>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 3rd of September 2021 V2(+)

>>> Up
* Acciona Raised to Buy at Alantra Equities; PT 179.74 euros
* Arkema Raised to Buy at HSBC; PT 129 euros
* ASML Raised to Reduce at AlphaValue/Baader (+)
* Boreo Oyj Raised to Buy at Inderes; PT 98 euros
* Endesa Raised to Overweight at JPMorgan; PT 25 euros
* Glaston Raised to Buy at Inderes; PT 1.45 euros
* Harvia Raised to Buy at Inderes; PT 64 euros
* Innate Pharma ADRs Raised to Outperform at SVB Leerink
* MTU Aero Raised to Buy at SocGen; PT 225 euros
* Raiffeisen Raised to Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley; PT 24 euros
* SEB Raised to Overweight at Barclays; PT 135 kronor
* SKF Raised to Buy at HSBC; PT 260 kronor
* Stef Raised to Outperform at Oddo BHF; PT 115 euros (+)
* Stef Raised to Buy at Gilbert Dupont; PT 114.40 euros (+)
* UBM Development Raised to Buy at Erste Group; PT 54.50 euros

>>> Down
* AIB Group Cut to Hold at Berenberg; PT 2.65 euros
* Assa Abloy Cut to Reduce at HSBC; PT 240 kronor
* Sage Cut to Hold at Stifel; PT 715.41 pence (+)
* Schindler Cut to Hold at HSBC; PT 305 Swiss francs
* Schneider Electric Cut to Hold at HSBC; PT 160 euros
* Zignago Vetro Cut to Hold at Berenberg; PT 18.50 euros

>>> Initiation
* Alm Brand Rated New Buy at Jyske Bank; PT 62 kroner (+)
* Tecnoinvestimenti Rated New Buy at Stifel; PT 49.50 euros
* Varta Rated New Sell at Bankhaus Metzler; PT 106 euros (+)

>>> Call
* Delivery Hero’s Future Looking Busy on Capital Raise: Jefferies (+)
* Flutter’s U.S. Opportunity is Still Undervalued, Jefferies Says
* H&M’s Valuation Looks Attractive Versus Inditex, RBC Says
* Moncler’s Short-Term Potential Is Largely Priced In: Jefferies (+)
* Tod’s Unlikely to Resume Dividend Before 2024, Jefferies Says (+)

>>> Stoxx 600 Pre-Market Indications

  • Endesa (ENA TH) +2.1%
    • Endesa Raised to Overweight at JPMorgan; PT 25 euros
  • BHP Group PLC (BIL TH) +1.9%
    • BHP workers returning to offshore oil rig after Hurricane Ida
  • Vodafone (VODI TH) +1.2%
  • Ericsson (ERCB TH) +1.1%
  • BAT (BMT TH) +1%
  • Delivery Hero (DHER TH) -0.8%
    • Delivery Hero Places EU1.25b Convertible Bonds in Two Tranches
  • TUI (TUI1 TH) -0.9%
  • Nokia (NOA3 TH) -0.9%
  • Prosus (1TY TH) -1.2%
    • Alibaba Pledges $15.5 Billion to ‘Common Prosperity’ Drive (1)
  • Nordic Semiconductor (N0S TH) -1.5%
    • Top China Chipmaker to Invest $8.9 Billion in Shanghai Plant (1)
  • Telecom Italia (TQI TH) -2.9%

>>> TradeGate Pre-Market Indications

DAX:
  • Delivery Hero (DHER TH) -1.1%
    • Delivery Hero Places EU1.25b Convertible Bonds in Two Tranches
MDAX:
  • Varta (VAR1 TH) -1.2%
    • Varta Rated New Sell at Bankhaus Metzler; PT 106 euros
SDAX:
  • Home24 (H24 TH) +1.6%
  • Hensoldt (HAG TH) +1.1%
  • Jenoptik (JEN TH) -0.8%

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 3rd of September 2021

>>> Up
* Acciona Raised to Buy at Alantra Equities; PT 179.74 euros
* Arkema Raised to Buy at HSBC; PT 129 euros
* Boreo Oyj Raised to Buy at Inderes; PT 98 euros
* Endesa Raised to Overweight at JPMorgan; PT 25 euros
* Glaston Raised to Buy at Inderes; PT 1.45 euros
* Harvia Raised to Buy at Inderes; PT 64 euros
* Innate Pharma ADRs Raised to Outperform at SVB Leerink
* MTU Aero Raised to Buy at SocGen; PT 225 euros
* Raiffeisen Raised to Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley; PT 24 euros
* SEB Raised to Overweight at Barclays; PT 135 kronor
* SKF Raised to Buy at HSBC; PT 260 kronor
* UBM Development Raised to Buy at Erste Group; PT 54.50 euros

>>> Down
* AIB Group Cut to Hold at Berenberg; PT 2.65 euros
* Assa Abloy Cut to Reduce at HSBC; PT 240 kronor
* Schindler Cut to Hold at HSBC; PT 305 Swiss francs
* Schneider Electric Cut to Hold at HSBC; PT 160 euros
* Zignago Vetro Cut to Hold at Berenberg; PT 18.50 euros

>>> Initiation
* Tecnoinvestimenti Rated New Buy at Stifel; PT 49.50 euros

>>> Call
* Flutter’s U.S. Opportunity is Still Undervalued, Jefferies Says
* H&M’s Valuation Looks Attractive Versus Inditex, RBC Says

>>> What to look at today - 3rd of September 2021

Most Asian stocks rose Friday and the dollar held a drop after cyclicals led Wall Street to a record high ahead of a U.S. jobs report that will shape views on the outlook for Federal Reserve monetary policy.
MSCI Inc.’s Asia-Pacific gauge climbed for a sixth day, the longest streak since January. Prime Minister Yoshihide Suga’s plan to resign sent Japanese shares to a three-decade high on expectations that his successor may boost stimulus. 
Chinese technology stocks fell, with investors continuing to weigh Beijing’s regulatory crackdown. U.S. futures advanced and European contracts were steady after energy shares helped the S&P 500 to an all-time high. A global stock index was also at an unprecedented level.
The payrolls report will color expectations about when the Fed might taper pandemic-era stimulus and how long it can wait before hiking interest-rates. The U.S. probably added 725,000 jobs in August -- a more moderate pace versus the prior two months, but stronger than early 2021. The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield edged up and the dollar was near a four-week low.
US After Hours MDB +12.4%, PD +11.5%, OXM +7.4%, GWRE +5.5% higher on earnings; YEXT -11.6%, HPE -1.1%, DOCU -0.7%, AVGO -0.5% lower on earnings

Nikkei +1.96% Hang Seng -0.71% CSI -0.45% Shanghai -0.38% Shenzen -0.45%

Eur$ 1.1880 CNH 6.4540 CNY 4.4592 JPY 110.01 GBP 1.3836 CHF 0.9141 RUB 72.8308 TRY 8.2862 WTI$ 69.83 -0.23% Gold 1,812.86 +0.18% BTC 49,500 -60 ETH 3800 -4

S&P +0.21% NAsdaq +0.13% Eurostoxx +0.03% FTSE +0.01% Dax +0.10% SMI -0.09%

Macro :
- U.S. Jobs Report to Show Impact of Delta as Fed Weighs Taper
- ECB Rate Decision, U.S. Benefits to End: Week Ahead Sept. 4-10

Keep an eye on :
- AMZN US : Amazon Plans to Launch Own TV in U.S. as Soon as Oct.: Insider
- AMBU DC : Ambu CEO Makes $3.4 Million on Share Purchases as Market Follows
- T US : AT&T Spikes to a Session High Amid Chatter of Berkshire Stake
- BMPS IM : UniCredit CEO Orcel Says Paschi Due Diligence Proceeding
- BHG SS : BHG Buys 80% of German Online Retailer Ah-Trading for SEK367m
- 1COV GY : Covestro to Cut as Many as 1,700 Jobs, Rheinische Post Says
- DHER GY : Delivery Hero Places EU1.25b Convertible Bonds in Two Tranches
- DHER GY : Delivery Hero to Spend New Funds to Meet Growth Goals: React
- DBK GY : Deutsche Bank’s ESG Probe Triggers Review Across Asset Managers
- EDF FP : EDF Renewables, Clean Power Alliance Sign Power Purchase Pact
- FER SM : Ferrovial Selling Infrastructure Services Division: Expansion
- HEM SS : Hemnet 13.4m Share Sale by Holders Order Book Is Covered: Terms
- IPH FP : Innate Pharma Analyst Turns Bullish Ahead of Late-Breaking Data
- LSE LN : Amsterdam Beats London as Top Europe Stock Trading Hub in August
- ONCO SS : FDA to Hold Meeting on Oncopeptides’ Pepaxto on Oct. 28
- SOF BB : Sofina 1H Net Asset Value Per Share EU308.72 Vs. EU264.59 H/H
- TECN SW : Tecan’s Share Sale Demand Exceeds 650,000 Deal Size: Terms
- UCG IM : UniCredit CEO Orcel Says Paschi Due Diligence Proceeding
- SMCP FP : SMCP 1H Net Income EU0.6M Vs. Loss EU88.5M Y/y
- TCP FP : TechnipFMC Sells Technip Energies Stake for EU11.15/Share
- UN01 GY : Going Green in Germany Looks Like Hardest Job for Fortum Boss
- VLA FP : Valneva Says U.S. DoD Exercises First Option on Ixiaro Contract
- VOW3 GY : Audi’s Electric Sedan Concept Heralds Fresh Bid to Counter Tesla
- WBD IM : Webuild Awarded EU1.26b Contract for Pedemontana Lombarda

>>> US Close

Closing Stock Market Summary

The S&P 500 (+0.3%) and Nasdaq Composite (+0.1%) eked out intraday and closing record highs on Thursday, although they closed off session highs amid softness in the growth stocks. The Dow Jones Industrial Average increased 0.4% while the Russell 2000 increased 0.7%. 

Unlike yesterday, today was more of a value-oriented session amid continued improvement in the weekly initial and continuing claims report. Both readings decreased to their lowest levels since the start of the pandemic, with initial claims checking in at 340,000 (Briefing.com consensus 348,000). 

The shift into "value" was best manifested in the 0.6% gain in the Russell 1000 Value Index, which was better than the gains in the S&P 500 and Nasdaq. The S&P 500 energy (+2.5%) and industrials (+1.0%) sectors -- two cyclical groups often lumped into the value category -- were pockets of strength.

The energy sector was impressive with a 2.5% gain, largely due to the 2% gain in oil prices ($69.96/bbl, +1.41, +2.1%). WTI crude futures settled close to $70.00 per barrel. 

Conversely, the Russell 1000 Growth Index closed flat and the Vanguard Mega Cap Growth ETF (MGK 248.98, -0.32, -0.1%) decreased 0.1%. The S&P 500 information technology (-0.1%), communication services (-0.7%), and consumer discretionary (-0.1%) sectors -- which contain the mega-cap stocks -- were the only sectors that closed lower. 

The mega-caps had been hitting record highs on an almost regular basis recently, so their underperformance today likely had more to do with a breather than anything else. Low interest rates remained a supportive factor for the growth stocks. 

The Treasury market held steady ahead of the August employment report tomorrow. The 2-yr yield was unchanged at 0.21%, and the 10-yr yield decreased one basis point to 1.29%. The U.S. Dollar Index decreased 0.2% to 92.23. 

Separately, Hormel Foods (HRL 43.57, -2.10, -4.6%) was one of the biggest laggards in the S&P 500 after providing an underwhelming earnings report. HRL shares declined 4.6%. 

Reviewing Thursday's economic data:

  • For the week ending August 28, initial claims decreased by 14,000 to 340,000 (consensus 348,000), which is the lowest level since March 14, 2020. Continuing claims for the week ending August 21 decreased by 160,000 to 2.748 million, which is also the lowest level since March 14, 2020.
    • The key takeaway from the report is the same as before: the trend is moving in a direction that is suggestive of an improving labor market.
  • The trade deficit for July narrowed to $70.1 billion (consensus -$74.0 billion) from an upwardly revised $73.2 billion (prior -$75.7 billion) in June. The narrowing was the result of July exports being $2.8 billion more than June exports, and July imports being $0.4 billion less than June imports.
    • The key takeaway from the report is that the real trade deficit in July was slightly narrower than the average real trade deficit for Q2. That will compute as a positive input for Q3 GDP forecasts.
  • Factory orders for manufactured goods increased 0.4% m/m in July, as expected, following a 1.5% increase in June. Shipments of manufactured goods were up 1.6% after increasing 1.9% in June.
    • The key takeaway from the report is that the pace of order growth for manufactured goods slowed noticeably in July, which is emblematic of headwinds created by the Delta variant and supply chain bottlenecks.
  • Q2 productivity was revised down to 2.1% (consensus 2.5%) from the advance estimate of 2.3% and unit labor costs were revised up to 1.3% (consensus 0.8%) from the advance estimate of 1.0%.
    • The downward revision to productivity is a bit disappointing, but it won't resonate as a market-moving factor knowing that we are two-thirds of the way through the third quarter.

Looking ahead, investors will receive the Employment Situation Report for August, the ISM Non-Manufacturing Index for August, and the final IHS Markit Services PMI for August on Friday. 

  • S&P 500 +20.8% YTD
  • Nasdaq Composite +19.0% YTD
  • Russell 2000 +16.7% YTD
  • Dow Jones Industrial Average +15.8% YTD

>>> After Hours Summary: MDB +12.4%, PD +11.5%, OXM +7.4%, GWRE

After Hours Summary: MDB +12.4%, PD +11.5%, OXM +7.4%, GWRE +5.5% higher on earnings; YEXT -11.6%, HPE -1.1%, DOCU -0.7%, AVGO -0.5% lower on earnings

After Hours Gainers:

Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to earnings/guidance: MDB +12.4%, PD +11.5%, OXM +7.4%, OOMA +6.4% (also names new CFO), GWRE +5.5%, SAIC +1.3%

Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to news: APOP +51.5% (reports first ApoGraft transplantation in Leukemia patient in clinical trial), REAL +2.1% (provides monthly business update), MARA +0.9% (provides production and mining updates for August), CSWC +0.6% (increases dividend), LH +0.6% (raises minimum wage to $15/hr)

After Hours Losers:

Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to earnings/guidance: YEXT -11.6%, JOAN -9.9%, LAW -6.1%, NX -3.6%, CTLP -3.3%, HPE -1.1%, DOCU -0.7%, AVGO -0.5%, COO -0.2%, MDLA -0.1% (note: co previously announced it's being acquired by Thoma Bravo)

Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to news: FBRX -82.2% (top-line data from Phase 2 trial of FB-401 fails to meet statistical significance), SGOC -4% (stock offering), BYND -1.7% (COO steps down), IGT -1.7% (expands PlaySports platform into Wisconsin via deal with at Oneida Casino), CRBU -1.4% (announces publication of data for genome editing with chRDNA technology), LQDA -1.1% (stock offering), CI -0.7% (THC and CI sign new multi-year contract for expanded network access), NDAQ -0.4% (reports August 2021 metrics), SHLX -0.4% (provides assessment of initial impacts related to Hurricane Ida), THC -0.2% (THC and CI sign new multi-year contract for expanded network access), HNI -0.1% (to open new manufacturing plant in Mexico), NFLX -0.1% (launching new PGA Tour episodic documentary, according to GOLF.com)