Challenges : Avec Air Liquide, Safran veut renforcer sa présence dans le domaine

Avec Air Liquide, Safran veut renforcer sa présence dans le domaine militaire
Safran est entré en "négociations exclusives" avec Air Liquide pour acquérir ses activités de génération d'oxygène à bord des avions, a annoncé ce jeudi l'équipementier aéronautique. Si elle aboutit, cette opération doit lui permettre de se renforcer dans le segment militaire.

Safran lorgne sur Air Liquide. Le groupe industriel et technologique français a annoncé ce jeudi 1er juin être entré en "négociations exclusives" pour acquérir les activités de génération d'oxygène à bord des avions d'Air Liquide. Celles-ci emploient un peu plus de 200 personnes basées à Sassenage (Isère) et représentent un chiffre d'affaires de plus de 40 millions d'euros, indique Safran dans un communiqué, sans préciser le montant de la transaction envisagée.

"Un marché très complémentaire"
Numéro un mondial des systèmes d'oxygène pour l'équipage et les passagers, Safran conçoit déjà des systèmes de fourniture d'oxygène pour les pilotes (masques et bouteilles d'oxygène) et pour les passagers via un procédé de génération chimique. Mais avec les activités d'Air Liquide, le groupe compte "acquérir une brique technologique supplémentaire dans un marché très complémentaire", a affirmé à l'AFP, Sébastien Weber, président de Safran Aerosystems.

Cette opération doit notamment permettre à Safran de se renforcer dans le segment militaire. "Quand vous avez le masque jaune qui tombe et que vous tirez dessus, en fait vous venez percuter une cartouche chimique et c'est la réaction chimique qui crée de l'oxygène", a encore expliqué Sébastien Weber. Mais les activités d'Air Liquide ciblées sont des génératrices d'oxygène, appelées Obogs, grâce auxquelles le gaz est "généré directement à partir de l'air du moteur", a-t-il détaillé. "C'est une application aujourd'hui purement militaire qui peut s'adresser aux avions de combat et aux avions de transport militaire, qu'ils soient français, européens ou américains", selon lui.

Outre les Obogs, qui représentent plus des deux tiers de l'activité en cours d'acquisition, la transaction doit également comprendre la production de cagoules antifumée destinées à l'équipage.

L'opération, qui doit être soumise pour information aux instances du personnel des deux sociétés et faire l'objet des "autorisations réglementaires usuelles", doit aboutir "début 2024".

Glitz : Hermès tente de colmater la dernière brèche de son capital

Hermès tente de colmater la dernière brèche de son capital

Les trois familles actionnaires d'Hermès s'efforcent de ramener dans le giron du sellier Nicolas Puech, le dernier petit-fils d'Emile Hermès qui n'est pas encore associé aux holdings de contrôle. Une initiative diplomatico-patrimoniale visant aussi à couper le dernier circuit permettant encore aux héritiers de céder des titres du groupe.

C'est un pas de deux hésitant, entamé il y a quelques mois et dont l'issue reste encore largement incertaine. A Sion, la petite ville du Valais suisse où il réside une partie de l'année, Nicolas Puech, seul descendant d'Emile Hermès à ne pas être associé aux sociétés familiales du groupe éponyme, a entrepris un lent rapprochement avec ses cousins.

 

Jusqu'alors, le frère de l'ancien DRH d'Hermès, Bertrand Puech, faisait bande à part. A la fin des années 2000, lorsque le groupe avait fait l'objet d'un raid de LVMH, Nicolas Puech avait même prêté une partie des 5,7 % du capital dont il dispose au géant du luxe afin de lui permettre de monter au capital du sellier (Glitz du 13/10/22). Lorsqu'en 2014, l'opération de LVMH s'était finalement soldée par un échec, il avait refusé d'apporter ses titres à H51 et H2, les deux structures familiales mises en place pour prévenir d'autres raids. Depuis, Hermès comptabilise ses titres dans une catégorie spéciale, labellisée "autres membres du groupe familial Hermès".

 

Nouveau conseil pour Nicolas Puech

Agé de 80 ans et dépourvu d'héritier, Nicolas Puech a récemment mandaté un notaire rattaché à un cabinet du Valais, l'Etude du Ritz, pour le conseiller sur sa situation patrimoniale. Une petite révolution : depuis plus de trente ans, c'est le Suisse Eric Freymond, à la fois ami, conseiller et gestionnaire de fortune de Nicolas Puech, qui était l'interlocuteur incontournable de ce dernier sur toutes les questions en la matière.

 

Mais sa mise en examen pour "faux et usage de faux" en France en 2019, révélée par Glitz.paris (16/03/23) et activement combattue par Freymond, est venue compliquer la relation entre les deux hommes, ce d'autant plus qu'elle découle d'un dépôt de plainte… d'Hermès. Le mandat d'Eric Freymond au conseil d'administration de la Fondation Nicolas Puech (Glitz du 12/01/23) doit en outre expirer l'an prochain.

 

Opérations sous couverture

Un relâchement des liens entre Eric Freymond et Nicolas Puech, assorti d'un rapprochement entre ce dernier et les trois familles qui contrôlent Hermès, les Puech, les Dumas et les Guerrand, permettrait au groupe de luxe de colmater la dernière fragilité de son capital. Car le maintien de l'héritier réfractaire hors des structures familiales en fait le vecteur idéal et discret pour tous les membres de la famille qui souhaitent céder des actions. Passé de 250 € à près de 2 000 € en dix ans, le titre Hermès est en effet devenu un actif hautement valorisable.

 

Durant la tentative de prise de contrôle d'Hermès par LVMH, Eric Freymond, qui dispose d'une délégation de gestion sur plusieurs comptes de Nicolas Puech, notamment au sein des banques Lombard Odier et Pictet, a usé de ces comptes pour racheter des titres à plusieurs héritiers d'Emile Hermès. Vue de l'extérieur, l'opération paraissait être une vente d'actions au sein de la famille - en réalité, les parts ainsi achetées venaient grossir celle du groupe de Bernard Arnault. Chacune de ces opérations, menées sous couverture, est complaisamment détaillée dans la plainte qu'a déposée, puis retirée en 2019, Eric Freymond contre LVMH, et dont Glitz.paris a révélé l'existence (23/03/23, 27/03/23 et 30/03/23).

 

Dans ce document, Eric Freymond précise comment, grâce à sa proximité avec le banquier Marc Brune, gestionnaire de fortune d'Hubert Guerrand, il a acheté en 2001 à cet héritier Hermès décédé en 2016 quelque 180 000 actions représentant 1 % du capital. La plainte de Freymond indique que l'opération a été renouvelée à de nombreuses reprises. Selon ses dires, le financier suisse a par ailleurs monté un prêt de 35 millions d'euros au bénéfice de l'arrière-petit-fils d'Emile Hermès, Pierre-Alexis Dumas, garanti par 200 000 actions Hermès, qui seront finalement acquises par LVMH. Il a fait de même, à hauteur de 10 millions d'euros, avec les membres de la famille Guerrand exilés au Maroc et au Portugal.

 

Colmater les fuites

Pour mettre fin à ce goutte-à-goutte d'actions qui empêche le groupe de sécuriser durablement son capital, les responsables d'Emile Hermès SAS, la société familiale en commandite qui gère Hermès International, tentent donc de réintégrer Nicolas Puech. Cette opération aurait mécaniquement pour conséquence de l'éloigner de son conseil historique, Eric Freymond.

 

D'ores et déjà, et depuis l'année dernière, les trois familles actionnaires travaillent, comme l'a détaillé Glitz.paris, à mutualiser la gestion des patrimoines familiaux dans des sociétés communes (Glitz du 06/04/23).

Laurent Chekroun​
Equity Sales
Makor Securities London Ltd. | Makor Group
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FT : US defence chief warns incidents with China’s military could ‘spiral out of

US defence chief warns incidents with China’s military could ‘spiral out of control’
Lloyd Austin calls for greater dialogue after Beijing refuses meeting at Shangri-La security forum

US defence secretary Lloyd Austin has called on Beijing to resume bilateral security talks, warning that incidents could “spiral out of control” if China’s military continues to take provocative action in international waters and airspace.

At a news conference in Tokyo, Austin said it was “unfortunate” that Beijing declined the Pentagon’s request for him to meet China’s defence minister Li Shangfu at a security forum in Singapore this week.

“I’m concerned about . . . having an incident that could very, very quickly spiral out of control,” Austin said following a meeting with his Japanese counterpart Yasukazu Hamada on Thursday. “I think defence departments should be talking to each other on a routine basis.”

The warning comes as Austin prepares to attend the Shangri-La Dialogue security forum in Singapore, where the issue of dangerous manoeuvres is likely to be a subject of discussion. The Pentagon on Tuesday accused a Chinese fighter jet of making an “unnecessarily aggressive manoeuvre” near a US military aircraft over the South China Sea last week.

Ahead of the same forum a year ago, the US raised concerns about the rising number of incidents of Chinese aircraft allegedly conducting alarming operations in the vicinity of US, Canadian and Australian aircraft. US officials had raised the issue with their counterparts when Austin met then-Chinese defence minister Wei Fenghe. 

“We are deeply concerned by the PRC’s [People’s Republic of China] coercive behaviour and its attempts to undermine the rules-based international order,” said Austin.

US defence officials have warned that the lack of engagement between the militaries amid rising geopolitical tensions means that they do not have a crisis communications mechanism in the event of an accident at sea or in the air. In 2001, a US spy plane collided with a Chinese fighter jet off the coast of Hainan Island, forcing the American aircraft to make an emergency landing.

Hamada also stressed the importance of maintaining dialogue with China, pointing to the defence hotline Tokyo and Beijing began operating last month to minimise the risk of accidental confrontation between their militaries, according to a defence ministry official.

Beijing has rejected a meeting between Austin and Li at the Shangri-La Dialogue this year because the US has not lifted sanctions against its top defence official.

The Trump administration imposed sanctions against Li in 2018 in connection with China buying Russian fighters and missiles. The Pentagon had previously informed Beijing that the sanctions did not prohibit a meeting in Singapore, but Chinese officials have said it would be inappropriate while the sanctions remain in place.

The US and Japan on Thursday also discussed working together to develop hypersonic missile defence capabilities using interceptors and strengthening cyber security, intelligence and surveillance using drones. Austin said the countries would also co-operate on defence supply chains to deepen ties between their industrial bases.

A day after a failed North Korean attempt to launch a reconnaissance satellite into space, Hamada said the sides agreed to strengthen training and other areas of co-operation with allies including South Korea and Australia.

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 1st of June 2023 V2(+)

>>> Up
* Aramis Raised to Neutral at BNPP Exane; PT 5 euros
* Chevron Raised to Outperform at RBC; PT $180
* ConvaTec Raised to Overweight at Morgan Stanley; PT 250 pence
* Drax PT Raised to 1,200 pence from 1,050 pence at RBC
* F-Secure Raised to Accumulate at Inderes; PT 3.20 euros
* Heidelberg Materials AG Raised to Overweight at JPMorgan
* Ipsos Raised to Buy at Gilbert Dupont; PT 62 euros (+)
* Lapwall Raised to Buy at Inderes; PT 4 euros
* Mediobanca Raised to Buy at Jefferies; PT 12.40 euros
* Neste Raised to Buy at UBS; PT 46 euros
* Wolters Kluwer Raised to Outperform at BNPP Exane; PT 125 euros

>>> Down
* Aryzta Cut to Add at Baader Helvea; PT 1.70 Swiss francs
* C3.ai Cut to Neutral at DA Davidson; PT $30
* Cheniere Energy Partners LP Cut to Underperform at Wolfe; PT $43
* Coloplast Cut to Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley; PT 950 kroner
* Exxon Cut to Sector Perform at RBC; PT $125
* Fortum Cut to Neutral at JPMorgan; PT 13.50 euros
* Johnson Controls Cut to Equal-Weight at Barclays; PT $70


>>> Initiation
* Cloudberry Clean Energy Rated New Buy at DNB Markets
* Elisa Re-Initiated Buy at Berenberg; PT 59 euros
* Tele2 Re-Initiated Hold at Berenberg; PT 104 kronor
* Telia Re-Initiated Buy at Berenberg; PT 29 kronor

>>> Call
* Bernstein Strategists Prefer Europe to US on Valuation, Earnings (+)
* Elisa, Telia Favored by Berenberg in Nordic Telcos, Tele2 Hold
* European Cement Stock Outlook Improving, Heidelberg Raised: JPM (+)
* MS Now Prefers ConvaTec Over Coloplast in Chronic Care Sector
* Mediobanca Raised as ‘All-Weather’ Italian Bank Play: Jefferies

>>> Stoxx 600 Pre-Market Indications

  • Heidelberg Materials AG (HEI TH) +2.6%
    • European Cement Stock Outlook Improving, Heidelberg Raised: JPM
  • Commerzbank (CBK TH) +2.4%
  • Neste (NEF TH) +1.9%
    • Neste Raised at UBS as Margins Can Be Supported Outside Sweden
  • Evonik (EVK TH) +1.8%
  • ConvaTec (2CV TH) +1.6%
    • ConvaTec Raised to Overweight at Morgan Stanley; PT 250 pence
  • Elisa (EIA TH) +1.3%
    • Elisa Re-Initiated Buy at Berenberg; PT 59 euros
  • Stellantis (8TI TH) +1.3%
  • ASML (ASME TH) +1.2%
  • Renault (RNL TH) +1.2%
  • Puma (PUM TH) +1.1%
  • Siemens Healthineers (SHL TH) -0.3%
  • SAP (SAP TH) -0.3%
    • Watch European Software Stocks After Salesforce Falls on Outlook
  • Sartorius (SRT3 TH) -0.4%
  • Talanx (TLX TH) -0.5%
  • Rheinmetall (RHM TH) -0.7%

>>> TradeGate Pre-Market Indications

DAX:
  • Heidelberg Materials AG (HEI TH) +2.9%
    • Heidelberg Materials AG Raised to Overweight at JPMorgan
  • Deutsche Bank (DBK TH) +1.2%
  • Daimler Truck (DTG TH) +1.1%
  • SAP (SAP TH) -0.4%
    • Watch European Software Stocks After Salesforce Falls on Outlook
MDAX:
  • Aroundtown (AT1 TH) +1.7%
  • Puma (PUM TH) +1.3%
  • Thyssenkrupp (TKA TH) +1.1%
  • Hugo Boss (BOSS TH) +1%
SDAX:
  • DIC Asset (DIC TH) +1.9%
    • DIC Asset Investor Raised Voting Rights to 5.62% on May 29
  • SFC Energy (F3C TH) +1.3%
  • Traton (8TRA TH) +1.2%
  • SUSE (SUSE TH) -1%

The Information : How Activists Proved to be Salesforce’s ‘Superpower’

How Activists Proved to be Salesforce’s ‘Superpower’

These corporate efficiency initiatives really work! Salesforce’s April-quarter earnings report Wednesday showed an operating profit of $412 million, a 5% margin, compared with $20 million a year earlier, which equated to a margin of 0.27%. The reason was lower expenses—research and development costs fell 8.4% while marketing expenses dropped 6.5%—even as revenue rose 11%. Cutting costs to lift profits is about as basic a concept as there is in business. But it’s significant for Salesforce, which, as CEO Marc Benioff made plain earlier this year, hadn’t previously focused on operating efficiently.

Unfortunately, he may be drawing the wrong lesson from the improvement. In his typical superlative-laden commentary, Benioff credited “these incredible numbers” to Salesforce’s “superpower,” its “Ohana culture”—also known as Salesforce’s support system for staffers. Ah—no. This improvement is entirely a result of the pressure activist investors such as Elliott Management exerted on Salesforce management earlier this year. So the real lesson is that Salesforce has been managed lazily for years. It’s great to see that changing. But the fact that Benioff is now running a company the way it always should have been run is hardly cause for self-congratulatory celebration. For more on the results see here.

Investors now have reason to worry about Salesforce’s top-line growth, which the company is projecting to be just 10% this year, well below a company average of 26% over the past decade, according to data from S&P Global Market Intelligence. Much of that slowdown is due to corporate customers spending money more carefully amid macroeconomic jitters. But it’s surely no coincidence that such a slowdown also follows the shuttering of Salesforce’s company acquisition engine, which juiced revenue growth over the past decade at a cost to margins.

Salesforce executives say they are taking steps to make everyone more productive. That’s heartening, more so than Benioff’s decision on tonight’s call to talk endlessly about the potential of generative artificial intelligence technologies to transform the corporate world, leading to what he predicted would be a new “supercycle” of business for tech companies generally—including Salesforce. The not-subtle message was that revenue growth will surge again, thanks to ChatGPT. That may very well happen. Then again, we are in a hype cycle around AI, and Benioff is not one to understate anything. Lots of tech companies are looking to cash in on the technology. Salesforce investors probably shouldn’t bet the farm on AI transforming the company just yet.

Take a Breather
Is this year’s cybersecurity rally too good to be true? That may have been what CrowdStrike and Okta shareholders were thinking late Wednesday afternoon as they sold off both companies’ stocks after each reported its latest earnings. Both companies did what any public firm aspires to do every quarter: They exceeded the guidance they previously gave for the quarter, and raised their full-year revenue outlook. And yet shares of CrowdStrike and Okta sank roughly 11% and 16%, respectively, after hours.

In CrowdStrike’s case, that sell-off followed a decent rally so far this year: As of Wednesday’s close, the stock was up around 55% since Jan. 1. So you could argue investors may have been sensitive to sobering news of any kind. The company’s net new annual recurring revenue came in at the lowest level since the October quarter of 2021, which may have disappointed them. In Okta’s case, the stock was up nearly 31% year to date before it reported, but investors may have been spooked by CEO Todd McKinnon’s comments in the earnings report that “macroeconomic pressures are increasing.”

There was collateral damage, too. Zscaler and SentinelOne, two other cybersecurity software companies whose stocks are up roughly 23% and 47% year to date, also dropped after hours. Those companies report earnings tomorrow. Be sure to read tomorrow’s newsletter to see how they fared.

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 1st of June 2023

>>> Up
* Aramis Raised to Neutral at BNPP Exane; PT 5 euros
* Chevron Raised to Outperform at RBC; PT $180
* ConvaTec Raised to Overweight at Morgan Stanley; PT 250 pence
* Drax PT Raised to 1,200 pence from 1,050 pence at RBC
* F-Secure Raised to Accumulate at Inderes; PT 3.20 euros
* Heidelberg Materials AG Raised to Overweight at JPMorgan
* Lapwall Raised to Buy at Inderes; PT 4 euros
* Mediobanca Raised to Buy at Jefferies; PT 12.40 euros
* Neste Raised to Buy at UBS; PT 46 euros
* Wolters Kluwer Raised to Outperform at BNPP Exane; PT 125 euros

>>> Down
* Aryzta Cut to Add at Baader Helvea; PT 1.70 Swiss francs
* C3.ai Cut to Neutral at DA Davidson; PT $30
* Cheniere Energy Partners LP Cut to Underperform at Wolfe; PT $43
* Coloplast Cut to Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley; PT 950 kroner
* Exxon Cut to Sector Perform at RBC; PT $125
* Fortum Cut to Neutral at JPMorgan; PT 13.50 euros
* Johnson Controls Cut to Equal-Weight at Barclays; PT $70


>>> Initiation
* Cloudberry Clean Energy Rated New Buy at DNB Markets
* Elisa Re-Initiated Buy at Berenberg; PT 59 euros
* Tele2 Re-Initiated Hold at Berenberg; PT 104 kronor
* Telia Re-Initiated Buy at Berenberg; PT 29 kronor

>>> Call
* Elisa, Telia Favored by Berenberg in Nordic Telcos, Tele2 Hold
* MS Now Prefers ConvaTec Over Coloplast in Chronic Care Sector
* Mediobanca Raised as ‘All-Weather’ Italian Bank Play: Jefferies