>>> US Gapping down

Gapping down
In reaction to earnings/guidance
:
  • CMBM -31.7% (lowers Q3 revenue guidance), MXCT -21.7% (weak guidance), RGP -10.9%, ACCD -7.7%, CLX -4.1% (weak SepQ guidance; previously announced cybersecurity attack caused wide-scale disruptions), STZ -2.1%, BKE -1.6% (Sep comps), CAG -1.1%
Other news:
  • RIVN -9% (proposes $1.5 bln aggregate principal amount of green convertible senior notes due 2030)
  • HRTG -5.1% (reports Q3 catastrophe losses)
  • MRCY -1.5% (files mixed shelf securities offering)
  • PTEN -1.5% (reports drilling activity for Sept)
  • MATV -1.5% (entered into a final binding and irrevocable offer letter for Evergreen Hill Enterprise to acquire the Company's Engineered Papers business for $620 million in cash)
  • PGY -1.3% (files $500 mln mixed shelf securities offering)
  • SU -1.3% (TTE to sell to SU the entirety of the shares of TotalEnergies EP Canada)
  • COP -1.2% (TTE finalizes sale to COP of its 50% interest in Surmont oil sands)
  • XOM -1.1% (details items that will impact Q3 results)
Analyst comments:
  • CARR -2.9% (downgraded to Underperform from Neutral at BofA Securities)
  • BFH -2.1% (downgraded to Neutral from Buy at BofA Securities)
  • CNI -1.4% (downgraded to Neutral from Buy at BofA Securities)
  • COO -1% (downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Redburn Atlantic)

>>> US Gapping up

Gapping up
In reaction to earnings/guidance
:
  • VFS +5.3%, CAL +1.4% (guidance)
Other news:
  • ORTX +96.6% (to be acquired by Kyowa Kirin for $16.00 per ADS in cash plus an additional contingent value right of $1.00 per ADS)
  • VNET +5.1% (Announces Results of 2023 Extraordinary General Meeting)
  • ALXO +4.7% (had approximately $196.5 million of cash cash equivalents and short-term and long-term investments as of September 30 2023)
  • OSTK +4.6% (Director disclosed the purchase of 33.000 shares at $14.83 - $15.06 worth more than $493K)
  • VCYT +4.3% (presents new data from phase 3 trial for Decipher Prostate Genomic Classifier)
  • BB +3.3% (to separate IoT and Cybersecurity units into two independently-operated entities)
  • QURE +3.3% (announced a strategic reorganization aimed at reducing operating expenses)
  • PFMT +3% (awarded contract by NY state)
  • APLS +2.9% (provides an update on the launch of SYFOVRE for geographic atrophy secondary to age-related macular degeneration)
  • ASLE +2.4% (updates status of AerAware certification by the FAA)
  • HR +2.3% (publishes investor day presentation and provides update on asset sales and new leasing momentum)
  • PSNY +2.3% (reports its global deliveries for the third quarter)
  • MNOV +2% (receives gene therapy milestone payment)
  • KAMN +1.9% (wins US Army contract)
  • CSTL +1.7% (DecisionDx-Melanoma outperforms Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center nomogram in predicting sentinel lymph node positivity in patients with cutaneous melanoma)
  • NBIX +1.2% (Phase 3 Pediatric Study Results of Crinecerfont in Children and Adolescents for the Treatment of Congenital Adrenal Hyperplasia Met Primary and Key Secondary Endpoints)
Analyst comments:
  • UWMC +2.1% (upgraded to Buy from Neutral at BTIG Research)
  • PH +1.7% (upgraded to Buy from Neutral at BofA Securities)
  • TV +1.7% (upgraded to Buy from Neutral at BofA Securities)
  • BECN +1% (upgraded to Outperform from Sector Perform at RBC Capital Mkts)

>>> US Early premarket gappers

Early premarket gappers
  • Gapping up:
    • ORTX +95.6%, VCYT +4.3%, BB +4%, PFMT +3%, ASLE +2.4%, ALXO +2.2%, MNOV +2%, KAMN +1.9%, ITT +1.7%
  • Gapping down:
    • CMBM -28.3%, MXCT -22.9%, ACCD -9.2%, RIVN -8.9%, RGP -8.5%, YOU -4.9%, CLX -4.4%, HRTG -4.3%, PGY -3.9%, GRTS -2.7%, MRCY -1.5%, XOM -1.2%, TTE -1%, SU -0.8%, COP -0.7%

WSJ : FTX Employees Found Alameda’s Secret Backdoor Months Before Collapse

FTX Employees Found Alameda’s Secret Backdoor Months Before Collapse
The crypto exchange allowed Alameda to have a negative balance of up to $65 billion, prosecutors say

Months before the collapse of FTX, some of its U.S.-based employees discovered the so-called backdoor that Alameda Research allegedly used to withdraw billions of dollars of customer funds from the cryptocurrency exchange, people familiar with the matter said.

The employees who made the discovery reported it to the boss of their division, who discussed it with one of FTX founder Sam Bankman-Fried’s lieutenants, some of the people said.

But the problem never got fixed. In the summer of 2022, the leader of the team that raised concerns about Alameda’s special privileges was fired.

The backdoor figures prominently in the case against Bankman-Fried, whose trial on criminal charges of fraud began in a New York federal court this week. The former head of FTX has pleaded not guilty to all charges.

Prosecutors say Bankman-Fried stole funds from FTX customers, in part, by secretly ordering the programming of “special features” that gave Alameda—his crypto trading firm—the ability to treat FTX as a giant slush fund. Court filings have revealed a line buried deep in FTX’s code that allowed Alameda to have a negative balance of as much as $65 billion on the exchange.

Normal users couldn’t go negative on FTX. They were subject to an automatic liquidation process, in which FTX sold off their assets if their balances fell below zero. But that didn’t apply to Alameda.

In the spring of 2022, a small group of employees digging through FTX’s computer code found some of those special features. They were working for LedgerX, a small U.S. crypto-derivatives exchange that FTX had acquired the previous year. They were examining whether the code for FTX’s main international exchange, based in the Bahamas, could be used in the U.S., where regulations were much tighter.

“Just wanted to point out that there are currently a few places in the…code base where Alameda gets special treatment in one way or another,” Jim Outen, a LedgerX employee, wrote in a May 5, 2022, message viewed by The Wall Street Journal.

His boss, LedgerX Chief Risk Officer Julie Schoening, replied that “there are less rigid rules” on the offshore exchange, adding: “but yea we should clean up this sort of stuff.”

The LedgerX team unearthed several problematic practices with how FTX managed risk and handled liquidations, including Alameda’s ability to go negative and its exemption from normal auto-liquidation procedures, the people said. The team was led by Schoening, a Ph.D. in physics who had previously worked at the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, where she analyzed high-frequency trading and market manipulation.

At the time, the significance of the discovery wasn’t fully clear to the LedgerX employees. FTX was still a respected crypto exchange, and it would still be half a year before it imploded, revealing the misuse of customer funds.

Still, their team’s leader was sufficiently worried about Alameda’s treatment that she reported it up the chain of command. Schoening raised concerns about her team’s discoveries with her boss, LedgerX head Zach Dexter, people familiar with the matter said.

Dexter later discussed the auto-liquidation problem with Nishad Singh, FTX’s director of engineering and a member of Bankman-Fried’s inner circle, the people said. Dexter believed that problem was fixed after Singh removed a section of code, one of these people said.

A spokesman for Miami International Holdings, the company that bought LedgerX earlier this year, said in a written statement: “Following a thorough internal investigation, LedgerX has found no evidence that any of its employees were aware of any reported code enabling Alameda to take FTX customer assets, and firmly denies any contrary allegation.”

Singh has pleaded guilty to fraud and is expected to testify against Bankman-Fried at his trial. Prosecutors say Singh knew about FTX’s special treatment of Alameda and helped program it.

In early August 2022, Schoening was fired. The termination came after some FTX executives circulated a document containing what were purported to be screenshots of inappropriate messages she had sent to other employees, people familiar with the matter said. Some of the people said the messages were doctored or taken out of context, and suggested that Schoening irritated her bosses by identifying problems with FTX’s risk management.

Lisa Banks, a lawyer for Schoening, said: “I am unable to comment on this matter.”

FTX sometimes paid off “whistleblowers who threatened to expose the true fraudulent nature of the FTX Group enterprise,” according to a June court filing from the management team that has been steering the crypto exchange through bankruptcy.

Schoening hired the lawyer Banks, who threatened to sue over Schoening’s termination, the people said. The two sides hashed out a $5 million settlement but hadn’t completed the paperwork for the deal when FTX collapsed in November, two of these people said.

The spokesman for Miami International declined to comment on the reasons for Schoening’s firing. He confirmed that she is subject to a nondisclosure agreement.

FT : Alstom shares plunge 37% on cash flow warning

Alstom shares plunge 37% on cash flow warning
French maker of high-speed trains blames increase in inventory build-up and delivery delays

Alstom shares plunged as much as 37 per cent on Thursday morning after the French maker of high-speed trains slashed its forecast for free cash flow as a UK project and other deliveries were delayed.

The group now expects negative free cash flow of €500mn to €750mn this year, a reversal from its earlier prediction that it would be “significantly positive”, it said in a statement on Wednesday evening. Shares were down 34 per cent to €14.2 in Paris, valuing the company at €5.46bn.

Alstom pinned some of the blame on a big increase in inventory build-up and delivery delays particularly in the US and Europe.

It said about half the impact had come from increasing production to meet new orders. “This, combined with tight supply chain conditions, resulted in a significant increase in the level of inventories and contract assets built in order to avoid production disruption and delivery delays during the first half of the year, particularly in Americas and in Europe,” it said.

A third of the cash flow squeeze stemmed from delays in completing the Aventra programme in the UK, an electric train project that it took on with the purchase of Bombardier Transportation of Canada in 2020, the company said. Alstom also suffered from a decrease in downpayments because of weaker than expected orders in the first half of the fiscal year.

The hit to cash flow is “a major blow to management’s credibility”, noted Gael de-Bray, an analyst at Deutsche Bank. Alstom’s investment grade rating “now looks at risk, with a capital increase becoming increasingly likely”.

Alstom agreed to buy Bombardier’s train unit in a deal worth close to €7.5bn, as it sought to bulk up in the face of rising Chinese competition and growing demand in Europe. A year earlier, EU antitrust regulators blocked a merger with Germany’s Siemens.

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 5th of October 2023 V2(+)

>>> Up
* Abrdn plc Raised to Buy at Panmure Gordon; PT 250 pence
* Arjo Raised to Buy at ABG; PT 59 kronor
* Alstom Reiterates with Overweight, price target: €36 at JPMorgan Chase and Co
* Bachem Raised to Buy at Research Partners; PT 85 Swiss francs
* Carlsberg Raised to Hold at Kepler Cheuvreux (+)
* Heineken Raised to Buy at Kepler Cheuvreux (+)
* Lonza Raised to Hold at Intron Health; PT 465 Swiss francs
* Pernod Ricard Raised to Hold at Kepler Cheuvreux (+)
* SMA Solar Raised to Outperform at Oddo BHF (+)

>>> Down
* Bakkafrost Cut to Hold at DNB Markets; PT 525 kroner
* Britvic Cut to Hold at Kepler Cheuvreux (+)
* Gresham House Cut to Hold at Panmure Gordon; PT 1,105 pence
* Marriott Vacations Cut to Hold at Jefferies; PT $112
* Verbund Cut to Hold at Erste Group; PT 79.50 euros
* WithSecure Cut to Hold at SEB Equities; PT 1.10 euros

>>> Initiation
* Elekta Reinstated Underweight at Barclays; PT 70 kronor
* Delfingen Ind Rated New Buy at Gilbert Dupont; PT 70 euros (+)
* Mandatum Rated New Neutral at Goldman; PT 3.30 euros (+)
* Sandoz Group Rated New Overweight at Morgan Stanley
* Sandoz Group Rated New Overweight at JPMorgan (+)
* Straumann Reinstated Overweight at Barclays; PT 153 Swiss francs
* VBG Group Rated New Buy at Nordea; PT 270 kronor
* Vodafone Resumed Neutral at Citi

>>> Call
* Deutsche Bank Strategists See Subdued Earnings Season in Europe (+)
* Imperial Brands Shares Should See Some Relief: Morgan Stanley (+)
* Lonza Loses Only Sell as Intron Sees Risks Now Better Reflected
* Only a Stocks Crash Can Rescue the Bond Market, Barclays Says

>>> Stoxx 600 Pre-Market Indications

  • Imperial Brands (ITB TH) +2.1%
    • Imperial Brands Announces Further £1.1b Share Buyback
  • Bawag (0B2 TH) +1.8%
  • Orsted (D2G TH) +1.5%
  • Adyen (1N8 TH) +1.3%
  • Nel (D7G TH) +1.3%
  • Tomra (TMRA TH) +1.3%
  • ASML (ASME TH) +1%
  • Evotec SE (EVT TH) +0.9%
    • Evotec and partners announce the launch of 65LAB to advance drug discovery and the creation of new therapeutics companies in Singapore
  • Siemens Energy (ENR TH) +0.9%
  • Intesa Sanpaolo (IES TH) +0.9%
  • Rolls-Royce (RRU TH) -0.3%
  • Shell (R6C0 TH) -0.3%
  • Eni (ENI TH) -0.4%
    • Saudi Decision Keeps Tighter Narrative as Oil Falls Below $90
  • Knorr-Bremse (KBX TH) -0.5%
  • Verbund (OEWA TH) -0.6%
    • Ruling Against Verbund Price Hike Upheld by Higher Court: APA
  • TotalEnergies (TOTB TH) -0.6%
  • Acciona (AJ3 TH) -0.8%
  • HelloFresh (HFG TH) -2.1%
  • Gerresheimer (GXI TH) -3.9%
    • Gerresheimer 3Q Adjusted Ebitda Meets Estimates
  • Alstom (AOMD TH) -22%
    • Alstom Cash Flow, Delayed Orders Seen as Key Focus: Street Wrap

>>> TradeGate Pre-Market Indications

DAX:
  • Vonovia (VNA TH) +1.2%
    • Germany’s Property Meltdown Claims Its First Big Victims
  • Siemens Energy (ENR TH) +1.1%
  • Zalando (ZAL TH) +1%
  • BASF (BAS TH) +0.8%
  • Deutsche Telekom (DTE TH) +0.8%
MDAX:
  • SMA Solar (S92 TH) +18%
    • SMA Solar Boosts FY Sales Forecast
  • Nordex (NDX1 TH) +2.2%
  • Evotec SE (EVT TH) +2%
  • Lanxess (LXS TH) +1.3%
  • Thyssenkrupp (TKA TH) +1.1%
  • HelloFresh (HFG TH) -1.1%
  • Gerresheimer (GXI TH) -3.9%
    • Gerresheimer 3Q Adjusted Ebitda Meets Estimates
SDAX:
  • PVA TePla (TPE TH) +1.9%
  • Heidelberger Druck (HDD TH) +1.6%
  • Deutz (DEZ TH) +1.5%
  • Borussia Dortmund (BVB TH) +1.2%
  • Varta (VAR1 TH) +1%
  • Grenke (GLJ TH) -3.6%
    • Grenke 3Q Leasing New Business Volume €591.1M