* Rolls-Royce Raised to Neutral at JPMorgan
>>> Down
* TI Fluid Cut to Hold at Deutsche Bank; PT 280 pence
>>> Initiation
* PVA TePla Rated New Buy at Stifel; PT 27 euros
>>> Call
* Rolls-Royce PT Raised to 150 pence from 130 pence at Berenberg
Some of China’s biggest technology companies, including ByteDance and Tencent, are testing a tool to bypass Apple’s new privacy rules and continue tracking iPhone users without their consent to serve them targeted mobile advertisements. Apple is expected in the coming weeks to roll out changes it announced last June to iPhones that it says will give users more privacy.Until now, apps have been able to rely on Apple’s IDFA system to see who clicks on ads and which apps are downloaded. In future, they will have to ask permission to gather tracking data, a change which is expected to deal a multibillion-dollar bombshell to the online advertising industry, and has been fought by Facebook, since most users are expected to decline to be tracked.In response, the state-backed China Advertising Association, which has 2,000 members, has launched a new way to track and identify iPhone users called CAID, which is being widely tested by tech companies and advertisers in the country.
"The App Store terms and guidelines apply equally to all developers around the world, including Apple," the company said. "We believe strongly that users should be asked for their permission before being tracked. Apps that are found to disregard the user’s choice will be rejected."
But Zach Edwards, founder of Victory Medium, a tech consultancy, said: "They can’t ban every app in China. If they did it would effectively trigger a series of actions that would get Apple kicked out of China." Three people with knowledge of briefings between Apple and developers also said the Cupertino, California-based company would be wary of taking strong action, despite a clear violation of its stated rules, if CAID has the support of China’s tech giants as well as its government agencies. Rich Bishop, chief executive of AppInChina, a leading publisher of international software in China, suggested that Apple might “make an exception for China” because tech companies and the government are “so closely aligned”.
Meanwhile, Yang Congan, chief executive of Digital Union, a Beijing-based data privacy company, suggested that CAID had been designed to get around Apple’s rules because its tracking methods might not “uniquely” identify the user. “This is the room that the industry has left to explore,” said Yang, who suggested this grey area was intentional.The CAA said the CAID solution “does not stand in opposition to Apple’s privacy policy” and that the association “is currently actively communicating with Apple, and the [CAID] solution has not yet been formally implemented”. CAID has been in a free demo phase for select companies in recent months. Two people briefed on the issue say Apple is aware of the tool and seems to have so far turned a blind eye to its use.The system is intended for use by local app developers in China, but at least one French gaming group has been encouraged to apply to use it and several foreign advertising companies have already applied on behalf of their Chinese divisions, two people familiar with the matter said. CAID is scheduled to be publicly released as soon as this week, according to a person briefed on the plan.Dina Srinivasan, a US-based antitrust scholar, said the issue highlighted how Apple’s policies alone could not solve glaring privacy issues. “The big picture is that there is simply too much money at stake,” she said. “There will always be an arms race to track consumers. Only legislation can make it stop.”
After Hours Summary: CRWD +6.2%, COUP +2.9%, SMAR +1.8%, LEN +1.4% higher on earnings; CAL -4.2% lower on earnings; PLUG -9.6% falls as it will restate earningsAfter Hours Gainers:
Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to earnings/guidance: CRWD +6.2%, COUP +2.9%, FF +2.6%, SMAR +1.8%, LEN +1.4%, CRIS +0.5% (also files for $100 mln common stock offering; also files for mixed securities shelf offering)
Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to news: CELC +9.2% (NVS, PBYI, CELC and MD Anderson to collaborate to study new drug regimen), PBYI +4.3% (NVS, PBYI, CELC and MD Anderson to collaborate to study new drug regimen), SCOR +3.9% (QRTEA discloses 25.5% stake in SCOR), FE +2.2% (confirms agreement with Icahn Capital re Board of Directors membership), MU +1.2% (to strengthen its focus on memory and storage technology for data center), CCNC +1.2% (files for $500 mln mixed securities shelf offering), MAX +0.3% (stock offering), JBLU +0.3% (recalling flight attendants to meet rising demand, according to CNBC)
After Hours Losers:
Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to earnings/guidance: CAL -4.2%
Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to news: PLUG -9.6% (to restate earnings), KODK -8.1% (files for $500 mln mixed securities shelf offering; also files for 44,490,032 share common stock offering by selling shareholders), SJI -7.6% (to conduct concurrent public offerings of up to $225 mln shares of common stock and 6.0 mln equity units), ARRY -7.6% (stock offering; also provides update), REGI -6.8% (stock offering), PRIM -4.5% (stock offering), OIS -4.3% (convertible notes offering), BLUE -1.8% (Chief Medical Officer departs), BE -1.8% (in sympathy with PLUG on restatement news), STEP -1.2% (stock offering), FCEL -0.9% (in sympathy with PLUG on restatement news), UBER -0.6% (will provide drivers in the UK with paid holiday time, an earnings guarantee, and pensions), NVS -0.3% (Sandoz in-licenses brand and authorized generic of respiratory medicine Proventil HFA Inhalation Aerosol; also NVS, PBYI, CELC and MD Anderson to collaborate to study new drug regimen), CPE -0.1% (CFO retires), BALY -0.1% (receives temporary sports wagering permit in Virginia)
Closing Stock Market SummaryThe major indices closed mixed on Tuesday, as cyclical/value/small-cap stocks succumbed to profit-taking interest and growth/technology stocks showed relative outperformance. The S&P 500 shed 0.2% after starting the day at incremental new highs, but it struggled to attract follow-through from buyers ahead of the FOMC's policy statement tomorrow.
The Nasdaq Composite increased 0.1% after being up as much as 1.2% intraday. The Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 0.4% and snapped a seven-session winning streak. The Russell 2000 underperformed with a 1.7% decline.
Seven S&P 500 sectors closed lower while four closed higher. The cyclically-oriented energy (-2.8%), industrials (-1.4%), financials (-1.1%), consumer discretionary (-0.9%), and materials (-0.9%) sectors lagged throughout the day. The information technology (+0.8%) and communication services (+0.9%) sectors, however, provided influential support.
Prior to the open, investors received February retail sales and industrial production data that missed expectations, which in turn was construed as a good excuse to take profits in the cyclical stocks. Others ostensibly attributed the economic data to the early strength in the tech-sensitive Nasdaq, but truthfully, it was already indicated higher in pre-market action before the data was released.
Briefly, total retail sales declined 3.0% m/m decline in February following an upwards revision to 7.6% (from 5.3%) in January, and industrial production declined 2.2% m/m (Briefing.com consensus +0.5%). Note, there are expectations for retail sales to rebound in the coming months as households receive/spend their stimulus checks, while the industrial production data was influenced by the severe winter weather in southern parts of the U.S. last month.
Elsewhere, there was some focus on the Treasury market following a $24 billion 20-yr bond reopening action, which was met with strong demand. The 10-yr note yield briefly dipped to 1.59% in the wake of the auction results, then briefly rose to 1.63%, which took some steam out of the growth-stock trade.
The 10-yr yield ultimately settled one basis point higher at 1.62%. The 2-yr yield was unchanged at 0.14%. The U.S. Dollar Index was little changed at 91.87. WTI crude futures declined 0.9%, or $0.59, to $64.81/bbl.
Highlighting some individual stock news, Moderna (MRNA 156.02, +12.36, +8.6%) began dosing children ages 6 months to less than 12 years for its COVID-19 vaccine study, and Roblox (RBLX 77.00, +4.86, +6.7%) was initiated with a Buy rating at Stifel. MRNA and RBLX shares rose nearly 9% and 7%, respectively.
Reviewing Tuesday's economic data:
- Total retail sales declined 3.0% m/m in February (consensus -0.6%) and retail sales, excluding autos, declined 2.7% (consensus +0.2%). However, there were large upward revisions to January sales, with total sales increasing 7.6% (from 5.3%) and sales, excluding autos, surging 8.3% (from 5.9%).
- The key takeaway from the report is that the "weakness" in February was a byproduct of the tremendous strength in January, which made the sequential comparison exceedingly difficult. The market shouldn't be thrown for much of a loop by the February sales data -- if it's thrown for one at all -- because it recognizes that a new round of stimulus checks is just now starting to hit deposit accounts and will assuredly help prop up retail sales in March and April along with the early unleashing of some pent-up demand.
- Total industrial production decreased 2.2% m/m in February (consensus +0.5%) following an upwardly revised 1.1% increase (from 0.9%) in January. The capacity utilization rate dropped to 73.8% ( consensus 75.6%) from a downwardly revised 75.5% (from 75.6%) in January.
- The key takeaway from the report is that the decline was unduly influenced by the severe winter weather in the south central region of the country in mid-February. That should drive expectations for a quick, and sizable, rebound in March.
- The NAHB Housing Market Index decreased to 82 in March (consensus 84.0) from 84.0 in February.
- Business inventories increased 0.3% in January (consensus 0.3%) following a revised 0.8% increase (from 0.6%) in December.
- Import prices increased 1.3% in February while import prices excluding oil increased 0.4%. Export prices increased 1.6% in February while export prices excluding agriculture increased 1.5%.
Aside from the FOMC Rate Decision, investors will receive Housing Starts and Building Permits for February and the MBA Mortgage Applications Index on Wednesday.
- Russell 2000 +17.5% YTD
- Dow Jones Industrial Average +7.3% YTD
- S&P 500 +5.5% YTD
- Nasdaq Composite +4.5% YTD