The Information : Echo AI, Startup Featured on Takeover List, Sold to Software P

Echo AI, Startup Featured on Takeover List, Sold to Software Provider

Echo AI, whose generative artificial intelligence tools allow companies to analyze customer conversations, has been bought by Calabrio, a maker of software for contact centers that’s owned by private equity firm Thoma Bravo, according to Echo CEO Alexander Kvamme.

Seven-year-old Echo was one of 78 startups included on The Information’s list of generative AI startups that were likely acquisition targets because they had not raised money in at least two years or because they were developing cost-intensive products like foundation models or robots.

Echo, with 40 employees, had raised $35 million from investors including Kleiner Perkins, Insight Partners and Quiet Capital, most recently in April 2021. Echo’s employees started integrating their technology into Calabrio’s offerings this week, said Kvamme on LinkedIn. Terms of the buyout weren’t disclosed.

The Information : Kleiner Perkins, Founders Fund, SoftBank to Invest in Databric

Kleiner Perkins, Founders Fund, SoftBank to Invest in Databricks’ $7 Billion Fundraising

The Takeaway
VC firms known for early-stage investments are planning to invest in Databricks, an 11-year-old firm that has told investors it wants to raise at least $7 billion. It’s a sign of renewed optimism that more companies will make their IPO debuts soon.

Silicon Valley investors often pride themselves on writing one of the first few checks in a startup, then doubling down if a winner takes off. But Databricks, an 11-year-old seller of databases and analytics software that’s raising billions of dollars, has prompted some elite investment firms to place a few very late bets as well.

Kleiner Perkins, Founders Fund and Lightspeed Venture Partners, all well known for making early investments in companies that became tech giants, are planning to participate in the latest Databricks financing that will value it at $61 billion, according to three people with direct knowledge.

Other new investors are beginning to round out the fundraising, the first phase of which is expected to close next week. Databricks has told investors it wants to raise at least $7 billion, but the exact size of the fundraise couldn’t be learned. SoftBank’s Vision Fund is also planning to invest less than $100 million in the round, another person said.

Thrive Capital also plans to sink $1 billion into the software company and has been helping Databricks round up investors, according to people close to the deal. With the aim of selling new stock to cash out some employee shares and pay taxes on them, the deal would be one of the largest ever U.S. tech private financings, surpassing OpenAI’s $6.6 billion haul earlier this year.

Bloomberg earlier reported Thrive’s involvement. Other new investors haven’t been previously reported. It’s not clear how much the new investors are spending.

These investors join a long list of firms that have had stakes in Databricks that typically invest in mature private firms. They include mutual funds BlackRock and Fidelity Management and hedge funds Tiger Global Management and Coatue Management. Venture capital firms with some of the biggest stakes in Databricks include early backers Andreessen Horowitz and New Enterprise Associates, people close to the company said.

While many VC firms have raised funds to invest in mature startups, those that focus on early-stage startups often tap those funds to maintain or increase the size of their stake in startups they backed years earlier.

For instance, Founders Fund has invested at least $875 million in defense startup Anduril, which one of its general partners co-founded. As part of that investment, Founders Fund co-led a financing earlier this year valuing Anduril at $14 billion including the new capital. Kleiner has continually backed enterprise search startup Glean—whose growth recently got the attention of OpenAI and Google—since the startup’s founding in 2019.

Lightspeed, meanwhile, has been in the process of raising capital for new funds that could total $7 billion, close to 40% earmarked for late-stage startups such as Stripe and Rippling. The firm has made several late-stage investments over the past year, including in artificial intelligence companies xAI and Anthropic, and co-leading a $1 billion round for cybersecurity firm Wiz. This would mark Lightspeed’s first investment in Databricks, according to a person with knowledge of the deal.

For SoftBank, the deal adds to a growing list of generative AI investments, though at a smaller scale than some of the bets it became known for before the pandemic.

The decision by VC firms to back mature startups for the first time points to a renewed optimism that the two-year drought in initial public offerings is close to ending. Listings can provide returns for late-stage investors, though they are rarely enough to return a fund’s entire capital to its investors. VC funds are also looking for safe bets to offset investments on artificial intelligence companies that haven’t proven they can generate revenue, investors say.

Databricks CEO Ali Ghodsi has said next year is the earliest an IPO could happen, but that the timing isn't certain. It has arranged the capital raise because it wants to cash out employees that hold restricted stock units and cover the employee taxes such sales would immediately trigger.

Also enticing investors: the company is growing sales unusually quickly for one of its size and has gained an edge on rival Snowflake with its AI-powered products. It has forecast nearly $2.6 billion in revenue for the fiscal year that ends in January, up 57% from the prior year, and an increase in revenue of more than 40% for each of the next two years as well.

Ghodsi has high targets for the company’s eventual size. He thinks his company could become as big as Salesforce, which has $35 billion in revenue per year.

>>> US Gapping down

Gapping down
In reaction to earnings/guidance
:
  • LOVE -19.7%, ADBE -11.6%, NDSN -5.8%, CIEN -5.5%, OXM -3.7%
Other news:
  • KROS -72.3% (announces update on the phase 2 tropos trial)
  • CORT -7% (results from Phase 2 study)
  • ORA -4.2% (prices secondary offering of 3.7 mln shares of common stock at $76.20 per share)
  • BNED -3.9% (files $40 mln mixed shelf)
  • CMTL -3.5% (to delay 10-Q filing)
  • CHWY -2.9% (prices offering of 15,852,886 shares of its Class A common stock by selling shareholder)
  • NOA -2.9% (awarded contract expected to generate $100 mln in revs)
  • KGS -2.4% (announces the underwritten public offering of 5,500,000 shares of its common stock by an affiliate of the funds known as EQT Infrastructure III and EQT Infrastructure IV)
  • FISI -2.3% (prices 4.0 mln shares of common stock at $25.00 per share)
  • ICFI -1.8% (awarded $40 mln in new contracts)
  • ACAD -1.8% (closes sale of Pediatric Disease Priority Review Voucher)
  • ACLX -1.7% (provides investor updates in presentation ahead of 66th American Society of Hematology Annual Meeting and Exposition)
  • ALNT -1.6% (launches Defense Solutions unit)
  • CPA -1.5% (prelim passenger traffic stats for November)
  • LDOS -1.3% (awarded $987 mln U.S. Air Force contract)
  • EEFT -1.2% (agrees to acquire ATM assets from Swedbank)
  • PRQR -1.2% (hosted a virtual analyst and investor event to discuss its proprietary Axiomer ADAR-mediated RNA editing platform)
  • AB -1% (prelim AUM for November)
Analyst comments:
  • GD -2.5% (downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Goldman)
  • KVUE -1.2% (downgraded to Hold from Buy at Deutsche Bank)
  • TMUS -1% (downgraded to Sector Weight from Overweight at KeyBanc Capital Markets)

>>> US Gapping up

Gapping up
In reaction to earnings/guidance
:
  • CNC +2.5% (guidance)
Other news:
  • TRVI +45.8% (Announces Positive Outcome from Sample Size Re-estimation Resulting in No Change to the Current Sample Size for the Phase 2b CORAL Trial in Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis Patients with Chronic Cough)
  • DBVT +15.8% (confirms alignment with FDA for Viaskin Peanut Patch)
  • TELO +11.8% (entered into a Stock Purchase Agreement with a certain accredited investor)
  • BTDR +8.6% (files $1.0 bln mixed shelf)
  • TSQ +6.4% (authorized to repurchase up to $50 million of the Company's issued and outstanding Class A common stock)
  • ELTX +6.4% (Presents Updated Results from ELI-002 Phase 1 AMPLIFY-201 Study at ESMO Immuno-Oncology Congress 2024)
  • ZNTL +4.9% (announces key management appointments)
  • HCM +4.4% (receives Breakthrough Therapy Designation in China for ORPATHYS and TAGRISSO combination in certain lung cancer patients)
  • PHX +4.4% (initiates strategic alternatives process)
  • ATS +3.8% (announces normal course issuer bid)
  • DDD +3.6% (divests Geomagic Software Portfolio)
  • CSTL +3.1% (Independent Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis Attests to the Significant Risk Stratification Provided by Castle Biosciences' DecisionDx-Melanoma Test, Contributing to Personalized Management of Patients with Melanoma)
  • FLXS +2.7% (approves $30 mln repurchase plan)
  • MGX +2.5% (Presents Highly Specific and Efficient Genome Editing Tools at Nature Conference "RNA at the Bench and Bedside IV")
  • TATT +2.5% (signs 5-yer agreement with major North American cargo carrier worth $17 mln)
  • BLCO +2.2% (issues response to rumors of a potential sale)
  • KR +2.1% (approves new $7.5 bln repurchase plan)
  • OLN +1.5% (increases share repurchase authorization to $2.0 billion)
  • ARES +1% (expands access to private equity strategy)
  • MODG +1% (completed the sale of its mobile game subsidiary, World Golf Tour)
Analyst comments:
  • BA +1.6% (upgraded to Neutral from Sell at Northcoast)
  • KDP +1.2% (upgraded to Buy from Hold at Deutsche Bank)

FT : Resource nationalism on the rise amid geopolitical tensions

Resource nationalism on the rise amid geopolitical tensions

Western democracies drive a global rise in resource nationalism
Businesses worldwide face increased risk from a global rise in protectionism as countries scramble to secure access to the minerals critical to battery manufacturing and the energy transition, according to new research. 

Rising geopolitical tensions have fuelled a rise in state intervention and protectionism “not seen since the first half of the 20th century in western democracies”, global risk intelligence company Verisk Maplecroft said on Thursday. 

The change has been particularly acute in Europe and North America, with governments in both regions seeking to secure their access to critical minerals such as lithium and copper — the supply chains for which are dominated by China — the researchers said.


Increased tensions in the sector have worsened in recent weeks with critical minerals becoming an ever more closely watched geopolitical football. This month, China banned shipments to the US of several crucial minerals and metals in retaliation for new export controls imposed by the Biden administration designed to target Beijing’s development of artificial intelligence. Earlier this year, a coalition of western nations including the US and UK announced financing plans for minerals projects in an effort to diversify away from China.

“The fracturing geopolitical landscape and the fallout from major shocks like the pandemic and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine have spurred an acceleration of policies aimed at acquiring the minerals needed to power the tech and defence industries, as well as the green transition to bolster energy security,” said Jimena Blanco, chief analyst at Verisk Maplecroft. 

“State focus on supply chain security has opened the door for companies to take advantage of attractive incentive schemes, but geopolitical divergence could increasingly limit opportunities to allied or friendly jurisdictions,” she said. 

According to the researchers’ latest resource nationalism index — a quarterly analysis that measures government control of economic activity in the mining and energy sectors — 72 countries out of the 198 assessed had seen a “significant increase” in interventionist and protectionist policies over the past five years.

Venezuela, Russia and Mexico were judged to be the three countries where businesses faced the greatest risks of state intervention and expropriation in the sectors.

But the analysts said that the risk scores for Germany, Spain, the UK and Poland had all worsened significantly since 2019, with Germany registering the largest drop of any country during the period. It has come as a consequence of protectionist moves by Berlin such as the seizure of Russian energy assets following the country’s invasion of Ukraine, and the offering of subsidies to boost domestic mineral processing and manufacturing, they said.


More broadly, the analysts pointed out that European and North American governments had taken steps to shore up their domestic mining and energy industries and restrict foreign investment from rivals with policies including US President Joe Biden’s Chips and Science Act. 

Forty-one countries that were responsible for 41 per cent of global mineral output were now classified as being either “high” or “very high” risk for protectionist policies, the researchers said. That was an increase from 30 countries five years ago.

“The most likely scenario is that western nations will increasingly use a mix of trade and investment policies, along with stricter sustainability standards, to restrict trade with rivals and push for localised supply chains,” said Blanco.

Heightened risks across multiple jurisdictions exacerbated the overall challenges faced by companies and investors, given the complex and cross-border nature of many critical mineral supply chains, the group said. For example, a mineral may be mined in one country but processed in another and sold to a manufacturer operating in a third.

The analysis considered countries’ protectionist and interventionist policies, state participation in resource extraction and instances of direct and indirect expropriation, such as asset nationalisation or regulatory changes that make doing business in the sectors less profitable.

>>> US Research Calls I

Research Calls I
  • Upgrades:
    • Boeing (BA) upgraded to Neutral from Sell at Northcoast
    • Brinker (EAT) upgraded to Equal Weight from Underweight at Wells Fargo; tgt raised to $130
    • Brookfield Renewable Partners (BEP) upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at JP Morgan; tgt $30
    • Charter Comm (CHTR) upgraded to Overweight from Sector Weight at KeyBanc Capital Markets; tgt $500
    • Coca-Cola (KO) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Deutsche Bank; tgt raised to $70
    • Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Deutsche Bank; tgt raised to $39
    • MSCI (MSCI) upgraded to Outperform from Peer Perform at Wolfe Research
    • PepsiCo (PEP) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Deutsche Bank; tgt raised to $184
    • Rockwell Automation (ROK) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Jefferies; tgt raised to $350
  • Downgrades:
    • Adobe (ADBE) downgraded to Hold from Buy at TD Cowen; tgt lowered to $550
    • General Dynamics (GD) downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Goldman; tgt lowered to $245
    • Hershey Foods (HSY) downgraded to Underweight from Equal Weight at Wells Fargo; tgt lowered to $160
    • Kenvue (KVUE) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Deutsche Bank; tgt lowered to $24
    • Mondelez Int'l (MDLZ) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Deutsche Bank; tgt lowered to $67
    • Otis Worldwide (OTIS) downgraded to Underperform from Peer Perform at Wolfe Research; tgt $104
    • T-Mobile US (TMUS) downgraded to Sector Weight from Overweight at KeyBanc Capital Markets
  • Others:
    • Atlassian (TEAM) initiated with a Neutral at Macquarie; tgt $290
    • Autodesk (ADSK) initiated with an Outperform at Macquarie; tgt $380
    • Box (BOX) initiated with a Buy at BofA Securities; tgt $40
    • Celsius (CELH) initiated with an Overweight at JP Morgan; tgt $37
    • Celsius (CELH) initiated with a Hold at Deutsche Bank; tgt $32
    • Datadog (DDOG) initiated with an Outperform at Macquarie; tgt $200
    • e.l.f. Beauty (ELF) initiated with a Hold at Deutsche Bank; tgt $133
    • GitLab (GTLB) initiated with an Outperform at Macquarie; tgt $90
    • MongoDB (MDB) initiated with a Neutral at Macquarie; tgt $300
    • Palantir Technologies (PLTR) initiated with a Neutral at Robert W. Baird; tgt $70
    • Roblox (RBLX) initiated with a Buy at HSBC Securities; tgt $63
    • Salesforce (CRM) initiated with a Neutral at Macquarie; tgt $370

>>> US Early premarket gappers

Early premarket gappers
  • Gapping up:
    • DBVT +30.7%, TELO +8.2%, HCM +4.4%, BTDR +3.1%, FLXS +2.7%, CNC +2.5%, KR +2.4%, DDD +2.4%, TATT +2%, NTNX +1.9%, ALNT +1.4%, FTI +1.3%, WDFC +1.3%, MGX +1.3%, MODG +1%, ACLX +0.9%
  • Gapping down:
    • KROS -70.9%, ADBE -10.3%, CMTL -7%, CORT -5.6%, ORA -4.5%, BNED -3.9%, OXM -3.1%, CHWY -3%, NOA -2.9%, CPA -2.5%, NDSN -2.5%, FISI -1.9%, LDOS -1.9%, ACAD -1.8%, EEFT -1.3%, PRQR -1.2%, WSBC -1.1%, AB -1%, GIB -0.9%, SCVL -0.9%

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 12th of December 2024 V3(++)

>>> Up
* About You Raised to Equal-Weight at Barclays; PT 6.50 euros
* Amplifon Raised to Buy at Equita; PT 32 euros
* Aspo Raised to Accumulate at Inderes; PT 6.20 euros
* Atrium Ljungberg Raised to Buy at Handelsbanken (++)
* BEMO LN Raised to Overweight at JPMorgan (++)
* Brookfield Renewable Raised to Overweight at JPMorgan
* Brookfield Renewable Partners Raised to Overweight at JPMorgan
* Diageo Raised to Buy at UBS
* Erste Raised to Buy at Goldman; PT 69 euros
* Heba Fastighets Raised to Buy at Handelsbanken (++)
* Leonardo PT Raised to 33.50 euros from 27.50 euros at JPMorgan
* NP3 Fastigheter Raised to Buy at Handelsbanken (++)
* Pennon Raised to Overweight at Barclays; PT 800 pence
* Platzer Raised to Buy at Handelsbanken (++)
* Puuilo Raised to Buy at Carnegie; PT 11 euros (++)
* Sagax Raised to Buy at Handelsbanken (++)
* SocGen Raised to Neutral at Goldman; PT 29.25 euros
* United Utilities Raised to Equal-Weight at Barclays
* Watches of Switzerland Raised to Buy at Kepler Cheuvreux (++)

>>> Down
* ABN Amro GDRs Cut to Sell at Goldman; PT 14.40 euros
* About You Cut to Hold at Stifel; PT 6.50 euros
* CaixaBank Cut to Sell at Goldman; PT 5.20 euros
* Carl Zeiss Meditec PT Cut to 40 euros from 45 euros at JPMorgan
* Deutsche Post Cut to Neutral at BofA; PT 40 euros (++)
* Emmi PT Cut to 715 Swiss francs from 855 Swiss francs at UBS (++)
* Frontline PLC Cut to Hold at Kepler Cheuvreux; PT $15.83 (++)
* GCP Infra Cut to Hold at Stifel (++)
* Hoegh Autoliners Cut to Hold at Pareto Securities; PT 117 kroner (+)
* Inditex Cut to Underperform at RBC, Valuation Still Looks Full
* Jet2 Cut to Neutral at Redburn; PT 1,750 pence
* Martela Cut to Sell at Inderes; PT 75 euro cents
* Maersk Cut to Neutral at BofA; PT 12,500 kroner (++)
* REC Silicon Cut to Sell at AlphaValue/Baader
* Swatch Cut to Reduce at Kepler Cheuvreux; PT 140 Swiss francs (++)
* Swissquote Cut to Neutral at UBS; PT 375 Swiss francs (++)
* Vale ADRs Cut to Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley

>>> Initiation
* AB Dynamics Rated New Buy at N+1 Singer; PT 2,500 pence
* AdvancedAdvT Rated New Buy at N+1 Singer; PT 190 pence (++)
* CENIT AG Rated New Buy at Bankhaus Metzler; PT 16 euros
* DiaSorin Rated New Sector Perform at RBC; PT 110 euros
* Eurocommercial Reinstated Buy at Kepler Cheuvreux (++)
* Facephi Biometria Rated New Buy at JB Capital Markets
* Mercialys Reinstated Hold at Kepler Cheuvreux; PT 11 euros (++)
* VGP Rated New Buy at ING; PT 98 euros
* Wereldhave Raised to Hold at Kepler Cheuvreux; PT 14.40 euros (++)
* Zealand Pharma Rated New Buy at DNB Markets; PT 1,050 kroner

>>> Call
* Amplifon Gains as Equita Upgrades to Buy on Easing Headwinds (++)
* Diageo Climbs as UBS Upgrades, Sees End of Earnings Downgrades (++)
* JPMorgan Rearranges Clean Energy Ratings on Select Opportunities (++)
* Currys Should Rise on Beat and Return to Revenue Growth: Citi (+)
* Kepler Lifts Watches of Switzerland on US Exposure, Cuts Swatch (+)
* Kuehne + Nagel Falls; BofA Cuts, Seeing Tough 2025 for Transport (++)
* Nemetschek Falls as JPMorgan Says Expectations Seem Too High (++)
* Oddo BHF Strategist Sees 10% Gain in European Stocks Next Year (+)
* SThree Could Drop After Profit Outlook Downgrade: Berenberg (+)
* Swissquote Falls; UBS Downgrades as Catalysts Reflected in Price (++)
* Temenos Targets Now More Realistic, Raised to Buy at Jefferies