Le Monde : A Dubaï, les criminels investissent dans la pierre en toute impunité

A Dubaï, les criminels investissent dans la pierre en toute impunité

« Dubai Unlocked » | Une fuite de données révèle que des dizaines de criminels, fugitifs et « kleptocrates » ont placé dans l’immobilier du petit émirat leurs millions d’origine douteuse, grâce à la complaisance des autorités locales.

Au trente-septième étage du Burj Khalifa, la plus haute tour du monde, Dzenis Kadric loue au prix fort un appartement haut de gamme avec une vue imprenable sur Dubaï. Le propriétaire ne le sait probablement pas, mais son locataire, un ancien policier serbe, est membre d’un cartel dont le leader est considéré par les autorités américaines comme « l’un des trafiquants de drogue les plus actifs au monde ». Le narcotrafiquant ne le sait sans doute pas non plus, mais son bailleur est lui aussi visé par la justice. Candido Nsue Okomo, l’ex-directeur de la société pétrolière nationale de Guinée équatoriale, devenu par la suite ministre des sports, est mis en examen pour détournement de fonds et pour blanchiment par la justice espagnole. Cette situation surprenante est emblématique du Dubaï d’aujourd’hui, où se croisent criminels condamnés, fugitifs, personnalités politiquement exposées et oligarques placés sous sanctions.

Jusqu’au milieu des années 1990, pourtant, la ville de 35 kilomètres carrés n’était que dunes sablonneuses. Il n’a fallu que quelques décennies pour qu’elle se mue en métropole démesurée. Une transformation tous azimuts, portée par la stabilité d’un régime monarchique rigide, une situation géographique au carrefour des continents et par la volonté de trouver des relais de croissance au pétrole, qui finira inéluctablement par s’épuiser.

L’émirat établit alors des zones franches à la fiscalité très avantageuse, investit massivement dans des infrastructures ultramodernes et joue pleinement la carte du tourisme. Il instaure des lois qui permettent aux étrangers de détenir facilement de l’immobilier. Ces conditions économiques et fiscales attirent les capitaux du monde entier. Le secteur de la construction suit le mouvement.

Mais derrière les façades rutilantes de la ville se dissimule une réalité moins avouable, dévoilée par une nouvelle fuite de données baptisée « Dubai Unlocked ». Ces informations cadastrales confidentielles détaillent comment l’immobilier émirati sert de refuge à certains des criminels les plus recherchés et les plus insaisissables de la planète, qui profitent de la bienveillance des autorités à l’égard de l’argent sale qui se déverse du monde entier – ou, tout au moins, de leur négligence.

Un patrimoine inconnu de la justice
Certains des noms révélés par le leak mènent directement aux plus hautes sphères du narcotrafic. Un trafiquant marseillais de premier plan s’est ainsi offert, en 2021, pas moins de dix-huit appartements dans deux tours du centre huppé de Dubaï, déboursant plus de 10 millions d’euros en quelques semaines. Ce patrimoine est inconnu de la justice française, qui a récemment condamné l’homme en question à de la prison pour trafic de stupéfiants. L’enquête judiciaire n’a pas permis d’établir l’existence d’actifs immobiliers aux Emirats financés par l’argent de la drogue, malgré de forts soupçons. Les enquêteurs français avaient pourtant sollicité leurs homologues dubaïotes pour obtenir des informations sur le volet financier. En vain.

Ailleurs, on retrouve pêle-mêle des Pakistanais accusés d’avoir blanchi des milliards de dollars pour le compte de trafiquants de drogues, un trafiquant néerlandais présent sur la liste des fugitifs les plus recherchés d’Europe, un parrain de la mafia suédoise, un ex-cadre de Siemens mouillé dans un scandale de corruption au Nigéria, plusieurs acteurs de l’escroquerie pyramidale à la cryptomonnaie « OneCoin », ou encore Alexei Oleksin, un oligarque sous sanctions européennes, soupçonné d’être le portefeuille du dictateur biélorusse, Alexandre Loukachenko. La découverte de dizaines de personnalités proches d’autocrates africains place par ailleurs Dubaï au centre d’un nouveau chapitre de la saga des « biens mal acquis ».

L’incohérence des procédures d’entraide internationale
« Les responsables de la corruption et les personnes politiquement exposées qui refusent de rendre des comptes au public utilisent des juridictions secrètes telles que les Emirats arabes unis pour dissimuler des actifs au vu et au su de tout le monde », résume Maria Giuditta Borselli, cheffe de projet pour C4ADS, le think-tank américain à l’origine de la fuite de données.

Pour ceux que les sanctions internationales empêchent de voyager en Occident, ou ceux qui cherchent à échapper aux forces de l’ordre, la ville possède de nombreux avantages. Premier d’entre eux : l’incohérence des procédures pour aider les autorités étrangères à arrêter et extrader les fugitifs. Les Emirats arabes unis (EAU) ont certes signé, en quelques années, plus de quarante traités d’extradition. Mais plusieurs fugitifs de premier plan profitent toujours au grand jour du luxe de la ville, à l’image de la milliardaire angolaise Isabel Dos Santos, qui continue de tenir la chronique de sa vie dubaïote sur Instagram malgré la notice rouge d’Interpol qui la vise depuis 2022. Le sentiment d’impunité est tel que de nombreux criminels ne prennent même pas la peine de dissimuler leurs achats derrière des sociétés-écrans ou des hommes de paille, comme c’est souvent le cas ailleurs.

Dans un rapport rédigé en 2021 dans le cadre d’une vaste enquête européenne sur la criminalité organisée, la police judiciaire d’Anvers (Belgique) relevait que Dubaï était devenue en quelques années « un refuge pour les criminels ». « C’est un endroit où les gens peuvent séjourner librement, dépenser des ressources financières obtenues illégalement et coordonner des activités criminelles », constataient les policiers, soulignant les « résultats plutôt médiocres » des Emiratis « en matière de coopération policière et judiciaire internationale ».

La non-extradition d’Atul et de Rajesh Gupta est, de ce point de vue, éloquente. Accusés d’avoir pillé les caisses publiques de l’Afrique du Sud, poursuivis pour fraude, ces deux frères proches de l’ancien président sud-africain Jacob Zuma ont échappé à l’extradition vers Pretoria, malgré l’existence d’un traité de coopération entre les deux pays. Les Emirats ont discrètement rejeté la demande en 2023, au grand dam de l’Afrique du Sud, dont les autorités ont déclaré ne pas avoir reçu de « réponses satisfaisantes » sur le sujet.

« Les accords d’extradition ne sont pas nécessairement déterminants pour extrader une personne, décrypte l’avocate Radha Stirling, fondatrice de l’association « Detained in Dubaï » (Détenus à Dubaï). Ce qui compte, c’est ce que Dubaï peut obtenir en retour. » La police de Dubaï se défend en mettant en avant les récentes arrestations résultant de notices rouges d’Interpol, et assure s’employer à « renforcer les ressources pour répondre aux attentes » de ses homologues étrangers.

Des achats en cash ou en bitcoin
Dubaï présente aussi un autre attrait pour le blanchiment de l’argent de la drogue ou de la corruption : la présence sur place de nombreux intermédiaires financiers, au premier rang desquels les agents immobiliers, qui ont la réputation de ne poser de questions ni sur l’acheteur ni sur l’origine de ses fonds. En mars, lors d’un rendez-vous en caméra cachée avec un gestionnaire immobilier à Dubaï, des journalistes de la télévision suédoise (SVT) ont été informés qu’ils pouvaient payer en « sacs de billets » ou en cryptomonnaies pour acheter un appartement, et qu’il n’y aurait « aucune question » à propos d’un tel financement. « Quiconque veut acheter peut acheter », a assuré l’agent immobilier. Certains sites de courtiers immobiliers disent accepter « tous types de paiement », y compris le « cash » et les « bitcoins ».

Malgré les nouvelles règles antiblanchiment imposées aux agents immobiliers depuis 2019, il reste « des avocats, des banquiers et des professionnels de l’immobilier qui font fi des exigences internationales en matière de déclaration des transactions suspectes », estime John Christensen, cofondateur de l’ONG spécialisée Tax Justice Network. Ce que confirme en creux le nombre très faible de déclarations de soupçon adressées aux services de renseignement financier de l’émirat – à peine 612 entre 2020 et 2023 –, alors que les transactions immobilières se comptent en centaines de milliers.

Maintien sur liste grise
Contactées par Le Monde et ses partenaires, les autorités émiraties ont répondu de manière laconique. Estimant prendre « très au sérieux [leur] rôle dans la protection de l’intégrité du système financier mondial », les Emirats assurent travailler « en étroite collaboration avec leurs partenaires internationaux pour perturber et décourager toutes les formes de financement illicite ».

En 2022, les lacunes de la lutte antiblanchiment ont pourtant conduit le Groupe d’action financière sur le blanchiment de capitaux (GAFI) à placer le pays sur sa liste « grise » des pays à risque de blanchiment sous surveillance renforcée. Les autorités émiraties se sont alors empressées de renforcer leur réglementation – au moins sur le papier. Après un intense lobbying, le pays a réussi à sortir du « purgatoire » après seulement un an. Un succès décisif, qui a poussé la Commission européenne à engager, dans la foulée, le retrait des EAU de sa liste « grise ».

C’était sans compter sur le Parlement européen qui, dans une démarche inédite, a opposé le 23 avril son véto à cette décision. Doutant des « progrès significatifs » qu’auraient accomplis les Emirats, les eurodéputés ont appelé à une évaluation « rigoureuse et impartiale » du centre financier émirati, qui demeure « l’un des plus grands fournisseurs d’opacité financière au monde ». Ce que vient une nouvelle fois confirmer l’enquête « Dubai Unlocked ».

WSJ : Comcast to Launch Streaming Bundle of Peacock, Netflix and Apple TV+

Comcast to Launch Streaming Bundle of Peacock, Netflix and Apple TV+
New bundle, called StreamSaver, to be available exclusively to subscribers of Comcast’s internet service

Comcast CMCSA 0.37%increase; green up pointing triangle will start bundling its Peacock streaming platform with rivals Netflix NFLX 0.19%increase; green up pointing triangle and Apple AAPL 0.13%increase; green up pointing triangle TV+, the latest effort by entertainment companies to retain customers by offering several services at a discount.

The new bundle, called StreamSaver, will be exclusively available to customers of Comcast’s internet service, Comcast Chief Executive Brian Roberts said at a MoffettNathanson investor conference Tuesday.

The announcement comes less than a week after two other media conglomerates, Disney and Warner Bros. Discovery, said they would offer Disney’s Disney+ and Hulu and Warner’s Max service as part of a bundle, which would become available this summer.

The StreamSaver bundle will include Netflix’s ad-based tier, which currently costs $6.99 per month. Comcast expects to announce pricing and other details of the bundle next week, a person familiar with the company’s plans said. The bundle is expected to be launched by the end of the month.

The decisions by rival entertainment companies to join forces and offer their streaming services in a bundle come as they are dealing with competitive pressures. They have been raising prices sharply over the past year or so in an effort to bring their streaming businesses to profitability, but have in turn faced rising levels of customer defections.

Last year, Verizon began offering the ad-supported versions of Max and Netflix for $10 a month combined, instead of $17 a month. Paramount over the past several months had discussions with both Apple and Comcast about bundling their streaming services, The Wall Street Journal reported.

The number of streaming options has vastly increased over the past five years, making it harder for entertainment companies to retain subscribers once they are done binge-watching a specific show. Streamers’ challenges are exacerbated by the fact that most services are available through a monthly subscription.

Offering multiple services as part of one package decreases the likelihood that subscribers will cancel on any given month, the Journal previously reported, citing data from Antenna, a subscriber-measurement company.

Many streaming services moved aggressively to grow their subscriber base in an attempt to rapidly gain market share after their launch. They often charged bargain-basement prices to do so, which led to a financial reckoning and prompted sharp price increases in subsequent years.

Most major streamers have also launched ad-supported tiers of their offerings in an effort to attract price-conscious customers and generate more revenue. Netflix executives have said that growing its ad-supported service, which launched a year and a half ago, is a priority.

Yet the most dominant streaming platform remains one that is free to watch: Google’s YouTube. Nearly 10% of the time Americans spent in front of TV screens last month was on YouTube’s flagship smart-TV app, according to Nielsen data released Tuesday.

The Information : Private Equity Took Saudi Money. Now It’s Backing the Region’s

Private Equity Took Saudi Money. Now It’s Backing the Region’s Startups

The Middle East’s giant sovereign wealth funds have poured money into dozens of U.S. private tech funds with the expectation that some of those petro dollars will funnel back to the region’s startups. Now there are signs that venture capitalists and private equity funds are responding by scouting for investments in local startups.

In recent months General Atlantic made an investment in Eyewa, an eyewear retailer similar to Warby Parker, based in Riyadh and Dubai. And TPG this year backed Riyadh-based Hala, which provides point-of-sale software, according to four people familiar with the transactions, which haven’t been previously reported. Both General Atlantic and TPG have raised money from Saudi Arabia’s $925 billion Public Investment Fund and are in the process of increasing their in-person presence in the region.

The Takeaway
General Atlantic and TPG raised money from deep-pocketed Saudi backers. Now they’re putting some of their cash back into the region—in startups like Eyewa, a Riyadh-based eyewear retailer similar to Warby Parker.

The investments offer a window into the kind of dealmaking investors expect to increase in the coming years. The first wave comprises PE firms and large asset managers like Wellington Management, which tend to invest in companies that have proven they can make money. They’ve been buying stakes in mature Mideast fintech and e-commerce startups, as well as climate and energy funds. Venture capital firms that back younger companies are likely to follow because the VC firms increasingly have financial ties to PIF. The wealth fund’s leaders expect firms that manage its money to invest in the country.

Andreessen Horowitz has discussed launching a multibillion-dollar artificial intelligence fund in partnership with PIF. New York VC and hedge fund Coatue Management participated in the region’s largest deal last year, a $340 million Series C round for Riyadh-based installment lender Tamara. Both Andreessen Horowitz and Coatue have raised money from Sanabil Investments, a subsidiary of PIF.

Smaller U.S. firms are also making inroads. This week, Saudi logistics startup WheeKeep revealed it had raised an $8 million Series A led by New York VC firm Fintech Collective.

U.S. firms’ investments in local startups represent one part of multidecade plans by the governments of Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and other Gulf countries to lessen their dependence on oil. In the last decade, they have backed U.S. funds to earn returns on fast-growing tech startups. More recently, the regimes have also invested heavily in developing local startups, courting international founders and technical workers and subsidizing projects like the UAE’s Falcon, an Arabic large language model.

Global investors “traditionally came here for fundraising,” said Eyewa co-founder and co-CEO Mehdi Oudghiri, a former executive at food-delivery startup Foodpanda. But in the last year or so he’s noticed that large PE firms and funds from across the globe are on the hunt to invest.

They “see the region as one of the next frontier markets,” akin to the investment opportunity in fledgling Chinese internet companies 15 to 20 years ago, he said.

Oudghiri and a spokesperson for General Atlantic declined to comment on the firm’s investment in Eyewa. A spokesperson for Hala didn’t respond to requests for comment on TPG’s investment.

The recent flurry of activity aside, the region’s startup economy is still tiny. The total raised by Saudi startups represents less than 1% of $171 billion U.S. startups secured last year and 2% compared to Chinese startups, according to PitchBook.

Middle East startup successes include Careem, a Dubai-based ride-hailing company bought by Uber in 2020 for $3.1 billion and e-commerce startup Souq, acquired by Amazon for $580 million in 2017. These pale in size beside the stars of other emerging markets, such as Indonesian superapp GoTo and China’s ByteDance.

Still, Mideast leaders have been touting their countries’ fast growth as they hobnob at U.S. financial conferences and discuss making more direct investments in U.S. tech companies, particularly in AI.

“Global leading VCs are flocking to the Kingdom to take advantage of the innovation,” said Khalid Al-Falih, Saudi Arabia’s minister of investment, at the Milken Institute’s Global Conference in Los Angeles last week.

Saudi Arabian startups last year raised a record $1.4 billion, more than six times higher than in 2018. That makes the country the most active in the region by startup investments, according to Middle East venture data provider Magnitt.

Global Aspirations

More investments from offshore funds are likely to drive up those totals, particularly as U.S. firms court sovereign wealth fund backers that strongly encourage reciprocal investments. Already some of the biggest firms have been increasing staff and investments in the region.

General Atlantic, which invested just over $400 million in the region since 2015, is in the process of opening offices in the UAE and Saudi Arabia and is hiring local staff in both countries, according to a person familiar with the firm’s strategy. It’s just as interested in investments as in raising capital in the region, the person said. To lead its expansion, last year it appointed Samir Assaf, former HSBC Holdings CEO of global banking and markets, to a new role as chair of Middle East and North Africa.

“We feel that some of these companies can become seriously regional or even global.…What they need is to be scaled up,” Assaf told the publication Arabian Gulf Business Insight.

TPG has long operated an office in Dubai but has recently decided to invest more in the region. In September, the San Francisco–based asset giant appointed Asia managing partner Ganen Sarvananthan to lead the firm’s expansion in the Middle East. Then in December it made a $1.5 billion commitment to Alterra, a new climate investment fund in Abu Dhabi. And last week, TPG announced $8 billion in funds focused on Asia private equity, overseen by Sarvananthan.

“We see Asia and the Middle East as priorities and significant growth areas for the firm,” said TPG CEO Jon Winkelried in a statement ahead of a planned speaking engagement at the Qatar Economic Forum in Doha this week.

The biggest U.S. asset managers are also gearing up to invest more.

Boston-based Wellington Management in November led a $1.5 billion–valuation investment in Tabby, a Riyadh-based “buy now, pay later” startup. In January, Wellington opened an office in Dubai.

BlackRock, which manages $9 trillion in assets, in April established a Riyadh-based investment platform, anchored by an initial $5 billion investment from PIF, which will “support foreign institutional investment into Saudi Arabia,” according to a press release.

The drumbeat of announcements is encouraging to the region’s startups. “These are very strong signals that there is commitment to the region," said Oudghiri.

WSJ : Fed Chair Jerome Powell Maintains Wait-and-See Posture on Inflation and Ra

Fed Chair Jerome Powell Maintains Wait-and-See Posture on Inflation and Rates
‘We’re just going to have to see where the inflation data fall out,’ says central bank leader

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell affirmed the central bank’s plans to hold interest rates at the highest level in more than two decades as it awaits evidence that a slowdown in inflation will resume after setbacks this year.

Powell said he expected inflation to continue heading lower but that he was less confident than he had previously been about that outlook, leaving the Fed unable to say whether or when it might be able to lower interest rates.

“We’re just going to have to see where the inflation data fall out,” he said during a moderated discussion in Amsterdam on Tuesday.

Fed officials began 2024 optimistic that they would be able to soon lower rates from their highest level in two decades. After a series of cooler inflation readings in late 2023, it seemed possible that just one or two more months would make officials confident that inflation would reach their 2% target before too long and allow them to begin reducing rates.

Then came three successive disappointing inflation reports, leading Powell and his colleagues to effectively hit the reset button.

“We did not expect this to be a smooth road,” but recent readings were even higher than anticipated, Powell said Tuesday. The Fed leader said he still anticipated interest rates were high enough to slow demand and bring inflation down, meaning the Fed will need to “be patient and let restrictive policy do its work.”

Most officials have indicated that they don’t anticipate the central bank will need to resume interest rate increases. Since last raising rates in July, officials have held their benchmark federal-funds rate steady in a range between 5.25% and 5.5%, the highest in two decades.

Powell had indicated in recent weeks that the central bank would keep interest rates at the current level for even longer if inflation failed to subside in the months ahead. The Fed could cut rates if the labor market weakened unexpectedly, he said.

A measure of inflation that strips out volatile food and energy prices stood at 2.8% in March from a year earlier, down from 4.8% in March 2023. But the 12-month measure masks the more recent setbacks: Over the six months through March, prices rose at an annualized 3.0% rate, up from 1.9% for the six months ending in December. The Fed targets 2% inflation over time.

A key piece of data will come Wednesday, when the Labor Department reports the consumer-price index for April. A measure of producer prices for last month, reported Tuesday before Powell’s speech, had mixed implications for the Fed’s preferred gauge, which will be released later this month.

Meanwhile, the unemployment rate has edged up over the past year to 3.9% in April, from 3.4% one year earlier. Job growth has been steady and economic activity has been stronger than anticipated, partly reflecting increases in immigration.

The stakes are high for Fed officials, who are trying to navigate two risks after conducting over the last two years the most aggressive series of interest rate increases in four decades. One is that they ease too soon, allowing inflation to become entrenched at a level above their 2% target. The other is that they wait until the labor market crumples under the weight of higher rates.

Variety : Comcast to Launch Peacock, Netflix and Apple TV+ Bundle at a ‘Vastly R

Comcast to Launch Peacock, Netflix and Apple TV+ Bundle at a ‘Vastly Reduced Price’

Get ready for the next cable-like streaming bundle: Comcast later this month will launch a three-way bundle — with Peacock, Netflix and Apple TV+ — offered at a deep discount, Comcast chief Brian Roberts said.

Dubbed StreamSaver, the bundle will be available to all Comcast broadband, TV and mobile customers, Roberts said, speaking Tuesday at MoffettNathanson’s 2024 Media, Internet and Communications Conference in New York.

The three streaming services, Peacock, Netflix and Apple TV+, will “come at a vastly reduced price to anything available today,” Roberts said, although he didn’t reveal any pricing. The goal is to “add value to consumers” and “take dollars out” of other people’s streaming businesses, he added, while reinforcing Comcast’s broadband service offerings.

Comcast’s impending launch of the StreamSaver bundle come as other media companies have been assembling similar offerings.

Last week, Disney and Warner Bros. Discovery announced a three-way bundle comprising Max, Disney+ and Hulu starting this summer in the U.S. (with pricing TBA).

In addition, Disney, WBD and Fox Corp. have formed a joint venture to launch a streaming sports bundle, which is slated to debut this fall. Critics have alleged the joint venture, which some have dubbed “Spulu” (a combo of “sports” and “Hulu”), is anticompetitive and violates antitrust law.

>>> US Gapping up

Gapping up
In reaction to earnings/guidance
:
  • PSFE +13.9%, HROW +12.8%, ONON +10%, ALC +9.2%, SE +7%, ALLO +6.9% (also prices common stock offering), INFN +5%, VYGR +4.7%, IGT +3.6%, VOD +3.4%, PACS +2.9%, SONY +2.8%, AGYS +1.5%, MAG +1.4%, SFL +1.1%
Other news:
  • AMC +87.7% (completed its previously disclosed "at-the-market" equity offering launched on March 28, 2024; AMC raised approximately $250 mln of new equity capital through the sale of 72.5 mln shares at $3.45/share)
  • SPWR +61.8% (delays 10-Q filing)
  • LXRX +4.3% ( New Post-Hoc Analysis of Pooled Phase 3 Data Shows That INPEFA (Sotagliflozin) Reduced Risk of Heart Failure Events in Patients With Preserved Ejection Fraction)
  • CDXS +3.9% (presents groundbreaking enzymatic synthesis data at TIDES USA annual meeting)
  • LBAI +3.8% (Lakeland Bancorp and Provident (PFS) expect to close the Merger Transaction after the close of trading on May 15)
  • STLA +2.4% (talks with VALE to buy nickel smelter, according to FT.com)
  • CLNE +2.4% (Clean Energy Fuels and Maas Energy Works announce a new joint development agreement to build nine renewable natural gas (RNG) production facilities at dairy farms across seven states)
  • STXS +2.3% (to acquire Access Point Technologies EP)
  • HCM +0.9% (Initiates the RAPHAEL Registrational Phase III Trial of HMPL-306 for Patients with IDH1- and/or IDH2-Mutated Relapsed/Refractory Acute Myeloid Leukemia in China; Initiates Phase II/III Trial of the Combination of Surufatinib and Camrelizumab)
Analyst comments:
  • FULC +6.1% (upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Goldman)
  • CGON +3.2% (upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Goldman)
  • PLNT +3% (upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at JP Morgan)
  • SAM +1.9% (upgraded to Buy from Hold at Jefferies)

>>> US Research Calls

Research Calls I
  • Upgrades:
    • Amicus Therapeutics (FOLD) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Guggenheim; tgt $13
    • Atmos Energy (ATO) upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Wells Fargo; tgt raised to $132
    • Boston Beer Co (SAM) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Jefferies; tgt raised to $360
    • CG Oncology (CGON) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Goldman; tgt $50
    • Edison (EIX) upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Wells Fargo; tgt raised to $86
    • Enhabit Inc. (EHAB) upgraded to Market Perform from Underperform at Leerink Partners; tgt $8.50
    • Expeditors Intl (EXPD) upgraded to Neutral from Underperform at Exane BNP Paribas; tgt $112
    • Fortrea (FTRE) upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Robert W. Baird; tgt lowered to $36
    • Fulcrum Therapeutics (FULC) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Goldman; tgt $15
    • Legacy Housing (LEGH) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at B. Riley Securities; tgt raised to $25
    • Newell Brands (NWL) upgraded to Equal Weight from Underweight at Barclays; tgt $8
    • Planet Fitness (PLNT) upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at JP Morgan; tgt raised to $78
    • Sarepta Therapeutics (SRPT) upgraded to Outperform from Perform at Oppenheimer; tgt $180
    • VTEX (VTEX) upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at JP Morgan; tgt $9
    • Expro Group (XPRO) upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Barclays; tgt raised to $27
  • Downgrades:
    • AirSculpt Technologies (AIRS) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Leerink Partners; tgt lowered to $5
    • Augmedix (AUGX) downgraded to In-line from Outperform at Evercore ISI; tgt lowered to $1.50
    • Inotiv (NOTV) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Jefferies; tgt lowered to $3.75
    • Medical Properties Trust (MPW) downgraded to Sector Perform from Outperform at RBC Capital Mkts; tgt $5
    • Oceaneering Intl (OII) downgraded to Underweight from Equal Weight at Barclays; tgt lowered to $21
    • RAPT Therapeutics (RAPT) downgraded to Peer Perform from Outperform at Wolfe Research
    • Roblox (RBLX) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at ROTH MKM; tgt lowered to $35
  • Others:
    • Actinum Pharma (ATNM) initiated with a Overweight at Stephens; tgt $25
    • Arcellx (ACLX) initiated with an Outperform at Evercore ISI; tgt $85
    • BioMarin Pharmaceutical (BMRN) initiated with a Outperform at Evercore ISI; tgt $113
    • BioNTech (BNTX) initiated with a In-line at Evercore ISI; tgt $100
    • Blueprint Medicines (BPMC) initiated with a Overweight at Stephens; tgt $140
    • BridgeBio Pharma (BBIO) initiated with an Outperform at Evercore ISI; tgt $50
    • CRH Plc. (CRH) initiated with a Outperform at RBC Capital Mkts; tgt $110
    • CEMEX S.A. (CX) initiated with a Underperform at RBC Capital Mkts; tgt $9
    • Delcath (DCTH) initiated with a Overweight at Stephens; tgt $25
    • Descartes (DSGX) initiated with a Neutral at Redburn Atlantic; tgt $90
    • Elevation Oncology (ELEV) initiated with a Overweight at Stephens; tgt $8
    • Exelixis (EXEL) initiated with an Equal-Weight at Stephens; tgt $23
    • Inovio Pharma (INO) initiated with a Overweight at Stephens; tgt $20
    • Manhattan Assoc (MANH) initiated with a Buy at Redburn Atlantic; tgt $260
    • Moderna (MRNA) initiated with a In-line at Evercore ISI; tgt $120
    • Neurocrine Biosciences (NBIX) initiated with an Outperform at Evercore ISI; tgt $175
    • Blue Owl Capital (OWL) resumed with a Buy at Citigroup; tgt $21
    • Regeneron Pharma (REGN) initiated with an Outperform at Evercore ISI; tgt $1150
    • Seagate Tech (STX) initiated with a Buy at Citigroup; tgt $110
    • Sensei Biotherapeutics (SNSE) initiated with a Overweight at Stephens; tgt $5
    • SPS Commerce (SPSC) initiated with a Buy at Redburn Atlantic; tgt $220
    • Veru (VERU) initiated with a Buy at B. Riley Securities; tgt $5
    • Vermilion Energy (VET) resumed with a Outperform at BMO Capital Markets
    • Weatherford (WFRD) initiated with a Buy at Citigroup; tgt $155
    • Western Digital (WDC) initiated with a Buy at Citigroup; tgt $90

>>> US Gapping down

Gapping down
In reaction to earnings/guidance
:
  • STNE -6.9%, BABA -5.2%, IHS -3.1%, PBR -2.1%, LQDA -2%
Other news:
  • NOTV -29.3% (delays 10-Q filing)
  • LLAP -10.5% (selected by LMT for a contract)
  • JAMF -10.4% (commences public offering by selling shareholders)
  • MBIN -7.4% (prices offering of 2.4 mln shares of common stock at $43.00 per share)
  • NGD -4.8% (files mixed shelf)
  • BITF -3.1% (secured an additional 100 MW at its Yguazu site through an amendment to the existing 100 MW Power Purchase Agreement with the Paraguay state-owned utility, ANDE)
  • ATOS -2.1% (files $100 mln mixed shelf)
  • HSAI -2% (CFO resigns; names interim CFO)
  • RXT -1.5% (delays 10-Q filing)
  • RILY -1.3% (delays 10-Q filing)
Analyst comments:
  • OII -1.9% (downgraded to Underweight from Equal Weight at Barclays)

>>> Lionsgate Studios to launch today, Tuesday, May 14

Lionsgate Studios to launch today, Tuesday, May 14
  • Lionsgate (LGF.A, LGF.B) announced that Lionsgate Studios (LION) will launch tomorrow, May 14, as one of the world's largest standalone pure play, publicly-traded content companies when it begins trading as a single class of stock under the NASDAQ ticker symbol LION. Lionsgate Studios is comprised of Lionsgate's Motion Picture Group and Television Studio segments along with a 20,000-plus title film and television library.
  • The transaction, which raised $350 million in proceeds from a group of leading investors, was enabled by a business combination with Screaming Eagle Acquisition Corp. (SCRM), whose shareholders approved the deal at an extraordinary general meeting on May 7, 2024. Screaming Eagle is a publicly-traded special purpose acquisition company established for the purpose of effecting a merger, asset acquisition, or similar business combination with one or more businesses.
  • The transaction is a major step in executing Lionsgate's plan to fully separate its Studio and STARZ businesses. It values Lionsgate Studios at an enterprise value of $4.6 billion.

FT : Anglo American needs a speedy break-up to make up with investors

Anglo American needs a speedy break-up to make up with investors
The fact that the mining group has finally moved to clean up its messy structure has to be a good thing

In tennis, it is known as “spectator’s neck”. The back and forth in BHP’s attempt to win over rival miner Anglo American is enough to make investors rub their napes. Anglo’s latest shot on Tuesday — a break-up plan to focus the group on copper, iron ore and crop nutrients — is worth their attention.

Markets shrugged off Anglo boss Duncan Wanblad’s pledge to create a more profitable, cash flow rich company, with its shares falling slightly as a burgeoning takeover premium deflated. Yet the fact Anglo has finally moved to clean up its messy structure and overly broad commodities mix has to be a good thing.

Wanblad’s restructuring would make Anglo a copper specialist. More than half of its pro forma ebitda would come from the red metal in 2026 on Visible Alpha estimates. He plans to sell off the miner’s metallurgical coal mines, the best of which are in Queensland in Australia, demerge Anglo American Platinum and either divest or demerge the De Beers diamond unit. Anglo’s ailing nickel business will be mothballed.

In met coal, Anglo has plumped for an asset sale that could credibly raise much-needed capital quickly: it is already in contact with buyers for the Australian business in the Bowen Basin. That could raise $3bn; Glencore, for example, has operations not far away.

Other elements will take time. Separating its stake in Johannesburg-listed Amplats will require negotiation, given the large South African labour forces at risk. De Beers may take a while, though Anglo is in advanced talks over a new sales agreement with Botswana, a pre-requisite for any separation. Anglo will probably also seek to sell its stake in Samancor, the South African manganese/chrome business worth about $1.4bn, according to Jefferies.

Simply shedding coal this year would be an important step, given Anglo’s erratic record in executing on previous strategic plans. Those funds should cover a good chunk of any South African tax hit from separating Amplats, as well as paying down some debt. But more importantly this plan should deliver more profits to shareholders. In two years, Wanblad sees better ebitda margins — up by half to 46 per cent. Alone the added $800mn cost savings from this break-up plan once taxed and capitalised is worth $3.5bn, or about £2.30 per share.

Self-help from Anglo is less sexy than an all-out bidding war. But BHP’s constraints on bidding much higher, and the difficulties in going hostile, mean the latter looks increasingly unlikely. Anglo, at least, has given investors reason to stay in their seats.