>>> Stoxx 600 Pre-Market Indications

  • Ryanair (RY4C TH) +2.5%
    • Ryanair Sees Some Relief as British Pilots Accept Pay Deal
  • Rio Tinto (RIO1 TH) +1.8%
    • Over-Optimism Among China Steel-Makers Behind Iron Ore’s Plunge
  • TUI (TUI1 TH) +1.4%
  • K+S (SDF TH) +1.3%
  • Qiagen (QIA TH) +1.3%
  • BP (BPE5 TH) +1.1%
  • Thyssenkrupp (TKA TH) +1.1%
  • Coloplast (CBHD TH) +1%
  • Kion (KGX TH) +1%
  • Freenet (FNTN TH) -0.4%
    • 1&1 Network Threat Varies, O2 Looks Most Exposed, Freenet Least
  • Unilever (UNVB TH) -0.5%

>>> TradeGate Pre-Market Indications

DAX:
  • Qiagen (QIA TH) +2.5%
  • Zalando (ZAL TH) +1.5%
  • HeidelbergCement (HEI TH) +1.3%
  • Airbus (AIR TH) +1.2%
    • EasyJet to Buy 56 Airbus A320neo Family Aircraft
  • Infineon (IFX TH) +1.1%
MDAX:
  • Aroundtown (AT1 TH) +2%
  • Thyssenkrupp (TKA TH) +1.8%
  • K+S (SDF TH) +1.3%
  • TeamViewer (TMV TH) +1.2%
  • Cancom (COK TH) +1%
  • Siemens Energy (ENR TH) -0.5%
SDAX:
  • Ceconomy (CEC TH) +2.3%
  • SAF-Holland SE (SFQ TH) +2.1%
    • Franklin Intl Small Cap Growth Adds Befesa, Exits Metrovacesa
  • Heidelberger Druck (HDD TH) +1.9%
  • DIC Asset (DIC TH) +1.7%
  • Deutsche PBB (PBB TH) +1.6%
  • flatexDEGIRO (FTK TH) +1.3%
  • VERBIO Vereinigte (VBK TH) +1.3%

FT : Roman Abramovich ally Bruce Buck stands down as Chelsea FC chair after two

Roman Abramovich ally Bruce Buck stands down as Chelsea FC chair after two decades
US lawyer will remain as special adviser to club’s new owners following last month’s £2.5bn sale

Bruce Buck, one of Roman Abramovich’s closest confidants, is stepping down as chair of Chelsea Football Club following the £2.5bn sale of the English Premier League side.

Buck, 76, would leave the role at the end of June, Chelsea said on Monday, although he would remain a senior adviser to the club’s new owners.

The US lawyer was critical to the Russian oligarch’s 2003 takeover of Chelsea and the club’s subsequent transformation into one of the top teams in European football.

The Financial Times reported in May that Buck and fellow director Marina Granovskaia had been offered the opportunity to remain in place following last month’s sale to a consortium led by US financier Todd Boehly and investment firm Clearlake Capital.

However, that plan drew a rebuke from UK Conservative MP Julian Knight, chair of the digital, culture, media and sport committee in the House of Commons.

“Any continuity with the Abramovich regime at Chelsea is certainly an unsettling development,” he said at the time.

Buck said on Monday that “now is the right time to step down and let new ownership build on the strong foundations we have in place”.

“The owners have a compelling vision for Chelsea’s future, and I look forward to helping them achieve it in this new role.”

Buck became chair of Chelsea soon after advising Abramovich on his £140mn takeover in 2003.

His history with Abramovich goes back to the 1990s. After relocating from the US, Buck was responsible for growing the European operations of US law firm Skadden Arps, Slate, Meagher & Flom. He retired from Skadden’s London office in 2014.

Skadden advised Russian oil company Sibneft when it was under Abramovich’s control. Abramovich sold his stake in Sibneft for $13bn to Russian state energy group Gazprom in 2005.

Buck played a vital role in last month’s sale of Chelsea. The UK placed Abramovich under sanctions following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, and the club was only able to continue operating thanks to a special licence granted by the government.

Boehly, co-owner of the Los Angeles Dodgers baseball team, and Clearlake acquired Chelsea for £2.5bn and also committed a further £1.75bn to invest in the club over the next decade, meeting strict conditions set by Abramovich and his negotiators.

Buck once rejected the label of “Abramovich’s right-hand man” and instead described himself as “the little-toe-on-the-left-foot man”.

FT : Activist shareholder Nelson Peltz in tussle with insurgent investors

Activist shareholder Nelson Peltz in tussle with insurgent investors
Group of asset managers demand changes on the board of Trian Investors 1 fund to ‘restore trust’

A London-listed fund linked to Nelson Peltz’s Trian Fund Management has come under pressure from a group of insurgent investors seeking to shake up its board “to improve governance and restore trust.”

Peltz, known for waging campaigns against the management of companies including consumer goods group Unilever and asset manager Janus Henderson, has found himself the target of investors demanding changes at his Trian Investors 1 fund.

A committee of investors — made up of asset managers Global Value Fund, Invesco, Janus Henderson Investors UK Limited and hedge fund Pelham Capital — has served notice to convene an extraordinary general meeting of its shareholders.

It is seeking the removal of board members Chris Sherwell, Simon Holden and Anita Rival, and the nomination of two new directors: Robert Legget, who would be independent, and Miles Staude, a portfolio manager of the Global Value Fund and representative of the committee.

The committee, along with Aegon Asset Management which has said it will back the proposals, controls 43.6 per cent of the fund’s voting share capital.

The participation of the Janus Henderson fund in the activist group puts the US asset manager in a delicate position since Peltz has been pushing for sweeping changes at the company and in February won a seat on its board.

The investors’ critique centres upon changes that were made to the company’s investment management arrangement with Trian at its AGM last June.

When Trian Investors 1 was listed in September 2018 it set out to invest into a single publicly listed target, work to improve the business and then exit the investment and return capital to shareholders. This model is similar to that employed by Edward Bramson’s activist vehicle, Sherborne Investors.

However last year, ahead of its AGM, the board of Trian Fund 1 proposed a series of changes to the investment policy that the committee believes would financially benefit the manager. Crucially, these changes would allow it to own multiple investments simultaneously, and instead of returning all capital and profits to shareholders after exiting an investment, the manager could reinvest them.

The committee believes that the board should have sounded out independent shareholders to see if the changes to the investment policy were supported. The change of investment policy was passed in a vote of 52 per cent against 48 per cent last June. Trian and the company’s financial adviser Jefferies between them owned 28.6 per cent of the company at the time of the AGM, and they voted in favour of the changes.

The committee of investors has also raised concern over whether its fees structure is appropriate. Since the IPO, it calculates that the combined returns to shareholders has been £57.6mn, and the manager has received £56.8mn in performance and management fees.

The committee also believes that Jefferies may have had a conflict of interest at the time of the vote. It was a 13.5 per cent shareholder in the company at the time of the AGM and the committee believes it has an advisory relationship with Trian and the company.

The move at Trian’s listed vehicle follows a 10-month public battle between a group of British shareholders and the New York-based activist billionaire Dan Loeb over policies to control the discount at the London-listed investment trust that serves as a feeder fund for Loeb’s main Third Point hedge fund.

The insurgent investors, led by UK fund manager Asset Value Investors, reached a truce in February when Third Point agreed to appoint an independent director nominated by the disgruntled shareholders. Global Value Fund’s Staude was also part of the activist group facing Loeb.

Trian and Jefferies did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

WSJ : Stocks Historically Don’t Bottom Out Until the Fed Eases

Stocks Historically Don’t Bottom Out Until the Fed Eases
Investors ask how long the selloff will last after the S&P 500 posts its worst week since March 2020

Another week of whipsaw stock trading has many investors wondering how much farther markets will fall.

If history is any guide, the selloff might still be in its early stages.

Investors have often blamed the Federal Reserve for market routs. It turns out the Fed has often had a hand in market turnarounds, too. Going back to 1950, the S&P 500 has sold off at least 15% on 17 occasions, according to research from Vickie Chang, a global markets strategist at Goldman Sachs Group Inc. On 11 of those 17 occasions, the stock market managed to bottom out only around the time the Fed shifted toward loosening monetary policy again.

Getting to that point may be painful. The S&P 500 has fallen 23% in 2022, marking its worst start to a year since 1932. The index declined 5.8% last week, its biggest decline since the pandemic-fueled selloff of March 2020.

And the Fed has only just gotten started. After approving its largest interest-rate increase since 1994 on Wednesday, the central bank signaled that it intends to raise rates several more times this year so it can tamp down inflation.

Tightening monetary policy, combined with inflation running at a four-decade high, has many investors fearful that the economy might go into a downturn. Data on retail sales, consumer sentiment, home construction and factory activity have all shown significant weakening in recent weeks. And while corporate earnings are strong now, analysts expect they will come under pressure in the second half of the year. A total of 417 S&P 500 companies mentioned inflation on their earnings calls for the first quarter, the highest number going back to 2010, according to FactSet.

In the coming week, investors will be parsing data including existing-home sales, consumer sentiment and new-home sales to gauge the economy’s trajectory. U.S. markets are closed Monday in observance of Juneteenth.

“I don’t think the rate of the decline in the market will continue at this pace, but the idea that we’re approaching the bottom—that’s really hard to come up with,” said David Donabedian, chief investment officer of CIBC Private Wealth US.

Mr. Donabedian said he has discouraged clients from trying to “buy the dip,” or to buy shares on discount with the expectation that the market will turn around soon. Even after a punishing selloff, stocks still don’t look cheap, he said. And earnings forecasts still look too optimistic about the future, he added.

The S&P 500 is trading at 15.4 times its next 12 months of expected earnings, according to FactSet, just a hair below its 15-year average of 15.7. Analysts currently still expect S&P 500 companies to report double-digit percentage earnings growth in the third and fourth quarters, according to FactSet.

Other investors say they are staying wary of the possibility that the Fed might have to act even more aggressively, should policy makers be surprised by another unexpectedly high inflation reading. The University of Michigan’s consumer-sentiment survey, released earlier in the month, showed that households expect inflation to run at a 3.3% pace five years from now, up from 3% in May. That marked the first increase since January. Separately, the Labor Department’s consumer-price index rose 8.6% in May from the same month a year ago, the fastest increase since 1981.

“Our feeling is that if the next inflation figure is very high again, the Fed could [raise rates] even more sharply,” said Charles-Henry Monchau, chief investment officer at Syz Bank, in emailed comments. That could put further pressure on risky assets such as stocks, he added.

When the Fed began raising interest rates again this year, it said it was hoping to pull off a soft landing, a scenario in which it slows the economy enough to rein in inflation but not so much that it triggers a recession.

Within recent weeks, many investors and analysts have become increasingly pessimistic that the Fed will be able to pull that off. Data have already shown signs of economic activity cooling. As rate increases further raise the cost of borrowing for consumers and businesses, it is difficult to envision a way in which the Fed is able to avoid a downturn, many analysts say.

The Fed’s moves “raise the risk of a recession starting this year or early next year and raises the risk frankly that they’re not going to be able to keep raising rates that long,” David Kelly, chief global strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management, said on a conference call with reporters Wednesday.

“I wouldn’t be surprised if within a year, we’re having a meeting where the Fed is considering cutting rates,” he added.


Unsurprisingly, stocks typically don’t do well during recessions. The S&P 500 has fallen a median of 24% during recessions going back to 1946, according to research from Deutsche Bank.

“If we don’t get a recession, we are getting close to extreme territory,” Deutsche Bank strategist Jim Reid wrote in a note.

The silver lining for investors is that, when the Fed begins to shift toward easing monetary policy, markets have historically responded positively and quickly—especially if the primary cause of their slide was related to central-bank policy, according to Goldman Sachs’s analysis.

What no one is sure of is when exactly the Fed will shift gears, and how much more pressure the economy might come under in the meantime.

“I expect the summer to be very choppy,” said Nancy Tengler, chief investment officer at Laffer Tengler Investments.

WWD : Inside LVMH-backed VivaTech: Blockchain, Crypto and VR Fashion Shows Are t

Inside LVMH-backed VivaTech: Blockchain, Crypto and VR Fashion Shows Are the Future
Brands discussed customer connection, creating experiences and using data to hone supply chain among at the conference.

While thousands of attendees packed Paris’ Porte de Versailles convention center for VivaTech, some of the biggest names came as cartoons, and even showed up as holograms.

Among them were Facebook parent company Meta’s outgoing chief operating officer Sheryl Sandberg, who appeared as an animated avatar in conversation with L’Oréal chief executive officer Nicolas Hieronimus, while Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelensky was beamed in Star Trek-style from his bunker in Kyiv.

The sixth edition of the four-day, LVMH-backed conference offered a very eclectic mix of brands and executives on hand to talk tech. Audi showed off its latest connected car, while Amazon and Huawei were there touting new services. L’Oréal brought its beauty brands Lancôme and Skinceuticals to make the case for virtual consultations and AR color matching for makeup, with lines of eager believers wrapping around the room, all while mixing with crypto bros and NFT evangelists.

Holographic mirrors and virtual try-on were on display, while the “Low Carbon Human Park,” where people were encouraged to chat, play chess and interact IRL, was sponsored by TikTok.

Louis Vuitton and Dior’s parent company LVMH Moët Hennessy Louis Vuitton took the term “fashion house” seriously, constructing a grand apartment with various rooms dedicated to each brand and showcasing its technology.

Speaking on stage at the Innovation Awards, LVMH chairman and CEO Bernard Arnault reminded the audience that his company started as a small business, and that ethos still runs throughout the group. He said that luxury and technology share the same core values of creativity, quality and leadership.

“Creativity is the key of the success of LVMH, and it is at the center of what you do with start-ups,” he told the rapt audience. On the point of quality, he commented that there is still “enormous progress to do” in tech areas that relate to retail, citing NFTs, which he noted are “complicated to buy,” and VR goggles, which he said are “not pleasant.” Together LVMH and start-ups can work toward solutions.

“The last value is entrepreneurship. All the start-ups here are made from entrepreneurs, and we are a family of entrepreneurs,” said Arnault. “We share the same energy, the same agility, and the same will to grow.”

Group managing director Tony Belloni said LVMH was previously reluctant to embrace e-commerce because it was associated with “value and convenience, which are not drivers of a luxurious experience.”

“We have over 5,000 stores and we love them deeply because they fully immerse the customer in the brand universe,” he sad. “The challenge is innovating the experience online in a way that we can create the same differentiation that we have created in the physical world.”

At Louis Vuitton, that means bringing special events such as fashion shows, private parties and other “non-reproducible” events to VIP customers through VR. Last month’s spectacular runway at the Salk Institute in San Diego was shown as an example of an event that could be streamed in VR. Not making the invite list or not being able to attend due to personal scheduling conflicts “generates frustration” for some customers, said Louis Vuitton demand and program director Stephan Emanuely. The new tech would allow customers to virtually attend from anywhere in the world.

Vuitton is also working on interactive technology for VIPs, where they can virtually interact with a personal sales agent “or it can be the designer” for consultations, said Emanuely. 3D renderings of shoes were also on display, so a potential buyer can see down to the stitching on their screen.

LVMH also showcased the interactive shopping system available at Dior’s Paris flagship. It operates through Apple technology and behind-the-scenes sourcing so that any product will almost instantaneously appear in front of a customer. No flipping through racks or spending a moment alone here. That system is in the process of being rolled out globally.

Bulgari displayed its Octo Finissimo, the thinnest watch in the world, and its joint NFT which cannot be separated from the timepiece. “We knew that NFTs were going up and down and we wanted to stay completely away from the hype of devaluation,” said high jewelry director Massimo de Valentini.

There was buzz around Guerlain’s crypto bees, NFTs which are tied to a rewilding project. It runs on the Tezos blockchain, which the brand says uses less energy.

LVMH is using data to hone its production and offerings across brands, group information technology director Franck Le Moal told WWD. They run what he called a data factory, with 60 dedicated data scientists and engineers to crunch numbers.

“It’s the whole value chain we are trying to target,” he said about using information to reach the group’s sustainability goals. “The more you have data and accurate forecasts, the better your footprint will be. You will not over-plan your logistics and transportation, you will reduce what you sell and you will adjust production and distribution capability so we will not overproduce. In the end it’s a strong impact on the global supply chain.

“The major impact that we are looking for in terms of supply is to downsize and making sure that we are not having to do reverse logistics because we know that reverse logistics are having a significant value impact on our carbon footprint,” he said.

LVMH brands do not currently accept crypto, but are looking at it. “We are careful,” Le Moal added.

The crypto panel with Changpeng “CZ” Zhao, the founder of crypto-currency exchange Binance, and Ethereum creator Vitalik Buterin in conversation with advertising conglomerate Publicis chair Maurice Levy, was the most anticipated event of the week. The two were treated like rock stars with whoops and cheers when they appeared on stage, or, in Buterin’s case, on screen. In one memorable moment, Levy got out of his seat to bow down to Zhao.

Both made their case for crypto despite the volatile markets that have shaken confidence in the currencies over the last few weeks. Buterin also tried to quell any environmental concerns, telling the audience Ethereum is moving from the energy-intensive “proof of work” blockchain used by Bitcoin, to the lower carbon impact “proof of stake” format. The new chain will also make the currency more scalable and accessible to the average consumer for small purchases as it will slash transaction fees.

Italian brand Pinko is one company that has jumped on the Ethereum train. Pinko executives were on hand to reveal their upcoming NFT project, which is a maze of an AR-enabled in-store installation, QR-code, online and metaverse hybrid that results in a digitally decorated handbag.

The first limited-edition drop is scheduled for October and will give buyers access to exclusive events and sales, both real and virtual. The cost is 1 Ethereum, which is roughly $1,100 at current exchange. If a customer wants to pay in local currency they’ll be turned down — it’s Ethereum only.

In more tangible currency, Mangopay, which works with retailers including La Redoute and Veepee, and customer-to-customer platforms such as Vinted, said these types of peer-to-peer marketplaces are seeing the biggest growth. “The main trend in the retail economy is the marketplace trend. For one euro spent in the e-commerce space, [the consumer] spends two in the marketplace space,” a spokesperson said.

WWD : Burberry Is Doubling Down on NFTs in the Metaverse

Burberry Is Doubling Down on NFTs in the Metaverse
The British brand is partnering with Mythical Games for a second time to launch its new NFT collection on Blankos Block Party.

LONDON — Burberry is playing a firm game when it comes to NFTs.

The British brand is partnering with Mythical Games for a second time to launch its NFT collection on Blankos Block Party, an open-world, multiplayer game, on June 22.

Last year’s limited-edition NFT vinyl toy, Sharky B, is being succeeded by a special-edition unicorn named Minny B.

The mythical creature features a spiraled horn; black mohawk hairstyle; orange tail, and set of white wings that will allow the character to explore new spaces by flight.

The unicorn is dressed in Burberry’s TB Summer Monogram, the house check incorporated with a tinge of orange. The NFT is described as a “kind, gentle, and cheeky character that melds art and creativity.”

The mascot is inspired by Burberry’s animal kingdom and the family crest that Thomas Burberry chose for his family.

The NFT collection includes boomboxes, TB sliders, lucky horseshoe necklaces, and a “Shellphone,” a seashell-inspired mobile phone accessory, which players can add to their virtual portfolio of online accessories.

Returning customers who own the character Sharky B will be rewarded with a free monogram bucket hat that’s being released soon.

Inside the game, Burberry has created a bespoke social space titled “The Oasis,” a cabana-style resort where customers can come together to connect and explore just as they would in real life.

The digital retreat features various beaches, branded sailboats and monogrammed sun loungers inspired by the house’s takeovers in Saint-Tropez, South Korea, Singapore and Ibiza.

In the wider world, conversations around NFTs still garner raised eyebrows. “Last year when we were trying to tell people that we’re going to take a heritage coat and stick it on a shark wearing armbands for a video game, even when I say it like that, it sounds quite far-fetched,” said Rachel Waller, vice president of channel innovation at Burberry.

The research for growing Burberry’s metaverse has started internally with Waller opening her door for feedback with “people inside the business who invariably are quite committed to these spaces.”

“People still think it’s going to be a very young male consumer who engages with this stuff, but actually we see quite a breadth of different ages and women are also picking this up a lot more because it’s clearly an overlapping passion with our customers,” added Waller.

Nikkei : Japan to fine Meta, Twitter if they keep neglecting domestic registry

Japan to fine Meta, Twitter if they keep neglecting domestic registry
Google, other overseas IT giants also have been asked to register global HQs

TOKYO -- The Japanese government is set to levy fines against overseas IT giants that have failed to register their overseas headquarters in Japan, Nikkei has learned. A total of 48 companies, including Twitter, Facebook-owner Meta and Google, were asked to register by the end of March, but it is thought that some have still not complied. With more countries stepping up regulations on IT giants to protect users, Japan is looking to enact its own strict measures.

In early June, the Ministry of Justice reiterated its request that some companies register their global headquarters in Japan by June 13. The ministry said that it would ask courts to fine the companies if they still have no intention of registering.

If IT companies have their headquarters registered in Japan, consumers would have an easier time filing lawsuits when problems, such as defamation on social media websites, occur. The government believes proper registration is essential to protect consumers.

Japan's corporate code requires overseas companies doing business in the country on a continuous basis to register a headquarters in Japan. Overseas IT companies maintain that they are providing their services through the internet and are not continuously developing their business by establishing bases in Japan. These companies also appear to have insisted they believe it is enough to register their Japan-based units, such as those handling marketing operations.

The companies are also less likely to register because of the small correctional fine of 1 million yen ($7,400).

However, the 48 companies that the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communication and the Justice Ministry requested to register have all posted notice of their business operations based on the revised telecommunications act that took effect in 2021. The government has determined that the companies have been doing business continuously in Japan and that their unregistered status is a violation of their obligations under Japanese law.

According to the Commercial Affairs Division of the Ministry of Justice, "multiple companies" have completed registration. Neither Meta nor Twitter appeared to have registered by June 15, and both companies declined to comment.

Overseas IT companies are thought to be holding off on registering in Japan over concerns about an increased corporate tax burden. To address this, the Justice Ministry allows for a system in which a company's tax burden does not increase if the authority of its agent in Japan is limited. Some companies did not meet the deadline of June 13 but informed the Justice Ministry of their intention to register. The ministry's policy is to hold off on penalizing these companies.