>>> US Research Calls

Research Calls
  • Upgrades:
    • Fluence (FLNC) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at BofA Securities; tgt raised to $26
    • Glaukos (GKOS) upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Wells Fargo; tgt raised to $83
    • Microchip (MCHP) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Citigroup; tgt $100
    • ProQR Therapeutics (PRQR) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Chardan Capital Markets; tgt $2
    • Quanta Services (PWR) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Goldman; tgt lowered to $211
    • Rexford Industrial Realty (REXR) upgraded to Sector Outperform from Sector Perform at Scotiabank; tgt $55
    • Wish (WISH) upgraded to Hold from Sell at Loop Capital; tgt lowered to $4
  • Downgrades:
    • AdaptHealth (AHCO) downgraded to Underperform from Neutral at BofA Securities; tgt lowered to $6.50
    • Air Transport Services Group (ATSG) downgraded to Neutral from Positive at Susquehanna; tgt lowered to $15
    • Arcutis Biotherapeutics (ARQT) downgraded to Hold from Buy at JonesTrading
    • BRP Group (BRP) downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Wells Fargo; tgt lowered to $24
    • Datadog (DDOG) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Mizuho; tgt $108
    • Entergy (ETR) downgraded to Sector Perform from Outperform at RBC Capital Mkts; tgt $117
    • Estee Lauder (EL) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at TD Cowen; tgt lowered to $120
    • First Guaranty Bancshares (FGBI) downgraded to Underweight from Neutral at Piper Sandler; tgt lowered to $9.50
    • Imperial Oil (IMO) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Goldman
    • Lucid Group (LCID) downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at Cantor Fitzgerald; tgt lowered to $6
    • MasTec (MTZ) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Goldman; tgt $54
    • Masimo (MASI) downgraded to Mkt Perform from Outperform at Raymond James
    • Nextdoor (KIND) downgraded to In-line from Outperform at Evercore ISI; tgt lowered to $3
    • NXP Semi (NXPI) downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Citigroup; tgt lowered to $150
    • Tanger Factory (SKT) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Compass Point; tgt $26
    • Zentalis Pharma (ZNTL) downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Wedbush; tgt lowered to $12
  • Others:
    • Caribou Biosciences (CRBU) initiated with a Neutral at Cantor Fitzgerald
    • Fair Isaac (FICO) initiated with an Overweight at Wells Fargo; tgt $1120
    • Hubbell (HUBB) initiated with a Buy at Seaport Research Partners; tgt $325
    • Marqeta (MQ) initiated with a Positive at Susquehanna; tgt $9
    • Monday.com (MNDY) placed on 90-day Upside Catalyst Watch at Citigroup; tgt $189
    • Trane (TT) reinstated with a Buy at William O'Neil
    • Vista Energy (VIST) initiated with a Buy at UBS; tgt $40

>>> US Gapping down

Gapping down
In reaction to earnings/guidance
:
  • SNBR -35.6%, LPRO -32.5%, NRDY -29.7%, ESTA -28.2%, UPST -27.6%, MGIC -25.3%, EXFY -22.1%, TOST -17.6%, FLYW -17.4%, INSP -15%, ARRY -11.5%, CTKB -11.2%, MRVI -9.9%, EGY -9.3%, POWI -9.2% (also increases dividend), HOOD -9%, RXT -8.6%, AMRK -8.5%, GO -8.5%, MASI -7%, CPNG -6.7%, EBAY -6.6%, BMBL -6.1% (also increases share repurchase program to $300 mln), OSUR -6.1%, ANDE -5.8%, MRCY -5.8%, BIGC -5.4%, KVYO -5%, GTN -5%, EDR -5%, LCID -4.7% (also names COO; also stock offering by selling shareholders), CRCT -4.2%, SPTN -4.1%, PCT -3.7%, EVRI -3.4%, FOLD -3.4%, SPHR -3.4%, PAAS -3.3%, DOX -2.9%, SHLS -2.6%, XNCR -2.6% (also sells portion of royalties and milestones from Ultomiris and Monjuvi for $215 mln), IAC -2.5%, TVTX -2.5%, JKHY -2.5%, LFST -2.4%, CBAY -2.2%, IRBT -2%, CTOS -2%, GILD -2%, DAR -1.9%, ATEN -1.6% (also authorizes new $50 mln share repurchase program), TEF -1.5%, DVN -1.4%, FOUR -1.4%, CRSR -1.1%, METC -1.1%, NXST -1%, GEF -1%
Other news:
  • SPR -14.1% ($200 mln stock offering; also files mixed shelf securities offering)
  • OCUL -12.7% (files $300 mln mixed shelf securities offering)
  • INZY -4.7% (files $300 mln mixed shelf securities offering)
  • CLDX -4.7% (prices offering of 7.425 mln shares of common stock at $27.00 per share)
  • KRMD -4.3% (receives FDA clearance for FREEDOM60)
  • SPCE -2.9% (provides business update)
  • IDA -2.8% (prices offering 2801724 shares of its common stock at $92.80 per share)
  • RIOT -2.5% (reports Oct production)
  • SRE -2% (prices offering of 17142858 shares of its common stock at $70.00 per share)
  • BRP -2% (files mixed shelf securities offering)
  • ARVN -1.1% (files mixed shelf securities offering)
  • NXST -1% (NXST and Cox Comms reach distribution agreement)
Analyst comments:
  • LCID -4.9% (downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at Cantor Fitzgerald)
  • AHCO -3.1% (downgraded to Underperform from Neutral at BofA Securities)
  • NXPI -2.1% (downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Citigroup)
  • ARQT -2.1% (downgraded to Hold from Buy at JonesTrading)
  • MTZ -1.6% (downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Goldman)
  • EL -1.1% (downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at TD Cowen)
  • ATSG -0.8% (downgraded to Neutral from Positive at Susquehanna)
  • DDOG -0.7% (downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Mizuho)

>>> US Gapping up

Gapping up
In reaction to earnings/guidance
:
  • UPWK +23%, TH +22.4%, EVGO +18.3%, YOU +17.5%, ENVX +14.7% (also its IoT & Wearable cells outperformed competitive cells), EOLS +13.6%, PETQ +12.6%, LZ +12.2%, KD +11.1%, JHX +10.8%, AVDX +9.1%, ODD +8.4%, RIVN +8.2% (also increases FY23 production guidance), FNA +7.2%, DVA +6.9%, AGTI +6.4%, TBLA +6.3%, LITE +6.3%, IPAR +5.9%, MQ +5.6%, ODP +5.4%, CARG +5.3% (also authorizes new $250 mln share repurchase program; also to acquire remaining minority interest in CarOffer for $75 mln), BBAI +5.1% (also to acquire Pangiam for $70 mln), ANIP +5.1%, VCYT +5% (also enters into a multi-year agreement with ILMN), MNKD +5%, PRIM +5%, KRNT +5%, FSM +4.8%, AKAM +4.5%, PWSC +4.3%, AGO +4.2% (also names new CFO and COO), BEKE +4%, ADNT +3.9%, DNLI +3.6%, JRVR +3.5%, INGN +3.4%, NYT +3.3%, BROS +3.1%, MRC +3.1%, ICL +3.1%, WRBY +2.9%, AXON +2.7%, PAYO +2.6%, RPRX +2.5%, CRL +2.4%, TEVA +2.3%, EXR +2.2%, CAVA +2.1%, BHF +2.1%, ZLAB +1.9%, GPRO +1.9%, GMED +1.8%, CCO +1.8%, MIDD +1.5%, WTI +1.3%, HLMN +1.3%, TKO +1.2% (also The CW Network to become the exclusive broadcast home to WWE NXT), FLNG +1.2%, UAA +1.2%, APLE +1.1%, GXO +1.1%, REYN +1.1%
Other news:
  • AMR +6.5% (to join S&P SmallCap 600)
  • BTAI +6.4% (reports positive overall survival results from single-arm open-label Phase 2 Trial of BXCL701 in Patients with Metastatic Castration-Resistant Prostate Cancer (mCRPC) of adenocarcinoma phenotype)
  • AJG +5.9% (to acquire The Evans Agency)
  • BALY +3.8% (several insider purchases disclosed)
  • AMBC +3.4% (hires external advisors to discuss options for Ambac Assurance)
  • AMEH +2.6% (to acquire assets relating to Community Family Care)
  • FG +2.4% (increases dividend)
  • ATPC +2.4% (forges ahead with sustainable energy business)
  • WISH +1.9% (to explore strategic alternatives also reports earnings)
Analyst comments:
  • MQ +7.5% (initiated with a Positive at Susquehanna; tgt $9)
  • FLNC +5.3% (upgraded to Buy from Neutral at BofA Securities)
  • MCHP +2.2% (upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Citigroup)

The Information : Coatue Cuts Value of OpenSea Stake by 90% as Fund’s Returns Sa

Coatue Cuts Value of OpenSea Stake by 90% as Fund’s Returns Sag

One of OpenSea’s biggest investors has marked down by 90% its stake in the struggling non-fungible-token marketplace, implying that the former crypto darling is now valued at $1.4 billion or less on paper. Coatue Management, a New York–based hedge and venture fund, slashed the value of its $120 million stake in the company to $13 million as of the second quarter of this year, according to a document viewed by The Information.

The previously unreported markdown shows how venture investors are reassessing the value of their investments made at the height of the crypto boom, following a severe deterioration in the market. At the start of last year, OpenSea sported a $13.3 billion valuation from a funding round co-led by Coatue and Paradigm.

THE TAKEAWAY
• Coatue co-led investment with Paradigm during height of crypto bubble
• Firm also slashed valuation of MoonPay stake
• Coatue’s 2021 growth fund has lost money on paper

Coatue also slashed the valuation of its stake in crypto payment startup MoonPay 90%.

Collapsing startup valuations are contributing to lackluster returns for venture investors. As of September, the multiple on invested capital for Coatue’s $7.7 billion growth fund, raised in 2021, which backed OpenSea and Moonpay, equaled 0.8 times, meaning the total paper value of the fund's investments is worth less than the initial money put in, according to a person with direct knowledge of the matter.

For venture funds raised in 2021, the median internal rate of return is negative, meaning most of these funds have lost money so far, according to Cambridge Associates data as of March. Paradigm, a specialist in crypto, had generated a negative 5% net internal rate of return as of May. A spokesperson for Paradigm declined to comment on the value of its OpenSea stake.

Most crypto startups have faltered in the past 18 months, as the end of near-zero-percent interest rates quashed demand for digital assets. OpenSea last week laid off 50% of its staff after volume on its marketplace plunged 99% since the start of 2022.

Coatue and crypto VC firm Paradigm co-led a $300 million Series C investment in OpenSea in January 2022, amid high demand for trendy blockchain-based digital collectibles like the Bored Ape Yacht Club collection. The transaction valued the New York startup at $13.3 billion or nearly 9 times higher than its prior round, led by Andreessen Horowitz, less than a year earlier.

But OpenSea’s business, which had generated revenue by taking a 2.5% cut of each transaction, began to founder once crypto prices declined and NFTs fell from favor. In July 2022, OpenSea made the first of at least three rounds of layoffs over the last year.

By December 2022, Tiger Global Management, another OpenSea backer, had slashed the value of a $126.8 million investment it made in the startup by 76%, The Information previously reported. Early this year, OpenSea temporarily eliminated its fees on most trades following the launch of a no-fee competitor, Blur, crushing trading revenue. A spokesperson for OpenSea didn’t comment.

Coatue’s Crypto Bets

Coatue was one of the most active investors in private tech startups during the pandemic-fueled bull market, backing more than a dozen cryptocurrency startups in that period, according to PitchBook. In October 2021, it invested $100 million in MoonPay, in a $555 million deal alongside Tiger that valued the startup at $3.4 billion. That deal allowed MoonPay CEO Ivan Soto-Wright and his inner circle to cash out $150 million of their own stock. In the second quarter of 2023, Coatue marked down its stake to $11 million, implying a $374 million total valuation for the startup.

In 2021, Coatue also led a $250 million investment in Dapper Labs, a developer of blockchain games like NBA Top Shot, that valued the startup at over $7.5 billion. In July, Dapper completed its third round of job cuts in less than a year, also due to the steep decline in NFT sales. Dapper’s valuation would likely be much lower today.

Some of Coatue’s other investments are partially offsetting the crypto losses. Coatue in September slightly marked up the performance of the $7.7 billion fund, its fifth growth fund, to 0.8 times from 0.7 times the month before due to a 50% valuation jump of security company OneTrust, the person with direct knowledge said.

In July, OneTrust raised $150 million in a round led by Generation Investment Management at a $4.5 billion valuation. That was an increase from OneTrust’s $3 billion valuation in March, when Coatue invested $400 million from its fifth fund, the person said. While the gains improved that fund’s paper returns, OneTrust is still valued less than the $5.3 billion valuation it earned in 2020, when Coatue invested out of an earlier fund. Coatue’s March investment in OneTrust hasn’t been previously reported.

Coatue also backed graphic design startup Figma at a $400 million valuation in 2019, according to PitchBook. Last year, Adobe agreed to buy Figma for $20 billion, though the deal has been held up by antitrust reviews.

The investment firm is currently raising additional capital for its fifth growth fund through a companion vehicle to invest mostly in startups it has not previously backed, which could boost returns, the person with direct knowledge said. Coatue waived its typical management fees on the new capital. Its investments this year include artificial intelligence startups Tome, Replit and Runway.

FT : EU to move ahead with Russian diamond ban next week

EU to move ahead with Russian diamond ban next week
Foreign policy chief says agreement at G7 level cleared hurdles set by Belgium and other countries

The EU is set to move ahead with a long-stalled ban on Russian diamonds next week after securing sufficient backing from the G7 group of developed nations, according to the bloc’s foreign policy chief.

Diamonds are one of the few major Russian exports still untouched by EU sanctions imposed in response to President Vladimir Putin’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine last year, due to extensive wrangling over how any embargo would work effectively.

Josep Borrell, the EU’s chief diplomat, told the Financial Times that a two-day meeting of G7 foreign ministers in Japan that ended on Wednesday gave support to the move, clearing a critical hurdle that European countries including Belgium — one of the world’s largest diamond traders — had demanded.

“In order for [EU] member states to be unanimous for the ban on diamond trade, some were requesting that the G7 were giving, let’s say, political coverage,” said Borrell.

“Well, this has been done and the co-ordination has worked and we will be able to put the package of sanctions in front of [foreign ministers on Monday],” he added.

Ukraine and several central and eastern European allies have long demanded that the EU ban trade in the precious gemstone, in addition to sweeping measures banning or reducing Russian exports such as oil, coal, steel and gold.

G7 leaders in May agreed to restrict trade and use of Russian diamonds, including by using tracing technologies. But efforts to impose legal EU measures stalled as Belgium argued that a simple ban on Russian stones would just divert trading away from its city of Antwerp, the global diamond hub.

Belgian officials had called for full G7 support for an arrangement that would implement a global standard to certify rough and polished diamonds which would allow all traders to identify Russian-produced gems.

Borrell said the foreign ministers of Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the UK and US this week agreed to “reduce the revenues that Russia extracts from exports”, and explicitly cited “non-industrial diamonds, including those mined”.

Russia is the world’s largest producer of rough diamonds by volume, with exports totalling $4bn in 2021, according to trade statistics. More than 80 per cent of global rough diamonds are traded through dealers in Antwerp.

The global natural diamond jewellery market is estimated to be worth $74bn in 2023, according to independent analyst Paul Zimnisky.

The EU diamond sanctions will be part of the bloc’s 12 rounds of sanctions against Moscow. Officials have said the new sanctions package will also include new import and export bans, measures to tighten the effectiveness of the existing price cap on Russian crude, and targeting of entities in third countries that are helping Russia circumvent trade restrictions.

>>> US Early premarket gappers

Early premarket gappers
  • Gapping up:
    • UPWK +21.2%, ENVX +15%, PETQ +14.4%, EOLS +13.2%, LZ +12.2%, MQ +12.1%, KD +11.3%, PWSC +11.2%, JHX +9.4%, ODD +8.3%, MNKD +7.4%, FNA +7.2%, PRIM +7.2%, RIVN +6.9%, DVA +6.7%, AGTI +6.4%, AMR +6.3%, BALY +6.2%, AJG +5.9%, IPAR +5.9%, BBAI +5.8%, CARG +5.3%, BEKE +5.2%, YOU +5%, EVRI +4.9%, AKAM +4.5%, AGO +4.2%, VCYT +4.2%, PGNY +4.1%, AXON +4%, GMED +3.9%, DNLI +3.6%, AMBC +3.4%, INGN +3.4%, BROS +3.2%, MRC +3.1%, FSM +3.1%, AMEH +2.6%, FG +2.4%, ATPC +2.4%, FLNG +2.4%, XNCR +2.3%, EXR +2.2%, TKO +2.1%, BHF +2.1%, CRSR +2%, ZLAB +1.9%, LFST +1.6%, WISH +1.4%, COTY +1.2%, APLE +1.1%, GXO +1.1%
  • Gapping down:
    • SNBR -32.7%, NRDY -25.8%, ESTA -25.3%, UPST -22.9%, EXFY -20.7%, TOST -18.6%, FLYW -17.3%, LPRO -16.9%, SPR -15.4%, INSP -14.4%, ARRY -11.6%, POWI -11.6%, MASI -11.4%, CTKB -11.2%, AMRK -8.9%, RXT -8.6%, GO -8.5%, HOOD -7.8%, BMBL -7.1%, EBAY -7%, CPNG -6.4%, KVYO -6.2%, OSUR -6.1%, MRVI -6%, ANDE -5.8%, MRCY -5.8%, OCUL -4.9%, INZY -4.7%, CLDX -4.4%, LCID -4.4%, IDA -4.3%, PAAS -4.1%, KRMD -3.5%, CCO -2.7%, CIVI -2.6%, IAC -2.5%, TVTX -2.5%, JKHY -2.5%, EGY -2.4%, SRE -2.3%, CBAY -2.2%, BRP -2%, CTOS -2%, DAR -1.9%, IRBT -1.9%, RIOT -1.6%, ATEN -1.6%, OGN -1.5%, STE -1.5%, IOVA -1.4%, ARVN -1.1%, KIND -1.1%, GILD -1.1%, METC -1.1%, DVN -1%

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 8th of November 2023 V2(+)

>>> Up
* Amadeus Raised to Outperform at Oddo BHF; PT 78 euros (+)
* Dassault Systemes Raised to Neutral at BNPP Exane (+)
* Fidelity National Raised to Outperform at Wolfe; PT $65
* Genmab Raised to Buy at DNB Markets; PT 2,450 kroner
* Heidelberg Materials Raised to Overweight at Morgan Stanley
* Maersk Raised to Overweight at JPMorgan; PT 13,800 kroner
* Nemetschek Raised to Outperform at BNPP Exane (+)
* Orthex Raised to Buy at Inderes; PT 6 euros
* Rolls-Royce Raised to Overweight at Morgan Stanley; PT 275 pence
* Telefonica Deutschland Raised to Hold at HSBC; PT 2.35 euros
* Vetoquinol Raised to Buy at TP ICAP Midcap; PT 101 euros (+)
* Virbac Raised to Hold at TP ICAP Midcap; PT 239 euros (+)

>>> Down
* Capgemini Cut to Neutral at Oddo BHF; PT 200 euros (+)
* Gestamp Cut to Neutral at Oddo BHF; PT 4 euros (+)
* Technotrans Cut to Hold at Hauck & Aufhaeuser; PT 17 euros (+)

>>> Initiation
* Aroundtown Rated New Underperform at Jefferies
* Carmila Rated New Buy at Jefferies
* Covivio SA/France Rated New Hold at Jefferies
* Crossject Rated New Outperform at Oddo BHF; PT 7.10 euros
* CTP Rated New Buy at Jefferies
* Gecina Rated New Hold at Jefferies
* EKF Diagnostics Rated New Hold at Stifel; PT 29 pence (+)
* Eurocommercial Rated New Buy at Jefferies
* FDJ Rated New Buy at Stifel; PT 38 euros (+)
* Grand City Properties Rated New Underperform at Jefferies
* ICADE Rated New Hold at Jefferies
* Inmobiliaria Colonial Rated New Underperform at Jefferies
* Klepierre Rated New Hold at Jefferies
* LEG Immobilien Rated New Buy at Jefferies
* LXI REIT Plc Rated New Overweight at Barclays; PT 110 pence
* Mercialys Rated New Hold at Jefferies; PT 8.50 euros
* TAG Immobilien Rated New Buy at Jefferies
* Thyssenkrupp Nucera Rated New Buy at Berenberg; PT 21 euros
* Unibail Rated New Buy at Jefferies
* Vonovia Rated New Underperform at Jefferies
* WDP Rated New Underperform at Jefferies

>>> Call
* Deutsche PBB Sell Rating at Citi Reiterated After Profit Warning (+)
* E.On Reports Solid Results; Maintains FY Ebitda Forecast: RBC (+)
* Heidelberg Materials at Attractive Price, Morgan Stanley Raises
* Rolls-Royce Upgraded as Morgan Stanley Sees Cash Flow Upside
* Thyssenkrupp Nucera New Buy at Berenberg on Growth Outlook
* Vicat Estimates May Rise by Mid-Single Digits, Citi Says

>>> Stoxx 600 Pre-Market Indications

  • Vestas (VWSB TH) +2.9%
    • Vestas Upgrades Earnings Outlook for 2023 After Boost in Orders
  • Commerzbank (CBK TH) +2.3%
    • *COMMERZBANK RAISES 2023 NET PROFIT, NII FORECAST
  • Nemetschek (NEM TH) +1.5%
    • Nemetschek Raised to Outperform at BNPP Exane
  • Nel (D7G TH) +1.4%
  • Heidelberg Materials (HEI TH) +1.4%
    • Heidelberg Materials at Attractive Price, Morgan Stanley Raises
  • Tomra (TMRA TH) +1.2%
  • Rolls-Royce (RRU TH) +1%
    • Rolls-Royce Upgraded as Morgan Stanley Sees Cash Flow Upside
  • Equinor (DNQ TH) +1%
  • Continental (CON TH) -0.8%
    • *CONTINENTAL CUTS FY SALES VIEW TO €41B-€43B FROM €41.5B-€44.5B
  • Deutsche Post AG (DHL TH) -0.8%
    • Deutsche Post AG Narrows FY Ebit Forecast
  • Vinci (SQU TH) -1%
  • Engie (GZF TH) -1.2%
  • Bayer (BAYN TH) -1.3%
    • *BAYER 3Q ADJ. EBITDA EU1.69B, EST. EU1.82B
  • Vonovia (VNA TH) -1.3%
    • Vonovia Rated New Underperform at Jefferies
  • ABN Amro (AB2 TH) -1.9%
    • ABN Amro Profit Beats Estimates on Higher Rates, Divestments
  • E.On (EOAN TH) -2.2%
    • EON Sees Significant Negative Earnings Impact in Fourth Quarter