>>> Pharma Medical and Biotech European M&A looks to repeat 2017 performance

Pharma Medical and Biotech European M&A looks to repeat 2017 performance

The hefty EUR 27.6bn acquisition of Switzerland-based Actelion by Johnson & Johnson [NYSE:JNJ] in January 2017 set the tone for what turned out to be a year of prolific deal-making in the pharma medical and biotech (PMB) sector. The value of deals in 1Q17 was worth a mighty EUR 33.4bn across 129 deals, the highest value on record behind the EUR 59.1bn total value of deals in the sector recorded in 2Q14 (122 deals).
The sector is witnessing another busy January this year. The ongoing sale of Sanofi’s [EPA:SAN] Generics business, which has been in the pipeline since early last year, and its recently announced acquisition of Bioverativ, which was the haemophilia franchise spun off by Biogen [NASDAQ:BIIB] last year, heralds another active year in PMB M&A.
According to Mergermarket data, deal count rose modestly in 2017, from 502 deals in 2016 to 547 in 2017, but for a second consecutive year, total deal value across the PMB sector in Europe increased substantially, with nearly EUR 64bn worth of deals in 2017 compared to EUR 53.5bn in 2016, equalling 7.7% of total deal value across Europe in 2017.
Spin-offs have been a favourite way to enhance an asset’s credibility and potentially prepare it for a takeover - as was the case with Shire’s [LON:SHP] EUR 32.2bn acquisition of Baxalta in early 2016, another haemophilia division that was spun off from Baxter [NYSE:BAX] in 2015 for EUR 15.9bn.
Aside from spin-offs, another theme that pervaded PMB M&A in 2017 was the dichotomy between bidder and seller price expectations. The pursuit of Actelion by Johnson & Johnson began in the latter part of 2016, with the Swiss target rebuffing the takeover approach based on the US healthcare giant's proposed offer not meeting the seller’s valuation expectations. The deal eventually came to fruition a few months later with a price bump that factored in the spin-off of Actelion’s early stage pipeline, Idorsia [SWX:IDIA]. And, thanks to investor confidence, the asset is trading at a 119% price increase since listing on 19 June 2017.
Similarly, German generics Stada faced controversy when the deal fell through in 2Q17 as takeover offers from private equity consortium Bain and Cinven did not meet shareholder acceptance thresholds. Stada management contended that the takeover price did not include the long-term upside potential in the company’s portfolio. The deal eventually came to fruition in 2H17 for a healthy EUR 5.2bn, showing that bidders are having to pay higher premiums and shy away from opportunistic deal-making.
Not surprisingly, the DACH region was in the spotlight as the highest deal maker by value, with a 62.4% share of the pie. Contributing to the value was the takeover of German plasma and biotherapeutic drugs specialist Biotest by Chinese investment fund Creat for EUR 1.3bn. Asian inbound interest in European PBM also reflects in Astellas’ [TYO:4503] acquisition of Belgian biotech Ogeda for EUR 500m, plus EUR 300m worth of earnouts, one of the 15 largest deals of the year.
Among the top 15 deals, France proved to be an active region in the medical space, taking a 12.5% share of total deal value in Europe. PAI sold its 55.5% stake in nursing homes operator DomusVi to a consortium of investors for EUR 1.3bn, as well as medical biology laboratories Cerba HealthCare to Partners Group and PSP Investments for EUR 1.8bn.
Swiss Novartis [VTX:NOVN] - typically known as a pharma-focused consolidator - also jumped onto the wave of M&A in the medical sector in France with the acquisition of Advanced Accelerator Applications, a radiopharma company, for EUR 2.9bn.
The medical sub-sector also took the limelight in the UK with the EUR 1.2bn disposal of a 20% stake in medical products group ConvaTec by PE firm Nordic Capital to Danish Novo [CPH:NOVO-B]. Although the asset is not placed in a high margin segment, the acquisition of a minority stake hedges risk for Novo and enables market penetration in the UK, a healthcare system that focuses on cost cutting and on paying for supplies based on outcome measures. For a medical products group like ConvaTec, this means squeezing prices and steering towards high volume sales.
The flurry of consolidation with smaller assets in the PMB sector propelled the highest number of deals in 2Q17, outdoing by far all previous quarters with a total of 157 deals worth EUR 16.5bn. This turned out to be a pace-setter, with the highest number of deals since 2008. Activity in Europe may be impacted in the future by changing tax regulations in the US which favour corporations to return overseas cash, or deploy it towards M&A.

>>> Banco Santander seeks to recover Popular's card and ATM network businesses -

Banco Santander seeks to recover Popular's card and ATM network businesses - reported rumour (translated)
24 JAN 2018
Banco Popular’s [BME:POP] buyer BancoSantander [BME:SAN] is working on a complex transaction to recover the cards issued by Popular, as well as its ATM network, El Confidencial reported, citing unspecified sources. Santander considers the units to be strategic businesses, according to the report.
Banco Popular’s credit card businesses is owned by joint ventures with Värde Partners; while the ATM networks is owned by a joint venture with Crédit Mutuel, the Spanish-language report noted.
The cards are inside the platform WiZink, alongside cards from Citi and Barclays, ElConfidencial added.
These alliances were signed as a way to raise income from the sale of 50% of these businesses. WiZink was the result of merging Popular's own card business (about three million units) with those it acquired from Citi, first, and Barclays, later. Popular then sold 51% of WiZink to Värde, his partner in the real assets business Aliseda.
Santander now wants to re-segregate the WiZink cards coming from Popular and keep them, ElConfidencial went on to say. It wishes to take 100% control over this activity, which it would then merge with Santander's own cards. Cards are one of the main channels for customer loyalty - and revenue in card fees, the item noted.
Cards from Citi and Barclays are of much less interest given that loans granted to cards with high interest rates are very minority in Spain, unlike in Anglo-Saxon countries, and have very high default rates.
As for ATMs, owned by a joint venture with Crédit Mutuel, Santander deems it essential to recover the ownership of this network of some 2,400 terminals in order to fully integrate Popular and Santander branches by 2019 as planned. Santander is holding talks to the French bank.
According to the report’s sources, the dissolution of the alliance does not necessarily entail a cash payment as both banks may find joint ventures of interest to them.

WWD : Luxury Watchmakers Gear Up for Online Square-Off

Luxury Watchmakers Gear Up for Online Square-Off
The industry showed off its new focus on the digital sphere at the high-end SIHH trade show in Geneva.

GENEVA — The post-crisis battle lines for the luxury watch industry have been drawn.
After years of waffling — to varying degrees — high-end watchmakers have emerged as new converts, scrambling to shore up their digital credentials.
The fresh resolve to embrace the digital world was on full display at the Salon International de la Haute Horlogerie, or SIHH, the industry’s first event of the year. Other efforts to win over demanding luxury buyers included an emphasis on value for money, more focused product ranges and the less-grounded pursuit of new sources of inspiration — which this year included car motors, mountains, hot air balloons and even sex, with one rather risqué watch collection creating buzz.



Vacheron Constantin Les Aérostiers Versailles 1783 Courtesy
While showgoers brought new optimism — the industry is finally back in positive territory after the declines of 2015 and 2016 — tougher comparable figures are on the horizon. Executives said they have moved past the period of retrenchment marked by layoffs, culling stocks and redirecting strategies. Fair organizers, who increased the trade show’s space by 20 percent this year, said visitor numbers broke a record at nearly 20,000, up from 15,000 last time.
But beyond the fair’s endless flow of complementary Champagne and extravagant watch mechanism displays were signs of the fight shaping up ahead — which looks set to happen online. The growing importance of digital was further reinforced only a few days after SIHH when Compagnie Financière Richemont — whose brands dominate the watch exhibition — revealed a 12.77 billion euro bid to acquire the shares of Yoox Net-a-porter Group it does not already own.
With Internet sales projected to account for a large chunk of growth in the coming years, luxury industry players find themselves in a rush to bulk up their expertise.
“In the watch industry we’ve been very late to start,” said Ulysse Nardin’s chief executive officer Patrick Pruniaux, who attended the show for the first time as boss of the Kering-owned watchmaker.
The idea of physical stores and the digital sphere as separate entities is a distinction that no longer exists in the minds of consumers, asserted the former Apple executive. He recalled launching TAG Heuer’s online business in the U.S. a decade ago.
“It was a big failure at the beginning…but also a learning curve,” he said, describing the bygone view that launching a web site was enough to draw customers.
“We have to catch up,” Pruniaux said of the luxury industry today, noting he expects this will happen quickly given the sector’s financial power and the recent acceleration in the push online signaled by a slew of new recruits.
At the most senior level, luxury behemoths Kering and Richemont in the past months have both hired new executives to drive digital initiatives, broadening the scope of previous such positions and adding them to executive committees.
Ulysse Nardin does not have a store network and its products are not available online. While there are no plans to open stores, according to Pruniaux, the watchmaker is currently considering selling products on its own site as well as multibrand sites — another distinction he predicts as irrelevant soon, within a year or two.
For its first time exhibiting at SIHH, Ulysse Nardin sought to draw in fair crowds with a diving-themed display with artwork from Damien Hirst. The ocean-bottom pieces included a coral-covered Mickey Mouse figurine belonging to the Pinault family set amidst giant screens of tropical water scenes — reflecting the label’s nautical roots.

The brand raised eyebrows for its Classic Voyeur watch featuring two naked couples in 18-karat pink or white gold, in different positions that move. The $300,000 piece, also equipped with chimes, was celebrated at a “Hot Horlogerie” after party where a trio of models in skimpy black leotards posed with guests on a red, lip-shaped sofa.
Another new ceo to the show was Piaget’s Chabi Nouri, the first woman to head a watch and jewelry brand at Richemont. Nouri said that the idea of a digital strategy is already fully integrated into everyday considerations at the company, which launched its first e-commerce activity in the U.S. five years ago.



“It’s not a subject, it’s already part of everything we do…it’s a nice way of communicating, also a very interesting way to sell; it’s part of how we all live,” said Nouri, adjusting the Possession bangles she wore in various colored stones. The label, which aims to project an upbeat, colorful lifestyle, set up a juice bar at its stand, surrounded by a pool fed with cascading sheets of water and decorated with green, tropical plants.

“The way we propose and sell jewelry and watches will be different, that’s why today our booth is a way to express our identity but also an atmosphere — the light, the freshness, the vegetation,” said the house’s watch and jewelry marketing director Jean-Bernard Forot.
The brand introduced a new steel model of its Possession watches for women at a “welcoming” price of around $3,500 — significantly lower than the previous entry level of around $9,000 — while maintaining the bulk of the collection at higher price ranges.
Piaget decided last year to expand the role of digital director, originally established eight years ago in the communications department. The job is now filled by a former L’Oréal executive and includes activities like store experiences and even production, as well as a seat on the executive board.
“We’ve decided digital is a revolution, not for communication only, but in a more global way,” Forot added.
Part of the brand’s strategy to widen its appeal to younger crowds has included live-streaming normally closed-door high jewelry events on Instagram, starting two years ago, noted Nouri.
IWC Schaffhausen celebrated its 150th anniversary at the show, bringing 27 limited-edition models as well as a wristwatch with the original hour and minute displays from Pallweber pocket watches in the late 1880s. The label threw a party with a crowd of 800, attended by a lineup of celebrities including Cate Blanchett, Bradley Cooper, James Marsden and Andrés Velencoso. The Portofino model was its least expensive, priced at around $5,000.
Jaeger LeCoultre, another Richemont house, eagerly tapped into the value-for-money thrust paraded at SIHH this year, launching a new line of its Polaris model in celebration of the model’s 50th anniversary, starting at an entry price level in the range of $4,000. The brand started using a chat bot on Facebook a year ago and began selling on Net-a-porter and Mr Porter last November.
A more exclusive Polaris Memovox version, limited to 68 pieces, were sold on the brand’s own web site during SIHH at a faster rate than the house had expected, especially in the U.S., according to deputy ceo Geoffroy Lefebvre.
The brand is tailoring messages to appeal to younger audiences through new formats such as short videos and in a broader selection of social media channels.
“We’re increasingly using media such as Instagram, Snapchat, Twitter, etc., but still carrying the same message consistently across the board,” said Lefebvre. A new app shows people what various editions of the new watch look like on their wrists and is expected to drum up interest in the brand but not necessarily drive sales, he explained.
“It shows we’re not an old, dusty manufacturer. [It] drives interest and drives traffic,” he said, swiping different watch options displayed on the phone pointed at his wrist.
Montblanc 1858 Geosphere Courtesy
Montblanc was another Richemont brand stressing accessibility. As with other watchmakers, the downturn prompted the label to simplify its proposal. Now focused on classic and sport lines, Montblanc brought its 1858 collection, meant to project a mountaineering spirit.
The 1858 Geosphere features a world time complication with two domed hemisphere globes rotating on a 24-hour schedule; red spots mark seven mountain summits — but not the Mont Blanc, which isn’t quite high enough.
Several years ago, the brand repositioned itself to include watches in the range of $2,000 to $5,000 at a time when other high-end watch makers sold pieces mostly over the $5,000 range. This made value for money a “key differentiating factor” for the brand, explained Montblanc ceo Nicolas Baretzki.
Audemars Piguet, which has an entry price for women’s watches at $12,000, is approaching one billion dollars in annual revenues and plans to launch its own e-commerce business by the end of 2018.
“We will sell on the Internet by the end of 2018, but on a small scale because we have to learn — not learn if it works or not, [rather] learn the whole logistics around it,” said ceo François-Henry Bennahmias, citing delivery, sales tax and import duties. He ruled out selling the label’s watches on multibrand sites and declined to reveal details about the team working on the project since last March, saying only that he hired two young Americans who were clients of the brand.
Van Cleef & Arpels was also preoccupied with getting logistics up to the standards of the house when it starting selling products over the Internet five years ago, noted ceo Nicolas Bos.
“We don’t really think of it as an alternative distribution channel but more as a complementary service to our retail network,” said Bos.
One of the industry’s more digitally savvy labels, Richemont’s star brand Cartier, meanwhile, continues to make inroads online. Having launched e-commerce a decade ago, starting in Japan before moving to the U.S. and the rest of the world, the brand last year used a pop-up collaboration with Net-a-porter to launch a new Panthère model.
The house continues to increase its spending in the digital sphere and is working on reinforcing data capabilities, said Cartier’s international marketing and communications director Arnaud Carrez.
Among its SIHH launches was a new stainless steel model of the historic pilot watch Santos with a price tag of $6,250, a “very competitive price,” according to Carrez, who noted that value for money is a key priority for the brand. While carefully monitoring inventory after extensive stock buybacks a year ago, the brand is in a “very healthy situation” now, he added.
While recent years have been challenging for the watch industry as a whole, Carrez noted, the silver lining was that the downturn forced brands to reconsider pricing.
“I think the good thing is that it was a wakeup call for the brands — the watch market was quite blind, closed, thinking the sky was the limit in terms of products, in terms of pricing,” he said.
On the higher end of the luxury scale, watchmakers pulled out all the stops. Vacheron Constantin, a label that is eyeing the U.S. market, showcased its Métiers d’Art collection, Les Aérostiers. A celebration of the early hot air balloon flights, the watches feature miniature scenes made from hand engraving, and a price tag of $135,000.
With Chinese accounting now for a large proportion of luxury consumption worldwide, much of the talk at the fair centered around how to appeal to discerning consumers from the country. Many executives made the point of explaining that they did not seek to make specific products for the Chinese market.
“We’ve seen in 2017 Chinese customers traveling more and confirming the interest for luxury goods,” said Hermès managing director Guillaume de Seynes. The house was happy with its choice to join the SIHH lineup after its first experience with the show, he added.
“We have always been very careful in not producing a collection especially for Chinese customers,” said Flavien Gigandet, an executive committee member of independent watchmaker Parmigiani Fleurier. The brand, which is not ready to sell its high-end timepieces online, tries to keep a balance of revenue from different regions.
“We had Chinese buying internally rather than traveling, and today we see that it’s continuing to grow in China but also that tourists are restarting to buy in a significant manner elsewhere,” noted Jean-Marc Pontroué, ceo of Roger Dubuis. The brand sells to “youngsters over 40” he explained, noting a certain level of buying power is necessary in order to be able to buy watches it sells for more than $200,000. Roger Dubuis recently teamed up with Lamborghini, inspiration for the Lamborghini Squadra Corse model, which features rubber straps made from the tires of a winning Formula 1 car and internal mechanics meant to emulate parts of the sports car’s motor.
The brand aims to appeal to a new generation of clients who are often entrepreneurs, including from Silicon Valley, by showing people “a world that their father and grandfathers didn’t know,” said Pontroué.
“This is key,” he added.

WSJ : Clash Between Founder and Protégé Plunges Och-Ziff Into Crisis

Clash Between Founder and Protégé Plunges Och-Ziff Into Crisis
Largest publicly traded hedge fund in U.S. faces turmoil as Daniel Och upends plan for James Levin to succeed him


Once they were mentor and protégé. Now Daniel Och and James Levin are trapped in a battle for the future of one of New York’s biggest investment firms.

In the late 1990s, Mr. Levin was working at a summer camp in Wisconsin, teaching Mr. Och’s son how to water ski. By last year, the younger man was in line to succeed Mr. Och as chief executive of Och-Ziff Capital Management LLC, the largest publicly traded hedge fund in the U.S. with $33 billion in assets under management. To entice him to stick around, Mr. Och handed Mr. Levin, who is 34 years old and goes by Jimmy, nearly $300 million in cash and Och-Ziff stock.

Over Christmas weekend, Och-Ziff rushed out a letter to investors revealing that the 57-year-old Mr. Och had changed his mind, overruling others in the process. “After extensive discussion with the board of directors, including the company’s independent directors, who support transitioning to Jimmy in the near future, it was the conclusion of Dan Och…that now is not the right time to transition to Jimmy.”

Mr. Och himself has never publicly addressed why he soured on Mr. Levin and reasserted control at the big firm. Interviews with more than a dozen people close to the situation at Och-Ziff suggest that many inside the firm, including board members and Mr. Levin, were shocked by the shift. People familiar with Mr. Och’s thinking say he felt Mr. Levin pushed too far, too fast, asking for more money and control than he was due.

“A level of distrust” had developed between the two executives, says a person close to the matter.

The sudden reversal comes at a time of transition for the industry. Founders of many hedge funds and private-equity firms are nearing retirement age, after pocketing fortunes over their careers, and are focusing on succession. Hedge funds, which manage $3 trillion, are also under pressure to justify their existence, with clients griping about the high fees and relatively poor returns.

Och-Ziff is now interviewing outside executives about becoming the firm’s CEO, while Mr. Levin is in talks about his own future. “We are engaged in a robust CEO succession process that is progressing well,” Mr. Och said in a written statement. ”We have a committed team, the firm had an excellent year in 2017, and I am confident we will build on that success in 2018 and beyond.”

Some clients say they may follow Mr. Levin out the door if he leaves.

“This was not well communicated or handled,” says Michael Rosen, chief investment officer at Angeles Investment Advisors LLC, which invests about $100 million in a fund overseen by Mr. Levin. He says Och-Ziff is dealing with “tension.”

The upheaval is remarkable for a firm long known for stability and steady, if unspectacular, gains. Mr. Och grew up in suburban New Jersey, the son of a doctor and a teacher at the local Jewish day school. Having graduated from the University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School of Business, he spent more than a decade as a risk arbitrager at Goldman Sachs Group Inc. He founded Och-Ziff in 1994 with financial support from the Ziff family, founders of Ziff Davis Media, whom he got to know at Goldman.

Hedge funds were then just beginning to spread their wings and attract pension funds and other large clients. Then, as now, hedge-fund managers such as Mr. Och bet that certain investments would rise while others would fall, keeping about 20% of any investment gains.

Initially, Och-Ziff invested in merger deals before expanding to other strategies. Mr. Och generally avoided appearances on business television and industry conferences, and rarely raised his voice at the office. Confiding in a small group of friends, he preferred to motivate underlings by giving them relative independence to pursue investment strategies.

Och-Ziff was among the first hedge funds to go public, in November, 2007, the beginning of what some saw as a wave of such IPOs. Its shares soon reached an all-time high of $30.65. Mr. Och became a billionaire. With a majority of the firm’s voting-class shares, he could also essentially dictate the firm’s future.

Soon enough, the future darkened for Och-Ziff and much of Wall Street. Markets were crippled by the global credit crisis. Mr. Levin, who joined Och-Ziff in 2006 after stints at two other firms, led one of the few areas seeing surging growth. A computer-science major who earned a bachelor’s degree from Harvard University in three years, Mr. Levin became a protégé of both David Windreich, who ran the firm’s investments, and Mr. Och. Mr. Levin was even-keeled on the trading floor and struck colleagues as especially driven.

After the crisis ebbed, Mr. Och became bullish about complex “structured credit” debt investments, such as residential mortgage-backed securities, which investors had dumped. Others at the firm were lukewarm on the idea, but Mr. Levin became enthused, making a big bet on the investments with a 14-member team he now was leading.

In 2012, as U.S. housing rebounded, they made gains of almost $2 billion, more than half of the firm’s profits that year. In 2013, Mr. Levin, then 30 years old, was rewarded with a $119 million payday. As gains from these investments piled up, the firm in 2013 moved into offices with Central Park views in the prestigious Solow Building.

By 2014, Mr. Levin was running Och-Ziff’s credit business, which comprised nearly half the firm’s assets. That year, he began pushing for a larger piece of the firm’s equity, say people close to the firm. Worried about losing his prized employee, Mr. Och gave Mr. Levin what he wanted. Mr. Och also placed Mr. Levin on the firm’s management committee, though some at the company worried Mr. Levin had a short track record and didn’t deserve more influence.

Aware of Mr. Levin’s growing ambition, a colleague urged him to exhibit caution.

“Be patient, you’re in a great seat,” he told Mr. Levin, referring to his position within the firm.

In 2016, Mr. Levin made fresh financial demands to remain at the firm. Tension built with Mr. Och. In February of last year, he acceded, giving Mr. Levin a 10-year pay deal unlike any in Och-Ziff’s history. In addition to $4 million a year in cash, Mr. Levin received stock valued at $280 million at the time, with some of the award conditional on the appreciation of Och-Ziff shares.

As part of the deal, Mr. Och agreed to surrender around $100 million of his own stock to Mr. Levin, meaning Mr. Levin’s raise essentially came out of Mr. Och’s pocket.

Mr. Levin also was promoted to co-chief investment officer and tapped as Mr. Och’s eventual replacement. The firm moved to drop Mr. Och’s name and start calling itself OZ Capital, a sign it was preparing for a future without its founder.

The size of Mr. Levin’s deal, which resulted from months of difficult, closed-door meetings, caused grumbling among some colleagues, partly because it came as the firm dealt with an embarrassing criminal investigation into one of the firm’s senior deal makers, say people at the firm.

Michael Cohen, who once headed Och-Ziff’s Europe office, was accused in a 2017 civil complaint by the Securities and Exchange Commission of spearheading a bribery scheme that allegedly funneled millions of dollars in bribes to high-level officials in African countries to secure mining assets and other deals. Mr. Cohen, who left the firm in 2013, also faces criminal charges he defrauded a client in an alleged scheme connected to African investments, according to an indictment filed in Brooklyn federal court in October. A lawyer for Mr. Cohen denied the charges.

Mr. Och wasn’t alleged to have been aware of the actions, but he agreed to personally pay a civil sanction of $2.2 million to the SEC for a record-keeping violation. The firm paid a fine of $412 million to settle to settle criminal and civil charges it violated provisions of the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act. Mr. Och personally pledged what amounted to a $349 million interest-free loan to the company to cover most of the cost of the settlement.
Clients responded by pulling record amounts of money from the firm. Today, Och-Ziff, still one of the world’s largest hedge funds, manages about $33 billion, down from almost $50 billion in 2005, and its shares traded at $2.69 Tuesday.

The turmoil enhanced Mr. Levin’s bargaining power, because Mr. Och feared more clients would leave if he departed.

“The firm was on its knees, Jimmy had a lot of leverage,” says someone close to the matter.

A few months later, Mr. Levin decided it was time for a change atop the firm. Mr. Och and Mr. Windreich, the other co-CIO, were devoting less time to the firm’s investments and operations while Mr. Levin and a few others were effectively running the firm and scoring the firm’s biggest gains.

“We think the time is right,” Mr. Levin told Mr. Och in May of last year.

Mr. Och agreed and began working with Och-Ziff’s board and top executives on a succession plan. By last summer, it was agreed that Mr. Och would cede his role as chief executive around year-end, while remaining as chairman a bit longer.

The firm’s chief financial officer, Alesia Haas, Mr. Levin and Och-Ziff’s independent board directors proposed a series of moves in conjunction with the succession. The goal, they said, was to strengthen the firm’s balance sheet and bolster future earnings.

The proposals required Mr. Och to relinquish voting shares, so he wouldn’t control Och-Ziff after leaving, and forgo some future payments to shareholders. The proposal would have amounted to about $1 billion in current and future payments from Mr. Och and former partners to others, according to Mr. Och’s estimates. People close to the board disagreed, judging the figure to be closer to zero.

Mr. Och responded that he didn’t share the concerns about Och-Ziff’s balance sheet. The double-digit investment gains of 2017 meant it would have more cash than debt, he argued. At one point, Mr. Och said he would be open to remaining as chief executive past 2018. Board members said they wanted to proceed with the transition.

Over time, Mr. Och became irritated, say some who know him. Each new version of the plan seemed to him to add additional rewards for Mr. Levin at the expense of Mr. Och and former partners he felt were contractually entitled to the payments. And it all came just months after the February deal requiring Mr. Och to hand shares to Mr. Levin.

Mr. Och held Mr. Levin responsible for the various initiatives approved by the board, the people say. “He felt Jimmy forced his hand again,” said one.

“I have always run OZ Management in the best interest of the firm, our investors and shareholders, and my partners,” Mr. Och said in a written statement.

For his part, Mr. Levin felt caught in the middle of a growing rift between the board and some senior executives, who supported an immediate transition, and Mr. Och, who was pushing back, according to people close to the matter.

In late December, the five independent directors of Och-Ziff’s seven-member board presented the plan to move forward with the succession this year and unanimously voted to approve it.

“This is where the board wants to go,” a board member told Mr. Och.

Mr. Och said he wouldn’t accept the plan.

In its letter to clients sent Saturday, Dec. 23, Och-Ziff dropped the bombshell, adding, “Dan and the board of directors hope that Jimmy will remain as Co-Chief Investment Officer.”

Och-Ziff’s investor-relations team spent the holidays and much of January making emergency calls with public pension funds and other big investors. The team had few answers to questions about the firm’s future.

Now, Mr. Och is back running the firm. Both Och-Ziff and Mr. Levin appear to be in tough spots. Because Mr. Levin wasn’t fired, he would forgo the shares received last year and his lucrative pay package if he were to quit, according to terms of the deal. He also has a two-year noncompete clause in his contract precluding him from going to a new firm.

If Mr. Levin stays, it isn’t clear he will retain the power he had accumulated or be able to mend his relationship with Mr. Och. If a new CEO is recruited, the challenge could become more difficult.

At the same time, Mr. Levin commands the support of some within the firm and the respect of clients.

“He’s an exceptionally capable investor,” says Mr. Rosen of Angeles Investment Advisors. He says his firm likely will pull its money if Mr. Levin leaves. “That would be problematic,” he says.