>>> US Gapping up

Gapping up
In reaction to earnings/guidance
:
  • KC +7.5%, EL +6.5%, YMM +2.4%, KEYS +2.3%, FLNG +1.7%, ADI +1.6%, VIK +1.4%, TOL +1.3%, WB +1.2%, JKHY +1.1%, SQM +0.9%, ENVX +0.8%
Other news:
  • MRNA +53.1% (Merck, Moderna say Phase 3 intismeran plus KEYTRUDA met RFS, DMFS endpoints in adjuvant melanoma)
  • MRK +5.8% (Merck, Moderna say Phase 3 intismeran plus KEYTRUDA met RFS, DMFS endpoints in adjuvant melanoma)
  • SKHY +3.9% (approves KRW40 trln share repurchase and cancellation program)
  • PPC +3.5% (JBS proposes acquiring remaining Pilgrim's Pride (PPC) shares in stock deal)
  • TWST +3.3% (Anthropic has chosen Twist Bioscience Corporation as one of its independent evaluators)
  • AMLX +3.1% (launches $350 mln stock offering)
  • KEN +2.3% (announces receipt of approximately $93 million in connection with payment of arbitration award by the Republic of Peru)
  • HYMC +1.5% (additional drill results from Brimstone and Vortex)

>>> US Research Calls

Research Calls I
  • Upgrades:
    • Ciena (CIEN) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Northland, tgt $500
    • Dollar Tree (DLTR) upgraded to Hold from Underperform at Jefferies, tgt $135
    • Dominion Energy (D) upgraded to Buy from Hold at TD Cowen, tgt $80
    • Fabrinet (FN) upgraded to Outperform from Equal Weight at Fox Advisors
    • Honeywell Aerospace (HONA) upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Morgan Stanley, tgt $205
    • Neptune Insurance (NP) upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Morgan Stanley, tgt $36
    • TWFG Insurance (TWFG) upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Morgan Stanley, tgt $30
  • Downgrades:
    • Baidu (BIDU) downgraded to Underweight from Equal Weight at Morgan Stanley, tgt $80
    • CME Group (CME) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Deutsche Bank, tgt $270
    • Cogent Communications (CCOI) downgraded to Underweight from Neutral at JPMorgan, tgt $9
    • Core Natural Resources (CNR) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at UBS, tgt $105
    • Klarna (KLAR) downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at JPMorgan, tgt $18
    • Mereo BioPharma (MREO) downgraded to Underweight from Neutral at JPMorgan
    • Pediatrix Medical (MD) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Jefferies, tgt $28
    • Pershing Square (PS) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Citi, tgt $45
  • Others:
    • Aflac (AFL) initiated with an Underperform at Wolfe Research, tgt $103
    • Agomab Therapeutics (AGMB) initiated with an Overweight at Cantor Fitzgerald
    • Aktis Oncology (AKTS) initiated with an Outperform at BMO Capital, tgt $37
    • Aktis Oncology (AKTS) initiated with an Outperform at Wedbush, tgt $35
    • Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY) initiated with an Outperform at BMO Capital, tgt $318
    • Ascendis Pharma (ASND) initiated with an Outperform at BMO Capital, tgt $319
    • Bicara Therapeutics (BCAX) initiated with an Outperform at BMO Capital, tgt $35
    • BioMarin Pharmaceutical (BMRN) initiated with an Outperform at BMO Capital, tgt $98
    • Cardinal Health (CAH) initiated with an Outperform at RBC Capital, tgt $276
    • Cencora (COR) initiated with a Sector Perform at RBC Capital, tgt $330
    • Corsair Gaming (CRSR) assumed with a Sell at Goldman Sachs, tgt $11
    • Cricut (CRCT) assumed with a Sell at Goldman Sachs, tgt $4.50
    • DarioHealth (DRIO) initiated with a Buy at Alliance Global, tgt $12
    • Exelixis (EXEL) initiated with a Market Perform at BMO Capital, tgt $54
    • Healthcare Services Group (HCSG) initiated with an Outperform at Oppenheimer, tgt $28
    • Ionis Pharmaceuticals (IONS) initiated with a Market Perform at BMO Capital, tgt $60
    • KE Holdings (BEKE) initiated with an Outperform at CLSA, tgt $23.80
    • McKesson (MCK) initiated with a Sector Perform at RBC Capital, tgt $845
    • Perspective Therapeutics (CATX) initiated with an Outperform at BMO Capital, tgt $11
    • Prime Medicine (PRME) initiated with an Outperform at BMO Capital, tgt $9
    • ResMed (RMD) initiated with a Neutral at Rothschild & Co Redburn, tgt $230
    • Safehold (SAFE) resumed with a Market Perform at Raymond James
    • Zoom Communications (ZM) reinstated with a Buy at BofA Securities, tgt $130

>>> Treasury announces increased sizes of nominal long-end (767.45) "The U.S. De

Treasury announces increased sizes of nominal long-end
  • "The U.S. Department of the Treasury is increasing, by at least double, the size of liquidity support buyback operations for longer-dated nominal coupon securities (the 10-year to 20-year sector and the 20-year to 30-year sector). The current maximum size of $2 billion per operation will be at least $4 billion per operation.
  • This change is effective September 9, 2026 and will be in effect for the remainder of this refunding quarter (through November 4, 2026). Treasury will provide more information about future buyback sizes at the next Quarterly Refunding, scheduled for November 4, 2026.
  • This increase in buyback operation sizes reflects Treasury's desire to provide greater liquidity support in longer-dated nominal sectors where there is consistent strong sponsorship from market participants, as evidenced by the significant volume of high-quality offers Treasury routinely receives in longer-dated buyback operations."

>>> European Press Digest -19/08/2026

LA REPUBBLICA
-Italy is confronting a new migration dispute after Switzerland authorized refugee transfers back to Italy, raising fears in Giorgia Meloni’s government of a broader cascade of returns from European partners. Rome is seeking an understanding with Berlin as the opposition argues Meloni’s sovereignty-first approach has weakened Italy’s leverage inside the EU.
-Meloni’s government is preparing a new energy plan combining incentives for greener homes with a renewed push for nuclear power, potentially marking a significant shift in Italian energy policy as Rome tries to reconcile decarbonization, energy security and electricity costs.
-Interior Minister Matteo Salvini faces a widening internal revolt in the League, with senior figure Massimiliano Romeo attacking the party’s “Sun King” leadership model and calling for an end to its increasingly rigid sovereignist (ie, strict on migration) posture. The challenge suggests Salvini’s difficulties are becoming structural rather than episodic as rivals debate how the League can arrest its political decline.
-Iran is reportedly considering attacks on U.S. military targets in Europe as the war again intensifies, while Trump says there will be “no negotiations” with Tehran. Repubblica also highlights Scott Ritter’s assessment that Washington has become trapped in an unwinnable conflict, reflecting the increasingly pessimistic debate over the war’s trajectory.
-BYD’s European offensive has accelerated to the point that Repubblica says the Chinese automaker is now valued alongside German giants Mercedes-Benz, BMW and Volkswagen, underscoring how quickly China’s EV industry is challenging Europe on its home turf. The competitive pressure is particularly consequential for Italy, which is simultaneously trying to rebuild domestic automotive production and attract new investment.

FRANKFURTER ALLGEMEINE ZEITUNG
-Germany faces another energy squeeze heading into winter, with natural gas now twice as expensive as before the Iran war and storage levels unusually low. The combination is feeding through to customers and threatens another cost shock for German industry just as the economy is struggling to regain competitiveness.
-German raw-material producers warn that Environment Minister Carsten Schneider’s proposed conservation legislation could make domestic extraction of gravel, limestone and gypsum more difficult, raising construction costs and increasing dependence on imports. The dispute captures the growing tension between Germany’s environmental rules and its attempt to restore greater industrial and strategic autonomy.
-Germany’s automotive crisis is increasingly spreading beyond manufacturers into their surrounding industrial ecosystems, with Volkswagen subsidiary IAV and engineering group Bertrandt cutting jobs as orders from carmakers decline. Ingolstadt offers a particularly visible example: the downturn at Audi is now depressing the local property market after decades in which the automaker underpinned the city’s prosperity.
-The political fragmentation of eastern Germany is intensifying ahead of the Saxony-Anhalt election, with the CDU confronting a powerful AfD while tensions are also widening inside BSW. In Thuringia, BSW state leader Katja Wolf is defending cooperation in government while distancing herself further from Sahra Wagenknecht, underscoring how participation in government is pulling the young populist party in competing directions.
-A Stanford study suggests the employment consequences of AI are becoming particularly severe for younger workers: the disadvantage facing young people seeking jobs in AI-exposed occupations widened from 15% to 19% within a year, with German companies now showing similar evidence. The finding complicates the assumption that the generation most comfortable using AI will automatically be its principal labour-market beneficiary.

HANDELSBLATT
-German industry is becoming increasingly pessimistic about its international competitiveness, with the IFO Institute reporting intense competitive pressure as companies contend with weak domestic conditions, high costs and stronger foreign rivals. The warning reinforces fears that Germany’s industrial malaise is becoming structural rather than simply cyclical.
-German companies have begun a measurable geographic derisking of exports, partly because China has become a more difficult market and partly in response to increasingly unpredictable US tariff policy. The shift suggests Germany’s export model is being reconfigured around a world in which dependence on either Washington or Beijing carries growing political risk.
-Chinese automaker Chery will enter Germany in 2027 using hybrid vehicles rather than pure EVs, following MG, BYD and Geely into Europe’s largest car market. The strategy is significant because Chinese manufacturers are broadening their challenge to German carmakers beyond battery-electric vehicles into the combustion-electric transition market where European brands have traditionally been stronger.
-Long-term government borrowing costs are surging across the US, Japan and Europe, with 30-year sovereign yields reaching decade highs as investors become less tolerant of rising public debt. The repricing is beginning to weigh on equities and raises financing costs precisely as European governments contemplate substantially larger expenditures on defense, infrastructure and industrial policy.
-Germany is being pulled deeper into the EU’s confrontation with Israel after Brussels proposed sanctions against Israeli ministers Itamar Ben-Gvir and Bezalel Smotrich over their recent statements on Gaza. Berlin’s position could prove decisive, turning the issue into another test of Germany’s traditional support for Israel against mounting European pressure for a tougher policy.

IL SOLE 24 ORE
-Italian industrial investment is accelerating under Transizione 5.0, with EUR5B committed in just two months, while business groups are pressing Rome to allocate another EUR4B to the southern ZES and broaden eligible supply chains to renewables. The surge suggests fiscal incentives are finally unlocking investment as Italy tries to rebuild industrial capacity around energy efficiency and advanced manufacturing.
-European markets were subdued as technology shares weakened and investors awaited the Fed, while Milan focused on renewed banking consolidation: MPS could consider bids for Banco BPM and Banca Generali. Asian markets fell sharply despite the extraordinary Shanghai debut of Unitree, whose shares closed 500% higher after demand reportedly exceeded the IPO supply 8,000-fold.
-The EU is pursuing 12 new trade agreements as Brussels attempts to diversify commercial routes and reduce exposure to an increasingly fragmented global trading system. The initiative includes simplified compliance and greater scope for production stages to be distributed across multiple member states, potentially strengthening European supply-chain integration.
-Italy’s renewable-energy buildout remains obstructed by permitting despite enormous investor interest: projects totaling 144 GW have been stuck in authorization procedures since 2020. A new legal ruling limiting regional governments’ ability to block permits could remove one of the principal bottlenecks to Italy’s energy transition.
-Russia has reportedly secured six air bases in Libya as Moscow shifts military assets following the loss of its former position in Syria, deepening its strategic presence across the central Mediterranean. The move would give Russia a considerably stronger platform close to southern Europe and reinforces Libya’s importance in the contest over Mediterranean security, migration and energy routes.

LES ECHOS
-France’s borrowing costs have climbed to their highest level in 18 years even before the coming budget debate, as investors increasingly question the sustainability of French public finances. The deterioration is especially uncomfortable for Paris because the broader global repricing of sovereign debt means France must repair its fiscal position while competing with other heavily indebted governments for increasingly demanding capital.
-The ECB warns that a sharp correction in US technology stocks would probably spread quickly to Europe because European investment funds remain heavily exposed and European equities have historically moved closely with Wall Street. The warning comes as the NASDAQ fell 1.33%, illustrating how Europe’s financial vulnerability to the American technology cycle persists despite its much smaller domestic tech sector.
-Russia is systematically attacking Ukraine’s economic logistics network, targeting locomotives, warehouses, postal sorting centers and other infrastructure required to move goods around the country. The campaign suggests Moscow is increasingly treating civilian logistics as part of Ukraine’s war-support architecture, seeking to degrade the economy and military supply system simultaneously.
-France’s electricity prices have surged during the summer heat wave as nuclear and hydroelectric output declined while air-conditioning demand increased, forcing expensive gas-fired plants back into service partly to maintain exports to neighboring countries. The episode exposes an awkward vulnerability in France’s normally nuclear-heavy electricity system when extreme demand coincides with reduced nuclear and hydro availability.
-The US and South Korea are cutting their joint military exercises in half, with maneuvers ending Friday as Donald Trump seeks renewed engagement with North Korean leader Kim Jong-un. The shortened exercises could disrupt planned strategic testing by Seoul and signal that Washington is again prepared to modify allied military activity as part of an attempted diplomatic opening with Pyongyang.

ABC (Spain)
-Spanish intelligence services have detected radical messages circulating on Moroccan social networks urging greater violence and calling for an attack on “occupied Ceuta,” as the enclave struggles with a renewed migration crisis. The security dimension is becoming increasingly sensitive after dozens of migrants breached the border, while police and military personnel involved in the response have also faced health problems.
-Two magnitude-4.8 earthquakes within four days, followed by hundreds of aftershocks, have revived fears in Granada, where some buildings have already suffered damage. Scientists say the region’s complicated fault system makes further earthquakes impossible to predict and are investigating why seismic activity intensified again after apparently subsiding.
-Donald Trump’s approval ratings have fallen to the lowest level of his presidency as the Iran war and its economic consequences weigh increasingly heavily on US voters ahead of the midterm elections. ABC says the decline reflects growing expectations that the conflict will drag on, turning Iran and the associated economic costs into an increasingly dangerous electoral liability for Republicans.
-Angie Nixon won Florida’s Democratic Senate primary despite raising 16 times less money than her principal rival, extending the recent run of left-wing candidates defeating the party establishment. Her victory is particularly striking in heavily anti-communist Florida and suggests the Democratic insurgency is spreading beyond the urban constituencies where it has generally been strongest.
-One in four Spanish SMEs rescued through the government’s pandemic-era support fund has subsequently entered bankruptcy, raising questions about whether public money preserved viable companies or merely postponed failures. The outcome adds another layer to Spain’s debate over the effectiveness and ultimate cost of the extraordinary corporate-support measures introduced during Covid.

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 19th of Aug 2026

>>> Up
* Ferrovial NV Raised to Outperform at Mediobanca SpA; PT 65 euros
* Kingspan Raised to Buy at UBS; PT 130 euros

>>> Down
* Baidu ADRs Cut to Underweight at Morgan Stanley; PT $80
* Cellnex Cut to Neutral at UBS; PT 29.50 euros
* Multiconsult Cut to Neutral at SB1 Markets; PT 160 kroner
* Netum Group Cut to Sell at Inderes; PT 85 euro cents
* Solstad Maritime Cut to Neutral at SB1 Markets; PT 30 kroner

>>> Initiation
* BioMarin Rated New Outperform at BMO
* Infracore Rated New Buy at Citi; PT 64 Swiss francs
* IREN Ltd Rated New Outperform at CCB Intl; PT $57

>>> Call

>>> What to look at today - 19th of Aug 2026

Asian stocks dropped as a semiconductor selloff deepened, with investors retreating from one of the year’s hottest trades amid elevated bond yields and geopolitical uncertainty. Treasuries stabilized following recent losses. MSCI’s Asia Pacific equities benchmark slid 2%, with South Korean shares dropping 5.5%. Chip bellwethers Samsung Electronics Co. and SK Hynix Inc. both declined over 7%, tracking a semiconductor selloff on Wall Street. Kioxia Holdings Corp. plunged 9% in Tokyo. Treasuries steadied following a global bond selloff that had pushed 10-year US yields close to their highest levels since early 2025 and 30-year yields to levels last seen in 2007. The yield on 10-year Treasuries declined one basis point to 4.69%, while bonds rose in Australia and New Zealand. Elsewhere, oil climbed for a fourth day, with no sign of progress toward resolving the US-Iran war after almost six months of conflict. Brent traded above $91 a barrel after gaining 4.5% over the previous three sessions. Technology stocks, seen as a long-term growth bet, came under pressure as bond yields hovered near multi-decade highs amid persistent inflation, heavy government spending and a flood of debt issuance. Geopolitical turmoil added to the strain by raising the risk of energy-driven supply shocks that could keep inflation and borrowing costs elevated for longer. The chip sector remained in focus after the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index slid 5% on Tuesday, its biggest drop since late July. An Asian gauge of chip-related stocks retreated 3.1%, with Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. and Renesas Electronics Corp. among the decliners. The threat of higher borrowing costs is adding to market worries amid ongoing uncertainty over the Iran war. While the long-term AI growth story is still intact, “higher rates and geopolitical risk are making investors less willing to pay a premium for that growth,” said Jung In Yun, chief executive officer at Fibonacci Asset Management Global. In other corners of the market, Unitree Robotics shares rose 629% in its Shanghai trading debut after raising 6.1 billion yuan ($904 million) in an initial public offering that will make it the first publicly traded humanoid robot maker in mainland China. The Canadian dollar strengthened after the Trump administration agreed to delay 50% tariffs on billions of dollars of Canadian products for three days following high-stakes negotiations in Washington.  Gold steadied around $4,340 an ounce after its biggest drop in almost a month, as a bond selloff and deadlock over the Strait of Hormuz clouded the outlook for the precious metal. The US 30-year yield was little changed at 5.29%, after climbing as high as 5.34% in the prior session. US After Hours KEYS +2.7% higher on earnings; LZB -16.3%, MRCY -10.5% lower on earnings; WYFI -20.5% on $250 mln convertible notes private placement.

Nikkei -2.53% Hang Seng +0.12% CSI -2.41% Kospi -5.61% Shanghai -1.96% Shenzen -3.86%

Eur$ 1.1582 CNH 6.7427 CNY 6.7411 JPY 159.42 GBP 1.3538 CHF 0.8116 RUB 84.9249 TRY 47.9350 WTI$ 85.55 +0.75% Gold 4,356 -0.18% BTC 64,292 -0.40% ETH 1,911 -0.04%

S&P -0.10% Nasdaq -0.20% EuroStoxx -0.12% FTSE -0.07% Dax -0.17% SMI

Macro :
- Bank of America Calls New Zealand Dollar an El Niño Hedge
- AI Valuations Face Threat From Equity Costs Not Debt: Macro View
- Late Billionaire’s Heirs Claim Venezuela Seized Oil Assets
- Trump Is Interviewing Potential Nominees for FDA Commissioner
- SEC Proposes Rules to Create Regime for Some Crypto Contracts
- *BROCKMAN: TEMPORARILY SLOWED SCALING OF FRONTIER TRAINING

Keep an eye on :
- AMBEA SS : Ambea 2Q Net Sales Beat Estimates
- ALFEN NA : Alfen 1H Adjusted Ebitda Beats Estimates
- ADI US : Analog Devices 3Q Rev. Seen Up 36% on AI Demand: Preview
- Anthropic IPO : Anthropic Pre-IPO Credit Facility Set to Climb Past $10 Billion
- ASRNL NA : ASR Nederland 1H Operating Profit Beats Estimates
- AUR US : Uber Said to Sell Part of Aurora Innovation Stake in Block Trade
- BLZE US : Backblaze Is Said to Offer Up to 0.5% Coupon on Convertible Bond
- 4413 JP : Baudroie to Undergo Bain-Backed MBO at 2,970 Yen/Share
- BEWI NO : BEWI 2Q Sales Beat Estimates
- BIDU US : Baidu Shares Drop on Higher Capex, Slower AI Growth: Street Wrap
- BICO SS : BICO 2Q Sales Under Estimates
- BX US ; Canadian pension giant turns to Blackstone, KKR to seal infrastructure megadeals
- BOUV NO : Bouvet Reports 2Q Revenue of NOK 975 Million, Compared With FactSet Estimates of NOK 983 Million
- BCHN SW : Burckhardt to Restructure Business, Says Up to 220 Jobs at Risk
- Campfire IPO : Campfire Got Offers to Invest at $1B Valuation: Information
- CCC US : Car-Seller Copart Said to Be Among Suitors for Software Firm CCC
- CVNA US : Walter Probe Weighs on Carvana as Traders Suspect Share Sale
- DOXM SW : DocMorris 1H Adjusted Ebitda Loss CHF10.9M
- DOV US : Dover to Buy Leistung Engineering PVT
- EMMN SW : Emmi Narrows FY Organic Sales Forecast
- EL US : Estee Lauder’s Adj. Profit to Triple From Year Ago: Preview
- GEBN SW : Geberit 2Q Ebitda Beats Estimates
- INGA NA : ING Cuts TTB Stake to 11.6%, Raises ~€475m
- 2371 JP : Kakaku.com Shareholder Oasis Rejects EQT Offer Below ¥3,640/Shr
- ILMN US : Defense Tech Firm Lyntris, Backers Raise $297.5 Million in IPO
- IMPN SW : Implenia 1H Sales Beat Estimates
- 373220 KS : South Korea’s LG Energy in Talks With US for Drone Batteries
- LSG NO : Leroy 2Q Operational Ebit Misses Estimates
- LLBN SW : Liechtensteinische LB 1H Net Income CHF105M Vs. CHF91.0M Y/y
- LHA GY : Lufthansa Could Rejoin DAX After Six-Year Absence, JPMorgan Says
- HLUNB DC : Lundbeck 2Q Net Income Beats Estimates
- MANTA FH : Altor’s Mandatum Share Sale Is Said to Draw Over 50 Investors
- META US : ICE Bars Its Workers From Wearing Meta’s Smart Glasses on the Job
- NEM US : StrikePoint to Buy Northumberland Gold Project From Newmont
- PONY US : Pony AI Drops as CEO Warns of Uncertainty for Robotaxi Business
- KSC US : Rail Regulator Resumes Review of Union Pacific Bid for Rival
- NOVN SW : Novartis Granted FDA Orphan Drug Status for Iptacopan
- NVDA US : Elon Musk Warns Nvidia-Backed $105 Billion Ohio Data Center for OpenAI Will Take ‘Much Longer’ to Come Online Than Expected
- PPC US : JBS to Buy Pilgrim’s Pride Minority Shares at 2.086x Stock Ratio (+8.5% in After Hours)
- SENS SW : Sensirion FY Revenue Forecast Misses Estimates
- SLB US : Venezuela Signs Deals With SLB, Hunt in Push to Boost Oil Output
- 9984 JP : SoftBank Shares Slide After Report on Retail Bond Issuance Plan
- TGS NO : TGS Awarded Streamer Contract in the Mediterranean
- UBER US : Uber Said to Sell Part of Aurora Innovation Stake in Block Trade
- UBSG SW : Credit Suisse High Yield Credit Fund Approves Reverse Shr Split
- 688836 CG : Unitree : Unitree Robotics Surges 629% After $904 Million Shanghai IPO
- UGI US : UGI Rises on Report of KKR’s Takeover Offer for $9 Billion (1)
- VOW GY : Volkswagen willing to cede majority control in India unit to local partner: Skoda Auto CEO Klaus Zellmer
- WYFI US : WhiteFiber Is Said to Offer Up to 5% Coupon on Convertible Bond

The Information : The Waymo Wipeout of Uber Shares Has Gone Too Far

The Waymo Wipeout of Uber Shares Has Gone Too Far

The Takeaway
  • Uber shares have fallen 8%, lagging S&P 500’s 14% rise
  • Worries about Waymo taking market share have weighed on stock
  • Sellers aren’t pricing in delivery business’s value

Uber stock has dropped 8% this year over concerns that the ride-hailing company faces stiff competition from robotaxi operators, most notably Waymo. Sellers are overreacting. Uber can still sustain rapid growth and expand its profit margins while staying competitive in the autonomous-driving race in the years to come.

Plus, its current valuation, which is the lowest since it started to make a profit in 2023, gives little credit to its rapidly expanding food-delivery business, rising operating margin and loads of free cash flow. At its current level, Uber trades at 2.6 times its next year’s revenue, versus 4 times for an average of companies in the S&P 500. This steep discount makes no sense.

Robotaxi Race

The biggest reason the market has soured on Uber is the notion that Alphabet-owned Waymo is cutting it out of ride hailing. The two have a lengthy relationship: Almost three years ago, Uber started offering Waymo rides on its app in Phoenix, and later Uber added other cities, allowing it to feed growing consumer interest in robotaxis without taking on the steep costs of developing a robotaxi network.

But the two companies are increasingly going their own ways. In May, Uber stopped offering Waymo vehicles on its app in Phoenix, while Waymo continued to offer rides on its own app in the city. And in 2028, Waymo is expected to launch its app in Atlanta and Austin, Texas, rather than only offering the rides via Uber’s app. In those cities, Uber will be able to offer rides by other robotaxi services.

Uber doesn’t necessarily need Waymo to capture a slice of the robotaxi market. It maintains a massive advantage in the form of its existing network: Other Waymo competitors will want to piggyback on Uber and provide rides through the app. And Amazon’s autonomous vehicle division, Zoox, has said it plans to launch its vehicles on Uber in Las Vegas later this year. Uber also has dozens of deals with other operators such as Wayve, a British self-driving startup; Michigan-based robataxi operator May Mobility, and Nuro, which is outfitting Lucid Motors’ cars with its autonomous systems.


Self-driving cars on Uber are in seven markets now and will be in 15 by year’s end, said John Blackledge, an equity analyst at TD Cowen: “They’ve also said they’re going to by 2029 support the most autonomous vehicle rides in the world.”

It will take years for robotaxis to fully supplant human-driven cars. Over that time, Uber can help robotaxi partners expand, given its existing relationships with local governments, which could make it easier to bring autonomous vehicles to big cities such as New York, Chicago and Boston.

“Uber has dealt with all the local officials over the years, and I think what they’re saying now is, ‘Well, we can go in and offer in New York a hybrid network,’” a ride-hailing platform that offers passengers rides in robotaxis as well as cars with human drivers, said Blackledge. That could assuage local officials’ concerns about robotaxis displacing human workers and fears about the vehicles’ ability to operate safely in all environments, he added.

For those autonomous-taxi startups, Uber may offer a quick path to entering many cities—at least until the companies offer their own apps (although whether customers will want to download so many different apps is another question entirely).

What’s more, Waymo’s growth in markets such as San Francisco where it competes with Uber doesn’t seem to be significantly hindering Uber’s top-line growth. Broadly, analysts expect Uber’s revenue growth this year to slow to 11% from 18% in 2025, largely because of an accounting change for its U.K. operations. Analysts polled by S&P Global Market Intelligence expect growth to pick up again to 15% in 2027, thanks to strong demand for its ride-hailing services. If the company hits its projection for the total value of rides on its platform in the third quarter, that would be the fifth straight quarter in which it has increased bookings more than 20%.

Jefferies analysts cited these bookings and Uber’s progress with its U.S. autonomous-vehicle operations when naming it a top stock pick last week. “We believe a bullish story is crystallizing for 2027,” they said.

One possible risk to its robotaxi strategy is that Uber might be tempted to stray from its model of supporting other operators’ robotaxis and try to develop its own—an endeavor it once attempted and abandoned under former CEO Travis Kalanick. Though having its own robotaxis would help Uber lessen its reliance on other firms, it would also entail a long and costly development process.

Delivery and Valuation

The biggest opportunity for investors, however, is Uber’s underappreciated delivery business, which primarily comes from the Uber Eats app. The unit’s revenue rose 28% to $5.2 billion in the June quarter, far outpacing the 1% growth in ride hailing over the same period. To be sure, ride hailing is bigger, having generated $7.4 billion in sales over that period—but food delivery is catching up fast.

Compared to rival DoorDash, Uber’s delivery business looks cheap. DoorDash is currently valued at around 75 times its 2025 earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization of $1.2 billion. Uber’s delivery business generated $3.7 billion for the same time period. Using DoorDash’s valuation multiple would put the value of Uber’s delivery business at about $270 billion. Uber’s entire market cap right now is just about $150 billion.

In another sign of how sharply investors have taken a hard turn against Uber, the company is currently trading at a record-high discount to DoorDash. That’s a reversal from 2023 and most of 2024, when Uber actually traded at a premium to DoorDash on a forward price-to-earnings basis. Today, Uber trades at a forward ratio of 17.7 times, while DoorDash trades at 33 times.

Uber has other options to shore up its stock price as it works to bring robotaxis made by other firms onto its platform. The company announced a $20 billion stock buyback plan last August and has used only around a quarter of that money so far. It can fund its robotaxi ambitions using its steady and growing free cash flow, which totaled $9.8 billion at the end of last year.