Asian Market Update: China regulators urge banks to conduct better management of NPLs after recent rise in bad loans
***Economic Data*** - (PH) PHILIPPINES MAR CPI M/M: -0.1% V +0.2%E; Y/Y: 3.9% V 4.1%E; CORE CPI Y/Y: 2.8% V 3.0%
Market Snapshot (as of 03:30 GMT): - Nikkei225 +0.1%, S&P/ASX flat, Kospi -0.1%, Shanghai Composite +0.3%, Hang Seng -0.1%, Jun S&P500 +0.1% at 1,885, Jun gold 0.1% at $1,286, May crude oil flat at $100.33/brl
***Highlights/Observations/Insights*** - Asian indices and USD majors are in a holding pattern ahead of the critical US non-farm payrolls data - the first print since the spring thaw has presumably unshackled economic data from the drag of the polar vortex. Consensus is calling for about 200K jobs which would be a 4-month high, even though leading employment indicators have been somewhat conflicting. Today's ISM services employment component was very strong, while the most recent publication of Online Conference Board job listings data was suspiciously underwhelming.
- Most notable regional developments are in China, where the national Banking Regulatory Commission (CBRC) requested that banks better manage their NPL ratios. The call comes on the heels of a large increase in bad loans unveiled by China's top-5 lenders in 2013. Separately, we've seen some chatter of a denial of press reports that China city of Changshain Hunan Province may scale back on the home purchasing curb measures. Recall that report earlier this week led to some rather impressive gains among the Chinese property names.
***Fixed Income/Commodities/Currencies*** - (US) Weekly Fed Balance Sheet Total Assets Week ending April 2nd: $4.24T v $4.23T prior; Reserve Bank Credit: $4.19T v $4.18T prior; M1: -$15.7B (3rd straight decline) v -$54.3B prior; M2: +$20.0B v +$12.2B prior; M1 y/y change: 10.0% (7-month high) v 9.9% w/w; M2 y/y change: 5.8% v 5.8% w/w - (JP) BOJ offers to buy ¥110B in 1-yr and under JGB, ¥250B in 1-3yr JGB, ¥250B in 3-5yr JGB, and ¥1.5T in T-bills - (AU) Australia MoF (AOFM) sells A$700M in 2016 Bonds; Avg yield 2.8621%, bid-to-cover 5.79x - SLV: iShares Silver Trust ETF daily holdings rise to 10,229 tonnes from 10,208 tonnes prior(highest since Dec 6th, 2013) - (CN) China Qinhuangdao coal price flat at CNY525-535/t (remains at multi-month low) - USD/CNY: (CN) PBoC sets yuan mid point at 6.1557 v 6.1520 prior setting (2nd consecutive weaker setting; Weakest setting since Sept 18th)
- USD majors are locked into tight ranges ahead of the non-farm payrolls. USD/JPY remains capped at the ¥104 mark, EUR/USD is supported above $1.37, while AUD/USD and NZD/USD are only up about 10pips respectively above 0.9230 and $0.8550.
***Equities*** US markets: - MRCY: Boeing said to be considering bid for the company as MRCY continues to explore sale process - financial press; +16.0% afterhours - SNX: Reports Q1 $1.25 v $0.94e, R$3.02B v $2.75Be; +15.7% afterhours - MU: Reports Q2 $0.85 v $0.61e, R$4.11B v $3.99Be; +1.5% afterhours - MYL: Said to be considering deal for Meda - FT; +0.2% afterhours
Notable movers by sector: - Financials: Country Garden Holdings 2007.HK -2.7% (Mar sales results) - Materials: St Barbara Ltd SBM.AU flat (operation halted due to heavy rain) - Energy: Santos Ltd STO.AU +1.8% (started environmental approval for coal seam gas project) - Industrials: China Shipping Development 1138.HK +4.1% (Q1 guidance); Shanghai Zhixin Electric 600517.CN -0.4% (FY13 results); Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport 600004.CN -0.1% (FY13 results) - Technology: BOE Technology Group 000725.CN +1.3% (private placement plan)
Mylan Looking at Takeover of Swedish Drug Maker Meda AB
Mylan Inc. MYL -1.79% is looking at buying Swedish drug maker Meda MEDA-A.SK -0.67% AB, according to people familiar with the matter, in what would be the pharmaceutical industry's latest tie-up that could lower a U.S. company's taxes.
Executives at Mylan, which has a $18.5 billion market capitalization, have been open about doing a big acquisition. When announcing its fourth-quarter earnings in February, the company said it expected to do a "substantial deal" this year.
Canonsburg, Pa.-based Mylan has been working with advisers on the possible deal, one of the people said. Mylan's interest in Meda, with a market capitalization of about $4.5 billion, was first reported by the Financial Times.
Last year, Mylan had $6.9 billion in sales. Many of Mylan's products are generic versions of brand-name drugs. But it is best known for its own branded product EpiPen, an emergency treatment for allergic reactions.
Pharmaceutical companies like Mylan have been heavily acquisitive in recent years amid heightened competition, pricing pressures and fewer brand-name blockbuster drugs losing U.S. patent protection. And investors have rewarded deals, most recently Actavis ACT -0.86% PLC's $25 billion deal to buy Forest Laboratories Inc. FRX -0.57%
In recent years, several companies, including Actavis, Perrigo Co. PRGO -2.82% PLC and Valeant Pharmaceuticals International Inc., VRX.T -3.68% have bought companies in countries with lower tax rates than the U.S., such as Ireland.
Mylan estimated a tax rate of 24% to 26% this year. U.S.-based Perrigo said it could lower its rate to 17% within 12 to 18 months after closing its $8.6 billion deal to buy Ireland-based Elan, according to Moody's Investors Service.
Meda sells a variety of drugs, including treatments for rheumatoid arthritis, women's health conditions and respiratory disorders.
Globalfoundries Emerges as Lead Candidate to Buy IBM Chip Plants Taiwan Semiconductor Said to Have Dropped Out of Talks
Globalfoundries Inc. has emerged as the lead candidate to buy International Business Machines Corp.'s semiconductor manufacturing operations, people familiar with the matter said. IBM has also held talks with chip makers Intel Corp. and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., these people said. TSMC has dropped out of the talks, the people said. Intel is still involved, but Globalfoundries appears to have a stronger interest, these people said. Talks between IBM and Globalfoundries are ongoing and a deal isn't imminent, these people said. The transaction involves thorny issues, including control of intellectual property and terms under which the ultimate buyer of the facilities may keep manufacturing chips for IBM computers, they added. Price is also another sticking point, with IBM initially asking for more than $2 billion and bidders coming in north of $1 billion, the people said. The price may fluctuate higher or lower, though, depending on structure of the deal, said one of the people. To the extent that IBM includes chip-intellectual property in the deal, the price could go lower, this person said. The situation is fluid and another bidder could ultimately prevail, one of the people said. A spokeswoman for TSMC said the company has studied the IBM chip plant and that it has no current plan to add a new plant in an overseas market. Representatives from IBM, Globalfoundries and Intel declined to comment. A sale of the chip-manufacturing operations, if completed, would represent IBM's most significant strategic shift since the company got out of the PC business in 2004. IBM has repeatedly exited low-margin businesses where it couldn't find a competitive edge, like PCs. Chip manufacturing, by contrast, is a field involving fundamental research and development, a longtime foundation for IBM hardware that has also helped drive innovation in the broader semiconductor industry. IBM factories make computer chips for its own high-end server systems as well as for external customers. Shedding those capital-intensive operations could help boost IBM's profitability, and dovetail with recent moves by the company to reduce its reliance on selling computer hardware. IBM recently struck a deal to sell its low-end server business to Lenovo Group Ltd. IBM still makes mainframes and high-end servers based on internally designed chips, though sales of servers that use the Unix operating system have been tumbling in recent quarters. IBM wants to maintain control over as much semiconductor research and development as possible, but Globalfoundries is also interested in gaining more ownership of that expertise and intellectual property, said the people. As part of the deal, Globalfoundries also wants to secure an agreement to be IBM's main chip supplier, but IBM has concerns over whether the company can be a reliable supplier, said the people. "IBM wants to control what quality comes out and have the option of getting out of the deal," said one of the people. "[Globalfoundries] thinks it's nice to have the manufacturing if we can also get the R&D and be your supplier." TSMC dropped out of the talks because it only wanted the R&D operation and wasn't interested in adding more chip-making capacity, said the people. Over the past decade, IBM has transferred much of its chip-making R&D and prototyping from its own facilities to the College of Nanoscale Science and Engineering at the State University of New York in Albany. IBM and other chip makers send engineers to the campus, which is hosting research in areas that include development of larger semiconductor wafers to boost manufacturing productivity. Globalfoundries, which is based in Santa Clara, Calif., is backed by the government of Abu Dhabi. The company was founded in 2009 from the former manufacturing operations of Advanced Micro Devices Inc. In addition to operating former AMD factories in Germany, Globalfoundries has built a large factory near Albany and runs factories in Asia that were once part of Chartered Semiconductor Manufacturing Ltd. The company makes chips for AMD, which competes with Intel in selling chips for personal computers. On Tuesday, AMD said it expects to pay Globalfoundries about $1.2 billion in 2014 for work that includes making some chips for game consoles that are now exclusively made by TSMC. IBM's factories made chips used in the last generation of videogame consoles from Sony Corp. and Microsoft Corp. But both companies shifted their latest machines to chips from AMD. IBM still makes chips used in Nintendo Co.'s Wii system. Toni Sacconaghi, an analyst at Sanford C. Bernstein, said in a recent interview that IBM has less of an economic rationale for its own chip manufacturing plants as the company focuses less on servers. IBM is also making fewer chips for external customers, giving it more of a reason to jettison the unit, he said. Last year, sales of IBM's chip-making unit declined about 7% to $1.46 billion. Sales of the business that provides circuit design and manufacturing consulting services fell 38% to $215 million.