FT : US regulator’s Opec collusion claim sets off tremor in oil patch

US regulator’s Opec collusion claim sets off tremor in oil patch
CEOs weighing mergers may think twice after FTC bars industry veteran from Exxon’s board

US regulators have introduced a new point of tension in the federal government’s fractious relationship with the country’s oil industry, accusing one of the sector’s most outspoken executives of attempted collusion to boost energy prices.

The Federal Trade Commission on Thursday alleged Scott Sheffield, the former head of Pioneer Natural Resources, had tried to co-ordinate production levels with the Opec cartel to “pad Pioneer’s bottom line . . . at the expense of US households and businesses”.

The surprise move by the agency — which came alongside its approval of ExxonMobil’s $60bn takeover of Pioneer — sent tremors through the industry, leaving insiders wondering how past comments could be scrutinised and fanning fears of a broader crackdown before November’s presidential election. 

“The implications go far beyond Sheffield,” James Lucier, an analyst at Capital Alpha Partners, wrote in a note to clients. “The FTC has not to date taken an adversarial approach toward oil industry mergers . . . This relative hands-off policy is no more.”

“Any CEO contemplating a merger will have to worry about being singled out the way Sheffield was,” he added. 

Under chair Lina Khan, an appointee of US President Joe Biden, the FTC has taken an aggressive approach to its job of protecting competition and consumers. In the past two weeks alone it has banned employee non-compete agreements and sued to the block an $8.5bn luxury goods industry takeover, arguing the deal “threatens to deprive consumers of the competition for affordable handbags”.

As a condition of approving Exxon’s purchase of Pioneer, the FTC took the extraordinary step of barring Sheffield from joining the supermajor’s board as anticipated in the merger agreement. In doing so, the agency took aim at a senior figure in the US shale energy revolution, who built Pioneer over the past two decades into the biggest oil producer in Texas with operations in the sprawling Permian Basin.

The FTC homed in on Sheffield’s efforts to curb production in the middle of a dramatic price crash at the start of the Covid-19 pandemic in 2020, which left many US producers on the brink of bankruptcy. 

Sheffield led an effort urging Texas regulators to introduce supply curbs and called on members of the Opec+ group, including Saudi Arabia and Russia, to dial back output. 

Pioneer said Sheffield, 71, who has lived through six industry downturns, had merely “voiced concerns aimed at raising awareness of the issue and encouraging state, federal and international governments to act”. Sheffield declined to be interviewed.

But the FTC, which combed through hundreds of text and WhatsApp messages and public statements as it scrutinised the Exxon takeover, said he had “embark[ed] on a series of efforts to co-ordinate output levels to keep production artificially low”, and served to “direct communications between his competitors in the Permian Basin and Opec”.

Sitting on Exxon’s board risked “amplifying his public messaging and the effectiveness of his private contacts with Opec”, the agency said. 

Among the evidence the agency cited was a dinner Sheffield attended along with other US producers, hosted by the late Opec secretary-general Mohammed Barkindo, in 2017. Such dinners have become a regular industry feature in recent years, often hosted on the sidelines of the annual CERAWeek energy conference in Houston. 

Attendees say the gatherings have become increasingly cordial in recent years as memories fade of the cartel’s efforts to sink the US shale industry by flooding the market with oil.

Among the CEOs who have attended are Occidental Petroleum’s Vicki Hollub, Devon Energy’s Rick Muncrief, Chesapeake Energy’s Nick Dell’Osso and John Hess of Hess. Chesapeake declined to comment, while the other companies did not respond to requests for comment. 

Industry executives and analysts said Sheffield was paying a price for being outspoken and had become a casualty of an FTC effort to take a tough stance the sector. One leading executive described the agency’s approach as “a little over the top”.

“Sheffield has clearly been one of the voices of the US upstream industry and he is obviously in hindsight taking some heat for that,” said Dan Pickering of Pickering Energy Partners, an investment and advisory group. 

“Given the high-profile nature of this transaction they needed something. I think you would hear a lot of squawking from a lot of folks who didn’t want this deal to go through if it sailed through with no changes.”


The move comes six months before Americans head to the polls as officials in the Biden administration fret over the electoral impact of rising prices at the pump.

Kevin Book, an analyst at ClearView Energy Partners, said it could point to a “new tactic” by the administration to temper such rises: “implicitly encouraging domestic operators seeking the commission’s approval for transactions to increase their production”.

There are concerns in the industry that the FTC will initiate a broader, sector-wide inquiry into alleged collusion in the run-up to the election as it gathers a huge amount of documentation and private communications from energy companies in the middle of a mergers and acquisitions boom. 

Aside from the $60bn Exxon-Pioneer deal, the FTC has made second requests for information from companies in at least four other pending takeovers with an aggregate value of more than $100bn: Chevron and Hess; Diamondback Energy and Endeavor Energy; Occidental and CrownRock; and Chesapeake Energy and Southwestern Energy. 

The FTC declined to comment on whether it would launch a sector-wide probe into the allegations of collusion. 

But some experts said that notwithstanding the action on Sheffield, the agency’s approval of the Exxon-Pioneer deal — the supermajor’s biggest since its 1999 merger with Mobil — demonstrated it was unlikely to block similar megamergers in the oil patch. 

“I think that the outcome is genuinely encouraging for these upstream deals that are currently in front of the agency,” said Jeffrey Oliver, partner at law firm Baker Botts and a former FTC staff attorney. “That’s very helpful to many of these deals that are still in limbo.”

FT : Chart du jour: Money tree

Chart du jour: Money tree

The majority of Russian central bank assets frozen under western sanctions have been stuck in Belgium, home to central securities depository Euroclear. As G7 partners wrangle over what to do with the assets, Euroclear has made billions just by holding them.

FT : How Belgium’s Socialists want to plug the EU’s spending gaps

How Belgium’s Socialists want to plug the EU’s spending gaps

Payday
As the EU debates how to fund its growing spending needs for defence and the green transition, the leader of Belgium’s Socialist party has a simple proposition: Let the wealthy pay for it.

Context: Several EU countries are in breach of the EU’s strict deficit rules, among them Belgium. At the same time, following the war in Ukraine countries are trying to ramp up defence spending, and the EU needs to invest vast sums to reach its climate targets.

“If we want to finance the climate transition, we need money. This money will come from the multinationals and the great fortunes. There really is no other solution,” Paul Magnette told the Financial Times. “I believe this is a demand that is very strong in the European population.”

Magnette called for “a worldwide tax of wealth, ideally, or at least at European level”, pointing out that “we have to invest 2 per cent of GDP per year; 1 per cent private [investments], 1 per cent public.”

Magnette’s Socialist party is part of Belgium’s governing seven-party coalition, and is leading the polls at 24 per cent in the French-speaking region of Wallonia ahead of federal elections in June.

His proposal of a European wealth tax echoes the manifesto of the Socialist group in the European parliament, which will be elected at the same time as Belgium’s new government. Most areas of tax policy are up to member states.

Magnette, who was a minister in several past federal governments, also called for defence spending to be exempt from budget constraints. “We need to take budget commitments on defence out of any budget balance, because they are investments,” he said.

“We have war at the gates of Europe, we have a situation in the Middle East which is extremely worrying . . . We have to be realistic, we will need the defence and that’s it,” Magnette said.

With their lead in Wallonia, the Socialists have a good chance of re-entering a future government. But Belgium’s federal system means that regional parties will have to come together to form a national government.

In Flanders, Belgium’s Flemish-speaking region, the far-right Vlaams Belang is leading polls with almost 27 per cent, followed by the right-wing N-VA.

Prepare for long coalition negotiations come July.

>>> US After Hours Summary: AAPL +6% higher on earnings, div hike and buyback in

After Hours Summary: AAPL +6% higher on earnings, div hike and buyback increase; also PCTY +12.3%, SQ +7.6%, LOCO +26.6%, OLED +4.9% higher on earnings; SPT -22.1%, NET -14.6%, TRUP -11.7%, EXPE -8.3%, FTNT -7.8% lower on earnings

After Hours Gainers:

Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to earnings/guidance: LOCO +26.6%, OSPN +18.8%, TNDM +14.7%, ARDX +13.4%, AMGN +13.2%, PCTY +12.3% (also authorizes new $500 mln share repurchase program), BJRI +8.4%, TWST +8.1%, UDMY +8% (also increases share repurchase program by $50 mln), SIMO +7.6%, SQ +7.6%, NR +6.8%, OPEN +6.7% (also files mixed shelf securities offering), CLFD +6.5% (also increases share repurchase program to $65 mln), AAPL +6% (also raises dividend 4%; authorizes $110 bln share repurchase program), MTZ +6%, VIR +5.9%, RMAX +5.2%, OLED +4.9%, WSC +4.9%, DVA +4.8%, MELI +4.6%, MSI +4.5%, ACA +4%, SPXC +3.9%, ALHC +3.6%, MODV +3.5%, LYV +3.1%, FIVN +3%, HOLX +2.8%, BILL +2.7%, WK +2.7%, TXRH +2.4%, RLAY +2.4%, CTRA +2.3%, LMAT +2.3%, REG +2.1%, WW +2.1%, DKNG +2%, RKT +2%, BKNG +1.6%, XPOF +1.6%, BECN +1.5%, MNST +1.4% (also says it intends to repurchase $3 bln in stock), TDW +1.2%, ACCO +1.1%, DLR +1%, DYN +0.9%, ED +0.8%, WTRG +0.8%, CIVI +0.3% (also to repurchase ~1.04 mln shares from Vitol for $75 mln), X +0.3%, EOG +0.2%, FOXF +0.2%, AES +0.1%, FRT +0.1%, GDDY +0.1%, KWR +0.1%, RGA +0.1%, VRRM +0.1%, OUT +0.1%, OTEX +0.1% (also authorizes new $250 mln share repurchase program)

Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to news: WOW +17.6% (Crestview Partners consortium with DBRG submit bid to acquire WOW), CDXS +9.9% (files $200 mln mixed shelf securities offering), IBRX +7% (signs supply agreement), DBRG +3.2% (Crestview Partners consortium with DBRG submit bid to acquire WOW), KIDS +1.9% (receives "breakthrough device" designation from FDA for eLLi growing rod system), ARWR +1.5% (receives $50 mln milestone payment), DLR +1% (announces AI collaboration with Oracle), CTAS +0.4% (approves 4-for-1 stock split), MBUU +0.3% (files mixed shelf securities offering; also files for offering by selling shareholders), ENPH +0.3% (CFO bought 4000 shares), SAND +0.2% (to sell a collection of metals royalties), NOC +0.1% (awarded $7 bln US Air Force contract)

After Hours Losers:

Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to earnings/guidance: SPT -22.1%, STEM -18.1%, BBAI -15.7%, NET -14.6%, TRUP -11.7% (also names new CEO), CTOS -10.4%, EXPE -8.3%, FTNT -7.8%, KURA -7.7%, VREX -7.5%, VIAV -7.1%, IR -6.2%, AAON -5.7%, RARE -5.1%, CABO -5%, FDP -4.9%, FND -3.4%, COIN -3.2%, COHU -2.6%, MP -2.6%, PLMR -2.5%, ILMN -2.4%, ALTR -2.2%, OHI -1.6%, EB -1.1%, SXI -0.8%, SWN -0.7%, HTGC -0.3%, DRH -0.2%, PTVE -0.1%, PXD -0.1%, SM -0.1%

Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to news: LLAP -13.5% (LMT withdraws proposal to acquire LLAP; LLAP says its ongoing strategic review continues), KOD -6.2% (presents data), SLNO -5.5% (stock offering), CLLS -2% (CFO steps down), ASPN -1.6% (stock offering by selling shareholder), PRGS -1.3% (PRGS confirms it does not intend to make an offer for MariaDB plc), AM -1.2% (AM acquires assets in Marcellus Shale for $70 mln from SMLP), HRL -1.2% (voluntarily recalling varieties of PLANTERS products), SABR -0.3% (files $100 mln mixed shelf securities offering), BDX -0.1% (files mixed shelf securities offering)

>>> Notable earnings/guidance movers: AAPL +6.9%, SQ +6.6%, PCTY +6.3%, FIVN +6.

Notable earnings/guidance movers: AAPL +6.9%, SQ +6.6%, PCTY +6.3%, FIVN +6.1%, BKNG +5.1%, LOCO +14.1% on upside; SPT -25.2%, BBAI -18%, TRUP -13.8%, NET -13%, FTNT -10.4%, EXPE -8.2%, COIN -3% on downside
  • Earnings/guidance gainers: LOCO +14.1%, ARDX +13.1%, TWST +12.1%, TNDM +12%, OPEN +11.1%, RMAX +10.2%, AMGN +9.6%, AAPL +6.9%, SQ +6.6%, PCTY +6.3%, FIVN +6.1%, ALHC +5.9%, CLFD +5.6%, MODV +5.6%, XPOF +5.6%, BKNG +5.1%, OLED +4.6%, MTZ +4.5%, MELI +4.3%, BILL +4.2%, WSC +3.7%, MNST +3.6%, DVA +3.4%, UDMY +3.3%, TXRH +3.2%, SEM +3%, HOLX +2.9%, VIR +2.9%, BECN +2.4%, RLAY +2.3%
  • Earnings/guidance losers: SPT -25.2%, BBAI -18%, STEM -15%, TRUP -13.8%, NET -13%, AAON -12%, FTNT -10.4%, VIAV -10.2%, CTOS -9.6%, EXPE -8.2%, FOXF -8.2%, VREX -6.9%, CABO -5%, CPT -5%, KURA -4.9%, FDP -3.7%, COIN -3%, ILMN -2.8%, IR -2.7%, ALTR -2.2%, FND -2%, TDW -2%, SWN -1.8%, EOG -1.7%, BJRI -1.6%, HTGC -1.2%, X -1.2%

>>> Apple beats by $0.02, reports revs in-line; iPhone revenue slightly below es

Apple beats by $0.02, reports revs in-line; iPhone revenue slightly below ests; raises dividend 4%; authorized $110 bln share repurchase program; guidance color will be provided on call (173.03 +3.73)
  • Reports Q2 (Mar) earnings of $1.53 per share, excluding non-recurring items, $0.02 better than the FactSet Consensus of $1.51; revenues fell 4.3% year/year to $90.75 bln vs the $90.37 bln FactSet Consensus.
  • Co reports Q2 iPhone revenue of $45.963 bln vs. $46.4 bln ests and $51.3 bln last year.
  • Co reports Q2 Mac revenue of $7.45 bln vs. $7.17 bln last year.
  • Co reports Q2 iPad revenue of $5.56 bln vs. $6.67 bln last year.
  • Co reports Q2 wearables revenue of $7.913 bln vs. $8.757 bln last year.
  • Co reports Q2 China revenues of $16.4 bln vs. $17.8 bln last year.
  • Apple's board of directors has declared a cash dividend of $0.25 per share of the Company's common stock, an increase of 4 percent. The dividend is payable on May 16, 2024 to shareholders of record as of the close of business on May 13, 2024. The board of directors has also authorized an additional program to repurchase up to $110 billion of the Company's common stock.
  • Apple CEO Tim Cook told CNBC that he expects Q3 (Jun) revenue will be up low single digits, but it wasn't specified if that was sequential or yr/yr. There will be more color provided on the call.
  • Mr. Cook said that the DOJ lawsuit is "misguided" and Apple will fight it. He says there will be more to come on artificial intelligence.
  • "Today Apple is reporting revenue of $90.8 billion for the March quarter, including an all-time revenue record in Services," said Tim Cook, Apple's CEO. "During the quarter, we were thrilled to launch Apple Vision Pro and to show the world the potential that spatial computing unlocks. We're also looking forward to an exciting product announcement next week and an incredible Worldwide Developers Conference next month. As always, we are focused on providing the very best products and services for our customers, and doing so while living up to the core values that drive us."

>>> Dyne Therapeutics misses by $0.01, reports no revenue (26.00 +0.17)

Dyne Therapeutics misses by $0.01, reports no revenue (26.00 +0.17)
  • Reports Q1 EPS of ($0.81), $0.01worse than the ($0.80) FactSet consensus estimate; no revenue.
  • Dyne anticipates reporting data from multiple, higher dose cohorts from both the ACHIEVE and DELIVER trials in the second half of 2024 with the goal of initiating registrational cohorts by the end of 2024.
  • Cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities were $453.5 million as of March 31, 2024. In addition, subsequent to March 31, 2023, the company received $24.3 million from the sale of stock through its "at the market" offering program. The Company's cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities are anticipated to fund operations through 2025.