>>> US Gapping up

Gapping up
In reaction to earnings/guidance
:
  • ECG +16.7%, NUTX +10.6%, ABSI +8.8% (also announces first participants dosed in Phase 1 trial of ABS-101), ATXS +7.4%, EXEL +5%, SONY +4.8%, KRMN +4.6%, DT +3.2%, LUXE +3.1%, SFL +2.5%, ETON +1.5%
Other news:
  • SMCI +15.8% (DataVolt announces landmark deal with Supermicro (SMCI) to accelerate adoption of rack-scale total liquid cooling IT solutions for future-ready AI data centers)
  • FSP +5.5% (announces review of strategic alternatives)
  • DRUG +4.4% (reportsfindings from its DBA/2 mouse model study, BMB-101)
  • SGC +3.4% (files for $120 mln mixed shelf offering; also files for offering by selling shareholders)
  • OABI +2.9% (showcases single B-cell screening platform)
  • AEVA +2.8% (strategic collaboration with the technology focused affiliate of a Global Fortune 500 company to collaborate on bringing Aeva's next generation 4D LiDAR into new industrial and consumer markets)
  • PSN +2.6% (awarded two contracts by King Salman Airport)
  • BCRX +1.9% (FDA acceptance of NDA for ORLADEYO oral granules in patients with hereditary angioedema aged 2 to 11 years)
  • GSK +1.5% (acquires efimosfermin from Boston Pharmaceuticals for $1.2 bln upfront)
  • ACDC +1.2% (Executive Chairman bought 90,044 shares of Class A common stock worth approximately $426K)
  • FRST +1.1% (to delay 10-Q filing)
  • TEM +1% (six posters accepted for presentation)
  • PBA +1% (announces renewal of share repurchase program)
  • TBI +0.9% (adopts limited duration shareholder rights agreement)

>>> US Research Calls I

Research Calls I
  • Upgrades
    • Ameren (AEE) upgraded to Overweight from Sector Weight at KeyBanc, tgt $103
    • Carlyle (CG) upgraded to Buy from Hold at TD Cowen, tgt $56
    • Charles River (CRL) upgraded to Buy from Hold at TD Cowen, tgt $179
    • Chimera (CIM) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at UBS, tgt $15
    • Establishment Labs (ESTA) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Needham, tgt $48
    • Entergy (ETR) upgraded to Overweight from Sector Weight at KeyBanc, tgt $85
    • Franklin Resources (BEN) upgraded to Buy from Hold at TD Cowen, tgt $27
    • Funko (FNKO) upgraded to Neutral from Sell at Goldman, tgt $5.50
    • KKR (KKR) upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Morgan Stanley, tgt $150
    • Omnicell (OMCL) upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Wells Fargo, tgt $35
    • Perion Network (PERI) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Roth Capital, tgt $14
    • PVH Corp. (PVH) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Jefferies, tgt $105
    • Regeneron (REGN) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Citigroup, tgt $700
    • RTX (RTX) upgraded to Buy from Hold at The Benchmark Company; tgt $140
    • Sea Limited (SE) upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at JPMorgan, tgt $190
    • Ulta Beauty (ULTA) upgraded to Positive from Mixed at BWG Global
  • Downgrades
    • AbbVie (ABBV) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Citigroup, tgt $205
    • Affimed (AFMD) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at H.C. Wainwright
    • Allogene (ALLO) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Citizens JMP
    • Biodesix (BDSX) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at William Blair
    • Cboe Global Markets (CBOE) downgraded to Underweight from Overweight at Morgan Stanley, tgt $215
    • Consolidated Edison (ED) downgraded to Underweight from Sector Weight at KeyBanc, tgt $90
    • Exelon (EXC) downgraded to Underweight from Sector Weight at KeyBanc, tgt $39
    • Federated Hermes (FHI) downgraded to Hold from Buy at TD Cowen
    • Group 1 Auto (GPI) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Guggenheim
    • Halozyme (HALO) downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Morgan Stanley, tgt $62
    • iTeos Therapeutics (ITOS) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at H.C. Wainwright
    • iTeos Therapeutics (ITOS) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Leerink, tgt $9
    • Lavoro (LVRO) downgraded to Underweight from Overweight at Barclays, tgt $1.50
    • Magnera (MAGN) downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Wells Fargo, tgt $16
    • Merck (MRK) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Citigroup, tgt $84
    • Nextracker (NXT) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Guggenheim
    • Nutrien (NTR) downgraded to Sector Perform from Outperform at Scotiabank, tgt $62
    • Portland General (POR) downgraded to Sector Weight from Overweight at KeyBanc
    • Quipt Home Medical (QIPT) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Canaccord, tgt $1.70
    • Rivian (RIVN) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Jefferies, tgt $16
    • Southern Company (SO) downgraded to Underweight from Sector Weight at KeyBanc, tgt $78
    • UL Solutions (ULS) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Citigroup, tgt $71
    • UnitedHealth (UNH) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at BofA Securities, tgt $350
    • UnitedHealth (UNH) downgraded to Market Perform from Strong Buy at Raymond James
    • Wayfair (W) downgraded to Sell from Hold at Loop Capital, tgt $35
    • Wendy's (WEN) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Guggenheim
  • Others
    • Centrus Energy (LEU) initiated with an Outperform at Evercore ISI, tgt $145
    • Dutch Bros (BROS) initiated with an Outperform at RBC Capital, tgt $83
    • EHang (EH) initiated with a Buy at BofA Securities, tgt $26
    • Enova International (ENVA) initiated with a Buy at Seaport Research Partners; tgt $124
    • EZCORP (EZPW) initiated with a Neutral at BTIG Research
    • Forge Global (FRGE) assumed with Neutral from Underweight at JPMorgan, tgt $18
    • Hut 8 (HUT) initiated with a Buy at B. Riley Securities, tgt $25
    • SAB Biotherapeutics (SABS) assumed with a Buy at H.C. Wainwright, tgt $10
    • Solaris Energy Infrastructure (SEI) initiated with a Buy at Vertical Research; tgt $36
    • Vitesse (VTS) resumed with a Buy at Alliance Global Partners; tgt $26

>>> US Early premarket gappers

Early premarket gappers
  • Gapping up:
    • ECG +14.8%, ABSI +9.8%, ATXS +7.4%, EXEL +6.7%, KRMN +5.1%, SONY +5.1%, DRUG +4.4%, SFL +4.4%, SGC +3.4%, LUXE +3.1%, OABI +2.9%, PSN +2.6%, GSK +2.3%, ETON +2.2%, ACDC +2.1%, PARR +1.3%, TEM +1.2%, FRST +1.1%
  • Gapping down:
    • AEO -13.8%, GRAL -13.7%, TXO -9.5%, KLC -7.8%, WALD -7.6%, OS -7.1%, ALC -5.6%, WBTN -4.1%, OKLO -2.7%, AKAM -2.2%, NU -2.1%, KVYO -1.9%, AVDL -1.4%, EQR -1%, PD -0.9%, BXC -0.9%, HOOD -0.7%

FT : Alstom in talks to run double-decker trains on Channel Tunnel route

Alstom in talks to run double-decker trains on Channel Tunnel route
French company’s high-speed trains could increase capacity and lower fares between London and continental Europe

Alstom is in talks to run high-speed, double-decker trains through the Channel Tunnel in a move that would cut prices and increase capacity, as the world’s second-largest trainmaker seeks to benefit from increased European rail demand.

Chief executive Henri Poupart-Lafarge said the company’s trains could increase traffic on routes from London to mainland Europe, adding that its Avelia Horizon would be able to run through the undersea Channel Tunnel.

“The double-decker train has a lot of advantages. It’s a very high-speed train with the lowest cost per seat and the highest capacity,” he told the Financial Times.

The new trains can run at more than 300km/h and Alstom has already signed contracts to provide them to French rail operator SNCF, although deliveries have been repeatedly delayed and are not expected until 2026.

Any new trains running on Eurostar’s services need to be approved by the operator, a process that can take “some years”, he added. Trains running from London to mainland Europe would also need to be approved by regulators and comply with the Channel Tunnel’s strict safety rules.

The comments come amid surging rail demand in Europe and as new providers seek to compete with Eurostar. Last week, the UK and Swiss governments outlined plans to encourage direct services between London and Switzerland.

Poupart-Lafarge declined to comment on commercial discussions but said “such an order would take years”. He added that the business “talks basically to everybody” and the trains had been designed to operate on all major European lines.

“We can propose [the train] through the tunnel,” he said. “Whether it’s Eurostar or other competitors, we’ll see.”

Rail providers including Sir Richard Branson’s Virgin Group and the Italian state-owned railway are also exploring new services to challenge Eurostar’s 30-year monopoly on the link from the UK to mainland Europe.

Securing new trains that are certified to run through the Channel Tunnel remains one of the biggest challenges for the proposed new entrants, industry experts have said.

Alstom has benefited from increasing competition on routes in mainland Europe, signing an €850mn contract to provide and maintain 12 of its double-decker trains for Proxima, a newly established private operator in France.

Poupart-Lafarge said that modernisation of European rail infrastructure and increased traffic would also benefit the company in the years ahead. It has already seen recent order growth in Germany, including a €3.6bn contract to provide commuter trains for the S-Bahn Rheinland network in western Germany.

Strong demand in Europe helped the business report an increase in orders to €19.8bn in the year to March 31, an increase of 4.7 per cent, and slightly ahead of analysts’ estimates.

The business has also reduced its debt load from €3bn at the end of March 2024 to €434mn the following year. Last year, the company was rocked by a cash flow warning linked to slower than expected deliveries and issues with contracts inherited from Bombardier, the Canadian company it acquired in 2021.

It launched a €1bn capital raise in May to help cut its debt and sold off a US signalling business, as well as selling a German rail factory to defence company KNDS, which plans to repurpose the site to build tanks.

Poupart-Lafarge said its debt challenges “seemed to be water under the bridge”, adding that the company would not seek to sell off any more divisions.

However, the company will not pay a dividend for the 2024-25 fiscal year, with Poupart-Lafarge saying it would do so when it was in a “neutral cash situation”.

FT : Denmark eyes lifting of 40-year ban on nuclear power

Denmark eyes lifting of 40-year ban on nuclear power
Copenhagen will examine pros and cons of using small modular reactors to balance renewables in its energy mix

Denmark is looking at whether to end its 40-year ban on nuclear energy as the Scandinavian wind energy powerhouse examines the best ways to avoid a similar blackout to last month’s outage in Spain and Portugal.

Lars Aagaard, Denmark’s minister for climate, energy and utilities, told Danish newspaper Politiken that the centrist coalition in Copenhagen would take a year to analyse the pros and cons of reviving nuclear power.

A lifting of its ban from 1985 would put Denmark in a growing group of countries looking at nuclear energy to help balance renewable sources in their electricity mix.

Neighbouring Sweden’s rightwing government is trying to revive nuclear power in the country, which still has three plants in operation, after big debates over closing them ever since the Three Mile Island accident in the US in 1979.

Denmark has one of the highest shares of renewable energy in its electricity mix in Europe thanks to vast offshore wind farms along its coast.

It uses coal and gas power as well as interconnectors to countries such as Sweden and Norway — which have nuclear and hydro resources — to ensure a low level of power interruptions by European standards.

But four rightwing opposition parties in Denmark’s parliament are keen to reintroduce nuclear power in Denmark and have tabled a debate with Aagaard for Wednesday.

“We observe that there is a development under way with new nuclear power technologies: small modular reactors,” Aagaard told Politiken.

The government had decided to launch an analysis of the potential of this new technology, he said, but added that “it is not enough that they have potential. We also need to know what it means for Danish society.”

SMRs, which are built in factories and potentially offer shorter construction times than large plants, have attracted significant investor enthusiasm globally, but many are still in design stages or awaiting regulatory approval. 

Anders Fogh Rasmussen, Denmark’s former prime minister and an ex-secretary general of Nato, told the Financial Times he was in favour of lifting the “ridiculous” ban. 

“Wind and solar are good as long as you have wind and sunshine. But you have to have a non-fossil base load and it’s ridiculous to exclude nuclear power in advance . . . My guess is that this is a process [from the government] towards lifting the ban,” he said.

Last month, a fund backed by Danish billionaire Joachim Ante announced plans to raise €350mn ($397mn) to back the advanced nuclear industry and its supply chain.

92 Capital is betting on a nuclear power renaissance because of a broader rise in concerns over energy security. Ante, who founded video game software company Unity, has so far put in €50mn of his own funds.

An earlier version of the fund, 92 Ventures, invested in Sweden’s Blykalla and Finland’s Steady Energy Oy, both developers of SMRs.

There is particular controversy in Denmark over where any new nuclear power plants would be situated and where waste from reactors would be stored.

Denmark had a research reactor just outside Copenhagen until 2001 where the waste is stored. Its parliament decided in 2018 to establish a secure disposal facility for the waste by 2073.

Large nuclear reactors have dwindled in popularity since accidents including Chornobyl in 1986 and Fukushima in 2011.

Recent large nuclear power projects in countries including France, the UK and Finland have run hugely over budget. Finland opened the Olkiluoto 3 plant in 2023, 14 years later than planned and almost quadruple the initial budget.

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 14th of May 2025 V2(+)

>>> Up
* Cofinimmo PT Raised to 83 euros from 72 euros at KBC Securities (+)
* Commerzbank PT Raised to 31 euros at Kepler Cheuvreux (+)
* De' Longhi Raised to Neutral at Mediobanca SpA; PT 29.10 euros
* Geberit Raised to Buy at Jefferies; PT 710 Swiss francs
* Hannover Re Raised to Buy at Bankhaus Metzler; PT 292 euros (+)
* Hapag-Lloyd Raised to Hold at Deutsche Bank; PT 124 euros
* Maersk Raised to Hold at Deutsche Bank; PT 11,909 kroner
* Mondi Raised to Overweight at JPMorgan; PT 1,430 pence
* On Holding PT Raised to $62 from $55 at Needham
* On Holding PT Raised to $65 from $55 at Piper Sandler
* On Holding PT Raised to $63 from $50 at Williams Trading
* Storebrand Raised to Buy at SpareBank; PT 140 kroner
* Turkcell PT Raised to 152 liras at Unlu Securities
* Vestas Raised to Buy at Berenberg; PT 140 kroner

>>> Down
* AB Foods Cut to Sector Perform at RBC; PT 2,150 pence
* Banca Mediolanum Cut to Accumulate at Banca Akros (+)
* Greencoat UK Wind Cut to Equal-Weight at Barclays; PT 130 pence
* Kamux Cut to Hold at Danske Bank Markets; PT 2.20 euros (+)
* Nabaltec Cut to Add at Baader Helvea; PT 16.50 euros
* Netum Group Cut to Reduce at Inderes; PT 2.20 euros (+)
* ORIT LN Cut to Equal-Weight at Barclays; PT 85 pence
* ORIT LN Cut to Neutral at Stifel (+)
* Renewables Infra Cut to Equal-Weight at Barclays; PT 90 pence
* Rivian Cut to Hold at Jefferies; PT $16
* Victorian Plumbing Group Cut to Hold at Peel Hunt; PT 110 pence (+)

>>> Initiation
* Adyen Reinstated Buy at William O'Neil
* CTS Eventim Rated New Overweight at Barclays; PT 130 euros
* GE Aerospace Reinstated Buy at William O'Neil
* Hikma Rated New Outperform at BNPP Exane; PT 2,650 pence
* Kerry Group Rated New Neutral at Redburn; PT 98 euros
* Pandora Rated New Buy at Deutsche Bank; PT 1,325 kroner
* Recupero Etico Sostenibile Rated New Buy at Intesa Sanpaolo
* Uber Reinstated Buy at William O'Neil

>>> Call
* Geberit Double-Upgraded at Jefferies on Better Demand Outlook
* Goldman’s Bell Lifts European Index Targets as Tariff Risk Drops
* Stocks Remain at Risk of a Correction, Goldman Strategists Say (+)

FT : Dubious deals, soaring prices and hubris: inside Moët Hennessy’s crisis

Dubious deals, soaring prices and hubris: inside Moët Hennessy’s crisis
LVMH’s drinks business has been caught in a global downturn. Questionable management decisions are said to have made things worse

Moët Hennessy, the wine and spirits empire owned by France’s LVMH, went from generating €1bn in cash in 2019 to burning through €1.5bn last year, according to documents seen by the Financial Times, as aggressive price increases and an ill-fated acquisition spree hit the luxury group’s drinks business.

The group behind Dom Pérignon champagne and Hennessy cognac has been hard hit by a global downturn in sales of alcoholic drinks. But people familiar with Moët Hennessy’s operations say strategic decisions made under the leadership of former chief executive Philippe Schaus, who left the group at the start of 2025, exacerbated its problems.

These included a determination to maintain profitability by increasing prices, a hit-and-miss series of deals, and a lossmaking push into direct-to-consumer sales, according to several sources with knowledge of the business and documents reviewed by the Financial Times. 

Moët Hennessy has been a cash cow for LVMH for years. But in a presentation in February last year, reviewed by the Financial Times, senior managers at the wine and spirits group were issued with stark warnings — “Need to save cash!” — as budgets came under strain.

When a surge in sales during the pandemic-era luxury boom began to go into reverse, management did not respond quickly enough to the ensuing downturn, said one source close to the company.

“It got to a point where it looked like Moët Hennessy could do no wrong,” the person said. “That’s what got them.”

The consequences of Moët Hennessy’s struggles became clear this month, when the division’s newly appointed executives told staff that about 1,200 jobs would be cut as part of a cost-cutting drive, and warned that sales would not bounce back soon.


In April, LVMH reported that its wine and spirits sales fell by 9 per cent on an organic basis in the first quarter, compared with a 3 per cent decline across the business as a whole. Moët Hennessy’s profits from recurring operations dropped by 36 per cent to €1.35bn last year. 

But the spirits business had already been comfortably LVMH’s worst-performing division, in terms of sales growth, in the past two years.

Leadership changes have followed poor performance. In February, Jean-Jacques Guiony, LVMH’s former chief financial officer, was appointed chief executive of Moët Hennessy, replacing Schaus. Alexandre Arnault, son of controlling shareholder Bernard Arnault and a former senior executive at jeweller Tiffany, was installed as Guiony’s deputy.


Armed with a mandate to turn around performance, the new executives are reviewing the division’s portfolio, as well as underperforming ventures, such as its direct to consumer retail business. Its private sales business is also being brought directly under Alexandre Arnault’s purview.

LVMH and Moët Hennessy declined to comment.

Among the issues Guiony addressed in a presentation to staff this month was the extent of recent price rises. He acknowledged that prices had been pushed “quite high” and that was “difficult to swallow” for some.

Sources told the Financial Times that retailers had begun to balk at the increases Moët Hennessy pushed on to them, after double digit percentage price rises in both 2021 and 2022.

Prices across the portfolio had risen by well over a third on average since 2019, the people said, adding that maintaining profit margins had become a mantra internally — even as some managers raised concerns it was unsustainable.

In a presentation last year, seen by the Financial Times, Moët Hennessy’s then global head of distribution, Jean-Marc Lacave, said it was “critical” to maintain operating profit margins, telling staff he “would prefer to do less business and be above 30 per cent.”



However, Moët Hennessy reported profit margins of 23 per cent last year. Despite charging far higher prices, sales fell close to 2019 levels, implying substantial volume declines. Lacave left the group at the start of the year.

The spirits group’s struggles came as it was digesting a series of acquisitions made under former boss Schaus. They were designed to reduce Moët Hennessy’s dependence on cognac and champagne, which made up more than 80 per cent of sales at the time.

Schaus has held a variety of senior roles at LVMH and became one of Bernard Arnault’s close advisers in more than two decades with the group. In 2012, he joined the executive committee and was appointed Moët Hennessy’s chair and chief executive five years later.

A near €2bn acquisition spree included the 2021 purchase of a 50 per cent stake in Jay-Z’s champagne brand Armand de Brignac — a deal that was, coincidentally, sourced by Alexandre Arnault, who is close with the American rapper — as well as the purchase of Provencal rosé brand Minuty in 2023 and Napa Valley winemaker Joseph Phelps in 2022.

Schaus — who declined to comment for this story — also signed off on launches of new products, including Volcan tequila and Eminente, a Cuban rum brand.

LVMH typically manages most of its dealmaking through a central team that reports to the chief financial officer.

But Schaus and his team was given wide discretion to make decisions on deals, particularly smaller transactions, according to two people with knowledge of the set-up. However, that was disputed by another person familiar with the matter, who said any significant acquisition went through LVMH’s normal channels.

Several deals have so far failed to deliver returns. One source with knowledge of their performance said that, with the exception of the Minuty acquisition and a handful of other deals for other rosé wine estates, the initiatives had “added complexity, lowered margin and drained cash”.

Guiony told staff this month that he was reviewing Moët Hennessy’s portfolio, particularly brands “added over the past few years”. Last week, after visiting the White House with his father, Alexandre Arnault was in Napa Valley visiting the Californian wineries.

Most of the acquired brands could be kept, Guiony said to staff this month, though their growth plans will be scaled back and costs cut substantially.  

“These businesses have been driven by an ambition that is very difficult to accommodate today . . . and we have been planning to develop in many geographies at the same time, which is in my view a mistake,” he said. 

Under Schaus, Moët Hennessy also accelerated a push into direct to consumer retailing, opening Hennessy stores in China and a Veuve Clicquot outlet at Parisian department store Printemps, as well as selling cases of Dom Pérignon and Veuve Clicquot online.

The initiative, which is now losing millions of euros per year, according to the people and documents seen by the Financial Times, has also been placed under review. Tannico, an e-commerce joint venture with Campari, launched in 2021, has also been a flop, the people said. Campari did not respond to a request for comment.

“We don’t know why these decisions were made [and] we’re not going to question them now, but we are going to look at what we should do in the future regarding these activities,” Alexandre Arnault said in this month’s staff presentation.

Even as Moët Hennessy’s sales tumbled last year, LVMH executives pressured the division’s managers to find ways to make up a projected €90mn shortfall in operating profit, relative to its 2024 targets. 

“We aren’t in a position to revise down our target,” Schaus wrote in emails seen by the Financial Times, as he urged teams to cut costs. “I know each and every one will have many good reasons to argue for lower numbers, but today we need to all rise to the challenge”.

One source said it was “very rare” that a business within LVMH submitted a forecast lower than the year before, adding that it was “growth, growth at all costs.”

“It was clear [Moët Hennessy] was going to deteriorate further,” the person said. “But Bernard Arnault didn’t want to hear that.”