After Hours Summary: UPST +46.5%, WSM +12.5%, AOUT +10.2%, FIVE +6.1% up big on earnings; GEVO -5.8%, PD -4.8%, RIDE -3.3% fall on earningsAfter Hours Gainers:
Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to earnings/guidance: UPST +46.5% (also to acquire Prodigy Software), WSM +12.5% (also increases dividend, approves new $1 bln share repurchase auth), AOUT +10.2%, FIVE +6.1%, ONTF +3.5%, SMTC +3%, ZTO +0.8%
Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to news: WPRT +11.1% (joint venture modifies terms for supply of HPDI systems), VCEL +10.6% (to be added to the S&P SmallCap 600), AMC +3.5% (to have 98% of its US locations open by March 19), RC +3.1% (ANH receives stockholder approval for merger with RC), ROCH +1.7% (closes combination with PureCycle; to begin trading under ticker "PCT" on March 18), PANW +1.3% (new CFO), PENN +0.8% (to launch Barstool Sportsbook app in VA in coming months), U +0.6% (new CFO), HY +0.6% (issues statement from Board of Directors), ESPR +0.3% (publishes results of Phase 2 study evaluating NEXLETOL), CUZ +0.1% (increases dividend), MRK +0.1% (files registration to spin off women's health, biosimilars, and established brands businesses), FTI +0.1% (enters into agreement with Magnora to develop floating offshore wind projects)
After Hours Losers:
Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to earnings/guidance: GEVO -5.8%, PD -4.8%, RIDE -3.3% (also says timeline to start production remains on track for Sept 2021), MLHR -3%, STLD -0.1% (guides Q1 EPS slightly below consensus)
Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to news: TBIO -15% (reports clinical trial results for MRT5005), CFRX -13.7% (stock offering), PHAS -11.1% (stock offering), SLDB -5.9% (stock offering), SGMO -1% (EMA releases details in support of Orphan Designation of BIVV003), DLR -0.6% (completes sale of 11 data centers to Ascendas Reit for $680 mln), ACMR -0.1% (expands furnace semiconductor equipment portfolio), ABT -0.1% (awarded $260 mln Defense Logistics Agency contract)
Closing Stock Market SummaryThe S&P 500 (+0.3%) and Dow Jones Industrial Average (+0.6%) closed at record highs on Wednesday, as the market reacted positively to the Fed's dovish policy statement in the afternoon. The Nasdaq Composite (+0.4%) and Russell 2000 (+0.7%) also posted modest gains, overcoming 1.5% and 1.3% intraday declines, respectively.
The intraday decline in the S&P 500 wasn't too bad (-0.4%), but there were signs of de-risking as all 11 of its sectors traded in negative territory at one point. The heavily-weighted growth stocks especially weighed on the Nasdaq as the 10-yr yield rose past 1.67%. Selling pressure, however, was relieved as soon as the FOMC statement was released at 2:00 p.m. ET.
The policy statement revealed no change to the fed funds rate (unanimous decision) and no change in the median estimate that the fed funds rate would remain unchanged through 2023. In addition, the Fed will continue to increase its holdings of Treasury and agency mortgage-backed securities by at least $120 billion per month, and the median estimate for the change in real GDP for 2021 was revised up to 6.5% from 4.2%.
In his press conference, Fed Chair Powell said it wouldn't be time to start talking about tapering asset purchases until the Fed sees substantial further progress in meeting its employment and inflation goals -- "actual progress" and not "forecast progress." Mr. Powell added that a transitory rise in inflation above 2% seems likely this year and the Fed will have something to announce on the supplementary leverage ratio (SLR) exemption in the coming days. There was a sense the Fed could extend the SLR exemption beyond the March 31 expiration.
Overall, the Fed communicated a patient and dovish approach to monetary policy that satisfied the market. Six of the 11 S&P 500 sectors closed in positive territory, the information technology sector (-0.1%) briefly turned positive after being down 1.6% intraday, long-term interest rates backed down from highs, and the U.S. dollar weakened (91.43, -0.45, -0.5%).
The cyclically-oriented consumer discretionary (+1.4%), industrials (+1.1%), energy (+0.9%), materials (+0.9%), and financials (+0.7%) sectors provided the leadership, while buying interest evaded the utilities sector (-1.6%).
The 10-yr yield settled at 1.64%, or two basis points above yesterday's settlement level. The 2-yr yield declined one basis point to 0.13%. WTI crude futures settled lower by 0.3%, or $0.20, to $64.61/bbl.
Separately, Lennar (LEN 100.95, +12.24, +13.8%) was one of today's biggest individual gainers with a 14% gain after announcing a $3-5 billion asset spinoff, confirming the formation of a $4 billion single family home rental platform, and beating EPS and revenue estimates. Lennar commented that demand for single family homes from former city dwellers is strong and growing.
Reviewing Wednesday's economic data:
- Housing starts declined 10.3% month-over-month in February to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.421 million units (consensus 1.550 million) and building permits declined 10.8% month-over-month to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.682 million (consensus 1.750 million).
- The key takeaway from the report is that the declines in single-unit starts were the worst in the Midwest (-30.5%) and South (-16.0%) regions, which were unduly impacted by the severe winter weather that hit in mid-February. That should take some of the sting out of the weak starts number for February, yet the fact that building permits (a leading indicator) for single-unit dwellings were flat to down in all regions is apt to create some concern that rising lumber costs and rising mortgage rates will lead to some slowing in the homebuilding industry.
- The MBA Mortgage Applications Index decreased 2.2% following a 1.3% decline in the prior week.
Looking ahead, investors will receive the weekly Initial and Continuing Claims report, the Conference Board's Leading Economic Index for February, and the Philadelphia Fed Index for March on Thursday.
- Russell 2000 +18.3% YTD
- Dow Jones Industrial Average +7.9% YTD
- S&P 500 +5.8% YTD
- Nasdaq Composite +4.9% YTD
Gapping down
In reaction to earnings/guidance:
- KC -9.8%, PDD -4.9%, CRIS -3.3% (also files for $100 mln common stock offering; also files for mixed securities shelf offering), CAL -2.6%
Other news:
- PLUG -18.2% (to restate earnings)
- NRG -10.2% (provides financial update on winter storm uri impacts; Winter Storm Uri expected to have a more significant impact on the Company's 2021 results; withdraws FY21 adjusted EBITDA guidance)
- REGI -8.9% (prices offering of 5 mln shares of common stock at $67.00 per share)
- OIS -7.5% (prices offering of $135 mln of its 4.75% convertible senior notes due 2026)
- ARRY -7.4% (stock offering; also provides update)
- SJI -6.6% (to conduct concurrent public offerings of up to $225 mln shares of common stock and 6.0 mln equity units)
- BLDP -5.9% (in sympathy with PLUG on restatement news)
- KODK -5.3% (files for $500 mln mixed securities shelf offering; also files for 44,490,032 share common stock offering by selling shareholders)
- BE -5.2% (in sympathy with PLUG on restatement news)
- FCEL -5.1% (in sympathy with PLUG on restatement news)
- RUBY -5% (upsizes and prices offering of 6,896,552 shares of its common stock at $29.00 per share)
- PAE -4.9% (CEO to reisgn for personal reasons; co reaffitms FY21 guidance)
- CCNC -4.5% (files for $500 mln mixed securities shelf offering)
- BLUE -3.6% (Chief Medical Officer departs)
- BILI -3.2% (launches Hong Kong public offering, which forms part of the global offering of 25,000,000 Class Z ordinary shares)
- CFX -2.5% (prices offering of 14 mln shares of common stock at $46.00 per share)
- UBER -2.3% (will provide drivers in the UK with paid holiday time, an earnings guarantee, and pensions)
- PRIM -2.2% (stock offering)
- LITE -2.1% (Coherent confirms new acquisition proposal from Lumentum (LITE))
- MAX -1.4% (stock offering)
- MU -1.4% (to strengthen its focus on memory and storage technology for data center)
- IMAX -1.4% (prices offering of 0.500% convertible senior notes due 2026)
- STEP -1.3% (stock offering)
Analyst comments:
- MOMO -3.4% (downgraded to Underweight from Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley)
- MERC -2.5% (downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Credit Suisse)
Gapping up
In reaction to earnings/guidance:
- LE +6.2%, CRWD +2.9%, FF +2.7%, HIL +2%, LEN +0.7%
Other news:
- IMTX +23.8% (presents data update on dose escalation from ongoing ACTengine cell therapy programs)
- TNXP +8.7% (preliminary results following vaccination of non-human primates with TNX-1800)
- CELC +5.7% (NVS, PBYI, CELC and MD Anderson to collaborate to study new drug regimen)
- PBYI +4.3% (NVS, PBYI, CELC and MD Anderson to collaborate to study new drug regimen)
- GLG +2.6% (signs LOI with Chenzhou Dingmei Silver to acquire ownership of a molybdenum copper ore in Kazakhstan)
- COHR +2.5% (Coherent confirms new acquisition proposal from Lumentum (LITE))
- CRNT +1.8% (announces a Tier 1 Operator in the Pacific Rim has placed a significant follow-on frame agreement for its flexible wireless hauling solutions)
- PDCO +1.6% (approves new $500 mln share repurchase authorization)
- QRTEA +1% (QRTEA discloses 25.5% stake in SCOR)
- BALY +0.9% (receives temporary sports wagering permit in Virginia)
- IIVI +0.6% (Coherent confirms new acquisition proposal from Lumentum (LITE))
Analyst comments:
- FNKO +2.1% (upgraded to Market Perform from Underperform at BMO Capital Markets)
- AA +1.1% (upgraded to Buy from Hold at Deutsche Bank)
- MCD +0.9% (upgraded to Buy from Hold at Deutsche Bank)
Early premarket gappers
- Gapping up:
- GLG +10.2%, CELC +9.1%, COHR +5.7%, ORGO +5.5%, CRWD +5.4%, RPD +5.3%, PBYI +4.3%, QRTEA +4.1%, COUP +2.1%, HIL +2%, PDCO +1.6%, LEN +1.6%, JBLU +1.4%, FE +1.2%, BALY +0.9%, BILI +0.9%
- Gapping down:
- PLUG -22.1%, REGI -8.5%, OIS -7.3%, SJI -6.6%, BLDP -6.5%, ARRY -5.9%, KODK -5.4%, CRIS -5%, FCEL -4.8%, BE -4.6%, CAL -2.6%, PAE -2.5%, PRIM -2.3%, NRG -2.2%, CFX -1.9%, BLUE -1.8%, CCNC -1.4%, STEP -1.2%, UBER -1.2%, LITE -1%, PARR -0.8%, CPE -0.7%, IMAX -0.5%