>>> PSA likely to sell Faurecia holdings to finance Opel Vauxhall buy; size of s

PSA likely to sell Faurecia holdings to finance Opel Vauxhall buy; size of stake in question – report
French carmaker Groupe PSA [EPA: UG] is likely to sell either its entire 47% stake or a smaller holding in Faurecia [EPA: EO], the France-based automotive equipment specialist, according to a report published by French daily Les Echos that cited unidentified insider sources at PSA.
The sources reportedly said that Carlos Tavares, Chairman of PSA's management board, intends to fund the potential acquisition of Opel Vauxhall with proceeds from a Faurecia transaction.
PSA has initiated discussions with Opel Vauxhall owner, Michigan-based carmaker General Motors [NYSE: GM].
Faurecia has a market cap of close to EUR 6bn, the report noted.
The original article appeared in print; Page 16

--> See attached note from BofAml on Faurecia & potential M&A note form yesterday.

FT : The Wallenbergs: where money meets Swedish science

The Wallenbergs: where money meets Swedish science
One of the most powerful families in Europe offers a model for avoiding disputes

Call it flower power for the 21st century. Inside a university in central Sweden, Magnus Berggren demonstrates how he placed an electronic circuit inside a rose. Using only organic material, the professor managed to make electronic wires inside the flower’s stem and even added logic gates that could turn the current on and off.

Prof Berggren, head of the laboratory of organic electronics at Linkoping university, says the development could lead to plants and trees being turned into solar energy producers with batteries stored in the stem. Another application could be to delay flowering so that roses and tulips reach shops and homes fresh.

Yet the discoveryalmost didn’t happen. Many experts were sceptical, with one Swedish biologist describing it as “a stupid idea”, but Prof Berggren received funding to support his organic bioelectronics research from the Wallenberg family. The family’s main philanthropic vehicle, the Knut and Alice Wallenberg foundation (KAW), which celebrates its 100th anniversary this year, is the second-biggest backer of basic scientific research in Europe, having distributed SKr24bn or $2.7bn in its lifetime.

The foundation hands out grants that allow scientists to investigate whatever they want without the obligation to produce results — a rarity in research these days. “Most money is tied to something in terms of milestones. [So] you don’t always have the money to do the brave stuff,” says Prof Berggren.

As much as the foundation has done for science in Europe, and specifically in Sweden where it has made the Scandinavian country of 10m people a research powerhouse, it is also the secret ingredient in what is arguably Europe’s most powerful business family.


It is the foundation — and not the family — that owns stakes in companies such as Ericsson, Electrolux, AstraZeneca and Nasdaq. It is this that the Wallenbergs credit with giving them such longevity and avoiding the squabbles that have hampered other dynasties. “It would not have been possible to get to the fifth generation without it being a foundation,” says Peter Wallenberg Jr, 57, the chairman of KAW.

Peeling back the layers

On a crisp winter morning in Norrkoping, 100 miles from Stockholm, Mr Wallenberg is on his annual visit to see what the foundation’s money has bought. Inside a small meeting room in the basement of the town’s visualisation centre, Anders Ynnerman is showing off a touchscreen table.

$2.7bn
Has been handed out by the KAW foundation since it was created in 1917
With quick swipes, the professor in scientific visualisation is able to take the coffin of an Egyptian mummy called Neswaiu and peel back the layers to show successively the inner coffin, cartonnage, wrapping and finally the body. The technology even discovered the imprint of an amulet on the body, which, using 3D scanning, was made into an image and printed. It is on sale in the gift shop.

The technology, backed in part by the foundation, is used both in the CSItelevision series and real life to perform virtual autopsies. Bodies are put in a CT scanner and pathologists can then take away the skin, fat or muscles to investigate the cause of death.

Prof Ynnerman goes on to show other techniques he has developed for what he calls “the immersive visualisation of big data”. He shows a Siemens gas turbine that can be stripped away and twisted so that maintenance engineers can see, and be trained on, individual components. Buildings can be dropped into an interactive map to show how traffic flows change due to their positioning. And lifelike objects — such as drones or Ikea furniture — can be placed into pictures or films with extremely realistic lighting. Thirty-five of his students are working in Hollywood on effects.


Knut Wallenberg and his wife Alice who started the foundation in 1917. He was the chairman of the Enskilda Bank, Stockholm © Wallenberg Foundation
“The foundation’s support has been instrumental in building things. They have appreciation for the whole process from basic research to bringing it to the people,” says Prof Ynnerman, who has also attracted funding from Nasa. Goran Sandberg, executive director of the foundation, says of the professor: “In order to keep a guy like that in Sweden you need to give him resources.”

The KAW foundation gave out about SKr1.8bn last year, equivalent to the entire amount it distributed from its inception in 1917 to 1991. Alice and Knut, who at the time was also Sweden’s foreign minister, had built up a fortune in stakes in Swedish companies but they had no children. So they put their investments — a relatively small endowment of SKr20m that would now be valued at around SKr570m or $64m — in a foundation with the aim of promoting scientific research and education that is landsgagneligt, a concept meaning “beneficial to Sweden”. The endowment has now grown to SKr90bn ($10bn).

The family, descended through one of Knut’s brothers, have largely run the foundation and many of the companies since then, but without any ownership stake. Most of the public focus has been on how they run the companies in which they hold large stakes, which include the multinational ABB, SEB bank, carmaker Saab and industrial group Atlas Copco. The listed companies in which the foundation has large stakes have combined revenues of $130bn. But much less attention has been placed on the foundation, which has tended, even in Sweden, to operate in the shadows.


Jacob, Marcus and Peter Wallenberg
Peter Wallenberg Jr, nicknamed “Poker”, describes the family set-up as a “closed circuit”. Controlling both the foundation and the companies is the family — largely represented in the fifth generation by the cousins Jacob, Marcus and Peter. They sit on company boards trying to generate more dividends from the businesses to fund the foundations.

“Poker tells CEOs: ‘the better you do, the more money we give to science’,” says Mr Sandberg. About four-fifths of the money is given to research with the remainder reinvested.

A general adage on family businesses says that the first generation builds it, the second generation spends it and the third generation squanders it. Research by the Family Firm Institute suggests that only three per cent of family businesses make it to the fourth generation. There are countless examples of where it has gone wrong. The Porsche and Piëch families that control carmaker Volkswagen have, for example, squabbled for decades among themselves, something company insiders blame for the weak governance behind the emissions scandal and previous bribery problems.

But for the Wallenbergs, who despite their power do not feature in lists of the richest Swedes, having a foundation avoids disputes over ownership and allows a few members of each generation to play the crucial roles.

SKr20m
The original endowment from the family, it has grown to SKr90bn
Steen Thomsen, a professor at Copenhagen Business School and expert on the foundation-owned group, says the Wallenbergs operate one of the biggest such empires, measured by revenues, in the world. He argues that in business no one ownership model works best, saying “it is good to have a multitude of arrangements from the long term of foundations to others like private equity or hedge funds”.

Prof Thomsen says that the Wallenbergs do many things right including having a range of companies and a competence over how to run businesses developed over a long period. “With them, it’s not just about the next five years; they’ve been owning these companies for so long they feel all the repercussions through time,” he adds.

Foundation ownership is common in Scandinavia but it is far from universally accepted. Marcus Wallenberg has said: “Frankly, some of the other family companies cannot understand. [They say] ‘Why are you doing this? You have no stake in the game?’” Fredrik Lundberg, a leading Swedish industrialist, prefers for he and his daughters to own their stakes directly. “You get more flexibility in the future, and you also work for the wealth of your family,” he says.

The Wallenbergs, however, remain convinced. “We work our butts off in the financial part but we do it for another reason and that is the development of Sweden. It is how we have been brought up,” says Peter Wallenberg Jr, who has begun preparing the sixth generation for their responsibilities.


Inside the lab of Erik Ingelsson, a Wallenberg Academy fellow who is studying cardiovascular disease © Markus Bergstrom
The foundation has been involved in many big education projects from the building of the Stockholm School of Economics and various museums and institutes to cutting-edge equipment such as a synchrotron radiation facility and supercomputers.

It is commemorating its centenary by building five public theatres with suspended domes in Sweden. Spectators in the one planned for Norrkoping will be transported, in real time and 3D, from the International Space Station through the galaxies and into the outer reaches of the universe. “It’s better to look forward rather than back when you turn 100,” says Mr Wallenberg of the project.

Need to adapt

A similar spirit is behind the foundation’s largest grant: SKr1.3bn over a decade for research into autonomous systems and software development. The project brings together not just researchers and universities but also companies, both inside and outside the Wallenberg sphere.

The aim is to recruit 150 PhD students, making it Sweden’s largest graduate school, with research into areas ranging from automated mining to autonomous ships.

“There was a lot of research in universities, and a lot in companies. This is bringing it together,” Mr Wallenberg says. Left unsaid is the idea that many of the Wallenberg companies, centred on traditional industry, could be put out of business if they fail to adapt to new
technology.

A senior Swedish banker outside the Wallenberg sphere says: “The foundation work of theirs is hard to criticise. But there are always questions about the competence of each generation. You maybe gain experience by keeping it in the family but do you gain more competence? I doubt it.”

The foundation, however, is also seeing opportunities. Mr Sandberg, who admits that in pure money terms it is hard to compete with the likes of Stanford and Harvard, says that after the UK vote to leave the EU and the election of Donald Trump as US president “people are coming to us”.

Back at the Linkoping laboratory teams of scientists are working on a variety of projects. One presents paper labels that incorporate sensors that can be used, for instance, to show Médecins Sans Frontières if vaccines have become unusable due to high or low temperatures in transit. Prof Berggren shows off small ion pumps that could be implanted in the heads of epilepsy sufferers to deliver neurotransmitters to stop seizures within milliseconds. Another group demonstrates paper that can conduct and store electricity.

For Sweden, trying to support not just leading researchers but some of Europe’s biggest industrial groups, the Wallenberg money is vital. Says Mr Sandberg: “If you can get the best minds to Sweden it will have the most tremendous effect on society.”

FT : Macquarie to complete £1.5bn sale of stake in Thames Water

Macquarie to complete £1.5bn sale of stake in Thames Water
Buyer set to be announced in March after deal delayed by UK decision to leave EU

Macquarie, the Australian infrastructure bank, is hoping to complete the £1.5bn sale of its 26 per cent stake in Thames Water next month after the disposal was delayed by Britain’s decision to leave the EU.

Although shareholders including the BT pension fund, Abu Dhabi Investment Authority and China Investment Corporation, are understood to have declined their right of first refusal to buy the stake, a host of pension funds including Borealis and USS are thought to be in the running.

A shortlist is expected to be drawn up this month with the winner announced in March, people familiar with the sales process said. Macquarie is hoping to raise between £1bn and £1.5bn from the sale.

Thames Water is Britain’s biggest water supplier by customers and by value, with a regulatory capital value of £11.9bn. It provides about 2.6bn litres of tap water to about 9m customers per day in London and the Thames Valley region, as well as treating 4.4bn litres of sewage for customers.

The sale was due to be completed by Christmas but analysts said it was delayed because of the high price for the “trophy” asset. Potential buyers also paused to assess the political and economic consequences of Brexit, even though the sales process then resumed.

Stakes in a number of other UK water companies were also up for sale, adding further complications they said. Last week Hastings Funds Management, the Australian infrastructure investor, said it would buy half of South East Water from La Caisse de depot et placement du Quebec, for example.

British water companies are increasingly popular targets for overseas institutional investors because they deliver steady income streams over a five-year period. But the number of water assets available to buy in Europe is limited because England and Wales are among the few countries to have privatised their water supplies.

Macquarie is understood to be asking for a minimum price of 1.3 times Thames Water’s regulated capital value for its 26.3 per cent stake. The timing of the sale is driven by the 10-year life of most Macquarie funds, and also fits in with the regulatory cycle for the water industry.

The sale, which is being handled by Nomura, comes 10 years after a consortium including Macquarie bought Thames Water from RWE for £8bn. The proceeds are expected to go to investors in the Macquarie Infrastructure and Real Assets managed funds.

Thames Water was warned by a judge last week that it would receive its “biggest fine in history” after dumping millions of litres of sewage into the river Thames at sites in Henley-on-Thames, Didcot, Little Marlow and Littlemore.

The company was fined £1m for repeated sewage leaks into the Grand Union canal. It and other water companies were also criticised by the National Audit Office for taking excessive profits, while paying no corporation tax.

The stake sale comes just months after construction started on a £4.2bn, 16-mile “super-sewer” to prevent raw sewage overflowing into the Thames. Thames Water and the government have set up Bazalgette Tunnel Limited, a separate company, that will own, manage and finance the project during construction. Thames Water is planning to raise customers’ water bills from April next year to help pay for the tunnel.

In addition to its stake in Thames Water, Macquarie managed funds own stakes in three UK power stations, airports and Arqiva, the mobile and TV mast company.

Macquarie, Borealis, USS, BT pension fund and Abu Dhabi Investment Authority declined to comment. China Investment Corporation did not respond to request for comment.

FT : Danone forecasts slower profit growth in 2017 on higher milk prices

Danone has forecast a slowdown in profit growth this year and launched a programme to cut €1bn in costs by 2020 as the world’s largest yoghurt maker prepares for a steep rise in milk prices in 2017.

Danone is targeting growth this year of more than 5 per cent in recurring earnings per share, compared to 2016, when profit rose 9.3 per cent by this measure. This year’s forecast excludes the pending acquisition of WhiteWave foods, a US food maker that specialises in natural and organic foods.

On Wednesday Danone, whose products also include Evian and Volvic water, said that like-for-sales increased 2.9 per cent in 2016, the slowest pace in 20 years. Reported sales, adjusted for currency and other factors, were down 2.1 per cent because of an exchange rate drag from the Argentine peso, the Mexican peso and the Russian ruble.

Chief executive Emmanuel Faber said that in 2016 Danone faced challenges “including a slower turnaround of dairy in Europe and major market volatility.” In 2017 the Paris-based company is anticipating a year-on-year mid-single digit rise in the cost of its strategic raw materials, notably milk.

Danone proposed a dividend of €1.7 per share, up 6.3 per cent from 2015.

>>> What to look at today - 15th of February 2017

Dow +0.45% S&P +0.40% Nasdaq +0.32% Russell +0.31%
US Market Closded higher again even if some cautious comment at the begining of the day. Yellen made some interesting comments, the implementation of fiscal stimulus in the U.S. will have a positive effect on growth. The fed funds future market still projects the next FOMC rate hike to occur in June with an implied probability of 70.7% (from 65.4% yesterday). The implied probability of a March rate hike has also ticked up following today's monetary policy report, but it remains relatively low at 17.7% (from 13.3% yesterday). Consumer discretionary (+0.6%) also outpaced the benchmark index, while technology (+0.3%) underperformed the broader market. utilities (-0.7%), real estate (-0.5%), and telecom services (-0.1%) all closing Tuesday lower. US After Hours HUM +1%, DVN +1% following earnings/guidance, FIG +25% jumps on Softbank acquisition news, airlines soaring on Buffet's Berkshire quarterly portfolio update... FOSL -15%, TRUP -12% following earnings/guidance. Asia equity indices remaining bid, tracking the rebound in the 2nd half of trade on Wall St. Fed Chair Yellen's congressional testimony, though somewhat hawkish, did not sway markets sufficiently that the Fed is gearing up for a March rate hike. Nikkei225 among the best performing indices again as USD/JPY pair solidifies its gains above 114. In China, economic data out overnight saw very strong lending figures, though analysts are again reminded the results may be skewed by the timing of the Lunar New Year coming a month earlier than last time. Separately, a commerce ministry official warned that trade sector still faces risks of soft external demand and potential rise in protectionism. Japan's Abe and Aso expressed confidence that Washington understands Japan monetary policy as it pertains to its currency, and that it is not deliberately manipulating exchange rates.

Nikkei +1.03% Hang Seng +1.14% CSI -0.41% Shanghai -0.16%

Eur$ 1.0574 CNH 6.8532 CNY 6.8688 JPY 114.45 GBP 1.2455 RUB 56.9340 CHF 1.0071 WTI$ 52.91 -0.55%

S&P +0.02% EuroStoxx +0.42% FTSE +0.32% Dax +0.41% SMI +0.39%

Macro :
- Germany, Italy, France Seek EU Block of Strategic Investors: HB
- Italy Calls Confidence Vote on Banking Decree in Lower House
- S&P 500 Enters ‘Acceleration Phase’ With 2392-2486 Targeted: JPM

Keep an eye on :
- ABN NA : ABN Amro 4Q Underlying Profit Rises 23%, Operating Profit Falls
- ADP FP : ADP Paris Airports January Traffic Rises 7.2% Y/y
- AGS BB : Ageas 4Q Net EU9.3m; U.K. Unit’s Solvency II Drops to 120%
- AIR FP : IAG Said to Seal Long-Range Airbus A321Neo Order for Aer Lingus
- AIR FP : India May Consider Buying A330 for Airborne Early Warning:DRDO
- AI FP : Air Liquide Says It’s Confident of Net Income Growth in 2017
- AKZA NA : Akzo Profit Meets Estimates, Reiterates Outlook Through 2018
- AAPL US : Apple Said to Weigh Chinese Supplier for Next-Gen iPhone Screens
- CAPLI FP : Capelli 9-Month Revenue Up 47% to EUR70.3 Mln, Confirms Target
- ACA FP : Credit Agricole 4Q Net EU291M; Est. EU315M
- BN FP : Danone Targets Recurring EPS Growth Above 5% in 2017
- DENERG DC : Dong CEO Says Oil Unit Could Be Split Off Via Merger: Borsen
- DSM NA : DSM 4Q Adjusted Ebitda 315 Million Euros, in Line With Estimates
- ERICB SS : Ericsson Wins $300m Contract From Vodafone India: Economic Times
- NXT FP : Euronext 2016 Net Income EU197m; Est. EU173m
- FSKRS FH : Fiskars: CEO Kari Kauniskangas Leaves His Position
- FRA AGY : Fraport to Invest at Least EU330m by 2020 in Its Greek Airports
- GXI GY : Gerresheimer FY16 Revenue, Adj. Ebitda Miss Estimates
- GGTV IM : *GIGLIO GROUP SHARES SUSPENDED FROM TRADING PENDING NEWS: BORSA
- HEIA NA : Heineken FY16 Rev. Beats Est.
- HUH1V FH : Huhtamaki 4Q Net Sales Miss Ests.; Proposes Raising Dividend
- LHA GY : Lufthansa Cutting Unit Costs to Maintain Profitability, CEO Says
- MERY FP : Mercialys Sees 2017 Organic Growth in Invoiced Rents Over 2%
- KN FP :
- NOKIA FH Natixis Investigated in France Over Subprime Statements in 2007: BlackBerry Files Patent-Infringement Lawsuit Against Nokia
- NOVOB DC : Novo Nordisk U.S. Chief Explores New Payment Model: Berlingske
- P1Z GY : Patrizia Immobilien Says 2016 Oper. Income Exceeds Forecast
- PVF GY : Pfeiffer Vacuum Says Busch Takeover Offer ‘Inadequate’
- UG FP : PSA Union Rep Says Cooperations Are Usually a Good Idea
- PRU LN : Prudential Said to Bid for GBP3b Stake of Bradford Mortgages: FT
- SALM NO :
- SAN SM : Santander Seeking Partner for Car Insurance Business: Expansion
- SCHP VX : Schindler FY Increases, Sees Further Revenue Growth in 2017
- SN/ LN : Smith & Nephew, Arthrex Settle Longstanding Patent Fights
- SSABA SS : SSAB 4Q Sales Beats Est., Profit Misses
- SYNN VX : China Said to Target June Approval for Syngenta-ChemChina Deal
- ZC FP : Hohn’s TCI Seeks to Block Safran Purchase of Zodiac: FT

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 15th of February 2

>>> Up
*BBVA Raised to Overweight at JPMorgan, PT EU6.75
*Evonik Raised to Outperform at Main First Bank AG, PT EU35
*Siemens Raised to Outperform at Exane, PT EU135
*Tarkett Raised to Overweight at JPMorgan, PT EU45

>>> Down
*DKSH Cut to Neutral at UBS, PT CHF87
*Ladbrokes Coral Group Cut to Reduce at HSBC
*Leifheit Cut to Hold at Berenberg
*Paddy Power Cut to Hold at HSBC
*William Hill Cut to Reduce at HSBC

>>> PT Change

>>> Initiation
*Carillion Rated New Sell at Canaccord, PT 200p
*Costain Group Rated New Buy at Canaccord, PT 450p
*Galliford Try Rated New Hold at Canaccord, PT 1520p
*Gym Group Rated New Sell at N+1 Singer, PT 145p
*Interserve Rated New Hold at Canaccord, PT 350p
*KIER Rated New Buy at Canaccord, PT 1600p

>> Call
*SIEMENS ADDED TO FOCUS LIST EUROPE AT CITI

>>> Warren Buffet's Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) discloses updated portfolio posit

Warren Buffet's Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) discloses updated portfolio positions in 13F filing: New SIRI LUV MON positions
Highlights from 2016 Q4 filing as compared to 2016 Q3 filing:
  • New positions in: SIRI (~166.64 mln shares), LUV (~43.2 mln), MON (~8.04 mln)
  • Increased positions in: DAL (to ~60.03 mln shares from ~6.33 mln shares), AAPL (to ~57.36 mln from ~15.23 mln), UAL (to ~28.95 mln from ~4.53 mln), AAL (to ~45.54 mln from ~21.77 mln)
  • Maintained positions in: WFC (~479.7 mln shares), KO (~400 mln shares), KHC (~325.63 mln shares), AXP (~151.61 mln shares), USB (~85.06 mln shares), IBM (~81.23 mln shares), PSX (~80.69 mln shares)
  • Closed positions in: DE (from ~21.09 mln shares), KMI (from ~20 mln), FWONK (from ~3.19 mln), DNOW (from ~1.83 mln),FWON.A (from ~1.3 mln), LEE (from ~0.09 mln)
  • Decreased positions in: VZ (to ~0 mln shares from ~15 mln shares), WMT (to ~1.39 mln from ~12.97 mln)

>>> Elliott Management (Paul Singer) discloses updated portfolio positions in 13

Elliott Management (Paul Singer) discloses updated portfolio positions in 13F filing: Affirms ARNC position, new ECA / PAH positions
Highlights from 2016 Q4 filing as compared to 2016 Q3 filing:
  • New positions in: ARNC (~37.54 mln shares), ECA (~12.13 mln), PAH (~10.95 mln), DVMT (~7.13 mln), MPC (~6.2 mln)
  • Increased positions in: BBL (to ~2.01 mln shares from ~0.26 mln shares), MENT (to ~4.83 mln from ~4.33 mln)
  • Maintained positions in: HES (~18.8 mln shares), SYMC (~12 mln shares), CDK (~8.11 mln shares), CTXS (~6.71 mln shares),AGN (~2.74 mln shares)
  • Closed positions in: IPG (from ~11.44 mln shares), SBS (from ~8.1 mln), LOCK (from ~7.15 mln), CAB (from ~6.37 mln), FTNT(from ~2.75 mln), NBHC (from ~2.4 mln), MON (from ~1.36 mln), FCB (from ~1.33 mln)
  • Decreased positions in: TSU (to ~7.57 mln shares from ~12.94 mln shares)