WWD : Beyoncé, Rihanna Among the All-Female Investors in Destree

Beyoncé, Rihanna Among the All-Female Investors in Destree
Reese Witherspoon, Gisele Bündchen and Gabriela Hearst are also among the participants in the series A funding round.



As a fundraising round, it’s a major and unprecedented statement about female power, influence and business know-how.
Géraldine Guyot, cofounder of the Paris-based accessories firm Destree, has revealed that investors in the fast-growing company range from venture capital firm Sequoia Capital China, at the behest of Angelica Cheung, to such bold-faced names as Beyoncé, Rihanna, Reese Witherspoon, Gisele Bündchen and Gabriela Hearst.
The French entrepreneur, who has parlayed her passion for modern and contemporary art into unique hats, handbags, jewelry and now apparel, said she and cofounder Laetitia Lumbroso plans to use the series A funding to almost double the size of their small team; open Destree’s first freestanding stores; expand into new or underdeveloped markets like the Middle East, China, Japan and the U.S., and supercharge e-commerce operations and digital-native marketing.


Géraldine Guyot
COURTESY OF DESTREE
Disclosing the transaction exclusively to WWD, Guyot said the list of investors also includes Venezuelan businesswoman Carmen Busquets, actress and beauty entrepreneur Jessica Alba, Glossier founder Emily Weiss and venture capitalist Amy Griffin of G9 Ventures — all of whom contributed a like amount.
Financial terms were not disclosed, but it is understood Guyot and Lumbroso retain majority control of the business, founded in 2016.
What’s clear is that Guyot’s idea of having only women around the table at Destree solidified interest in every potential investor she approached, and allowed her to assemble a diverse group with knowledge and experience across sustainability, fashion-tech, entrepreneurship, communications, beauty and entertainment.
“We noticed Destree because of their distinctive collections, with designs that are artistic and recognizable,” said Cheung, venture partner at Sequoia Capital China, which spurred the series A and led the funding round. “In this crowded and competitive space, Destree has had a very promising start by already establishing a strong DNA, which often determines future growth. We’re excited to be part of their journey while leveraging our global and local resources to help them realize their ambitions.”
Cheung is the former editor in chief of Vogue China. Since she arrived at Sequoia, the firm has taken stakes in luxury retailer Ssense and fashion brands including Ami Paris and Seoul-based We11done.
Busquets, who has invested in such companies as Farfetch, Moda Operandi and Lyst, touted Destree’s French savoir faire and its business model, with 60 percent of revenues already coming from direct-to-consumer sales.
“They also propose handpicked edits to the most exclusive multibrand stores internationally,” Busquets said. “This strategy works very well as an impressive road map to scale the business in an effective and sustainable way.”
According to Guyot, it was the perfect time to raise capital and further develop the business, as luxury fashion rebounds and the pandemic ebbs.
“So far we’ve grown organically, reinvesting our own profits since Day One,” she said in an interview. “Our main growth avenue is market share gain, which will come by increasing our physical and digital presence.


“This fund-raise will allow us to gain control of our distribution and control our clientele much more. We are targeting over 80 percent of directly controlled sales,” she added. “We are thankful for and honored by our female-only funding round. So many of our role models are participating.”
Asked how she will cope with the pressure of delivering value to such a powerful clutch of shareholders, Guyot characterized it as an energizer.
“The good thing is I tend to work well under pressure, better than under no pressure,” she said over tea at the Hôtel Plaza Athénée in Paris, her pitch-black dog Lemon resting quietly at her feet. “When you have investors, you have to be accountable.…It’s good pressure. It should nourish me.
“We look forward to the moments in which we may draw inspiration from this unique pool of investors. It is definitely not a coincidence: We were oversubscribed and had to turn down many reputable male investors in order to fulfill this vision,” she added.
By all accounts, Guyot seemed destined for a career in the art world, not fashion. Her mother is on the board of the Pompidou Museum and has been collecting mainly German and American art from the second half of the 20th century.
“I was raised in a family of art lovers. Since my early childhood, I had the privilege of being surrounded by art and I quickly developed a strong passion for it,” she said.
She recalled how her parents collected postcards of artworks from museums around the world and used them as flash cards to teach their daughter about contemporary works and artists.
“I grew up going to museums. My whole childhood was about going to museums and galleries, meeting artists,” she said. “It is an essential part of my life and of Destree’s DNA, which I think gives it an unconventional signature and approach to fashion.”
Guyot listed among artists she appreciates as Donald Judd, James Turrell, Kenneth Noland, Wade Guyton, Jadé Fadojutimi, Cecily Brown and Bridget Riley, whose striped and optical works seem to vibrate when viewed from a certain distance.
“I like art that disturbs the eye visually,” she explained. “I am more focused on the art of our time, and collecting works I can relate to, as well as works from artists I am able to build deep relationships with.”


In parallel, she nurtured a fascination with fashion and began amassing vintage pieces from the 1960s and 1970s from the likes of Yves Saint Laurent and Celine. Her collection also includes lesser-known talents like Franck Sorbier, and she flicked through her camera roll to show off some of his arty jackets.
After graduating from Central Saint Martins in London, where she studied art and received a BA in culture, criticism and curation, Guyot decided she would launch an accessories brand.
She seized on the word D’Estree, plucked from a familiar street in Paris and sounding very French, and decided she would start with hats, sensing the marketplace was too crowded with leather goods and jewelry.
Applying her eye for bold color and graphic shapes to the category, Guyot succeeded in winning attention for the category before eventually expanding with jewelry and handbags.
In November, she threw up a test balloon with ready-to-wear via a pop-up shop at Le Bon Marché in Paris, and it did gangbusters. Women responded to her feminine, vaguely historical silhouettes and styles named after artists.
Handbags — including hero styles like the Albert — rank as Destree’s biggest product category, with jewelry and rtw now vying for second place, and hats the smallest. In rtw, her hero product is the puff-sleeved Yoshitomo/Amoako suit, and the plan is to flesh out the apparel category.
The entire product range will be showcased in Destree’s first freestanding boutique, slated to open in June at Rue du 29 Juillet in Paris, across the street from the Saint Laurent Rive Droite flagship on Rue Saint Honoré that used to be Colette, and among a clutch of trendy stores that will soon include Danish brand Ganni.
Guyot is plotting a New York City boutique for a fall opening, plus her first outpost in China in 2023, with strategic advice from Sequoia’s Cheung, who is based in Beijing. Eventually, select cities in Japan may also get Destree stores.
Her near-term goal is to have the three or four physical stores running successfully alongside Destree’s e-store and a wholesale network numbering about 80 stores. Marquee wholesale accounts include Selfridges, The Webster, Isetan and Le Bon Marché, where a permanent shop-in-shop is slated to open in June.


Guyot described a more selective exposure for the rtw category. Destree is already carried by stores in Europe, the U.S., Japan and Korea. The Middle East and China represent key geographies for expansion.
Beyoncé was among the first big celebrities to carry a Destree bag. Guyot had sent a few on a lark through the music star’s stylist Zerina Akers, and roughly a year later the singer was pictured during New York Fashion Week toting her Alvar style on one shoulder. “We were so excited!” she recalled.
Her hunch was right that accessories could be a fast-track to breaking through the clutter of a crowded fashion market.
“I’ve always been fascinated by the relentless efficiency of accessories,” she said. “Your outfit can be very simple, but accessories always give it character.”
She explained that her approach to accessories, “graphic and structured,” is uncommon.
Guyot explored a funding round in late 2019, but abandoned the project when the coronavirus pandemic hit. She and Lumbroso pivoted successfully to e-commerce, making 2021 the “best year so far” for the young company.
Laetitia Lumbroso
COURTESY OF DESTREE
Lumbroso went to business school and had 10 years of experience in the luxury sector before hooking up with Guyot. “We are very complimentary and work hand-in-hand,” she said. “As a start-up, we need to multitask all the time, roll up our sleeves and be very street smart when it comes to working on any aspect of the business.”
Guyot restarted the funding process last year after she moved to New York, having followed her new husband Alexandre Arnault Stateside when he accepted a job as executive vice president, product and communications, at Tiffany & Co. following its acquisition by the family group LVMH Moët Hennessy Louis Vuitton.
“We are still headquartered in Paris,” she noted. “I go back and forth as much as I can and am acting as head of the U.S. market.”
She stressed Destree’s Parisian essence, with each step of the creative process occurring in the French capital, “from conceptualization to design and responsible craftsmanship.”
“We have been working with the same artisans since the beginning and we are very proud of these partnerships we have built over the years.”


Hearst was among the first women Guyot approached for the funding round, having ghost-designed some of the accessories for Hearst’s signature brand for spring 2021.
“We were not only looking for money, because money is easy to find. What’s hard to find is people with different expertise,” Guyot said, explaining that the investors she assembled will “help us open doors in different parts of the world.”
Destree boasts 60,500 followers on its Instagram account, and the brand has relied on word-of-mouth and press mentions so far. “We plan on organizing trunk shows across the U.S. since I live there now, to localize discovery of the brand,” Guyot said.
She noted Destree also plans to shoot campaigns monthly in tandem with its rtw drops. WWD was present at the shoot for its summer 2022 delivery, which includes 10 color versions of the asymmetric Albert bag, and new interpretations of the Amoako suit.

>>> What to look at today - 21st of April 2022

Asian stocks traded mixed and U.S. futures climbed Thursday with investors seeking clues on Chinese policy support and pondering a burgeoning debate around whether inflation is peaking. Treasuries pared a rally. Equities rose in Japan. They fell in Hong Kong and China where an address by President Xi Jinping failed to soothe investors pining for more measures to support growth. S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures advanced after positive earnings from Tesla Inc. and United Airlines Holdings Inc.  Rate markets underwent a sharp repricing Wednesday, sending long bond yields sinking. Investors such as Bank of America Corp. and Nomura Asset Management said this is a buying opportunity after the recent rout. Ten-year yields trimmed a steep retreat, with central bank stimulus withdrawal looming large. The dollar pared a slide and the yen resumed a decline.  Chinese tech stocks fell for a third consecutive day, weighed by shares linked to electric vehicle production as lockdowns on the mainland disrupt logistics. Investors have so far been disappointed at Chinese attempts to counter the economic impact of lockdowns.  US After Hours UAL +7.7%, TSLA +5.6% trade higher on earnings; SNBR -5.8%, CVNA -5.4%, EFX -5.2%, AA -5.1%, LRCX -2.1% lower on earnings

Nikkei +1,23% Hang Seng -1,62% CSI -1,09% Shanghai -1,35% Shenzen -2,13%

Eur$ 1,0843 CNH 6,4692 CNY 6,4419 JPY 128,18 GBP 1,3062 CHF 0,9502 RUB 82,3632 TRY 14,6722 WTI$ 103,02 Gold 1950,70 BTC 41,693 ETH 3095

S&P +0,49% Nasdaq +0,73% EuroStoxx +0,34% FTSE +0,32% Dax +0,41% SMI +0,59%

Macro :
- European Margin Forecasts Are Too Optimistic: BNP Strategists
- As Brevan Howard’s Gains Mount, Founder Cuts Back On Trading
- Melvin Capital Eyes Returning Capital to Start New Fund:CNBC

Keep an eye on :
- ABBN SW : ABB 1Q Operating Ebita Beats Estimates
- AKZA NA : Akzo Nobel 1Q Adjusted Operating Income Beats Estimates
- MT NA : Alcoa 1Q Adjusted Ebitda Beats Estimates: Snapshot
- ASM NA : ASMI Sees 2Q Revenue EU540M to EU570M, Est. EU541M
- BAR BB : Barco 1Q Orders EU246.9M Vs. EU288.1M Q/Q
- BAS1V FH : BasWare 1Q Ebit Beats Estimates
- BFIT NA : Basic-Fit 1Q Revenue EU162M Vs. EU10.7M Y/y
- BCART BB : Biocartis 1Q Cash and Cash Equivalents EU37.3M Vs. EU53.5M Q/Q
- CARLB DC : Carlsberg May Sell Russian Brewery to AB InBev Efes: Kommersant
- CA FP : Carrefour 1Q Sales Beats Estimates
- COTN SW : Comet Sees FY Sales CHF570M to CHF610M, Est. CHF577.7M
- DBAN GY : Deutsche Beteiligungs AG Sees FY Net Loss EU15.0M to EU25.0M
- EDEN FP : Edenred 1Q Revenue Beats Estimates
- ERF FP : Eurofins Scientific Boosts FY Adjusted Ebitda View, Meets Est.
- GET FP : Getlink 1Q Revenue EU227.8M Vs. EU156M Y/y
- GRNG SS : Granges 1Q Adjusted Operating Profit Beats Estimates
- HUSQB SS : Husqvarna 1Q Operating Profit SEK2.16B
- IIA AV : Immofinanz FY Net Income Beats Estimates
- IMB LN : Imperial Brands to Take GBP225m Hit For Divesting Russian Ops
- FII FP : LISI 1Q Sales EU342.4M Vs. EU309.4M Y/y
- HEX NO : Hexagon Composites to Buy Stake in Liquid Gas Storage Tech Co.
- TL5 SM : Mediaset Espana Appoints Borja Prado as Chairman
- MERY FP : Mercialys 1Q Like-for-Like Rental +4.8%
- FB US : Meta Investor Group Calls for Governance Reforms
- NFLX US : Pershing Square Holdings Says It Sold Netflix Investment Today
- NESN SW : Nestle 1Q Organic Revenue Beats Estimates
- PSH NA : Pershing Square Holdings Says It Sold Netflix Investment Today
- RXL FP : Rexel 1Q Sales Beats Estimates
- DIM FP : Sartorius Stedim Biotech 1Q Revenue Beats Estimates
- SIP BB : Sipef 1Q Palm Oil Output 85,226 Metric Tons
- SLIGR NA : Sligro 1Q Sales EU468M Vs. EU328M Y/y
- TEL2B SS : Tele2 1Q Net Sales Meets Estimates
- SPM IM : Saipem 1Q Revenue Misses Estimates
- SAN FP : Sanofi: Rezurock Results Show Strong, Not Universal Correlation
- SW FP : Sodexo Stops Activities in Russia, Tranfers Ownership
- TIT IM : Telecom Italia Is Said to Seek $3.3 Billion State-Backed Loan
- TIT IM : Oi Concludes Mobile Unit Sale For BRL15.9b, Repays BNDES Debt
- TSLA US : Musk Appeals for More Lithium Production to Meet Battery Demand
- VRLA FP : Verallia 1Q Revenue Beats Estimates

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 21st of April 2022

>>> Up
* Air Liquide Raised to Buy at Stifel; PT 197 euros
* Aker Horizons Holding AS Raised to Buy at SEB Equities
* Exxon Raised to Outperform at RBC; PT $100
* Hilton Worldwide PT Raised to $188 from $178 at Argus
* Odfjell Raised to Buy at Pareto Securities; PT 55 kroner
* Spindox Raised to Outperform at EnVent S.p.A.; PT 19.30 euros
* Tesla PT Raised to $375 from $313 at Citi
* TotalEnergies Raised to Buy at HSBC; PT 53 euros

>>> Down
* Chevron Cut to Sector Perform at RBC; PT $165
* Danone Cut to Market Perform at Bernstein; PT 56 euros
* National Grid Cut to Hold at Berenberg; PT 1,210 pence
* Netflix Cut to Hold at Edward Jones

>>> Initiation
* Acciona Energia Rated New Outperform at Oddo BHF; PT 42.30 euros
* Demant Reinstated Buy at Jefferies; PT 360 kroner
* Emmerson Rated New Buy at Liberum; PT 14.80 pence
* Himalaya Shipping Rated New Buy at Arctic Securities
* Hornbach Holding Rated New Buy at Berenberg; PT 150 euros
* Mutares SE & Co KGaA Rated New Buy at Jefferies; PT 30 euros
* Nyxoah Rated New Outperform at Oppenheimer; PT 27.67 euros
* PatientSky Group Rated New Buy at Arctic Securities
* Piaggio Rated New Buy at Berenberg; PT 3.40 euros
* Sonova Reinstated Hold at Jefferies; PT 410 Swiss francs
* Thyssenkrupp Reinstated Buy at Jefferies; PT 12.65 euros
* Thyssenkrupp ADRs Reinstated Buy at Jefferies; PT $14.50

>>> Call
* ASMI Results Show Strong Order Momentum, Jefferies Says
* Carrefour 1Q Beats, But Barclays Notes ‘Small’ French Miss
* Carrefour Shares Likely to Hit Pause Even as 1Q Reassures: Citi
* Demant Buy, Sonova Hold in Jefferies Hearing Aid Initiations
* European Margin Forecasts Are Too Optimistic: BNP Strategists
* Hornbach Gets Another Buy as Berenberg Cites Strong Presence
* National Grid Cut at Berenberg Following Strong Run For Stock
* Piaggio ‘Worth a Second Look,’ Berenberg Initiates at Buy
* Verallia 1Q Beat Helps Alleviate Cost Concerns, Citi Says

(ZH) China On The Verge Of A Major Food Crisis - Part 1

China On The Verge Of A Major Food Crisis - Part 1

By Eric Mertz of the General Crisis Watch Substack
A worker transplants rice seedlings in China’s Jilin province, where up to a third of farmers have insufficient agricultural inputs after authorities sealed off villages to fight Covid-19
This report from the CCP administrations in those regions comes mere weeks before farmers were due to start planting, meaning they would at best miss the best time to plant - driving down yields - and at worst not be able to plant at all. The later seems likely, given the recent fertilizer shortage brought about by Putin's invasion of Ukraine.
This disruption in corn to Chinese pig farmers comes as demand is increasing after three years of severe cuts due to African Swine Fever resulting in mass culling. Though its entirely possible China isn’t out of the woods yet. Chinese pig farmers are reportedly losing $75 per hog slaughtered, as opposed to a profit of $175 per hog last year. This is extremely significant for Chinese nutritional health, as pork makes up over 60% of the average Chinese meat consumption at ~54 pounds per person per year.
The domestic situation is not helped by trucking volumes in rural areas dropping by 87% for the year. Vice-Premiere Hu Chunhua has already called on provincial authorities to adjust their Zero COVID policies to stop arresting farmers for working their fields during the lockdowns. This crisis seems to be driven by local officials implementing strict policies which results in truckers facing two-week quarantines. At a cost of ¥3360 ($556) for the 14 days spent in a camp, this amounts to half the annual average income for truck drivers in China. The situation linking rural areas to the cities aren’t much better as major cities, and even entire provinces, shut down highway travel to prevent becoming another Shanghai. Beijing has ordered provincial authorities to implement priority passes to get long-haul truckers in to deliver goods, but it is likely too-little too-late.
Political Infighting
To make matters worse, the political infighting between former party leader Jiang Zemin’s Shanghai Clique and Xi Jinping’s Tsinghua clique may have just broken into the open. Vice-Premiere Sun Chunlan - the woman responsible for implementing China’s COVID policy - has summoned a number of Shanghai officials before her to answer accusations of "lying flat". This comes after reports of party and local government mismanagement began to circulate on Western social media websites.
Now, with the 14th National Party Congress convening in March of 2023 - and with it the selection of the next President of the People’s Republic of China - it appears Xi may be in a very real life-or-death struggle for control over the party.
However, these are not the only issues facing China. There is more to come.

WSJ : China Air Crash Report Gives Few New Clues on Boeing 737’s Fatal Nosedive

China Air Crash Report Gives Few New Clues on Boeing 737’s Fatal Nosedive
Preliminary findings show no problems found with plane or flying conditions, while data from black boxes is still being retrieved

HONG KONG—China’s initial report into what led a China Eastern Airlines Boeing 737-800 to nosedive into a mountain last month, killing all 132 people on board, offers few new clues to help solve the mystery behind the nation’s worst air disaster in almost three decades, a summary of the findings shows.

There were no problems found in the maintenance records or flying conditions at the time of the disaster, the Civil Aviation Administration of China said in a statement Wednesday summarizing its findings. As lead investigator, CAAC is required to submit a preliminary report to the International Civil Aviation Organization and involved parties—including the U.S., where the Boeing was manufactured—within 30 days of the March 21 crash.

Investigators are now focusing on the painstaking process of piecing together evidence explaining why the jet pitched toward the ground, with a last-recorded speed of 1,010 kilometers per hour (628 miles an hour) before disintegrating on impact. The CAAC said it had so far found nothing abnormal with the operation of the flight before the crash.

Data from the aircraft’s severely damaged flight recorders—best known as black boxes—is still being recovered and analyzed, the statement said. The National Transportation Safety Board, the U.S. agency that investigates transportation accidents and is participating in the probe, has helped download information from the two recorders in its lab in Washington, D.C.

The preliminary report, which the CAAC said contains no analysis or conclusion about the cause of the crash, hasn’t been made public. According to the ICAO’s rules, China can decide to keep it confidential, although countries are encouraged to produce a publicly available final report within 12 months of a crash—after which they should provide annual updates.

International accident investigations typically take longer than two years, Li Yong, deputy director of the CAAC’s Aviation Safety Office, told state-owned Xinhua News Agency in an interview published Thursday.

“When any important new progress is made in the investigation, it will be announced to the public in a timely fashion,” he said.

The Boeing jetliner had been approved to fly and its flight crew were qualified, the statement said. Radio communications between the pilots and air-traffic controllers on the flight from Kunming to the southern metropolis of Guangzhou had been normal before radar warned of a deviation in the plane’s cruising altitude at 2:20 p.m., just four minutes after the last exchange with ground control.

Air-traffic controllers immediately hailed the jet but received no response, the summary said.

Wreckage found at the crash site included parts from the engines, horizontal and vertical stabilizers, the rudder and cockpit. A section of the right winglet was discovered about 12 kilometers from the crash point, according to the summary. The impact created a 45-square-meter (484-square-foot) pit that was nearly three meters deep, it said.

China Eastern said earlier this week that it had resumed flights of its Boeing 737-800 model aircraft involved in the crash. They were grounded for nearly a month to run tests and examine airworthiness data. The airline said it was still conducting assessments related to maintenance. Aviation experts have said the 737-800’s return to service suggests the immediate or known issues around the crash may not be with the aircraft.

The ICAO didn’t immediately respond to a request asking whether they had received the report, which wasn’t made clear in the Chinese authority’s statement. The NTSB said it has received the report, and Boeing declined to comment, beyond referring queries to the CAAC.

The NTSB tweeted in late March that its team wouldn’t release any information about the investigation because that right belongs to the Chinese government. A spokesman said the team sent early in April to join the probe returned to the U.S. on Thursday.

FT : Bill Ackman sells entire Netflix stake at roughly $400mn loss

Bill Ackman sells entire Netflix stake at roughly $400mn loss
Move comes three months after billionaire took position with pledge to focus on ‘long-term horizon’

Bill Ackman has sold his stake in Netflix at a roughly $400mn loss just months after acquiring the position, in the latest blow to the streaming company that saw its market value collapse on Wednesday following a decline in subscribers.

Ackman’s decision to exit the world’s largest streaming platform came three months after he amassed a stake worth $1.1bn — making his Pershing Square vehicle a top-20 shareholder in Netflix — and pledged to focus on the “long-term horizon”.

The move by Ackman capped a painful 24 hours for Netflix, which lost close to 40 per cent of its market value, a decline of almost $60bn, after it revealed that its once-blistering subscriber growth had gone into reverse.

The New York billionaire investor bought 3.1mn shares in Netflix over the course of a few days in late January at roughly $360 per share. At the time, he said many of Pershing Square’s best investments had “emerged when other investors, whose time horizons are short term, discard great companies”. Netflix closed at $226.19 a share on Wednesday.

But in a letter to investors, Ackman said Pershing Square had “lost confidence in our ability to predict the company’s future prospects with a sufficient degree of certainty”. He cited planned changes to Netflix’s business model such as launching an advertising-supported service and clamping down on account sharing.

Pershing Square declined to comment.

Ackman said the loss on the Netflix investment had translated to a 4 percentage point fall in returns for the Pershing Square Funds this year, leaving the funds down about 2 per cent overall over the same period.

Netflix has lost two-thirds of its market value in the past six months, falling from a peak of almost $310bn in October to $100bn on Wednesday.

The company has been contending with saturation in some of its markets as well as stiff competition from the likes of Disney, Apple and Warner Media, which have spent billions of dollars to break into the streaming market that Netflix pioneered.

Ackman’s U-turn on Netflix also came weeks after he said he would abandon the aggressive activist campaigns that were a hallmark of his investment career in favour of a more “cordial, constructive” approach.

In his letter announcing the Netflix share sale on Wednesday, he wrote: “Based on management’s track record, we would not be surprised to see Netflix continue to be a highly successful company and an excellent investment from its current market value.”

FT : Foreign investors ditch Chinese debt at record pace as US yields soar

Foreign investors ditch Chinese debt at record pace as US yields soar
Outflow of onshore bonds hits $18bn on concerns about Beijing’s economic outlook

Foreign investors ditched a record $18bn worth of renminbi-denominated debt last month, with selling accelerating as soaring US bond yields dulled the allure of holding Chinese debt.

Offshore investors sold a net Rmb113bn ($17.6bn) worth of Chinese onshore bonds in March, according to Financial Times calculations based on data from Hong Kong’s Bond Connect investment programme. That took outflows over the past two months to Rmb193bn as concerns mounted over China’s economic growth outlook and the debt’s diminishing yield advantage over bonds denominated in US dollars.

“These are by far the greatest outflows since China began opening up its domestic bond market,” said Becky Liu, head of China macro strategy at Standard Chartered, adding that when combined with net selling of stocks, foreign investors had dumped a total of about Rmb234bn in Chinese securities over the past two months. She said the bank expected “persistent outflows” in the second quarter.

Overseas investors have turned to the Chinese bond market for years as a source of juicy fixed-income returns while western economies embraced quantitative easing and record-low borrowing costs. That dynamic is now reversing, as western central banks raise rates and China seeks to mitigate the economic disruption of lockdowns to contain worsening Covid-19 outbreaks.

Expectations of rate rises from the Federal Reserve as it combats surging inflation have pushed up the 10-year US Treasury yield to 2.9 per cent this week, while anticipated easing by the People’s Bank of China has kept the Chinese 10-year yield anchored at about 2.8 per cent in recent sessions. US yields have not exceeded those provided by holding riskier Chinese sovereign debt in 12 years.

The divergence in policy is also hitting China’s currency, with the renminbi falling on Wednesday to its lowest point against the dollar since October 2021.


Jason Pang, a senior portfolio manager at JPMorgan Asset Management in Hong Kong, said recent selling was in part spurred by global investors locking in profits after a year in which Chinese bonds’ relative outperformance made holding them “pretty much required” for many investors hoping to deliver better-than-benchmark returns.

“I wouldn’t be surprised if we see more profit-taking on [Chinese government bonds],” he added.

Investors and strategists said that while renminbi debt’s yield advantage had been squeezed, payouts on Chinese bonds still offered a substantial premium over their US counterparts when adjusting for inflation.

“The big, longer-term picture is not changing at all,” said Jean-Charles Sambor, head of emerging market debt at BNP Paribas Asset Management, adding that renminbi bonds still offered returns that did not correlate with other big economies. “It’s a no-brainer to me that the diversification benefits remain extremely strong.”

Liu at StanChart said that despite the recent bout of selling, she expected the pace of outflows may have already peaked and that net inflows would return in the second half of the year. But she added that the gap between Chinese and US bond yields could limit the options available to policymakers in Beijing as they grapple with slowing growth.

Despite a wave of severe and economically disruptive lockdowns to contain China’s worst Covid-19 outbreak in two years, the PBoC has remained cautious in its approach to stimulus, stopping short of a dramatic loosening in policy that could push yields even lower.

Aninda Mitra, head of Asia macro and investment strategy at BNY Mellon Investment Management, suggested the central bank may have become “wary” about the sharp rising of interest rate differentials, given buoyant rates in the US, because it could encourage greater outflows in pursuit of higher yields.

“The attraction of foreign investors in the Chinese bond market has arguably been reduced,” he said, with capital account pressures becoming “more of a plausible risk”.

>>> US After Hours Summary: UAL +7.7%, TSLA +5.6% trade higher on earnings; SNBR

After Hours Summary: UAL +7.7%, TSLA +5.6% trade higher on earnings; SNBR -5.8%, CVNA -5.4%, EFX -5.2%, AA -5.1%, LRCX -2.1% lower on earnings

After Hours Gainers:

Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to earnings/guidance: UAL +7.7%, TSLA +5.6%, CNS +5%, LBRT +4.1%, LSTR +3.8%, CSX +2.8%, STLD +0.6%, SLG +0.4%, BDN +0.3%, THC +0.1%

Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to news: NRGV +4.8% (CFO to step down), ENDP +4.6% (court orders recusal of trial court judge and vacates default judgment), RF +1.6% (authorizes $2.5 bln stock repurchase program), NVVE +1.3% (selected as collaboration partner with Dept of Energy to accelerate V2G technology), HE +1.1% (CFO to depart), GOOG +0.4% (MNDT discloses receipt of request for additional info from DOJ in connection with GOOG merger)

After Hours Losers:

Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to earnings/guidance: SNBR -5.8%, CVNA -5.4% (also announces $1 bln stock offering), EFX -5.2%, AA -5.1%, CCI -3.3%, KALU -3.3%, LRCX -2.1%, KNX -0.8%, GL -0.7%, RLI -0.2%, KMI -0.1% (also increases dividend), SEIC -0.1%, VMI -0.1% (also increases dividend by 10%)

Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to news: MNDT -2.4% (MNDT discloses receipt of request for additional info from DOJ in connection with GOOG merger), VRM -1.8% (in symapthy with CVNA), AZN -0.9% (Evusheld shown to reduce the risk of developing symptomatic COVID-19 by 77%), PFE -0.1% (will begin including certain expenses in non-GAAP adjusted income)

>>> US Close Dow +0,71% S&P -0,06% Nasdaq -1,22% Russell +0,37%

Closing Stock Market Summary

The S&P 500 decreased 0.1% on Wednesday, as the market did a good job mitigating the huge earnings disappointment in Netflix (NFLX 226.19, -122.42, -35.1%). The Dow Jones Industrial Average (+0.7%) and Russell 2000 (+0.4%) outperformed in positive territory, while the Nasdaq Composite fell 1.2%. 

Briefly, shares of Netflix tanked 35% after the company lost 200,000 global paid subscribers in the first quarter and projected it would lose another 2 million subscribers in the second quarter. Investors questioned Netflix's growth story and braced for similar disappointments in streaming competitors and other former high-flyers like Meta Platforms (FB 200.42, -16.89, -7.8%).

The S&P 500 communication services sector (-4.1%) dropped 4% amid weakness in NFLX and FB, followed by smaller declines in the consumer discretionary (-1.4%) and information technology (-0.1%) sectors. The Vanguard Mega Cap Growth ETF (MGK 222.21, -2.79) fell 1.2%. 

The broader market, though, held up impressively well, evident by the gains in eight of the 11 S&P 500 sectors, the roughly 2-to-1 advantage for advancing issues over declining issues at the NYSE, and the 0.6% gain in the Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF (RSP 158.96, +1.01). 

Granted, a closer look reveals a defensive bias with the real estate (+1.9%), consumer staples (+1.5%), health care (+1.3%), and utilities (+0.8%) sectors atop the sector standings. The Treasury market also saw some relief. 

Procter & Gamble (PG 463.65, +4.24, +2.7%), Abbott Labs (ABT 122.64, +2.66, +2.2%), and Anthem (ANTM 529.84, +12.80, +2.5%) supported the consumer staples and health care sectors following their better-than-expected earnings reports. IBM (IBM 138.32, +9.17, +7.1%) jumped 7% after it, too, exceeded earnings expectations. 

The defensive tilt might have also been attributed to a recognition that the S&P 500 remained below its 200-day moving average (4497), a reminder that economic activity is moderating as denoted in the April Beige Book, and reports indicating that NYC could soon up its COVID-19 alert level to medium risk. 

In the Treasury market, the 2-yr yield decreased one basis point to 2.57%, and the 10-yr yield decreased seven basis points to 2.84%. The U.S. Dollar Index fell 0.6% to 100.31. WTI crude futures increased 0.3%, or $0.33, to $102.40/bbl. 

Separately, the strength of the Dow Jones Transportation Average (+1.7%) was largely due to a 12% gain in its highest-priced component, Avis Budget (CAR 319.42, +34.07, +11.9%). CAR was upgraded to Equal Weight from Underweight at Barclays. 

Reviewing Wednesday's economic data:

  • Existing home sales decreased 2.7% month-over-month in March to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.77 million ( consensus 6.20 million) versus a downwardly revised 5.93 million (from 6.02 million) in February. Total sales in March were down 4.5% from a year ago.
    • The key takeaway from the report is that the supply of available homes for sale remains extremely tight, yet higher mortgage rates and higher inflation are contributing to a slowdown in demand rooted in affordability pressures that are expected to persist.
  • The weekly MBA Mortgage Applications Index decreased 5.0% following a 1.3% decline in the prior week.

Looking ahead, investors will receive weekly Initial and Continuing Claims, the Philadelphia Fed Index for April, and the Leading Economic Index for March on Thursday.

  • Dow Jones Industrial Average -3.2% YTD
  • S&P 500 -6.4% YTD
  • Russell 2000 -9.2% YTD
  • Nasdaq Composite -14.0% YTD