% (announces that solanezumab did not meet the primary endpoint in the EXPEDITION3 clinical trial for the treatment of mild dementia due to Alzheimer's disease)
  • TCON -13.1% (Announced that it has commenced an underwritten public offering of shares of its common stock)
  • ENBL -12.4% (prices 10 mln common units, by co and selling unit holder, at $14.00 per common unit)
  • SCON -11% (still checking), FGP -7.8% (Lowered its quarterly distribution to $0.10/unit from $0.5125/unit)
  • BIIB -7.3% (following LLY's failed Alzheimer's study and possible read-through to BIIB's aducanumab)
  • KITE -6.2% (competitor Juno (JUNO -- halted) gets Phase II clinical trial of JCAR015 in adult patients with relapsed or refractory B cell acute lymphoblastic leukemia, known as the "ROCKET" placed on clinical hold for the second time this year)
  • BLUE -5.7% (in smypathy with KITE/JUNO)
  • CLLS -3.2% (in smypathy with KITE/JUNO)
Analyst comments:
  • RTEC -1% (downgraded to Hold from Buy at Stifel)
  • PRXL -0.6% (downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Wells Fargo)

>>> Deere beats by $0.51, beats on revs; provides Q1 outlook

--> +2.43% in pre market - 3k vol

Deere beats by $0.51, beats on revs; provides Q1 outlook
  • Reports Q4 (Oct) earnings of $0.90 per share, $0.51 better than the Capital IQ Consensus of $0.39; revenues fell 4.8% year/year to $5.65 bln vs the $5.36 bln Capital IQ Consensus. Global farm recession, weak construction-equipment markets lead to lower sales and earnings for fourth quarter and full year.
  • Company equipment sales are projected to decrease about 1 percent for fiscal 2017 and be down about 4 percent for the first quarter compared with the same periods of 2016 (Capital IQ consensus -5.4%). Included in the forecast is a positive foreign-currency translation effect of about 1 percent for the year and about 2 percent for the first quarter.
  • Net sales and revenues are projected to decrease about 1 percent for fiscal 2017, while net income attributable to Deere & Company is anticipated to be about $1.4 billion.
  • "Our forecast continues to represent a standard of performance that is considerably higher than in earlier downturn...This illustrates our ongoing success developing a more durable business model and a wider range of revenue sources. At the same time, we are driving further efficiency gains and have confidence we can deliver structural cost reductions of at least $500 million by the end of 2018."

>>> Israel Chemical misses by $0.01, misses on revs

Israel Chemical misses by $0.01, misses on revs
  • Reports Q3 (Sep) earnings of $0.09 per share, excluding non-recurring items, $0.01 worse than the two analyst estimate of $0.10; revenues rose 0.3% year/year to $1.38 bln vs the $1.48 bln two analyst estimate.
  • Higher quantities sold in the Company's Essential Minerals division, as well as organic growth in the Specialty Solutions division were mostly offset by weaker pricing in the Essential Minerals division.
  • The signing of contracts for potash imports into China and India contributed to recovery of the nutrient trade during the third quarter. Contracts signed between ICL and its Indian customers include the supply of 660,000 tonnes of potash (including optional quantities totaling 60,000 tonnes) at a price of $227 per tonne CFR for delivery from July 2016 to June 2017.

>>> MGGT Moving on Alphaville comment - Refused a 560p bid from Safran


But I'm ready to stick my neck out
12:09 pm
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I think the Sunday Times were definitely on to something
12:09 pm
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I think Safran of France tabled an offer at 560p, which was rejected
12:09 pm
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SocGen were providing the financing for that
12:10 pm
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Also...
12:10 pm
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Also!
12:10 pm
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Meggitt has looked at some sort of merger with Cobham in the not too distant past
12:10 pm
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Citi involved in some sort of way with that
12:10 pm
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The story maybe a bit stale, but it might not -- which makes that Rudd stock buying look really odd.