Asian Market Update: Fog of war obscures political developments in Iraq and Ukraine
***Economic Data*** - (SI) SINGAPORE Q2 FINAL GDP Q/Q: +0.1% V -0.3%E; Y/Y: 2.4% V 2.3%E - (AU) AUSTRALIA JUL NAB BUSINESS CONFIDENCE: 11 (2 1/2-year high) V 8 PRIOR; NAB BUSINESS CONDITIONS: 8 (4-year high) V 2 PRIOR - (AU) AUSTRALIA Q2 HOUSE PRICE INDEX Q/Q: 1.8% V 1.0%E; Y/Y: 10.1% V 9.3%E - (AU) AUSTRALIA JUN CREDIT CARD BALANCES (A$): 49.9B V 49.7B PRIOR; CREDIT CARD PURCHASES: 23.1B V 22.9B PRIOR - (AU) Australia ANZ Roy Morgan Weekly W/W: 108.5 v 115.0 prior - (NZ) NEW ZEALAND REINZ JULY HOUSE PRICE INDEX: 3,885 V 3,913 PRIOR; M/M: -0.7% V -0.3%; HOUSE SALES Y/Y: -13.0% V -6.1% PRIOR - (NZ) NEW ZEALAND JUL ANZ TRUCKOMETER HEAVY M/M: +2.6% V -0.7% PRIOR (first increase in 3 months) - (JP) JAPAN JUL PPI M/M: 0.3% V 0.4%E; Y/Y: 4.3% V 4.4%E - (UK) UK JULY BRC SALES LFL Y/Y: -0.3% V +0.9%E (2nd consecutive decline)
***Index Snapshot (as of 02:30 GMT)*** - Nikkei225 +0.4%, S&P/ASX +1.1%, Kospi +0.3%, Shanghai Composite -0.6%, Hang Seng -0.2%, Sept S&P500 +0.1% at 1,934
***Commodities/Fixed Income/Currencies*** - Dec gold -0.2% at $1,308, Sept crude oil -0.2%, Sept Copper -0.4% at $3.16/lb - (US) PIMCO: Lowers Total Return Fund's holding of US Treasuries to 45% in July from 47% in June - financial press - JGB: (JP) Japan MoF sells ¥547B in 1.7% (1.7% prior) 30-yr notes; Avg yield: 1.676% v 1.703% prior; Bid to cover: 4.06x v 3.12x prior - (CN) PBoC to drain CNY20B in 14-day repos (5th consecutive drain) - (AU) Australia MoF (AOFM) sells A$100M in 3.0% 2025 indexed Bonds; avg yield: 1.1056%; bid-to-cover: 5.47x - USD/CNY: (CN) PBoC sets yuan mid point at 6.1517 v 6.1522 prior setting (4th consecutive firmer setting; Strongest setting since July 14th)
***Market Focal Points/Key Themes*** - Easing of tensions on the Russia/Ukraine border continues to prop up risk assets, even as the situation on the ground remains highly fluid. Russian Foreign Ministry had reportedly secured an agreement with Ukraine govt to participate in a humanitarian mission to provide aid to displaced locals in a joint effort with representatives from the US and EU. This could potentially lead to a more lasting ceasefire and de-escalation in violence that is estimated to have killed over 1K people since April. Subsequent reports however also indicate that US Pres Obama's conversation with Ukraine's Poroshenko insist that any Russian help must require full consent from Kiev, which remains extremely suspicious of Moscow sending additional personnel into the country and has accused Russia of still amassing 45K troops near the border. Obama is also pushing for the Ukraine military to be restrained in military operations to avoid further civilian casualties.
- In Iraq, the problem of political vacuum continues to play out in the botched transition in the post of prime minister. Iraq's Maliki maintains the nomination of Al-Abadi by the new Pres Masoum has no legal basis, solidifying his claim to the 3rd term as PM with support of his State of Law party. Pres Obama held a press conference, reiterating that US supports the new Iraqi President Masoum and the newly-named PM Al-Abadi. Obama also said US airstrikes have prevented ISIS from making further advances on Erbil, but it will be easier for Iraqi army to mobilize once the govt transition is sorted out.
- Australia dominated economic calendar ahead of more notable releases of Japan GDP and more China July figures later this week. Improvement in NAB business sentiment was particularly impressive, hitting 10-quarter high on Confidence and 4-year high on Conditions components. NAB chief economist said "stronger sales and profits are driving the trend, but the recovery continues to be relatively jobless with the employment index seeing more moderate gains." AUD/USD bounced about 20pips on the release toward $0.9270. NZD/USD is testing 2-month lows below $0.8420, with losses accelerating after a bigger slide in New Zealand house prices.
***Equities*** US markets: - ICPT: Reports Q2 -$0.79 v $1.26e, R$0.4M v $0.4Me (2 est); updates clinical trials for its lead product candidate in cirrhosis and NASH; +57.7% afterhours - TRAK: Reports Q2 $0.41 v $0.37e, R$225M v $213Me; +13.3% afterhours - DTSI: Reports Q2 $0.47 v $0.13e, R$36.2M v $28.4Me; +11.8% afterhours
- RAX: Reports Q2 $0.16 v $0.16e, R$441.1M v $437Me, guides Q3 R$454-461M v $455Me; -1.5% afterhours - MTZ: Reports Q2 $0.40 v $0.41e, R$1.10B v $1.11Be; -3.6% afterhours - CZR: Reports Q2 -$3.24 v -$1.24e, R$2.19B v $2.21Be; -4.8% afterhours - CALL: Reports Q2 $0.31 v $0.32e, R$29.5M v $31.6Me (only 1 est.); -8.7% afterhours - NUAN: Reports Q3 $0.27 v $0.27e, R$475.5M v $499Me, Guides Q4 $0.24-0.29 v $0.35e, R$500-520M v $541Me, Cuts FY14 guidance; -9.9% afterhours - INTX: Reports Q2 -$0.11 v $0.08 y/y, R$64.3M v $80.7M y/y; to restructure; -15.9% afterhours - NIHD: Reports Q2 -$3.65 v -$2.38, R$968.8M v $877Me, liquidity position not sufficient to support business; -58.8% afterhours
Notable movers by sector: - Consumer Discretionary: Slater & Gordon Ltd SGH.AU +5.1% (FY14 results); Domino's Pizza Enterprises DMP.AU +8.0% (FY14 results) - Consumer staples: Yonghui Superstores Co Ltd 601933.CN +10.0% (Dairy Farm acquires stake); Henan Shuanghui Investment & Development 000895.CN -1.6% (H1 results) - Financials: Poly Property Group 119.HK -2.2% (July operating results); Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group 8306.JP +1.6% (planning to work with client on risk assets) - Materials: Ishihara Sangyo Kaisha 4028.JP -2.2% (Q1 results) - Industrials: Toyo Tanso 5310.JP -3.5% (H1 results); Bradken Ltd BKN.AU +4.9% (FY14 results) - Technology: Tencent Holdings 700.HK +0.8% (may bid for Sinopec's retail business); Anhui USTC iFlytek 002230.CN +3.3% (H1 results) - Utilities: Ebara Corp 6361.JP -3.6% (Q1 results)
2014-08-12 04:41:12.681 GMT
By Sabrina Willmer and Kiel Porter
Aug. 12 (Bloomberg) -- Equistone Partners Europe, a
private-equity group spinout from Barclays, plans to seek about
EU1.7b ($2.3b) for its second buyout fund since independence
from the British bank, according to a person with knowledge of
the matter.
* The firm hired Lazard to help raise the money, said the
person, who asked not to be named because the information is
private; Equistone raised EU1.5b for its first independent
fund in January 2013
* Link to full story
For Related News and Information:
Barclays Said to Plan $1.4 Billion Sale of Natural Resource Unit
NSN N8EHZ46KLVRL <GO>
RBS Said to Stake in Private-Equity Arm to Adams Street
NSN N6BYFK6KLVRA <GO>
To contact the reporters on this story:
Sabrina Willmer in New York at +1-212-617-2515 or
swillmer2@bloomberg.net;
Kiel Porter in London at +44-20-3525-2448 or
kporter17@bloomberg.net
To contact the editors responsible for this story:
Christian Baumgaertel at +1-617-210-4624 or
cbaumgaertel@bloomberg.net
Pierre Paulden
What's Carl Icahn Buying? Forbes discusses how the legendary investor beat the market lately. Another piece profiles four values helped by the recent pullback.
According to Forbes.com, the fund operated by the legendary hedge-fund manager was helped in the second quarter by a large position in Apple (ticker: AAPL ), which scored a market-beating 25% gain in the past six months.
"Icahn increased his already big bet on Apple when its stock weakened to $72 at the end of January, buying $500 million more of Apple's shares," writes Nathan Vardi, a Forbes magazine associate editor who follows the hedge-fund industry. Apple, which currently trades at around $96, is "by far Icahn's largest trading position," Vardi adds.
Vardi writes that Icahn's fund also benefited in the second quarter from its stake in Chesapeake Energy ( CHK ), a natural-gas producer "whose direction has been significantly changed by Icahn, who helped push out its founding CEO Aubrey McClendon." That being said, Chesapeake, after rising nicely for most of the quarter, fell sharply in July. It's now up around 14% over the past six months, roughly double that of the Standard & Poor's 500.
According to Vardi, Icahn finished the first half of 2014 with his investment fund up 10.2%, outpacing the S&P 500, which returned 6.05% over the same time period. It also "crushed the average hedge fund manager," who returned 3.2% this year through June, according to HFR.
I had hoped to be learning from Icahn directly about his latest investing thoughts. That's because Yahoo Finance, in promoting its new contributor network on July 23, promoted Icahn as the leading name in its "truly all-star cast" of investment writers.
It's now been almost three weeks since Yahoo launched the new contributor page and Icahn still hasn't weighed in yet. http://carlicahn.tumblr.com/
To be sure, David Sterman is no Carl Icahn. But Sterman, a veteran financial writer with Street Authority, has nonetheless penned an interesting piece about four "deep-value stocks uncovered" by the recent market pullback.
It's a motley group of stocks, including conglomerate Loews (L); Abengoa Yield ( ABY ), a U.K.-based yield-oriented spinoff of global energy firm Abengoa; Roundy's ( RNDY ), a Wisconsin-based grocery chain; and the closed-end New Germany Fund ( GF ).
Regarding Loews, Sterman writes that "shares currently have a price-to-book value ratio of 0.81, meaning they trade for only 81% of the company's tangible book value.
"To be sure," he adds, "this isn't your typical financial services firm. Loews also owns hotels and has stakes in energy service providers, and it's that last segment that has weighed on results recently. Yet Loews is doing whatever any stock trading below book value should do: buying back shares. The company has already spent more than $300 million on buybacks this year, and it has left the door open to more repurchases as the year progresses."
Sterman writes that Abengoa Yield's dividend yield is marching toward 6% because of the recent price drop.
"It's hard to cite any specific reasons for recent share price weakness (for both the "yieldco" and the parent company), but it may reflect broader skittishness around European stocks. But Abengoa -- and the yield play -- are fairly well insulated from economic risk, thanks to long-term contracts."
I'll close with two less-than-encouraging columns about a slew of newspaper and other print-media assets that have been spun off into separate companies in the past year including Time Inc. ( TIME ) and News Corp ( NWSA ), the corporate parent of Barron's and the Wall Street Journal.
And recently, as New York Times media columnist David Carr puts it, "three of the biggest players in American newspapers -- Gannett, Tribune Co., and E.W. Scripps, companies built on print franchises that expanded into television -- dumped those properties like yesterday's news in a series of spinoffs."
Unfortunately, Carr has little good to say about the future of many of these new pure-play print-media concerns.
"It's a measure of the basic problem that many people haven't cared or noticed as their hometown newspapers have reduced staffing, days of circulation, delivery and coverage," writes Carr. "Will they notice or care when those newspapers go away altogether? I'm not optimistic about that."
Another respected media writer, Michael Wolff, is only a tad more optimistic about the future of print media as a viable business than Carr is.
Writing in USA Today, Wolff writes that "Wall Street clearly doesn't give great value to what we do. Often our own children seem to wonder why we do it. But on the brighter side, the powers that be aren't so much taking our livelihood from us as they are giving it back."
The major averages began the new week on a modestly higher note. The S&P 500 settled higher by 0.3% with seven sectors registering gains, while the Russell 2000 (+1.0%) and Nasdaq Composite (+0.7%) outperformed. For its part, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (+0.1%) was limited to a slim gain as blue chip listings had a tough time keeping pace.
Equity indices climbed from the opening bell with the early advance supported by upbeat action overseas. Furthermore, a slight improvement on the geopolitical scene was also cited for the improved sentiment. Specifically, a ceasefire was agreed upon in Gaza on Sunday, while pro-Russian separatists in east Ukraine also asked for a pause in fighting.
The crisis in Ukraine was in the headlines during the day as conflicting reports about a potential humanitarian mission swirled about. The early reports suggested Ukraine's government agreed to allow a Red Cross-led operation with participation from Russia, Germany, and the United States, but subsequent headlines indicated Kiev never gave permission for Russian involvement.
Despite the advance, today's session lacked clear sector leadership as the consumer staples sector (+0.8%) ended in the lead, while other countercyclical groups underperformed. Meanwhile on the cyclical side, consumer discretionary (+0.4%) and technology (+0.6%) outperformed, while energy (-0.2%) and financials (+0.2%) lagged throughout the session.
Today's leading sector—consumer staples—drew strength from the shares of Sysco (SYY 37.44, +1.17), which rallied 3.2% in reaction to in-line earnings. Peer Dean Foods (DF 15.20, -0.61) was not as fortunate, falling 3.9% in reaction to a bottom-line miss and cautious guidance for the third quarter. In addition, the company withdrew its full-year guidance due to a volatile dairy commodity environment.
Elsewhere among countercyclical sectors, the utilities space (-0.4%) widened its third-quarter loss to 7.0%, while health care (unch) lagged throughout the session.
The health care sector ended on its session low, while the high-beta biotech group ended a bit below its early high. The iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF (IBB 253.21, +1.72) gained 0.7% after being up 1.3% during the first two hours of action. Despite the afternoon slip, the biotech group still ended ahead of the S&P 500 and contributed to the outperformance of the Nasdaq.
The tech-heavy index also received noteworthy support from its top component—Apple (AAPL 95.99, +1.25)—and chipmakers. Apple added 1.3%, while the PHLX Semiconductor Index rose 1.0% with all but two components posting gains. Micron (MU 30.74, +0.70) led the way, climbing 2.3%.
Treasuries alternated between gains and losses before ending little changed. The benchmark 10-yr yield remained at 2.42%.
Participation was well below average with fewer than 585 million shares changing hands at the NYSE.
Tomorrow, the June Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey will be released at 10:00 ET, while the Treasury Budget for July will cross the wires at 14:00 ET (consensus -$96.00 billion).
- S&P 500 +4.8% YTD
- Nasdaq Composite +5.4% YTD
- Dow Jones Industrial Average UNCH YTD
- Russell 2000 -1.8% YTD
21st Century Fox: ValueAct to take $1 bln stake in FOXA, according to CNBC report out earlier