>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 11th of January 2024 V2(++)

>>> Up
* AFRY AB Raised to Hold at Handelsbanken (+)
* Amazon PT Raised to $185 from $175 at Morgan Stanley
* Antofagasta Raised to Outperform at RBC; PT 1,800 pence
* Belships Raised to Buy at Pareto Securities; PT 23 kroner
* Carlsberg Raised to Buy at BofA (+)
* EasyJet Raised to Buy at BofA; PT 640 pence (+)
* Hermes Raised to Neutral at Goldman; PT 2,060 euros
* J D Wetherspoon Raised to Hold at Numis; PT 750 pence
* Juniper Raised to Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley; PT $40
* Mercialys Raised to Buy at Jefferies; PT 11.50 euros
* Merlin Properties Cut to Hold at Jefferies; PT 10.30 euros
* Royal Unibrew Raised to Neutral at BofA (+)
* SSAB Raised to Buy at UBS (++)
* Segro Raised to Buy at Kepler Cheuvreux; PT 970 pence
* SGS Raised to Buy at SocGen; PT 86 Swiss francs
* Zegna Group Raised to Buy at Goldman; PT $18.70

>>> Down
* Albemarle Cut to Hold at Deutsche Bank
* Aspocomp Group Cut to Reduce at Inderes; PT 3.50 euros
* Atrium Ljungberg Cut to Hold at Carnegie (+)
* Barratt Cut to Hold at Liberum; PT 550 pence
* Barry Callebaut Cut to Sell at UBS; PT 1,180 Swiss francs (++)
* BayWa Cut to Hold at Kepler Cheuvreux; PT 34 euros (++)
* Berkeley Cut to Hold at Liberum; PT 4,800 pence
* Catena Cut to Hold at Carnegie (++)
* Crest Nicholson Cut to Hold at Liberum; PT 230 pence
* Diageo Cut to Neutral at BofA (+)
* Fabege Cut to Sell at Carnegie (++)
* Getinge Cut to Hold at Handelsbanken (+)
* INWIT Cut to Reduce at Kepler Cheuvreux; PT 10.50 euros (++)
* Juniper Cut to Hold at Jefferies; PT $40
* Kering Cut to Hold at Equita; PT 450 euros (+)
* Komax Cut to Hold at Mirabaud Securities; PT 220 Swiss francs (+)
* LEG Immobilien Cut to Hold at Jefferies; PT 80 euros
* Lindab Cut to Hold at Carnegie; PT 205 kronor (++)
* Lufthansa Cut to Underperform at BofA; PT 7.60 euros (+)
* Lyft Cut to Neutral at Goldman; PT $15
* Moncler Cut to Neutral at BofA (+)
* Nordea Bank Cut to Underweight at JPMorgan
* QT Group Cut to Hold at Danske Bank Markets (++)
* Redrow Cut to Hold at Liberum; PT 620 pence
* Salvatore Ferragamo Cut to Hold at Equita; PT 12.30 euros (+)
* Spirax Cut to Reduce at HSBC; PT 8,400 pence
* Swatch Cut to Neutral at Goldman; PT 260 Swiss francs
* Swatch Cut to Neutral at BofA (+)
* Titanium Cut to Reduce at Inderes; PT 17 euros
* Verbio Vereinigte Bioenergie AG Cut to Sell at Deutsche Bank
* WPP Cut to Sell at UBS; PT 700 pence (++)

>>> Initiation
* British Land Rated New Buy at Berenberg; PT 469 pence
* Land Sec. Rated New Buy at Berenberg; PT 807 pence
* Teleperformance Reinstated Outperform at BNPP Exane
* Voltalia Rated New Buy at TP ICAP Midcap; PT 15 euros (+)

>>> Call
* Amazon PT, Estimates Raised at Morgan Stanley on Prime Video Ads
* Antofagasta Upgraded at RBC on Rapid Tightening of Copper Supply
* Barry Callebaut Drops as UBS Double-Downgrades on Cocoa Pricing (++)
* Darktrace Update a Sign of Investment Paying Off: Jefferies (+)
* Goldman Sachs Trims 2024 Global Luxury Industry Growth Forecast (+)
* Land Securities, British Land Get Buy Ratings at Berenberg
* Mercialys Raised, LEG Immo and Merlin Downgraded at Jefferies
* Nordea Bank Gets Only Sell as JPMorgan Sees Risks to Downside (+)

FT : AP Møller-Maersk chief warns Red Sea shipping disruption may last for month

AP Møller-Maersk chief warns Red Sea shipping disruption may last for months
Vincent Clerc says container ship attacks by Houthis could have ‘significant consequences’ for global growth

The boss of shipping giant AP Møller-Maersk has warned it could take months to reopen the crucial Red Sea trading route, risking an economic and inflationary hit to the global economy, companies and consumers.

Vincent Clerc, Maersk’s chief executive, told the Financial Times on Thursday that the closure of the Red Sea to most shipping after a series of attacks from Yemen’s Houthi militants was “brutal and dramatic”. He added there were “no winners” as a result of the situation, which has forced vessels to take long and costly detours around South Africa.

“It’s unclear to us if we are talking about re-establishing safe passage into the Red Sea in a matter of days, weeks or months . . . It could potentially have quite significant consequences on global growth,” he said.

Maersk is a bellwether of global trade, carrying about a fifth of ocean freight. Clerc urged the international community — led by the US — to do more to allow the Red Sea to reopen for ships following a recent escalation of attacks in the region.

A Maersk vessel was attacked in mid-December, causing the Danish group to suspend journeys through the Red Sea, a crucial link between Asia and Europe. The group restarted trips a few days later after a US-led military coalition tried to create safe passage, but it suffered a further attack at the end of December. Last week, Maersk said it would divert ships from the Red Sea around Africa “for the foreseeable future”.

Diverting container ships via the Cape of Good Hope adds about 13,000km in distance and hundreds of dollars per container, Clerc said.

“At this time when inflation is a big issue, it’s putting inflationary pressure on our costs, on our customers, and ultimately on consumers in Europe and the US,” he added. “In the short run, it could cause significant disruptions at the end of January, February and into March.”

Maersk’s fuel bill will be 50 per cent higher as a result of ships taking the longer route. If unresolved, ships will soon be out of position, threatening logistics and global supply chains, Clerc said.

“We are urging the international community to mobilise and do what it needs to do to reopen the [Bab-el-Mandeb] strait. It is one of the main arteries of the global economy, and it is clogged right now.

“It could have wider ranging consequences not only for the industry but for end consumers, product availability, the global economy as a whole,” he added.

Maersk’s share price has risen by a quarter in the past month as container freight rates have shot up.

Asked how it felt to be making more money from a situation that was hurting his customers and the global economy, Clerc replied: “Let me be completely unambiguous: our goal is to establish safe passage and go back to a normal trading pattern. That is what we are deploying all our assets in doing. While we are doing this, we have to sail around the Cape of Good Hope and there are consequences of this.”

He added that Maersk had little visibility over the security situation around the Red Sea as it was “morphing” all the time as well as being linked to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.

“The modus operandi evolves. The type of weapon evolves. The geographical range expands. There are a lot of things for us that make the risk levels hard to assess. So we need to be prudent,” Clerc said.

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 11th of January 2024 V2(+)

>>> Up
* AFRY AB Raised to Hold at Handelsbanken (+)
* Amazon PT Raised to $185 from $175 at Morgan Stanley
* Antofagasta Raised to Outperform at RBC; PT 1,800 pence
* Belships Raised to Buy at Pareto Securities; PT 23 kroner
* Carlsberg Raised to Buy at BofA (+)
* EasyJet Raised to Buy at BofA; PT 640 pence (+)
* Hermes Raised to Neutral at Goldman; PT 2,060 euros
* J D Wetherspoon Raised to Hold at Numis; PT 750 pence
* Juniper Raised to Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley; PT $40
* Mercialys Raised to Buy at Jefferies; PT 11.50 euros
* Merlin Properties Cut to Hold at Jefferies; PT 10.30 euros
* Royal Unibrew Raised to Neutral at BofA (+)
* Segro Raised to Buy at Kepler Cheuvreux; PT 970 pence
* SGS Raised to Buy at SocGen; PT 86 Swiss francs
* Zegna Group Raised to Buy at Goldman; PT $18.70

>>> Down
* Albemarle Cut to Hold at Deutsche Bank
* Aspocomp Group Cut to Reduce at Inderes; PT 3.50 euros
* Barratt Cut to Hold at Liberum; PT 550 pence
* Berkeley Cut to Hold at Liberum; PT 4,800 pence
* Crest Nicholson Cut to Hold at Liberum; PT 230 pence
* Diageo Cut to Neutral at BofA (+)
* Getinge Cut to Hold at Handelsbanken (+)
* Juniper Cut to Hold at Jefferies; PT $40
* Kering Cut to Hold at Equita; PT 450 euros (+)
* Komax Cut to Hold at Mirabaud Securities; PT 220 Swiss francs (+)
* LEG Immobilien Cut to Hold at Jefferies; PT 80 euros
* Lufthansa Cut to Underperform at BofA; PT 7.60 euros (+)
* Lyft Cut to Neutral at Goldman; PT $15
* Moncler Cut to Neutral at BofA (+)
* Nordea Bank Cut to Underweight at JPMorgan
* Redrow Cut to Hold at Liberum; PT 620 pence
* Salvatore Ferragamo Cut to Hold at Equita; PT 12.30 euros (+)
* Spirax Cut to Reduce at HSBC; PT 8,400 pence
* Swatch Cut to Neutral at Goldman; PT 260 Swiss francs
* Swatch Cut to Neutral at BofA (+)
* Titanium Cut to Reduce at Inderes; PT 17 euros
* Verbio Vereinigte Bioenergie AG Cut to Sell at Deutsche Bank

>>> Initiation
* British Land Rated New Buy at Berenberg; PT 469 pence
* Land Sec. Rated New Buy at Berenberg; PT 807 pence
* Teleperformance Reinstated Outperform at BNPP Exane
* Voltalia Rated New Buy at TP ICAP Midcap; PT 15 euros (+)

>>> Call
* Amazon PT, Estimates Raised at Morgan Stanley on Prime Video Ads
* Antofagasta Upgraded at RBC on Rapid Tightening of Copper Supply
* Darktrace Update a Sign of Investment Paying Off: Jefferies (+)
* Goldman Sachs Trims 2024 Global Luxury Industry Growth Forecast (+)
* Land Securities, British Land Get Buy Ratings at Berenberg
* Mercialys Raised, LEG Immo and Merlin Downgraded at Jefferies
* Nordea Bank Gets Only Sell as JPMorgan Sees Risks to Downside (+)

>>> Stoxx 600 Pre-Market Indications

  • Tesco (TCO0 TH) +2.7%
    • *TESCO RAISES FY RETAIL ADJ. OPER PROFIT OUTLOOK TO £2.75B
  • BAE (BSP TH) +2.4%
  • Scor (SDRC TH) +1.9%
  • Hermes (HMI TH) +1.5%
    • Hermes Raised to Neutral at Goldman; PT 2,060 euros
  • NN Group (2NN TH) +1.3%
  • Sartorius Stedim Biotech (56S1 TH) +1.2%
  • UniCredit (CRIN TH) +1.1%
  • Aurubis (NDA TH) +1.1%
  • Zalando (ZAL TH) +1.1%
  • LVMH (MOH TH) +1%
    • TikTok, LVMH Work on Plan to Limit Fake Items Sold on the App
  • LEG Immobilien (LEG TH) -0.9%
    • Mercialys Raised, LEG Immo and Merlin Downgraded at Jefferies
  • Lufthansa (LHA TH) -1.9%
    • Lufthansa Cut to Underperform at BofA; PT 7.60 euros

Haaretz : France's New 34-year-old Prime Minister Says His Jewish Ancestry Has S

France's New 34-year-old Prime Minister Says His Jewish Ancestry Has Shaped Him
Prime Minister Gabriel Attal, a rising star in President Emmanuel Macron's party, says his Jewish father told him 'Perhaps you're Orthodox [Christian], but you'll feel Jewish all your life, mainly because you'll suffer antisemitism'

France's newest prime minister is getting attention for the two firsts he brings to the job: Gabriel Attal, at 34, is the country's youngest ever prime minister, and its first to be openly gay.

He says another facet of his identity also shapes him: his late father's Jewishness.

Attal's mother raised him and his siblings in her Russian Orthodox Christian faith. But his father, the film producer Yves Attal, was Jewish, born in Paris to Tunisian Jewish and European Jewish parents.

"My father said to me, 'Perhaps you're Orthodox, but you'll feel Jewish all your life, mainly because you'll suffer antisemitism because of your name,'" Attal told Liberation in 2019.

Attal is a common North African Jewish name and would be recognized as such in France, where there are large populations of Tunisian and Algerian Jews.

Attal told Le Monde last year that he is "not a stranger to transcendence" and still celebrates Orthodox Easter, but he no longer considers himself a religious believer in part because his father, who had relatives deported during the Holocaust, would tell him, "God died at Auschwitz."

Attal was named on an antisemitic poster displayed at a Paris protest during the pandemic. Attal was a government spokesperson at the time, and decried "absolutely abject comparisons" between Nazi persecution and public health measures, a theme of anti-vaccine protests.

A rising star in President Emmanuel Macron's center-right Renaissance party, Attal was education minister until Tuesday morning, when Macron selected him to replace Elisabeth Borne as prime minister.

Borne resigned over differences with Macron over immigration after Macron backed legislation that made it easier to deport foreigners in France.

Borne also derives a Jewish identity from her late father, a Holocaust survivor who died by suicide.

The previous youngest French prime minister is Laurent Fabius, a Socialist who was 37 when he started his two-year stint in 1984. Fabius was born to Jewish parents who converted to Roman Catholicism and raised him in that religion.

>>> TradeGate Pre-Market Indications

DAX:
  • Zalando (ZAL TH) +1.7%
  • Vonovia (VNA TH) +1.5%
    • Mercialys Raised, LEG Immo and Merlin Downgraded at Jefferies
  • Rheinmetall (RHM TH) +1.1%
  • BMW (BMW TH) +1%
  • Infineon (IFX TH) +0.9%
MDAX:
  • Delivery Hero (DHER TH) +1.3%
    • UBS Group AG Raised Delivery Hero Voting Rights to 5.01%
  • Puma (PUM TH) +1.3%
  • Redcare Pharmacy NV (RDC TH) +1.3%
  • K+S (SDF TH) +1.2%
  • Evotec SE (EVT TH) +0.9%
  • Lufthansa (LHA TH) -2.1%
    • Lufthansa Cut to Underperform at BofA; PT 7.60 euros
SDAX:
  • Suedzucker (SZU TH) +2.3%
    • Suedzucker 3Q Ebitda EU385M Vs. EU340M Y/y
  • SGL (SGL TH) +2.2%
  • SFC Energy (F3C TH) +1.5%
  • Duerr (DUE TH) +1%
  • MorphoSys (MOR TH) -1.8%
  • Verbio Vereinigte Bioenergie AG (VBK TH) -2.5%
    • Verbio Vereinigte Bioenergie AG Cut to Sell at Deutsche Bank

>>> What to look at today - 11th of January 2024

Japan’s stocks led an advance in Asian equities while the dollar fell as investors awaited US inflation data that will help clarify the path for Federal Reserve policy. Benchmark Japanese share gauges were poised to notch fresh three-decade highs, thanks in part to the yen’s recent weakness. Stock indexes on mainland China were locked in a narrow range while US equity futures extended the morning session’s gains. Stocks in Hong Kong were on course to snap their longest stretch of losses since August. Over in China, global fund giant Loomis Sayles & Co. is turning more positive on the nation’s battered real estate sector, saying recent debt restructuring arrangements are bearing fruit.  South Korea’s equities and bonds edged higher after the central bank shifted to a more neutral policy stance, with the board essentially calling time on any further rate hikes after standing pat. US stock futures built on Wednesday’s gains when the S&P 500 closed 0.6% higher and the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 rose 0.7%. The moves extended a rebound in tech following heavy selling last week and come ahead of fourth-quarter earnings season, which broadly kicks off with a slew of bank results Friday. Contracts for the region-wide Euro Stoxx 50 index also gained. A gauge of global equities has climbed this week after registering its biggest weekly loss since October amid expectations that the Fed is set to lower rates this year.  The US Securities and Exchange Commission approved ETFs that directly invest in Bitcoin. The digital currency rose as much as 3.8% to trade above $47,700 early Thursday before paring gains to hover around $46,600.
Treasuries were broadly flat in Asian trading after declines in the prior session while the dollar weakened against all its Group-of-10 peers. Investors are gearing up for a bout of turbulence when the US consumer price data come out later Thursday.  Bond traders have trimmed bets on gains for Treasuries this month, and the swaps market shows a lower chance of expected Fed cuts by March relative to pricing late last year. Economists tracked by Bloomberg expect year-over-year core inflation to fall to 3.8% in the December data from 4% in the prior month. Fed Bank of New York President John Williams said Fed officials need to see more signs of cooling in the economy before reducing interest rates, but noted current policy levels are adequate to bring inflation back to the central bank’s target. In Asia, Australia’s trade balance for November rose more than expected as imports fell and exports grew more than consensus forecasts. Other data set for release includes consumer confidence in Japan, while December new lending and M2 money-supply data for China could be released as soon as today. South Korea’s central bank will hand down a monetary policy decision. The offshore yuan eked out a gain as China’s central bank set its currency fixing at the strongest since November relative to estimates, in a sign of support after a recent slump.
Oil held a drop after an unexpected increase in US stockpiles, which overshadowed rising geopolitical risks in the Middle East. Gold edged higher. US After Hours DCGO +6% on guidance, short seller report rejection; KBH -2.9% slipping following earnings; C -2.1% down on Q4 pretax results.

Nikkei +1.77% Hang Seng +1.61% CSI +0.50% Shanghai +0.25% Shenzen +1.53%

Eur$ 1.0976 CNH 7.1733 CNY 7.1621 JPY 145.41 GBP 1.2764 CHF 0.8497 RUB 89,6194 TRY 29.9721 WTI$ 71.66 Gold 2,032 BTC 46,348 ETH 2,610

S&P +0.23% Nasdaq +0.37% EuroStoxx +0.69% FTSE +0.36% Dax +0.62% SMI +0.28%

Macro :
- SEC Approves Bitcoin-Spot ETFs in Milestone for Digital Assets
- UK Commits to Another Large-Scale Nuclear Plant in Net Zero Push
- Citi Quants Favor Growth Stocks, Suggest Leaning Into Value

Keep an eye on :
- ABBN SW : ABB Acquires AI-Enabled Robotics Startup Sevensense, No Terms
- YOU GY : About You 3Q Adjusted Ebitda Beats Estimates
- BSGR NA : B&S to Buy Additional 24% of Shares in Topbrands Europe
- BOSS GY : Hugo Boss Gains as Jefferies Predicts Above Consensus 4Q
- BOSN SW : Bossard 4Q Sales Misses Estimates
- EN FP : Bouygues Construction Wins 4 Contracts Worth Total CHF 401M
- CO FP : French Regulator Approves Casino Takeover Without Public Offer
- EDF FP : UK and EDF ‘on track’ to raise £20bn for Sizewell C funding by end of year - FT
- ESI FP : Keysight to Own 98.2% of ESI Upon Settlement of Its Offer
- FIA1S FH : Finnair Hires Posti Group’s Turkka Kuusisto as New CEO
- GET FP : Getlink Dec. Passenger Shuttle Traffic Y/y -4%
- HAL NA : HAL Discloses 15% Stake in Technip Energies: AFM (Jan 10)
- HUNT NO : Hunter Group Offering of 70.9m Shares Prices at NOK1.75/Share
- INF LN : Informa Sees FY Revenue Above GBP3.17B, Saw at Least GBP3.15B
- KOMN SW : Komax Cuts FY Revenue Forecast
- LXI LN : *LXI REIT, LONDONMETRIC AGREE ON ALL-SHARE MERGER
- MAERSKB DC : Maersk Will Use Rail to Transport Containers at Panama Canal
- OMV AV : OMV 4Q Production Beats Estimates
- OVH FP : OVH 1Q Revenue EU239.8M Vs. EU216M Y/y
- PAGERO SS : Thomson Reuters Offers to Buy Pagero at SEK40/Share Cash
- TPEIR GA : Watch Piraeus Bank After Lender Prices €500m Tier 2 Bond
- PD US : PagerDuty Is Said to Consider Options Amid Takeover Interest
- PUUILO FH : Puuilo Holder Adelis Intends to Sell 8.8m Shares: Terms
- SAP GY : SAP to Pay Over $220m to Resolve Bribery Investigations: DOJ
- SZU GY : Suedzucker 3Q Ebitda EU385M Vs. EU340M Y/y
- SQN SW : Swissquote Prelim FY Net Revenue About CHF530M, Est. CHF535.5M
- TE FP : HAL Discloses 15% Stake in Technip Energies: AFM (Jan 10)
- TCAP LN : Top Oil Brokerage PVM Loses Some of Its London Crude Desk
- VACN SW : VAT Prelim FY Net Sales Meets Estimates
- VOW GY : Volkswagen Still Has Flexibility on EV Push, CFO Antlitz Says