- Reports Q4 (Dec) earnings of $0.52 per share, excluding additional one-time tax benefit of $181 million, or $0.76 per diluted share, resulting from the company's revaluation of its deferred tax assets and liabilities, $0.03 better than the Capital IQ Consensus of $0.49; revenues rose 22.3% year/year to $2.34 bln vs the $2.24 bln Capital IQ Consensus.
- Results include (unchanged from guidance) lower pretax earnings of $7 million, or $0.02 per diluted share, related to debt refinancing, lower pretax earnings of ~$27 million, or $0.07 per diluted share, related to two flat roll division outages, wand tax benefit of ~$16 million, or $0.07 per diluted share, related to certain discrete valuation allowance reductions, state tax refunds and equity-based compensation.
- Outlook - "We remain confident that current and anticipated macroeconomic and market conditions are in place to benefit domestic steel consumption in 2018... Domestic steel inventory levels have moderated. World steel demand and pricing have structurally improved and domestic steel demand remains healthy. We believe North American automotive steel consumption will be steady, and we continue to gain momentum in that sector. We also believe that there will be continued additional growth in the construction and energy sectors. We believe the recent tax reform will also provide a stimulus for additional domestic fixed asset investment and growth. In combination with our own SDI expansion initiatives, we believe there are firm drivers for growth in 2018....We continue to strengthen our financial position through strong cash flow generation and the execution of our long-term strategy. We are well-positioned for growth, and remain focused on delivering shareholder value through organic and strategic growth opportunities."
Select solar names trading higher following tariff news (etf TAN +3%): RGSE +30.4%, VSLR +11.3%, FSLR +6.9%, RUN +3.6%
- Very excited about range of opportunities ahead, the improvement in technology has provided incremental benefits, and they see much more runway in front of them.
- Sees value in experimentation, in unscripted television, they hire great people with great talent, and they get out of their way.
- International expansion has been phenomenal.
- They are investing in shows from around the world, and they will have more international shows in Q1. Moving forward they will be more of a global company for consumers, and for content producers.
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Their cautious guidance was based on price increases that didn't seem to affect performance.
- Saw very little effect in sign-ups and growth, their takeaway is that content is the primary focus; the goal is to take this increase in revenue and use it to create even better content.
- They are seeing success in different markets, pleased with progress in Latin America, India, Southeast Asia, Japan, all across the board they are seeing growth patterns similar to Latin America, which has worked out very well for the company.
- For many markets there is still relative youth for how long we've been in the market. They have been in Latin America for 6 years and Europe for 5 years.
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Q: What about growth in the U.S.? Who is left to subscribe to Netflix? Who are these people?
- A: 5 years ago they thought the total market in the U.S. would be between 60 and 90 mln, and they are currently at 55 mln. The key is to make bigger titles bigger, people hear about their friends talking about a show (word-of-mouth), that is the dominate accelerator for growth.
- Content spending is $8 bln this year and will 'definitely' be higher' in 2019 and 2020.
- Bright is one of the most watched pieces of content they've ever had on Netflix, critics are important, but they are disconnected from the commercial prospects of the film.
- The increase in marketing spend is embedded in guidance.
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On the Disney (DIS) 21st Century Fox (FOXA) deal
- Surprised Fox was willing to sell.
- Thinks Disney's direct to consumer services will be successful because they have great brands, but they don't see Disney as a threat.
- Doesn't think Disney removing content from Netflix is risky, one of the reasons Netflix entered into original programming was to create their own original programming if they networks wouldn't sell them programming.
- The $17.7 bln in content commitments is tied to licensing deals with companies like Disney.
- Q: What if Warner Bros (TWX), Universal (CMCSA), and other licensing partners rethink their licensing agreements with you?
- A: It comes down to whether they think they can make more money licensing to Netflix, or monetizing their own services, which remains to be seen,
- A: A lot of the focus over the last 4-5 years has been is to go directly to producers and talent, and they feel very good about the path they are on.
- They believe the total streaming market will grow faster because of competition.
- Surprised Fox was willing to sell.
- Not having advertising is a core differentiator, commercial free services are so popular that consumers appreciate Netflix.
Closing Market Summary: New Records as Government Shutdown Comes to an EndStocks shot to new records on Monday, helped by a Senate vote to reopen the government and provide funding through February 8.
The Nasdaq Composite jumped 1.0% to 7408.03, the S&P 500 climbed 0.8% to 2832.97, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.3% to 26140.97, and the Russell 2000 advanced 0.5% to 1605.17. All four stock indices closed at fresh records and finished at their best marks of the day.
The federal government closed nonessential operations at midnight on Friday after the Senate failed to reach an agreement on a short-term funding measure, mainly due to differences over immigration. Although Republicans hold a slim majority in the Senate (51 to 49), they needed some Democratic support to reach the required 60-vote threshold.
Republican leadership managed to secure Democratic support on Monday, passing a short-term funding measure 81-18, by promising to consider immigration legislation in early February. More specifically, Democrats are looking for Republicans to address the fate of the so-called "Dreamers"--immigrants who were illegally brought to the U.S. as children.
The funding bill is expected to pass in the House of Representatives on Monday evening. President Trump is then expected to sign the bill into law, which would officially bring the shutdown to an end.
On Wall Street, advancing stocks outnumbered declining stocks 1.8 to 1 with nine of eleven sectors finishing in the green. The energy and telecom services sectors were the top performers, adding 2.1% and 2.3%, respectively, while the consumer discretionary (+1.1%) and real estate (+1.0%) groups also had a relatively strong showing.
Within the energy space, Halliburton (HAL 56.40, +3.39) jumped 6.4% after reporting better-than-expected earnings and revenues for the fourth quarter. News that OPEC and other producers would continue to cooperate on production beyond 2018 helped energy shares, as did updated economic growth projections from the International Monetary Fund; the IMF projects that the U.S. economy will grow 2.7% in 2018 (up from 2.1%) and that the world economy will grow 3.9% (up from 3.7%).
In the consumer discretionary sector, Amazon (AMZN 1327.31, +32.73) climbed 2.5% to a new all-time high while Wynn Resorts (WYNN 195.23, +15.59) spiked 8.7% after reporting better-than-expected revenues for the fourth quarter. WYNN shares finished Monday at their best level in more than three years.
Biotechnology shares also had a positive showing, sending the iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF (IBB 115.52, +3.52) higher by 3.1%, but the broader health care sector (+0.7%) finished roughly in line with the S&P 500. Celgene (CELG 102.91, +0.26) added 0.3% after announcing it plans to acquire Juno Therapeutics (JUNO 86.00, +18.19) for $9 billion, and French drugmaker Sanofi (SNY 43.20, -1.40) lost 3.1% after announcing it plans to acquire Bioverativ (BIVV 103.79, +39.68) for $11.6 billion. Juno Therapeutics and Bioverativ surged 26.8% and 61.9%, respectively.
The materials (-0.2%) and industrials (unch) sectors were the only groups to finish in negative territory. Within the industrial space, General Electric (GE 16.17, -0.09) dropped 0.6%, extending its three-month loss to 32.2%, after Bank of America/Merrill Lynch downgraded GE shares to 'Neutral' from 'Buy.'
In the bond market, U.S. Treasuries finished Monday mostly flat, with the benchmark 10-yr yield unchanged at 2.66%.
Elsewhere, equities had a good day in Europe, evidenced by the Euro Stoxx 50, which climbed 0.4%. Germany's Social Democrats (SPD) agreed to pursue formal coalition talks with German Chancellor Angela Merkel's CDU/CSU conservative bloc, a positive sign for a country that's faced political uncertainty for months.
In Asia, the major stock indices finished modestly higher, with India's Sensex (+0.8%) climbing to a new all-time high.
Investors did not receive any economic data on Monday. Tuesday's economic calendar is also blank.